The Lancet Commission to reduce the global burden of sudden cardiac death: a call for multidisciplinary action.

Despite major advancements in cardiovascular medicine, sudden cardiac death (SCD) continues to be an enormous medical and societal challenge, claiming millions of lives every year. Efforts to prevent SCD are hampered by imperfect risk prediction and inadequate solutions to specifically address arrhythmogenesis. Although resuscitation strategies have witnessed substantial evolution, there is a need to strengthen the organisation of community interventions and emergency medical systems across varied locations and health-care structures. With all the technological and medical advances of the 21st century, the fact that survival from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) remains lower than 10% in most parts of the world is unacceptable. Recognising this urgent need, the Lancet Commission on SCD was constituted, bringing together 30 international experts in varied disciplines. Consistent progress in tackling SCD will require a completely revamped approach to SCD prevention, with wide-sweeping policy changes that will empower the development of both governmental and community-based programmes to maximise survival from SCA, and to comprehensively attend to survivors and decedents' families after the event. International collaborative efforts that maximally leverage and connect the expertise of various research organisations will need to be prioritised to properly address identified gaps. The Commission places substantial emphasis on the need to develop a multidisciplinary strategy that encompasses all aspects of SCD prevention and treatment. The Commission provides a critical assessment of the current scientific efforts in the field, and puts forth key recommendations to challenge, activate, and intensify efforts by both the scientific and global community with new directions, research, and innovation to reduce the burden of SCD worldwide.

Vitamin D deficiency as a risk factor for sudden cardiac arrest: A multicenter case-control study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Vitamin D is known to influence the risk of cardiovascular disease, which is a recognized risk factor for sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). However, the relationship between vitamin D and SCA is not well understood. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the association between vitamin D and SCA in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients compared to healthy controls. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Phase II Cardiac Arrest Pursuit Trial with Unique Registration and Epidemiologic Surveillance (CAPTURES II) registry, a 1:1 propensity score-matched case-control study was conducted between 2017 and 2020. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (vitamin D) levels in patients with OHCA (454 cases) and healthy controls (454 cases) were compared after matching for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, and lifestyle behaviors. The mean vitamin D levels were 14.5 ± 7.6 and 21.3 ± 8.3 ng/mL among SCA cases and controls, respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, lifestyle behaviors, corrected serum calcium levels, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGRF). The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for vitamin D was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.91). The dose-response relationship demonstrated that vitamin D deficiency was associated with SCA incidence (severe deficiency, aOR 10.87, 95% CI 4.82-24.54; moderate deficiency, aOR 2.24, 95% CI 1.20-4.20). CONCLUSION: Vitamin D deficiency was independently and strongly associated with an increased risk of SCA, irrespective of cardiovascular and lifestyle factors, corrected calcium levels, and eGFR.

Feasibility and safety of targeted temperature management during interhospital transport of post-cardiac arrest patients.

OBJECTIVES: Early initiation of targeted temperature management (TTM) is crucial for post-resuscitation care. Although TTM is initiated prior to transport and continued during interhospital transport (IHT), its feasibility and safety during IHT for cardiac arrest patients have not been thoroughly assessed. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility and safety of interhospital TTM for post-resuscitation patients. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of post-cardiac arrest patients transported by a dedicated critical care transport team between January 2016 and April 2023 was conducted. Adult patients resuscitated from cardiac arrest without mental recovery were enrolled. The study population was divided into those who received TTM during IHT (IHT-TTM group) and those who did not (non-IHT-TTM group). The primary outcome was body temperature drop during transport, with hypotension, or desaturation during transport considered as secondary outcomes. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was performed after frequency matching. RESULTS: Among 593 post-cardiac arrest patients, 332 were included in the analysis after exclusions. Of these, 44 (13.3%) received TTM during IHT. Conditional logistic regression analysis showed significantly higher likelihood for a drop in body temperature during IHT for the IHT-TTM group, with an odds ratio (OR) of 12.91 (95% CI: 5.28-31.53). No significant association was found for hypotension (OR (95% CI): 0.72 (0.13-3.97)), or desaturation during IHT (0.65 (0.15-2.82)). CONCLUSIONS: Administration of TTM during IHT for post-cardiac arrest patients appears to be feasible and safe. These findings support the implementation of dedicated critical care transport systems capable of providing TTM during IHT for post-cardiac arrest patients.

Association Between Ambulance Station Case Volume and Clinical Outcomes in Moderate to Severe Trauma.

OBJECTIVES: The effect of the case volume of emergency medical services (EMS) on the clinical outcomes of trauma is uncertain. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between the case volume of an ambulance station and clinical outcomes in moderate to severe trauma patients. METHODS: Adult trauma patients with injury severity scores greater than 8 who were transported by the EMS between 2018 and 2019 were analyzed. The main exposure was the annual case volume of moderate to severe trauma at the ambulance station where the patient-transporting ambulance was based: low-volume (less than 60 cases), intermediate-volume (between 60 and 89 cases), and high-volume (equal or greater than 90 cases). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Multilevel multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with the high-volume group used as the reference. RESULTS: In total, 21,498 trauma patients were analyzed. The high-volume group exhibited lower in-hospital mortality, 447 (9.0%), compared to 867 (14.1%) in the intermediate-volume group and 1,458 (14.1%) in the low-volume group. There were a significantly higher odds of in-hospital mortality: the low-volume group (AOR 95% CI: 1.20 (0.95-1.51)) and intermediate-volume group (AOR 95% CI: 1.29 (1.02-1.64)) when compared to the high-volume group. CONCLUSIONS: The case volume at an ambulance station is associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with moderate to severe trauma. These results should be considered when constructing an EMS system and education program for prehospital trauma care.

Association between Case Volumes of Extracorporeal Life Support and Clinical Outcome in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

AIM: Extracorporeal life support (ECLS) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is increasing. There is little evidence identifying the association between hospital ECLS case volumes and outcomes in different populations receiving ECLS or conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). The goal of this investigation was to identify the association between ECLS case volumes and clinical outcomes of OHCA patients. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study used the National OHCA Registry for adult OHCA cases in Seoul, Korea between January 2015 and December 2019. If the ECLS volume during the study period was >20, the institution was defined as a high-volume ECLS center. Others were defined as low-volume ECLS centers. Outcomes were good neurologic recovery (cerebral performance category 1 or 2) and survival to discharge. We performed multivariate logistic regression and interaction analyses to assess the association between case volume and clinical outcome. RESULTS: Of the 17,248 OHCA cases, 3,731 were transported to high-volume centers. Among the patients who underwent ECLS, those at high-volume centers had a higher neurologic recovery rate than those at low-volume centers (17.0% vs. 12.0%), and the adjusted OR for good neurologic recovery was 2.22 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15-4.28) in high-volume centers compared to low-volume centers. For patients who received conventional CPR, high-volume centers also showed higher survival-to-discharge rates (adjusted OR of 1.16, 95%CI: 1.01-1.34). CONCLUSIONS: High-volume ECLS centers showed better neurological recovery in patients who underwent ECLS. High-volume centers also had better survival-to-discharge rates than low-volume centers for patients not receiving ECLS.

Modified physiologic criteria for the field triage scheme: Efficacy of major trauma recognition in different age groups in Asia.

BACKGROUND: Major trauma is a leading cause of unexpected death globally, with increasing age-adjusted death rates for unintentional injuries. Field triage schemes (FTSs) assist emergency medical technicians in identifying appropriate medical care facilities for patients. While full FTSs may improve sensitivity, step-by-step field triage is time-consuming. A simplified FTS (sFTS) that uses only physiological and anatomical criteria may offer a more rapid decision-making process. However, evidence for this approach is limited, and its performance in identifying all age groups requiring trauma center resources in Asia remains unclear. METHODS: We conducted a multinational retrospective cohort study involving adult trauma patients admitted to emergency departments in the included countries from 2016 to 2020. Prehospital and hospital data were reviewed from the Pan-Asia Trauma Outcomes Study database. Patients aged ≥18 years transported by emergency medical services were included. Patients lacking data regarding age, sex, physiological criteria, or injury severity scores were excluded. We examined the performance of sFTS in all age groups and fine-tuned physiological criteria to improve sFTS performance in identifying high-risk trauma patients in different age groups. RESULTS: The sensitivity and specificity of the physiological and anatomical criteria for identifying major trauma (injury severity score ≥ 16) were 80.6% and 58.8%, respectively. The modified sFTS showed increased sensitivity and decreased specificity, with more pronounced changes in the young age group. Adding the shock index further increased sensitivity in both age groups. CONCLUSIONS: sFTS using only physiological and anatomical criteria is suboptimal for Asian adult patients with trauma of all age groups. Adjusting the physiological criteria and adding a shock index as a triage tool can improve the sensitivity of severely injured patients, particularly in young age groups. A swift field triage process can maintain acceptable sensitivity and specificity in severely injured patients.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation for adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients: time-dependent propensity score-sequential matching analysis from a nationwide population-based registry.

BACKGROUND: There is inconclusive evidence regarding the effectiveness of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. We aimed to evaluate the association between ECPR and neurologic recovery in OHCA patients using time-dependent propensity score matching analysis. METHODS: Using a nationwide OHCA registry, adult medical OHCA patients who underwent CPR at the emergency department between 2013 and 2020 were included. The primary outcome was a good neurological recovery at discharge. Time-dependent propensity score matching was used to match patients who received ECPR to those at risk for ECPR within the same time interval. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated, and stratified analysis by the timing of ECPR was also performed. RESULTS: Among 118,391 eligible patients, 484 received ECPR. After 1:4 time-dependent propensity score matching, 458 patients in the ECPR group and 1832 patients in the no ECPR group were included in the matched cohort. In the matched cohort, ECPR was not associated with good neurological recovery (10.3% in ECPR and 6.9% in no ECPR; RR [95% CI] 1.28 [0.85-1.93]). In the stratified analyses according to the timing of matching, ECPR with a pump-on within 45 min after emergency department arrival was associated with favourable neurological outcomes (RR [95% CI] 2.51 [1.33-4.75] in 1-30 min, 1.81 [1.11-2.93] in 31-45 min, 1.07 (0.56-2.04) in 46-60 min, and 0.45 (0.11-1.91) in over 60 min). CONCLUSIONS: ECPR itself was not associated with good neurological recovery, but early ECPR was positively associated with good neurological recovery. Research on how to perform ECPR at an early stage and clinical trials to evaluate the effect of ECPR is warranted.

Effects of a Designated Ambulance Team Response on Prehospital Return of Spontaneous Circulation and Advanced Cardiac Life Support of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Natural Experimental Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the effects of adding advanced cardiac life support (ACLS) training to an existing basic life support program and the operation of a designated team response for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) on prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and ACLS management. METHODS: A natural experimental study was conducted for emergency medical service (EMS)-treated adult patients with OHCA in 2020. In 2019, a quarter of the EMS clinicians were trained in a 3-day ACLS courses, and they were designated to be dispatched first in suspected OHCA. Some were dispatched only to major emergencies, such as OHCA and myocardial infarction (dedicated team), while others were dispatched to all emergencies with priority to major ones (non-dedicated team). The exposure was the ambulance response type: dedicated, non-dedicated, and basic teams (others). The primary outcome was prehospital ROSC. The secondary outcomes were prehospital ACLS (advanced airway management and intravenous access). A multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate the effect of ambulance response type on study outcomes. RESULTS: Among 23,512 eligible patients with OHCA, 54.8% (12,874) were treated by the basic team, 36.5% (8,580) by the non-dedicated ACLS team, and 8.8% (2,058) were treated by the dedicated ACLS team. Prehospital ROSC was greater for the designated team than for the basic team (dedicated ACLS team 13.8%, non-dedicated ACLS team 11.3%, and basic team 6.7%) (p < 0.01). In the final logistic regression analysis, compared with the basic team, the designated ACLS team was associated with a higher probability of prehospital ROSC (AOR (95% CIs), 1.88 (1.68-2.09) compared to the non-dedicated ACLS team, and 2.46 (2.09-2.90) compared to the dedicated ACLS team), prehospital advanced airway management (1.72 (1.57-1.87) and 1.73 (1.48-2.03), respectively), and intravenous access (2.29 (2.16-2.43) and 2.76 (2.50-3.04), respectively). CONCLUSION: Additional ACLS training and operation of a designated OHCA team response were associated with higher rates of prehospital ROSC and prehospital ACLS provision. However, further research is needed to find the optimal operation for EMS to improve survival outcomes.

Sex Disparities in Prehospital Advanced Cardiac Life Support in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in South Korea.

OBJECTIVE: Sex disparities have been reported in the prehospital and in-hospital care among patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The aim of this study was to investigate the association between sex and prehospital advanced cardiac life support (ACLS) interventions provided by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS: This was a cross-sectional observational study using a nationwide OHCA registry in South Korea. The study included adult OHCAs with presumed cardiac etiology from January 2016 to December 2019. The main exposure was the sex of the victim, and the primary outcomes were prehospital ACLS interventions, including advanced airway management (AAM), intravenous access (IV), and epinephrine (EPI) administration. Multivariable logistic regression analysis accounted for age group, health insurance, comorbidities, place of arrest, urbanization level, witness status, bystander CPR and initial rhythm was performed to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: Among 71,154 eligible patients, females with OHCA received less prehospital ACLS interventions than males: risk difference, (95% CIs) -2.76 (-3.41;-2.11) for AAM, -6.03 (-6.79;-5.27) for IV, and -3.81 (-4.37;-3.25) for EPI. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex was significantly associated with a lower probability of prehospital ACLS provision: AOR, (95% CIs) 0.87 (0.84-0.91) for AAM, 0.85 (0.82-0.88) for IV, and 0.81 (0.77-0.84) for EPI. CONCLUSION: Compared to male patients, female patients were less likely to receive prehospital ACLS. This offers opportunities for EMS systems to reduce disparities and to improve compliance with OHCA resuscitation guidelines and outcomes through quality improvement and educational interventions.

Analysis of Trauma Characteristics Between the Older and Younger Adult Patient from the Pan Asian Trauma Outcome Study Registry (PATOS).

OBJECTIVE: Asia is experiencing a demographic shift toward an aging population at an unrivaled rate. This can influence the characteristics and outcomes of trauma. We aim to examine different characteristics of older adult trauma patients compared to younger adult trauma patients and describe factors that affect the outcomes in Asian countries. METHODS: This is a retrospective, international, multicenter study of trauma across participating centers in the Pan Asian Trauma Outcome Study (PATOS) registry, which included trauma cases aged ≥18 years, brought to the emergency department (ED) by emergency medical services (EMS) from October 2015 to November 2018. Data of older adults (≥65 years) and younger adults (<65 years) were analyzed and compared. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality, and secondary outcomes were disability at discharge and hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) length of stays. RESULTS: Of 39,804 trauma patients, 10,770 (27.1%) were older adults. Trauma occurred more among older adult women (54.7% vs 33.2%, p < 0.001). Falls were more frequent in older adults (66.3% vs 24.9%, p < 0.001) who also had higher mean Injury Severity Score (ISS) compared to the younger adult trauma patient (5.4 ± 6.78 vs 4.76 ± 8.60, p < 0.001). Older adult trauma patients had a greater incidence of poor Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) (13.4% vs 4.1%, p < 0.001), higher hospital mortality (1.5% vs 0.9%, p < 0.001) and longer median hospital length of stay (12.8 vs 9.8, p < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression revealed age (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.06, 95%CI 1.02-1.04, p < 0.001), male sex (AOR 1.60, 95%CI 1.04-2.46, p = 0.032), head and face injuries (AOR 3.25, 95%CI 2.06-5.11, p < 0.001), abdominal and pelvic injuries (AOR 2.78, 95%CI 1.48-5.23, p = 0.002), cardiovascular (AOR 2.71, 95%CI 1.40-5.22, p = 0.003), pulmonary (AOR 3.13, 95%CI 1.30-7.53, p = 0.011) and cancer (AOR 2.03, 95%CI 1.02-4.06, p = 0.045) comorbidities, severe ISS (AOR 2.06, 95%CI 1.23-3.45, p = 0.006), and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤8 (AOR 12.50, 95%CI 6.95-22.48, p < 0.001) were significant predictors of hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Older trauma patients in the Asian region have a higher mortality rate than their younger counterparts, with many significant predictors. These findings illustrate the different characteristics of older trauma patients and their potential to influence the outcome. Preventive measures for elderly trauma should be targeted based on these factors.

Epidemiology and Prehospital Care of Pediatric Unintentional Injuries Among Countries with Different Economic Status in Asia: A Cross-National, Multi-Center Observational Study.

OBJECTIVE: Injury is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in children. However, the epidemiology and prehospital care for pediatric unintentional injuries in Asia are still unclear. METHODS: A total of 9,737 pediatric patients aged <18 years with unintentional injuries cared for at participating centers of the Pan-Asian Trauma Outcome Study (PATOS) from October 2015 to December 2020 were reviewed retrospectively. Patients were divided into two groups: those <8 and those ≥8 years of age. Variables such as patient demographics, injury epidemiology, Injury Severity Score (ISS), and prehospital care were collected. Injury severity and administered prehospital care stratified by gross national income were also analyzed. RESULTS: Pediatric unintentional injuries accounted for 9.4% of EMS-transported trauma cases in the participating Asian centers, and the mortality rate was 0.88%. The leading cause of injury was traffic injuries in older children aged ≥8 years (56.5%), while falls at home were common among young children aged <8 years (43.9%). Compared with younger children, older children with similar ISS tended to receive more prehospital interventions. Uneven disease severity was found in that older children in lower-middle and upper-middle-income countries had higher ISS compared with those in high-income countries. The performance of prehospital interventions also differed among countries with different gross national incomes. Immobilizations were the most performed prehospital intervention followed by oxygen administration, airway management, and pain control; only one patient received prehospital thoracentesis. Procedures were performed more frequently in high-income countries than in upper-middle-income and lower-middle-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: The major cause of injury was road traffic injuries in older children, while falls at home were common among young children. Prehospital care in pediatric unintentional injuries in Asian countries was not standardized and might be insufficient, and the economic status of countries may affect the implementation of prehospital care.

Association between post-cardiac arrest treatments and clinical outcomes according to scene time interval in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Retrospective cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that Post-Cardiac arrest (PCA) treatments including targeted temperature management (TTM), coronary reperfusion therapy (CRT), and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) are time-sensitive; however, there are no reports of the clinical outcomes of PCA treatment according to the scene time interval (STI). Our study aimed to investigated the clinical outcomes of PCA treatment according to the STI. METHODS: We used a Korean nationwide OHCA cohort database from January 2017 to December 2020. The inclusion criteria were all adult OHCA patients with a presumed cardiac etiology, bystander-witnessed arrest, and prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The outcomes were survival to discharge and good neurological recovery. The main exposure of interest was PCA treatment. We compared the outcomes using multivariable logistic regression, and interaction terms were included in the final model to assess whether the STI modified the effect of PCA treatment on clinical outcomes of OHCA. RESULTS: TTM and CRT were associated with high survival to discharge and good neurological recovery. In the interaction analysis, ECMO had an interaction effect with the STI on a good CPC among patients with OHCA [short STI (0 to 11 min) (1.16 (0.77-1.75)), middle STI (12 to 15 min) (0.66 (0.41-1.06)), and long STI (16 to 30 min) (0.59 (0.40-0.88)) (p for interaction <0.05)]. CONCLUSION: In adult bystander-witnessed patients with OHCA with prehospital ROSC, an STI of >16 min was a risk factor for poor neurological outcome in those patients who underwent ECMO.

Association between prehospital airway type and oxygenation and ventilation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the association between prehospital airway type and oxygenation and ventilation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: This retrospective observational study included OHCA patients who visited the emergency departments (EDs) between October 2015 and June 2021. The study groups were categorized according to the prehospital airway type: endotracheal intubation (ETI), supraglottic airway (SGA), or bag-valve-mask ventilation (BVM). The primary outcome was good oxygenation: partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) ≥ 60 mmHg on the first arterial blood gas (ABG) test. The secondary outcome was good ventilation: partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2) ≤ 45 mmHg. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to calculate the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: A total of 7,372 patients were enrolled during the study period: 1,819 patients treated with BVM, 706 with ETI, and 4,847 who underwent SGA. In multivariable logistic regression analysis for good oxygenation outcomes, the ETI group showed a higher AOR than the BVM group (AOR [95% CIs]: 1.30 [1.06-1.59] in ETI and 1.05 [0.93-1.20] in SGA groups). Regarding good ventilation, the ETI group showed a higher AOR, and the SGA group showed a lower AOR compared to the BVM group (AOR [95% CIs] 1.33 [1.02-1.74] in the ETI and 0.83 (0.70-0.99) in the SGA groups). There was no significant difference in survival to discharge. CONCLUSIONS: ETI was significantly associated with good oxygenation and good ventilation compared to BVM in patients with OHCA, particularly during longer transports. This should be taken into consideration when deciding the prehospital advanced airway management in patients with OHCA.

A simple scoring rule to predict survival to discharge after out of hospital cardiac arrest at the time of ED arrival.

BACKGROUND: It is important to be able to predict the chance of survival to hospital discharge upon ED arrival in order to determine whether to continue or terminate resuscitation efforts after out of hospital cardiac arrest. This study was conducted to develop and validate a simple scoring rule that could predict survival to hospital discharge at the time of ED arrival. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study based on a nationwide registry (Korean Cardiac Arrest Research Consortium) of out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The study included adult OHCA patients older than 18 years old, who visited one of 33 tertiary hospitals in South Korea from September 1st, 2015 to June 30th, 2020. Among 12,321 screened, 5471 patients were deemed suitable for analysis after exclusion. Pre-hospital ROSC, pre-hospital witness, shockable rhythm, initial pH, and age were selected as the independent variables. The dependent variable was set to be the survival to hospital discharge. Multivariable logistic regression (LR) was performed, and the beta-coefficients were rounded to the nearest integer to formulate the scoring rule. Several machine learning algorithms including the random forest classifier (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and K-nearest neighbor classifier (K-NN) were also trained via 5-fold cross-validation over a pre-specified grid, and validated on the test data. The prediction performances and the calibration curves of each model were obtained. Pre-processing of the registry was done using R, model training & optimization using Python. RESULTS: A total of 5471 patients were included in the analysis. The AUROC of the scoring rule over the test data was 0.7620 (0.7311-0.7929). The AUROCs of the machine learning classifiers (LR, SVM, k-NN, RF) were 0.8126 (0.7748-0.8505), 0.7920 (0.7512-0.8329), 0.6783 (0.6236-0.7329), and 0.7879 (0.7465-0.8294), respectively. CONCLUSION: A simple scoring rule consisting of five, binary variables could aid in the prediction of the survival to hospital discharge at the time of ED arrival, showing comparable results to conventional machine learning classifiers.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation location, coronary angiography and survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The best location for safe and timely implementation of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is currently uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between the location of ECPR and survival outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. We also evaluated whether the effects of ECPR location on survival differed between patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) and those who did not. METHODS: We used data collected between 2013 and 2020 from a nationwide OHCA database. Adult OHCA patients with presumed cardiac etiology who underwent ECPR were included in the study. The primary outcome was survival to discharge. The main exposure was the ECPR location (emergency department [ED] or cardiac catheterization laboratory [Cath lab]). We compared primary outcomes of ECPR between the ED and Cath lab using multivariable logistic regression. The interaction between ECPR location and CAG was also evaluated. RESULTS: Of 564 ECPR patients, 448 (79.4%) and 116 (20.6%) underwent ECPR in the ED and Cath lab, respectively. CAG was observed in 52.5% and 72.4% of the patients in the ED and Cath lab groups, respectively. There were no significant differences in survival to discharge between the ED and Cath lab groups (14.1% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.75, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] [95% confidence interval] 1.87 [0.85-4.11]). AOR of interaction analysis (95% CI) for survival to discharge of the ED group was 2.34 (1.02-5.40) in patients with CAG and 0.28 (0.04-1.84) in patients without CAG (p for interaction was 0.04). CONCLUSION: In adult OHCA patients who underwent ECPR and CAG, ECPR in the ED shortened time to ECMO pump-on time and increased survival to discharge compared to ECPR in the Cath lab.

Prehospital National Early Warning Score as a predictor of massive transfusion in adult trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that an elevated prehospital National Early Warning Score (preNEWS) is associated with increased levels of adverse outcomes in patients with trauma. However, whether preNEWS is a predictor of massive transfusion (MT) in patients with trauma is currently unknown. This study investigated the accuracy of preNEWS in predicting MT and hospital mortality among trauma patients. METHODS: We analyzed adult trauma patients who were treated and transported by emergency medical services (EMS) between January 2018 and December 2019. The main exposure was the preNEWS calculated for the scene. The primary outcome was the predictive ability for MT, and the secondary outcome was 24 h mortality. We compared the prognostic performance of preNEWS with the shock index, modified shock index, and reverse shock index, and reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale in the prehospital setting. RESULTS: In total, 41,852 patients were included, and 1456 (3.5%) received MT. preNEWS showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for predicting MT (0.8504; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.840-0.860) and 24 h mortality (AUROC 0.873; 95% CI, 0.863-0.883). The sensitivity of preNEWS for MT was 0.755, and the specificity of preNEWS for MT was 0.793. All indicies had a high negative predictive value and low positive predictive value. CONCLUSION: preNEWS is a useful, rapid predictor for MT and 24 h mortality. Calculation of preNEWS would be helpful for making the decision at the scene such as transfer straightforward to trauma center and advanced treatment.

Circulating Vitamin D Level and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death and Cardiovascular Mortality: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies to analyze the effect of circulating vitamin D level on the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. METHODS: Prospective cohort studies evaluating the association between circulating vitamin D and risk of SCD and CVD mortality were systematically searched in the PubMed and Embase. Extracted data were analyzed using a random effects model and results were expressed in terms of hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to estimate the dose-response relationships. RESULTS: Of the 1,321 records identified using the search strategy, a total of 19 cohort studies were included in the final meta-analysis. The pooled estimate of HR (95% CI) for low vs. high circulating vitamin D level was 1.75 (1.49-2.06) with I² value of 30.4%. In subgroup analysis, strong effects of circulating vitamin D were observed in healthy general population (pooled HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.43-2.38) and the clinical endpoint of SCD (pooled HRs, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.48-4.83). The dose-response analysis at the reference level of < 50 nmol/L showed a significant negative association between circulating vitamin D and risk of SCD and CVD mortality. CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies showed that lower circulating vitamin D level significantly increased the risk of SCD and CVD mortality.

Risk Factors for the Prescription of Ineffective Antiviral Candidates for COVID-19 During the Early Pandemic Period in Korea.

BACKGROUND: Although the evidence of treatment for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) changed rapidly, little is known about the patterns of potential pharmacological treatment during the early period of the COVID-19 pandemic in Korea and the risk factors for ineffective prescription. METHODS: Using claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance System, this retrospective cohort study included admission episodes for COVID-19 from February to December 2020. Ineffective antiviral prescriptions for COVID-19 were defined as lopinavir/ritonavir (LPN/r) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) prescribed after July 2020, according to the revised National Institute of Health COVID-19 treatment guidelines. Factors associated with ineffective prescriptions, including patient and hospital factors, were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 15,723 COVID-19 admission episodes from February to June 2020, 4,183 (26.6%) included prescriptions of LPN/r, and 3,312 (21.1%) included prescriptions of HCQ. Of the 48,843 admission episodes from July to December 2020, after the guidelines were revised, 2,258 (4.6%) and 182 (0.4%) included prescriptions of ineffective LPN/r and HCQ, respectively. Patient factors independently associated with ineffective antiviral prescription were older age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] per 10-year increase, 1.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-1.20) and severe condition with an oxygen requirement (aOR, 2.49; 95% CI, 2.24-2.77). The prescription of ineffective antiviral drugs was highly prevalent in primary and nursing hospitals (aOR, 40.58; 95% CI, 31.97-51.50), public sector hospitals (aOR, 15.61; 95% CI, 12.76-19.09), and regions in which these drugs were highly prescribed before July 2020 (aOR, 10.65; 95% CI, 8.26-13.74). CONCLUSION: Ineffective antiviral agents were prescribed to a substantial number of patients during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Korea. Treatment with these ineffective drugs tended to be prolonged in severely ill patients and in primary and public hospitals.

Cystatin C and mortality risk in the general population: systematic review and dose response meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Cystatin C has been identified as an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population. This meta-analysis to evaluate the association between serum cystatin C level and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. We additionally conducted a dose-response analysis to examine a linear association between cystatin C and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: PudMed and Embase databases were searched until January, 2021. All prospective cohort studies that reported a multivariate-adjusted risk estimated of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality for the highest compared with lowest cystatin C level were included. RESULTS: 13 prospective cohort studies, a total of 57,214 participants were included in this analysis. Meta-analysis indicated that the highest compared with lowest cystatin C level was associated with an increase of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.01; 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.60-2.53; I2=89%) and cardiovascular mortality (2.62 [1.96-3.51]; I2=52%). We found a significant log-linear dose-response association between cystatin C and cardiovascular mortality (p < 0.01). Every 0.1 mg/L increase in cystatin C level was associated with a 7.3% increased cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum cystatin C is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general populations. Particularly, cystatin C level and cardiovascular mortality showed linear correlation.

Use of Time-to-Event Analysis to Develop On-Scene Return of Spontaneous Circulation Prediction for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We aimed to train and validate the time to on-scene return of spontaneous circulation prediction models using time-to-event analysis among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients. METHODS: Using a Korean population-based out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry, we selected a total of 105,215 adults with presumed cardiac etiologies between 2013 and 2018. Patients from 2013 to 2017 and from 2018 were analyzed for training and test, respectively. We developed 4 time-to-event analyzing models (Cox proportional hazard [Cox], random survival forest, extreme gradient boosting survival, and DeepHit) and 4 classification models (logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and feedforward neural network). Patient characteristics and Utstein elements collected at the scene were used as predictors. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by Harrell's C-index and integrated Brier score. RESULTS: Among the 105,215 patients (mean age 70 years and 64% men), 86,314 and 18,901 patients belonged to the training and test sets, respectively. On-scene return of spontaneous circulation was achieved in 5,240 (6.1%) patients in the former set and 1,709 (9.0%) patients in the latter. The proportion of emergency medical services (EMS) management was higher and scene time interval longer in the latter. Median time from EMS scene arrival to on-scene return of spontaneous circulation was 8 minutes for both datasets. Classification models showed similar discrimination and poor calibration power compared to survival models; Cox showed high discrimination with the best calibration (C-index [95% confidence interval]: 0.873 [0.865 to 0.882]; integrated Brier score at 30 minutes: 0.060). CONCLUSION: Incorporating time-to-event analysis could lead to improved performance in prediction models and contribute to personalized field EMS resuscitation decisions.