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1.
Phys Rev Lett ; 128(1): 011801, 2022 Jan 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35061499

RESUMO

Dark matter with Planck-scale mass (≃10^{19} GeV/c^{2}) arises in well-motivated theories and could be produced by several cosmological mechanisms. A search for multiscatter signals from supermassive dark matter was performed with a blind analysis of data collected over a 813 d live time with DEAP-3600, a 3.3 t single-phase liquid argon-based detector at SNOLAB. No candidate signals were observed, leading to the first direct detection constraints on Planck-scale mass dark matter. Leading limits constrain dark matter masses between 8.3×10^{6} and 1.2×10^{19} GeV/c^{2}, and ^{40}Ar-scattering cross sections between 1.0×10^{-23} and 2.4×10^{-18} cm^{2}. These results are interpreted as constraints on composite dark matter models with two different nucleon-to-nuclear cross section scalings.

2.
Phys Rev Lett ; 124(2): 025003, 2020 Jan 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32004037

RESUMO

We present a study on the impact of a gas atmosphere on the collision of two counterpropagating plasmas (gold and carbon). Imaging optical Thomson scattering data of the plasma collision with and without helium in between have been obtained at the Omega laser facility. Without gas, we observed large scale mixing of colliding gold and carbon ions. Once ambient helium is added, the two plasmas remain separated. The difference in ionic temperature is consistent with a reduction of the maximum Mach number of the flow from M=7 to M=4. It results in a reduction of a factor ∼10 of the counterstreaming ion-ion mean free path. By adding a low-density ambient gas, it is possible to control the collision of two high-velocity counterstreaming plasma, transitioning from an interpenetrating regime to a regime in agreement with a hydrodynamic description.

3.
Phys Rev Lett ; 125(15): 155003, 2020 Oct 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33095614

RESUMO

The implosion efficiency in inertial confinement fusion depends on the degree of stagnated fuel compression, density uniformity, sphericity, and minimum residual kinetic energy achieved. Compton scattering-mediated 50-200 keV x-ray radiographs of indirect-drive cryogenic implosions at the National Ignition Facility capture the dynamic evolution of the fuel as it goes through peak compression, revealing low-mode 3D nonuniformities and thicker fuel with lower peak density than simulated. By differencing two radiographs taken at different times during the same implosion, we also measure the residual kinetic energy not transferred to the hot spot and quantify its impact on the implosion performance.

4.
Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry ; 29(5): 575-594, 2020 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30648224

RESUMO

Foetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) are a leading cause of developmental disability. Prenatal alcohol use is the sole necessary cause of FASD, but it is not always sufficient. Multiple factors influence a child's susceptibility to FASD following prenatal alcohol exposure. Much of the FASD risk factor literature has been limited to discussions of association, rather than causation. While knowledge of predictor variables is important for identifying who is most at risk of FASD and for targeting interventions, causal knowledge is important for identifying effective mechanisms for prevention and intervention programmes. We conducted a systematic search and narrative synthesis of the evidence and used this to create a causal diagram (directed acyclic graph; DAG) to describe the causal pathways to FASD. Our results show that the aetiology of FASD is multifaceted and complex. FASD risk is determined by a range of lifestyle, sociodemographic, maternal, social, gestational, and genetic factors. The causal diagram that we present in this review provides a comprehensive summary of causal risk factors for FASD and can be used as a tool to inform data collection and statistical modelling strategies to minimise bias in future studies of FASD.


Assuntos
Transtornos do Espectro Alcoólico Fetal , Efeitos Tardios da Exposição Pré-Natal/diagnóstico , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Gravidez
5.
Phys Rev Lett ; 122(15): 155002, 2019 Apr 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31050520

RESUMO

The rapid heating of a thin titanium foil by a high intensity, subpicosecond laser is studied by using a 2D narrow-band x-ray imaging and x-ray spectroscopy. A novel monochromatic imaging diagnostic tuned to 4.51 keV Ti Kα was used to successfully visualize a significantly ionized area (⟨Z⟩>17±1) of the solid density plasma to be within a ∼35 µm diameter spot in the transverse direction and 2 µm in depth. The measurements and a 2D collisional particle-in-cell simulation reveal that, in the fast isochoric heating of solid foil by an intense laser light, such a high ionization state in solid titanium is achieved by thermal diffusion from the hot preplasma in a few picoseconds after the pulse ends. The shift of Kα and formation of a missing Kα cannot be explained with the present atomic physics model. The measured Kα image is reproduced only when a phenomenological model for the Kα shift with a threshold ionization of ⟨Z⟩=17 is included. This work reveals how the ionization state and electron temperature of the isochorically heated nonequilibrium plasma are independently increased.

6.
Phys Rev Lett ; 121(7): 071801, 2018 Aug 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30169081

RESUMO

This Letter reports the first results of a direct dark matter search with the DEAP-3600 single-phase liquid argon (LAr) detector. The experiment was performed 2 km underground at SNOLAB (Sudbury, Canada) utilizing a large target mass, with the LAr target contained in a spherical acrylic vessel of 3600 kg capacity. The LAr is viewed by an array of PMTs, which would register scintillation light produced by rare nuclear recoil signals induced by dark matter particle scattering. An analysis of 4.44 live days (fiducial exposure of 9.87 ton day) of data taken during the initial filling phase demonstrates the best electronic recoil rejection using pulse-shape discrimination in argon, with leakage <1.2×10^{-7} (90% C.L.) between 15 and 31 keV_{ee}. No candidate signal events are observed, which results in the leading limit on weakly interacting massive particle (WIMP)-nucleon spin-independent cross section on argon, <1.2×10^{-44} cm^{2} for a 100 GeV/c^{2} WIMP mass (90% C.L.).

7.
Nature ; 485(7400): 627-30, 2012 May 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22660324

RESUMO

Earth's lithosphere probably experienced an evolution towards the modern plate tectonic regime, owing to secular changes in mantle temperature. Radiogenic isotope variations are interpreted as evidence for the declining rates of continental crustal growth over time, with some estimates suggesting that over 70% of the present continental crustal reservoir was extracted by the end of the Archaean eon. Patterns of crustal growth and reworking in rocks younger than three billion years (Gyr) are thought to reflect the assembly and break-up of supercontinents by Wilson cycle processes and mark an important change in lithosphere dynamics. In southern West Greenland numerous studies have, however, argued for subduction settings and crust growth by arc accretion back to 3.8 Gyr ago, suggesting that modern-day tectonic regimes operated during the formation of the earliest crustal rock record. Here we report in situ uranium-lead, hafnium and oxygen isotope data from zircons of basement rocks in southern West Greenland across the critical time period during which modern-like tectonic regimes could have initiated. Our data show pronounced differences in the hafnium isotope-time patterns across this interval, requiring changes in the characteristics of the magmatic protolith. The observations suggest that 3.9-3.5-Gyr-old rocks differentiated from a >3.9-Gyr-old source reservoir with a chondritic to slightly depleted hafnium isotope composition. In contrast, rocks formed after 3.2 Gyr ago register the first additions of juvenile depleted material (that is, new mantle-derived crust) since 3.9 Gyr ago, and are characterized by striking shifts in hafnium isotope ratios similar to those shown by Phanerozoic subduction-related orogens. These data suggest a transitional period 3.5-3.2 Gyr ago from an ancient (3.9-3.5 Gyr old) crustal evolutionary regime unlike that of modern plate tectonics to a geodynamic setting after 3.2 Gyr ago that involved juvenile crust generation by plate tectonic processes.

8.
Child Care Health Dev ; 43(3): 348-360, 2017 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28238208

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Neglect is often overlooked in adolescence, due in part to assumptions about autonomy and misinterpretation of behaviors being part of normal adolescent development. Emotional maltreatment (abuse or neglect) has a damaging effect throughout the lifespan, but is rarely recognized amongst adolescents. Our review aims to identify features that adolescents experiencing neglect and/ or emotional maltreatment report. METHOD: A rapid review methodology searched 8 databases (1990-2014), supplemented by hand searching journals, and references, identifying 2,568 abstracts. Two independent reviews were undertaken of 279 articles, by trained reviewers, using standardised critical appraisal. Eligible studies: primary studies of children aged 13-17 years, with substantiated neglect and/ or emotional maltreatment, containing self-reported features. RESULTS: 19 publications from 13 studies were included, demonstrating associations between both neglect and emotional maltreatment with internalising features (9 studies) including depression, post traumatic symptomatology and anxiety; emotional maltreatment was associated with suicidal ideation, while neglect was not (1 study); neglect was associated with alcohol related problems (3 studies), substance misuse (2 studies), delinquency for boys (1 study), teenage pregnancy (1 study), and general victimization for girls (1 study), while emotionally maltreated girls reported more externalising symptoms (1 study). Dating violence victimization was associated with neglect and emotional maltreatment (2 studies), while emotional abuse of boys, but not neglect, was associated with dating violence perpetration (1 study), and neither neglect nor emotional maltreatment had an association with low self-esteem (2 studies). Neither neglect nor emotional maltreatment had an effect on school performance (1 study), but neglected boys showed greater school engagement than neglected girls (1 study). CONCLUSIONS: If asked, neglected or emotionally maltreated adolescents describe significant difficulties with their mental health, social relationships, and alcohol or substance misuse. Practitioners working with youths who exhibit these features should recognize the detrimental impact of maltreatment at this developmental stage, and identify whether maltreatment is a contributory factor that should be addressed.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde do Adolescente/organização & administração , Saúde do Adolescente , Maus-Tratos Infantis/psicologia , Depressão/diagnóstico , Autorrelato , Adaptação Psicológica , Adolescente , Desenvolvimento do Adolescente , Maus-Tratos Infantis/diagnóstico , Humanos , Saúde Mental , Avaliação das Necessidades , Apoio Social
9.
Br J Dermatol ; 175(5): 1020-1029, 2016 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27454583

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are continuously released by the body during normal metabolic processes, but their profiles change in the presence of cancer. Robust evidence that invasive melanoma in vivo emits a characteristic VOC signature is lacking. OBJECTIVES: To conduct a canine olfactory, proof-of-principle study to investigate whether VOCs from invasive melanoma are distinguishable from those of basal cell carcinoma (BCC), benign naevi and healthy skin in vivo. METHODS: After a 13-month training period, the dog's ability to discriminate melanoma was evaluated in 20 double-blind tests, each requiring selection of one melanoma sample from nine controls (three each of BCC, naevi and healthy skin; all samples new to the dog). RESULTS: The dog correctly selected the melanoma sample on nine (45%) occasions (95% confidence interval 0·23-0·68) vs. 10% expected by chance alone. A one-sided exact binomial test gave a P-value of < 0·01, supporting the hypothesis that samples were not chosen at random but that some degree of VOC signal from the melanoma samples significantly increased the probability of their detection. Use of a discrete-choice model confirmed melanoma as the most influential of the recorded medical/personal covariates in determining the dog's choice of sample. Accuracy rates based on familiar samples during training were not a reliable indicator of the dog's ability to distinguish melanoma, when confronted with new, unknown samples. CONCLUSIONS: Invasive melanoma in vivo releases odorous VOCs distinct from those of BCC, benign naevi and healthy skin, adding to the evidence that the volatile metabolome of melanoma contains diagnostically useful biomarkers.


Assuntos
Carcinoma in Situ/diagnóstico , Melanoma/diagnóstico , Nevo Pigmentado/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Cutâneas/diagnóstico , Olfato , Adulto , Idoso , Animais , Biomarcadores Tumorais/análise , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Cães , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Invasividade Neoplásica , Compostos Orgânicos Voláteis/análise
10.
J Clin Pharm Ther ; 40(2): 213-9, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25682802

RESUMO

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Hospital admissions associated with an adverse drug reaction are often coded to the International Classification of Diseases external cause Y-codes, denoting the medicine class deemed to cause the adverse drug reaction. Matching hospital data with outpatient dispensing data has the potential to identify the specific causative medicines but the ability to identify the causative medicines in this way has not been previously assessed. This study aimed to determine the proportion of Y-coded hospitalizations for drug-induced hepatotoxicity that could be matched with a potential causative medicine from outpatient dispensing data. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken from 1 Jan 2005 to 30 June 2012 using data from the Australian Government Department of Veterans' Affairs of all admissions coded to drug-induced hepatotoxicity. Medicine use in the 6 months prior to hospitalization was examined to identify the probable causative medicines. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Thirty five admissions were identified for 31 patients. All admissions were preceded by use of medicines known to cause hepatotoxicity. Twenty four admissions had a Y-code recorded, of which 19 admissions had at least one Y-code specifying the causative medicine class (22 Y-codes). Of the 22 Y-codes, 95% could be successfully matched with a medicine from the same class that had been dispensed in the 6 months prior to admission. Further, 92% were preceded by use of multiple hepatotoxic medicines. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: Results of our study demonstrate that hospital administrative data can be linked to prescription dispensing data to identify specific medicines suspected of causing the adverse drug reaction.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Induzida por Substâncias e Drogas/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/organização & administração , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Classificação Internacional de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Austrália/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos
11.
Child Care Health Dev ; 41(5): 641-53, 2015 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25733080

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Interventions to minimize the long-term consequences of neglect or emotional abuse rely on prompt identification of these children. This systematic review of world literature (1947-2012) identifies features that children aged 5-14 years experiencing neglect or emotional abuse, as opposed to physical or sexual abuse, may exhibit. METHODS: Searching 18 databases, utilizing over 100 keywords, supplemented by hand searching, 13,210 articles were identified and 111 underwent full critical appraisal by two independent trained reviewers. RESULTS: The 30 included studies highlighted behavioural features (15 studies), externalizing features being the most prominent (8/9 studies) and internalizing features noted in 4/6 studies. Four studies identified attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) associated features: impulsivity, inattention or hyperactivity. Child difficulties in initiating or developing friendships were noted in seven studies. Of 13 studies addressing emotional well-being, three highlighted low self-esteem, with a perception of external control (1), or depression (6) including suicidality (1). A negative internal working model of the mother increased the likelihood of depression (1). In assessing cognition or academic performance, lower general intelligence (3/4) and reduced literacy and numeracy (2) were reported, but no observable effect on memory (3). CONCLUSIONS: School-aged children presenting with poor academic performance, ADHD symptomatology or abnormal behaviours warrant assessment of neglect or emotional abuse as a potential underlying cause.


Assuntos
Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade/diagnóstico , Maus-Tratos Infantis/psicologia , Comportamento Infantil/psicologia , Depressão/diagnóstico , Adaptação Psicológica , Adolescente , Criança , Desenvolvimento Infantil , Cognição , Escolaridade , Emoções , Humanos , Habilidades Sociais
12.
Epidemiol Infect ; 142(2): 234-8, 2014 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23611492

RESUMO

Sindbis virus (SINV), the prototype positive-sense RNA alphavirus, causes febrile arthritis and is present throughout Afro-Eurasia. Little is known of the epidemiology of Sindbis fever due to insufficient surveillance in most endemic countries. The epidemiological features of Sindbis fever in humans in South Africa are described here based on a retrospective study of suspected arbovirus cases submitted for laboratory investigation from 2006 to 2010. Cases were detected annually mostly during the late summer/early autumn months and an increase in cases was noted for 2010, coinciding with an outbreak of Rift Valley fever. Cases were reported most often from the central plateau of South Africa and involved mostly males. No severe or fatal cases were reported and cases were associated with febrile arthralgia as commonly reported for SINV infection. Further surveillance is required to reveal the true extent of the morbidity of Sindbis fever in South Africa.


Assuntos
Infecções por Alphavirus/epidemiologia , Sindbis virus , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Infecções por Alphavirus/transmissão , Infecções por Alphavirus/virologia , Animais , Criança , Culex/virologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estações do Ano , Fatores Sexuais , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
13.
Clin Exp Allergy ; 43(6): 599-607, 2013 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23711121

RESUMO

A variety of hypotheses have been proposed to explain the recently described increase in food allergy among children living in developed countries. In this study, we summarize the emerging risk factors for IgE-mediated food allergy in early life, and then review the evidence for and against an association between low vitamin status (VDS) and food allergy. We consider whether each of the epidemiological variables that have been associated with food allergy may also be associated with VDS; and argue that future studies must adequately account for the potential relationships between risk factors for food allergy and VDS, and must also discriminate between vitamin D derived by sun exposure, diet and oral supplementation.


Assuntos
Hipersensibilidade Alimentar/etiologia , Hipersensibilidade Alimentar/metabolismo , Vitamina D/metabolismo , Humanos , Imunoglobulina E/imunologia , Fatores de Risco , Deficiência de Vitamina D/imunologia
14.
Phys Rev Lett ; 111(24): 245001, 2013 Dec 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24483668

RESUMO

We show that the interaction of relativistic-intensity, picosecond laser pulses with solid targets is affected by the reflected light through the strong currents and 10(4) T magnetic fields it produces. Three-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations, with the axisymmetry broken by a small angle of incidence, show that these magnetic fields deflect the laser-accelerated electrons away from the incident laser axis. This directly impacts the interpretation of electron divergence and directionality in applications such as laser-driven ion acceleration or fast-ignition inertial fusion.

15.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 94(3): 033511, 2023 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37012804

RESUMO

High-power, short-pulse laser-driven fast electrons can rapidly heat and ionize a high-density target before it hydrodynamically expands. The transport of such electrons within a solid target has been studied using two-dimensional (2D) imaging of electron-induced Kα radiation. However, it is currently limited to no or picosecond scale temporal resolutions. Here, we demonstrate femtosecond time-resolved 2D imaging of fast electron transport in a solid copper foil using the SACLA x-ray free electron laser (XFEL). An unfocused collimated x-ray beam produced transmission images with sub-micron and ∼10 fs resolutions. The XFEL beam, tuned to its photon energy slightly above the Cu K-edge, enabled 2D imaging of transmission changes induced by electron isochoric heating. Time-resolved measurements obtained by varying the time delay between the x-ray probe and the optical laser show that the signature of the electron-heated region expands at ∼25% of the speed of light in a picosecond duration. Time-integrated Cu Kα images support the electron energy and propagation distance observed with the transmission imaging. The x-ray near-edge transmission imaging with a tunable XFEL beam could be broadly applicable for imaging isochorically heated targets by laser-driven relativistic electrons, energetic protons, or an intense x-ray beam.

16.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 94(2): 023507, 2023 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36859040

RESUMO

The PROBIES diagnostic is a new, highly flexible, imaging and energy spectrometer designed for laser-accelerated protons. The diagnostic can detect low-mode spatial variations in the proton beam profile while resolving multiple energies on a single detector or more. When a radiochromic film stack is employed for "single-shot mode," the energy resolution of the stack can be greatly increased while reducing the need for large numbers of films; for example, a recently deployed version allowed for 180 unique energy measurements spanning ∼3 to 75 MeV with <0.4 MeV resolution using just 20 films vs 180 for a comparable traditional film and filter stack. When utilized with a scintillator, the diagnostic can be run in high-rep-rate (>Hz rate) mode to recover nine proton energy bins. We also demonstrate a deep learning-based method to analyze data from synthetic PROBIES images with greater than 95% accuracy on sub-millisecond timescales and retrained with experimental data to analyze real-world images on sub-millisecond time-scales with comparable accuracy.

17.
Phys Rev Lett ; 109(19): 195005, 2012 Nov 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23215393

RESUMO

We study the interaction of intense petawatt laser pulses with overdense plasma over several picoseconds, using two- and three-dimensional kinetic particle simulations. Sustained irradiation with non-diffraction-limited pulses at relativistic intensities yields conditions that differ qualitatively from what is experimentally available today. Nonlinear saturation of laser-driven density perturbations at the target surface causes recurrent emissions of plasma, which stabilize the surface and keep absorption continuously high. This dynamics leads to the acceleration of three distinct groups of electrons up to energies many times the laser ponderomotive potential. We discuss their energy distribution for applications like the fast-ignition approach to inertial confinement fusion.


Assuntos
Lasers , Gases em Plasma/química , Campos Magnéticos , Dinâmica não Linear , Refratometria/instrumentação , Termodinâmica
18.
Phys Rev Lett ; 108(11): 115004, 2012 Mar 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22540481

RESUMO

The effect of increasing prepulse energy levels on the energy spectrum and coupling into forward-going electrons is evaluated in a cone-guided fast-ignition relevant geometry using cone-wire targets irradiated with a high intensity (10(20) W/cm(2)) laser pulse. Hot electron temperature and flux are inferred from Kα images and yields using hybrid particle-in-cell simulations. A two-temperature distribution of hot electrons was required to fit the full profile, with the ratio of energy in a higher energy (MeV) component increasing with a larger prepulse. As prepulse energies were increased from 8 mJ to 1 J, overall coupling from laser to all hot electrons entering the wire was found to fall from 8.4% to 2.5% while coupling into only the 1-3 MeV electrons dropped from 0.57% to 0.03%.

19.
Phys Rev Lett ; 109(14): 145006, 2012 Oct 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23083255

RESUMO

A novel time-resolved diagnostic is used to record the critical surface motion during picosecond-scale relativistic laser interaction with a solid target. Single-shot measurements of the specular light show a redshift decreasing with time during the interaction, corresponding to a slowing-down of the hole boring process into overdense plasma. On-shot full characterization of the laser pulse enables simulations of the experiment without any free parameters. Two-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations yield redshifts that agree with the data, and support a simple explanation of the slowing-down of the critical surface based on momentum conservation between ions and reflected laser light.

20.
Nature ; 443(7113): 811-7, 2006 Oct 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17051208

RESUMO

The continental crust covers nearly a third of the Earth's surface. It is buoyant--being less dense than the crust under the surrounding oceans--and is compositionally evolved, dominating the Earth's budget for those elements that preferentially partition into silicate liquid during mantle melting. Models for the differentiation of the continental crust can provide insights into how and when it was formed, and can be used to show that the composition of the basaltic protolith to the continental crust is similar to that of the average lower crust. From the late Archaean to late Proterozoic eras (some 3-1 billion years ago), much of the continental crust appears to have been generated in pulses of relatively rapid growth. Reconciling the sedimentary and igneous records for crustal evolution indicates that it may take up to one billion years for new crust to dominate the sedimentary record. Combining models for the differentiation of the crust and the residence time of elements in the upper crust indicates that the average rate of crust formation is some 2-3 times higher than most previous estimates.

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