Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in small-bowel adenocarcinoma patients using the SEER database.

BACKGROUND: Small bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA) is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy forwhich survival is hampered by late diagnosis, complex responses to treatment, and poor prognosis. Accurate prognostic tools are crucial for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with SBA and compare it to traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. METHODS: We analyzed data from 2,064 patients diagnosed with SBA between 2010 and 2020 from the SEER database. Patients were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts (7:3 ratio). Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis, Cox multivariate regression, and nomograms were constructed for analysis of 3-year and 5-year CSS. The performance of the nomograms was evaluated using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: Multivariate Cox regression identified sex, age at diagnosis, marital status, tumor site, pathological grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, retrieval of regional lymph nodes (RORLN), and chemotherapy as independent covariates associated with CSS. In both the training and validation cohorts, the developed nomograms demonstrated superior performance to that of the AJCC staging system, with C-indices of 0.764 and 0.759, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) values obtained by ROC analysis for 3-year and 5-year CSS prediction significantly surpassed those of the AJCC model. The nomograms were validated using calibration and decision curves, confirming their clinical utility and superior predictive accuracy. The NRI and IDI indicated the enhanced predictive capability of the nomogram model. CONCLUSION: The SEER-based nomogram offers a significantly superior ability to predict CSS in SBA patients, supporting its potential application in clinical decision-making and personalized approaches to managing SBA to improve survival outcomes.

KRAS-mutant colorectal cancer cell lines cause a prothrombotic state through the upregulation of thrombin: experimental study.

Background: The KRAS genotype status is strongly associated with a prothrombotic state in colorectal cancer, and hypercoagulability and cancer-related thrombosis are among the significant events leading to poor prognosis. However, this correlation has not been confirmed at the cellular level. This study aimed to assess the maximum platelet aggregation rate and thrombin expression induced by colorectal cancer cells under different KRAS genotypes. Materials and methods: Platelet aggregation rate assay and western blotting analysis were used to detect platelet aggregation and thrombin expression induced by four colorectal cancer cells with different KRAS genotypes, including RKO, HCT116, SW480, and SW620. FVIIa/tissue factor and thrombin inhibitors were added to explore changes in platelet aggregation rates induced by colorectal cancer cells and the association between KRAS genotype status and hypercoagulable state. Results: KRAS-mutant cells were more likely to increase maximal platelet aggregation, with RKO, HCT116, SW480, and SW620 inducing 34.7%, 55.4%, 44.4%, and 63.8% of platelet aggregation, respectively. The maximum platelet aggregation rate was higher in the metastatic rectal cancer tumour strain SW620 than in the primary rectal cancer strain SW480. RKO cells had lower thrombin expression than the other three cells. Furthermore, the addition of thrombin inhibitors caused a more significant decrease in the platelet aggregation rate in KRAS-mutant cell lines compared to KRAS wild-type cell lines. Conclusion: Compared to KRAS wild-type colorectal cancer cells, KRAS-mutant colorectal cancer cell lines were more likely to be hypercoagulable through the upregulation of thrombin expression, which was mainly achieved through the TF-thrombin pathway.

Combining KRAS gene status with preoperative D­dimer levels as a predictive marker of venous thromboembolism risk in patients with resectable colorectal cancer: A prospective cohort study.

Colorectal cancer (CRC), one of the most prevalent types of cancer, is accompanied by a notably high incidence of thrombotic complications. The present study aimed to elucidate the association between KRAS mutations and hypercoagulability in operable CRC. The prognostic value of preoperative D-dimer levels was also investigated, thus providing novel insights into the development of therapeutic strategies to enhance patient survival and diminish morbidity. Therefore, a prospective analysis of 333 CRC cases post-surgery at Yan'an Hospital Affiliated to Kunming Medical University, between May 2019 and October 2022 was performed. Data on demographics, tumor characteristics and D-dimer levels were compiled from the electronic health records. Venous thromboembolism (VTE) was diagnosed by doppler or computed tomography angiography, with D-dimer thresholds set at 550 and 1,650 µg/l. KRAS mutations at codons 12 and 13 were assessed in a subset of 56 cases. Subsequently, the factors affecting the hypercoagulable state in these patients were prospectively analyzed, focusing on the pivotal role of KRAS. The results showed that KRAS mutations were associated with elevated preoperative D-dimer levels, with 1,076 µg/l compared with 485 µg/l in the wild-type cohort, indicative of a hypercoagulable state. Increased D-dimer levels were also associated with vascular invasion, distant metastases and a heightened risk of postoperative VTE. Furthermore, multivariate analyses identified KRAS mutations, distant metastases and vascular invasion as independent predictors of elevated D-dimer levels, with relative risk values of 2.912, 1.884 and 1.525, respectively. Conversely, sex, age, tumor location, differentiation grade, Ki67 index and tumor stage could not significantly affect D-dimer levels, thus indicating a complex interplay between tumor genetics and coagulation dysfunction in CRC. The current study suggested that the KRAS mutation status, distant metastasis and vascular invasion could be considered as independent risk factors of blood hypercoagulability in patients with CRC, potentially serving as prognostic factors for VTE risk.

Identifying risk and prognostic factors for synchronous liver metastasis in small bowel adenocarcinoma: a predictive analysis using the SEER database.

Background: Small bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA) is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy with an increasing incidence and a high propensity for liver metastasis (LM). This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for synchronous LM and prognostic factors in patients with LM. Methods: Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, this study analyzed data from 2,064 patients diagnosed with SBA between 2010 and 2020. Logistic regression was used to determine risk factors for synchronous LM. A nomogram was developed to predict the risk of LM in SBA patients, and its predictive performance was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate survival outcomes for SBA patients with LM. Results: Synchronous LM was present in 13.4% of SBA patients (n = 276). Six independent predictive factors for LM were identified, including tumor location, T stage, N stage, surgical intervention, retrieval of regional lymph nodes (RORLN), and chemotherapy. The nomogram demonstrated good discriminative ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 83.8%. Patients with LM had significantly lower survival rates than those without LM (P < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed that advanced age, tumor location in the duodenum, surgery, RORLN and chemotherapy were associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with LM originating from SBA. Conclusions: This study highlights the significant impact of LM on the survival of SBA patients and identifies key risk factors for its occurrence. The developed nomogram aids in targeted screening and personalized treatment planning.