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Objective: The aim of this study was to quantify radiomic changes in prostate cancer (PCa) progression on serial MRI among patients on active surveillance (AS) and evaluate their association with pathologic progression on biopsy. Methods: This retrospective study comprised N = 121 biopsy-proven PCa patients on AS at a single institution, of whom N = 50 at baseline conformed to the inclusion criteria. ISUP Gleason Grade Groups (GGG) were obtained from 12-core TRUS-guided systematic biopsies at baseline and follow-up. A biopsy upgrade (AS+) was defined as an increase in GGG (or in number of positive cores) and no upgrade (AS-) was defined when GGG remained the same during a median period of 18 months. Of N = 50 patients at baseline, N = 30 had MRI scans available at follow-up (median interval = 18 months) and were included for delta radiomic analysis. A total of 252 radiomic features were extracted from the PCa region of interest identified by board-certified radiologists on 3T bi-parametric MRI [T2-weighted (T2W) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC)]. Delta radiomic features were computed as the difference of radiomic feature between baseline and follow-up scans. The association of AS+ with age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PIRADS v2.1) score, and tumor size was evaluated at baseline and follow-up. Various prediction models were built using random forest (RF) classifier within a threefold cross-validation framework leveraging baseline radiomics (Cbr), baseline radiomics + baseline clinical (Cbrbcl), delta radiomics (CΔr), delta radiomics + baseline clinical (CΔrbcl), and delta radiomics + delta clinical (CΔrΔcl). Results: An AUC of 0.64 ± 0.09 was obtained for Cbr, which increased to 0.70 ± 0.18 with the integration of clinical variables (Cbrbcl). CΔr yielded an AUC of 0.74 ± 0.15. Integrating delta radiomics with baseline clinical variables yielded an AUC of 0.77 ± 0.23. CΔrΔclresulted in the best AUC of 0.84 ± 0.20 (p < 0.05) among all combinations. Conclusion: Our preliminary findings suggest that delta radiomics were more strongly associated with upgrade events compared to PIRADS and other clinical variables. Delta radiomics on serial MRI in combination with changes in clinical variables (PSA and tumor volume) between baseline and follow-up showed the strongest association with biopsy upgrade in PCa patients on AS. Further independent multi-site validation of these preliminary findings is warranted.
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OBJECTIVES: Matching treatment intensity to tumor biology is critical to precision oncology for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. We sought to identify biological features of tumor cell multinucleation, previously shown by us to correlate with survival in oropharyngeal (OP) SCC using a machine learning approach. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Hematoxylin and eosin images from an institutional OPSCC cohort formed the training set (DTr). TCGA HNSCC patients (oral cavity, oropharynx and larynx/hypopharynx) formed the validation set (DV). Deep learning models were trained in DTr to calculate a multinucleation index (MuNI) score. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was then used to explore correlations between MuNI and tumor biology. RESULTS: MuNI correlated with overall survival. A multivariable nomogram that included MuNI, age, race, sex, T/N stage, and smoking status yielded a C-index of 0.65, and MuNI was prognostic of overall survival (2.25, 1.07-4.71, 0.03), independent of the other variables. High MuNI scores correlated with depletion of effector immunocyte subsets across all HNSCC sites independent of HPV and TP53 mutational status although the correlations were strongest in wild-type TP53 tumors potentially due to aberrant mitotic events and activation of DNA-repair mechanisms. CONCLUSION: MuNI is associated with survival in HNSCC across subsites. This may be driven by an association between high levels of multinucleation and a suppressive (potentially exhausted) tumor immune microenvironment. Mechanistic studies examining the link between multinucleation and tumor immunity will be required to characterize biological drivers of multinucleation and their impact on treatment response and outcomes.