RESUMO
Globally, the rollout of COVID-19 vaccine had been faced with a significant barrier in the form of vaccine hesitancy. This study adopts a multi-stage perspective to explore the prevalence and determinants of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, focusing on their dynamic evolutionary features. Guided by the integrated framework of the 3Cs model (complacency, confidence, and convenience) and the EAH model (environmental, agent, and host), this study conducted three repeated national cross-sectional surveys. These surveys carried out from July 2021 to February 2023 across mainland China, targeted individuals aged 18 and older. They were strategically timed to coincide with three critical vaccination phases: universal coverage (stage 1), partial coverage (stage 2), and key population coverage (stage 3). From 2021 to 2023, the surveys examined sample sizes of 29 925, 6659, and 5407, respectively. The COVID-19 vaccine hesitation rates increased from 8.39% in 2021 to 29.72% in 2023. Urban residency, chronic condition, and low trust in vaccine developer contributed to significant COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy across the pandemic. Negative correlations between the intensity of vaccination policies and vaccine hesitancy, and positive correlations between vaccine hesitancy and long COVID, were confirmed. This study provides insights for designing future effective vaccination programs for emerging vaccine-preventable infectious X diseases.
Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Hesitação Vacinal , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , China/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Estudos Transversais , População do Leste Asiático , Inquéritos e Questionários , Vacinação/psicologia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Hesitação Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Hesitação Vacinal/psicologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Healthy lifestyle behaviors (LBs) have been widely recommended for the prevention and management of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Despite a large number of studies exploring the association between combined LBs and CVD, a notable gap exists in integration of relevant literatures. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies to analyze the correlation between combined LBs and the occurrence of CVD, as well as to estimate the risk of various health complications in individuals already diagnosed with CVD. METHODS: Articles published up to February 10, 2023 were sourced through PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science. Eligible prospective cohort studies that reported the relations of combined LBs with pre-determined outcomes were included. Summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using either a fixed or random-effects model. Subgroup analysis, meta-regression, publication bias, and sensitivity analysis were as well performed. RESULTS: In the general population, individuals with the healthiest combination of LBs exhibited a significant risk reduction of 58% for CVD and 55% for CVD mortality. For individuals diagnosed with CVD, adherence to the healthiest combination of LBs corresponded to a significant risk reduction of 62% for CVD recurrence and 67% for all-cause mortality, when compared to those with the least-healthy combination of LBs. In the analysis of dose-response relationship, for each increment of 1 healthy LB, there was a corresponding decrease in risk of 17% for CVD and 19% for CVD mortality within the general population. Similarly, among individuals diagnosed with CVD, each additional healthy LB was associated with a risk reduction of 27% for CVD recurrence and 27% for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Adopting healthy LBs is associated with substantial risk reduction in CVD, CVD mortality, and adverse outcomes among individuals diagnosed with CVD. Rather than focusing solely on individual healthy LB, it is advisable to advocate for the adoption of multiple LBs for the prevention and management of CVD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD42023431731.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Estilo de Vida , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Prognóstico , Estilo de Vida Saudável , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Exercício Físico , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento de Redução do RiscoRESUMO
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether chronic diseases are associated with higher COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and explore factors that influence COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in patients with chronic diseases. BACKGROUND: Vaccine hesitancy has been acknowledged as one of the greatest hazards to public health. However, little information is available about COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among patients with chronic diseases who may be more susceptible to COVID-19 infection, severe disease or death. METHODS: From 6 to 9 August 2021, we performed an internet-based cross-sectional survey with 22,954 participants (14.78% participants with chronic diseases). Propensity score matching with 1:1 nearest neighbourhood was used to reduce confounding factors between patients with chronic diseases and the general population. Using a multivariable logistic regression model, the factors impacting COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy were identified among patients with chronic diseases. RESULTS: Both before and after propensity score matching, patients with chronic diseases had higher COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy than the general population. In addition, self-reported poor health, multiple chronic diseases, lower sociodemographic backgrounds and lower trust in nurses and doctors were associated with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among patients with chronic diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with chronic diseases were more hesitant about the COVID-19 vaccine. Nurses should focus on patients with chronic diseases with poor health conditions, low socioeconomic backgrounds and low trust in the healthcare system. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Clinical nurses are recommended to not only pay more attention to the health status and sociodemographic characteristics of patients with chronic diseases but also build trust between nurses and patients by improving service levels and professional capabilities in clinical practice. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: Patients or the public were not involved in setting the research question, the outcome measures, or the design or implementation of the study. However, all participants were invited to complete the digital informed consent and questionnaires.
Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Pontuação de Propensão , Hesitação Vacinal , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Masculino , Feminino , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/psicologia , Doença Crônica/psicologia , Adulto , Hesitação Vacinal/psicologia , Hesitação Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Internet , Inquéritos e Questionários , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The increasing prevalence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) has imposed a considerable economic burden. However, there remains a paucity of relevant evidence regarding the hospitalization costs of COPD cases. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to assess the hospitalization costs among COPD cases and investigate the factors that contribute to their costs in Henan Province, China. METHODS: We enrolled a total of 1697 cases who were discharged with a diagnosis of COPD from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020, into the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics of the cases were obtained from the hospital information system (HIS) of two large tertiary hospitals in Henan Province, China. The factors associated with hospitalization costs were examined using a multiple linear regression model. RESULTS: Total hospitalization costs of 1697 COPD cases were $5,419,011, and the median was $1952 (IQR:2031). Out-of-pocket fees accounted for 43.95% of the total hospitalization costs, and the median was $938 (IQR:956). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that hospitalization costs were higher among older cases, cases with more comorbidities, and cases with longer length of stay. Furthermore, hospitalization costs were higher in cases who paid through private expenses compared to those covered by Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance. Additionally, we found that cases admitted through an outpatient clinic had higher hospitalization costs than those admitted through the emergency department. CONCLUSION: Hospitalization costs of COPD cases are substantial. Strategies to reduce hospitalization costs, such as shortening LOS, optimizing payment plans, and preventing or managing complications, should be implemented to alleviate the economic burden associated with COPD hospitalizations.
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Hospitalização , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Humanos , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/terapia , Comorbidade , China/epidemiologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
To estimate the associations between single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and methylation of SLC30A8 gene and T2DM risk, and the interactions among SNPs, methylation, and environmental factors on T2DM risk. We genotyped 9 SNPs and tested methylation at 46 CpG loci of SLC30A8 in the baseline DNA of 290 T2DM cases and 290 matched controls nested in the Rural Chinese Cohort Study. A conditional logistic regression model was used to estimate the associations between SNPs and SLC30A8 methylation and T2DM risk. Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction analysis was used to estimate the effect of interactions among SNPs, methylation, and environment on T2DM risk. Probability of T2DM was decreased with rs11558471 (GG vs. AA, OR = 0.55, 95% CI 0.32, 0.96), with rs13266634 (TT vs. CC, OR = 0.55, 95% CI 0.32, 0.94), with rs3802177 (AA vs. GG, OR = 0.54, 95%CI 0.31, 0.94), and its probability was increased with rs2466293 of SLC30A8 (GA vs. AA, OR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.08-2.47). Its probability was also significantly associated with methylation of CG9 and CG45 (OR = 0.56 [95% CI 0.33-0.97] and 1.61 [95%CI 1.03--2.51]). T2DM probability was significantly associated with the interaction effect between rs2466293 and hypertension (p = 0.045). T2DM probability was also significantly associated with the combination effects of rs2466293 with BMI, hypertension, and hypertriglyceridemia, with the combination effects of hypertriglyceridemia with rs11558471, rs13266634, and methylation of CG45.
Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipertensão , Hipertrigliceridemia , Humanos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Genótipo , Metilação , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Probabilidade , Transportador 8 de Zinco/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the joint effect of physical activity (PA) and blood lipid levels on all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 17,236 participants from the Rural Chinese Cohort Study. Cox's proportional-hazards regression models were used to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between the joint effect of PA and blood lipid levels and risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. Restricted cubic splines were used to estimate the dose-response relationship of PA with risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. During a median follow-up of 6.01 years there were 1106 deaths (484 from CVD) among participants. For all-cause mortality, compared with the group with dyslipidemia and extremely light PA (ELPA), the HRs with dyslipidemia and light PA (LPA), moderate PA (MPA), and heavy PA (HPA) were 0.56 (95% CI 0.45-0.70), 0.59 (0.46-0.75), and 0.59 (0.45-0.78), respectively, while the HRs of groups with normal lipid levels and ELPA, LPA, MPA, and HPA were 0.88 (0.72-1.04), 0.59 (0.48-0.73), 0.53 (0.41-0.67), and 0.38 (0.29-0.50), respectively. We observed similar effects on CVD mortality. Restricted cubic splines showed a curvilinear relationship between PA and risk of all-cause and CVD mortality with normal lipid levels and with dyslipidemia. CONCLUSION: Higher PA reduces the risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. Higher levels of PA are needed in the population.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Humanos , Lipídeos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Prediction of low Apgar score for vaginal deliveries following labor induction intervention is critical for improving neonatal health outcomes. We set out to investigate important attributes and train popular machine learning (ML) algorithms to correctly classify neonates with a low Apgar scores from an imbalanced learning perspective. METHODS: We analyzed 7716 induced vaginal deliveries from the electronic birth registry of the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC). 733 (9.5%) of which constituted of low (< 7) Apgar score neonates. The 'extra-tree classifier' was used to assess features' importance. We used Area Under Curve (AUC), recall, precision, F-score, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), balanced accuracy (BA), bookmaker informedness (BM), and markedness (MK) to evaluate the performance of the selected six (6) machine learning classifiers. To address class imbalances, we examined three widely used resampling techniques: the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and Random Oversampling Examples (ROS) and Random undersampling techniques (RUS). We applied Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) to evaluate the net benefit of the selected classifiers. RESULTS: Birth weight, maternal age, and gestational age were found to be important predictors for the low Apgar score following induced vaginal delivery. SMOTE, ROS and and RUS techniques were more effective at improving "recalls" among other metrics in all the models under investigation. A slight improvement was observed in the F1 score, BA, and BM. DCA revealed potential benefits of applying Boosting method for predicting low Apgar scores among the tested models. CONCLUSION: There is an opportunity for more algorithms to be tested to come up with theoretical guidance on more effective rebalancing techniques suitable for this particular imbalanced ratio. Future research should prioritize a debate on which performance indicators to look up to when dealing with imbalanced or skewed data.
Assuntos
Parto Obstétrico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Índice de Apgar , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Trabalho de Parto Induzido , Gravidez , Tanzânia , Centros de Atenção TerciáriaRESUMO
To explore whether DNA methylation of the ATP-binding cassette G1 (ABCG1) gene and its dynamic change are associated with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We conducted a nested case-control study with 286 pairs of T2DM cases and matched controls nested in the Rural Chinese Cohort Study. Conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident T2DM risk according to ABCG1 methylation level at baseline and its dynamic change at follow-up examination. Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were used to analyze the association between ABCG1 methylation and its possible risk factors in the control group. We found that T2DM risk increased by 16% (OR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.02-1.31) with each 1% increase in DNA methylation levels of the ABCG1 loci CpG13 and CpG14. DNA methylation change of the ABCG1 locus CpG15 during the 6-year follow-up was associated with increased T2DM risk: T2DM risk increased by 78% in the upper tertile group (methylation gain ≥5%) versus lower tertile group (methylation gain <1%) (OR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.01-3.15). Furthermore, body mass index was positively correlated with the DNA methylation level of the ABCG1 loci CpG13, CpG14 and CpG15. In conclusion, DNA methylation levels of the ABCG1 loci CpG13 and CpG14 and the methylation gain of locus CpG15 were positively associated with incident T2DM risk, which may suggest a possible etiologic pattern for T2DM and potentially improve T2DM prediction in rural Chinese people.
Assuntos
Membro 1 da Subfamília G de Transportadores de Cassetes de Ligação de ATP/genética , Povo Asiático/genética , Metilação de DNA , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Glicemia/análise , Índice de Massa Corporal , Estudos de Casos e Controles , China , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/patologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The evidence of the association between Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is limited. We explored the association of CVAI with T2DM and directly compared with the predictive power of CVAI with other visceral obesity indices (visceral adiposity index, waist to height ratio, waist circumference and body mass index) based on a large prospective study. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study of 12 237 Chinese participants. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between CVAI and T2DM. RESULTS: During follow-up (median: 6.01 years), the incidence of T2DM was 3.29, 7.34, 12.37 and 23.72 per 1000 person-years for quartiles 1, 2, 3 and 4 of CVAI, respectively. The risk of T2DM was increased with quartiles 2, 3 and 4 vs quartile 1 of CVAI (HR 2.12 [95% CI 1.50-3.00], 2.94 [2.10-4.13] and 5.01 [3.57-7.04], Ptrend < 0.001). Per-SD increase in CVAI was associated with a 72% increased risk of T2DM (HR 1.72 [95% CI 1.56-1.88]). Sensitivity analyses did not alter the association. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve was significantly higher for CVAI than other visceral obesity indices (all P <.001). Similar results were observed in stratified analyses by sex. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show a positive association between CVAI and risk of T2DM. CVAI has the best performance in predicting incident T2DM, so the index might be a reliable and applicable indicator identifying people at high risk of T2DM.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Gordura Intra-Abdominal , Obesidade Abdominal , China/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Humanos , Gordura Intra-Abdominal/fisiologia , Obesidade Abdominal/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
The present study aimed to investigate the association of the Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and its 6-year change with hypertension risk and compare the ability of CVAI and other obesity indices to predict hypertension based on the Rural Chinese Cohort Study. Study participants were randomly recruited by a cluster sampling procedure, and 10 304 participants ≥18 years were included. Modified Poisson regression was used to derive adjusted relative risks (RR) and 95 % CI. We identified 2072 hypertension cases during a median of 6·03 years of follow-up. The RR for the highest v. lowest CVAI quartile were 1·29 (95 % CI 1·05, 1·59) for men and 1·53 (95 % CI 1·22, 1·91) for women. Per-sd increase in CVAI was associated with hypertension for both men (RR 1·09, 95 % CI 1·02, 1·16) and women (RR 1·14, 95 % CI 1·06, 1·22). Also, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value for hypertension was higher for CVAI than the four other obesity indices for both sexes (all P < 0·05). Finally, per-sd increase in CVAI change was associated with hypertension for both men (RR 1·26, 95 % CI 1·16, 1·36) and women (RR 1·23, 95 % CI 1·15, 1·30). Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses. CVAI and its 6-year change are positively associated with hypertension risk. CVAI has better performance in predicting hypertension than other visceral obesity indices for both sexes. The current findings suggest CVAI as a reliable and applicable predictor of hypertension in rural Chinese adults.
Assuntos
Hipertensão , Obesidade Abdominal , Adiposidade , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/etiologia , Masculino , Obesidade Abdominal/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , População Rural , Circunferência da CinturaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The impact of baseline hypertension status on the BMI-mortality association is still unclear. We aimed to examine the moderation effect of hypertension on the BMI-mortality association using a rural Chinese cohort. DESIGN: In this cohort study, we investigated the incident of mortality according to different BMI categories by hypertension status. SETTING: Longitudinal population-based cohort. PARTICIPANTS: 17 262 adults ≥18 years were recruited from July to August of 2013 and July to August of 2014 from a rural area in China. RESULTS: During a median 6-year follow-up, we recorded 1109 deaths (610 with and 499 without hypertension). In adjusted models, as compared with BMI 22-24 kg/m2, with BMI ≤ 18, 18-20, 20-22, 24-26, 26-28, 28-30 and >30 kg/m2, the hazard ratios for mortality in normotensive participants were 1·92 (95% CI 1·23, 3·00), 1·44 (95% CI 1·01, 2·05), 1·14 (95% CI 0·82, 1·58), 0·96 (95% CI 0·70, 1·31), 0·96 (95% CI 0·65, 1·43), 1·32 (95% CI 0·81, 2·14) and 1·32 (95% CI 0·74, 2·35), respectively, and in hypertensive participants were 1·85 (95% CI 1·08, 3·17), 1·67 (95% CI 1·17, 2·39), 1·29 (95% CI 0·95, 1·75), 1·20 (95% CI 0·91, 1·58), 1·10 (95% CI 0·83, 1·46), 1·10 (95% CI 0·80, 1·52) and 0·61 (95% CI 0·40, 0·94), respectively. The risk of mortality was lower in individuals with hypertension with overweight or obesity v. normal weight, especially in older hypertensives (≥60 years old). Sensitivity analyses gave consistent results for both normotensive and hypertensive participants. CONCLUSIONS: Low BMI was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality regardless of hypertension status in rural Chinese adults, but high BMI decreased the mortality risk among individuals with hypertension, especially in older hypertensives.
Assuntos
Hipertensão , Adulto , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis from published cohort studies to examine the association of adult height and all-cause mortality and to further explore the dose-response association. METHODS: PubMed, The Cochrane Library, The Ovid, CNKI, CQVIP and Wanfang databases were searched for articles published from database inception to 6 February 2018. We used the DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model to estimate the quantitative association between adult height and all-cause mortality and the restricted cubic splines to model the dose-response association. RESULTS: We included 15 articles, with 1 533 438 death events and 2 854 543 study participants. For each 5-cm height increase below the average, the risk of all-cause mortality was reduced by 7% [relative risk (RR) = 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.89-0.97] for men and 5% (RR = 0.95, 95% CI, 0.90-0.99) for women. All-cause mortality had a U-shaped association with adult height, the lowest risk occurring at 174 cm for men and 158 cm for women (both Pnonlinearity < 0.001). Relative to the shortest adult height (147 cm for men and 137 cm for women), men at 174 cm had a 47% lower likelihood of all-cause mortality and women at 158 cm a 33% lower risk of all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that the relation between adult height and all-cause mortality is approximately U-shaped in both men and women.
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Estudos de Coortes , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Risco , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The level of outpatient satisfaction plays a significant role in improving the quality and utilization of healthcare services. Patient satisfaction gives providers insights into various aspects of services including the effectiveness of care and level of empathy. This study aimed to evaluate the level of patient satisfaction in the outpatient department and to explore its influencing factors in large hospitals (accommodating over 1000 beds) of Henan province, China. METHODS: We analyzed data from Henan Large Hospitals Patient Satisfaction Survey conducted in the year 2018 and included 630 outpatients. Structural Equation Model (SEM) was used to explore the relationship among evaluation indicators of outpatient satisfaction levels. We used Dynamic Matter-Element Analysis (DMA) to evaluate the status of outpatient satisfaction. Binary Logistic Regression (BLR) was adopted to estimate the impact of personal characteristics towards outpatient satisfaction. RESULTS: The overall score for outpatient satisfaction in large hospitals was 66.28±14.73. The mean outpatient satisfaction scores for normal-large, medium-large, and extra-large hospitals were 63.33±12.12, 70.11±16.10, 65.41±14.67, respectively, and were significantly different (F = 11.953, P < 0.001). Waiting time, doctor-patient communication, professional services, and accessibility for treatment information were shown to have directly positive correlations with outpatient satisfaction (r = 0.42, 0.47, 0.55, 0.46, all P < 0.05). Results from BLR analysis revealed that patients' age and frequency of hospital visits were the main characteristics influencing outpatient satisfaction (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The outpatient satisfaction of large hospitals is moderately low. Hospital managers could shorten the waiting time for outpatients and improve the access to treatment information to improve the satisfaction of outpatients. It is also necessary to enhance service provision for outpatients under the age of 18 as well as the first-time patients.
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Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Satisfação Pessoal , China , Hospitais , Humanos , Satisfação do PacienteRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Studies investigating the effect of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) on stroke and stroke subtypes have reached inconsistent conclusions. The purpose of our study was to clarify the dose-response association between HDL-C level and risk of total stroke and stroke subtypes by a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: We performed a systematic search of PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases through July 30, 2020, for prospective cohort studies that reported the HDL-C-stroke association and extracted the estimate that was adjusted for the greatest number of confounding factors. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate the linear and nonlinear dose-response associations. RESULTS: We included 29 articles, which reported on 62 prospective cohort studies including 900,501 study participants and 25,678 with stroke. The summary relative risk per 1-mmol/L increase in HDL-C level for total stroke was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.76-0.89; I2 = 42.9%; n = 18); ischemic stroke (IS), 0.75 (95% CI, 0.69-0.82; I2 = 50.1%; n = 22); intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), 1.21 (95% CI, 1.04-1.42; I2 = 33.4%; n = 10); and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), 0.98 (95% CI, 0.96-1.00; I2 = 0%; n = 7). We found a linear inverse association between HDL-C level and risk of total stroke and SAH, a nonlinear inverse association for IS risk, but a linear positive association for ICH risk. The strength and the direction of the effect size estimate for total stroke, IS, ICH, and SAH remained stable for most subgroups. We found no publication bias with Begg's test and Egger's test for the association of HDL-C level with risk of total stroke, IS, and ICH. CONCLUSION: A high HDL-C level is associated with reduced risk of total stroke and IS and an increased risk of ICH.
Assuntos
HDL-Colesterol/sangue , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/sangue , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Risco , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The study aimed to investigate the associations of baseline serum albumin level and its dynamic change with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk in a large Chinese cohort study. METHODS: This cohort study included 30 442 adults without T2DM at first entry, who completed at least one follow-up of annual examinations between 2009 and 2016. Serum albumin level was measured at baseline and at every annual check-up. The dynamic change in serum albumin level (∆ALB) was calculated by subtracting serum albumin level at baseline from that at the last follow-up. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with Cox regression models. RESULTS: During 7 years of follow-up, we identified 1634 T2DM events. From the lowest to the highest quartile of serum albumin level, adjusted HRs (95% CI) were 1.00 (reference), 0.96 (0.94, 1.01), 0.98 (0.95, 1.02) and 0.88 (0.85, 0.98), respectively. As compared with stable change in serum albumin (-0.2 ≤ ∆ALB <1.0 g/L), the risk of T2DM increased for ∆ALB < -2.0 g/L (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.24-1.68) and decreased for ∆ALB ≥3.0 g/L (0.81, 0.68-0.97) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Restricted cubic splines showed a linear dose-response association between baseline serum albumin level and T2DM risk (Pnonlinearity 0.715) and a nonlinear dose-response association between ∆ALB and T2DM risk (Pnonlinearity 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline serum albumin level appears to be inversely associated with T2DM risk. Adults with reduced serum albumin level could be early identified for diabetes risk in clinical practice.
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Biomarcadores/análise , Glicemia/análise , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Albumina Sérica/análise , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
AIMS: To explore the quantitative dose-response association of total sedentary behaviour and television viewing with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes and hypertension in a meta-analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched three databases to identify English-language reports that assessed the association of total sedentary behaviour or television viewing with the aforementioned health outcomes. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate possible linear or non-linear associations of total sedentary behaviour and television viewing with these health outcomes. RESULTS: We included 48 articles (58 studies) with a total of 1 071 967 participants in the meta-analysis; 21 (six cohort and 15 cross-sectional) studies examined the association of total sedentary behaviour with overweight/obesity, 23 (13 cohort and 10 cross-sectional) studies examined the association with type 2 diabetes and 14 (one cohort and 13 cross-sectional) studies examined the association with hypertension. We found linear associations between total sedentary behaviour and type 2 diabetes (Pnon-linearity = 0.190) and hypertension (Pnon-linearity = 0.225) and a non-linear association between total sedentary behaviour and overweight/obesity (Pnon-linearity = 0.003). For each 1-h/d increase in total sedentary behaviour, the risk increased by 5% for type 2 diabetes and 4% for hypertension. We also found linear associations between television viewing and type 2 diabetes (Pnon-linearity = 0.948) and hypertension (Pnon-linearity = 0.679) and a non-linear association for overweight/obesity (Pnon-linearity = 0.007). For each 1-h/d increase in television viewing, the risk increased by 8% for type 2 diabetes and 6% for hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of total sedentary behaviour and television viewing were associated with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes and hypertension.
Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipertensão , Obesidade , Sobrepeso , Comportamento Sedentário , Índice de Massa Corporal , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , TelevisãoRESUMO
Metabolically healthy obesity refers to a subset of obese people with a normal metabolic profile. We aimed to explore the association between metabolically healthy and obesity status and risk of hypertension among Chinese adults from The Rural Chinese Cohort Study. This prospective cohort study enrolled 9137 Chinese adults without hypertension, type 2 diabetes or treatment for lipid abnormality at baseline (2007-2008) and followed up during 2013-2014. Modified Poisson regression models were used to examine the risk of hypertension by different metabolically healthy and obesity status, estimating relative risks (RR) and 95 % CI. During 6 years of follow-up, we identified 1734 new hypertension cases (721 men). After adjusting for age, sex, smoking and other confounding factors, risk of hypertension was increased with metabolically healthy general obesity (MHGO) defined by BMI (RR 1·75, 95 % CI 1·02, 3·00) and metabolically healthy abdominal obesity (MHAO) defined by waist circumference (RR 1·51, 95 % CI 1·12, 2·04) as compared with metabolically healthy non-obesity. The associations between metabolically healthy and obesity status and hypertension outcome were consistent after stratifying by sex, age, smoking, alcohol drinking and physical activity. Both MHGO and MHAO were associated with increased risk of hypertension. Obesity control programmes should be implemented to prevent or delay the development of hypertension in rural China.
Assuntos
Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Obesidade Abdominal/complicações , Obesidade Metabolicamente Benigna/complicações , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Hipertensão/etiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade Abdominal/fisiopatologia , Obesidade Metabolicamente Benigna/fisiopatologia , Distribuição de Poisson , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco , Circunferência da CinturaRESUMO
Although consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and artificially sweetened beverages (ASBs) has increasingly been linked with obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and all-cause mortality, evidence remains conflicted and dose-response meta-analyses of the associations are lacking. We conducted an updated meta-analysis to synthesize the knowledge about their associations and to explore their dose-response relations. We comprehensively searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Open Grey up to September 2019 for prospective cohort studies investigating the associations in adults. Summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for the dose-response association. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate linear/non-linear relations. We included 39 articles in the meta-analysis. For each 250-mL/d increase in SSB and ASB intake, the risk increased by 12% (RR = 1.12, 95% CI 1.05-1.19, I2 = 67.7%) and 21% (RR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.09-1.35, I2 = 47.2%) for obesity, 19% (RR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.13-1.25, I2 = 82.4%) and 15% (RR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.05-1.26, I2 = 92.6%) for T2DM, 10% (RR = 1.10, 95% CI 1.06-1.14, I2 = 58.4%) and 8% (RR = 1.08, 95% CI 1.06-1.10, I2 = 24.3%) for hypertension, and 4% (RR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, I2 = 58.0%) and 6% (RR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10, I2 = 80.8%) for all-cause mortality. For SSBs, restricted cubic splines showed linear associations with risk of obesity (Pnon-linearity = 0.359), T2DM (Pnon-linearity = 0.706), hypertension (Pnon-linearity = 0.510) and all-cause mortality (Pnon-linearity = 0.259). For ASBs, we found linear associations with risk of obesity (Pnon-linearity = 0.299) and T2DM (Pnon-linearity = 0.847) and non-linear associations with hypertension (Pnon-linearity = 0.019) and all-cause mortality (Pnon-linearity = 0.048). Increased consumption of SSBs and ASBs is associated with risk of obesity, T2DM, hypertension, and all-cause mortality. However, the results should be interpreted cautiously because the present analyses were based on only cohort but not intervention studies.
Assuntos
Bebidas Adoçadas Artificialmente/efeitos adversos , Bebidas Gaseificadas/efeitos adversos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiologia , Hipertensão/etiologia , Obesidade/etiologia , Edulcorantes/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Açúcares , Edulcorantes/administração & dosagemRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Homocysteine (Hcy) level has been increasingly linked with stroke and ischemic stroke (IS). However, a dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies of the association is lacking. We aimed to explore the quantitative dose-response association of Hcy level with stroke and IS in a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a systematic search of PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases up to April 25, 2019 for prospective cohort studies assessing the association of Hcy level with stroke and IS. We used random-effect models to estimate the pooled relative risk (RRs) (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for the association of Hcy with risk of stroke and IS. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate possible linear or nonlinear association of Hcy level with stroke and IS. We included 10 prospective cohort studies (7 articles) with 11,061 participants in the meta-analysis. Hcy level was associated with increased risk of stroke (RR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.25-2.00, I2 = 39.5%) and IS (RR = 1.54, 95% CI 1.21-1.97, I2 = 36.4%) for the highest versus the lowest categories. We found a linear association between Hcy level and stroke (Pnonlinearity = 0.660) and IS (Pnonlinearity = 0.981). For each 1-µmol/L increase in Hcy, the pooled RR was 1.06 (95% CI 1.01-1.12, I2 = 59.0%) for stroke and 1.05 (95% CI 1.00-1.11, I2 = 58.6%) for IS. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis indicated that elevated Hcy level was associated with increased risk of stroke and IS.
Assuntos
Homocisteína/sangue , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/sangue , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Humanos , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/diagnóstico , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Regulação para CimaRESUMO
AIMS: To explore the association between WWI and the incidence of HTN in the Rural Chinese Cohort Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined data for 10,338 non-hypertensive participants (39.49% men) aged ≥ 18 years from the Rural Chinese Cohort Study who completed a baseline examination during 2007-2008 and follow-up during 2013-2014. WWI was calculated as waist circumference (cm) divided by the square root of weight (kg). Multiple logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the probability of HTN across four WWI categories. Restricted cubic splines analysis was used to model the dose-response association of WWI and HTN. A total of 2078 participants had HTN during a median follow-up of 6 years. After adjusting for potential confounders, as compared with the lowest WWI category (<9.94 cm/âkg), with WWI 9.94 to 10.42, 10.42 to 10.91 and ≥ 10.91 cm/âkg, the ORs (95% CIs) for HTN were 1.12 (0.93-1.35), 1.40 (1.17-1.69) and 1.50 (1.24-1.82), respectively. Results of the sensitivity analyses were robust. The ORs were generally consistent on subgroup analysis by sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure. Multiple logistic regression models with restricted cubic splines showed a non-linear positive association between WWI and HTN (Pnonlinearity < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The highest WWI category was significantly associated with increased risk of HTN. Our findings may facilitate the development and promotion of obesity prevention strategies aimed at reducing the risk of HTN and provide evidence for healthcare policy in rural China.