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1.
Lab Invest ; : 102095, 2024 Jun 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38925488

RESUMO

In our rapidly expanding landscape of artificial intelligence (AI), synthetic data has become a topic of great promise but also some concern. This review aims to provide pathologists and laboratory professionals with a primer on the role of synthetic data and how it may soon shape the landscape within our field. Using synthetic data presents many advantages but also introduces a milieu of new obstacles and limitations. This review aims to provide pathologists and lab professionals with a primer on the general concept of synthetic data and its potential to transform our field. By leveraging synthetic data, we can help accelerate the development of various machine learning models and enhance our medical education and research/quality study needs. This review will explore the methods for generating synthetic data, including rule-based, machine learning model-based and hybrid approaches, as they apply to applications within pathology and laboratory medicine. We will also discuss the limitations and challenges associated with such synthetic data, including data quality, malicious use, and ethical / bias concerns and challenges. By understanding the potential benefits (i.e. medical education, training artificial intelligence programs, and proficiency testing, etc.) and limitations of this new data realm, we can not only harness its power to improve patient outcomes, advance research, and enhance the practice of pathology but also become readily aware of their intrinsic limitations.

2.
Curr Opin Infect Dis ; 36(4): 235-242, 2023 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37284773

RESUMO

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Immunocompromised patients are at high risk for infection. During the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, immunocompromised patients exhibited increased odds of intensive care unit admission and death. Early pathogen identification is essential to mitigating infection related risk in immunocompromised patients. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have tremendous appeal to address unmet diagnostic needs. These AI/ML tools often rely on the wealth of data found in healthcare to enhance our ability to identify clinically significant patterns of disease. To this end, our review provides an overview of the current AI/ML landscape as it applies to infectious disease testing with emphasis on immunocompromised patients. RECENT FINDINGS: Examples include AI/ML for predicting sepsis in high risk burn patients. Likewise, ML is utilized to analyze complex host-response proteomic data to predict respiratory infections including COVID-19. These same approaches have also been applied for pathogen identification of bacteria, viruses, and hard to detect fungal microbes. Future uses of AI/ML may include integration of predictive analytics in point-of-care (POC) testing and data fusion applications. SUMMARY: Immunocompromised patients are at high risk for infections. AI/ML is transforming infectious disease testing and has great potential to address challenges encountered in the immune compromised population.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Humanos , Inteligência Artificial , Proteômica , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Doenças Transmissíveis/diagnóstico , Teste para COVID-19
3.
Semin Diagn Pathol ; 40(2): 69-70, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36890028

RESUMO

This timely captivating topic is organized and presented in this special issue of the journal of Seminar in diagnostic pathology. This special issue will be dedicated to the utilization of machine learning within the digital pathology and laboratory medicine fields. Special thanks to all the authors whose contributions to this review series has not only enhanced our overall understanding of this exciting new field but will also enrich the reader's understanding of this important discipline.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos
4.
Semin Diagn Pathol ; 40(2): 71-87, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36870825

RESUMO

Machine learning (ML) is becoming an integral aspect of several domains in medicine. Yet, most pathologists and laboratory professionals remain unfamiliar with such tools and are unprepared for their inevitable integration. To bridge this knowledge gap, we present an overview of key elements within this emerging data science discipline. First, we will cover general, well-established concepts within ML, such as data type concepts, data preprocessing methods, and ML study design. We will describe common supervised and unsupervised learning algorithms and their associated common machine learning terms (provided within a comprehensive glossary of terms that are discussed within this review). Overall, this review will offer a broad overview of the key concepts and algorithms in machine learning, with a focus on pathology and laboratory medicine. The objective is to provide an updated useful reference for those new to this field or those who require a refresher.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos , Algoritmos
5.
Histopathology ; 75(1): 39-53, 2019 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30801768

RESUMO

AIMS: Machine learning (ML) binary classification in diagnostic histopathology is an area of intense investigation. Several assumptions, including training image quality/format and the number of training images required, appear to be similar in many studies irrespective of the paucity of supporting evidence. We empirically compared training image file type, training set size, and two common convolutional neural networks (CNNs) using transfer learning (ResNet50 and SqueezeNet). METHODS AND RESULTS: Thirty haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained slides with carcinoma or normal tissue from three tissue types (breast, colon, and prostate) were photographed, generating 3000 partially overlapping images (1000 per tissue type). These lossless Portable Networks Graphics (PNGs) images were converted to lossy Joint Photographic Experts Group (JPG) images. Tissue type-specific binary classification ML models were developed by the use of all PNG or JPG images, and repeated with a subset of 500, 200, 100, 50, 30 and 10 images. Eleven models were generated for each tissue type, at each quantity of training images, for each file type, and for each CNN, resulting in 924 models. Internal accuracies and generalisation accuracies were compared. There was no meaningful significant difference in accuracies between PNG and JPG models. Models trained with more images did not invariably perform better. ResNet50 typically outperformed SqueezeNet. Models were generalisable within a tissue type but not across tissue types. CONCLUSIONS: Lossy JPG images were not inferior to lossless PNG images in our models. Large numbers of unique H&E-stained slides were not required for training optimal ML models. This reinforces the need for an evidence-based approach to best practices for histopathological ML.


Assuntos
Aprendizado Profundo , Histologia , Patologia Clínica , Aprendizado Profundo/estatística & dados numéricos , Diagnóstico por Computador/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Técnicas Histológicas/estatística & dados numéricos , Histologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/estatística & dados numéricos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Masculino , Redes Neurais de Computação , Patologia Clínica/estatística & dados numéricos
6.
J Community Health ; 41(4): 780-9, 2016 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26856732

RESUMO

Anemia is a public health problem in Mexico. This study sought to determine the prevalence and correlates of anemia among women and children residing in a rural farming region of Baja California, Mexico. An existing partnership between universities, non-governmental organizations, and an underserved Mexican community was utilized to perform cross-sectional data collection in 2004-2005 (Wave 1) and in 2011-2012 (Wave 2) among women (15-49 years) and their children (6-59 months). All participants completed a survey and underwent anemia testing. Blood smears were obtained to identify etiology. Nutrition education interventions and clinical health evaluations were offered between waves. Participants included 201 women and 99 children in Wave 1, and 146 women and 77 children in Wave 2. Prevalence of anemia significantly decreased from 42.3 to 23.3 % between Waves 1 and 2 in women (p < 0.001), from 46.5 to 30.2 % in children 24-59 months (p = 0.066), and from 71.4 to 45.8 % in children 6-23 months (p = 0.061). Among women in Wave 1, consumption of iron absorption enhancing foods (green vegetables and fruits high in vitamin C) was protective against anemia (p = 0.043). Women in Wave 2 who ate ≥4 servings of green, leafy vegetables per week were less likely to be anemic (p = 0.034). Microscopic examination of blood smears revealed microcytic, hypochromic red blood cells in 90 % of anemic children and 68.8 % of anemic women, consistent with iron deficiency anemia.


Assuntos
Anemia/epidemiologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , México/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem
7.
Angew Chem Int Ed Engl ; 54(13): 4018-22, 2015 Mar 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25651530

RESUMO

We present a silica nanoparticle (SNP) functionalized with polyphosphate (polyP) that accelerates the natural clotting process of the body. SNPs initiate the contact pathway of the blood-clotting system; short-chain polyP accelerates the common pathway by the rapid formation of thrombin, which enhances the overall blood-clotting system, both by accelerating fibrin generation and by facilitating the regulatory anticoagulation mechanisms essential for hemostasis. Analysis of the clotting properties of bare SNPs, bare polyP, and polyP-functionalized SNPs in plasma demonstrated that the attachment of polyP to SNPs to form polyP-SNPs creates a substantially enhanced synergistic effect that lowers clotting time and increases thrombin production at low concentrations. PolyP-SNP even retains its clotting function at ambient temperature. The polyP-SNP system has the potential to significantly improve trauma-treatment protocols and outcomes in hospital and prehospital settings.


Assuntos
Coagulação Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Nanopartículas , Polifosfatos/química , Dióxido de Silício/farmacologia , Fibrina/química , Hemorragia/tratamento farmacológico , Hemostasia , Espectroscopia de Ressonância Magnética , Tamanho da Partícula , Espectrofotometria Atômica , Temperatura , Trombina/química , Tempo de Coagulação do Sangue Total , Zircônio/química
8.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38685479

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Asthma classification into different subphenotypes is important to guide personalized therapy and improve outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To further explore asthma heterogeneity through determination of multiple patient groups by using novel machine learning (ML) approaches and large-scale real-world data. METHODS: We used electronic health records of patients with asthma followed at the Cleveland Clinic between 2010 and 2021. We used k-prototype unsupervised ML to develop a clustering model where predictors were age, sex, race, body mass index, prebronchodilator and postbronchodilator spirometry measurements, and the usage of inhaled/systemic steroids. We applied elbow and silhouette plots to select the optimal number of clusters. These clusters were then evaluated through LightGBM's supervised ML approach on their cross-validated F1 score to support their distinctiveness. RESULTS: Data from 13,498 patients with asthma with available postbronchodilator spirometry measurements were extracted to identify 5 stable clusters. Cluster 1 included a young nonsevere asthma population with normal lung function and higher frequency of acute exacerbation (0.8 /patient-year). Cluster 2 had the highest body mass index (mean ± SD, 44.44 ± 7.83 kg/m2), and the highest proportion of females (77.5%) and Blacks (28.9%). Cluster 3 comprised patients with normal lung function. Cluster 4 included patients with lower percent of predicted FEV1 of 77.03 (12.79) and poor response to bronchodilators. Cluster 5 had the lowest percent of predicted FEV1 of 68.08 (15.02), the highest postbronchodilator reversibility, and the highest proportion of severe asthma (44.9%) and blood eosinophilia (>300 cells/µL) (34.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Using real-world data and unsupervised ML, we classified asthma into 5 clinically important subphenotypes where group-specific asthma treatment and management strategies can be designed and deployed.

9.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 14892, 2024 06 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38937503

RESUMO

Accurate screening of COVID-19 infection status for symptomatic patients is a critical public health task. Although molecular and antigen tests now exist for COVID-19, in resource-limited settings, screening tests are often not available. Furthermore, during the early stages of the pandemic tests were not available in any capacity. We utilized an automated machine learning (ML) approach to train and evaluate thousands of models on a clinical dataset consisting of commonly available clinical and laboratory data, along with cytokine profiles for patients (n = 150). These models were then further tested for generalizability on an out-of-sample secondary dataset (n = 120). We were able to develop a ML model for rapid and reliable screening of patients as COVID-19 positive or negative using three approaches: commonly available clinical and laboratory data, a cytokine profile, and a combination of the common data and cytokine profile. Of the tens of thousands of models automatically tested for the three approaches, all three approaches demonstrated > 92% sensitivity and > 88 specificity while our highest performing model achieved 95.6% sensitivity and 98.1% specificity. These models represent a potential effective deployable solution for COVID-19 status classification for symptomatic patients in resource-limited settings and provide proof-of-concept for rapid development of screening tools for novel emerging infectious diseases.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Citocinas , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Citocinas/sangue , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Masculino , Feminino , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso
10.
J Thromb Haemost ; 21(4): 728-743, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36696218

RESUMO

Artificial Intelligence and machine-learning (ML) studies are increasingly populating the life science space and some have also started to integrate certain clinical decision support tasks. However, most of the activities within this space understandably remain within the investigational domain and are not yet ready for broad use in healthcare. In short, artificial intelligence/ML is still in an infancy stage within the healthcare arena, and we are nowhere near reaching its full potential. Various factors have contributed to this slow adoption rate within healthcare, which include but are not limited to data accessibility and integrity issues, paucity of specialized data science personnel, certain regulatory measures, and various voids within the ML operational platform domain. However, these obstacles and voids have also introduced us to certain opportunities to better understand this arena as we fully embark on this new journey, which undoubtedly will become a major part of our future patient care activities. Considering the aforementioned needs, this review will be concentrating on various ML studies within the coagulation and hemostasis space to better understand their shared study needs, findings, and limitations. However, the ML needs within this subspecialty of medicine are not unique and most of these needs, voids, and limitations also apply to the other medical disciplines. Therefore, this review will not only concentrate on introducing the audience to ML concepts and ML study design elements but also on where the future within this arena in medicine is leading us.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Sistemas de Apoio a Decisões Clínicas , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Coagulação Sanguínea , Previsões
11.
Front Oncol ; 13: 1130229, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36845729

RESUMO

One of the core elements of Machine Learning (ML) is statistics and its embedded foundational rules and without its appropriate integration, ML as we know would not exist. Various aspects of ML platforms are based on statistical rules and most notably the end results of the ML model performance cannot be objectively assessed without appropriate statistical measurements. The scope of statistics within the ML realm is rather broad and cannot be adequately covered in a single review article. Therefore, here we will mainly focus on the common statistical concepts that pertain to supervised ML (i.e. classification and regression) along with their interdependencies and certain limitations.

12.
J Pathol Inform ; 14: 100342, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38116171

RESUMO

AI Chat Bots such as ChatGPT are revolutionizing our AI capabilities, especially in text generation, to help expedite many tasks, but they introduce new dilemmas. The detection of AI-generated text has become a subject of great debate considering the AI text detector's known and unexpected limitations. Thus far, much research in this area has focused on the detection of AI-generated text; however, the goal of this study was to evaluate the opposite scenario, an AI-text detection tool's ability to discriminate human-generated text. Thousands of abstracts from several of the most well-known scientific journals were used to test the predictive capabilities of these detection tools, assessing abstracts from 1980 to 2023. We found that the AI text detector erroneously identified up to 8% of the known real abstracts as AI-generated text. This further highlights the current limitations of such detection tools and argues for novel detectors or combined approaches that can address this shortcoming and minimize its unanticipated consequences as we navigate this new AI landscape.

14.
Arch Pathol Lab Med ; 146(1): 112-116, 2022 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33836045

RESUMO

CONTEXT.­: Pathology on-call experiences help prepare trainees for successful transition from residency to independent practice, and as such are an integral component of training. However, few data exist on anatomic pathology resident on-call workload and experience. OBJECTIVE.­: To obtain an overall picture of the anatomic pathology on-call experience to inform and improve resident education. DESIGN.­: Retrospective and prospective review of daily anatomic pathology on-call summaries from July 2016 to June 2020. RESULTS.­: During the first 2 years of the study (ie, retrospective portion), only 19% of on-call summaries (138 of 730) were available for review. After interventions, the on-call summary submission rate jumped to 98% (716 of 731). After-hours calls were most frequent on weekdays from 5 to 8 pm. The most frequent requests were for frozen sections (55%; 619 of 1125 calls), inquiries regarding disposition of fresh placentas (13%; 148 of 1125 calls), and inquiries regarding disposition of various other specimens (6%; 68 of 1125 calls). After-hours frozen section requests were most frequent for gynecologic and head and neck specimens. Notably, a significant number of after-hours calls were recurring preanalytic issues amenable to system-level improvements. We were able to eliminate the most common of these recurring preanalytic calls with stepwise interventions. CONCLUSIONS.­: To our knowledge, this is the first study analyzing the anatomic pathology resident on-call experience. In addition to obtaining a broad overview of the residents' clinical exposure on this service, we identified and resolved issues critical to optimal patient care (eg, inconsistent "patient hand-off") and improved the resident on-call experience (eg, fewer preanalytic calls increased resident time for other clinical, educational, or wellness activities).


Assuntos
Internato e Residência , Patologia Clínica , Feminino , Humanos , Patologia Clínica/educação , Admissão e Escalonamento de Pessoal , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Carga de Trabalho
15.
ACS Omega ; 7(20): 17462-17471, 2022 May 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35600141

RESUMO

Mass spectrometry (MS) based diagnostic detection of 2019 novel coronavirus infectious disease (COVID-19) has been postulated to be a useful alternative to classical PCR based diagnostics. These MS based approaches have the potential to be both rapid and sensitive and can be done on-site without requiring a dedicated laboratory or depending on constrained supply chains (i.e., reagents and consumables). Matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization (MALDI)-time-of-flight (TOF) MS has a long and established history of microorganism detection and systemic disease assessment. Previously, we have shown that automated machine learning (ML) enhanced MALDI-TOF-MS screening of nasal swabs can be both sensitive and specific for COVID-19 detection. The underlying molecules responsible for this detection are generally unknown nor are they required for this automated ML platform to detect COVID-19. However, the identification of these molecules is important for understanding both the mechanism of detection and potentially the biology of the underlying infection. Here, we used nanoscale liquid chromatography tandem MS to identify endogenous peptides found in nasal swab saline transport media to identify peptides in the same the mass over charge (m/z) values observed by the MALDI-TOF-MS method. With our peptidomics workflow, we demonstrate that we can identify endogenous peptides and endogenous protease cut sites. Further, we show that SARS-CoV-2 viral peptides were not readily detected and are highly unlikely to be responsible for the accuracy of MALDI based SARS-CoV-2 diagnostics. Further analysis with more samples will be needed to validate our findings, but the methodology proves to be promising.

16.
PLoS One ; 17(7): e0263954, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35905092

RESUMO

The 2019 novel coronavirus infectious disease (COVID-19) pandemic has resulted in an unsustainable need for diagnostic tests. Currently, molecular tests are the accepted standard for the detection of SARS-CoV-2. Mass spectrometry (MS) enhanced by machine learning (ML) has recently been postulated to serve as a rapid, high-throughput, and low-cost alternative to molecular methods. Automated ML is a novel approach that could move mass spectrometry techniques beyond the confines of traditional laboratory settings. However, it remains unknown how different automated ML platforms perform for COVID-19 MS analysis. To this end, the goal of our study is to compare algorithms produced by two commercial automated ML platforms (Platforms A and B). Our study consisted of MS data derived from 361 subjects with molecular confirmation of COVID-19 status including SARS-CoV-2 variants. The top optimized ML model with respect to positive percent agreement (PPA) within Platforms A and B exhibited an accuracy of 94.9%, PPA of 100%, negative percent agreement (NPA) of 93%, and an accuracy of 91.8%, PPA of 100%, and NPA of 89%, respectively. These results illustrate the MS method's robustness against SARS-CoV-2 variants and highlight similarities and differences in automated ML platforms in producing optimal predictive algorithms for a given dataset.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Teste para COVID-19 , Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico/métodos , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Espectrometria de Massas por Ionização e Dessorção a Laser Assistida por Matriz/métodos
17.
J Pathol Inform ; 13: 10, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35136677

RESUMO

High-quality medical data is critical to the development and implementation of machine learning (ML) algorithms in healthcare; however, security, and privacy concerns continue to limit access. We sought to determine the utility of "synthetic data" in training ML algorithms for the detection of tuberculosis (TB) from inflammatory biomarker profiles. A retrospective dataset (A) comprised of 278 patients was used to generate synthetic datasets (B, C, and D) for training models prior to secondary validation on a generalization dataset. ML models trained and validated on the Dataset A (real) demonstrated an accuracy of 90%, a sensitivity of 89% (95% CI, 83-94%), and a specificity of 100% (95% CI, 81-100%). Models trained using the optimal synthetic dataset B showed an accuracy of 91%, a sensitivity of 93% (95% CI, 87-96%), and a specificity of 77% (95% CI, 50-93%). Synthetic datasets C and D displayed diminished performance measures (respective accuracies of 71% and 54%). This pilot study highlights the promise of synthetic data as an expedited means for ML algorithm development.

18.
Int J Lab Hematol ; 43 Suppl 1: 15-22, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34288435

RESUMO

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have now spawned a new field within health care and health science research. These new predictive analytics tools are starting to change various facets of our clinical care domains including the practice of laboratory medicine. Many of these ML tools and studies are also starting to populate our literature landscape as we know it but unfamiliarity of the average reader to the basic knowledge and critical concepts within AI/ML is now demanding a need to better prepare our audience to such relatively unfamiliar concepts. A fundamental knowledge of such platforms will inevitably enhance cross-disciplinary literacy and ultimately lead to enhanced integration and understanding of such tools within our discipline. In this review, we provide a general outline of AI/ML along with an overview of the fundamental concepts of ML categories, specifically supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning. Additionally, since the vast majority of our current approaches within ML in laboratory medicine and health care involve supervised algorithms, we will predominantly concentrate on such platforms. Finally, the need for making such tools more accessible to the average investigator is becoming a major driving force for the need of automation within these ML platforms. This has now given rise to the automated ML (Auto-ML) world which will undoubtedly help shape the future of ML within health care. Hence, an overview of Auto-ML is also covered within this manuscript which will hopefully enrich the reader's understanding, appreciation, and the need for embracing such tools.


Assuntos
Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Ciência de Laboratório Médico/métodos , Algoritmos , Inteligência Artificial , Automação , Projetos de Pesquisa , Aprendizado de Máquina Supervisionado , Fluxo de Trabalho
19.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 17900, 2021 09 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34504228

RESUMO

Serological diagnosis of active tuberculosis (TB) is enhanced by detection of multiple antibodies due to variable immune responses among patients. Clinical interpretation of these complex datasets requires development of suitable algorithms, a time consuming and tedious undertaking addressed by the automated machine learning platform MILO (Machine Intelligence Learning Optimizer). MILO seamlessly integrates data processing, feature selection, model training, and model validation to simultaneously generate and evaluate thousands of models. These models were then further tested for generalizability on out-of-sample secondary and tertiary datasets. Out of 31 antigens evaluated, a 23-antigen model was the most robust on both the secondary dataset (TB vs healthy) and the tertiary dataset (TB vs COPD) with sensitivity of 90.5% and respective specificities of 100.0% and 74.6%. MILO represents a user-friendly, end-to-end solution for automated generation and deployment of optimized models, ideal for applications where rapid clinical implementation is critical such as emerging infectious diseases.


Assuntos
Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos Teóricos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem
20.
Transplantation ; 105(12): 2646-2654, 2021 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33560727

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Several groups have previously developed logistic regression models for predicting delayed graft function (DGF). In this study, we used an automated machine learning (ML) modeling pipeline to generate and optimize DGF prediction models en masse. METHODS: Deceased donor renal transplants at our institution from 2010 to 2018 were included. Input data consisted of 21 donor features from United Network for Organ Sharing. A training set composed of ~50%/50% split in DGF-positive and DGF-negative cases was used to generate 400 869 models. Each model was based on 1 of 7 ML algorithms (gradient boosting machine, k-nearest neighbor, logistic regression, neural network, naive Bayes, random forest, support vector machine) with various combinations of feature sets and hyperparameter values. Performance of each model was based on a separate secondary test dataset and assessed by common statistical metrics. RESULTS: The best performing models were based on neural network algorithms, with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7595. This model used 10 out of the original 21 donor features, including age, height, weight, ethnicity, serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, hypertension history, donation after cardiac death status, cause of death, and cold ischemia time. With the same donor data, the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for logistic regression models was 0.7484, using all donor features. CONCLUSIONS: Our automated en masse ML modeling approach was able to rapidly generate ML models for DGF prediction. The performance of the ML models was comparable with classic logistic regression models.


Assuntos
Função Retardada do Enxerto , Transplante de Rim , Aloenxertos , Teorema de Bayes , Função Retardada do Enxerto/diagnóstico , Função Retardada do Enxerto/etiologia , Humanos , Transplante de Rim/efeitos adversos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina
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