Maternal educational attainment in pregnancy and epigenome-wide DNA methylation changes in the offspring from birth until adolescence.

Maternal educational attainment (MEA) shapes offspring health through multiple potential pathways. Differential DNA methylation may provide a mechanistic understanding of these long-term associations. We aimed to quantify the associations of MEA with offspring DNA methylation levels at birth, in childhood and in adolescence. Using 37 studies from high-income countries, we performed meta-analysis of epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) to quantify the associations of completed years of MEA at the time of pregnancy with offspring DNA methylation levels at birth (n = 9 881), in childhood (n = 2 017), and adolescence (n = 2 740), adjusting for relevant covariates. MEA was found to be associated with DNA methylation at 473 cytosine-phosphate-guanine sites at birth, one in childhood, and four in adolescence. We observed enrichment for findings from previous EWAS on maternal folate, vitamin-B12 concentrations, maternal smoking, and pre-pregnancy BMI. The associations were directionally consistent with MEA being inversely associated with behaviours including smoking and BMI. Our findings form a bridge between socio-economic factors and biology and highlight potential pathways underlying effects of maternal education. The results broaden our understanding of bio-social associations linked to differential DNA methylation in multiple early stages of life. The data generated also offers an important resource to help a more precise understanding of the social determinants of health.

DNA methylation at birth and lateral ventricular volume in childhood: a neuroimaging epigenetics study.

BACKGROUND: Lateral ventricular volume (LVV) enlargement has been repeatedly linked to schizophrenia; yet, what biological factors shape LVV during early development remain unclear. DNA methylation (DNAm), an essential process for neurodevelopment that is altered in schizophrenia, is a key molecular system of interest. METHODS: In this study, we conducted the first epigenome-wide association study of neonatal DNAm in cord blood with LVV in childhood (measured using T1-weighted brain scans at 10 years), based on data from a large population-based birth cohort, the Generation R Study (N = 840). Employing both probe-level and methylation profile score (MPS) approaches, we further examined whether epigenetic modifications identified at birth in cord blood are: (a) also observed cross-sectionally in childhood using peripheral blood DNAm at age of 10 years (Generation R, N = 370) and (b) prospectively associated with LVV measured in young adulthood in an all-male sample from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC, N = 114). RESULTS: At birth, DNAm levels at four CpGs (annotated to potassium channel tetramerization domain containing 3, KCTD3; SHH signaling and ciliogenesis regulator, SDCCAG8; glutaredoxin, GLRX) prospectively associated with childhood LVV after genome-wide correction; these genes have been implicated in brain development and psychiatric traits including schizophrenia. An MPS capturing a broader epigenetic profile of LVV - but not individual top hits - showed significant cross-sectional associations with LVV in childhood in Generation R and prospectively associated with LVV in early adulthood within ALSPAC. CONCLUSIONS: This study finds suggestive evidence that DNAm at birth prospectively associates with LVV at different life stages, albeit with small effect sizes. The prediction of MPS on LVV in a childhood sample and an independent male adult sample further underscores the stability and reproducibility of DNAm as a potential marker for LVV. Future studies with larger samples and comparable time points across development are needed to further elucidate how DNAm associates with this clinically relevant brain structure and risk for neuropsychiatric disorders, and what factors explain the identified DNAm profile of LVV at birth.

Familial co-aggregation and shared genetics of cardiometabolic disorders and traits: data from the multi-generational Lifelines Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear to what extent genetics explain the familial clustering and the co-occurrence of distinct cardiometabolic disorders in the general population. We therefore aimed to quantify the familial (co-)aggregation of various cardiometabolic disorders and to estimate the heritability of cardiometabolic traits and their genetic correlations using the large, multi-generational Lifelines Cohort Study. METHODS: We used baseline data of 162,416 participants from Lifelines. Cardiometabolic disorders including type 2 diabetes (T2D), cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, and metabolic syndrome (MetS), were defined in adult participants. Fifteen additional cardiometabolic traits indexing obesity, blood pressure, inflammation, glucose regulation, and lipid levels were measured in all included participants. Recurrence risk ratios (λR) for first-degree relatives (FDR) indexed familial (co-)aggregation of cardiometabolic disorders using modified conditional Cox proportional hazards models and were compared to those of spouses. Heritability (h2), shared environment, and genetic correlation (rg) were estimated using restricted maximum likelihood variance decomposition methods, adjusted for age, age2, and sex. RESULTS: Individuals with a first-degree relative with a cardiometabolic disorder had a higher risk of the same disorder, ranging from λFDR of 1.23 (95% CI 1.20-1.25) for hypertension to λFDR of 2.48 (95% CI 2.15-2.86) for T2D. Most of these were higher than in spouses (λSpouses < λFDR), except for obesity which was slightly higher in spouses. We found moderate heritability for cardiometabolic traits (from h2CRP: 0.26 to h2HDL: 0.50). Cardiometabolic disorders showed positive familial co-aggregation, particularly between T2D, MetS, and obesity (from λFDR obesity-MetS: 1.28 (95% CI 1.24-1.32) to λFDR MetS-T2D: 1.61 (95% CI 1.52-1.70)), consistent with the genetic correlations between continuous intermediate traits (ranging from rg HDL-Triglycerides: - 0.53 to rg LDL-Apolipoprotein B: 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: There is positive familial (co-)aggregation of cardiometabolic disorder, moderate heritability of intermediate traits, and moderate genetic correlations between traits. These results indicate that shared genetics and common genetic architecture contribute to cardiometabolic disease.

Variants in the GPR146 Gene Are Associated With a Favorable Cardiometabolic Risk Profile.

BACKGROUND: In mice, GPR146 (G-protein-coupled receptor 146) deficiency reduces plasma lipids and protects against atherosclerosis. Whether these findings translate to humans is unknown. METHODS: Common and rare genetic variants in the GPR146 gene locus were used as research instruments in the UK Biobank. The Lifelines, The Copenhagen-City Heart Study, and a cohort of individuals with familial hypobetalipoproteinemia were used to find and study rare GPR146 variants. RESULTS: In the UK Biobank, carriers of the common rs2362529-C allele present with lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apo (apolipoprotein) B, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apoAI, CRP (C-reactive protein), and plasma liver enzymes compared with noncarriers. Carriers of the common rs1997243-G allele, associated with higher GPR146 expression, present with the exact opposite phenotype. The associations with plasma lipids of the above alleles are allele dose-dependent. Heterozygote carriers of a rare coding variant (p.Pro62Leu; n=2615), predicted to be damaging, show a stronger reductions in the above parameters compared with carriers of the common rs2362529-C allele. The p.Pro62Leu variant is furthermore shown to segregate with low low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in a family with familial hypobetalipoproteinemia. Compared with controls, carriers of the common rs2362529-C allele show a marginally reduced risk of coronary artery disease (P=0.03) concomitant with a small effect size on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (average decrease of 2.24 mg/dL in homozygotes) of this variant. Finally, mendelian randomization analyses suggest a causal relationship between GPR146 gene expression and plasma lipid and liver enzyme levels. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that carriers of new genetic GPR146 variants have a beneficial cardiometabolic risk profile, but it remains to be shown whether genetic or pharmaceutical inhibition of GPR146 protects against atherosclerosis in humans.

Mediators of the association between educational attainment and type 2 diabetes mellitus: a two-step multivariable Mendelian randomisation study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a major health burden disproportionately affecting those with lower educational attainment (EA). We aimed to obtain causal estimates of the association between EA and type 2 diabetes and to quantify mediating effects of known modifiable risk factors. METHODS: We applied two-step, two-sample multivariable Mendelian randomisation (MR) techniques using SNPs as genetic instruments for exposure and mediators, thereby minimising bias due to confounding and reverse causation. We leveraged summary data on genome-wide association studies for EA, proposed mediators (i.e. BMI, blood pressure, smoking, television watching) and type 2 diabetes. The total effect of EA on type 2 diabetes was decomposed into a direct effect and indirect effects through multiple mediators. Additionally, traditional mediation analysis was performed in a subset of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2014. RESULTS: EA was inversely associated with type 2 diabetes (OR 0.53 for each 4.2 years of schooling; 95% CI 0.49, 0.56). Individually, the largest contributors were BMI (51.18% mediation; 95% CI 46.39%, 55.98%) and television watching (50.79% mediation; 95% CI 19.42%, 82.15%). Combined, the mediators explained 83.93% (95% CI 70.51%, 96.78%) of the EA-type 2 diabetes association. Traditional analysis yielded smaller effects but showed consistent direction and priority ranking of mediators. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These results support a potentially causal protective effect of EA against type 2 diabetes, with considerable mediation by a number of modifiable risk factors. Interventions on these factors thus have the potential of substantially reducing the burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to low EA.

Sex Hormones and Risk of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is increased in postmenopausal women compared with men of similar age, suggesting a role for sex hormones. We aimed to explore whether sex hormones, and age at menarche/menopause have a causal effect on aSAH risk by conducting a 2-sample MR study (Mendelian randomization). METHODS: We obtained sex-specific genetic instruments for serum estradiol, bioavailable testosterone (BioT), SHBG (sex hormone-binding globulin), and age at menarche/menopause from genome-wide association studies. The associated sex-specific aSAH risk was estimated with inverse-variance weighted MR analyses with various statistical sensitivity analyses. Multivariable and cluster MR analyses were performed for BioT and SHBG to account for a genetic and phenotypic correlation between the 2 exposures. The clusters represented (1) single-nucleotide polymorphisms primarily increasing SHBG, with secondary decreasing effects on BioT, and (2) single-nucleotide polymorphisms affecting BioT without affecting SHBG. RESULTS: Univariable MR analyses showed an 18% increased aSAH risk among women per 1-SD increase in genetically determined SHBG levels (odds ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.05-1.34]; P=0.007). Suggestive evidence was identified for a 27% decreased risk of aSAH among women per 1-SD increase in BioT (odds ratio, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.55-0.95]; P=0.02). The latter association disappeared in cluster analysis when only using SHBG-independent variants. MR analyses with variants from the cluster with primary SHBG effects and secondary (opposite) BioT-effects yielded a statistically significant association (odds ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.05-1.40]; P=0.008). No other causal associations were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic predisposition to elevated serum levels of SHBG, with secondary lower serum BioT levels, is associated with an increased aSAH risk among women, suggesting that SHBG and BioT causally elevate aSAH risk. Further studies are required to elucidate the underlying mechanisms and their potential as an interventional target to lower aSAH incidence.

Associations of Genetic Factors, Educational Attainment, and Their Interaction With Kidney Function Outcomes.

Both genetic predisposition and low educational attainment (EA) are associated with higher risk of chronic kidney disease. We examined the interaction of EA and genetic risk in kidney function outcomes. We included 3,597 participants from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease Cohort Study, a longitudinal study in a community-based sample from Groningen, the Netherlands (median follow-up, 11 years; 1997-2012). Kidney function was approximated by obtaining estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from serum creatinine and cystatin C. Individual longitudinal linear eGFR trajectories were derived from linear mixed models. Genotype data on 63 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, with known associations with eGFR, were used to calculate an allele-weighted genetic score (WGS). EA was categorized into high, medium, and low. In ordinary least squares analysis, higher WGS and lower EA showed additive effects on reduced baseline eGFR; the interaction term was nonsignificant. In analysis of eGFR decline, the significant interaction term suggested amplification of genetic risk by low EA. Adjustment for known renal risk factors did not affect our results. This study presents the first evidence of gene-environment interaction between EA and a WGS for eGFR decline and provides population-level insights into the mechanisms underlying socioeconomic disparities in chronic kidney disease.

Meta-analysis uncovers genome-wide significant variants for rapid kidney function decline.

Rapid decline of glomerular filtration rate estimated from creatinine (eGFRcrea) is associated with severe clinical endpoints. In contrast to cross-sectionally assessed eGFRcrea, the genetic basis for rapid eGFRcrea decline is largely unknown. To help define this, we meta-analyzed 42 genome-wide association studies from the Chronic Kidney Diseases Genetics Consortium and United Kingdom Biobank to identify genetic loci for rapid eGFRcrea decline. Two definitions of eGFRcrea decline were used: 3 mL/min/1.73m2/year or more ("Rapid3"; encompassing 34,874 cases, 107,090 controls) and eGFRcrea decline 25% or more and eGFRcrea under 60 mL/min/1.73m2 at follow-up among those with eGFRcrea 60 mL/min/1.73m2 or more at baseline ("CKDi25"; encompassing 19,901 cases, 175,244 controls). Seven independent variants were identified across six loci for Rapid3 and/or CKDi25: consisting of five variants at four loci with genome-wide significance (near UMOD-PDILT (2), PRKAG2, WDR72, OR2S2) and two variants among 265 known eGFRcrea variants (near GATM, LARP4B). All these loci were novel for Rapid3 and/or CKDi25 and our bioinformatic follow-up prioritized variants and genes underneath these loci. The OR2S2 locus is novel for any eGFRcrea trait including interesting candidates. For the five genome-wide significant lead variants, we found supporting effects for annual change in blood urea nitrogen or cystatin-based eGFR, but not for GATM or LARP4B. Individuals at high compared to those at low genetic risk (8-14 vs. 0-5 adverse alleles) had a 1.20-fold increased risk of acute kidney injury (95% confidence interval 1.08-1.33). Thus, our identified loci for rapid kidney function decline may help prioritize therapeutic targets and identify mechanisms and individuals at risk for sustained deterioration of kidney function.

Familial Aggregation of CKD and Heritability of Kidney Biomarkers in the General Population: The Lifelines Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has a heritable component. We aimed to quantify familial aggregation of CKD in the general population and assess the extent to which kidney traits could be explained by genetic and environmental factors. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional 3-generation family study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Data were collected at entry into the Lifelines Cohort Study from a sample of the general population of the northern Netherlands, composed predominantly of individuals of European ancestry. EXPOSURE: Family history of CKD. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome was CKD, defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60mL/min/1.73m2, where GFR was estimated using the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation. Among a subsample for which urinary albumin concentration was available (n=59,943), urinary albumin excretion was expressed as the rate of urinary albumin excretion (UAE) per 24 hours or urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Familial aggregation of CKD was assessed by calculating the recurrence risk ratio (RRR), using adapted Cox proportional hazards models. Heritability of continuous kidney-related traits was estimated using linear mixed models and defined as the ratio of the additive genetic variance to total phenotypic variance. All models were adjusted for age, sex, and known risk factors for kidney disease. RESULTS: Among 155,911 participants with available eGFR data, the prevalence of CKD was 1.19% (1,862 cases per 155,911). The risk of CKD in those with an affected first-degree relative was 3 timeshigher than the risk in the total sample (RRR, 3.04 [95% CI, 2.26-4.09). In those with an affected spouse, risk of CKD was also higher (RRR, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.20-1.96]), indicative of shared environmental factors and/or assortative mating. Heritability estimates of eGFR, UAE, and UACR were 44%, 20%, and 18%, respectively. For serum urea, creatinine, and uric acid, estimates were 31%, 37%, and 48%, respectively, whereas estimates for serum electrolytes ranged from 22% to 28%. LIMITATIONS: Use of estimated rather than measured GFR. UAE data only available in a subsample. CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based family study, a positive family history was strongly associated with increased risk of CKD. We observed moderate to high heritability of kidney traits and related biomarkers. These results indicate an important role of genetic factors in CKD risk.

Incidence, prognostic factors, and outcomes of venous thromboembolism in critically ill patients: data from two prospective cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to describe the prevalence, incidence, prognostic factors, and outcomes of venous thromboembolism in critically ill patients receiving contemporary thrombosis prophylaxis. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of two prospective cohort studies. The outcomes of interest were in-hospital pulmonary embolism or lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (PE-LDVT), in-hospital nonleg deep vein thrombosis (NLDVT), and 90-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between predefined baseline prognostic factors and PE-LDVT or NLDVT. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between PE-LDVT or NLDVT and 90-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 2208 patients were included. The prevalence of any venous thromboembolism during 3 months before ICU admission was 3.6% (95% CI 2.8-4.4%). Out of 2166 patients, 47 (2.2%; 95% CI 1.6-2.9%) developed PE-LDVT and 38 patients (1.8%; 95% CI 1.2-2.4%) developed NLDVT. Renal replacement therapy (OR 3.5 95% CI 1.4-8.6), respiratory failure (OR 2.0; 95% CI 1.1-3.8), and previous VTE (OR 3.6; 95% CI 1.7-7.7) were associated with PE-LDVT. Central venous catheters (OR 5.4; 95% CI 1.7-17.8) and infection (OR 2.2; 95% CI 1.1-4.3) were associated with NLDVT. Occurrence of PE-LDVT but not NLDVT was associated with increased 90-day mortality (HR 2.7; 95% CI 1.6-4.6, respectively, 0.92; 95% CI 0.41-2.1). CONCLUSION: Thrombotic events are common in critically ill patients, both before and after ICU admittance. Development of PE-LDVT but not NLDVT was associated with increased mortality. Prognostic factors for developing PE-LDVT or NLDVT despite prophylaxis can be identified at ICU admission and may be used to select patients at higher risk in future randomized clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03773939.

Endocrine disrupting chemicals during diet-induced weight loss - A post-hoc analysis of the LOWER study.

The link between exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and the rapid increase in prevalence of obesity has recently been suggested. However, the magnitude and health impact of EDC exposure in at-risk populations remain largely unclear. In this study, we investigated the effect of a dietary intervention driven reduction in adipose tissue on the magnitude of urinary EDC exposure and mobilization, and whether higher EDC exposure leads to impaired weight loss in obese individuals. In this post-hoc analysis of the Lifestyle, OverWeight, Energy Restriction (LOWER) study from the Netherlands, 218 subjects were included. Five parabens, three bisphenols and thirteen metabolites of eight phthalates were measured in 24-h urine using LC-MS/MS, before and after three-months of a calory-restricted weight reduction intervention program. Associations between adiposity-related traits and EDCs were tested using multivariable linear regression and linear mixed effects models. A multiple testing correction based on the false discovery rate (FDR) was applied. After the 3-month intervention, urinary paraben and bisphenol excretions remained similar. Excretions of mono-butyl phthalates and most high-molecular-weight phthalates decreased, whereas mono-ethyl phthalate increased (all FDR<0.05). A reduction in adipose tissue was not associated with higher urinary EDC excretions. Higher baseline EDC excretions were associated with higher post-intervention body-mass index (methyl-, propylparaben), waist circumference (propylparaben, mono-n-butyl phthalate, mono-benzyl phthalate), and body fat percentage (mono-ethyl phthalate, mono-benzyl phthalate). Associations between parabens and body-mass index, and mono-benzyl phthalate and waist circumference and body fat percentage remained after multiple testing correction (all FDR<0.05). In a study of obese participants, we observed a reduction in most phthalates after a weight reduction intervention. A reduction in adipose tissue may not lead to mobilization and successively to higher urinary EDC excretions. Higher baseline paraben and phthalate exposures were associated with reduced weight loss, suggesting obesogenic properties.

Educational level and risk of chronic kidney disease: longitudinal data from the PREVEND study.

BACKGROUND: The longitudinal association between low education and chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its underlying mechanisms is poorly characterized. We therefore examined the association of low education with incident CKD and change in kidney function, and explored potential mediators of this association. METHODS: We analysed data on 6078 participants from the community-based Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease study. Educational level was categorized into low, medium and high (< secondary, secondary/equivalent, > secondary schooling, respectively). Kidney function was assessed by estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by serum creatinine and cystatin C at five examinations during ∼11 years of follow-up. Incident CKD was defined as new-onset eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or urinary albumin ≥30 mg/24 h in those free of CKD at baseline. We estimated main effects with Cox regression and linear mixed models. In exploratory causal mediation analyses, we examined mediation by several potential risk factors. RESULTS: Incident CKD was observed in 861 (17%) participants. Lower education was associated with higher rates of incident CKD [low versus high education; hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) 1.25 (1.05-1.48), Ptrend = 0.009] and accelerated eGFR decline [B (95% CI) -0.15 (-0.21 to -0.09) mL/min/1.73 m2/year, Ptrend < 0.001]. The association between education and incident CKD was mediated by smoking, potassium excretion, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and hypertension. Analysis on annual eGFR change in addition suggested mediation by magnesium excretion, protein intake and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, we observed an inverse association of educational level with CKD. Diabetes and the modifiable risk factors smoking, poor diet, BMI, WHR and hypertension are suggested to underlie this association. These findings provide support for targeted preventive policies to reduce socioeconomic disparities in kidney disease.

Genome-Wide Association Scan of Serum Urea in European Populations Identifies Two Novel Loci.

BACKGROUND: Serum urea level is a heritable trait, commonly used as a diagnostic marker for kidney function. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in East-Asian populations identified a number of genetic loci related to serum urea, however there is a paucity of data for European populations. METHODS: We performed a two-stage meta-analysis of GWASs on serum urea in 13,312 participants, with independent replication in 7,379 participants of European ancestry. RESULTS: We identified 6 genome-wide significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in or near 6 loci, of which 2 were novel (POU2AF1 and ADAMTS9-AS2). Replication of East-Asian and Scottish data provided evidence for an additional 8 loci. SNPs tag regions previously associated with anthropometric traits, serum magnesium, and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio, as well as expression quantitative trait loci for genes preferentially expressed in kidney and gastro-intestinal tissues. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide insights into the genetic underpinnings of urea metabolism, with potential relevance to kidney function.

Evaluation of a genetic risk score based on creatinine-estimated glomerular filtration rate and its association with kidney outcomes.

Background: Meta-analysis of cross-sectional genome-wide association studies (GWAS) on creatinine-estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcrea) identified 53 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). These SNP effects can be aggregated into a genetic risk score (GRS) for chronic kidney disease (CKD). To assess its clinical utility, we examined associations with creatinine-estimated kidney outcomes, both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Additionally, we examined associations with cystatin C-estimated kidney outcomes to verify that a GRS based on eGFRcrea SNPs represents the genetics underlying kidney function. Methods: In the community-based Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENdstage Disease (PREVEND) study, we assessed eGFRcrea and eGFRcysc at baseline and four follow-up examinations. The GRS comprised 53 SNPs for eGFRcrea weighted for reported effect-sizes. We adjusted for baseline demographics and renal risk factors. Results: We included 3649 subjects (median age 49 years, 52% male, median follow-up 11 years, n = 85 baseline CKD, n = 154 incident CKD). At baseline, a higher GRS associated with lower eGFRcrea {adjusted B [95% confidence interval (CI)] = -2.05 (-2.45 to - 1.65) mL/min/1.73 m2, P < 0.001} and higher CKD prevalence [adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) = 1.41 (1.12-1.77), P = 0.002]. During follow-up, a higher GRS associated with higher CKD incidence [adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) = 1.28 (1.09-1.50), P = 0.004], but no longer significantly after adjustment for baseline eGFR. No significant association with eGFRcrea decline was found. Associations with cystatin C-estimated outcomes were similar. Conclusions: The GRS robustly associated with baseline CKD and eGFR, independent of known risk factors. Associations with incident CKD were likely due to low baseline eGFR, not accelerated eGFR decline. The GRS for eGFRcrea likely represents the genetics underlying kidney function, not creatinine metabolism or underlying aetiologies. To improve the clinical utility of GWAS results for CKD, these need to specifically address eGFR decline and CKD incidence.

Pathway-Based Mendelian Randomization for Pre-Infection IL-6 Levels Highlights Its Role in Coronavirus Disease.

OBJECTIVES: Interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels at hospital admission have been suggested for disease prognosis, and IL-6 antagonists have been suggested for the treatment of patients with severe COVID-19. However, less is known about the relationship between pre-COVID-19 IL-6 levels and the risk of severe COVID-19. To fill in this gap, here we extensively investigated the association of genetically instrumented IL-6 pathway components with the risk of severe COVID-19. METHODS: We used a two-sample Mendelian randomization study design and retrieved genetic instruments for blood biomarkers of IL-6 activation, including IL-6, soluble IL-6 receptor, IL-6 signal transducer, and CRP, from respective large available GWASs. To establish associations of these instruments with COVID-19 outcomes, we used data from the Host Genetics Initiative and GenOMICC studies. RESULTS: Our analyses revealed inverse associations of genetically instrumented levels of IL-6 and its soluble receptor with the risk of developing severe disease (OR = 0.60 and 0.94, respectively). They also demonstrated a positive association of severe disease with the soluble signal transducer level (OR = 1.13). Only IL-6 associations with severe COVID-19 outcomes reached the significance threshold corrected for multiple testing (p < 0.003; with COVID-19 hospitalization and critical illness). CONCLUSIONS: These potential causal relationships for pre-COVID-19 IL-6 levels with the risk of developing severe symptoms provide opportunities for further evaluation of these factors as prognostic/preventive markers of severe COVID-19. Further studies will need to clarify whether the higher risk for a severe disease course with lower baseline IL-6 levels may also extend to other infectious diseases.

Investigating the impact of poverty on mental illness in the UK Biobank using Mendelian randomization.

It is unclear whether poverty and mental illness are causally related. Using UK Biobank and Psychiatric Genomic Consortium data, we examined evidence of causal links between poverty and nine mental illnesses (attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), anorexia nervosa, anxiety disorder, autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, obsessive-compulsive disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder and schizophrenia). We applied genomic structural equation modelling to derive a poverty common factor from household income, occupational income and social deprivation. Then, using Mendelian randomization, we found evidence that schizophrenia and ADHD causally contribute to poverty, while poverty contributes to major depressive disorder and schizophrenia but decreases the risk of anorexia nervosa. Poverty may also contribute to ADHD, albeit with uncertainty due to unbalanced pleiotropy. The effects of poverty were reduced by approximately 30% when we adjusted for cognitive ability. Further investigations of the bidirectional relationships between poverty and mental illness are warranted, as they may inform efforts to improve mental health for all.

Observational and Genetic Evidence for Bidirectional Effects Between Red Blood Cell Traits and Diastolic Blood Pressure.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have found associations of red blood cell (RBC) traits (hemoglobin and RBC count) with blood pressure; whether these associations are causal is unknown. METHODS: We performed cross-sectional analyses in the Lifelines Cohort Study (n = 167,785). Additionally, we performed bidirectional 2 sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to explore the causal effect of the 2 traits on systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), using genetic instrumental variables regarding hemoglobin and RBC identified in UK Biobank (n = 350,475) and International Consortium of Blood Pressure studies for SBP and DBP (n = 757,601). RESULTS: In cross-sectional analyses, we observed positive associations with hypertension and blood pressure for both hemoglobin (odds ratio [OR] = 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.16-1.20 for hypertension; B = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.11-0.12 for SBP; B = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.10-0.11 for DBP, all per SD) and RBC (OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.12-1.16 for hypertension; B = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.10-0.12 for SBP; B = 0.08, 95% CI: 0.08-0.09 for DBP, all per SD). MR analyses suggested that higher hemoglobin and RBC cause higher DBP (inverse-variance weighted B = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.07-0.16 for hemoglobin; B = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.04-0.10 for RBC, all per SD). Reverse MR analyses (all per SD) suggested causal effects of DBP on both hemoglobin (B = 0.06, 95% CI: 0.03-0.09) and RBC (B = 0.08, 95% CI: 0.04-0.11). No significant effects on SBP were found. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest bidirectional causal relationships of hemoglobin and RBC with DBP, but not with SBP.

Effects of Platelet Count on Blood Pressure: Evidence from Observational and Genetic Investigations.

Platelet count has been associated with blood pressure, but whether this association reflects causality remains unclear. To strengthen the evidence, we conducted a traditional observational analysis in the Lifelines Cohort Study (n = 167,785), and performed bi-directional Mendelian randomization (MR) with summary GWAS data from the UK Biobank (n = 350,475) and the International Consortium of Blood Pressure (ICBP) (n = 299,024). Observational analyses showed positive associations between platelet count and blood pressure (OR = 1.12 per SD, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.14 for hypertension; B = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.08 for SBP; B = 0.07 per SD, 95% CI: 0.06 to 0.07 for DBP). In MR, a genetically predicted higher platelet count was associated with higher SBP (B = 0.02 per SD, 95% CI = 0.00 to 0.04) and DBP (B = 0.03 per SD, 95% CI = 0.01 to 0.05). IVW models and sensitivity analyses of the association between platelet count and DBP were consistent, but not all sensitivity analyses were statistically significant for the platelet count-SBP relation. Our findings indicate that platelet count has modest but significant effects on SBP and DBP, suggesting causality and providing further insight into the pathophysiology of hypertension.

Blood biomarkers for new-onset hypertension in midlife women: a nested case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Midlife in women is associated with an increase in prevalence of hypertension. Little is known on the risk factors of new-onset hypertension among middle-aged women. METHODS: In this nested case-control study, 1,430 women aged 40 to 60 years with repeated physical examinations between 2009 and 2019 were recruited. Data included age, body mass index, blood pressure (BP), and a series of blood biomarkers. Participants with hypertension were divided into two case-control samples: 388 cases with episodic new-onset hypertension (ie, one normal BP at the first visit and one abnormal BP during follow-up) each with two age-matched controls (n = 776) and 151 cases with regular new-onset hypertension (ie, normal BP at the first two visits and abnormal BP at two or more follow-up visits) each with three age-matched controls (n = 453). Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Our data showed very consistent results for episodic and regular new-onset hypertension, respectively, and verified known associations (odds ratio [95% confidence interval], per SD increase) with obesity (body mass index, 1.72 [1.49-1.98] and 1.81 [1.45-2.26]), inflammation (white blood cell count, 1.39 [1.23-1.58] and 1.38 [1.13-1.69]), and metabolic dysregulation (triglycerides, 1.25 [1.09-1.44] and 1.31 [1.08-1.58]; glucose, 1.46 [1.23-1.73] and 1.27 [1.05-1.54]) but, more surprisingly, also revealed positive associations with red blood cell count (1.27 [1.11-1.44] and 1.38 [1.14-1.68]), hemoglobin (1.18 [1.03-1.35] and 1.31 [1.05-1.64]), and platelet count (1.39 [1.20-1.61] and 1.33 [1.09-1.63]). CONCLUSIONS: In addition to obesity and metabolic dysregulation, increased hemoglobin and counts of platelets, and red and white blood cells are associated with hypertension in this period. Future study may verify whether these associations are causal in nature and whether these variables are useful in risk stratification.

Observational and genetic evidence support a relationship between cardiac autonomic function and blood pressure.

Background: It is unclear how cardiac autonomic function, as indicated by heart rate (HR), heart rate variability (HRV), HR increase during exercise, and HR recovery after exercise, is related to blood pressure (BP). We aimed to examine the observational and genetic evidence for a potential causal effect of these HR(V) traits on BP. Methods: We performed multivariable adjusted linear regression using Lifelines and UK Biobank cohorts to investigate the relationship between HR(V) traits and BP. Linkage disequilibrium score regression was conducted to examine genetic correlations. We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (2SMR) to examine potential causal relations between HR(V) traits and BP. Results: Observational analyses showed negative associations of all HR(V) traits with BP, except for HR, which was positively associated. Genetic correlations were directionally consistent with the observational associations, but most significant genetic correlations between HR(V) traits and BP were limited to diastolic blood pressure (DBP). 2SMR analyses suggested a potentially causal relationship between HR(V) traits and DBP but not systolic blood pressure (SBP). No reverse effect of BP on HR(V) traits was found. One standard deviation (SD) unit increase in HR was associated with a 1.82 mmHg elevation of DBP. In contrast, one ln(ms) unit increase of the root mean square of the successive differences (RMSSD) and corrected RMSSD (RMSSDc), decreased DBP by 1.79 and 1.83 mmHg, respectively. For HR increase and HR recovery at 50 s, every additional SD increase was associated with a lower DBP by 2.05 and 1.47 mmHg, respectively. Results of secondary analyses with pulse pressure as outcome were inconsistent between observational and 2SMR analyses, as well as between HR(V) traits, and therefore inconclusive. Conclusion: Both observational and genetic evidence show strong associations between indices of cardiac autonomic function and DBP, suggesting that a larger relative contribution of the sympathetic versus the parasympathetic nervous system to cardiac function may cause elevated DBP.