Optimal age to discontinue long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: comparative cost-effectiveness of surveillance by age.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend long-term image-based surveillance for patients with low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). This simulation study aimed to examine the comparative cost-effectiveness of continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages and define the optimal age to stop surveillance. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model with a lifetime horizon to simulate the clinical course of patients with IPMNs receiving imaging-based surveillance. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages to stop surveillance, stratified by sex and IPMN types (branch-duct vs mixed-type). We determined the optimal age to stop surveillance as the lowest age at which the ICER exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year. To estimate model parameters, we used a clinical cohort of 3000 patients with IPMNs and a national database including 40 166 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving pancreatectomy as well as published data. RESULTS: In male patients, the optimal age to stop surveillance was 76-78 years irrespective of the IPMN types, compared with 70, 73, 81, and 84 years for female patients with branch-duct IPMNs <20 mm, =20-29 mm, ≥30 mm and mixed-type IPMNs, respectively. The suggested ages became younger according to an increasing level of comorbidities. In cases with high comorbidity burden, the ICERs were above the willingness-to-pay threshold irrespective of sex and the size of branch-duct IPMNs. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of long-term IPMN surveillance depended on sex, IPMN types, and comorbidity levels, suggesting the potential to personalise patient management from the health economic perspective.

Association of Cancer and Its Interaction with Conventional Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease Risk.

Introduction We sought to examine the association of cancer history with the incidence of individual cardiovascular disease events and to clarify whether the history of cancer modifies the relationship between conventional cardiovascular risk factors and incident cardiovascular disease. Methods This retrospective cohort study used the JMDC Claims Database, including 3,531,683 individuals. The primary endpoint was the composite cardiovascular disease outcome, which included myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Results During a follow-up, 144,162 composite endpoints were recorded. Individuals with a history of cancer had a higher risk of developing composite cardiovascular disease events (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.22-1.29). The HRs for myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation were 1.11 (95% CI 0.98-1.27), 1.15 (95% CI 1.10-1.20), 1.11 (95% CI 1.05-1.18), 1.39 (95% CI 1.34-1.44), and 1.22 (95% CI 1.13-1.32), respectively. Individuals who required chemotherapy for cancer had a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Although conventional risk factors (e.g., overweight/obesity, hypertension, and diabetes) were associated with incident composite cardiovascular disease even in individuals with a history of cancer, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors were less in individuals with a history of cancer. Conclusion Individuals with a history of cancer (particularly those requiring chemotherapy) have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. Traditional risk factors are important in the development of cardiovascular disease in individuals with and without a history of cancer. In individuals with a history of cancer, however, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors decreased.

Use of Japanese Herbal Kampo Medicine in Patients With Acute Cardiovascular Disease　- A 12-Year Nationwide Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Kampo, a Japanese herbal medicine, is approved for the treatment of various symptoms/conditions under national medical insurance coverage in Japan. However, the contemporary nationwide status of Kampo use among patients with acute cardiovascular diseases remains unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 2,547,559 patients hospitalized for acute cardiovascular disease (acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, pulmonary embolism, or aortic dissection) at 1,798 hospitals during the fiscal years 2010-2021. Kampo medicines were used in 227,008 (8.9%) patients, with a 3-fold increase from 2010 (4.3%) to 2021 (12.4%), regardless of age, sex, disease severity, and primary diagnosis. The top 5 medicines used were Daikenchuto (29.4%), Yokukansan (26.1%), Shakuyakukanzoto (15.8%), Rikkunshito (7.3%), and Goreisan (5.5%). From 2010 to 2021, Kampo medicines were initiated earlier during hospitalization (from a median of Day 7 to Day 3), and were used on a greater proportion of hospital days (median 16.7% vs. 21.4%). However, the percentage of patients continuing Kampo medicines after discharge declined from 57.9% in 2010 to 39.4% in 2021, indicating their temporary use. The frequency of Kampo use varied across hospitals, with the median percentage of patients prescribed Kampo medications increasing from 7.7% in 2010 to 11.5% in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study demonstrates increasing Kampo use in the management of acute cardiovascular diseases, warranting further pharmacoepidemiological studies on its effectiveness.

Duration of effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine in Japan: a retrospective cohort study using large-scale population-based registry data.

BACKGROUND: Most evidence of the waning of vaccine effectiveness is limited to a relatively short period after vaccination. METHODS: Data obtained from a linked database of healthcare administrative claims and vaccination records maintained by the municipality of a city in the Kanto region of Japan were used in this study. The study period extended from April 1, 2020, to December 31, 2022. The duration of the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine was analyzed using a time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model using the age, sex and history of cancer, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease as covariates. RESULTS: Among the 174,757 eligible individuals, 14,416 (8.3%) were diagnosed with COVID-19 and 936 (0.54%) were hospitalized for COVID-19. Multivariate analysis based on the time-dependent Cox regression model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed a lower incidence of COVID-19 in the one-dose group (hazard ratio, 0.76 [95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.91]), two-dose (0.89 [0.85-0.93]), three-dose (0.80 [0.76-0.85]), four-dose (0.93 [0.88-1.00]), and five-dose (0.72 [0.62-0.84]) groups. A lower incidence of COVID-19-related hospitalization was observed in the one-dose group (0.42 [0.21-0.81]), two-dose (0.44 [0.35-0.56]), three-dose (0.38 [0.30-0.47]), four-dose (0.20 [0.14-0.28]), and five-dose (0.11 [0.014-0.86]) groups. Multivariable analyses based on the time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed significant preventive effects of the vaccine for 4 months for the incidence of COVID-19 and ≥ 6 months for hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccine effectiveness showed gradual attenuation with time after vaccination; however, protective effects against the incidence of COVID-19 and hospitalization were maintained for 4 months and ≥ 6 months, respectively. These results may aid in formulating routine vaccination plans after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Body mass index and outcomes in patients with Takotsubo syndrome: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is a cardiac disorder that mimics acute coronary syndrome at presentation. While previous studies have demonstrated a relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in acute coronary syndrome, few have examined its relationship with TTS. METHODS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 14,551 patients admitted for TTS between 2010-2021. By applying multivariable regressions with restricted cubic splines, we examined the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Mean BMI was 21.1 kg/m2, classifying patients into severe underweight (<16.0 kg/m2, 7.1%), mild/moderate underweight (16.0-18.4 kg/m2, 18.3%), normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m2, 46.8%), overweight (23.0-27.4 kg/m2, 22.2%), and obese (≥27.5 kg/m2, 5.6%) groups. Patients with severe or mild/moderate underweight were older and had a higher prevalence of impaired physical activity, malignancy, chronic pulmonary disease, and pneumonia. In-hospital mortality was the highest (9.4%) in the severe underweight group, followed by the mild/moderate underweight group (5.4%), with the lowest being in the obese group (2.1%). Severe underweight (adjusted odds ratio=2.05 [95% CI=1.54-2.73]) and mild/moderate underweight (1.26 [1.01-1.57]) were significantly associated with higher mortality compared with normal weight, while no significant association was noted with obesity. A nonlinear association between continuous BMI and mortality was observed, with mortality increasing when BMI decreased <20.0 kg/m2 but nearly plateauing in BMI >20 kg/m2. CONCLUSIONS: The present nationwide analysis demonstrated a nonlinear association between BMI and in-hospital mortality of TTS. BMI is an easily available and clinically relevant marker for the risk stratification of TTS.

Machine Learning-based Models for Outpatient Prescription of Kampo Formulations: An Analysis of a Health Insurance Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widespread practice of Japanese traditional Kampo medicine, the characteristics of patients receiving various Kampo formulations have not been documented in detail. We applied a machine learning model to a health insurance claims database to identify the factors associated with the use of Kampo formulations. METHODS: A 10% sample of enrollees of the JMDC Claims Database in 2018 and 2019 was used to create the training and testing sets, respectively. Logistic regression analyses with lasso regularization were performed in the training set to construct models with prescriptions of 10 commonly used Kampo formulations in 1 year as the dependent variable and data of the preceding year as independent variables. Models were applied to the testing set to calculate the C-statistics. Additionally, the performance of simplified scores using 10 or 5 variables were evaluated. RESULTS: There were 338,924 and 399,174 enrollees in the training and testing sets, respectively. The commonly prescribed Kampo formulations included kakkonto, bakumondoto, and shoseityuto. Based on the lasso models, the C-statistics ranged from 0.643 (maoto) to 0.888 (tokishakuyakusan). The models identified both the common determinants of different Kampo formulations and the specific characteristics associated with particular Kampo formulations. The simplified scores were slightly inferior to full models. CONCLUSION: Lasso regression models showed good performance for explaining various Kampo prescriptions from claims data. The models identified the characteristics associated with Kampo formulation use.

Association between aspirin dose and outcomes in patients with acute Kawasaki disease: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

This study aimed to identify the appropriate dose of aspirin to be prescribed to patients with acute Kawasaki disease (KD). Using a Japanese national inpatient database, we identified patients with KD treated with intravenous immunoglobulin between 2010 and 2021.The outcomes included the occurrence of coronary artery abnormalities and intravenous immunoglobulin resistance, length of hospital stay, and medical costs. Restricted cubic spline functions were performed to examine the association between aspirin dose and the outcomes. Data of 82,109 patients were extracted from the database. Non-linear associations were observed between aspirin dose and the outcomes. In comparison with an aspirin dose of 30 mg/kg/day, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for coronary artery abnormalities was 1.40 (1.13-1.75) at 5 mg/kg/day. An aspirin dose of ≥ 30 mg/kg/day did not significantly change the odds ratio for coronary artery abnormalities. Intravenous immunoglobulin resistance was significantly lower at a dose of 60 mg/kg/day or higher. CONCLUSION:  The results showed no significant association between aspirin escalation over standard-dose and coronary artery abnormalities in patients with acute KD. High-dose aspirin showed the potential to reduce hospital stay and medical costs without increasing complications. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Aspirin is used as a standard treatment together with intravenous immunoglobulin for acute Kawasaki disease (KD). However, few studies have shown the most effective dosage of aspirin to prevent coronary artery abnormalities (CAAs). WHAT IS NEW: • There was no significant association between aspirin dose escalation and CAAs in patients with acute KD.

Predicting mortality in pediatric sepsis: A nationwide data analysis using a pediatric sepsis surveillance method.

INTRODUCTION: A sepsis surveillance method using electronic health records is increasingly used to describe the epidemiology of adult sepsis. However, its application in pediatric populations has been limited, and real-world epidemiology of pediatric sepsis remains unknown. We aimed to determine whether this surveillance method could identify children with sepsis at high-risk of mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From a nationwide inpatient database in Japan, we included children who underwent blood culture and received antimicrobials for ≥ 4 days between 2014 and 2021. We stratified these children into those with sepsis or without sepsis by the presence of organ dysfunction. We evaluated the discrimination for in-hospital mortality by the sepsis diagnosis and the number of organ dysfunction. RESULTS: Among 6553 eligible children, in-hospital mortality was 7.2 % in 875 children with sepsis and 0.2 % in 5678 children without sepsis. Sepsis diagnosis discriminated in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 0.84 and a specificity of 0.87. The area under the curve for mortality based on the number of organ dysfunction was 0.88 (95 % confidence interval:0.84 to 0.93). In-hospital mortality incrementally increased with the number of organ dysfunction; zero, 0.2 %; one, 3.4 %; two, 12.7 %; three, 20.9 %; four, 33.3 %; and five, 50.0 %. CONCLUSIONS: The surveillance method effectively identified children with sepsis with high-risk of mortality and demonstrated strong discrimination of mortality.

Nationwide Analysis of Persistent Type II Endoleak and Late Outcomes of Endovascular Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair in Japan: A Propensity-Matched Analysis.

BACKGROUND: We reviewed the results of endovascular aneurysm repair in patients from the Japanese Committee for Stentgraft Management registry to determine the significance of persistent type II endoleak (p-T2EL) and the risk of late adverse events, including aneurysm sac enlargement. METHODS: The prospectively captured medical records of 17 099 patients <75 years of age who underwent endovascular aneurysm repair for abdominal aortic aneurysm from 2006 to 2015 were reviewed. Patients were divided into 2 groups (with or without p-T2EL) and compared to examine the correlation between p-T2EL and the occurrence of aneurysm sac enlargement after endovascular aneurysm repair. RESULTS: Of the patients, 4957 (29.0%) had p-T2EL and 12 142 (71.0%) had no p-T2EL (non-T2EL). Mean age was significantly higher (P<0.001), and there were fewer men (P<0.001) in the p-T2EL group. Among comorbidities, hypertension (P=0.019) and chronic kidney disease (P=0.040) were more prevalent and respiratory disorders were less prevalent (P<0.001) in the p-T2EL group. From each group, 4957 patients were matched according to propensity score to adjust for differences in patient characteristics. The cumulative incidence rates of abdominal aortic aneurysm-related mortality (p-T2EL: 52 of 4957 [1.0%] versus non-T2EL: 21 of 12 142 [0.2%]), rupture (p-T2EL: 38 of 4957 [0.8%] versus non-T2EL: 13 of 12 142 [0.1%]), sac enlargement (≥5 mm; p-T2EL: 1359 of 4957 [27.4%] versus non-T2EL: 332 of 12 142 [2.7%]), and reintervention (p-T2EL: 739 of 4957 [14.9%] versus non-T2EL: 91 of 12 142 [0.7%]) were significantly higher in the p-T2EL than the nonpT2EL group (P<0.001). Propensity score matching yielded higher estimated incremental risk, including abdominal aortic aneurysm-related mortality, rupture, sac enlargement (≥5 mm), and reintervention for p-T2EL (P<0.001). Cox regression analysis revealed older age (P=0.010), proximal neck diameter (P=0.003), and chronic kidney disease (P<0.001) as independent positive predictors and male sex as an independent negative predictor (P=0.015) of sac enlargement. CONCLUSIONS: The Japanese Committee for Stentgraft Management registry data show a correlation between p-T2EL and late adverse events, including aneurysm sac enlargement, reintervention, rupture, and abdominal aortic aneurysm-related mortality after endovascular aneurysm repair. Besides p-T2EL, older age, female sex, chronic kidney disease, and dilated proximal neck were associated with sac enlargement.

Comparative Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 Booster Dose After BNT162b2 Primary Vaccination Against the Omicron Variants: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Large-Scale Population-Based Registries in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Direct comparative effectiveness of booster doses of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 after BNT162b2 primary vaccination is unknown. METHODS: We investigated comparative effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 booster dose using data from registry systems for vaccination and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in a local city in Japan. We followed participants aged ≥16 years who completed the BNT162b2 primary vaccination between 22 November 2021, and 15 April 2022. We collected information on age, sex, vaccination status, vaccine type, and infection status. Age was categorized as 16-44, 45-64, 65-84, and ≥85 years. Vaccine effectiveness for mRNA-1273 and no booster vaccination against BNT162b2 was estimated using age-stratified Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, and days since the second vaccination. The estimated hazard ratios for mRNA-1273 and no booster vaccinations were integrated separately using random effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: During the study period, we identified 62 586 (40.4%), 51 490 (33.2%), and 40 849 (26.4%) participants who received BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and no booster dose, respectively. The median age was 69, 71, and 47 years for BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and no booster dose, respectively. The integrated hazard ratio with reference to BNT162b2 was 1.72 for no booster vaccination and 0.62 for mRNA-1273. The comparative effectiveness of mRNA-1273 was similar across age categories. CONCLUSIONS: Both homologous and heterologous vaccinations are effective against Omicron variants. In the head-to-head comparison, the effect was stronger in people who received heterologous vaccination than in those who received homologous vaccination. These findings may help improve logistics and decision making in future vaccination programs.

Gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel for pancreatic cancer and interstitial lung disease: A nationwide longitudinal study.

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is an adverse event associated with gemcitabine administration. Gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel, which is now a first-line chemotherapy regimen for pancreatic cancer (PC), may increase the risk of ILD; however, large-scale clinical data on this are limited. Thus, this study aimed to elucidate the incidence and risk factors of ILD in patients with PC receiving gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel. Through the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a Japanese nationwide inpatient database with outpatient data, we identified consecutive patients with PC who received gemcitabine-based chemotherapy between July 2010 and March 2019 at 205 hospitals. Competing-risk analysis was used to examine the cumulative incidence and risk factors of ILD. Among the 6163 patients who received gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel, we documented 168 patients (2.7%) who developed ILD with cumulative incidence rates (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of 2.0% (1.6%-2.4%), 2.7% (2.2%-3.1%), and 3.1% (2.6%-3.6%) at 3, 6, and 12 months, respectively. Compared with patients with PC who received gemcitabine monotherapy, those who received gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel had an adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) for ILD of 1.93 (95% CI: 1.51-2.47). Older age was associated with a high risk of ILD in patients receiving gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (adjusted SHR comparing ≥75 to ≤74 years, 1.61; 95% CI: 1.16-2.24). In conclusion, this study demonstrated the clinical course of gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel-associated ILD in patients with PC. When gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel is administered to elderly patients with PC, symptoms associated with ILD must be monitored.

Thrombotic risk of platinum combination chemotherapy with and without immune checkpoint inhibitors for advanced non-small cell lung cancer: a nationwide inpatient database study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the associated thromboembolism risk with adding immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) to platinum combination chemotherapy compared with platinum combination chemotherapy alone in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study identified 75,807 patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database who started platinum combination chemotherapy between July 2010 and March 2021. The incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE), arterial thromboembolism (ATE), and all-cause mortality within 6 months after commencing platinum combination chemotherapy was compared between patients receiving chemotherapy with ICI (ICI group, n = 7,177) and without ICI (non-ICI group, n = 37,903). Survival time analysis was performed using the overlap weighting method with propensity scores to adjust for background factors. The subdistribution hazard ratio for developing thromboembolism was calculated using the Fine-Gray model with death as a competing risk. The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was also calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Overall, VTE and ATE occurred in 761 (1.0%) and 389 (0.51%) patients, respectively; mortality was 11.7%. Propensity score overlap weighting demonstrated that the subdistribution hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for VTE and ATE in the ICI group was 1.27 (1.01-1.60) and 0.96 (0.67-1.36), respectively, compared with the non-ICI group. The mortality hazard ratio in the ICI group was 0.68 (0.62-0.74). CONCLUSION: The addition of ICI to platinum combination therapy was associated with a higher risk of VTE compared with platinum combination therapy alone, while the risk of ATE might be comparable.

Ocular Adverse Events after Coronavirus Disease 2019 mRNA Vaccination: Matched Cohort and Self-Controlled Case Series Studies Using a Large Database.

PURPOSE: To investigate the risk of ocular adverse events after Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccination. DESIGN: Matched cohort and self-controlled case series (SCCS) studies. PARTICIPANTS: We used a population-based database of medical claims and vaccination records in a large Japanese city. In the matched cohort study, we identified individuals who received COVID-19 vaccination (BNT162b2) from February 2021 to September 2021. One control was selected from nonvaccinated individuals by matching time, date of birth, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, and the enrollment period for health insurance. In the SCCS study, we analyzed individuals who developed ocular adverse events. METHODS: In the matched cohort study, we applied the Kaplan-Meier estimator to estimate the cumulative incidence of ocular adverse events over 21 days after the first dose and 84 days after the second dose. In the SCCS method, we used conditional Poisson regression to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of ocular adverse events during the risk periods (0-21 days after the first dose and 0-84 days after the second dose) compared with the remaining periods. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Composite outcome of uveitis, scleritis, retinal vein occlusion (RVO), and optic neuritis. RESULTS: There were 99 718 pairs eligible for the matched cohort study after the first dose (mean age, 69.3 years; male, 44%). The vaccinated and control groups developed 29 and 21 events, respectively, over 21 days after the first dose, and 79 and 28 events, respectively, over 84 days after the second dose. The differences in cumulative incidence (reference, the control group) were 2.9 (95% confidence interval, -14.5 to 19.1) events/100 000 persons and 51.3 (16.2-84.3) events/100 000 persons, respectively, for the first and second doses. The SCCS study showed the IRRs of 0.89 (0.62-1.28) and 0.89 (0.71-1.11) for the first and second doses, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The matched cohort analysis found an increased risk for the composite outcome after the second dose; however, the SCCS analysis showed no increased risk. Considering that the SCCS can cancel out time-invariant confounders, the current results suggest that COVID-19 vaccination is unlikely to causally increase the risk of ocular adverse events. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Sex-Specific Differences in the Risk of Heart Failure following Anti-HER2 Monoclonal Antibody Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Anti-HER2 monoclonal antibody is associated with a greater risk of heart failure (HF) in female breast cancer patients. In recent years, the indication of anti-HER2 monoclonal antibodies was further expanded to stomach, colorectal, and salivary gland cancers regardless of sex in Japan. However, there have been no data on sex difference in the risk of HF after the anti-HER2 monoclonal antibody treatment. OBJECTIVES: We compared the risk of HF between male and female cancer patients treated with anti-HER2 monoclonal antibody using a nationwide population-based database. METHOD: We analyzed 4,608 cancer patients (230 men, median age; 52 years, breast cancer; 4,333) treated with HER2 monoclonal antibody enrolled in the JMDC Claims Database. The primary outcome was the incidence of HF. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 917 ± 835 days, 559 HF events were documented. Kaplan-Meier curves showed no significant difference in the incidence of HF between men and women. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that male sex was not associated with a risk of HF compared with women (HR, 0.76; 95% CI: 0.39-1.49). CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of a nationwide population-based database firstly revealed that no significant sex difference existed in the risk of HF among cancer patients treated with anti-HER2 monoclonal antibody. Our findings suggest that the use of anti-HER2 monoclonal antibodies in male patients may be associated with similar risks observed in female patients.

Inverse association of hospital volume with in-hospital mortality rate of patients receiving EUS-guided interventions for pancreatic fluid collections.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: EUS-guided interventions currently serve as first-line treatment for symptomatic pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) but require high-level expertise and multidisciplinary care. Hospital caseload has not been fully examined in relation to clinical outcomes of patients with endoscopically managed PFCs. METHODS: Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database (a Japanese nationwide inpatient database), we identified 4053 patients receiving EUS-guided treatment of PFCs at 486 hospitals between 2010 and 2020 and examined an association of hospital volume (average annual number of cases at a hospital) with in-hospital mortality. Associations with bleeding, length of stay, and total costs were examined as secondary analyses. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: The hospital volume was inversely associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality (Ptrend < .001). The adjusted odds ratio for in-hospital mortality comparing the extreme quintiles of hospital volume was .17 (95% confidence interval, .09-.33). A restricted cubic spline analysis yielded no statistically significant evidence on the nonlinear relationship (Pnonlinearity = .19). The types of stents (plastic vs lumen-apposing metal stent) seemed to have no effect modification on the volume-mortality relationship (Pinteraction = .58). Higher hospital volume was also associated with lower risk of bleeding, shorter length of stay, and lower medical costs of inpatient care. CONCLUSIONS: Higher hospital volume was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality of patients receiving EUS-guided treatment of PFCs. A further investigation is warranted to justify the volume-based selective referral of the patients.

Association of four health behaviors in Life's Essential 8 with the incidence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: The association between health behaviors and the risk of developing hypertension and diabetes is not fully understood. We aimed to examine the association between four health behaviors involved in Life's Essential 8, the American Heart Association's key measures for improving and maintaining cardiovascular health, and the incidence of hypertension and diabetes. METHODS: This observational cohort study used the JMDC Claims Database between 2005 and 2021, which is a health check-up and claims database. We analyzed 2,912,183 participants without a history of hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or renal failure. Non-ideal health behaviors included smoking, slow gait speed, eating fast, and poor sleep quality. RESULTS: During 1140 ± 877 days, 201,385 hypertension and 142,156 diabetes events were recorded. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, the risk of hypertension and diabetes increased with an increasing number of non-ideal health behaviors. The hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) per 1-point increase in non-ideal health behavior components for hypertension and diabetes were 1.11 (1.10-1.11) and 1.08 (1.08-1.09), respectively. Each health behavior was independently associated with the incidence of hypertension and diabetes. A 1-point improvement in health behaviors was associated with a lower risk of developing hypertension (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.93-0.95) and diabetes (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94-0.96). CONCLUSION: Factors that can be substituted for the four health behaviors involved in Life's Essential 8 can stratify the risk of hypertension and diabetes, and improving these health behaviors is useful in preventing hypertension and diabetes in general population.

Nationwide epidemiology and clinical practice patterns of pediatric urinary tract infections: application of multivariate time-series clustering.

BACKGROUND: The nationwide epidemiology and clinical practice patterns for younger children hospitalized with urinary tract infections (UTIs) were unclear. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study consisting of 32,653 children aged < 36 months who were hospitalized with UTIs from 856 medical facilities during fiscal years 2011-2018 using a nationally representative inpatient database in Japan. We investigated the epidemiology of UTIs and changes in clinical practice patterns (e.g., antibiotic use) over 8 years. A machine learning algorithm of multivariate time-series clustering with dynamic time warping was used to classify the hospitals based on antibiotic use for UTIs. RESULTS: We observed marked male predominance among children aged < 6 months, slight female predominance among children aged > 12 months, and summer seasonality among children hospitalized with UTIs. Most physicians selected intravenous second- or third-generation cephalosporins as the empiric therapy for treating UTIs, which was switched to oral antibiotics during hospitalizations for 80% of inpatients. Whereas total antibiotic use was constant over the 8 years, broad-spectrum antibiotic use decreased gradually from 5.4 in 2011 to 2.5 days of therapy per 100 patient-days in 2018. The time-series clustering distinctively classified 5 clusters of hospitals based on antibiotic use patterns and identified hospital clusters that preferred to use broad-spectrum antibiotics (e.g., antipseudomonal penicillin and carbapenem). CONCLUSIONS: Our study provided novel insight into the epidemiology and practice patterns for pediatric UTIs. Time-series clustering can be useful to identify the hospitals with aberrant practice patterns to further promote antimicrobial stewardship. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Effectiveness of vaccination on influenza-related critical illnesses in the elderly population.

OBJECTIVES: The prevention of serious influenza-related severe conditions due to influenza is important, particularly in elderly patients, age is a risk factor for death resulting from influenza-related respiratory diseases. The aim of the present study was to investigate the association of influenza vaccination with severe condition requiring critical care and death in elderly people, using vaccine records and healthcare administrative claims data in a Japanese city. RESULTS: Among 5608 patients aged ≥65 years diagnosed with influenza, we identified 96 patients who had received invasive mechanical ventilation or died. Thereafter, we matched 384 controls with the cases. The cases were less vaccinated than the controls (37.5% vs. 56.0%, P < 0.01). In the multivariate analysis, influenza vaccination was associated with a lower proportion of the composite outcome (odds ratio, 0.35; 95% confidence interval, 0.21-0.60). In patients aged ≥80 years old and those with cardiovascular disease, influenza vaccination was associated with low composite outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccination was associated with reduced proportions of receiving invasive mechanical ventilation or influenza-related mortality, particularly in those aged ≥80 years old.

Prognostic factors among patients with Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli hemolytic uremic syndrome: A retrospective cohort study using a nationwide inpatient database in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) causes hemorrhagic colitis and hemolytic uremic syndrome (STEC-HUS). Understanding its prognostic factors is essential for immediate interventions. We examined early-phase unfavorable prognostic factors among patients with STEC-HUS using a nationwide database. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study to analyze practice patterns and identify prognostic factors among patients with STEC-HUS. We used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination Database, which includes approximately half of the acute-care hospitalized patients in Japan. We enrolled patients who were hospitalized for STEC-HUS from July 2010 to March 2020. The composite unfavorable outcome included in-hospital death, mechanical ventilation, dialysis, and rehabilitation at discharge. Unfavorable prognostic factors were assessed using a multivariable logistic regression model. RESULTS: We included 615 patients with STEC-HUS (median age, 7 years). Of them, 30 (4.9%) patients had acute encephalopathy and 24 (3.9%) died within 3 months of admission. Unfavorable composite outcome was observed in 124 (20.2%) patients. Significant unfavorable prognostic factors were age of 18 years or older, methylprednisolone pulse therapy, antiepileptic drug administration, and respiratory support within 2 days of admission. DISCUSSION: Patients requiring early steroid pulse therapy, antiepileptic drugs, and respiratory support were considered to be in poor general condition; such patients should receive aggressive intervention to avoid worse outcomes.

Comparison of bleeding complications after pediatric kidney biopsy between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: An increasing number of studies are evaluating the safety of intravenous sedation compared with that of general anesthesia; however, data on bleeding complications after pediatric percutaneous renal biopsy performed under intravenous sedation or general anesthesia are lacking. We aimed to examine differences in bleeding complications between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia in pediatric patients. METHODS: Data of pediatric patients aged ≤ 15 years undergoing percutaneous kidney biopsy for kidney disease between July 2007 and March 2019 were retrieved from a national inpatient database in Japan. We examined differences in bleeding complications after renal biopsy performed under intravenous sedation, defined by the absence of the record of general anesthesia with intubation but by the presence of intravenous sedation during biopsy, and general anesthesia, defined by the presence of the record of general anesthesia with intubation during biopsy, among pediatric patients admitted for percutaneous renal biopsy. We performed binomial regression using overlap weights based on propensity scores for patients receiving intravenous sedation. Analyses stratified by age or sex, a sensitivity analysis using generalized estimating equations considering cluster effects by hospital among a propensity score-matched cohort, and another sensitivity analysis using the instrumental variable method were performed to confirm the robustness of the results. RESULTS: We identified 6,560 biopsies performed in 5,999 children aged 1-15 years from 328 hospitals and 178 events. Only three severe complications and no death were observed. No significant difference in the proportion of bleeding complications was observed between procedures performed under intravenous sedation and those performed under general anesthesia (unadjusted proportions, 2.8% and 2.3%; adjusted proportions, 2.5% and 2.2%), with an unadjusted relative risk of 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-1.81) and adjusted relative risk of 1.13 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.73). Both age- and sex-stratified analyses yielded similar results. The analysis using generalized estimating equation and the instrumental variable method showed relative risks of 0.95 (95% confidence interval, 0.48-1.88) and 1.18 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.89), respectively. CONCLUSION: This retrospective cohort study using a national database revealed that the risk of biopsy-related bleeding was comparable between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia during pediatric percutaneous kidney biopsy, suggesting that intravenous sedation alone and general anesthesia may have a similar bleeding risk in pediatric percutaneous kidney biopsies.