The use of prognostic models in allogeneic transplants: a perspective guide for clinicians and investigators.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) can cure many hematologic diseases, but it carries the potential risk of increased morbidity and mortality rates. Prognostic evaluation is a scientific entity at the core of care for potential recipients of HCT. It can improve the decision-making process of transplant vs no transplant, help choose the best transplant strategy and allows for future trials targeting patients' intolerances to transplant; hence, it ultimately improves transplant outcomes. Prognostic models are key for appropriate actuarial outcome estimates, which have frequently been shown to be better than physicians' subjective estimates. To make the most accurate prognostic evaluation for HCT, one should rely on >1 prognostic model. For relapse and relapse-related mortality risks, the refined disease risk index is currently the most informative model. It can be supplemented with disease-specific models that consider genetic mutations as predictors in addition to information on measurable residual disease. For nonrelapse mortality and HCT-related morbidity risks, the HCT-comorbidity index and Karnofsky performance status have proven to be the most reliable and most accepted by physicians. These can be supplemented with gait speed as a measure of frailty. Some other global prognostic models might add additional prognostic information. Physicians' educated perceptions can then put this information into context, taking into consideration conditioning regimen and donor choices. The future of transplant mandates (1) clinical investigators specifically trained in prognostication, (2) increased reliance on geriatric assessment, (3) the use of novel biomarkers such as genetic variants, and (4) the successful application of novel statistical methods such as machine learning.

An 8-year pragmatic observation evaluation of the benefits of allogeneic HCT in older and medically infirm patients with AML.

We designed a prospective, observational study enrolling patients presenting for treatment of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) at 13 institutions to analyze associations between hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) and survival, quality of life (QOL), and function in: the entire cohort, those aged ≥65 years, those with high comorbidity burden, intermediate cytogenetic risk, adverse cytogenetic risk, and first complete remission with or without measurable residual disease. Patient were assessed 8 times over 2 years. Time-dependent regression models were used. Among 692 patients that were evaluable, 46% received HCT with a 2-year survival of 58%. In unadjusted models, HCT was associated with reduced risks of mortality most of the subgroups. However, after accounting for covariates associated with increased mortality (age, comorbidity burden, disease risks, frailty, impaired QOL, depression, and impaired function), the associations between HCT and longer survival disappeared in most subgroups. Although function, social life, performance status, and depressive symptoms were better for those selected for HCT, these health advantages were lost after receiving HCT. Recipients and nonrecipients of HCT similarly ranked and expected cure as main goal of therapy, whereas physicians had greater expectations for cure than the former. Accounting for health impairments negates survival benefits from HCT for AML, suggesting that the unadjusted observed benefit is mostly owing to selection of the healthier candidates. Considering patients' overall expectations of cure but also the QOL burdens of HCT motivate the need for randomized trials to identify the best candidates for HCT. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01929408.

Impact of CD19 CAR T-cell product type on outcomes in relapsed or refractory aggressive B-NHL.

CD19-targeted chimeric antigen receptor-engineered (CD19 CAR) T cells are novel therapies showing great promise for patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (B-NHL). Single-arm studies showed significant variations in outcomes across distinct CD19 CAR T-cell products. To estimate the independent impact of the CAR T-cell product type on outcomes, we retrospectively analyzed data from 129 patients with R/R aggressive B-NHL treated with cyclophosphamide and fludarabine lymphodepletion followed by either a commercially available CD19 CAR T-cell therapy (axicabtagene ciloleucel [axicel] or tisagenlecleucel [tisacel]), or the investigational product JCAR014 on a phase 1/2 clinical trial (NCT01865617). After adjustment for age, hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), largest lesion diameter, and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), CAR T-cell product type remained associated with outcomes in multivariable models. JCAR014 was independently associated with lower cytokine release syndrome (CRS) severity compared with axicel (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.19; 95% confidence interval [CI]; 0.08-0.46), with a trend toward lower CRS severity with tisacel compared with axicel (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.21-1.06; P = .07). Tisacel (aOR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.06-0.48) and JCAR014 (aOR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.06-0.47) were both associated with lower immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome severity compared with axicel. Lower odds of complete response (CR) were predicted with tisacel and JCAR014 compared with axicel. Although sensitivity analyses using either positron emission tomography- or computed tomography-based response criteria also suggested higher efficacy of axicel over JCAR014, the impact of tisacel vs axicel became undetermined. Higher preleukapheresis LDH, largest lesion diameter, and lower ALC were independently associated with lower odds of CR. We conclude that CD19 CAR T-cell product type independently impacts toxicity and efficacy in R/R aggressive B-NHL patients.

Multisite 11-year experience of less-intensive vs intensive therapies in acute myeloid leukemia.

Less-intensive induction therapies are increasingly used in older patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Using an AML composite model (AML-CM) assigning higher scores to older age, increased comorbidity burdens, and adverse cytogenetic risks, we defined 3 distinct prognostic groups and compared outcomes after less-intensive vs intensive induction therapies in a multicenter retrospective cohort (n = 1292) treated at 6 institutions from 2008 to 2012 and a prospective cohort (n = 695) treated at 13 institutions from 2013 to 2017. Prospective study included impacts of Karnofsky performance status (KPS), quality of life (QOL), and physician perception of cure. In the retrospective cohort, recipients of less-intensive therapies were older and had more comorbidities, more adverse cytogenetics, and worse KPS. Less-intensive therapies were associated with higher risks of mortality in AML-CM scores of 4 to 6, 7 to 9, and ≥10. Results were independent of allogeneic transplantation and similar in those age 70 to 79 years. In the prospective cohort, the 2 groups were similar in baseline QOL, geriatric assessment, and patient outcome preferences. Higher mortality risks were seen after less-intensive therapies. However, in models adjusted for age, physician-assigned KPS, and chance of cure, mortality risks and QOL were similar. Less-intensive therapy recipients had shorter length of hospitalization (LOH). Our study questions the survival and QOL benefits (except LOH) of less-intensive therapies in patients with AML, including those age 70 to 79 years or with high comorbidity burdens. A randomized trial in older/medically infirm patients is required to better assess the value of less-intensive and intensive therapies or their combination. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01929408.

Does recipient body mass index inform donor selection for allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation?

It is not known whether obesity has a differential effect on allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation outcomes with alternative donor types. We report the results of a retrospective registry study examining the effect of obesity [body mass index (BMI) > 30] on outcomes with alternative donors (haploidentical related donor with two or more mismatches and receiving post-transplant cyclophosphamide [haplo] and cord blood (CBU)] versus matched unrelated donor (MUD). Adult patients receiving haematopoietic cell transplantation for haematologic malignancy (2013-2017) (N = 16 182) using MUD (n = 11 801), haplo (n = 2894) and CBU (n = 1487) were included. The primary outcome was non-relapse mortality (NRM). The analysis demonstrated a significant, non-linear interaction between pretransplant BMI and the three donor groups for NRM: NRM risk was significantly higher with CBU compared to haplo at BMI 25-30 [hazard ratio (HR) 1.66-1.71, p < 0.05] and MUD transplants at a BMI of 25-45 (HR, 1.61-3.47, p < 0.05). The results demonstrated that NRM and survival outcomes are worse in overweight and obese transplant recipients (BMI ≥ 25) with one alternative donor type over MUD, although obesity does not appear to confer a uniform differential mortality risk with one donor type over the other. BMI may serve as a criterion for selecting a donor among the three (MUD, haplo and CBU) options, if matched sibling donor is not available.

The Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Comorbidity Index predicts survival after allogeneic transplant for nonmalignant diseases.

Despite improvements, mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) for nonmalignant diseases remains a significant problem. We evaluated whether pre-HCT conditions defined by the HCT Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) predict probability of posttransplant survival. Using the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research database, we identified 4083 patients with nonmalignant diseases transplanted between 2007 and 2014. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS) using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by multivariable Cox regression models. Increasing HCT-CI scores translated to decreased 2-year OS of 82.7%, 80.3%, 74%, and 55.8% for patients with HCT-CI scores of 0, 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and ≥5, respectively, regardless of conditioning intensity. HCT-CI scores of 1 to 2 did not differ relative to scores of 0 (HR, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.93-1.34]), but HCT-CI of 3 to 4 and ≥5 posed significantly greater risks of mortality (HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.09-1.63]; and HR, 2.31 [95% CI, 1.79-2.96], respectively). The effect of HCT-CI differed by disease indication. Patients with acquired aplastic anemia, primary immune deficiencies, and congenital bone marrow failure syndromes with scores ≥3 had increased risk of death after HCT. However, higher HCT-CI scores among hemoglobinopathy patients did not increase mortality risk. In conclusion, this is the largest study to date reporting on patients with nonmalignant diseases demonstrating HCT-CI scores ≥3 that had inferior survival after HCT, except for patients with hemoglobinopathies. Our findings suggest that using the HCT-CI score, in addition to disease-specific factors, could be useful when developing treatment plans for nonmalignant diseases.

Survival of patients with newly diagnosed high-grade myeloid neoplasms who do not meet standard trial eligibility.

Few patients with cancer, including those with acute myeloid leukemia and high-grade myeloid neoplasms, participate in clinical trials. Broadening standard eligibility criteria may increase clinical trial participation. In this retrospective single-center analysis, we identified 442 consecutive newly diagnosed patients from 2014 to 2016. Patients were considered eligible if they had performance status 0-2, normal renal and hepatic function, no recent solid tumor, left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) ≥ 50%, and no history of congestive heart failure (CHF) or myocardial infarction (MI); ineligible patients failed to meet one or more of these criteria. We included 372 patients who received chemotherapy. Ineligible patients represented 40% of the population and had a 1-79-fold greater risk of death (95% CI 1.37, 2.33) than eligible patients. Very few patients had cardiac co-morbidities, including 2% with low EF, 4% with prior CHF, and 5% with prior MI. In multivariable analysis, ineligibility was associated with decreased survival [HR 1-44 (95% CI 1-07, 1-93)]. Allogeneic transplantation, performed in 150 patients (40%), was associated with improved survival [HR 0-66, 95% CI (0-48, 0-91)]. Therefore, standard eligibility characteristics identify a patient population with improved survival. Further treatment options are needed for patients considered ineligible for clinical trials.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation with non-myeloablative conditioning for patients with hematologic malignancies: Improved outcomes over two decades.

We have used a non-myeloablative conditioning regimen for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for the past twenty years. During that period, changes in clinical practice have been aimed at reducing morbidity and mortality from infections, organ toxicity, and graft-versus-host disease. We hypothesized that improvements in clinical practice led to better transplantation outcomes over time. From 1997-2017, 1,720 patients with hematologic malignancies received low-dose total body irradiation +/- fludarabine or clofarabine before transplantation from HLA-matched sibling or unrelated donors, followed by mycophenolate mofetil and a calcineurin inhibitor ± sirolimus. We compared outcomes in three cohorts by year of transplantation: 1997 +/- 2003 (n=562), 2004 +/- 2009 (n=594), and 2010 +/- 2017 (n=564). The proportion of patients ≥60 years old increased from 27% in 1997 +/- 2003 to 56% in 2010-2017, and with scores from the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Comborbidity Index of ≥3 increased from 25% in 1997 +/- 2003 to 45% in 2010 +/- 2017. Use of unrelated donors increased from 34% in 1997 +/- 2003 to 65% in 2010-2017. When outcomes from 2004 +/- 2009 and 2010-2017 were compared to 1997 +/- 2003, improvements were noted in overall survival (P=.0001 for 2004-2009 and P <.0001 for 2010-2017), profression-free survival (P=.002 for 2004-2009 and P <.0001 for 2010 +/- 2017), non-relapse mortality (P<.0001 for 2004 +/- 2009 and P <.0001 for 2010 +/- 2017), and in rates of grades 2 +/- 4 acute and chronic graft-vs.-host disease. For patients with hematologic malignancies who underwent transplantation with non-myeloablative conditioning, outcomes have improved during the past two decades. Trials reported are registered under ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: NCT00003145, NCT00003196, NCT00003954, NCT00005799, NCT00005801, NCT00005803, NCT00006251, NCT00014235, NCT00027820, NCT00031655, NCT00036738, NCT00045435, NCT00052546, NCT00060424, NCT00075478, NCT00078858, NCT00089011, NCT00104858, NCT00105001, NCT00110058, NCT00397813, NCT00793572, NCT01231412, NCT01252667, NCT01527045.

Survival, Nonrelapse Mortality, and Relapse-Related Mortality After Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: Comparing 2003-2007 Versus 2013-2017 Cohorts.

Background: Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation is indicated for refractory hematologic cancer and some nonmalignant disorders. Survival is limited by recurrent cancer and organ toxicity. Objective: To determine whether survival has improved over the past decade and note impediments to better outcomes. Design: The authors compared cohorts that had transplants during 2003 to 2007 versus 2013 to 2017. Survival outcome measures were analyzed, along with transplant-related complications. Setting: A center performing allogeneic transplant procedures. Participants: All recipients of a first allogeneic transplant during 2003 to 2007 and 2013 to 2017. Intervention: Patients received a conditioning regimen, infusion of donor hematopoietic cells, then immunosuppressive drugs and antimicrobial approaches to infection control. Measurements: Day-200 nonrelapse mortality (NRM), recurrence or progression of cancer, relapse-related mortality, and overall mortality, adjusted for comorbidity scores, source of donor cells, donor type, patient age, disease severity, conditioning regimen, patient and donor sex, and cytomegalovirus serostatus. Results: During the 2003-to-2007 and 2013-to-2017 periods, 1148 and 1131 patients, respectively, received their first transplant. Over the decade, decreases were seen in the adjusted hazards of day-200 NRM (hazard ratio [HR], 0.66 [95% CI, 0.48 to 0.89]), relapse of cancer (HR, 0.76 [CI, 0.61 to 0.94]), relapse-related mortality (HR, 0.69 [CI, 0.54 to 0.87]), and overall mortality (HR, 0.66 [CI, 0.56 to 0.78]). The degree of reduction in overall mortality was similar for patients who received myeloablative versus reduced-intensity conditioning, as well as for patients whose allograft came from a matched sibling versus an unrelated donor. Reductions were also seen in the frequency of jaundice, renal insufficiency, mechanical ventilation, high-level cytomegalovirus viremia, gram-negative bacteremia, invasive mold infection, acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease, and prednisone exposure. Limitation: Cohort studies cannot determine causality, and current disease severity criteria were not available for patients in the 2003-to-2007 cohort. Conclusion: Improvement in survival and reduction in complications were substantial after allogeneic transplant. Relapse of cancer remains the largest obstacle to better survival outcomes. Primary Funding Source: National Institutes of Health.

Late Events after Treatment with CD19-Targeted Chimeric Antigen Receptor Modified T Cells.

CD19-targeted chimeric antigen receptor-modified T cell (CAR-T cell) therapy has shown excellent antitumor activity in patients with relapsed/refractory B cell malignancies, with very encouraging response rates and outcomes. However, the late effects following this therapy remain unknown. Here we report late adverse events-defined as starting or persisting beyond 90 days after CAR-T cell infusion-in patients who survived at least 1 year after therapy. The median duration of follow-up was 28.1 months (range, 12.5 to 62.6 months). At last follow-up, 73% of patients were still alive and 24% were in ongoing complete remission (CR). The most common late adverse event was hypogammaglobulinemia (IgG <400 mg/dL or i.v immunoglobulinm (IVIG) replacement, observed in 67% of the patients with available data. Infection density was .55 infection/100 days at risk (2.08 per patient-year). The majority (80%) of the infections were treated in the outpatient setting, and 5% necessitated admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Subsequent malignancies occurred in 15% of patients, including 5% with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Among patients with ongoing CR and with no MDS, 16% experienced prolonged cytopenia requiring transfusions or growth factor support. Graft-versus-host disease occurred in 3 of 15 patients (20%) who had undergone previous allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation. Most of the late events observed in this cohort were not severe, and many could be related to previous or subsequent therapies, suggesting a safe long-term profile of CD19-targeted CAR-T cell immunotherapy.

Impact of clinical, cytogenetic, and molecular profiles on long-term survival after transplantation in patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia.

Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a heterogeneous group of clonal hematopoietic malignancies with variable clinical and molecular features. We analyzed long-term results of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in patients with CMML and determined clinical and molecular risk factors associated with outcomes. Data from 129 patients, aged 7-74 (median 55) years, at various stages of the disease and transplanted from related or unrelated donors were analyzed. Using a panel of 75 genes somatic mutations present before hematopoietic cell transplantation were identified In 52 patients. The progression-free survival rate at 10 years was 29%. The major cause of death was relapse (32%), which was significantly associated with adverse cytogenetics (hazard ratio, 3.77; P=0.0002), CMML Prognostic Scoring System (hazard ratio, 14.3, P=0.01), and MD Anderson prognostic scores (hazard ratio, 9.4; P=0.005). Mortality was associated with high-risk cytogenetics (hazard ratio, 1.88; P=0.01) and high Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Comorbidity Index (score ≥4: hazard ratio, 1.99; P=0.01). High overall mutation burden (≥10 mutations: hazard ratio, 3.4; P=0.02), and ≥4 mutated epigenetic regulatory genes (hazard ratio 5.4; P=0.003) were linked to relapse. Unsupervised clustering of the correlation matrix revealed distinct high-risk groups with unique associations of mutations and clinical features. CMML with a high mutation burden appeared to be distinct from high-risk groups defined by complex cytogenetics. New transplant strategies must be developed to target specific disease subgroups, stratified by molecular profiling and clinical risk factors.

Human Rhinovirus Infections in Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Recipients: Risk Score for Progression to Lower Respiratory Tract Infection.

Human rhinovirus lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) is associated with mortality after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT); however, risk factors for LRTI are not well characterized. We sought to develop a risk score for progression to LRTI from upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) in HCT recipients. Risk factors for LRTI within 90 days were analyzed using Cox regression among HCT recipients with rhinovirus URTI between January 2009 and March 2016. The final multivariable model included factors with a meaningful effect on the bootstrapped optimism corrected concordance statistic. Weighted score contributions based on hazard ratios were determined. Cumulative incidence curves estimated the probability of LRTI at various score cut-offs. Of 588 rhinovirus URTI events, 100 (17%) progressed to LRTI. In a final multivariable model allogeneic grafts, prior rhinovirus URTI, low lymphocyte count, low albumin, positive cytomegalovirus serostatus, recipient statin use, and steroid use ≥2 mg/kg/day were associated with progression to LRTI. A weighted risk score cut-off with the highest sensitivity and specificity was determined. Risk scores above this cut-off were associated with progression to LRTI (cumulative incidence 28% versus 11% below cut-off; P < .001). The weighted risk score for progression to rhinovirus LRTI can help identify and stratify patients for clinical management and for future clinical trials of therapeutics in HCT recipients.

Prognostic Performance of the Augmented Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Specific Comorbidity/Age Index in Recipients of Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation from Alternative Graft Sources.

The Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) was developed and validated to weigh the burden of pretransplantation comorbidities and estimate their impact on post-transplantation risks of nonrelapse mortality (NRM). Recently, the HCT-CI was augmented by the addition of both age and the values of 3 markers: ferritin, albumin, and platelet count. So far, research involving The HCT-CI has been limited almost exclusively to recipients of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) from HLA-matched grafts. To this end, we sought to investigate the discriminative capacity of an augmented comorbidity/age index among 724 recipients of allogeneic HCT from HLA-mismatched (n = 345), haploidentical (n = 117), and umbilical cord blood (UCB; n = 262) grafts between 2000 and 2013. In the overall cohort, the augmented comorbidity/age index had a higher c-statistic estimate for prediction of NRM compared with the original HCT-CI (.63 versus .59). Findings were similar for recipients of HLA-mismatched (.62 versus .59), haploidentical (.60 versus .54), or UCB grafts (.65 versus .61). Compared with patients with an HCT-CI score ≥4, those with a score <4 had a higher survival rate among recipients of HLA-mismatched (55% versus 39%; P < .0008), HLA-haploidentical (58% versus 38%; P = .01), or UCB (67% versus 48%; P = .004) grafts. Our results demonstrate the utility of the augmented comorbidity/age index as a valid prognostic tool among recipients of allogeneic HCT from alternative graft sources.

Transplant-Associated Thrombotic Microangiopathy Is a Multifactorial Disease Unresponsive to Immunosuppressant Withdrawal.

Transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) has not been well characterized in large population studies with clinically adjudicated cases. We performed a retrospective cohort study of adults who underwent allogeneic HCT between 2006 and 2015 to determine the incidence of and risk factors for TA-TMA and to describe its natural history and response to immunosuppressant withdrawal management. Among 2145 patients in this study, 192 developed TA-TMA with a cumulative incidence of 7.6% by 100days post-transplant. Independent pretransplant risk factors included the receipt of a second (or third) allogeneic HCT, HLA-mismatched donor, and myeloablative conditioning with or without total body irradiation; post-transplant risk factors included the antecedent development of acute graft-versus-host disease, diffuse alveolar hemorrhage, bacteremia, invasive aspergillosis, BK viremia, and higher sirolimus trough level. Among TA-TMA patients 27% achieved hematologic resolution and 57% remained alive as of 90days after diagnosis. Antecedent risk factors stratified patients into different survival groups, and immunosuppressant withdrawal alone did not improve patient outcomes. In conclusion, TA-TMA is a heterogenous disease that occurs after allogeneic transplantation. Management with immunosuppressant withdrawal does not impact patient outcomes. Until further evidence becomes available, the management of TA-TMA should focus on the treatment of underlying diseases.

Cord-Blood Transplantation in Patients with Minimal Residual Disease.

BACKGROUND: The majority of patients in need of a hematopoietic-cell transplant do not have a matched related donor. Data are needed to inform the choice among various alternative donor-cell sources. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, we compared outcomes in 582 consecutive patients with acute leukemia or the myelodysplastic syndrome who received a first myeloablative hematopoietic-cell transplant from an unrelated cord-blood donor (140 patients), an HLA-matched unrelated donor (344), or an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor (98). RESULTS: The relative risks of death and relapse between the cord-blood group and the two other unrelated-donor groups appeared to vary according to the presence of minimal residual disease status before transplantation. Among patients with minimal residual disease, the risk of death was higher in the HLA-mismatched group than in the cord-blood group (hazard ratio, 2.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.52 to 5.63; P=0.001); the risk was also higher in the HLA-matched group than in the cord-blood group but not significantly so (hazard ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 0.94 to 3.02; P=0.08). Among patients without minimal residual disease, the hazard ratios were lower (hazard ratio in the HLA-mismatched group, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.76 to 2.46; P=0.30; hazard ratio in the HLA-matched group, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.48 to 1.28; P=0.33). The risk of relapse among patients with minimal residual disease was significantly higher in the two unrelated-donor groups than in the cord-blood group (hazard ratio in the HLA-mismatched group, 3.01; 95% CI, 1.22 to 7.38; P=0.02; hazard ratio in the HLA-matched group, 2.92; 95% CI, 1.34 to 6.35; P=0.007). Among patients without minimal residual disease, the magnitude of these associations was lower (hazard ratio in the HLA-mismatched group, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.51 to 3.25; P=0.60; hazard ratio in the HLA-matched group, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.65 to 2.58; P=0.46). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that among patients with pretransplantation minimal residual disease, the probability of overall survival after receipt of a transplant from a cord-blood donor was at least as favorable as that after receipt of a transplant from an HLA-matched unrelated donor and was significantly higher than the probability after receipt of a transplant from an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor. Furthermore, the probability of relapse was lower in the cord-blood group than in either of the other groups.

The cumulative burden of double-stranded DNA virus detection after allogeneic HCT is associated with increased mortality.

Strategies to prevent active infection with certain double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) viruses after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) are limited by incomplete understanding of their epidemiology and clinical impact. We retrospectively tested weekly plasma samples from allogeneic HCT recipients at our center from 2007 to 2014. We used quantitative PCR to test for cytomegalovirus, BK polyomavirus, human herpesvirus 6B, HHV-6A, adenovirus, and Epstein-Barr virus between days 0 and 100 post-HCT. We evaluated risk factors for detection of multiple viruses and association of viruses with mortality through day 365 post-HCT with Cox models. Among 404 allogeneic HCT recipients, including 125 cord blood, 125 HLA-mismatched, and 154 HLA-matched HCTs, detection of multiple viruses was common through day 100: 90% had ≥1, 62% had ≥2, 28% had ≥3, and 5% had 4 or 5 viruses. Risk factors for detection of multiple viruses included cord blood or HLA-mismatched HCT, myeloablative conditioning, and acute graft-versus-host disease (P values < .01). Absolute lymphocyte count of <200 cells/mm3 was associated with greater virus exposure on the basis of the maximum cumulative viral load area under the curve (AUC) (P = .054). The maximum cumulative viral load AUC was the best predictor of early (days 0-100) and late (days 101-365) overall mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.25, 1.49], and aHR = 1.04, 95% CI [1.0, 1.08], respectively) after accounting for immune reconstitution and graft-versus-host disease. In conclusion, detection of multiple dsDNA viruses was frequent after allogeneic HCT and had a dose-dependent association with increased mortality. These data suggest opportunities to improve outcomes with better antiviral strategies.

Increasing use of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in patients aged 70 years and older in the United States.

In this study, we evaluated trends and outcomes of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in adults ≥70 years with hematologic malignancies across the United States. Adults ≥70 years with a hematologic malignancy undergoing first allogeneic HCT in the United States between 2000 and 2013 and reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research were eligible. Transplant utilization and transplant outcomes, including overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and transplant-related mortality (TRM) were studied. One thousand one hundred and six patients ≥70 years underwent HCT across 103 transplant centers. The number and proportion of allografts performed in this population rose markedly over the past decade, accounting for 0.1% of transplants in 2000 to 3.85% (N = 298) in 2013. Acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndromes represented the most common disease indications. Two-year OS and PFS significantly improved over time (OS: 26% [95% confidence interval (CI), 21% to 33%] in 2000-2007 to 39% [95% CI, 35% to 42%] in 2008-2013, P < .001; PFS: 22% [16% to 28%] in 2000-2007 to 32% [95% CI, 29% to 36%] in 2008-2013, P = .003). Two-year TRM ranged from 33% to 35% and was unchanged over time (P = .54). Multivariable analysis of OS in the modern era of 2008-2013 revealed higher comorbidity by HCT comorbidity index ≥3 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27; P = .006), umbilical cord blood graft (HR, 1.97; P = .0002), and myeloablative conditioning (HR, 1.61; P = .0002) as adverse factors. Over the past decade, utilization and survival after allogeneic transplant have increased in patients ≥70 years. Select adults ≥70 years with hematologic malignancies should be considered for transplant.

Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Myelofibrosis: the Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System Plus Risk Predicts Post-Transplant Outcomes.

Hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) provides potentially curative treatment for patients with myelofibrosis (MF). HCT outcomes are associated with the Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System (DIPSS) risk scores. In the present study we analyzed results in 233 patients to determine if the DIPSS plus classification, which adds cytogenetics, thrombocytopenia, and RBC transfusion dependence as risk factors, would better predict post-HCT outcomes than the original DIPSS. Multivariate analysis showed that each risk parameter incorporated into the DIPPS plus model contributed to its predictive power of overall mortality, relapse-free survival, and nonrelapse mortality. The 5-year overall survival (OS), relapse, and treatment-related mortality (TRM) rates for patients with low/intermediate-1 risk MF were 78%, 5%, and 20%, respectively. The 5-year OS, relapse, and TRM rates for patients with high-risk MF were 35%, 28%, and 40%, respectively. The HCT-specific comorbidity index of 3 or greater was associated with higher nonrelapse and overall mortality and reduced relapse-free survival. The relapse incidence was significantly increased in older patients (HR, 3.02; P = .0007). With a median follow-up of 8 years 124 patients (53%) were surviving. The components of the DIPSS plus classification still have prognostic relevance after adjustment by the DIPSS classification. This information should enhance our ability to advise patients when making decisions regarding timing of transplant.

Antibiotic Exposure Prior to Respiratory Viral Infection Is Associated with Progression to Lower Respiratory Tract Disease in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Recipients.

Recent publications note an association between antibiotic exposure and respiratory viral infections (RVIs). Antibiotics affect microbiota and impair immune response against RVIs in mice, and low microbiome diversity is associated with pulmonary complications including viral lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) in hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients. In this study, we examined whether antibiotic exposure was associated with increased risk of disease progression in RVIs post-transplantation. We analyzed patients who underwent allogeneic HCT (June 2008 to February 2016) and had their first RVI due to parainfluenza virus (PIV), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), or human metapneumovirus (MPV) during the initial 100 days post-transplantation. Antibiotic exposure in the 3 weeks before RVI onset was defined as (1) use of specific antibiotics versus none of these antibiotics and (2) number of antibiotic-days. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations between antibiotic exposures and risk of viral disease progression to proven/probable/possible LRTD. Ninety HCT recipients (84 adults, 6 children) fulfilled study criteria; 33 progressed to LRTD. The number of antibiotic-days was associated with progression to LRTD after adjusting for neutropenia, steroid use, and either lymphopenia (hazard ratio, 1.41 [95% confidence interval, 1.04 to 1.92], P = .027) or monocytopenia (hazard ratio, 1.46 [95% confidence interval, 1.11 to 1.91], P = .006). Specific antibiotic classes was not associated with the outcome. Cumulative antibiotic exposure immediately before RVI onset is a risk factor for disease progression following PIV, RSV, and MPV infections post-transplantation. Larger cohort studies are needed to determine the impact of specific antibiotics or antibiotic classes on disease severity.

Transplant Conditioning with Treosulfan/Fludarabine with or without Total Body Irradiation: A Randomized Phase II Trial in Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndrome and Acute Myeloid Leukemia.

In this prospective, randomized, phase II "pick the winner" trial we assessed the efficacy of transplant conditioning with treosulfan/fludarabine ± 2 Gy total body irradiation (TBI) in reducing post-transplant relapse in 100 patients, aged 2 to 70 years (median, 57), with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS)/chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (n = 51) or acute myeloid leukemia (AML; n = 49). Patients received i.v. treosulfan, 14 g/m2/day on days -6 to -4 and i.v. fludarabine, 30 mg/m2/day on days -6 to -2, alone or combined with 2 Gy TBI (day 0). Donors were related (n = 43) or unrelated (n = 57). When a planned interim analysis showed superior progression-free survival in the TBI arm (P = .04), all subsequent patients received TBI. With a follow-up of 12 to 40 months (median, 20), the 1-year overall survival was 80% for the TBI arm and 69% for the non-TBI arm. The 1-year cumulative incidence of relapse was 22% and 34%, respectively (P = .06). Among patients with low-risk disease the 1-year relapse incidence was 15% and 31% (P = .20) and for patients with high-risk disease, 26% and 36% (P = .18), respectively. Among MDS patients the 1-year relapse incidence was 27% versus 33% (P = .49) and among AML patients 16% versus 35% (P = .05), respectively. The largest difference was among patients with unfavorable cytogenetics, with 1-year relapse incidences of 31% and 63% (P = .18), respectively. Nonrelapse mortality in this high-risk patient population was 9% at 6 months and did not differ between arms. Thus, treosulfan/fludarabine/low-dose TBI provided effective conditioning for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in high-risk patients up to 70 years of age. The addition of TBI had a more profound effect in patients with AML than in those with MDS. High-risk disease features were associated with a lower overall success rate. Further studies are warranted.