Estimating the Allocation of the Economic Value Generated by Utilization of All-Oral Direct-Acting Antivirals for Hepatitis C in the United States, 2015 to 2019.

OBJECTIVES: Between 2013 to 2019, several all-oral direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) were launched with the potential to cure patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV). They generated economic value in terms of the health gains for patients and cost-savings for the US healthcare system. We estimated the share of this value allocated to 4 manufacturers vs society. METHODS: For 2015 to 2019, we estimated the incremental impact of DAAs on HCV health outcomes and costs. We used the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation Polaris Observatory database to estimate utilization. Per-patient projections of lifetime quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained and medical costs avoided were based on a standard 9-state HCV disease-progression model for DAA treatment vs alternatives. Annual QALY gains were valued at $114 000 per QALY. Outcomes and costs were discounted at 3%. Estimated revenues were based on reported sales. RESULTS: An estimated 1 080 000 patients received DAAs: 81.5% would not have received the pre-DAA standard of care. On average, these patients were projected to gain 4.4 QALYs and save $104 400 in lifetime healthcare costs, generating $531.8 billion in value. Those who would have received treatment gained 1.7 QALYs and saved $41 500 in lifetime costs, generating $47.4 billion in economic value. As treatment costs fell nearly 75%, the 4 manufacturers reported $37.4 billion from DAA sales-an allocation of 6.5% of the total value. CONCLUSIONS: The significant majority (∼90%) of the economic value of curing HCV with DAAs were health benefits to patients and net cost-savings to society. DAA manufacturers received a minority share (6.5%) of the aggregate economic value generated.

Perspectives on Adherence From the ACTG 5360 MINMON Trial: A Minimum Monitoring Approach With 12 Weeks of Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir in Chronic Hepatitis C Treatment.

BACKGROUND: With the advent of efficacious oral direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), identification of characteristics associated with adherence is critical to treatment success. We examined correlates of sub-optimal adherence to HCV therapy in a single-arm, multinational, clinical trial. METHODS: ACTG A5360 enrolled HCV treatment-naive persons without decompensated cirrhosis from 5 countries. All participants received a 12-weeks course of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir at entry. In-person visits occurred at initiation and week 24, sustained virologic response (SVR) assessment. Adherence at week 4 was collected remotely and was dichotomized optimal (100%, no missed doses) versus sub-optimal (<100%). Correlates of sub-optimal adherence were explored using logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 400 participants enrolled; 399 initiated treatment; 395/397 (99%) reported completing at week 24. Median age was 47 years with 35% female. Among the 368 reporting optimal adherence at week 4 SVR was 96.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] [94.1%, 97.9%]) vs 77.8% (95% CI [59.2%, 89.4%]) P value < .001. In the multivariate model age <30 years and being a US participant were independently associated with early sub-optimal adherence. Participants <30 years were 7.1 times more likely to have early sub-optimal adherence compared to their older counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported optimal adherence at week 4 was associated with SVR. Early self-reported adherence could be used to identify those at higher risk of treatment failure and may benefit from additional support. Younger individuals <30 years may also be prioritized for additional adherence support. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT03512210.

Efficacy and Safety of Ledipasvir/Sofosbuvir With and Without Ribavirin in Patients With Chronic HCV Genotype 1 Infection Receiving Opioid Substitution Therapy: Analysis of Phase 3 ION Trials.

BACKGROUND: Interferon-based hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy is safe and effective among people receiving opioid substitution therapy (OST), but treatment uptake remains low. Our aim was to evaluate the impact of OST and drug use during therapy on completion, adherence, sustained virologic response (SVR12), and safety of ledipasvir/sofosbuvir ± ribavirin. METHODS: The phase 3 ION studies evaluated a fixed-dose combination of ledipasvir/sofosbuvir ± ribavirin administered for 8, 12, or 24 weeks in patients with chronic HCV genotype 1. People with clinically significant drug use (prior 12 months) or noncannabinoids detected at screening by urine drug tests (not explained by prescriptions) were ineligible. Stored samples were available from ION-1 for retrospective testing for illicit drugs by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: Among 1952 patients enrolled in the ION studies, 4% (n = 70) were receiving OST. Among those receiving (n = 70) and not receiving OST (n = 1882), there was no difference in treatment completion (97% vs 98%; P = .40), ≥80% adherence (93% vs 92%; P = 1.00), SVR12 (94% vs 97%; P = .28), and serious adverse events (4% vs 3%; P = .43), respectively. Among participants in the ION-1 trial, 23% (n = 196) used illicit drugs during therapy (15% cannabinoids alone; 8% other illicit drugs ± cannabinoids). There was no difference in treatment completion, ≥80% adherence, SVR12, or serious AEs in those with no drug use during treatment compared with those who used cannabinoids and/or other illicit drugs. No cases of HCV reinfection were observed in the 24 weeks following treatment. CONCLUSIONS: OST and drug use during HCV therapy did not impact treatment completion, adherence, SVR12, or safety. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: ION-1 (NCT01701401); ION-2 (NCT01768286); and ION-3 (NCT01851330).

Finding undiagnosed patients with hepatitis C virus: an application of machine learning to US ambulatory electronic medical records.

AIMS: To develop and validate a machine learning (ML) algorithm to identify undiagnosed hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients, in order to facilitate prioritisation of patients for targeted HCV screening. METHODS: This retrospective study used ambulatory electronic medical records (EMR) from January 2015 to February 2020. A Gradient Boosting Trees algorithm was trained using patient records to predict initial HCV diagnosis and was validated on a temporally independent held-out cross-section of the data. The fold improvement in precision (proportion of patients identified by the algorithm who are HCV positive) over universal screening was examined and compared with risk-based screening. RESULTS: 21 508 positive (HCV diagnosed) and 28.2M unlabelled (lacking evidence of HCV diagnosis) patients met the inclusion criteria for the study. After down-sampling unlabelled patients to aid the algorithm's learning process, 16.2M unlabelled patients entered the analysis. Performance of the algorithm was compared with universal screening on the held-out cross-section, which had an incidence of HCV diagnoses of 0.02%. The algorithm achieved a 101.0 ×, 18.0 × and 5.1 × fold improvement in precision over universal screening at 5%, 20% and 50% levels of recall. When compared with risk-based screening, the algorithm required fewer patients to be screened and improved precision. CONCLUSIONS: This study presents strong evidence towards the use of ML on EMR data for the prioritisation of patients for targeted HCV testing with potential to improve efficiency of resource utilisation, thereby reducing the workload for clinicians and saving healthcare costs. A prospective interventional study would allow for further validation before use in a clinical setting.

Long-term entecavir therapy results in the reversal of fibrosis/cirrhosis and continued histological improvement in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

UNLABELLED: One year of treatment with entecavir (0.5 mg daily) in nucleoside-naive patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive or HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHB) resulted in significantly improved liver histology and virological and biochemical endpoints in comparison with lamivudine. Patients who received at least 3 years of cumulative entecavir therapy in phase 3 studies and a long-term rollover study and underwent long-term liver biopsy were evaluated for improvements in histological appearance. Sixty-nine patients [50 HBeAg-positive and 19 HBeAg-negative] receiving entecavir therapy underwent long-term liver biopsy (median time of biopsy = 6 years, range = 3-7 years). Histological improvement was analyzed for 57 patients who had adequate baseline biopsy samples, baseline Knodell necroinflammatory scores > or =2, and adequate long-term biopsy samples. At the time of long-term biopsy, all patients in the cohort had a hepatitis B virus DNA level <300 copies/mL, and 86% had a normalized alanine aminotransferase level. Histological improvement (> or =2-point decrease in the Knodell necroinflammatory score and no worsening of the Knodell fibrosis score) was observed in 96% of patients, and a > or =1-point improvement in the Ishak fibrosis score was found in 88% of patients, including all 10 patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at the phase 3 baseline. CONCLUSION: The majority of nucleoside-naive patients with CHB who were treated with entecavir in this long-term cohort achieved substantial histological improvement and regression of fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Entecavir therapy for lamivudine-refractory chronic hepatitis B: improved virologic, biochemical, and serology outcomes through 96 weeks.

UNLABELLED: In hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B patients who were refractory to current lamivudine therapy, switching to entecavir was superior to continued lamivudine at week 48 for histologic improvement, viral load reduction by polymerase chain reaction and alanine aminotransferase normalization. We assessed the efficacy, safety, and resistance profile of entecavir through 96 weeks of treatment. A total of 286 patients were randomized and treated with entecavir 1 mg (n = 141) or continued lamivudine 100 mg (n = 145). At week 52, 77 entecavir-treated patients who had a protocol-defined virologic response (HBV branched DNA [bDNA] < 0.7 MEq/mL but HBeAg-positive) continued blinded therapy for up to 96 weeks. Patients were assessed for efficacy, safety, and emerging resistance. Cumulative proportions of all treated patients who achieved confirmed efficacy endpoints were also analyzed. Between week 48 and the end of dosing, the proportions of patients with HBV DNA <300 copies/mL by polymerase chain reaction increased from 21% to 40%, and alanine aminotransferase normalization (< or =1x upper limit of normal) increased from 65% to 81%. In the second year, HBeAg seroconversion was achieved by 10% of patients. Of the 77 patients in the second year treatment cohort, entecavir resistance emerged in six patients, and seven experienced virologic breakthrough (five with genotypic resistance acquired before year 2). The safety profile of entecavir in the second year of therapy was consistent with that reported during year 1. CONCLUSION: Through 96 weeks of treatment, 1 mg entecavir resulted in continued clinical benefit in lamivudine-refractory HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients with a safety profile comparable to lamivudine.

Cross-study analysis of the relative efficacies of oral antiviral therapies for chronic hepatitis B infection in nucleoside-naive patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Lamivudine and adefovir were approved for treatment of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection based on placebo-controlled trials, and entecavir was recently approved on the basis of its superiority over lamivudine in phase II/III trials; however, to date, these three therapies have not been compared head to head. METHODS: To evaluate the relative efficacy of these therapies, we applied a predefined protocol of established statistical techniques to compare data from phase III entecavir trials with published clinical trial results with lamivudine, adefovir and placebo in nucleoside-naive hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive and -negative populations. RESULTS: A comprehensive literature search identified 612 publications/data sources, of which 28 satisfied predefined inclusion criteria. Independent reviewers extracted week 48-52 histological, virological, biochemical and serological endpoints from these sources, which were analysed with a fixed-effects model. For each of the three histological endpoints in HBeAg-positive patients (Histological Improvement, Ranked Assessment of Necroinflammation [RA-N] and Ranked Assessment of Fibrosis [RA-F]), entecavir was superior to adefovir. Entecavir was superior to lamivudine for Histological Improvement and comparable to lamivudine for RA-N and RA-F. With respect to reducing HBV DNA levels, entecavir (-6.98 log(10) copies/mL) was more effective than lamivudine (-5.46 log(10) copies/mL, p < 0.0001) and adefovir (-3.60 log(10) copies/mL, p < 0.0001), and lamivudine was more effective than adefovir (p < 0.0001). The parallel goals of HBV DNA reduction below the limit of quantitation (LOQ) [by polymerase chain reaction] and ALT normalisation were achieved more often with entecavir (69% and 67% of patients, respectively) than with lamivudine (38% and 59%, respectively; p < 0.0001 and p < 0.05, respectively) or adefovir (21% and 48%, respectively; both p < 0.0001), and more often with lamivudine than with adefovir (p < 0.0001 and p < 0.05, respectively). HBeAg seroconversion rates were higher with entecavir (21% of patients) and lamivudine (18%) than with adefovir (12%, p < 0.01 and p < 0.05, respectively). For each of the three histological endpoints in the HBeAg-negative population, entecavir was comparable to adefovir. Entecavir was superior to lamivudine for Histological Improvement, and comparable to lamivudine for RA-N and RA-F, and all three antivirals were superior to placebo. Entecavir proved superior to lamivudine and adefovir in lowering HBV DNA levels (-5.20 vs -4.66 vs -3.91 log(10) copies/mL, respectively; p < 0.0005 and p < 0.0001, respectively) and in suppressing HBV DNA below the LOQ (91% vs 73% vs 51% of patients, respectively; both p < 0.0001); in the latter respect, lamivudine was in turn superior to adefovir (p < 0.0001). Entecavir was also superior to lamivudine in normalising ALT (76% vs 69% patients, respectively; p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Over a 12-month treatment period, this analysis predicts that the antiviral efficacy of entecavir would be superior to that of lamivudine, which in turn would be superior to that of adefovir, in nucleoside-naive patients with chronic HBV infection.

Entecavir for treatment of lamivudine-refractory, HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Lamivudine treatment is associated with frequent development of resistant hepatitis B virus (HBV) and loss of treatment benefit. In preclinical and phase II studies, entecavir demonstrated potent antiviral activity against lamivudine-resistant HBV. METHODS: In this phase III, double-blind trial, hepatitis B e antigen-positive patients who were refractory to lamivudine therapy (persistent viremia or documented YMDD mutations while receiving lamivudine) were randomized to switch to entecavir 1 mg daily (n = 141) or continue lamivudine 100 mg daily (n = 145) for a minimum of 52 weeks. Two coprimary end points were assessed at 48 weeks: histologic improvement and a composite end point (HBV branched DNA <0.7 MEq/mL and alanine aminotransferase [ALT] <1.25 times the upper limit of normal). RESULTS: Histologic improvement occurred in 55% (68/124) of entecavir-treated vs 28% (32/116) of lamivudine-treated patients (P < .0001). More patients on entecavir than lamivudine achieved the composite end point: 55% (77/141) vs 4% (6/145), respectively (P < .0001). Mean change from baseline in HBV DNA was -5.11 log(10) copies/mL for entecavir-treated patients and -0.48 log(10) copies/mL for lamivudine-treated patients (P < .0001). Virologic rebound because of entecavir resistance substitutions occurred in 2 of 141 of entecavir-treated patients, and genotypic evidence of resistance was detected in 10 patients. The safety profile of entecavir was comparable to lamivudine with fewer ALT flares on treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with lamivudine-refractory chronic hepatitis B, switching to entecavir provides superior histologic improvement, viral load reduction, and ALT normalization compared with continuing lamivudine, with a comparable adverse event profile.