Adaptively leverage multiple real-world data sources for treatment effect estimation based on similarity.

The incorporation of real-world data (RWD) into medical product development and evaluation has exhibited consistent growth. However, there is no universally adopted method of how much information to borrow from external data. This paper proposes a study design methodology called Tree-based Monte Carlo (TMC) that dynamically integrates patients from various RWD sources to calculate the treatment effect based on the similarity between clinical trial and RWD. Initially, a propensity score is developed to gauge the resemblance between clinical trial data and each real-world dataset. Utilizing this similarity metric, we construct a hierarchical clustering tree that delineates varying degrees of similarity between each RWD source and the clinical trial data. Ultimately, a Gaussian process methodology is employed across this hierarchical clustering framework to synthesize the projected treatment effects of the external group. Simulation result shows that our clustering tree could successfully identify similarity. Data sources exhibiting greater similarity with clinical trial are accorded higher weights in treatment estimation process, while less congruent sources receive comparatively lower emphasis. Compared with another Bayesian method, meta-analytic predictive prior (MAP), our proposed method's estimator is closer to the true value and has smaller bias.

Comprehensive analyses reveal the prognosis and biological function roles of chromatin regulators in lung adenocarcinoma.

The present study explored the prognosis and biological function roles of chromatin regulators (CRs) in patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Using transcriptome profile and clinical follow-up data of LUAD dataset, we explored the molecular classification, developed, and validated a CR prognostic model, built an individual risk scoring system in LUAD, and compared the clinical and molecular characteristics between different subtypes and risk stratifications. We investigated the chemotherapy sensitivity and predicted potential immunotherapy response. Lastly, we collected the clinical samples and validated the prognosis and potential function role of NAPS2. Our study indicated that LUAD patients could be classified into two subtypes that had obviously different clinical background and molecular features. We constructed a prognostic model with eight CR genes, which was well validated in several other population cohort. We built high- and low-risk stratifications for LUAD patients. Patients from high-risk group were totally different from low-risk groups in clinical, biological function, gene mutation, microenvironment, and immune infiltration levels. We idented several potential molecular compounds for high-risk group treatment. We predicted that high-risk group may have poor immunotherapy response. We finally found that Neuronal PAS Domain Protein 2 (NPAS2) involved in the progression of LUAD via regulating cell adhesion. Our study indicated that CR involved in the progression of LUAD and affect their prognosis. Different therapeutic strategies should be developed for different molecular subtypes and risk stratifications. Our comprehensive analyses uncover specific determinants of CRs in LUAD and provides implications for investigating disease-associated CRs.