Rate of pancreatic cancer following a negative endoscopic ultrasound and associated factors.

BACKGROUND : Data are limited regarding pancreatic cancer diagnosed following a pancreaticobiliary endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) that does not diagnose pancreatic cancer. We have studied the frequency of, and factors associated with, post-EUS pancreatic cancer (PEPC) and 1-year mortality. METHODS : Between 2010 and 2017, patients with pancreatic cancer and a preceding pancreaticobiliary EUS were identified in a national cohort using Hospital Episode Statistics. Patients with a pancreaticobiliary EUS 6-18 months before a later pancreatic cancer diagnosis were the PEPC cases; controls were those with pancreatic cancer diagnosed within 6 months of pancreaticobiliary EUS. Multivariable logistic regression models examined the factors associated with PEPC and a Cox regression model examined factors associated with 1-year cumulative mortality. RESULTS : 9363 pancreatic cancer patients were studied; 93.5 % identified as controls (men 53.2 %; median age 68 [interquartile range (IQR) 61-75]); 6.5 % as PEPC cases (men 58.2 %; median age 69 [IQR 61-77]). PEPC was associated with older age (≥ 75 years compared with < 65 years, odds ratio [OR] 1.42, 95 %CI 1.15-1.76), increasing co-morbidity (Charlson co-morbidity score > 5, OR 1.90, 95 %CI 1.49-2.43), chronic pancreatitis (OR 3.13, 95 %CI 2.50-3.92), and diabetes mellitus (OR 1.58, 95 %CI 1.31-1.90). Metal biliary stents (OR 0.57, 95 %CI 0.38-0.86) and EUS-FNA (OR 0.49, 95 %CI 0.41-0.58) were inversely associated with PEPC. PEPC was associated with a higher cumulative mortality at 1 year (hazard ratio 1.12, 95 %CI 1.02-1.24), with only 14 % of PEPC patients (95 %CI 12 %-17 %) having a surgical resection, compared with 21 % (95 %CI 20 %-22 %) of controls. CONCLUSIONS : PEPC occurred in 6.5 % of patients and was associated with chronic pancreatitis, older age, more co-morbidities, and specifically diabetes mellitus. PEPC was associated with a worse prognosis and lower surgical resection rates.

Idiopathic intracranial hypertension: Evaluation of births and fertility through the Hospital Episode Statistics dataset.

OBJECTIVE: Idiopathic intracranial hypertension (IIH) predominantly affects women of reproductive age with obesity, and these women have a distinct profile of hyperandrogenism and insulin resistance. Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) has an established adverse fertility phenotype that typically affects obese women. As IIH may impact reproductive health, we sought to evaluate fertility, gestational complications and pregnancy outcome in IIH. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study from English Hospital Episode Statistics dataset. SETTING: English hospitals, UK. POPULATION: Women aged 18-45 years seen in English hospitals between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2019. Patients were required to have an IIH diagnosis and were compared with those with PCOS and general population female controls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pregnancies resulting in live births, complications of gestational diabetes and pre-eclampsia, and method of delivery. RESULTS: Data was collected from 17 587 IIH, 199633 PCOS and 10 947 012 women in the general population. The live birth rate, adjusted for age, was significantly lower among women with IIH (54.1%) than PCOS (67.9%), p < 0.0001 and the general population (57.7%), p < 0.0001. Pre-eclampsia and gestational diabetes risks were higher following a diagnosis of IIH (5.3-fold and 2.7-fold, respectively, p < 0.0001) compared with the general population controls. Following a diagnosis of IIH, elective caesarean section rates were more than twice that of general population (odds ratio [OR] 2.4) and prior to a diagnosis of IIH (OR 2.2). CONCLUSIONS: These data indicate there are lower age-adjusted total pregnancy rates, increased risk of pre-eclampsia and gestational diabetes, and a doubling of elective caesarean section rates in those with a diagnosis of IIH.

Outcomes Following an Index Emergency Admission With Cholecystitis: A National Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the differences between patients who undergo cholecystectomy following index admission for cholecystitis, and those who are managed nonoperatively. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Index emergency cholecystectomy following acute cholecystitis is widely recommended by national guidelines, but its effect on clinical outcomes remains uncertain. METHODS: Data collected routinely from the Hospital Episode Statistics database (all admissions to National Health Service organizations in England and Wales) were extracted between April 1, 2002 and March 31, 2015. Analyses were limited to patients aged over 18 years with a primary diagnosis of cholecystitis. Exclusions included records with missing or invalid datasets, patients who had previously undergone a cholecystectomy, patients who had died without a cholecystectomy, and those undergoing cholecystectomy for malignancy, pancreatitis, or choledocholithiasis. Patients were grouped as either "no cholecystectomy" where they had never undergone a cholecystectomy following discharge, or "cholecystectomy." The latter group was then subdivided as "emergency cholecystectomy" when cholecystectomy was performed during their index emergency admission, or "interval cholecystectomy" when a cholecystectomy was performed within 12 months following a subsequent (emergency or elective) admission. Propensity Score Matching was used to match emergency and interval cholecystectomy groups. Main outcome measures included 1) One-year total length of hospital stay due to biliary causes following an index emergency admission with cholecystitis. 2) One-year mortality; defined as death occurring within 1 year following the index emergency admission with acute cholecystitis. RESULTS: Of the 99,139 patients admitted as an emergency with acute cholecystitis, 51.1% (47,626) did not undergo a cholecystectomy within 1 year of index admission. These patients were older, with more comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Score ≥ 5 in 23.5% vs. 8.1%, P < 0.001) when compared to patients who did have a cholecystectomy. While all-cause 1-year mortality was higher in the nonoperated versus the operated group (12.2% vs. 2.0%, P < 0.001), gallbladder-related deaths were significantly lower than all other causes of death in the non-operated group (3.3% vs. 8.9%, P < 0.001). Following matching, 1-year total hospital admission time was significantly higher following emergency compared with interval cholecystectomy (17.7 d vs. 13 d, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Over 50% of patients in England did not undergo cholecystectomy following index admission for acute cholecystitis. Mortality was higher in the nonoperated group, which was mostly due to non-gallbladder pathologies but total hospital admission time for biliary causes was lower over 12 months. Increasing the numbers of emergency cholecystectomy may risk over-treating patients with acute cholecystitis and increasing their time spent admitted to hospital.

Effects of Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis on Risks of Cancer and Death in People With Inflammatory Bowel Disease, Based on Sex, Race, and Age.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are insufficient population-level data on the effects of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). METHODS: We identified incident cases of IBD, with PSC (PSC-IBD) and without, from April 2006 to April 2016 and collected data on outcomes through April 2019. We linked data from national health care registries maintained for all adults in England on hospital attendances, imaging and endoscopic evaluations, surgical procedures, cancer, and deaths. Our primary aim was to quantify the effects of developing PSC in patients with all subtypes of IBD and evaluate its effects on hepatopancreatobiliary disease, IBD-related outcomes, and all-cause mortality, according to sex, race, and age. RESULTS: Over 10 years, we identified 284,560 incident cases of IBD nationwide; of these, 2588 patients developed PSC. In all, we captured 31,587 colectomies, 5608 colorectal cancers (CRCs) 6608 cholecystectomies, and 41,055 patient deaths. Development of PSC was associated with increased risk of death and CRC (hazard ratios [HRs], 3.20 and 2.43, respectively; P < .001) and a lower median age at CRC diagnosis (59 y vs 69 y without PSC; P < .001). Compared to patients with IBD alone, patients with PSC-IBD had a 4-fold higher risk of CRC if they received a diagnosis of IBD at an age younger than 40 years; there was no difference between groups for patients diagnosed with IBD at an age older than 60 years. Development of PSC also increased risks of cholangiocarcinoma (HR, 28.46), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR, 21.00), pancreatic cancer (HR, 5.26), and gallbladder cancer (HR, 9.19) (P < .001 for all). Risk of hepatopancreatobiliary cancer-related death was lower among patients with PSC-IBD who received annual imaging evaluations before their cancer diagnosis, compared to those who did not undergo imaging (HR, 0.43; P = .037). The greatest difference in mortality between the PSC-IBD alone group vs the IBD alone group was for patients younger than 40 years (incidence rate ratio >7), in contrast to those who received a diagnosis of IBD when older than 60 years (incidence rate ratio, <1.5). Among patients with PSC-IBD we observed 173 first liver transplants. Liver transplantation and PSC-related events accounted for approximately 75% of clinical events when patients received a diagnosis of PSC at an age younger than 40 years vs 31% of patients who received a diagnosis when older than 60 years (P < .001). African Caribbean heritage was associated with increased risks of liver transplantation or PSC-related death compared with white race (HR, 2.05; P < .001), whereas female sex was associated with reduced risk (HR, 0.74; P = .025). CONCLUSIONS: In a 10-year, nationwide study, we confirmed that patients with PSC-IBD have increased risks of CRC, hepatopancreatobiliary cancers, and death compared to patients with IBD alone. In the PSC-IBD group, diagnosis of IBD at age younger than 40 years was associated with greater risks of CRC and all-cause mortality compared with diagnosis of IBD at older ages. Patients who receive a diagnosis of PSC at an age younger than 40 years, men, and patients of African Caribbean heritage have an increased incidence of PSC-related events.

The outcomes of emergency hospital admissions with non-malignant upper gastrointestinal bleeding in England between 2003 and 2015.

BACKGROUND: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common medical emergency with significant mortality. Despite developments in endoscopic and clinical management, only minor improvements in outcomes have been reported. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with non-malignant UGIB emergency admissions in England between 2003 and 2015, using Hospital Episode Statistics. Multilevel logistic regression analysis examined the associations with mortality. RESULTS: 242 796 patients with an UGIB admission were identified (58.8 % men; median age 70 [interquartile range (IQR) 53 - 81]). Between 2003 and 2015, falls occurred in both 30-day mortality (7.5 % to 7.0 %; P < 0.001) and age-standardized mortality (odds ratio (OR) 0.74, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.69 - 0.80; P < 0.001), including from variceal bleeding (OR 0.63, 95 %CI 0.45 - 0.87; P < 0.005). Increasing co-morbidity (Charlson score > 5, OR 2.94, 95 %CI 2.85 - 3.04; P < 0.001), older age (> 83 years, OR 6.50, 95 %CI 6.09 - 6.94; P < 0.001), variceal bleeding (OR 2.03, 95 %CI 1.89 - 2.18; P < 0.001), and a weekend admission (Sunday, OR 1.18, 95 %CI 1.12 - 1.23; P < 0.001) were associated with 30-day mortality. Of deaths at 30 days, 8.9 % were from ischemic heart disease (IHD) and the cardiovascular age-standardized mortality rate following UGIB was high (IHD deaths within 1 year, 1188.4 [95 %CI 1036.8 - 1353.8] per 100 000 men in 2003). CONCLUSIONS: Between 2003 and 2015, 30-day mortality among emergency admissions with non-malignant UGIB fell by 0.5 % to 7.0 %. Mortality was higher among UGIB admissions at the weekend, with important implications for service provision. Patients with UGIB had a much greater risk of subsequently dying from cardiovascular disease and addressing this risk is a key management step in UGIB.

A national study of artificial urinary sphincter and male sling implantation after radical prostatectomy in England.

OBJECTIVES: To consider the provision of post-radical prostatectomy (RP) continence surgery in England. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with an Office of Population Census and Surveys Classification of Interventions and Procedures, version 4 code for an artificial urinary sphincter (AUS) or male sling between 1 January 2010 and 31 March 2018 were searched for within the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) dataset. Those without previous RP were excluded. Multivariable logistic regressions for repeat AUS and sling procedures were built in stata. Further descriptive analysis of provision of procedures was performed. RESULTS: A total of 1414 patients had received index AUS, 10.3% of whom had undergone prior radiotherapy; their median follow-up was 3.55 years. The sling cohort contained 816 patients; 6.7% of these had received prior radiotherapy and the median follow-up was 3.23 years. Whilst the number of AUS devices implanted had increased each year, male slings peaked in 2014/2015. AUS redo/removal was performed in 11.2% of patients. Patients in low-volume centres were more likely to require redo/removal (odds ratio [OR] 2.23 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-4.86; P = 0.045). A total of 12.0% patients with a sling progressed to AUS implantation and 1.3% had a second sling. Patients with previous radiotherapy were more likely to require a second operation (OR 2.03 95% CI 1.01-4.06; P = 0.046). Emergency re-admissions within 30 days of index operation were 3.9% and 3.6% fewer in high-volume centres, for AUS and slings respectively. The median time to initial continence surgery from RP was 2.8 years. Increased time from RP conferred no reduced risk of redo surgery for either procedure. CONCLUSION: There is a volume effect for outcomes of AUS procedures, suggesting that they should only be performed in high-volume centres. Given the known impact of incontinence on quality of life, patients should be referred sooner for post-prostatectomy continence surgery.

Young adults have worse kidney transplant outcomes than other age groups.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to establish if renal transplant outcomes (graft and patient survival) for young adults in England were worse than for other age groups. METHODS: Outcomes for all renal transplant recipients in England (n = 26 874) were collected from Hospital Episode Statistics and the Office for National Statistics databases over 12 years. Graft and patient outcomes, follow-up and admissions were studied for all patients, stratified by age bands. RESULTS: Young adults (14-23 years) had substantially greater likelihood [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.19; P < 0.001] of kidney transplant failure than any other age band. They had a higher non-attendance rate for clinic appointments (1.6 versus 1.2/year; P < 0.001) and more emergency admissions post-transplantation (25% of young adults on average are admitted each year, compared with 15-20% of 34- to 43-year olds). Taking into account deprivation, ethnicity, transplant type and transplant centre, in the 14- to 23-year group, return to dialysis remained significantly worse than all other age bands (HR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.26-1.57). For the whole cohort, increasing deprivation related to poorer outcomes and black ethnicity was associated with poorer outcomes. However, neither ethnicity nor deprivation was over-represented in the young adult cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Young adults who receive a kidney transplant have a significant increased likelihood of a return to dialysis in the first 10 years post-transplant when compared with those aged 34-43 years in multivariable analysis.

Mental health in hospital emergency departments: cross-sectional analysis of attendances in England 2013/2014.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the population of patients who attend emergency departments (ED) in England for mental health reasons. METHODS: Cross-sectional observational study of 6 262 602 ED attendances at NHS (National Health Service) hospitals in England between 1 April 2013 and 31 March 2014. We assessed the proportion of attendances due to psychiatric conditions. We compared patient sociodemographic and attendance characteristics for mental health and non-mental health attendances using logistic regression. RESULTS: 4.2% of ED attendances were attributable to mental health conditions (median 3.2%, IQR 2.6% to 4.1%). Those attending for mental health reasons were typically younger (76.3% were aged less than 50 years), of White British ethnicity (73.2% White British), and resident in more deprived areas (59.9% from the two most deprived Index of Multiple Deprivation quintiles (4 and 5)). Mental health attendances were more likely to occur 'out of hours' (68.0%) and at the weekend (31.3%). Almost two-thirds were brought in by ambulance. A third required admission, but around a half were discharged home. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first national study of mental health attendances at EDs in England. We provide information for those planning and providing care, to ensure that clinical resources meet the needs of this patient group, who comprise 4.2% of attendances. In particular, we highlight the need to strengthen the availability of hospital and community care 'out of hours.'

Outcomes of pneumatic dilatation and Heller's myotomy for achalasia in England between 2005 and 2016.

INTRODUCTION: Achalasia is a disorder characterised by failed relaxation of the lower oesophageal sphincter. The aim of this study was to examine, at a national level, the long-term outcomes of achalasia therapies. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics include diagnostic and procedural data for all English National Health Service-funded hospital admissions. Subjects with a code for achalasia who had their initial treatment between January 2006 and December 2015 were grouped by treatment; pneumatic dilatation (PD) or surgical Heller's myotomy (HM). Procedural failure was defined as time to a further episode of the same therapy or a change to a different therapy. Up to three PDs were permitted without being considered a therapy failure. RESULTS: 6938 subjects were included; 3619 (52.2%) were men and median age at diagnosis was 59 (IQR 43-75) years. 4748 (68.4%) initially received PD and 2190 (31.6%) HM. The perforation rate following PD was 1.6%. Mortality at 30 days was 0.0% for HM and 1.9% for PD, and <8% after perforation following PD. Factors associated with increased mortality after PD included age quintile 66-77 (OR 4.55 (95% CI 2.00 to 10.38), p<0.001), >77 (9.78 (4.33 to 22.06), p<0.001); Charlson comorbidity score >4 (2.87 (2.08 to 3.95), p<0.001); previous HM (2.47 (1.33 to 4.62), p<0.001); and repeat PD 1-3 (1.58 (1.15 to 2.16), p=0.005), >3 (1.97 (1.21 to 3.19), p=0.006). Durability of up to 3 PD and HM over 10 years of follow-up was 86.2% and 81.9%, respectively (p<0.001). DISCUSSION: The efficacy of PD for achalasia appears to be greater than HM over 10 years. There was no mortality associated with HM, but 1.9% of subjects died within 30 days of PD. Mortality was associated with increasing age, comorbidity, previous HM and repeat PD.

Incidence, morbidity and mortality of patients with achalasia in England: findings from a study of nationwide hospital and primary care data.

BACKGROUND: Achalasia is an uncommon condition characterised by failed lower oesophageal sphincter relaxation. Data regarding its incidence, prevalence, disease associations and long-term outcomes are very limited. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) include demographic and diagnostic data for all English hospital attendances. The Health Improvement Network (THIN) includes the primary care records of 4.5 million UK subjects, representative of national demographics. Both were searched for incident cases between 2006 and 2016 and THIN for prevalent cases. Subjects with achalasia in THIN were compared with age, sex, deprivation tand smoking status matched controls for important comorbidities and mortality. RESULTS: There were 10 509 and 711 new achalasia diagnoses identified in HES and THIN, respectively. The mean incidence per 100 000 people in HES was 1.99 (95% CI 1.87 to 2.11) and 1.53 (1.42 to 1.64) per 100 000 person-years in THIN. The prevalence in THIN was 27.1 (25.4 to 28.9) per 100 000 population. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were significantly higher in subjects with achalasia (n=2369) compared with controls (n=3865) for: oesophageal cancer (IRR 5.22 (95% CI: 1.88 to 14.45), p<0.001), aspiration pneumonia (13.38 (1.66 to 107.79), p=0.015), lower respiratory tract infection (1.33 (1.05 to 1.70), p=0.02) and mortality (1.33 (1.17 to 1.51), p<0.001). The median time from achalasia diagnosis to oesophageal cancer diagnosis was 15.5 (IQR 20.4) years. CONCLUSION: The incidence of achalasia is 1.99 per 100 000 population in secondary care data and 1.53 per 100 000 person-years in primary care data. Subjects with achalasia have an increased incidence of oesophageal cancer, aspiration pneumonia, lower respiratory tract infections and higher mortality. Clinicians treating patients with achalasia should be made aware of these associated morbidities and its increased mortality.

Differences in outcome between patients readmitted to index vs non-index hospital trusts after colorectal resection.

AIM: The clinical consequences of readmission following major surgery in the English National Health Service are unknown. This study aimed to determine differences in outcome between patients readmitted to index vs non-index trusts after major surgery. METHOD: Adult patients who underwent colorectal resection in England in April 2006 to March 2017 were identified in the national Hospital Episodes Statistics dataset. Patients were included if they were readmitted as emergencies within 30 days of initial discharge. The primary outcome measure was all-cause mortality within 90 days of readmission. Comparisons between patients readmitted to index vs non-index trusts were adjusted for confounders using multivariable logistic regression. Rectal resection patients were a planned subgroup. RESULTS: The readmission rate following colorectal resection was 15.1% (54 680/364 481), with 7.1% (3905/54 680) readmitted to a non-index trust. The 90-day mortality following readmission was 7.1% (3874/54 680) overall and 3.9% (652/16 736) in the rectal resection subgroup. The reoperation rate was 19.2% (10 498/54 680) overall and 23.1% (3859/16 736) after rectal resection. Mortality was significantly higher in non-index [10.9% (427/3905)] vs index trusts [6.8% (3447/507 75), adjusted OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.34-1.68, P < 0.001]. There was an annual average of 14.7 excess deaths in non-index trusts; only 1.9 of these followed surgical reoperation. In patients who underwent rectal resection, only 0.3 of the total 1.9 excess deaths each year in non-index trusts followed surgical reoperation. CONCLUSION: Despite a statistical difference, the absolute number of excess deaths attributable to readmission to a non-index trust is very low, particularly amongst patients requiring reoperation.

Risk of Recurrent Disease and Surgery Following an Admission for Acute Diverticulitis.

BACKGROUND: Diverticular disease accounts for significant morbidity and mortality and may take the form of recurrent episodes of acute diverticulitis. The role of elective surgery is not clearly defined. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to define the rate of hospital admission for recurrent acute diverticulitis and risk factors associated with recurrence and surgery. DESIGN: This is a retrospective population-based cohort study. SETTINGS: National Health Service hospital admissions for acute diverticulitis in England between April 2006 and March 2011 were reviewed. PATIENTS: Hospital Episode Statistics data identified adult patients with the first episode of acute diverticulitis (index admission), and then identified recurrent admissions and elective or emergency surgery for acute diverticulitis during a minimum follow-up period of 4 years. Exclusion criteria included previous diagnoses of acute diverticulitis, colorectal cancer, or GI bleeding, and prior colectomy or surgery or death during the index admission. INTERVENTIONS: There were no interventions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcomes measured were recurrent admissions for acute diverticulitis and patients requiring either elective or emergency surgery during the study period. RESULTS: Some 65,162 patients were identified with the first episode of acute diverticulitis. The rate of hospital admission for recurrent acute diverticulitis was 11.2%. A logistic regression model examined factors associated with recurrent acute diverticulitis and surgery: patient age, female sex, smoking, obesity, comorbidity score >20, dyslipidemia, and complicated acute diverticulitis increased the risk of recurrent acute diverticulitis. There was an inverse relationship between patient age and recurrence. Similar factors were associated with elective and emergency surgery. LIMITATIONS: The cases of acute diverticulitis required inpatient management and the use of Hospital Episode Statistics, relying on the accuracy of diagnostic coding. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest study assessing the rates of hospital admission for recurrent acute diverticulitis. Knowledge of the rate and risk factors for recurrent acute diverticulitis is required to aid discussion and decision making with patients regarding the need and timing of elective surgery. Some factors associated with recurrence are modifiable; therefore, weight reduction and smoking cessation can be championed. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A449.

Increased fracture risk in plasma cell dyscrasias is associated with poorer overall survival.

Pathological fractures are a common complication of plasma cell dyscrasias (PCD) and are associated with significant morbidity. Routine use of bisphosphonates over the past decade has aimed to reduce the risk of fractures in patients with multiple myeloma, but despite this, fractures continue to represent a significant burden of disease. In this study we report the fracture rate of hospital in-patients with PCD in England. Data from the national registry Hospital Episode Statistics between 2001 and 2015 were used to determine fracture rate and its effect on overall survival. Fracture rates were 17·8 times higher than the general population in the first year after admission with PCD, and remained elevated for up to 10 years after first admission. The increased fracture risk preceded the first admission with PCD and, conversely, the incidence of PCD increased after admission with one or more fractures. Overall survival is improving with PCD, however poorer survival is found in patients with a preceding fracture (Hazard ratio 1·20). Despite widespread bisphosphonate use, fractures remain common in PCD, and are associated with poorer outcomes.

A Comparison of Mortality Following Emergency Laparotomy Between Populations From New York State and England.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare mortality following emergency laparotomy between populations from New York State and England. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Mortality following emergency surgery is a key quality improvement metric in both the United States and UK. Comparison of the all-cause 30-day mortality following emergency laparotomy between populations from New York State and England might identify factors that could improve care. METHODS: Patient demographics, in-hospital, and 30-day outcomes data were extracted from Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) in England and the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) administrative databases for all patients older than 18 years undergoing laparotomy for emergency open bowel surgery between April 2009 and March 2014. The primary outcome measure was all-cause mortality within 30 days of the index laparotomy. Mixed-effects logistic regression was performed to model independent demographic variables against mortality. A one-to-one propensity score matched dataset was created to compare the odd ratios of mortality between the 2 populations. RESULTS: Overall, 137,869 patient records, 85,286 (61.9%) from England and 52,583 (38.1%) from New York State, were extracted. Crude 30-day mortality for patients was significantly higher in the England compared with New York State [11,604 (13.6%) vs 3633 (6.9%) patients, P < 0.001]. Patients undergoing emergency laparotomy in England had significantly higher risk of mortality compared with those in New York State (odds ratio 2.35, confidence interval 2.24-2.46, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The risk of mortality at 30 days is higher following emergency laparotomy in England as compared with New York State despite similar patient groups.

A Population-Based Cohort Study of Emergency Appendectomy Performed in England and New York State.

BACKGROUND: To compare selected outcomes (30-day reoperation and total length of hospital stay) following emergency appendectomy between populations from New York State and England. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used demographic and in-hospital outcome data from Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) administrative databases for all patients aged 18+ years undergoing appendectomy between April 2009 and March 2014. Univariate and adjusted multivariable logistic regression were used to test significant factors. A one-to-one propensity score matched dataset was created to compare odd ratios (OR) of reoperations between the two populations. RESULTS: A total of 188,418 patient records, 121,428 (64.4%) from England and 66,990 (35.6%) from NYS, were extracted. Appendectomy was completed laparoscopically in 77.7% of patients in New York State compared to 53.6% in England (P < 0.001). The median lengths of hospital stay for patients undergoing appendectomy were 3 (interquartile range, IQR 2-4) days versus 2 (IQR 1-3) days (P < 0.001) in England and New York State, respectively. All 30-day reoperation rates were higher in England compared to New York State (1.2 vs. 0.6%, P < 0.001), representing nearly a twofold higher risk of 30-day reoperation (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.64-2.14, P < 0.001). As the proportion of appendectomy completed laparoscopically increased, there was a reduction in the reoperation rate in England (correlation coefficient -0.170, P = 0.036). CONCLUSIONS: Reoperations and total length of hospital stay is significantly higher following appendectomy in England compared to New York State. Increasing the numbers of appendectomy completed laparoscopically may decrease length of stay and reoperations.

Venous Thromboembolism Following Discharge from Hospital in Patients Admitted for Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients admitted to hospital with inflammatory bowel disease[IBD] are at increased risk of venous thromboembolism[VTE]. This study aims to identify IBD patients at increased VTE risk on hospital discharge and to develop a risk scoring system to recognise them. METHODS: Hospital episode statistics data were used to identify all patients admitted with IBD as an emergency or electively for surgery. All patients with VTE within 90 days of hospital discharge were identified. A multilevel logistic regression model was used to identify patient- and admission-level factors associated with VTE. A scoring system to identify patients at higher risk for VTE was constructed. RESULTS: A total of 201 779 admissions in 101 966 patients were included. The rate of VTE within 90 days was 17.2 per 1000 patient-years at risk and was highest in patients admitted as an emergency who underwent surgery[36.9]. VTE was associated with: female sex (odds ratio 0.65 [95% confidence interval 0.53-0.80], p <0.001); increasing age [49-60 years] (4.67 [3.36-6.49], p <0.001); increasing length of hospital stay [>10 days] (3.80 [2.80-5.15], p <0.001); more than two hospital admissions in previous 3 months (2.23 [1.60-3.10], p <0.001); ulcerative colitis (1.48 [1.21-1.82], p <0.001); and emergency admission including surgery (1.59 [1.12-2.27], p = 0.010); or emergency admission not including surgery (1.59 [1.08-2.35], p = 0.019) compared with elective surgery. A score >12 in the VTE scoring system gave a positive predictive value [PPV] of VTE of 1%. The area under the curve [AUC] was 0.714 [95% CI 0.70-0.73]. CONCLUSION: IBD patients admitted to hospital with a prolonged length of stay, increasing age, male sex, or as an emergency were at increased risk of VTE following discharge. Higher-risk patients were identifiable by a VTE risk scoring system.

Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension: Evaluation of Admissions and Emergency Readmissions through the Hospital Episode Statistic Dataset between 2002-2020.

With increasing incidence and prevalence of Idiopathic intracranial hypertension in the UK, the aim of this study was to explore emerging themes in Idiopathic intracranial hypertension using the Hospital Episode Statistics dataset and to quantify recent change in hospital admissions and surgeries performed within England. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics national data was extracted between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2019, and followed up until 31 March 2020. All those within England with a diagnosis of Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension were included. Those with secondary causes of raised intracranial pressure such as tumors, hydrocephalus and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis were excluded. RESULTS: 28,794 new IIH cases were diagnosed between 1 January 2002 and 31 December 2019. Incidence rose between 2002 to 2019 from 1.8 to 5.2 per 100,000 in the general population. Peak incidence occurred in females aged 25-29 years. Neurosurgical shunt was the commonest procedure performed (6.4%), followed by neovascular venous sinus stenting (1%), bariatric surgery (0.8%) and optic nerve sheath fenestration (0.5%). The portion of the total IIH population requiring a shunt fell from 10.8% in 2002/2003 to 2.46% in 2018/2019. The portion of the total IIH population requiring shunt revision also reduced over time from 4.84% in 2002/2003 to 0.44% in 2018/2019. The mean 30 days emergency readmissions for primary shunt, revision of shunt, bariatric surgery, neurovascular stent, and optic nerve sheath fenestration was 23.1%, 23.7%, 10.6%, 10.0% and 9.74%, respectively. There was a peak 30 days readmission rate following primary shunt in 2018/2019 of 41%. Recording of severe visual impairment fell to an all-time low of 1.38% in 2018/19. CONCLUSIONS: Increased awareness of the condition, specialist surgery and expert guidance may be changing admissions and surgical trends in IIH. The high 30 readmission following primary shunt surgery for IIH requires further investigation.

The outcomes of biliary drainage by percutaneous transhepatic cholangiography for the palliation of malignant biliary obstruction in England between 2001 and 2014: a retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Relieving obstructive jaundice in inoperable pancreato-biliary cancers improves quality of life and permits chemotherapy. Percutaneous transhepatic cholangiography with drainage and/or stenting relieves jaundice but can be associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD) in malignant biliary obstruction was therefore examined in a national cohort to establish risk factors for poor outcomes. METHODS: Retrospective study of adult patients undergoing PTBD for palliation of pancreato-biliary cancer in England between 2001 and 2014 identified from Hospital Episode Statistics. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to examine associations with mortality and the need for a repeat PTBD within 2 months. RESULTS: 16 822 patients analysed (median age 72 (range 19-104) years, 50.3% men). 58% pancreatic and 30% biliary tract cancer. In-hospital and 30-day mortality were 15.3% (95% CI 14.7% to 15.9%) and 23.1% (22.4%-23.8%), respectively. 20.2% suffered a coded complication within 3 months. Factors associated with 30-day mortality: age (≥81 years OR 2.68 (95% CI 2.37 to 3.03), p<0.001), increasing comorbidity (Charlson score 20+, 3.10 (2.64-3.65), p<0.001), pre-existing renal dysfunction (2.37 (2.12-2.65), p<0.001) and non-pancreatic cancer (unspecified biliary tract 1.28 (1.08-1.52), p=0.004). Women had lower mortality (0.91 (0.84-0.98), p=0.011), as did patients undergoing PTBD in a 'higher volume' provider (84-180 PTBDs per year 0.68 (0.58-0.79), p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing PTBD for the palliation of malignant biliary obstruction, 30-day mortality was high at 23.1%. Mortality was higher in older patients, men, those with increasing comorbidity, a cancer site other than pancreas and at 'lower-volume' PTBD providers.

Higher volume providers are associated with improved outcomes following ERCP for the palliation of malignant biliary obstruction.

BACKGROUND: Relieving malignant biliary obstruction improves quality of life and permits chemotherapy. Outcomes of endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancratography(ERCP) in inoperable malignant biliary obstruction have been examined in a national cohort to establish factors associated with poor outcomes. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics include diagnostic and procedural data for all NHS hospital attendances in England. Patients from 2006 to 2017 with a Hepaticopancreaticobiliary (HPB) malignancy who had undergone ERCP were studied. Patients undergoing a potentially curative operation were excluded. Associations between demographics, co-morbidities, unit ERCP volume and mortality were examined by logistic regression. FINDINGS: 39,702 patients were included; 49.4% were male; median age was 75 (IQR 66-88)years. Pancreatic cancer was the most common tumour (63.9%). Mortality was 4.1%, 9.7% and 19.1% for 7-day, in hospital and 30-day respectively. On multivariable analysis: men (OR 1.20(95%CI 1.14-1.26), p < 0.001); increasing age quintile 78-83(1.73(1.59-1.89), p < 0.001), >83(2.70(2.48-2.94),p < 0.001); most deprived quintile (1.21(1.11-1.32), p < 0.001); increasing co-morbidity score >20(3.36(2.94-3.84),p < 0.001); small bowel malignancy (1.45(1.22-1.72), p < 0.001), intrahepatic biliary malignancy(1.10(1.03-1.17), p = 0.005) and year of ERCP 2006/07 (1.37(1.22-1.55), p < 0.001) were associated with increased 30-day mortality. Extrahepatic biliary tree cancers (0.67(0.61-0.73), p<0.001), high volume providers of ERCP (>318 annually, 0.91(0.84-0.98), p = 0.01) and high volume of ERCP for malignant obstruction (>40 annually (0.91(0.85-0.98), p = 0.014) were negatively associated with 30-day mortality. Patients were less likely to require a second ERCP in high volume providers (>318, 8.0%) compared to low volume ((<204, 13.4%), p<0.001). INTERPRETATION: Short term mortality in patients with malignant biliary obstruction following ERCP was high. 30-day mortality was positively associated with increasing age and co-morbidity, men, deprivation, and earlier year of ERCP and negatively with extrahepatic biliary tree cancer and high volume ERCP providers. FUNDING: Internal funding only.