Combining clinical and candidate gene data into a risk score for azathioprine-associated leukopenia in routine clinical practice.

Leukopenia is a serious, frequent side effect associated with azathioprine use. Currently, we use thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) testing to predict leukopenia in patients taking azathioprine. We hypothesized that a risk score incorporating additional clinical and genetic variables would improve the prediction of azathioprine-associated leukopenia. In the discovery phase, we developed four risk score models: (1) age, sex, and TPMT metabolizer status; (2) model 1 plus additional clinical variables; (3) sixty candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms; and (4) model 2 plus model 3. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of the risk scores was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.54-0.64), 0.75 (0.71-0.80), 0.66 (0.61-0.71), and 0.78 (0.74-0.82) for models 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. During the replication phase, models 2 and 4 (AUC = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59-0.70 and AUC = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.58-0.69, respectively) were significant in an independent group. Compared with TPMT testing alone, additional genetic and clinical variables improve the prediction of azathioprine-associated leukopenia.

p16 immunohistochemistry in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma: a comparison of antibody clones using patient outcomes and high-risk human papillomavirus RNA status.

High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas have a more favorable prognosis than HPV-negative ones. p16 immunohistochemistry has been recommended as a prognostic test in clinical practice. Several p16 antibodies are available, and their performance has not been directly compared. We evaluated three commercially available p16 antibody clones (E6H4, JC8 and G175-405) utilizing 199 cases of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma from a tissue microarray, read by three pathologists with three different cutoffs for positivity: any staining, >50% and >75%. Positive predictive values for high-risk HPV status by RNA in situ hybridization for the E6H4, JC8 and G175-405 clones were 98%, 100% and 99% at the 75% cutoff, but negative predictive values were much more variable at 86%, 69% and 56%, respectively. These improved using the 50% cutoff, becoming similar for all three antibodies. Intensity varied substantially, with 85% of E6H4, 72% of JC8 and 67% of G175-405 showing strong (3+) intensity. With Kaplan-Meier survival plots at the 75% cutoff, the E6H4 clone showed the largest differential in disease specific and overall survival between p16-positive and -negative results. Decreasing the cutoff to 50% increased correlation with HPV in situ hybridization and improved the survival differential for the JC8 and G175-405 clones without worsening of performance for the E6H4 clone. Interobserver agreement was also assessed by kappa scores and was highest for the E6H4 clone. Overall, these study results show modest but important performance differences between the three different p16 antibody clones, suggesting that the E6H4 clone performs best because of strongest staining intensity, greatest differential in outcomes between positive and negative results, lowest interobserver variability, and lowest background, nonspecific staining. The results also suggest that a 75% cutoff is very functional but that, in this patient population with high HPV incidence, 50% and any staining cutoffs may be more effective, particularly for the non-E6H4 clones.

Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma With Discordant p16 and HPV mRNA Results: Incidence and Characterization in a Large, Contemporary United States Cohort.

Early studies estimate that 5% to 10% of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas overexpress p16 but are unassociated with transcriptionally-active high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV). Patients with discordant HPV testing may experience clinical outcomes that differ from traditional expectations. To document the rate of p16 and HPV mRNA positivity, characterize patients with discordant testing, and identify features that may warrant selective use of HPV-specific testing after p16 IHC, a multi-institutional, retrospective review of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients with p16 IHC and HPV mRNA testing by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction was performed. Of the 467 patients, most had T1 or T2 tumors (71%), 82% were p16 positive, and 84% were HPV mRNA positive. Overall, most tumors were nonkeratinizing (378, 81%), which was strongly associated with p16 and HPV positivity (93% and 95%, respectively). Overall, 81% of patients were double positive, 14% double negative, and 4.9% discordant (3.4% p16 negative/HPV mRNA positive and 1.5% p16 positive/HPV mRNA negative). The survival rates of these discordant patient groups fell squarely between the 2 concordant groups, although in multivariate analysis for both disease-free survival and overall survival, discordant patients were not found to have statistically significantly different outcomes. Reclassifying patients by applying HPV mRNA testing when p16 results and morphology do not match, or when p16 results are equivocal, improved prognostication slightly over p16 or HPV mRNA testing alone. Patients with discordant testing demonstrate a borderline significant trend toward survival differences from those with concordant tests. When evaluated independently, patients who were p16 negative but HPV mRNA positive had a prognosis somewhat closer to double-positive patients, while those who were p16 positive, but HPV mRNA negative had a prognosis closer to that of double-negative patients. We suggest an algorithm whereby confirmatory HPV mRNA testing is performed in patients where p16 status is not consistent with tumor morphology. This captures a majority of discordant patients and improves, albeit modestly, the prognostication.

Ictal asystole and ictal syncope: insights into clinical management.

BACKGROUND: Ictal asystole is a rare, serious, and often treatable cause of syncope. There are currently limited data to guide management. Characterization of ictal syncope predictors may aid in the selection of high-risk patients for treatments such as pacemakers. METHODS AND RESULTS: We searched our epilepsy monitoring unit database from October 2003 to July 2013 for all patients with ictal asystole events. Clinical, electroencephalogram, and ECG data for each of their seizures were examined for their relationships with ictal syncope events. In 10 patients with ictal asystole, we observed 76 clinical seizures with 26 ictal asystole episodes, 15 of which led to syncope. No seizure with asystole duration≤6 s led to syncope, whereas 94% (15/16) of seizures with asystole duration>6 s led to syncope (P=0.02). During ictal asystole events, 4 patients had left temporal seizure onset, 4 patients had right temporal seizure onset, and 2 patients had both. Syncope was more common with left temporal (40%) than with right temporal seizures (10%; P=0.002). Treatment options included antiepileptic drug changes, epilepsy surgery, and pacemaker implantation. Eight patients received pacemakers. During follow-up of 72±95 months, all patients remained syncope free. CONCLUSIONS: Ictal asystole>6 s is strongly associated with ictal syncope. Ictal syncope is more common in left than in right temporal seizures. A permanent pacemaker should be considered in patients with ictal syncope if they are not considered good candidates for epilepsy surgery.

Development of a nomogram for identification of asthma among adults in epidemiologic studies.

BACKGROUND: The criteria used to identify persons with asthma in epidemiologic studies are varying and, depending on the method used, can be challenging and resource consuming. OBJECTIVE: To develop a nomogram (scoring system) to identify adult patients with asthma using a combination of variables collected via a validated questionnaire. METHODS: We studied the first 268 women aged 40 to 69 years in the Shanghai Women's Asthma and Allergy Study who reported signs and symptoms of asthma and underwent either methacholine challenge testing or test of reversibility during the asthma screening survey between 2003 and 2007. These women were defined as having definite asthma (n=106) or not (n=162). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to develop a predictive model for identifying asthma using survey information alone. RESULTS: Clinically relevant questions were used for the predictive multivariable logistic regression model and included the following: ever wheezing or whistling in the chest, current medication use for asthma, self-reported ever asthma, self-reported ever allergic rhinitis, family history of allergy, and age. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prediction model was 0.75 (95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.81). A nomogram was developed to assess the individual probability of asthma based on individually weighted variables in the predictive model. CONCLUSIONS: In clinical or epidemiologic studies, this asthma nomogram could be used as a tool to assess the probability of asthma for an individual patient by incorporating asthma-related predictor variables obtained through a field questionnaire.