Predicting long-term time to cardiovascular incidents using myocardial perfusion imaging and deep convolutional neural networks.

Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is a clinical tool which can assess the heart's perfusion status, thereby revealing impairments in patients' cardiac function. Within the MPI modality, the acquired three-dimensional signals are typically represented as a sequence of two-dimensional grayscale tomographic images. Here, we proposed an end-to-end survival training approach for processing gray-scale MPI tomograms to generate a risk score which reflects subsequent time to cardiovascular incidents, including cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal ischemic stroke (collectively known as Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events; MACE) as well as Congestive Heart Failure (CHF). We recruited a total of 1928 patients who had undergone MPI followed by coronary interventions. Among them, 80% (n = 1540) were randomly reserved for the training and 5- fold cross-validation stage, while 20% (n = 388) were set aside for the testing stage. The end-to-end survival training can converge well in generating effective AI models via the fivefold cross-validation approach with 1540 patients. When a candidate model is evaluated using independent images, the model can stratify patients into below-median-risk (n = 194) and above-median-risk (n = 194) groups, the corresponding survival curves of the two groups have significant difference (P < 0.0001). We further stratify the above-median-risk group to the quartile 3 and 4 group (n = 97 each), and the three patient strata, referred to as the high, intermediate and low risk groups respectively, manifest statistically significant difference. Notably, the 5-year cardiovascular incident rate is less than 5% in the low-risk group (accounting for 50% of all patients), while the rate is nearly 40% in the high-risk group (accounting for 25% of all patients). Evaluation of patient subgroups revealed stronger effect size in patients with three blocked arteries (Hazard ratio [HR]: 18.377, 95% CI 3.719-90.801, p < 0.001), followed by those with two blocked vessels at HR 7.484 (95% CI 1.858-30.150; p = 0.005). Regarding stent placement, patients with a single stent displayed a HR of 4.410 (95% CI 1.399-13.904; p = 0.011). Patients with two stents show a HR of 10.699 (95% CI 2.262-50.601; p = 0.003), escalating notably to a HR of 57.446 (95% CI 1.922-1717.207; p = 0.019) for patients with three or more stents, indicating a substantial relationship between the disease severity and the predictive capability of the AI for subsequent cardiovascular inciidents. The success of the MPI AI model in stratifying patients into subgroups with distinct time-to-cardiovascular incidents demonstrated the feasibility of proposed end-to-end survival training approach.

Prompt diagnosis of a wild-type transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis: Role of multimodality imaging.

Amyloidosis cardiomyopathy is a rare and underdiagnosed disease characterized by amyloid fibril deposition in the myocardium. The diagnosis of cardiac amyloidosis is often delayed due to a lack of awareness and the necessity of biopsy to confirm the diagnosis. Recent advances in cardiovascular imaging modalities have enhanced earlier recognition of this disease. A 66-year-old man experiences progressive shortness of breath for two weeks. Laboratory testing was significant for an elevation of cardiac biomarkers (creatine kinase: 522 U/L, troponin I: 0.10 ng/mL) and NT-pro-BNP (5074 pg/mL). He was diagnosed with acute coronary syndrome and received stent deployment. Nonetheless, progressive shortness of breath recurred in 2 months. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) demonstrated an increased left ventricular (LV) wall thickness with apical sparing. Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging demonstrated high native T1 value, increased extracellular volume fraction as well as diffused subendocardial late gadolinium enhancement. Technetium-99m pyrophosphate (99mTc-PYP) scintigraphy, endomyocardial biopsy (EMB), and the genetic study confirmed the diagnosis of wild-type transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTRwt). The nonspecific clinical manifestations, lack of diagnostic biomarkers, and the rarity of systemic amyloidosis usually lead to delayed diagnosis and treatment. Our objective is to emphasize the role of multimodalities imaging in reducing delays to the diagnosis of cardiac amyloidosis.

Risk of Ischemic Bowel Disease in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Warfarin or Non-vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants.

Background: Although atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for ischemic bowel disease, data regarding the incidence of ischemic bowel disease in patients with anticoagulated AF were limited. Methods: The present study used the Taiwan NHIRD and included newly diagnosed patients with AF aged ≥ 20 years without ischemic bowel disease from 2012 to 2018. A total of 69,549 patients taking warfarin or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) constituted the final study group. We aimed to study the incidence of ischemic bowel disease in patients with AF receiving warfarin or NOACs. Secondary endpoints were also analyzed, including ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, mortality, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), major bleeding, and composite adverse events (ischemic bowel disease or ICH or major bleeding). Results: There were 43,787 patients taking NOACs and 25,762 patients taking warfarin. The overall incidence rate of ischemic bowel disease was 0.036% per year and increased with the CHA2DS2-VASc scores [0.013% for patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 (men) or 1 (women), 0.022% for those with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 (men) or 2 (women), and 0.039% for those with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 (men) or ≥ 3 (women)]. The risk of ischemic bowel disease was similar between NOAC and warfarin groups (0.036%/year vs. 0.037%/year; adjusted hazard ratio 0.802, p = 0.430), whereas the NOAC group had a significantly lower risk of secondary endpoints compared to the warfarin group. Conclusion: We reported the incidence of ischemic bowel disease in patients with anticoagulated AF from a nationwide cohort database and observed a positive correlation between the increase of CHA2DS2-VASc scores and the incidence rate. Moreover, NOAC was as effective as warfarin for the risk of ischemic bowel disease.

Optimal anticoagulation in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation: Which drug at which dose?

Aging is an important risk factor for adverse events in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and complicates the management of anticoagulation. Underuse of oral anticoagulants (OACs) is common in elderly patients because of comorbidities, the altered physiological function of multiple organs, frailty, risk of falls, and the lack of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) specifically for elderly patients. Nevertheless, current data still support OACs use for reducing ischemic stroke with positive net clinical benefits. Sub-analyses of RCTs and real-world cohort studies showed that non-vitamin K antagonist OACs (NOACs) would be more favorable choices compared to warfarin for stroke prevention in the elderly. This review will discuss important data on stroke prevention and the use of NOACs in elderly AF patients.

Prolonged sitting time links to subclinical atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the association between daily sitting time and subclinical atherosclerosis by using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). METHODS: The study enrolled 203 subjects (age 57.6 ± 8.8 years) who underwent CCTA at annual medical checkups. Sitting time was categorized as < 5 hours/day (short), 5 to 9 hours/day (moderate) and ≥10 hours/d (long). We analyzed the coronary calcium score, plaque characteristics, and severity of coronary artery stenosis, including the segment involvement score (SIS) and segment stenosis score (SSS). RESULTS: Subjects with longer sitting times tended to be male gender and have lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p for trend < 0.05). In addition, those with longer sitting time had higher SIS (1.2 ± 1.5 vs. 1.6 ± 2.1 vs. 2.3 ± 2.0 for short, moderate, and long sitting time, respectively) (p for trend = 0.015) and SSS (1.4 ± 2.0 vs. 1.9 ± 2.7 vs. 2.7 ± 2.6) (p for trend = 0.015), suggesting longer sitting time-correlated with the severity of coronary atherosclerosis. When considering the coronary plaque patterns, subjects with shorter sitting time (<5 hours/d) tended to have more calcified plaque and subjects with longer sitting time (≥10 hours/d) had more mixed plaque (p for trend = 0.018). After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities, body mass index, and lipid profiles, increased sitting time was independently associated with the presence of mixed plaque, suggesting longer sitting time may be associated with higher risk of the formation of vulnerable plaque. CONCLUSION: Longer sitting time was linked to the severity of subclinical atherosclerosis and the presence of high-risk vulnerable plaque in the general population.

Modified Taiwan Atrial Fibrillation Score for the Prediction of Incident Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: We have proposed the Taiwan AF score consisting of age, male sex, hypertension, heart failure, coronary artery disease, end-stage renal disease, and alcoholism to predict incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in Asian population. We hypothesized that the modified Taiwan AF score (mTaiwan AF score) excluding alcoholism remained useful for predicting new onset AF. METHODS: A total of 7,220,654 subjects aged ≥ 40 years without a past history of cardiac arrhythmia were identified from a national cohort, and 438,930 incident AF occurred during a 16-year follow-up with an incidence of 0.42 per 100 person-years. The mTaiwan AF score ranging between -2 and 14 and its predictive accuracy of incident AF was analyzed. RESULTS: The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the mTaiwan AF scores in predicting AF are 0.861 for 1-year follow-up, 0.829 for 5-year follow-up, 0.795 for 10-year follow-up, and 0.751 for 16-year follow-up. The risk of incident AF increased from 0.05%/year for patients with a score of -2 to 6.98%/year for those having a score of 14. Patients were classified into three groups based on the tertile values of the mTaiwan AF scores-group 1 (score -2-3), group 2 (score 4-9) and group 3 (score 10-14). The annual risks of incident AF were 0.20, 1.33, and 3.36% for group 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Compared to patients in group 1, the hazard ratios of incident AF were 5.79 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.75-7.75] for group 2 and 8.93 (95% CI 6.47-10.80) for group 3. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that the mTaiwan AF score based on age and clinical comorbidities could be used to predict incident AF in Asian population.

Association of variability in uric acid and future clinical outcomes of patient with coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hyperuricemia is independently associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and is considered to be one of the major risk factors for CVD. However, the impact of inter-visit uric acid (UA) variability on cardiovascular risk remains undetermined. METHODS: We enrolled 3202 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), who received successful coronary intervention, in a cohort from Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2006 to 2015. All post-baseline visits UA measurements using standard deviation (SD) were analyzed to correlate with long-term outcome. The primary outcome was the composite of cardiac death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke (MACE). The secondary event was MACE and hospitalization for heart failure. RESULTS: During an average 65.06 ± 32.1-month follow-up, there were 66 cardiovascular deaths, 175 nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 64 nonfatal strokes, 287 hospitalizations for heart failure, and 683 revascularization procedures. There was a linear association between high UA SD and future adverse events. Compared to the lowest quartile SD, subjects in the highest quartile SD had a higher risk of MACE (HR: 2.53, 95% CI: 1.78-3.59), myocardial infarction (HR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.53-3.86), cardiovascular death (HR: 6.45, 95% CI: 2.52-16.55), heart failure-related hospitalization (HR: 3.43, 95% CI: 2.32-5.05), and total major CV events (HR: 2.72, 95% CI: 2.09-3.56). Furthermore, compared to the average achieved on-treatment UA value, increasing UA SD had a stronger association of higher risk of developing MACE (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.36-1.68), myocardial infarction (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.38-1.68), ischemic stroke (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.13-1.82), CV death (HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.50-2.11), HF (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.29-1.58), and total major CV events (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.34-1.58). CONCLUSIONS: High UA variability is associated with a higher risk of developing future cardiovascular events, suggesting the importance of maintaining stable serum UA levels and avoiding large fluctuations in CAD patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).