RESUMO
Aim: Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) showed increasing survival in oligometastatic patients. Few studies actually depicted oligometastatic disease (OMD) evolution and which patient will remain disease-free and which will rapidly develop a polymetastatic disease (PMD) after SABR. Therefore, apart from the number of active metastases, there are no clues on which proven factor should be considered for prescribing local treatment in OMD. The study aims to identify predictive factors of polymetastatic evolution in lung oligometastatic colorectal cancer patients. Methods: This international Ethical Committee approved trial (Prot. Negrar 2019-ZT) involved 23 Centers and 450 lung oligometastatic patients. Primary end-point was time to the polymetastatic conversion (tPMC). Additionally, oligometastases number and cumulative gross tumor volume (cumGTV) were used as combined predictive factors of tPMC. Oligometastases number was stratified as 1, 2-3, and 4-5; cumGTV was dichotomized to the value of 10 cc. Results: The median tPMC in the overall population was 26 months. Population was classified in the following tPMC risk classes: low-risk (1-3 oligometastases and cumGTV ≤ 10 cc) with median tPMC of 35.1 months; intermediate-risk (1-3 oligometastases and cumGTV > 10 cc), with median tPMC of 13.9 months, and high-risk (4-5 oligometastases, any cumGTV) with median tPMC of 9.4 months (p = 0.000). Conclusion: The present study identified predictive factors of polymetastatic evolution after SABR in lung oligometastatic colorectal cancer. The results demonstrated that the sole metastases number is not sufficient to define the OMD since patients defined oligometastatic from a numerical point of view might rapidly progress to PMD when the cumulative tumor volume is high. A tailored approach in SABR prescription should be pursued considering the expected disease evolution after SABR, with the aim to avoid unnecessary treatment and toxicity in those at high risk of polymetastatic spread, and maximize local treatment in those with a favorable disease evolution.
RESUMO
Breast cancer is a heterogenous disease with a deep tailoring level. Evidence is accumulating on the role of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in the management of oligometastatic disease, however this is limited in breast cancer. The aim of the present study is to show the effectiveness of SBRT in delaying the switch to a subsequent systemic treatment in oligoprogressive breast cancer patients. Retrospective analysis from two Institutions. Primary endpoint: time to next systemic treatment (NEST). Secondary endpoints: freedom from local progression (FLP), time to the polymetastatic conversion (tPMC) and overall survival (OS). One-hundred fifty-three (153) metastases in 79 oligoprogressive breast cancer patients were treated with SBRT. Median follow-up 24 months. Median NEST 8 months. Predictive factor of NEST at the multivariate analysis (MVA) was the number of treated oligometastases (HR 1.765, 95%CI 1.322-2.355; p = < 0.01). Systemic treatment after SBRT was changed in 29 patients for polymetastatic progression and in 10 patients for oligometastatic progression < 6 months after SBRT. The 2-year FLP in the overall population was 86.7%. A biological effective dose (BED) > 70Gy10 was associated with improved FLP (90% versus 74.2%). The median tPMC was 10 months. At the MVA the only factors significantly associated with tPMC were the number of oligometastases (HR 1.172, 95%CI 1.000-1.368; p = 0.03), and the local control of the treated metastases (HR 2.726, CI95% 1.108-6.706; p = 0.02). SBRT can delay the switch to a subsequent systemic treatment, however patient selection is necessary. Several predictive factors for treatment tailoring have been identified.