Scaling issues of neutral theory reveal violations of ecological equivalence for dominant Amazonian tree species.

Neutral models are often used as null models, testing the relative importance of niche versus neutral processes in shaping diversity. Most versions, however, focus only on regional scale predictions and neglect local level contributions. Recently, a new formulation of spatial neutral theory was published showing an incompatibility between regional and local scale fits where especially the number of rare species was dramatically under-predicted. Using a forward in time semi-spatially explicit neutral model and a unique large-scale Amazonian tree inventory data set, we show that neutral theory not only underestimates the number of rare species but also fails in predicting the excessive dominance of species on both regional and local levels. We show that although there are clear relationships between species composition, spatial and environmental distances, there is also a clear differentiation between species able to attain dominance with and without restriction to specific habitats. We conclude therefore that the apparent dominance of these species is real, and that their excessive abundance can be attributed to fitness differences in different ways, a clear violation of the ecological equivalence assumption of neutral theory.

Preliminary insights of the genetic diversity and invasion pathways of Cedrela odorata in the Galapagos Islands, Ecuador.

Cedrela odorata is considered the second most invasive tree species of the Galapagos Islands. Although it is listed in CITES Appendix II and there are population losses in mainland Ecuador, in Galapagos it is paradoxically a species of concern due to its invasive potential. Genetic studies can shed light on the invasion history of introduced species causing effects on unique ecosystems like the Galapagos. We analyzed nine microsatellite markers in C. odorata individuals from Galapagos and mainland Ecuador to describe the genetic diversity and population structure of C. odorata in the Galapagos and to explore the origin and invasion history of this species. The genetic diversity found for C. odorata in Galapagos (H e = 0.55) was lower than reported in the mainland (H e = 0.81), but higher than other invasive insular plant species, which could indicate multiple introductions. Our results suggest that Ecuador's northern Coastal region is the most likely origin of the Galapagos C. odorata, although further genomic studies, like Whole Genome Sequencing, Rad-Seq, and/or Whole Genome SNP analyses, are needed to confirm this finding. Moreover, according to our proposed pathway scenarios, C. odorata was first introduced to San Cristobal and/or Santa Cruz from mainland Ecuador. After these initial introductions, C. odorata appears to have arrived to Isabela and Floreana from either San Cristobal or Santa Cruz. Here, we report the first genetic study of C. odorata in the Galapagos and the first attempt to unravel the invasion history of this species. The information obtained in this research could support management and control strategies to lessen the impact that C. odorata has on the islands' local flora and fauna.

Cedrela odorata es considerada la segunda especie más invasora de árboles en las Islas Galápagos. Esta especie está catalogada en el Apéndice II de CITES y sus poblaciones se encuentran amenazadas en Ecuador continental, pero paradójicamente en Galápagos es una especie de preocupación por su potencial invasor. Estudios genéticos pueden ayudar a entender la historia de invasión de especies introducidas que causan efectos en ecosistemas únicos como Galápagos. En este estudio, analizamos 9 marcadores microsatélites en individuos de Galápagos y Ecuador continental para describir la diversidad genética y estructura poblacional de C. odorata en Galápagos y explorar el origen e historia de invasión de esta especie. La diversidad genética encontrada para C. odorata en Galápagos (H e = 0.55) fue menor que la reportada en continente (H e = 0.81), pero mayor que la de otras especies de plantas insulares invasoras, lo que podría sugerir múltiples introducciones de esta especie a Galápagos. Nuestros resultados sugieren que la costa norte ecuatoriana es el origen más probable de C. odorata en Galápagos, aunque más estudios, como secuenciación del genoma completo, Rad­Seq y/o análisis de SNPs, son necesarios para confirmar este hecho. Además, de acuerdo con los escenarios propuestos, es posible que C. odorata haya sido introducida primero a San Cristóbal y/o Santa Cruz desde Ecuador continental. Después de estas introducciones iniciales, parece haber llegado a Isabela y Floreana desde San Cristóbal o Santa Cruz. Este es el primer estudio genético de C. odorata en Galápagos y el primer intento de esclarecer la historia de invasión de esta especie. La información obtenida en esta investigación podría apoyar estrategias de manejo para disminuir el impacto que C. odorata tiene sobre la flora y fauna nativa de estas islas.

Estimating and interpreting migration of Amazonian forests using spatially implicit and semi-explicit neutral models.

With many sophisticated methods available for estimating migration, ecologists face the difficult decision of choosing for their specific line of work. Here we test and compare several methods, performing sanity and robustness tests, applying to large-scale data and discussing the results and interpretation. Five methods were selected to compare for their ability to estimate migration from spatially implicit and semi-explicit simulations based on three large-scale field datasets from South America (Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana and Ecuador). Space was incorporated semi-explicitly by a discrete probability mass function for local recruitment, migration from adjacent plots or from a metacommunity. Most methods were able to accurately estimate migration from spatially implicit simulations. For spatially semi-explicit simulations, estimation was shown to be the additive effect of migration from adjacent plots and the metacommunity. It was only accurate when migration from the metacommunity outweighed that of adjacent plots, discrimination, however, proved to be impossible. We show that migration should be considered more an approximation of the resemblance between communities and the summed regional species pool. Application of migration estimates to simulate field datasets did show reasonably good fits and indicated consistent differences between sets in comparison with earlier studies. We conclude that estimates of migration using these methods are more an approximation of the homogenization among local communities over time rather than a direct measurement of migration and hence have a direct relationship with beta diversity. As betadiversity is the result of many (non)-neutral processes, we have to admit that migration as estimated in a spatial explicit world encompasses not only direct migration but is an ecological aggregate of these processes. The parameter m of neutral models then appears more as an emerging property revealed by neutral theory instead of being an effective mechanistic parameter and spatially implicit models should be rejected as an approximation of forest dynamics.