Long-Term Survival, Quality of Life, and Quality-Adjusted Survival in Critically Ill Patients With Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the long-term survival, health-related quality of life, and quality-adjusted life years of cancer patients admitted to ICUs. DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING: Two cancer specialized ICUs in Brazil. PATIENTS: A total of 792 participants. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The health-related quality of life before ICU admission; at 15 days; and at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months was assessed with the EQ-5D-3L. In addition, the vital status was assessed at 24 months. The mean age of the subjects was 61.6 ± 14.3 years, 42.5% were female subjects and half were admitted after elective surgery. The mean Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 was 47.4 ± 15.6. Survival at 12 and 18 months was 42.4% and 38.1%, respectively. The mean EQ-5D-3L utility measure before admission to the ICU was 0.47 ± 0.43, at 15 days it was 0.41 ± 0.44, at 90 days 0.56 ± 0.42, at 6 months 0.60 ± 0.41, at 12 months 0.67 ± 0.35, and at 18 months 0.67 ± 0.35. The probabilities for attaining 12 and 18 months of quality-adjusted survival were 30.1% and 19.1%, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in survival time and quality-adjusted life years according to all assessed baseline characteristics (ICU admission after elective surgery, emergency surgery, or medical admission; Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3; cancer extension; cancer status; previous surgery; previous chemotherapy; previous radiotherapy; performance status; and previous health-related quality of life). Only the previous health-related quality of life and performance status were associated with the health-related quality of life during the 18-month follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survival, health-related quality of life, and quality-adjusted life year expectancy of cancer patients admitted to the ICU are limited. Nevertheless, these clinical outcomes exhibit wide variability among patients and are associated with simple characteristics present at the time of ICU admission, which may help healthcare professionals estimate patients' prognoses.

A review of cost-effectiveness analysis: From theory to clinical practice.

Cost-effectiveness analysis has long been practiced; registries date back to the United States of America War Department in 1886. In addition, everyone does intuitive cost-effectiveness analyses in their daily lives. In routine medical care, health economic assessment becomes increasingly important due to progressively limited resources, rising demands, population increases, and continuous therapeutic innovations. The health economic assessment must analyze the outcomes and costs of actions and technologies as objectively as possible to guarantee efficient assessment of novel interventions for Public Health Policy. In other words, it is necessary to determine how much society or patients are willing to or able to pay for novel interventions compared with existing alternatives, given the available resources. In addition, increased cost may displace other health care services already provided in case of fixed budget health care systems. To conduct such analyses, researchers must use standard methodologies and interpretations in light of regional characteristics according to social and economic determinants as well as clinical practice. Such an approach may be essential for transforming the current healthcare system to a value-based model. In this narrative review, concepts of the importance of and some approaches to health economic evaluation in clinical practice will be discussed.

Impact of polio vaccines (oral polio vaccine - OPV or inactivated polio vaccine - IPV) on rotavirus vaccine-associated intussusception.

Although safe, rotavirus vaccines have been associated with increased intussusception risk. In Brazil, after the oral human rotavirus vaccine (OHRV) introduction in the childhood immunization, in 2006, increased intussusception risk was identified after the second OHRV dose, whereas in other countries, higher risk was associated to the first vaccine dose. It was hypothesized that the concomitant use of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) in Brazil might explain this difference. In 2012, the inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) was adopted in the first two doses of Brazilian childhood immunization schedule, creating an opportunity to study the subject. Our objective was analyzing the impact of polio vaccines on rotavirus-associated intussusception. We used surveillance data on intussusception in infants living in São Paulo State. Two periods were considered: an OPV-period (March 2006 to June 2012) and an IPV-period (October 2012 to December 2017). The period from June to September 2012 were considered as transition. Self-controlled case series analysis with event-dependent exposure was performed, considering two risk periods (7 and 21 days post-vaccination). We identified 325 intussusception cases in infants reported to the surveillance systems during the study period. The statistical analysis included 221 cases that occurred within 60 days after vaccination. Overall, a higher intussusception risk was observed in the first week after vaccination for both the first (Relative Incidence [RI] = 4.3, 95%CI 2.8-6.5, p < .001) and second vaccine doses (RI = 4.2, 95%CI 2.7-6.4; p < .001). There were no statistically significant differences in intussusception risk according to the rotavirus vaccine dose and the polio vaccine (OPV or IPV) administered concomitantly.

Random changepoint segmented regression with smooth transition.

We consider random changepoint segmented regression models to analyse data from a study conducted to verify whether treatment with stem cells may delay the onset of a symptom of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in genetically modified mice. The proposed models capture the biological aspects of the data, accommodating a smooth transition between the periods with and without symptoms. An additional changepoint is considered to avoid negative predicted responses. Given the nonlinear nature of the model, we propose an algorithm to estimate the fixed parameters and to predict the random effects by fitting linear mixed models iteratively via standard software. We compare the variances obtained in the final step with bootstrapped and robust ones.

Psychological characteristics are associated with healthcare worker adherence to infection control practices.

BACKGROUND: Most bloodstream infections related to vascular catheters can be avoided if evidence-based practices are applied during insertion and maintenance. In practice, adherence by health care workers (HCWs) is unsatisfactory and is the main current challenge. The objective of this study is to investigate associations between adherence to infection control practices and performance in psychological tests. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study in 4 intensive care units involving HCWs. Physicians were observed for adherence to hand hygiene (HH). Nurses were observed during central venous catheter dressing and handling. HCWs were then evaluated psychologically. RESULTS: There were 7,572 observations of 248 HCWs. Adherence to different steps of central venous catheter manipulation ranged widely: from 13% for HH before procedure to 95% regarding the use of gloves. Adherence to HH ranged from 14% before to 99% after dressing. For physicians, HH ranged from 10% before touching patients to 98% after touching body fluids, and adherence was associated with age, self-esteem, and aggression. For nurses, adherence was positively associated with deference, and negatively associated with nurturance. CONCLUSIONS: Psychosocial variables affect the quality of care that HCWs provide. The next step would be to define what type of psychological interventions could be effective.

SARS-CoV-2 in a stream running through an underprivileged, underserved, urban settlement in São Paulo, Brazil: A 7-month follow-up.

COVID-19 pandemic has led to concerns on the circulation of SARS-CoV-2 in the environment, its infectivity from the environment and, the relevance of transmission via environmental compartments. During 31 weeks, water samples were collected from a heavily contaminated stream going through an urban, underprivileged community without sewage collection. Our results showed a statistically significant correlation between cases of COVID-19 and SARS in the community, and SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the water. Based on the model, if the concentrations of SARS-CoV-RNA (N1 and N2 target regions) increase 10 times, there is an expected increase of 104% [95%CI: (62-157%)] and 92% [95%CI: (51-143%)], respectively, in the number of cases of COVID-19 and SARS. We believe that differences in concentration of the virus in the environment reflect the epidemiological status in the community, which may be important information for surveillance and controlling dissemination in areas with vulnerable populations and poor sanitation. None of the samples were found infectious based cultures. Our results may be applicable globally as similar communities exist worldwide.

Association of Malaria Infection During Pregnancy With Head Circumference of Newborns in the Brazilian Amazon.

Importance: Malaria during pregnancy is associated with adverse events for the fetus and newborn, but the association of malaria during pregnancy with the head circumference of the newborn is unclear. Objective: To investigate the association of malaria during pregnancy with fetal head growth. Design, Setting, and Participants: Two cohort studies were conducted at the general maternity hospital of Cruzeiro do Sul (Acre, Brazil) in the Amazonian region. One cohort study prospectively enrolled noninfected and malaria-infected pregnant women who were followed up until delivery, between January 2013 and April 2015. The other cohort study was assembled retrospectively using clinical and malaria data from all deliveries that occurred between January 2012 and December 2013. Data analyses were conducted from January to August 2017 and revised in November 2018. Clinical data from pregnant women and anthropometric measures of their newborns were evaluated. A total of 600 pregnant women were enrolled through volunteer sampling (prospective cohort study), and 4697 pregnant women were selected by population-based sampling (retrospective cohort study). After application of exclusion criteria, data from 251 (prospective cohort study) and 232 (retrospective cohort study) malaria-infected and 158 (prospective cohort study) and 3650 (retrospective cohort study) noninfected women were evaluated. Exposure: Malaria during pregnancy. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was the incidence of altered head circumference in newborns delivered from malaria-infected mothers compared with that from noninfected mothers. Secondary end points included measures of placental pathology relative to newborn head circumference. Results: In total, 4291 maternal-child pairs were analyzed. Among 409 newborns in the prospective cohort study, the mothers of 251 newborns had malaria during pregnancy, infected with Plasmodium vivax, Plasmodium falciparum, or both. Among 3882 newborns in the retrospective cohort study, 232 were born from mothers that had malaria during pregnancy. The prevalence of newborns with a small head (19 [30.7%] in the prospective cohort study and 30 [36.6%] in the retrospective cohort study) and the prevalence of microcephaly among newborns (5 [8.1%] in the prospective cohort study and 6 [7.3%] in the retrospective cohort study) were higher among newborns from women infected with P falciparum during pregnancy. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that P falciparum infection during pregnancy represented a significant risk factor for the occurrence of small head circumference in newborns (prospective cohort study: odds ratio, 3.15; 95% CI, 1.52-6.53; P = .002; retrospective cohort study: odds ratio, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.21-3.04; P = .006). Placental pathologic findings corroborated this association, with more syncytial nuclear aggregates and inflammatory infiltrates occurring in placentas of newborns born with decreased head circumference. Conclusions and Relevance: This study indicates that falciparum malaria during pregnancy is associated with decreased head circumference in newborns, which is in turn associated with evidence of placental malaria.

The Impact of Restricting Over-the-Counter Sales of Antimicrobial Drugs: Preliminary Analysis of National Data.

To describe the nationwide impact of a restrictive law on over-the-counter sales of antimicrobial drugs, implemented in Brazil in November 2010. Approximately 75% of the population receives healthcare from the public health system and receives free-of-charge medication if prescribed. Total sales in private pharmacies as compared with other channels of sales of oral antibiotics were evaluated in this observational study before and after the law (2008-2012). Defined daily dose per 1000 inhabitants per day (DDD/TID) was used as standard unit. In private pharmacies the effect of the restrictive law was statistically significant (P < 0.001) with an estimated decrease in DDD/TID of 1.87 (s.e. =  0.18). In addition, the trend of DDD/TID before the restrictive law was greater than after the intervention (P < 0.001). Before November 2010, the slope for the trend line was estimated as 0.08 (s.e. = 0.01) whereas after the law, the estimated slope was 0.03 (s.e. = 0.01). As for the nonprivate channels, no difference in sales was observed (P = 0.643). The impact in the South and Southeast (more developed) regions was higher than in the North, Northeast, and Mid-West. The state capitals had a 19% decrease, compared with 0.8% increase in the rest of the states. Before the law, the sales of antimicrobial drugs were steadily increasing. From November 2010, with the restrictive law, there was an abrupt drop in sales followed by an increase albeit at a significantly lower rate. The impact was higher in regions with better socio-economic status.