Current challenges and future perspectives in treating patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis.

Despite the slow, progressive nature of NAFLD, the number of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis has significantly increased. Although the management of patients with cirrhosis is constantly evolving, improving the prognosis of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis is a challenge because it is situated at the crossroads between the liver, the metabolic, and the cardiovascular diseases. Therefore, the therapeutic interventions should not only target the liver but also the associated cardiometabolic conditions and should be adapted accordingly. The objective of the current review is to critically discuss the particularities in the management of patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis. We relied on the recommendations of scientific societies and discussed them in the specific context of NAFLD cirrhosis and the surrounding cardiometabolic milieu. Herein, we covered the following aspects: (1) the weight loss strategies through lifestyle interventions to avoid sarcopenia and improve portal hypertension; (2) the optimal control of metabolic comorbidities in particular type 2 diabetes aimed not only to improve cardiovascular morbidity/mortality but also to lower the incidence of cirrhosis-related complications (we discussed various aspects related to the safety of oral antidiabetic drugs in cirrhosis); (3) the challenges in performing bariatric surgery in patients with cirrhosis related to the portal hypertension and the risk of cirrhosis decompensation; (4) the particularities in the diagnosis and management of the portal hypertension and the difficulties in managing patients awaiting for liver transplantation; and (5) the difficulties in developing drugs and conducting clinical trials in patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis. Moreover, we discussed the emerging options to overcome these obstacles.

Machine learning algorithm improves the detection of NASH (NAS-based) and at-risk NASH: A development and validation study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Detecting NASH remains challenging, while at-risk NASH (steatohepatitis and F≥ 2) tends to progress and is of interest for drug development and clinical application. We developed prediction models by supervised machine learning techniques, with clinical data and biomarkers to stage and grade patients with NAFLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Learning data were collected in the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis metacohort (966 biopsy-proven NAFLD adults), staged and graded according to NASH CRN. Conditions of interest were the clinical trial definition of NASH (NAS ≥ 4;53%), at-risk NASH (NASH with F ≥ 2;35%), significant (F ≥ 2;47%), and advanced fibrosis (F ≥ 3;28%). Thirty-five predictors were included. Missing data were handled by multiple imputations. Data were randomly split into training/validation (75/25) sets. A gradient boosting machine was applied to develop 2 models for each condition: clinical versus extended (clinical and biomarkers). Two variants of the NASH and at-risk NASH models were constructed: direct and composite models.Clinical gradient boosting machine models for steatosis/inflammation/ballooning had AUCs of 0.94/0.79/0.72. There were no improvements when biomarkers were included. The direct NASH model produced AUCs (clinical/extended) of 0.61/0.65. The composite NASH model performed significantly better (0.71) for both variants. The composite at-risk NASH model had an AUC of 0.83 (clinical and extended), an improvement over the direct model. Significant fibrosis models had AUCs (clinical/extended) of 0.76/0.78. The extended advanced fibrosis model (0.86) performed significantly better than the clinical version (0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Detection of NASH and at-risk NASH can be improved by constructing independent machine learning models for each component, using only clinical predictors. Adding biomarkers only improved the accuracy of fibrosis.

A proposal from the liver forum for the management of comorbidities in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis therapeutic trials.

The current document has been developed by the Liver Forum who mandated the NAFLD-Associated Comorbidities Working Group - a multistakeholder group comprised of experts from academic medicine, industry and patient associations - to identify aspects of diverse comorbidities frequently associated with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) that can interfere with the conduct of therapeutic trials and, in particular, impact efficacy and safety results. The objective of this paper is to propose guidance for the management of relevant comorbidities in both candidates and actual participants in NASH therapeutic trials. We relied on specific guidelines from scientific societies, when available, but adapted them to the particulars of NASH trials with the aim of addressing multiple interacting requirements such as maintaining patient safety, reaching holistic therapeutic objectives, minimising confounding effects on efficacy and safety of investigational agents and allowing for trial completion. We divided the field of action into: first, analysis and stabilisation of the patient's condition before inclusion in the trial and, second, management of comorbidities during trial conduct. For the former, we discussed the concept of acceptable vs. optimal control of comorbidities, defined metabolic and ponderal stability prior to randomisation and weighed the pros and cons of a run-in period. For the latter, we analysed non-hepatological comorbid conditions for changes or acute events possibly occurring during the trial, including changes in alcohol consumption, in order to detail when specific interventions are necessary and how best to manage concomitant drug intake in line with methodological constraints. These recommendations are intended to act as a guide for clinical trialists and are open to further refinement when additional data become available.

Persistence of severe liver fibrosis despite substantial weight loss with bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It remains unclear to what extent and which components of advanced liver disease improve after bariatric surgery. We herein describe the histological outcome in patients with advanced NASH and its relationship with weight loss and metabolic improvement. APPROACH AND RESULTS: One hundred ninety-six patients with advanced NASH underwent bariatric surgery, 66 of whom agreed to a follow-up liver biopsy at 6 ± 3 years (36 with advanced fibrosis [AF] and 30 with high activity [HA] grade without AF). Liver biopsies LBs were centrally read and histological response was defined as the disappearance of AF or HA. Bariatric surgery induced major histological improvement: 29% of patients had normal histology at follow-up biopsy; 74% had NASH resolution without fibrosis progression; and 70% had ≥1 stage fibrosis regression. However, AF persisted in 47% of patients despite NASH resolution and some degree of fibrosis reversal, only evidenced by the EPoS seven-tier staging classification. These patients had lower weight loss and reduced hypertension or diabetes remission rates. Older age and sleeve gastrectomy were the only independent predictors for persistent AF after adjustment for duration of follow-up. All HA patients had major histological improvement: 50% normal histology, 80% NASH resolution, and 86% a ≥1 grade steatosis reduction. Patients with normal liver at follow-up had the largest weight loss and metabolic improvement. Independent predictors of normal liver were amount of weight loss, high histological activity, and the absence of AF before surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Although bariatric surgery successfully reverses active steatohepatitis, AF can persist for many years and is associated with lesser weight loss and metabolic improvement. Weight loss alone may not be sufficient to reverse AF.

Electronic health records (EHRs) in clinical research and platform trials: Application of the innovative EHR-based methods developed by EU-PEARL.

OBJECTIVE: Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems are digital platforms in clinical practice used to collect patients' clinical information related to their health status and represents a useful storage of real-world data. EHRs have a potential role in research studies, in particular, in platform trials. Platform trials are innovative trial designs including multiple trial arms (conducted simultaneously and/or sequentially) on different treatments under a single master protocol. However, the use of EHRs in research comes with important challenges such as incompleteness of records and the need to translate trial eligibility criteria into interoperable queries. In this paper, we aim to review and to describe our proposed innovative methods to tackle some of the most important challenges identified. This work is part of the Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) EU Patient-cEntric clinicAl tRial pLatforms (EU-PEARL) project's work package 3 (WP3), whose objective is to deliver tools and guidance for EHR-based protocol feasibility assessment, clinical site selection, and patient pre-screening in platform trials, investing in the building of a data-driven clinical network framework that can execute these complex innovative designs for which feasibility assessments are critically important. METHODS: ISO standards and relevant references informed a readiness survey, producing 354 criteria with corresponding questions selected and harmonised through a 7-round scoring process (0-1) in stakeholder meetings, with 85% of consensus being the threshold of acceptance for a criterium/question. ATLAS cohort definition and Cohort Diagnostics were mainly used to create the trial feasibility eligibility (I/E) criteria as executable interoperable queries. RESULTS: The WP3/EU-PEARL group developed a readiness survey (eSurvey) for an efficient selection of clinical sites with suitable EHRs, consisting of yes-or-no questions, and a set-up of interoperable proxy queries using physicians' defined trial criteria. Both actions facilitate recruiting trial participants and alignment between study costs/timelines and data-driven recruitment potential. CONCLUSION: The eSurvey will help create an archive of clinical sites with mature EHR systems suitable to participate in clinical trials/platform trials, and the interoperable proxy queries of trial eligibility criteria will help identify the number of potential participants. Ultimately, these tools will contribute to the production of EHR-based protocol design.

Clinical validation of the FLIP algorithm and the SAF score in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Histological classifications used to diagnose/stage non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are based on morphology, with undetermined clinical correlates and relevance. We assessed the clinical relevance of the fatty liver inhibition of progression (FLIP) algorithm and the steatosis, activity, and fibrosis (SAF) scoring system. METHODS: One hundred and forty consecutive patients with suspected NAFLD and a separate validation cohort of 78 patients enrolled in a therapeutic trial, all with central reading of liver biopsy, were included. FLIP and SAF were used to categorize patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), non-NASH NAFLD (NAFL), or non-NAFLD. The SAF activity score assessed hepatocyte ballooning and lobular inflammation; a histologically severe disease was defined as a SAF activity score of ≥3 and/or bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis. Clinical, biochemical, and metabolic data were analyzed in relation to histology. RESULTS: Patients with NASH according to the FLIP algorithm had a clinical profile distinct from those with NAFL, with a higher prevalence of metabolic risk factors (increased body mass index [BMI], central obesity, serum glucose, and glycated hemoglobin), more severe insulin resistance (fasting insulin and homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance [HOMA-IR] values), and higher levels of aminotransferases. Similar findings were documented for patients with severe disease vs. those without. Positive linear trends existed between NASH or severe disease and increasing BMI and HOMA-IR. There was a strong association between liver fibrosis and NASH or SAF-defined scores of activity. Patients with either significant or bridging fibrosis overwhelmingly had NASH, and bridging fibrosis most often coexisted with severe activity. CONCLUSIONS: The FLIP algorithm/SAF score, although based on purely morphological grounds, are clinically relevant, as they identify patients with distinct clinical and biological profiles of disease severity. Disease activity in NAFLD is associated with fibrosis severity. LAY SUMMARY: The examination of liver tissue under the microscope (histology) serves to define the type and severity of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease morphologically, and is also used to determine improvement in therapeutic or natural history clinical trials. The FLIP algorithm/SAF classification is a new histological classification well validated on morphological but not clinical grounds. Here, we demonstrate that different disease categories defined by the FLIP/SAF classification correspond to entities of different clinical and biological severity. We also show a strong association between the activity of steatohepatitis (defined histologically) and the amount of fibrotic scar.

Development and Validation of Hepamet Fibrosis Scoring System-A Simple, Noninvasive Test to Identify Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease With Advanced Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Fibrosis affects prognoses for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Several non-invasive scoring systems have aimed to identify patients at risk for advanced fibrosis, but inconclusive results and variations in features of patients (diabetes, obesity and older age) reduce their diagnostic accuracy. We sought to develop a scoring system based on serum markers to identify patients with NAFLD at risk for advanced fibrosis. METHODS: We collected data from 2452 patients with NAFLD at medical centers in Italy, France, Cuba, and China. We developed the Hepamet fibrosis scoring system using demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory test data, collected at time of liver biopsy, from a training cohort of patients from Spain (n = 768) and validated the system using patients from Cuba (n = 344), Italy (n = 288), France (n = 830), and China (n = 232). Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS) were compared with those of previously developed fibrosis scoring systems (the NAFLD fibrosis score [NFS] and FIB-4). The diagnostic accuracy of the Hepamet fibrosis scoring system was assessed based on area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio, and positive and negative predictive values and likelihood ratios. RESULTS: Variables used to determine HFS were patient sex, age, homeostatic model assessment score, presence of diabetes, levels of aspartate aminotransferase, and albumin, and platelet counts; these were independently associated with advanced fibrosis. HFS discriminated between patients with and without advanced fibrosis with an AUROC curve value of 0.85 whereas NFS or FIB-4 did so with AUROC values of 0.80 (P = .0001). In the validation set, cut-off HFS of 0.12 and 0.47 identified patients with and without advanced fibrosis with 97.2% specificity, 74% sensitivity, a 92% negative predictive value, a 76.3% positive predictive value, a 13.22 positive likelihood ratio, and a 0.31 negative likelihood ratio. HFS were not affected by patient age, body mass index, hypertransaminasemia, or diabetes. The Hepamet fibrosis scoring system had the greatest net benefit in identifying patients who should undergo liver biopsy analysis and led to significant improvements in reclassification, reducing the number of patients with undetermined results to 20% from 30% for the FIB-4 and NFS systems (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Using clinical and laboratory data from patients with NAFLD, we developed and validated the Hepamet fibrosis scoring system, which identified patients with advanced fibrosis with greater accuracy than the FIB-4 and NFS systems. the Hepamet system provides a greater net benefit for the decision-making process to identify patients who should undergo liver biopsy analysis.

Relationship Among Fatty Liver, Specific and Multiple-Site Atherosclerosis, and 10-Year Framingham Score.

Despite a well-documented increase in the prevalence of subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with steatosis, the relationship among steatosis and atherosclerosis, specific atherosclerotic sites, multiple-site atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular risk prediction is incompletely understood. We studied the relationship among steatosis, atherosclerosis site, multiple-site atherosclerosis, coronary artery calcification (CAC), and 10-year Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in 2,554 patients with one or more cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF), free of cardiovascular events and other chronic liver diseases, and drinking less than 50 g alcohol/day. All patients underwent arterial ultrasound (carotid [CP] and femoral [FP] plaques defined as intima-media thickness (IMT) > 1.5 mm), coronary computed tomography scan (severe CAC if ≥ 100), 10-year FRS calculation, and steatosis detection by the fatty liver index (FLI, present if score ≥ 60). Patients with steatosis (36% of total) had higher prevalence of CP (50% versus 45%, P = 0.004) and higher CAC (181 ± 423 versus 114 ± 284, P < 0.001) but similar prevalence of FP (53% versus 50%, P = 0.099) than patients without steatosis. Steatosis was associated with carotid IMT and CAC, but not with FP, independent of age, diabetes, hypertension, and tobacco use (P < 0.001). Fifty-three percent of patients had at least 2-site atherosclerosis and steatosis was associated with at least 2-site atherosclerosis independent of age and CVRF (odds ratio = 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.45, P = 0.035). Sixty-four percent of patients with steatosis had a FRS score of 10% or more. FLI was associated with FRS beyond the CVRF or the number of atherosclerosis sites (P < 0.001). Adding FLI to CVRF predicted an FRS greater than or equal to 10% better than CVRF alone (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.848 versus 0.768, P < 0.001). Conclusion: Steatosis is associated with carotid and coronary, but not femoral atherosclerosis, and with cardiovascular mortality risk. The multiple-site involvement and quantitative tonic relationship could reinforce the prediction of cardiovascular mortality or events over classical CVRF or imaging-based detection of atherosclerosis.

Fatty liver is an independent predictor of early carotid atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Whether steatosis is incidentally or causally associated with carotid atherosclerosis is debated, and long-term follow-up data are missing. This study aims to examine the impact of steatosis on the presence and progression of carotid intima-media thickness (C-IMT) and carotid plaques (CP) in a large cohort with longitudinal follow-up. METHODS: A retrospective single-center study between 1995 and 2012. Transversal cohort: patients with ⩾2 cardiovascular risk factors without previous cardiovascular events. Longitudinal cohort: patients with two consecutive C-IMT measurements more than 2years apart. Steatosis was defined by a surrogate marker, the fatty liver index (FLI). CP and C-IMT were assessed by carotid ultrasound. RESULTS: In the transversal cohort (n=5671) both C-IMT and the Framingham risk score (FRS) increased across FLI quartiles (0.58±0.12, 0.61±0.14, 0.63±0.14, 0.64±0.14mm, and 5±5%, 9±7%, 12±8%, 15±9%, p<0.001 for both). Steatosis predicted C-IMT better than diabetes or dyslipidemia. Steatosis independently predicted C-IMT (p=0.002) and FRS (p<0.001) after adjustment for metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular risk factors. In the longitudinal cohort (n=1872, mean follow-up 8±4years), steatosis occurred in 12% and CP in 23% of patients. C-IMT increased in patients with steatosis occurrence (from 0.60±0.13mm to 0.66±0.14mm, p=0.001) whereas it did not change in those that stayed free of steatosis. Steatosis at baseline predicted CP occurrence (OR=1.63, 95% CI 1.10-2.41, p=0.014), independent of age, sex, type-2 diabetes, tobacco use, hsCRP, hypertension and C-IMT. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with metabolic syndrome at risk for cardiovascular events, steatosis contributes to early atherosclerosis and progression thereof, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

NAFLD and liver transplantation: Current burden and expected challenges.

Because of global epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes, the prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing both in Europe and the United States, becoming one of the most frequent causes of chronic liver disease and predictably, one of the leading causes of liver transplantation both for end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. For most transplant teams around the world this will raise many challenges in terms of pre- and post-transplant management. Here we review the multifaceted impact of NAFLD on liver transplantation and will discuss: (1) NAFLD as a frequent cause of cryptogenic cirrhosis, end-stage chronic liver disease, and hepatocellular carcinoma; (2) prevalence of NAFLD as an indication for liver transplantation both in Europe and the United States; (3) the impact of NAFLD on the donor pool; (4) the access of NAFLD patients to liver transplantation and their management on the waiting list in regard to metabolic, renal and vascular comorbidities; (5) the prevalence and consequences of post-transplant metabolic syndrome, recurrent and de novo NAFLD; (6) the alternative management and therapeutic options to improve the long-term outcomes with particular emphasis on the correction and control of metabolic comorbidities.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis awaiting liver transplants.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Many patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis also have diabetes, obesity, or insulin resistance-mediated steatosis, but little is known about how these disorders affect the severity of liver disease. We analyzed the prevalence and prognostic implications of metabolic risk factors (MRFs) such as overweight, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension in patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis awaiting liver transplants. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 110 patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (77% male; mean age, 55 y; 71% with >6 mo of abstinence) who received liver transplants at a single center in Paris, France, from 2000 through 2013. We collected data on previous exposure to MRFs, steatosis (>10% in the explant), and histologically confirmed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). RESULTS: HCC was detected in explants from 29 patients (26%). Steatosis was detected in explants from 47 patients (70% were abstinent for ≥6 mo); 50% had a history of overweight or type 2 diabetes. Fifty-two patients (47%) had a history of MRFs and therefore were at risk for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. A higher proportion of patients with MRF had HCC than those without MRF (46% vs 9%; P < .001). A previous history of overweight or type 2 diabetes significantly increased the risk for HCC (odds ratio, 6.23; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.47-15.76, and odds ratio, 4.63; 95% CI, 1.87-11.47, respectively; P < .001). MRF, but not steatosis, was associated with the development of HCC (odds ratio, 11.76; 95% CI, 2.60-53; P = .001) independent of age, sex, amount of alcohol intake, or severity of liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis who received transplants frequently also had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. MRFs, particularly overweight, obesity, and type 2 diabetes, significantly increase the risk of HCC.

Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Liver Disease in Patients Undergoing Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

In this single-center cross-sectional study on patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), we assessed the prognostic significance of metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), metabolic syndrome (MetS), and CCTA-derived parameters for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Over a mean follow-up of 26.9 months, 2038 patients were analyzed, with 361 (17.7%) experiencing MACE. MASLD was associated with a higher MACE incidence (25.90% vs. 14.71% without MASLD, p < 0.001). Cox regression revealed significant associations between MASLD, coronary calcium score (CCS), number of plaques (NoP), epicardial fat volume (EFV), and MACE, with hazard ratios of 1.843, 1.001, 1.097, and 1.035, respectively (p < 0.001 for all). A composite risk score integrating CCS, NoP, EFV, and MASLD demonstrated superior predictive value for MACE (AUC = 0.948) compared to individual variables (p < 0.0001 for all). In conclusion, MASLD is linked to an elevated risk of MACE, and a comprehensive risk-scoring system incorporating imaging and clinical factors enhances MACE prediction accuracy.

A systematic review of follow-up biopsies reveals disease progression in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Disease progression in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is not well understood and there is controversy about whether non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL, i.e., steatosis alone or with mild inflammation not qualifying for steatohepatitis) can evolve towards steatohepatitis (NASH) with fibrosis. METHODS: We reviewed 70 patients with untreated NAFLD and with two biopsies performed more than one year apart. Clinical and biological data were recorded at the time of both biopsies. Alcohol consumption did not change during follow-up. RESULTS: Initially 25 patients had NAFL and 45 had NASH and/or advanced fibrosis. After a mean follow-up of 3.7 years (s.d. 2.1), 16 NAFL patients developed NASH, eight with severe ballooning and six with bridging fibrosis on the follow-up biopsy. Patients with mild lobular inflammation or any degree of fibrosis were at higher risk of progression than those with steatosis alone. Those with unambiguous disease progression were older and had worsening of their metabolic risk factors (higher weight and more diabetes at baseline and during follow-up). In the whole cohort, ballooning progression and bridging fibrosis often occurred together and co-existed with a reduction in ALT, higher weight gain, and a higher incidence of diabetes during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients with NAFL can progress towards well-defined NASH with bridging fibrosis, especially if metabolic risk factors deteriorate. Even mild inflammation or fibrosis could substantially increase the risk of progression when compared to steatosis alone. Current monitoring practices of these patients should be revised.

From NAFLD in clinical practice to answers from guidelines.

This review of the literature consists of three sections. First, papers concerning non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) awareness among the general population, general practitioners, and liver and non-liver specialists were retrieved and analyzed to highlight the perception of disease, verify knowledge of current recommendations, and identify the main difficulties experienced in clinical practice. Next, position papers and clinical practice guidelines issued by International and National Hepatological Scientific Societies were identified and critically assessed in order to pinpoint the areas of convergence/difference. Finally, practical suggestions on NAFLD diagnosis and management in daily practice are provided and the open questions highlighted.

Liver fibrosis evaluation using real-time shear wave elastography: applicability and diagnostic performance using methods without a gold standard.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Real-time shear wave elastography (SWE) is a new two-dimensional transient elastography which had no assessment of factors associated with reliability, and had limited comparisons with other validated fibrosis biomarkers. The aim was to assess the applicability and performances of SWE for the diagnosis of fibrosis as compared with FibroTest (FT) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography using two probes (TE-M and TE-XL). METHODS: Without a gold standard, the strength of concordance, discordance analysis and latent class analysis (LCM) were applied. RESULTS: 422 patients were included. The applicability of SWE (90.0%) was significantly lower than that of FT (97.9%; p <0.0001) and did not differ from those of TE-M (90.5%) and TE-XL (90.3%); it was higher though for SWE (86%) in 22 patients with ascites vs. 55% using TE-M (p=0.04). For the diagnosis of all fibrosis stages as presumed by FT, the performance of SWE was highly significant (Obuchowski measure 0.807 ± 0.013 [m ± se]), but lower than those of TE-M (0.852; p=0.0007) and TE-XL (0.834; p=0.046). SWE had a low performance for discrimination between F0 and F1. For the diagnosis of cirrhosis using LCM, SWE specificities were all equal to 99%, and SWE sensitivities ranged from 0.47 to 0.64. For the diagnosis of non-cirrhotic stages, the results were heterogeneous. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of SWE for the diagnosis of cirrhosis was similar to those of FT and TE. SWE applicability was lower than that of FT, but greater than that of TE in patients with ascites.

Clinical and genetic definition of serum bilirubin levels for the diagnosis of Gilbert syndrome and hypobilirubinemia.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gilbert syndrome (GS) is genotypically predetermined by UGT1A1*28 homozygosity in Europeans and is phenotypically defined by hyperbilirubinemia using total bilirubin (TB) cutoff ≥1mg/dL (17 µmol/L). The prevalence of illnesses associated with GS and hypobilirubinemia has never been studied prospectively. As TB varies with UGT1A1*28 genotyping, sex, and age, we propose stratified definitions of TB reference intervals and report the prevalence of illnesses and adjusted 15 years survival. METHODS: UK Biobank with apparently healthy liver participants (middle-aged, n=138,125) were analyzed after the exclusion of of nonhealthy individuals. The stratified TB was classified as GS when TB >90th centile; <10th centile indicated hypobilirubinemia, and between the 10th and 90th centile was normobilirubinemia. We compared the prevalence and survival rates of 54 illnesses using odds ratio (OR), logistic regression, and Cox models adjusted for confounders, and causality by Mendelian randomizations. RESULTS: In women, we identified 10% (7,741/76,809) of GS versus 3.7% (2,819/76,809) using the historical cutoff of ≥1 mg/dL (P<0.0001). When GS and hypobilirubinemia participants were compared with normobilirubinemia, after adjustment and Mendelian randomizations, only cholelithiasis prevalence was significantly higher (OR=1.50; 95% CI [1.3-1.7], P=0.001) in men with GS compared with normobilirubinemia and in causal association with bilirubin (P=0.04). No adjusted survival was significantly associated with GS or hypobilirubinemia. CONCLUSIONS: In middle-aged Europeans, the stratified TB demonstrates a careless GS underestimation in women when using the standard unisex 1 mg/dL cutoff. The prevalence of illnesses is different in GS and hypobilirubinemia as well as survivals before adjusting for confounding factors. With the exception of cholelithiasis in men, these differences were no more significant after adjustment and Mendelian randomization.

Review article: The need for more efficient and patient-oriented drug development pathways in NASH-setting the scene for platform trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) constitutes a significant unmet medical need with a burgeoning field of clinical research and drug development. Platform trials (PT) might help accelerate drug development while lowering overall costs and creating a more patient-centric environment. This review provides a comprehensive and nuanced assessment of the NASH clinical development landscape. METHODS: Narrative review and expert opinion with insight gained during the EU Patient-cEntric clinicAl tRial pLatforms (EU-PEARL) project. RESULTS: Although NASH represents an opportunity to use adaptive trial designs, including master protocols for PT, there are barriers that might be encountered owing to distinct and sometimes opposing priorities held by these stakeholders and potential ways to overcome them. The following aspects are critical for the feasibility of a future PT in NASH: readiness of the drug pipeline, mainly from large drug companies, while there is not yet an FDA/EMA-approved treatment; the most suitable design (trial Phase and type of population, e.g., Phase 2b for non-cirrhotic NASH patients); the operational requirements such as the scope of the clinical network, the use of concurrent versus non-concurrent control arms, or the re-allocation of participants upon trial adaptations; the methodological appraisal (i.e. Bayesian vs. frequentist approach); patients' needs and patient-centred outcomes; main regulatory considerations and the funding and sustainability scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: PT represent a promising avenue in NASH but there are a number of conundrums that need addressing. It is likely that before a global NASH PT becomes a reality, 'proof-of-platform' at a smaller scale needs to be provided.

Biomarkers for staging fibrosis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (the LITMUS project): a comparative diagnostic accuracy study.

BACKGROUND: The reference standard for detecting non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and staging fibrosis-liver biopsy-is invasive and resource intensive. Non-invasive biomarkers are urgently needed, but few studies have compared these biomarkers in a single cohort. As part of the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis (LITMUS) project, we aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of 17 biomarkers and multimarker scores in detecting NASH and clinically significant fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and identify their optimal cutoffs as screening tests in clinical trial recruitment. METHODS: This was a comparative diagnostic accuracy study in people with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD from 13 countries across Europe, recruited between Jan 6, 2010, and Dec 29, 2017, from the LITMUS metacohort of the prospective European NAFLD Registry. Adults (aged ≥18 years) with paired liver biopsy and serum samples were eligible; those with excessive alcohol consumption or evidence of other chronic liver diseases were excluded. The diagnostic accuracy of the biomarkers was expressed as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with liver histology as the reference standard and compared with the Fibrosis-4 index for liver fibrosis (FIB-4) in the same subgroup. Target conditions were the presence of NASH with clinically significant fibrosis (ie, at-risk NASH; NAFLD Activity Score ≥4 and F≥2) or the presence of advanced fibrosis (F≥3), analysed in all participants with complete data. We identified thres holds for each biomarker for reducing the number of biopsy-based screen failures when recruiting people with both NASH and clinically significant fibrosis for future trials. FINDINGS: Of 1430 participants with NAFLD in the LITMUS metacohort with serum samples, 966 (403 women and 563 men) were included after all exclusion criteria had been applied. 335 (35%) of 966 participants had biopsy-confirmed NASH and clinically significant fibrosis and 271 (28%) had advanced fibrosis. For people with NASH and clinically significant fibrosis, no single biomarker or multimarker score significantly reached the predefined AUC 0·80 acceptability threshold (AUCs ranging from 0·61 [95% CI 0·54-0·67] for FibroScan controlled attenuation parameter to 0·81 [0·75-0·86] for SomaSignal), with accuracy mostly similar to FIB-4. Regarding detection of advanced fibrosis, SomaSignal (AUC 0·90 [95% CI 0·86-0·94]), ADAPT (0·85 [0·81-0·89]), and FibroScan liver stiffness measurement (0·83 [0·80-0·86]) reached acceptable accuracy. With 11 of 17 markers, histological screen failure rates could be reduced to 33% in trials if only people who were marker positive had a biopsy for evaluating eligibility. The best screening performance for NASH and clinically significant fibrosis was observed for SomaSignal (number needed to test [NNT] to find one true positive was four [95% CI 4-5]), then ADAPT (six [5-7]), MACK-3 (seven [6-8]), and PRO-C3 (nine [7-11]). INTERPRETATION: None of the single markers or multimarker scores achieved the predefined acceptable AUC for replacing biopsy in detecting people with both NASH and clinically significant fibrosis. However, several biomarkers could be applied in a prescreening strategy in clinical trial recruitment. The performance of promising markers will be further evaluated in the ongoing prospective LITMUS study cohort. FUNDING: The Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking.

[Epidemiology and natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease]. / Epidémiologie et histoire naturelle des hépatopathies stéatosiques "métaboliques".

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) encompasses a spectrum of diseases that ranges from simple steatosis to steatohepatitis (NASH), two entities with strikingly different outcomes. NAFLD is becoming one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease worldwide, but the real prevalence of the disease is still underestimated. NAFLD is strongly linked to insulin resistance and should be suspected in all patients with overweight, obesity, diabetes or other features of metabolic syndrome seeking medical care inside or outside Hepatology clinics. NASH is a slowly progressive fibrotic disease. Patients with NASH may develop cirrhosis, endstage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. The overall and liver-related mortality are increased in patients with NASH compared to general population.