Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram Based on Residual Tumor in Patients With Nondisseminated Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognostic value of residual tumor based on Magnetic resonance imaging(MRI) and establish an effective prognostic nomogram model referring to clinical,pathological and other related factors for predicting prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. METHODS: Overall, 538 patients with non-metastatic, histologically-confirmed nasopharyngeal carcinoma were retrospectively examined. Data from 397 patients were used for the construction and validation of a nomogram based on the presence of residual tumor. A concordance index (C-index) was employed to assess the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram. RESULTS: The 3-year survival rates in the non-residual and residual tumor cohorts were as follows: progression-free survival, 73.4% vs. 61.0%, P = 0.009; locoregional recurrence-free survival, 81.9% vs. 72.0%, P = 0.02; and distant metastasis-free survival, 80.7% vs. 73.5%, P = 0.11. Nine significant factors were included in the nomogram model. The calibration curve for the probability of progression-free survival showed that the nomogram-based predictive values had good concordance with the actual observations. CONCLUSION: The results showed that the patients in the residual tumor cohorts had a worse prognosis.The proposed nomogram may predict the prognosis and guide clinical decision-making concerning local residual tumors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. Patients with a high risk of progression require more timely and aggressive treatment.

Efficacy and safety of consolidation chemotherapy during the resting period in patients with local advanced rectal cancer.

It remains controversial as to whether a long interval between neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) and surgery may provide clinical benefits for patients with local advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The addition of consolidation chemotherapy during the resting period was recently considered as a treatment option. The present study aimed to verify the efficacy and safety of consolidation chemotherapy during the resting period in patients with LARC. A total of 156 patients with local advanced stage T3-4N0-2 rectal cancer were enrolled between January 2010 and July 2016. Patients were divided into two groups, those who received consolidation chemotherapy prior to surgery (n=76) and the control group who did not (n=80). Multivariate logistic regression and the Kaplan-Meier method were used to explore the predictors of pathological complete response (pCR) and survival. The demographic and tumor characteristics were comparable between the two groups. The consolidation group yielded significantly higher pCR and near pCR rates compared with the control group (P=0.015). Patients in the consolidation group who also underwent standard adjuvant chemotherapy displayed improved 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) compared with the control group (P=0.036). Notably, the addition of consolidation chemotherapy between NCRT and surgery did not significantly increase the incidence of surgical complications and grade 3 or 4 toxicities when compared with the control group. Consolidation chemotherapy was associated with increased pCR/near pCR rates and improved 3-year DFS, and displayed a manageable safety profile. The present study provided primary evidence for the efficacy and safety of consolidation chemotherapy in LARC. Further prospective studies are warranted in the future to verify these results.