Synergistic Impact of Visual and Cognitive Impairments on Health-Related Quality of Life in a Multiethnic Asian Population.

INTRODUCTION: The concomitant impact of visual impairment (VI) and cognitive impairment (CI) on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in older adults is unclear. We aimed to determine the synergistic effect of baseline VI and CI on HRQoL decline at 6 years in multiethnic Asians. METHODS: We included Chinese, Malay, and Indian adults aged ≥60 years who participated in baseline (2004-2011) and 6-year (2011-2017) follow-up visits of the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases Study, a population-based cohort study in Singapore. Visual acuity (VA) was objectively measured at both visits, with VI defined as presenting VA >0.3 LogMAR in the better eye. CI was defined as Abbreviated Mental Test scores of ≤6 and ≤8 for individuals with ≤6 and >6 years of formal education, respectively. HRQoL was measured using the European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaire. HRQoL decline was defined as the difference in the composite EQ-5D scores at baseline and 6-year follow-up and deemed clinically meaningful if the reduction was equal to or larger than the minimal clinically important difference. Multivariable linear regression assessed the independent associations and synergism (ß interaction) between baseline VI and CI on EQ-5D decline. RESULTS: Of the 2,433 participants (mean [SD] age: 67.6 [5.5]) at baseline, 559, 120, and 151 had VI only, CI only, and both impairments, respectively. HRQoL decline in individuals with baseline comorbid VI-CI was clinically meaningful and was 2.0 times (ß = -0.044, 95% confidence interval: -0.077 to -0.010) and 3.7 times (ß = -0.065, 95% confidence interval: -0.11 to -0.022) larger than those with VI only and CI only, respectively. Importantly, there was a significant synergism (ß interaction = -0.048, 95% confidence interval: -0.095 to -0.001) between baseline VI and CI as predictors of HRQoL decline, suggesting that individuals having both conditions concurrently had a greater HRQoL reduction than the sum in those with VI alone and CI alone. The affected HRQoL domains included mobility and usual activities. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitant VI-CI potentiated HRQoL decline to a greater extent than the sum of individual contributions of VI and CI, suggesting synergism. Our results suggest that rehabilitative interventions such as the use of mobility aids and occupational therapy are needed to maintain HRQoL in older adults with concomitant VI-CI. Moreover, preventive interventions targeting at early detection and management of both VI and CI may also be beneficial.

Prevalence, associated risk factors; and patient and economic impact of multiple sensory impairment in a multi-ethnic elderly population in Singapore: the PIONEER study.

BACKGROUND: To determine the prevalence, risk factors; and impact on patient health and economic outcomes across the laterality spectrum of multiple sensory impairment (MSI) in a multi-ethnic older Asian population. METHODS: In this population-based study of Singaporeans aged ≥ 60 years, MSI was defined as concomitant vision (visual acuity > 0.3 logMAR), hearing (pure-tone air conduction average > 25 dB), and olfactory (score < 12 on the Sniffin' Sticks test) impairments across the spectrum of laterality (any, unilateral, combination [of unilateral and bilateral], and bilateral). RESULTS: Among 2,057 participants (mean ± SD 72.2 ± 0.2 years; 53.1% female), the national census-adjusted prevalence rates of any, unilateral, combination, and bilateral MSI were 20.6%, 1.2%, 12.2%, and 7.2%, respectively. Older age, male gender, low socioeconomic status (SES), and smoking (all p < 0.05) were independently associated with higher likelihood of any MSI. Compared to those with no sensory loss, those with MSI had significantly decreased mobility (range 5.4%-9.2%), had poor functioning (OR range 3.25-3.45) and increased healthcare costs (range 4-6 folds) across the laterality spectrum. Additionally, bilateral MSI had a significant decrease in HRQoL (5.5%, p = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: MSI is a highly prevalent medical condition, with 1 in 5; and almost 1 in 10 community-dwelling older Asians having any and bilateral MSI, respectively, with a higher likelihood in men, smokers, and those with low SES. Critically, MSI has a substantial negative impact on patient health and economic outcomes across the laterality spectrum. Sensory testing is critical to detect and refer individuals with MSI for management to improve their functional independence and QoL.

Extending the diabetic retinopathy screening intervals in Singapore: methodology and preliminary findings of a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Diabetic Retinopathy Extended Screening Study (DRESS) aims to develop and validate a new DR/diabetic macular edema (DME) risk stratification model in patients with Type 2 diabetes (DM) to identify low-risk groups who can be safely assigned to biennial or triennial screening intervals. We describe the study methodology, participants' baseline characteristics, and preliminary DR progression rates at the first annual follow-up. METHODS: DRESS is a 3-year ongoing longitudinal study of patients with T2DM and no or mild non-proliferative DR (NPDR, non-referable) who underwent teleophthalmic screening under the Singapore integrated Diabetic Retinopathy Programme (SiDRP) at four SingHealth Polyclinics. Patients with referable DR/DME (> mild NPDR) or ungradable fundus images were excluded. Sociodemographic, lifestyle, medical and clinical information was obtained from medical records and interviewer-administered questionnaires at baseline. These data are extracted from medical records at 12, 24 and 36 months post-enrollment. Baseline descriptive characteristics stratified by DR severity at baseline and rates of progression to referable DR at 12-month follow-up were calculated. RESULTS: Of 5,840 eligible patients, 78.3% (n = 4,570, median [interquartile range [IQR] age 61.0 [55-67] years; 54.7% male; 68.0% Chinese) completed the baseline assessment. At baseline, 97.4% and 2.6% had none and mild NPDR (worse eye), respectively. Most participants had hypertension (79.2%) and dyslipidemia (92.8%); and almost half were obese (43.4%, BMI ≥ 27.5 kg/m2). Participants without DR (vs mild DR) reported shorter DM duration, and had lower haemoglobin A1c, triglycerides and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (all p < 0.05). To date, we have extracted 41.8% (n = 1909) of the 12-month follow-up data. Of these, 99.7% (n = 1,904) did not progress to referable DR. Those who progressed to referable DR status (0.3%) had no DR at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: In our prospective study of patients with T2DM and non-referable DR attending polyclinics, we found extremely low annual DR progression rates. These preliminary results suggest that extending screening intervals beyond 12 months may be viable and safe for most participants, although our 3-year follow up data are needed to substantiate this claim and develop the risk stratification model to identify low-risk patients with T2DM who can be assigned biennial or triennial screening intervals.

Development and External Validation of Machine Learning Models for Diabetic Microvascular Complications: Cross-Sectional Study With Metabolites.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) are major diabetic microvascular complications, contributing significantly to morbidity, disability, and mortality worldwide. The kidney and the eye, having similar microvascular structures and physiological and pathogenic features, may experience similar metabolic changes in diabetes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to use machine learning (ML) methods integrated with metabolic data to identify biomarkers associated with DKD and DR in a multiethnic Asian population with diabetes, as well as to improve the performance of DKD and DR detection models beyond traditional risk factors. METHODS: We used ML algorithms (logistic regression [LR] with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator and gradient-boosting decision tree) to analyze 2772 adults with diabetes from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases study, a population-based cross-sectional study conducted in Singapore (2004-2011). From 220 circulating metabolites and 19 risk factors, we selected the most important variables associated with DKD (defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) and DR (defined as an Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study severity level ≥20). DKD and DR detection models were developed based on the variable selection results and externally validated on a sample of 5843 participants with diabetes from the UK biobank (2007-2010). Machine-learned model performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] with 95% CI, sensitivity, and specificity) was compared to that of traditional LR adjusted for age, sex, diabetes duration, hemoglobin A1c, systolic blood pressure, and BMI. RESULTS: Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases participants had a median age of 61.7 (IQR 53.5-69.4) years, with 49.1% (1361/2772) being women, 20.2% (555/2753) having DKD, and 25.4% (685/2693) having DR. UK biobank participants had a median age of 61.0 (IQR 55.0-65.0) years, with 35.8% (2090/5843) being women, 6.7% (374/5570) having DKD, and 6.1% (355/5843) having DR. The ML algorithms identified diabetes duration, insulin usage, age, and tyrosine as the most important factors of both DKD and DR. DKD was additionally associated with cardiovascular disease history, antihypertensive medication use, and 3 metabolites (lactate, citrate, and cholesterol esters to total lipids ratio in intermediate-density lipoprotein), while DR was additionally associated with hemoglobin A1c, blood glucose, pulse pressure, and alanine. Machine-learned models for DKD and DR detection outperformed traditional LR models in both internal (AUC 0.838 vs 0.743 for DKD and 0.790 vs 0.764 for DR) and external validation (AUC 0.791 vs 0.691 for DKD and 0.778 vs 0.760 for DR). CONCLUSIONS: This study highlighted diabetes duration, insulin usage, age, and circulating tyrosine as important factors in detecting DKD and DR. The integration of ML with biomedical big data enables biomarker discovery and improves disease detection beyond traditional risk factors.

Major cardiovascular events and subsequent risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy: a CKD Prognosis Consortium study.

AIMS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m2, 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence. CONCLUSION: Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed.

Retinal vascular profile in predicting incident cardiometabolic diseases among individuals with diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the longitudinal associations between retinal vascular profile (RVP) and four major cardiometabolic diseases; and to quantify the predictive improvements when adding RVP beyond traditional risk factors in individuals with diabetes. METHODS: Subjects were enrolled from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease (SEED) study, a multi-ethnic population-based cohort. Four incident cardiometabolic diseases, calculated over a ~ 6-year period, were considered: cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension (HTN), diabetic kidney disease (DKD), and hyperlipidemia (HLD). The RVP-vessel tortuosity, branching angle, branching coefficient, fractal dimension, vessel caliber, and DR status-was characterized at baseline using a computer-assisted program. Traditional risk factors at baseline included age, gender, ethnicity, smoking, blood pressure (BP), HbA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), or cholesterol. The improvements in predictive performance when adding RVP (compared with only traditional risk factors) was calculated using several metrics including area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). RESULTS: Among 1770 individuals with diabetes, incidences were 6.3% (n = 79/1259) for CVD, 48.7% (n = 166/341) for HTN, 14.6% (n = 175/1199) for DKD, and 59.4% (n = 336/566) for HLD. DR preceded the onset of CVD (RR 1.85[1.14;3.00]) and DKD (1.44 [1.06;1.96]). Narrower arteriolar caliber preceding the onset of HTN (0.84 [0.72;0.99]), and changes in arteriolar branching angle preceded the onset of CVD (0.78 [0.62;0.98]) and HTN (1.15 [1.03;1.29]). The largest predictive improvement was found for HTN with AUC increment of 3.4% (p = .027) and better reclassification of 11.4% of the cases and 4.6% of the controls (p = .008). CONCLUSION: We found that RVPs improved the prediction of HTN in individuals with diabetes, but add limited information for CVD, DKD, and HLD predictions.

High-Density Lipoprotein 3 Cholesterol and Primary Open-Angle Glaucoma: Metabolomics and Mendelian Randomization Analyses.

PURPOSE: We hypothesized that the effect of blood lipid-related metabolites on primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) would differ according to specific lipoprotein particles and lipid sub-fractions. We investigated the associations of blood levels of lipoprotein particles and lipid sub-fractions with POAG. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals recruited for the baseline visit of the population-based Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease study (n = 8503). METHODS: All participants underwent detailed standardized ocular and systemic examinations. A total of 130 blood lipid-related metabolites were quantified using a nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics platform. The analyses were conducted in 2 stages. First, we investigated whether and which lipid-related metabolites were directly associated with POAG using regression analyses followed by Bayesian network modeling. Second, we investigated if any causal relationship exists between the identified lipid-related metabolites, if any, and POAG using 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. We performed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) on high-density lipoprotein (HDL) 3 cholesterol (after inverse normal transformation) and used the top variants associated with HLD3 cholesterol as instrumental variables (IVs) in the MR analysis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Primary open-angle glaucoma. RESULTS: Of the participants, 175 (2.1%) had POAG. First, a logistic regression model showed that total HDL3 cholesterol (negatively) and phospholipids in very large HDL (positively) were associated with POAG. Further analyses using a Bayesian network analysis showed that only total HDL3 cholesterol was directly associated with POAG (odds ratio [OR], 0.72 per 1 standard deviation increase in HDL3 cholesterol; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.61-0.84), independently of age, gender, intraocular pressure (IOP), body mass index (BMI), education level, systolic blood pressure, axial length, and statin medication. Using 5 IVs identified from the GWAS and with the inverse variance weighted MR method, we found that higher levels of HDL3 cholesterol were associated with a decreased odds of POAG (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99, P = 0.021). Other MR methods, including weighted median, mode-based estimator, and contamination mixture methods, derived consistent OR estimates. None of the routine lipids (blood total, HDL, or low-density lipoprotein [LDL] cholesterol) were associated with POAG. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these results suggest that the relationship between HDL3 cholesterol and POAG might be causal and specific, and that dysregulation of cholesterol transport may play a role in the pathogenesis of POAG.

The longitudinal association between cognitive impairment and incident visual impairment in a multiethnic Asian population: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between baseline cognitive impairment (CI) and incident visual impairment (VI) in Asians is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine the associations between baseline CI with incident VI and visual acuity (VA) at 6-year follow-up in multiethnic Asians. DESIGN: Cohort. SETTING: Population-based. SUBJECTS: Two thousand three hundred and twenty-four adults aged ≥60 years from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases Study (response rate 64%). METHODS: CI was defined using the validated Abbreviated Mental Test (AMT). VA was objectively measured using a LogMAR chart. Any incident VI was defined as having no VI (Snellen's VA better than or equal to 20/40) at baseline but present (VA worse than 20/40) at 6-year follow-up. VI severity was defined according to the International Classification of Diseases, 11th Revision. Associations were assessed using logistic and linear regression models. RESULTS: Of the 2,324 participants, 248 had CI at baseline. Presence of baseline CI was associated with more than twice the odds of any incident VI, incident mild and moderate-severe VI (OR [95% confidence interval]: 2.48 [1.55-3.90], 2.07 [1.17-3.55], and 2.61 [1.36-4.93], respectively) and worse VA (ß [95% confidence interval]: 0.026 [0.006-0.046]) at 6-year follow-up. The leading causes of incident VI were cataract and under-corrected refractive error. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults with CI had more than double the odds of VI development and poorer VA than their cognitively intact counterparts, and most causes of incident VI were correctable. Strategies such as targeted vision screening and early intervention for early detection and management of vision loss in patients with cognitive decline are warranted.

Retinal photograph-based deep learning predicts biological age, and stratifies morbidity and mortality risk.

BACKGROUND: ageing is an important risk factor for a variety of human pathologies. Biological age (BA) may better capture ageing-related physiological changes compared with chronological age (CA). OBJECTIVE: we developed a deep learning (DL) algorithm to predict BA based on retinal photographs and evaluated the performance of our new ageing marker in the risk stratification of mortality and major morbidity in general populations. METHODS: we first trained a DL algorithm using 129,236 retinal photographs from 40,480 participants in the Korean Health Screening study to predict the probability of age being ≥65 years ('RetiAGE') and then evaluated the ability of RetiAGE to stratify the risk of mortality and major morbidity among 56,301 participants in the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: in the UK Biobank, over a 10-year follow up, 2,236 (4.0%) died; of them, 636 (28.4%) were due to cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and 1,276 (57.1%) due to cancers. Compared with the participants in the RetiAGE first quartile, those in the RetiAGE fourth quartile had a 67% higher risk of 10-year all-cause mortality (HR = 1.67 [1.42-1.95]), a 142% higher risk of CVD mortality (HR = 2.42 [1.69-3.48]) and a 60% higher risk of cancer mortality (HR = 1.60 [1.31-1.96]), independent of CA and established ageing phenotypic biomarkers. Likewise, compared with the first quartile group, the risk of CVD and cancer events in the fourth quartile group increased by 39% (HR = 1.39 [1.14-1.69]) and 18% (HR = 1.18 [1.10-1.26]), respectively. The best discrimination ability for RetiAGE alone was found for CVD mortality (c-index = 0.70, sensitivity = 0.76, specificity = 0.55). Furthermore, adding RetiAGE increased the discrimination ability of the model beyond CA and phenotypic biomarkers (increment in c-index between 1 and 2%). CONCLUSIONS: the DL-derived RetiAGE provides a novel, alternative approach to measure ageing.

Dietary intake and associations with myopia in Singapore children.

PURPOSE: To evaluate associations of dietary factors with myopia, spherical equivalent refractive error (SE) and axial length (AL) in children at age 9 from the Growing Up in Singapore Towards healthy Outcomes (GUSTO) birth cohort. METHODS: We included 467 multi-ethnic children (933 eyes) who participated in the GUSTO prospective birth cohort and were delivered in two major hospitals in Singapore (2009-2010). At the 9-year visit, we assessed the 6-year incidence of myopia (between ages 3 to 9), cycloplegic SE and AL in children without myopia (SE ≤ -0.5 D in either eye) at the 3-year visit. Using a validated 112-item food frequency questionnaire, parents reported each child's average daily intake of dietary factors (nutrients and food groups) in the past month. Paired eyes were analysed using Generalised Estimating Equations with multivariable logistic or linear regression. Bonferroni corrections were applied, correcting for multiple comparisons between the 13 nutrients (p < 0.004) or 8 food groups (p < 0.006) and each outcome. RESULTS: In children aged 9 years (51.0% boys; 56.3% Chinese), the 6-year incidence of myopia was 35.5%. Overall, the mean (SD) SE and AL were -0.3 (1.7) D and 23.4 (1.0) mm, respectively. In multivariable regression, macronutrients or micronutrients were not associated with incident myopia (p ≥ 0.004 for all), adjusting for total energy, gender, ethnicity, time outdoors, near-work and the number of myopic parents (additionally child's height for outcome AL). Similarly, all food groups (including refined grains, sugar-sweetened beverages, protein foods, fruits and vegetables) were not associated with incident myopia (p ≥ 0.006 for all). Additionally, none of the nutrients (p ≥ 0.004 for all) or food groups (p ≥ 0.006 for all) were associated with SE or AL. CONCLUSIONS: Our study findings of no significant association between specific nutrients or food groups and incident myopia or SE or AL suggest that diet may not be associated with myopia in children aged 9 years. Well-conducted prospective studies in other populations may clarify the association.

A systematic review and participant-level meta-analysis found little association of retinal microvascular caliber with reduced kidney function.

Previously, variation in retinal vascular caliber has been reported in association with chronic kidney disease (CKD) but findings remain inconsistent. To help clarify this we conducted individual participant data meta-analysis and aggregate data meta-analysis on summary estimates to evaluate cross-sectional associations between retinal vascular caliber and CKD. A systematic review was performed using Medline and EMBASE for articles published until October 2018. The aggregate analysis used a two-stage approach combining summary estimates from eleven studies (44,803 patients) while the individual participant analysis used a one-stage approach combining raw data from nine studies (33,222 patients). CKD stages 3-5 was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate under 60 mL/min/1.73m2. Retinal arteriolar and venular caliber (central retinal arteriolar and venular equivalent) were assessed from retinal photographs using computer-assisted methods. Logistic regression estimated relative risk of CKD stages 3-5 associated with a 20 µm decrease (approximately one standard deviation) in central retinal arteriolar and venular equivalent. Prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 was 11.2% of 33,222 and 11.3% of 44,803 patients in the individual participant and aggregate data analysis, respectively. No significant associations were detected in adjusted analyses between central retinal arteriolar and venular equivalent and CKD stages 3-5 in the aggregate analysis for central retinal arteriolar relative risk (0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.94-1.03); venular equivalent (0.99, 0.95-1.04) or individual participant central retinal arteriolar (0.99, 0.95-1.04) or venular equivalent (1.01, 0.97-1.05). Thus, meta-analysis provided little evidence to suggest that cross sectional direct measurements of retinal vascular caliber was associated with CKD stages 3-5 in the general population. Hence, meta-analyses of longitudinal studies evaluating the association between retinal parameters and CKD stages 3-5 may be warranted.

Obesity and risk of age-related eye diseases: a systematic review of prospective population-based studies.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a public health challenge worldwide. The relationship between obesity and age-related eye diseases including cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) have remained elusive. DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of three electronic databases for longitudinal population-based studies that described associations between measures of obesity including body mass index (BMI), waist-circumference (WC), and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and age-related eye diseases. RESULTS: Our search yielded 1731 articles, of which 14, 10, 16 and 8 articles met our eligibility criteria for cataract, glaucoma, AMD and DR, respectively. BMI-defined obesity was positively associated with incident cataract, incident AMD and incident DR in Western populations, but in Asian populations associations for incident AMD were not significant and associations for incident DR were inverse. WC-defined obesity was associated with incident glaucoma in non-Western populations. WHR-defined obesity but not BMI-defined obesity was associated with the incidence or progression of AMD in two Western studies. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we found strong evidence supporting associations between obesity and age-related eye diseases. Further research on the association of abdominal obesity and effect of weight loss and physical activity on age-related eye diseases is warranted to support clinical and public health recommendations.

Global Prevalence of Diabetic Retinopathy and Projection of Burden through 2045: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

TOPIC: To provide updated estimates on the global prevalence and number of people with diabetic retinopathy (DR) through 2045. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) estimated the global population with diabetes mellitus (DM) to be 463 million in 2019 and 700 million in 2045. Diabetic retinopathy remains a common complication of DM and a leading cause of preventable blindness in the adult working population. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review using PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, and Scopus for population-based studies published up to March 2020. Random effect meta-analysis with logit transformation was performed to estimate global and regional prevalence of DR, vision-threatening DR (VTDR), and clinically significant macular edema (CSME). Projections of DR, VTDR, and CSME burden were based on population data from the IDF Atlas 2019. RESULTS: We included 59 population-based studies. Among individuals with diabetes, global prevalence was 22.27% (95% confidence interval [CI], 19.73%-25.03%) for DR, 6.17% (95% CI, 5.43%-6.98%) for VTDR, and 4.07% (95% CI, 3.42%-4.82%) for CSME. In 2020, the number of adults worldwide with DR, VTDR, and CSME was estimated to be 103.12 million, 28.54 million, and 18.83 million, respectively; by 2045, the numbers are projected to increase to 160.50 million, 44.82 million, and 28.61 million, respectively. Diabetic retinopathy prevalence was highest in Africa (35.90%) and North American and the Caribbean (33.30%) and was lowest in South and Central America (13.37%). In meta-regression models adjusting for habitation type, response rate, study year, and DR diagnostic method, Hispanics (odds ratio [OR], 2.92; 95% CI, 1.22-6.98) and Middle Easterners (OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.51-3.94) with diabetes were more likely to have DR compared with Asians. DISCUSSION: The global DR burden is expected to remain high through 2045, disproportionately affecting countries in the Middle East and North Africa and the Western Pacific. These updated estimates may guide DR screening, treatment, and public health care strategies.

Association of Antihypertensive Medication with Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer and Ganglion Cell-Inner Plexiform Layer Thickness.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the association between different classes of antihypertensive medication with retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GC-IPL) thickness in a nonglaucomatous multiethnic Asian population. DESIGN: Population-based, cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 9144 eyes for RNFL analysis (2668 Malays, 3554 Indians, and 2922 Chinese) and 8549 eyes for GC-IPL analysis (2460 Malays, 3230 Indians, and 2859 Chinese) aged 44 to 86 years. METHODS: Participants underwent standardized systemic and ocular examinations and interviewer-administered questionnaires for collection of data on medication and other variables. Intraocular pressure (IOP) readings were obtained by Goldmann applanation tonometry before pupil dilation for fundoscopy and OCT imaging. Blood pressure (BP) was measured with an automatic BP monitor. Mean arterial pressure (MAP) was defined as diastolic BP plus 1/3 (systolic BP - diastolic BP). Regression models were used to investigate the association of antihypertensive medication with OCT measurements of RNFL and GC-IPL. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Average and sectoral RNFL and GC-IPL thickness. RESULTS: After adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, MAP, IOP, body mass index (BMI), and presence of diabetes, we found that participants taking any type of antihypertensive medication (ß = -0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.46 to -0.02; P = 0.01), specifically angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) (ß = -1.66; 95% CI, -2.57 to -0.75; P < 0.001) or diuretics (ß = -1.38; 95% CI, -2.59 to -0.17; P < 0.05), had thinner average RNFL in comparison with participants who were not receiving antihypertensive treatment. Use of a greater number of antihypertensive medications was significantly associated with thinner average RNFL (P for trend = 0.001). This association was most evident in the inferior RNFL quadrant in participants using ACEIs (ß = -2.44; 95% CI, -3.99 to -0.89; P = 0.002) or diuretics (ß = -2.76; 95% CI, -4.76 to -0.76; P = 0.007). A similar trend was noted in our analysis of macular GC-IPL thickness. CONCLUSIONS: Use of 2 or more antihypertensive medications, ACEI, and diuretics were associated with a loss of structural markers of retinal ganglion cell health in a multiethnic Asian population.

Obstructive Sleep Apnoea, Other Sleep Parameters and Diabetic Retinopathy.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To summarise the association between obstructive sleep apnoea and diabetic retinopathy and diabetic macular oedema. To examine the effects of other sleep parameters on diabetic retinopathy and diabetic macular oedema. To discuss the pathophysiology of diabetic eye changes and how it is related to obstructive sleep apnoea. RECENT FINDINGS: Conflicting data exists in terms of the association of diabetic eye changes with sleep apnoea and/or other sleep parameters. Various cross-sectional studies show PDR to be associated with the prevalence of OSA. Patients who underwent continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) treatment were significantly less likely to develop pre/proliferative DR. Secondary sleep parameters generally are not associated with DR except for long duration of sleep. Differences in reporting could be due to the different thresholds set to define OSA/ODI and severity of DR/DME, in addition to factors used in multivariate analysis. There is a need for further studies with long-term follow-up and to assess the impact of CPAP on the development and progression of diabetic eye change(s).

Vision, vision-specific functioning and mobility, and their relationship with clinically assessed cognitive impairment.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between self-reported visual disability and cognitive impairment in older individuals is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship of vision-specific functioning (VSF), vision-specific mobility (VSM) and visual acuity (VA) with clinically assessed cognitive impairment in the Epidemiology of Dementia in Singapore study. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: Population-based. SUBJECTS: Eight hundred and seventy-four adults aged ≥60 years at higher risk of possible cognitive impairment by the Abbreviated Mental Test and progressive forgetfulness question. METHODS: VSF and VSM were measured using Rasch-transformed continuous scores of two Impact of Vision Impairment questionnaire domains. Cognitive impairment was objectively determined using detailed neuropsychological testing and defined as no cognitive impairment (NCI), mild cognitive impairment-no dementia (CIND), moderate CIND only and moderate CIND or dementia. Associations were assessed using multinomial logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 874 participants (49.0% males, mean age (SD) 65.5 (7.0) years), 277, 281 and 316 had NCI, mild CIND and moderate CIND or dementia, respectively. Compared to NCI, the odds of moderate CIND, and moderate CIND or dementia increased for every SD worsening in VSF (OR: 1.44, 95% CI 1.14-1.82, and OR: 1.52, 95%CI 1.19-1.94, respectively) and VSM (OR: 1.42, 95%CI 1.11-1.81, and OR: 1.50, 95%CI 1.15-1.95). Similarly, the odds of mild CIND (OR: 1.62, 95%CI 1.19-2.22), moderate CIND (OR: 1.93, 95%CI 1.45-2.58), and moderate CIND or dementia (OR: 2.25, 95%CI 1.62-3.11) increased significantly with every SD worsening of VA. CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasise the importance of interventions to prevent vision loss and improve quality of life to reduce likelihood of age-related cognitive decline.

APOC3 genetic variation, serum triglycerides, and risk of coronary artery disease in Asian Indians, Europeans, and other ethnic groups.

BACKGROUND: Hypertriglyceridemia has emerged as a critical coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factor. Rare loss-of-function (LoF) variants in apolipoprotein C-III have been reported to reduce triglycerides (TG) and are cardioprotective in American Indians and Europeans. However, there is a lack of data in other Europeans and non-Europeans. Also, whether genetically increased plasma TG due to ApoC-III is causally associated with increased CAD risk is still unclear and inconsistent. The objectives of this study were to verify the cardioprotective role of earlier reported six LoF variants of APOC3 in South Asians and other multi-ethnic cohorts and to evaluate the causal association of TG raising common variants for increasing CAD risk. METHODS: We performed gene-centric and Mendelian randomization analyses and evaluated the role of genetic variation encompassing APOC3 for affecting circulating TG and the risk for developing CAD. RESULTS: One rare LoF variant (rs138326449) with a 37% reduction in TG was associated with lowered risk for CAD in Europeans (p = 0.007), but we could not confirm this association in Asian Indians (p = 0.641). Our data could not validate the cardioprotective role of other five LoF variants analysed. A common variant rs5128 in the APOC3 was strongly associated with elevated TG levels showing a p-value 2.8 × 10- 424. Measures of plasma ApoC-III in a small subset of Sikhs revealed a 37% increase in ApoC-III concentrations among homozygous mutant carriers than the wild-type carriers of rs5128. A genetically instrumented per 1SD increment of plasma TG level of 15 mg/dL would cause a mild increase (3%) in the risk for CAD (p = 0.042). CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the challenges of inclusion of rare variant information in clinical risk assessment and the generalizability of implementation of ApoC-III inhibition for treating atherosclerotic disease. More studies would be needed to confirm whether genetically raised TG and ApoC-III concentrations would increase CAD risk.

Profiles of Ganglion Cell-Inner Plexiform Layer Thickness in a Multi-Ethnic Asian Population: The Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases Study.

PURPOSE: To examine the normative profile and determinants of macular ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness based on spectral-domain OCT (SD-OCT) in a nonglaucoma, multi-ethnic Asian population. DESIGN: Population-based, cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Ethnic Chinese, Malay, and Indian adults aged ≥40 years recruited from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases Study. METHODS: All participants underwent standardized examinations. The GCIPL thickness was measured using Cirrus HD-OCT (Carl Zeiss Meditec, Dublin, CA). Participants with glaucoma or poor-quality scans were excluded. Eye-specific data were used. Associations of ocular and systemic factors with GCIPL thickness parameters were investigated using multivariable linear regression with generalized estimating equation models to account for correlation between both eyes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: GCIPL thickness. RESULTS: A total of 4464 participants (7520 eyes) consisting of 1625 Chinese, 1212 Malay, and 1627 Indian adults contributed to this analysis. Average GCIPL thickness was 82.6±6.1 µm in Chinese, 81.5±6.8 µm in Malays, and 78.0±6.9 µm in Indians (P < 0.001 by analysis of variance). The 5th percentile limit of average GCIPL thickness was 72 µm in Chinese, 70 µm in Malays, and 67 µm in Indians. In multivariable analysis adjusting for age, gender, axial length, presence of cataract, OCT signal strength, disc area, hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia, eyes of Indians were observed to have 3.43 µm thinner GCIPL on average compared with Chinese (P < 0.001) and 3.36 µm thinner GCIPL compared with Malays (P < 0.001). In addition, older age (per decade; ß = -2.51), female (ß = -1.57), longer axial length (per mm; ß = -1.54), and presence of chronic kidney disease (ß = -1.49) were significantly associated with thinner average GCIPL (all P ≤ 0.008). Larger optic disc area (per mm2; ß = 0.78; P < 0.001) was associated with thicker GCIPL. These factors were consistently observed to be significant for superior and inferior hemisphere GCIPL thickness. CONCLUSIONS: GCIPL thickness profiles were significantly thinner in Indians compared with Chinese and Malays. Our findings further highlight the need of a more refined, ethnic-specific normative database for GCIPL thickness, which in turn may improve the detection and diagnosis of glaucoma in Asians.

Prevalence and Pattern of Geographic Atrophy in Asia: The Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium.

PURPOSE: Although there have been many population-based studies of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), only limited information is available in Asia on the epidemiology of geographic atrophy (GA). We aimed to determine the prevalence and patterns of GA through an analysis of multiple studies conducted within the Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium (AEEC). DESIGN: Cross-sectional meta-analyses. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 97 213 individuals aged 40 years and older. METHODS: Data from 22 population-based studies from countries belonging to the AEEC were included. In all studies, AMD was defined on the basis of standardized grading systems. Geographic atrophy was defined as an area of pallor in the fundus with visibility of the underlying choroidal blood vessels and sharply defined borders. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to estimate overall and age-, gender-, and region-specific pooled prevalence of GA. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of GA per 1000 persons. RESULTS: The mean age was 60.8 ± 10.0 years, and 42 673 (43.9%) were male. Overall, a total of 223 individuals (0.2%) had GA. The pooled overall prevalence of GA was 1.57 per 1000 persons (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-2.10), which was 3 times less than that of neovascular AMD of 5.20 per 1000 persons (95% CI, 3.97-6.43). Compared with those aged 50 to 59 years, the prevalence of GA increased from 0.34 per 1000 persons (95% CI, 0.07-0.62) to 2.90 per 1000 persons (95% CI, 1.55-4.25) in those aged ≥70 years. The GA prevalence per 1000 persons was similar between urban (2.22; 95% CI, 1.22-3.23) and rural residents (1.33; 95% CI, 0.70-1.96). Geographic atrophy was more prevalent in South Asia (based on studies from India and Nepal, 3.82 per 1000 persons; 95% CI, 1.72-5.93) compared with East Asia (based on studies from China, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Japan, and the Singapore Chinese Eye Study, 0.76 per 1000 persons; 95% CI, 0.31-1.22, P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Geographic atrophy is uncommon in Asian populations compared with those of European ancestry. Even within Asia, geographic differences in GA prevalence were seen. The findings of this meta-analysis suggest that better dissection of risk factors in the Asian population for GA may provide insights into the biological pathways that drive these late-stage manifestations, thus suggesting better targets for prevention.

Mendelian randomization analysis does not support causal associations of birth weight with hypertension risk and blood pressure in adulthood.

Epidemiology studies suggested that low birthweight was associated with a higher risk of hypertension in later life. However, little is known about the causality of such associations. In our study, we evaluated the causal association of low birthweight with adulthood hypertension following a standard analytic protocol using the study-level data of 183,433 participants from 60 studies (CHARGE-BIG consortium), as well as that with blood pressure using publicly available summary-level genome-wide association data from EGG consortium of 153,781 participants, ICBP consortium and UK Biobank cohort together of 757,601 participants. We used seven SNPs as the instrumental variable in the study-level analysis and 47 SNPs in the summary-level analysis. In the study-level analyses, decreased birthweight was associated with a higher risk of hypertension in adults (the odds ratio per 1 standard deviation (SD) lower birthweight, 1.22; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.28), while no association was found between genetically instrumented birthweight and hypertension risk (instrumental odds ratio for causal effect per 1 SD lower birthweight, 0.97; 95% CI 0.68 to 1.41). Such results were consistent with that from the summary-level analyses, where the genetically determined low birthweight was not associated with blood pressure measurements either. One SD lower genetically determined birthweight was not associated with systolic blood pressure (ß = - 0.76, 95% CI - 2.45 to 1.08 mmHg), 0.06 mmHg lower diastolic blood pressure (ß = - 0.06, 95% CI - 0.93 to 0.87 mmHg), or pulse pressure (ß = - 0.65, 95% CI - 1.38 to 0.69 mmHg, all p > 0.05). Our findings suggest that the inverse association of birthweight with hypertension risk from observational studies was not supported by large Mendelian randomization analyses.