Isolating the effect of confounding from the observed survival benefit of screening participants - a methodological approach illustrated by data from the German mammography screening programme.

BACKGROUND: Mammography screening programmes (MSP) aim to reduce breast cancer mortality by shifting diagnoses to earlier stages. However, it is difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of current MSP because analyses can only rely on observational data, comparing women who participate in screening with women who do not. These comparisons are subject to several biases: one of the most important is self-selection into the MSP, which introduces confounding and is difficult to control for. Here, we propose an approach to quantify confounding based on breast cancer survival analyses using readily available routine data sources. METHODS: Using data from the Cancer Registry of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, we estimate the relative contribution of confounding to the observed survival benefit of participants of the German MSP. This is accomplished by comparing non-participants, participants with screen-detected and participants with interval breast cancers for the endpoints "death from breast cancer" and "death from all causes other than breast cancer" - the latter being assumed to be unrelated to any MSP effect. By using different contrasts, we eliminate the effects of stage shift, lead and length time bias. The association of breast cancer detection mode with survival is analysed using Cox models in 68,230 women, aged 50-69 years, with breast cancer diagnosed in 2006-2014 and followed up until 2018. RESULTS: The hazard of dying from breast cancer was lower in participants with screen-detected cancer than in non-participants (HR = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.20-0.22), but biased by lead and length time bias, and confounding. When comparing participants with interval cancers and non-participants, the survival advantage was considerably smaller (HR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.58-0.66), due to the elimination of stage shift and lead time bias. Finally, considering only mortality from causes other than breast cancer in the latter comparison, length time bias was minimised, but a survival advantage was still present (HR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.56-0.70), which we attribute to confounding. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that, in addition to stage shift, lead and length time bias, confounding is an essential component when comparing the survival of MSP participants and non-participants. We further show that the confounding effect can be quantified without explicit knowledge of potential confounders by using a negative control outcome.

Stroke in Patients with Bacterial Meningitis: A Cohort Study and Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to characterize patients with ischemic stroke due to bacterial meningitis. METHODS: In a single-center retrospective study, we analyzed 102 patients with bacterial meningitis of which 19 had an ischemic stroke. Clinical characteristics, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analyses, and spatiotemporal distribution of infarcts were assessed. In addition, we searched PubMed from database inception to August 2021 for observational studies on ischemic stroke in patients with bacterial meningitis, and performed a meta-analysis to investigate the frequency and timing of stroke as well as its effect on mortality. RESULTS: In our cohort, 15 (78.9%) patients with stroke had an modified Rankin scale (mRS)  ≥  3 at discharge compared to 33 (39.8%) in patients without stroke (p < 0.01). Of 1,692 patients with bacterial meningitis from 15 cohort studies included in our meta-analysis, cerebral infarcts were found in 332 (16%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.13-0.20) patients. The occurrence of stroke was strongly associated with a higher mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.70-3.34, p < 0.0001). There was no association of any specific causative pathogen with the occurrence of stroke. Infarcts were mainly distributed in territories of arteries located in the vicinity to the infection focus and peaked at 3 to -7 days and at 2 weeks after onset of meningitis. In patients with ischemic stroke, vasculopathy was found in 63.2% and additional intracerebral hemorrhage in 15.8%. INTERPRETATION: This study found that ischemic stroke due to bacterial meningitis is caused by cerebral vasculopathy located in the vicinity of the infection focus, and that the time course of infarctions might enable a therapeutic intervention. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:1094-1105.

Genome-wide interaction study with major depression identifies novel variants associated with cognitive function.

Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) often is associated with significant cognitive dysfunction. We conducted a meta-analysis of genome-wide interaction of MDD and cognitive function using data from four large European cohorts in a total of 3510 MDD cases and 6057 controls. In addition, we conducted analyses using polygenic risk scores (PRS) based on data from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC) on the traits of MDD, Bipolar disorder (BD), Schizophrenia (SCZ), and mood instability (MIN). Functional exploration contained gene expression analyses and Ingenuity Pathway Analysis (IPA®). We identified a set of significantly interacting single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) between MDD and the genome-wide association study (GWAS) of cognitive domains of executive function, processing speed, and global cognition. Several of these SNPs are located in genes expressed in brain, with important roles such as neuronal development (REST), oligodendrocyte maturation (TNFRSF21), and myelination (ARFGEF1). IPA® identified a set of core genes from our dataset that mapped to a wide range of canonical pathways and biological functions (MPO, FOXO1, PDE3A, TSLP, NLRP9, ADAMTS5, ROBO1, REST). Furthermore, IPA® identified upstream regulator molecules and causal networks impacting on the expression of dataset genes, providing a genetic basis for further clinical exploration (vitamin D receptor, beta-estradiol, tadalafil). PRS of MIN and meta-PRS of MDD, MIN and SCZ were significantly associated with all cognitive domains. Our results suggest several genes involved in physiological processes for the development and maintenance of cognition in MDD, as well as potential novel therapeutic agents that could be explored in patients with MDD associated cognitive dysfunction.

Why Most Acute Stroke Studies Are Positive in Animals but Not in Patients: A Systematic Comparison of Preclinical, Early Phase, and Phase 3 Clinical Trials of Neuroprotective Agents.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze why numerous acute stroke treatments were successful in the laboratory but failed in large clinical trials. METHODS: We searched all phase 3 trials of medical treatments for acute ischemic stroke and corresponding early clinical and experimental studies. We compared the overall efficacy and assessed the impact of publication bias and study design on the efficacy. Furthermore, we estimated power and true report probability of experimental studies. RESULTS: We identified 50 phase 3 trials with 46,008 subjects, 75 early clinical trials with 12,391 subjects, and 209 experimental studies with >7,141 subjects. Three (6%) phase 3, 24 (32%) early clinical, and 143 (69.08%) experimental studies were positive. The mean treatment effect was 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.70-0.83) in experimental studies, 0.87 (95% CI = 0.71-1.06) in early clinical trials, and 1.00 (95% CI = 0.95-1.06) in phase 3 trials. Funnel plot asymmetry and trim-and-fill revealed a clear publication bias in experimental studies and early clinical trials. Study design and adherence to quality criteria had a considerable impact on estimated effect sizes. The mean power of experimental studies was 17%. Assuming a bias of 30% and pre-study odds of 0.5 to 0.7, this leads to a true report probability of <50%. INTERPRETATION: Pivotal study design differences between experimental studies and clinical trials, including different primary end points and time to treatment, publication bias, neglected quality criteria and low power, contribute to the stepwise efficacy decline of stroke treatments from experimental studies to phase 3 clinical trials. Even under conservative estimates, less than half of published positive experimental stroke studies are truly positive. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:40-51.

Large-scale evidence for an association between low-grade peripheral inflammation and brain structural alterations in major depression in the BiDirect study

Background: Preliminary research suggests that major depressive disorder (MDD) is associated with structural alterations in the brain; as well as with low-grade peripheral inflammation. However, even though a link between inflammatory processes and altered brain structural integrity has been purported by experimental research, well-powered studies to confirm this hypothesis in patients with MDD have been lacking. We aimed to investigate the potential association between structural brain alterations and low-grade inflammation as interrelated biological correlates of MDD. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, 514 patients with MDD and 359 healthy controls underwent structural MRI. We used voxel-based morphometry to study local differences in grey matter volume. We also assessed serum levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) in each participant. Results: Compared with healthy controls (age [mean ± standard deviation] 52.57 ± 7.94 yr; 50% male), patients with MDD (49.14 ± 7.28 yr, 39% male) exhibited significantly increased hsCRP levels (Z = −5.562, p < 0.001) and significantly decreased grey matter volume in the prefrontal cortex and the insula. Prefrontal grey matter volume reductions were significantly associated with higher hsCRP levels in patients with MDD (x = 50, y = 50, z = 8; t1,501 = 5.15; k = 92; pFWE < 0.001). In the MDD sample, the significant negative association between hsCRP and grey matter appeared independent of age, sex, body mass index, current smoking status, antidepressant load, hospitalization and medical comorbidities. Limitations: This study had a cross-sectional design. Conclusion: The present study highlights the role of reduced grey matter volume and low-grade peripheral inflammation as interrelated biological correlates of MDD. The reported inverse association between peripheral low-grade inflammation and brain structural integrity in patients with MDD translates current knowledge from experimental studies to the bedside.

Cerebral MRI in a prospective cohort study on depression and atherosclerosis: the BiDirect sample, processing pipelines, and analysis tools.

BACKGROUND: The use of cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in observational studies has increased exponentially in recent years, making it critical to provide details about the study sample, image processing, and extracted imaging markers to validate and replicate study results. This article reviews the cerebral MRI dataset from the now-completed BiDirect cohort study, as an update and extension of the feasibility report published after the first two examination time points. METHODS: We report the sample and flow of participants spanning four study sessions and twelve years. In addition, we provide details on the acquisition protocol; the processing pipelines, including standardization and quality control methods; and the analytical tools used and markers available. RESULTS: All data were collected from 2010 to 2021 at a single site in Münster, Germany, starting with a population of 2,257 participants at baseline in 3 different cohorts: a population-based cohort (n = 911 at baseline, 672 with MRI data), patients diagnosed with depression (n = 999, 736 with MRI data), and patients with manifest cardiovascular disease (n = 347, 52 with MRI data). During the study period, a total of 4,315 MRI sessions were performed, and over 535 participants underwent MRI at all 4 time points. CONCLUSIONS: Images were converted to Brain Imaging Data Structure (a standard for organizing and describing neuroimaging data) and analyzed using common tools, such as CAT12, FSL, Freesurfer, and BIANCA to extract imaging biomarkers. The BiDirect study comprises a thoroughly phenotyped study population with structural and functional MRI data. RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The BiDirect Study includes a population-based sample and two patient-based samples whose MRI data can help answer numerous neuropsychiatric and cardiovascular research questions. KEY POINTS: • The BiDirect study included characterized patient- and population-based cohorts with MRI data. • Data were standardized to Brain Imaging Data Structure and processed with commonly available software. • MRI data and markers are available upon request.

The dilemma of neuroprotection trials in times of successful endovascular recanalization.

Background: The "translational roadblock" between successful animal stroke studies and neutral clinical trials is usually attributed to conceptual weaknesses. However, we hypothesized that rodent studies cannot inform the human disease due to intrinsic pathophysiological differences between rodents and humans., i.e., differences in infarct evolution. Methods: To verify our hypothesis, we employed a mixed study design and compared findings from meta-analyses of animal studies and a retrospective clinical cohort study. For animal data, we systematically searched pubmed to identify all rodent studies, in which stroke was induced by MCAO and at least two sequential MRI scans were performed for infarct volume assessment within the first two days. For clinical data, we included 107 consecutive stroke patients with large artery occlusion, who received MRI scans upon admission and one or two days later. Results: Our preclinical meta-analyses included 50 studies with 676 animals. Untreated animals had a median post-reperfusion infarct volume growth of 74%. Neuroprotective treatments reduced this infarct volume growth to 23%. A retrospective clinical cohort study showed that stroke patients had a median infarct volume growth of only 2% after successful recanalization. Stroke patients with unsuccessful recanalization, by contrast, experienced a meaningful median infarct growth of 148%. Conclusion: Our study shows that rodents have a significant post-reperfusion infarct growth, and that this post-reperfusion infarct growth is the target of neuroprotective treatments. Stroke patients with successful recanalization do not have such infarct growth and thus have no target for neuroprotection.

Personality and the use of cancer screenings - Results of the German National Cohort.

Objective: To determine the association between personality characteristics and use of different cancer screenings. Methods: We used data from the German National Cohort (NAKO; mean age was 53.0 years (SD: 9.2 years)) - a population-based cohort study. A total of 132,298 individuals were included in the analyses. As outcome measures, we used (self-reported): stool examination for blood (haemoccult test, early detection of bowel cancer), colonoscopy (screening for colorectal cancer), skin examination for moles (early detection of skin cancer), breast palpation by a doctor (early detection of breast cancer), x-ray examination of the breast ("mammography", early detection of breast cancer), cervical smear test, finger examination of the rectum (early detection of prostate cancer), and blood test for prostate cancer (determination of Prostate-Specific Antigen level). The established Big Five Inventory-SOEP was used to quantify personality factors. It was adjusted for several covariates based on the Andersen model. Unadjusted and adjusted multiple logistic regressions were computed. Results: A higher probability of having a skin examination for moles, for example, was associated with a higher conscientiousness (OR: 1.07, p < 0.001), higher extraversion (OR: 1.03, p < 0.001), higher agreeableness (OR: 1.02, p < 0.001), lower openness to experience (OR: 0.98, p < 0.001) and higher neuroticism (OR: 1.07, p < 0.001) among the total sample. Depending on the outcome used, the associations slightly varied. Conclusions: Particularly higher levels of extraversion, neuroticism and conscientiousness are associated with the use of different cancer screenings. Such knowledge may help to better understand non-participation in cancer screening examinations from a psychological perspective.

Periodic limb movements in sleep are linked to decreased hippocampus and amygdala volumes in the population-based BiDirect Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Even though numerous studies indicate that sleep disorders are associated with altered brain morphology, MRI studies focusing on periodic limb movements in sleep (PLMS) are scarce. Our aim was to investigate the association of PLMS with global and regional gray matter volumes as well as white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume. METHODS: One hundred and eighty-nine subjects (57.0 ± 7.8 years, women: 50.5%) of the population-based BiDirect Study underwent a single-night polysomnography (PSG). Standard criteria of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine were applied to evaluate sleep characteristics and calculate the PLMS index (PLMSI). T1w and FLAIR images were acquired with cerebral MRI at 3 Tesla. Voxel-based morphometry was performed to determine the total gray matter volume as well as the volume of cortical segments and subcortical gray matter areas using SPM12 and CAT12. The WMH volume was quantified with the Brain Intensity AbNormality Classification Algorithm. The independent relationship between MRI markers and PLMSI was analyzed using multivariable linear regression with adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, intracranial volume, PSG scorer, PSG device, sleep apnea, and the use of antidepressants. RESULTS: PLMSI was not significantly related to global gray matter volume and WMH volume. However, significant inverse associations of the PLMSI with the volume of the hippocampus (left and right hemisphere) and left amygdala were observed. CONCLUSIONS: A significant relationship between a higher PLMSI and lower volumes of the hippocampus and amygdala was found among the participants of the BiDirect Study. Since these associations are based on exploratory analyses, further replications are required before drawing firm conclusions.

The R package for DICOM to brain imaging data structure conversion.

The BIDSconvertR package is the first R-based tool for organizing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) research data in accordance with the Brain Imaging Data Structure (BIDS) specification. Key features are the DICOM (Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine) to NIfTI (Neuroimaging Informatics Technology Initiative) and NIfTI to BIDS conversion, the implementation of the BIDS Validator and a MRI data viewer to efficiently manage MRI neuroimaging data sets. The BIDSconvertR offers an interactive user dialogue and a graphical user interface. BIDS validation is facilitated by color-coding of the BIDS sequence-IDs. Data cleaning is simplified by the option of using regular expressions. The BIDSconvertR contributes to the growing efforts to improve reproducibility in neuroimaging research by facilitating researchers to share and organize data in a standardized and transparent manner.

Computed tomography hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch vs. automated perfusion mismatch to identify stroke patients eligible for thrombolysis.

Background and purpose: Automated perfusion imaging can detect stroke patients with unknown time of symptom onset who are eligible for thrombolysis. However, the availability of this technique is limited. We, therefore, established the novel concept of computed tomography (CT) hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch, i.e., an ischemic core lesion visible on cerebral perfusion CT without visible hypodensity in the corresponding native cerebral CT. We compared both methods regarding their accuracy in identifying patients suitable for thrombolysis. Methods: In a retrospective analysis of the MissPerfeCT observational cohort study, patients were classified as suitable or not for thrombolysis based on established time window and imaging criteria. We calculated predictive values for hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch and automated perfusion imaging to compare accuracy in the identification of patients suitable for thrombolysis. Results: Of 247 patients, 219 (88.7%) were eligible for thrombolysis and 28 (11.3%) were not eligible for thrombolysis. Of 197 patients who were within 4.5 h of symptom onset, 190 (96.4%) were identified by hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch and 88 (44.7%) by automated perfusion mismatch (p < 0.001). Of 22 patients who were beyond 4.5 h of symptom onset but were eligible for thrombolysis, 5 patients (22.7%) were identified by hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch. Predictive values for the hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch vs. automated perfusion mismatch were as follows: sensitivity, 89.0% vs. 50.2%; specificity, 71.4% vs. 100.0%; positive predictive value, 96.1% vs. 100.0%; and negative predictive value, 45.5% vs. 20.4%. Conclusion: The novel method of hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch can identify patients suitable for thrombolysis with higher sensitivity and lower specificity than established techniques. Using this simple method might therefore increase the proportion of patients treated with thrombolysis without the use of special automated software.The MissPerfeCT study is a retrospective observational multicenter cohort study and is registered with clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04277728).

The Relative Importance of Vascular Risk Factors on Early Cognitive Aging Varies Only Slightly Between Men and Women.

Objective: To investigate the sex-specific course and impact of vascular risk factors on cognitive aging in a rather young and healthy community-dwelling cohort. Methods: We used data from a population-based cohort study, collected three times during 6 years, comprising 1,911 examinations from 798 participants aged 35-66 years at baseline. Cognitive performance on the Color-Word-Interference-Test, the Trail Making Tests (TMT) A&B, the Word Fluency Test, a 12-item word list, the Purdue Pegboard Test and a principal component global score were used as outcomes in linear mixed models. We evaluated (1) sex differences in cognitive trajectories, (2) the mediating role of hypertension, diabetes, smoking and obesity [body mass index (BMI) > 30] on sex differences and (3) in sex-stratified analyses, potential sex-specific effects of these risk factors on cognition. Results: For all cognitive tests, we observed cognitive decline with age. Rates of decline slightly differed across sexes, showing a later but steeper decline for women in tests of memory (word list) and word fluency, but a steeper decline for men in tests of psychomotor speed and mental set shifting (TMT A&B) in older age. Women generally scored better on cognitive tests, but the slightly higher prevalence of classical vascular risks factors in men in our cohort could not explain these sex differences. Sex-stratified analyses revealed a generally small, concordantly negative, but quantitatively slightly different impact of diabetes, smoking and obesity on cognitive functions but mixed effects for arterial hypertension, depending on the blood pressure values, the treatment status and the duration of arterial hypertension. Conclusion: Cognitive sex differences in this rather young and healthy cohort could not be explained by a differing prevalence of vascular risks factors across sexes. The association of cardiovascular risk factors with cognition, however, slightly differed between men and women, whereby effects were generally small. Whereas longtime diabetes, obesity and smoking had a sex-specific, but concordantly negative impact on psychomotor speed, executive and motor functions, we found some opposing effects for arterial hypertension. Our results can help to identify sex-specific susceptibilities to modifiable risk factors, to attract attention to potential information bias and to stimulate further research into alternative causes and mechanism of sex differences in cognitive aging.

Sex-Specific Causes and Consequences of White Matter Damage in a Middle-Aged Cohort.

Objective: To evaluate potential sex-specific effects of multiple cardiovascular risk factors on white matter pathology in normal aging men and women, as well as potential sex-differences in the association of white matter pathology and cognitive functions. Methods: We analyzed cross-sectional data of 581 participants (median age: 53 years, 54% women) of the population-based cohort of the BiDirect Study who completed clinical examinations, five neuropsychological tests, and an 3T MRI examination. White matter pathology was determined by the extent of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) on FLAIR images as well as the magnitude of global fractional anisotropy (FA) based on diffusion tensor imaging. Main effects, interaction as well as sex-stratified generalized linear regression models were used to evaluate the moderating effect of sex on the association of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and obesity with WMH and FA, respectively. Associations of imaging markers with cognitive test results were determined with linear regression models. Results: Hypertension showed stronger associations with more extensive WMH and less FA in women compared to men. Current smoking was associated with more severe WMH in women only. Adjusted for age and education, WMH were not significantly associated with cognitive tests, but higher FA was associated with better performance in motor function in both sexes and with executive functions in men, even after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusion: We observed a stronger association of hypertension and smoking with white matter damage in women, suggesting a higher susceptibility for vascular pathology in women. However, there was no association of WMH with cognition, and FA was associated with executive function tests only in men, suggesting a higher cognitive reserve in women.

Effectiveness of Mammography Screening on Breast Cancer Mortality - A Study Protocol for Emulation of Target Trials Using German Health Claims Data.

Background: The efficacy of mammography screening in reducing breast cancer mortality has been demonstrated in randomized trials. However, treatment options - and hence prognosis - for advanced tumor stages as well as mammography techniques have considerably improved since completion of these trials. Consequently, the effectiveness of mammography screening under current conditions is unclear and controversial. The German mammography screening program (MSP), an organized population-based screening program, was gradually introduced between 2005 and 2008 and achieved nation-wide coverage in 2009. Objective: We describe in detail a study protocol for investigating the effectiveness of the German MSP in reducing breast cancer mortality in women aged 50 to 69 years based on health claims data. Specifically, the proposed study aims at estimating per-protocol effects of several screening strategies on cumulative breast cancer mortality. The first analysis will be conducted once 10-year follow-up data are available. Methods and Analysis: We will use claims data from five statutory health insurance providers in Germany, covering approximately 37.6 million individuals. To estimate the effectiveness of the MSP, hypothetical target trials will be emulated across time, an approach that has been demonstrated to minimize design-related biases. Specifically, the primary contrast will be in terms of the cumulative breast cancer mortality comparing the screening strategies of "never screen" versus "regular screening as intended by the MSP". Ethics and Dissemination: In Germany, the utilization of data from health insurances for scientific research is regulated by the Code of Social Law. All involved health insurance providers as well as the responsible authorities approved the use of the health claims data for this study. The Ethics Committee of the University of Bremen determined that studies based on claims data are exempt from institutional review. The findings of the proposed study will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

Simplified Assessment of Lesion Water Uptake for Identification of Patients within 4.5 Hours of Stroke Onset: An Analysis of the MissPerfeCT Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Many patients with stroke cannot receive intravenous thrombolysis because the time of symptom onset is unknown. We tested whether a simple method of computed tomography (CT)-based quantification of water uptake in the ischemic tissue can identify patients with stroke onset within 4.5 hours. METHODS: This retrospective analysis of the MissPerfeCT study (August 2009 to November 2017) includes consecutive patients with known onset of symptoms from seven tertiary stroke centers. We developed a simplified algorithm based on region of interest (ROI) measurements to quantify water uptake of the ischemic lesion and thereby quantify time of symptom onset within and beyond 4.5 hours. Perfusion CT was used to identify ischemic brain tissue, and its density was measured in non-contrast CT and related to the density of the corresponding area of the contralateral hemisphere to quantify lesion water uptake. RESULTS: Of 263 patients, 204 (77.6%) had CT within 4.5 hours. Water uptake was significantly lower in patients with stroke onset within (6.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.0% to 7.4%) compared to beyond 4.5 hours (12.7%; 95% CI, 10.7% to 14.7%). The area under the curve for distinguishing these patient groups according to percentage water uptake was 0.744 with an optimal cut-off value of 9.5%. According to this cut-off the positive predictive value was 88.8%, sensitivity was 73.5%, specificity 67.8%, negative predictive value was 42.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Ischemic stroke patients with unknown time of symptom onset can be identified as being within a timeframe of 4.5 hours using a ROI-based method to assess water uptake on admission non-contrast head CT.

The Effect of Training Sample Size on the Prediction of White Matter Hyperintensity Volume in a Healthy Population Using BIANCA.

Introduction: White matter hyperintensities of presumed vascular origin (WMH) are an important magnetic resonance imaging marker of cerebral small vessel disease and are associated with cognitive decline, stroke, and mortality. Their relevance in healthy individuals, however, is less clear. This is partly due to the methodological challenge of accurately measuring rare and small WMH with automated segmentation programs. In this study, we tested whether WMH volumetry with FMRIB software library v6.0 (FSL; https://fsl.fmrib.ox.ac.uk/fsl/fslwiki) Brain Intensity AbNormality Classification Algorithm (BIANCA), a customizable and trainable algorithm that quantifies WMH volume based on individual data training sets, can be optimized for a normal aging population. Methods: We evaluated the effect of varying training sample sizes on the accuracy and the robustness of the predicted white matter hyperintensity volume in a population (n = 201) with a low prevalence of confluent WMH and a substantial proportion of participants without WMH. BIANCA was trained with seven different sample sizes between 10 and 40 with increments of 5. For each sample size, 100 random samples of T1w and FLAIR images were drawn and trained with manually delineated masks. For validation, we defined an internal and external validation set and compared the mean absolute error, resulting from the difference between manually delineated and predicted WMH volumes for each set. For spatial overlap, we calculated the Dice similarity index (SI) for the external validation cohort. Results: The study population had a median WMH volume of 0.34 ml (IQR of 1.6 ml) and included n = 28 (18%) participants without any WMH. The mean absolute error of the difference between BIANCA prediction and manually delineated masks was minimized and became more robust with an increasing number of training participants. The lowest mean absolute error of 0.05 ml (SD of 0.24 ml) was identified in the external validation set with a training sample size of 35. Compared to the volumetric overlap, the spatial overlap was poor with an average Dice similarity index of 0.14 (SD 0.16) in the external cohort, driven by subjects with very low lesion volumes. Discussion: We found that the performance of BIANCA, particularly the robustness of predictions, could be optimized for use in populations with a low WMH load by enlargement of the training sample size. Further work is needed to evaluate and potentially improve the prediction accuracy for low lesion volumes. These findings are important for current and future population-based studies with the majority of participants being normal aging people.

Primary Angiitis of the CNS: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To facilitate and improve the diagnostic and therapeutic process by systematically reviewing studies on patients with primary angiitis of the CNS (PACNS). METHODS: We searched PubMed, looking at the period between 1988 and February 2020. Studies with adult patients with PACNS were included. We extracted and pooled proportions using fixed-effects models. Main outcomes were proportions of patients with certain clinical, imaging, and laboratory characteristics and neurologic outcomes. RESULTS: We identified 46 cohort studies including a total of 911 patients (41% biopsy confirmed, 43% angiogram confirmed, and 16% without clear assignment to the diagnostic procedure). The most frequent onset symptoms were focal neurologic signs (63%), headache (51%), and cognitive impairment (41%). Biopsy- compared with angiogram-confirmed cases had higher occurrences of cognitive impairment (55% vs 39%) and seizures (36% vs 16%), whereas focal neurologic signs occurred less often (56% vs 95%). CSF abnormalities were present in 75% vs 65% and MRI abnormalities in 97% vs 98% of patients. Digital subtraction angiography was positive in 33% of biopsy confirmed, and biopsy was positive in 8% of angiogram-confirmed cases. In 2 large cohorts, mortality was 23% and 8%, and the relapse rate was 30% and 34%, during a median follow-up of 19 and 57 months, respectively. There are no randomized trials on the treatment of PACNS. The initial treatment usually includes glucocorticoids and cyclophosphamide. DISCUSSION: PACNS is associated with disabling symptoms, frequent relapses, and significant mortality. Differences in symptoms and neuroimaging results and low overlap between biopsy and angiogram suggest that biopsy- and angiogram-confirmed cases represent different histopathologic types of PACNS. The optimal treatment is unknown.

Immune Cell Infiltration into the Brain After Ischemic Stroke in Humans Compared to Mice and Rats: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Although several studies have suggested that anti-inflammatory strategies reduce secondary infarct growth in animal stroke models, clinical studies have not yet demonstrated a clear benefit of immune modulation in patients. Potential reasons include systematic differences of post-ischemic neuroinflammation between humans and rodents. We here performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize and compare the spatial and temporal distribution of immune cell infiltration in human and rodent stroke. Data on spatiotemporal distribution of immune cells (T cells, macrophages, and neutrophils) and infarct volume were extracted. Data from all rodent studies were pooled by means of a random-effect meta-analysis. Overall, 20 human and 188 rodent stroke studies were included in our analyses. In both patients and rodents, the infiltration of macrophages and neutrophils preceded the lymphocytic influx. Macrophages and neutrophils were the predominant immune cells within 72 h after infarction. Although highly heterogeneously across studies, the temporal profile of the poststroke immune response was comparable between patients and rodents. In rodent stroke, the extent of the immune cell infiltration depended on the duration and location of vessel occlusion and on the species. The density of infiltrating immune cells correlated with the infarct volume. In summary, we provide the first systematic analysis and comparison of human and rodent post-ischemic neuroinflammation. Our data suggest that the inflammatory response in rodent stroke models is comparable to that in patients with stroke. However, the overall heterogeneity of the post-ischemic immune response might contribute to the translational failure in stroke research.

CT Hypoperfusion-Hypodensity Mismatch to Identify Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Within 4.5 Hours of Symptom Onset.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that CT hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch identifies patients with ischemic stroke within 4.5 hours of symptom onset. METHODS: We therefore performed the Retrospective Multicenter Hypoperfusion-Hypodensity Mismatch for The identification of Patients With Stroke Within 4.5 Hours study of patients with acute ischemic stroke and known time of symptom onset. The predictive values of hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch for the identification of patients with symptom onset within 4.5 hours were the main outcome measure. RESULTS: Of 666 patients, 548 (82.3%) had multimodal CT within 4.5 hours and 118 (17.7%) beyond 4.5 hours. Hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch was visible in 516 (94.2%) patients with symptom onset within and in 30 (25.4%) patients beyond 4.5 hours. CT hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch identified patients within 4.5 hours of stroke onset with 94.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 91.9%-95.8%) sensitivity, 74.6% (95% CI 66.0%-81.6%) specificity, 94.5% (95% CI 92.3%-96.1%) positive predictive value, and 73.3% (95% CI 64.8%-80.4%) negative predictive value. Interobserver agreement for hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch was substantial (κ = 0.61, 95% CI 0.53-0.69). DISCUSSION: Patients with acute ischemic stroke with absence of a hypodensity on native CT (NCCT) within the hypoperfused core lesion on perfusion CT (hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch) are likely to be within the time window of thrombolysis. Applying this method may guide the decision to use thrombolysis in patients with unknown time of stroke onset. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04277728. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that CT hypoperfusion-hypodensity mismatch identifies patients with stroke within 4.5 hours of onset.

Genetic factors influencing a neurobiological substrate for psychiatric disorders.

A retrospective meta-analysis of magnetic resonance imaging voxel-based morphometry studies proposed that reduced gray matter volumes in the dorsal anterior cingulate and the left and right anterior insular cortex-areas that constitute hub nodes of the salience network-represent a common substrate for major psychiatric disorders. Here, we investigated the hypothesis that the common substrate serves as an intermediate phenotype to detect genetic risk variants relevant for psychiatric disease. To this end, after a data reduction step, we conducted genome-wide association studies of a combined common substrate measure in four population-based cohorts (n = 2271), followed by meta-analysis and replication in a fifth cohort (n = 865). After correction for covariates, the heritability of the common substrate was estimated at 0.50 (standard error 0.18). The top single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs17076061 was associated with the common substrate at genome-wide significance and replicated, explaining 1.2% of the common substrate variance. This SNP mapped to a locus on chromosome 5q35.2 harboring genes involved in neuronal development and regeneration. In follow-up analyses, rs17076061 was not robustly associated with psychiatric disease, and no overlap was found between the broader genetic architecture of the common substrate and genetic risk for major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, or schizophrenia. In conclusion, our study identified that common genetic variation indeed influences the common substrate, but that these variants do not directly translate to increased disease risk. Future studies should investigate gene-by-environment interactions and employ functional imaging to understand how salience network structure translates to psychiatric disorder risk.