RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Knowledge of COVID-19 epidemiology remains incomplete and crucial questions persist. We aimed to examine risk factors for COVID-19 death. METHODS: A total of 80 543 COVID-19 cases reported in China, nationwide, through 8 April 2020 were included. Risk factors for death were investigated by Cox proportional hazards regression and stratified analyses. RESULTS: Overall national case-fatality ratio (CFR) was 5.64%. Risk factors for death were older age (≥80: adjusted hazard ratio, 12.58; 95% confidence interval, 6.78-23.33), presence of underlying disease (1.33; 1.19-1.49), worse case severity (severe: 3.86; 3.15-4.73; critical: 11.34; 9.22-13.95), and near-epicenter region (Hubei: 2.64; 2.11-3.30; Wuhan: 6.35; 5.04-8.00). CFR increased from 0.35% (30-39 years) to 18.21% (≥70 years) without underlying disease. Regardless of age, CFR increased from 2.50% for no underlying disease to 7.72% for 1, 13.99% for 2, and 21.99% for ≥3 underlying diseases. CFR increased with worse case severity from 2.80% (mild) to 12.51% (severe) and 48.60% (critical), regardless of region. Compared with other regions, CFR was much higher in Wuhan regardless of case severity (mild: 3.83% vs 0.14% in Hubei and 0.03% elsewhere; moderate: 4.60% vs 0.21% and 0.06%; severe: 15.92% vs 5.84% and 1.86%; and critical: 58.57% vs 49.80% and 18.39%). CONCLUSIONS: Older patients regardless of underlying disease and patients with underlying disease regardless of age were at elevated risk of death. Higher death rates near the outbreak epicenter and during the surge of cases reflect the deleterious effects of allowing health systems to become overwhelmed.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , China/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Preterm delivery rate is a crucial public health indicator, yet reliable statistic is currently not available in China. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to review studies on preterm delivery rate in China, explore sources of heterogeneity, and estimate the preterm delivery rate in China. METHODS: Published studies on preterm delivery rate in China since 2010 were electronically searched from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, China Science and Technology Journal Database, and Wanfang Database, and complemented by manual search. Study selection, data extraction, and quality and bias assessment (using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist) were conducted by two reviewers independently. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to estimate the pooled preterm delivery rate, and prespecified stratified analysis was conducted to explore sources of heterogeneity. RESULTS: The database search returned 4494 articles and manual search identified 10 additional studies. In total, 162 studies were eligible, of which 124 were hospital-based and 38 population-based. The pooled preterm delivery rate of hospital-based studies (7.2%; 95% CI: 6.9% to 7.6%) was significantly higher than that of population-based studies (4.9%; 95% CI: 4.5% to 5.4%) (P for subgroup difference < 0.001). Among population-based studies, the rate tended to differ by geography (P for subgroup difference = 0.07): 5.3% for Eastern, 4.6% for Central, and 3.8% for Western. CONCLUSIONS: According to population-based studies, the preterm delivery rate in China is around 5%. This rate is substantially lower than estimates from hospital-based studies or estimates from a combination of both hospital-based and population-based studies as having been done in previous studies.
Assuntos
Nascimento Prematuro , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologiaRESUMO
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPIC?: Neural tube defects can be effectively prevented by folic acid supplementation. However, compliance with the recommendations for supplementation is still low in China. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT?: This study investigated the rate of correct use of folic acid supplementation and its risk factors among pregnant women in Beijing. Women who took folic acid correctly only comprised less than 50% of the total, possibly due to unexpected pregnancy. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE?: Given the low rate in Beijing, an area with high health literacy, the rate may also be low in other areas in China. Regulations for mandatory fortification of food with folic acid are recommended in China.