Pregnane X receptor gene variant rs7643645 and total mortality in subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Pregnane X receptor (PXR) gene variants rs7643645 and rs2461823 are reported to associate with clinically and histologically more severe liver injury in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). It is known that the more progressive the NAFLD, the higher the hepatic and extra-hepatic mortality and morbidity. Thus, we investigated the total mortality in Finnish middle-aged ultrasonographically verified NAFLD patients with PXR rs7643645 AA/AG ( n = 217) or GG ( n = 27) variants and rs2461823 CC/CT ( n = 215) or TT ( n = 27) variants. In up to 30 years of follow-up, PXR rs7643645 GG subjects were at an increased risk of total mortality compared with AA/AG subjects, 1.676 (1.014-2.772), P = 0.044. The statistically significant difference prevailed after multiple adjustments for potentially confounding factors, RR, 2.024 (1.191-3.440), P = 0.009. In the subjects without NAFLD ( n = 731), the mortality risk was not associated with rs7643645 variants, 1.051 (0.708-1.560; P = 0.804). There was no difference in the total mortality between the PXR rs2461823 variant subgroups, 1.141 (0.663-1.962; P = 0.634). As the rs7643645 G variant disrupts a putative hepatocyte nuclear factor 4α binding site located in the PXR gene promoter and is associated with lower hepatic expression of PXR and its target genes, our result suggests that genetic disruption of xenobiotic metabolism increases mortality in subjects with NAFLD. Further studies are needed to confirm the results of the present study.

Lower hemoglobin levels associate with higher baroreflex sensitivity and heart rate variability.

The aim of this study was to cross-sectionally examine whether hemoglobin (Hb) levels within the normal variation associate with heart rate variability (HRV) measures and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS). The study population included 733 Finnish subjects of the OPERA cohort (aged 41-59 yr, 53% males, 51.7% treated for hypertension) of whom HRV was measured from a standardized 45-min period and whose Hb levels were within the Finnish reference intervals. The low Hb tertile (mean Hb, 135 g/L) had an overall healthier metabolic profile compared with the high Hb tertile (mean Hb, 152 g/L). BRS was higher in the low Hb tertile compared with the high Hb tertile (P < 0.05). R-R interval (RRi) and standard deviation (SD) of the RRi (SDNN)index were the longest in the low Hb tertile regardless of posture. Of the spectral components of HRV, HF power was the highest in the low Hb tertile regardless of posture (P < 0.05). In a stepwise logistic regression model, BRS associated negatively with Hb levels after adjusting for covariates (B = -0.160 [-0.285; -0.035]). Similar associations were observed for SDNNindex when lying down (B = -0.105 [-0.207; -0.003]) and walking (B = -0.154 [-0.224; -0.083]). For HF power negative associations with Hb levels were observed when lying down (B = -0.110 [-0.180; -0.040]), sitting (B = -0.150 [-0.221; -0.079]), and in total analysis (B = -0.124 [-0.196; -0.053]). Overall, lower Hb levels associated independently with healthier cardiac autonomic function.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Heart rate variability (HRV) and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), which can be measured noninvasively, can predict cardiac and metabolic diseases. Our findings show that within normal variation subjects with lower hemoglobin (Hb) levels have an overall healthier HRV profile and increased cardiac parasympathetic activity in middle age, independent of age, sex, smoking status, and key metabolic covariates. These findings support our previous findings that Hb levels can be used in assessing long-term risks for cardiometabolic diseases.

Association of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with left ventricular fibrosis.

AIMS: To evaluate the relationship between spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with arrhythmic substrate represented by left ventricular fibrosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed the associations of T- and P-wave morphology parameters analysed from the standard 12-lead electrocardiograms with left ventricular fibrosis in 378 victims of unexpected sudden cardiac death (SCD) who underwent medico-legal autopsy. Based on autopsy findings, the SCD victims were categorized into four different groups according to different stages of severity of left ventricular fibrosis (substantial fibrosis, moderate patchy fibrosis, scattered mild fibrosis, no fibrosis). T-wave and P-wave area dispersion (TWAd: 0.0841 ± 0.496, 0.170 ± 0.492, 0.302 ± 404, 0.296 ± 0.476, P = 0.008; PWAd: 0.574 ± 0.384, 0.561 ± 0.367, 0.654 ± 0.281, 0.717 ± 0.257, P = 0.011, respectively; low values abnormal), non-dipolar components of T-wave and P-wave morphology (T_NonDipolarABS: 0.0496 ± 0.0377, 0.0571 ± 0.0487, 0.0432 ± 0.0476, 0.0380 ± 0.0377, P = 0.027; P_NonDipolarABS: 0.0132 ± 0.0164, 0.0130 ± 0.0135, 0.0092 ± 0.0117, 0.0069 ± 0.00472, P = 0.005, respectively, high values abnormal), T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD: 45.9 ± 28.3, 40.5 ± 25.8, 35.5 ± 24.9, 33.0 ± 24.6, P = 0.030, respectively, high values abnormal), and P-wave heterogeneity (PWH: 20.0 ± 9.44, 19.7 ± 8.87, 17.9 ± 9.78, 15.4 ± 4.60, P = 0.019, respectively, high values abnormal) differed significantly between the groups with different stages of left ventricular fibrosis. After adjustment with heart weight, T_NonDipolarABS [standardized ß (sß) = 0.131, P = 0.014], PWAd (sß = -0.161, P = 0.003), P_NonDipolarABS (sß = 0.174, P = 0.001), and PWH (sß = 0.128, P = 0.015) retained independent association, and TWAd (sß = -0.091, P = 0.074) and TMD (sß = 0.097, P = 0.063) tended to retain their association with the degree of myocardial fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that abnormal values of T- and P-wave morphology are associated with arrhythmic substrate represented by ventricular fibrosis partly explaining the mechanism behind their prognostic significance.

Prognostic value of P-wave morphology in general population.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of novel P-wave morphology descriptors in general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Novel P-wave morphology variables were analyzed from orthogonal X-, Y-, Z-leads of the digitized electrocardiogram using a custom-made software in 6906 middle-aged subjects of the Mini-Finland Health Survey. A total of 3747 (54.3%) participants died during the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years; 379 (5.5%) of the study population succumbed to sudden cardiac death (SCD), 928 (13.4%) to non-SCD (NSCD) and 2440 (35.3%) patients to non-cardiac death (NCD). In univariate comparisons, most of the studied P-wave morphology parameters had a significant association with all modes of death (P from <0.05 to <0.001). After relevant adjustments in the Cox multivariate hazards model, P-wave morphology dispersion (PMD) still tended to predict SCD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.006, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.012, P = 0.05) but not NSCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.995-1.003, P = 0.68) or NCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997-1.001, P = 0.44). The P-wave maximum amplitude in the lead Z (P-MaxAmp-Z) predicted SCD even after multivariate adjustments (HR: 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015, P = 0.0002) but also NSCD (HR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, P = 0.0005) and NCD (HR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Abnormalities of P-wave morphology are associated with the risk of all modes of death in general population. After relevant adjustments, PMD was still closely associated with the risk of SCD but not with NSCD or NCD. P-MaxAmp-Z predicted SCD even after adjustments, however, it also retained its association with NSCD and NCD.

Comparing ultrasonographically assessed carotid and abdominal aorta plaques in cardiovascular disease risk estimation.

BACKGROUND: Individual risk estimation is an essential part of cardiovascular (CV) disease prevention. Several imaging parameters have been studied for this purpose. Based on mounting evidence, international guidelines recommend the ultrasound assessment of carotid artery plaques to refine individual risk estimation. Previous studies have not compared carotid artery and abdominal aorta plaques in CV risk estimation. Our aim was to explore this matter in a prospective study setting. METHODS: Participants were part of the Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis (OPERA) project. All participants (n = 1007, 50% males, aged 51.3 ± 6.0 years) were clinically examined in the beginning of 1990's and followed until the end 2014 for fatal and non-fatal CV events. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 22.5 (17.5-23.2) years, 246 (24%) participants suffered a CV event and 79 (32%) of those CV events were fatal. When compared to those without plaques, both carotid (hazard ratio, HR 2.854 [95% confidence interval, CI, 2.188-3.721, p < 0.001) and abdominal aorta plaques (HR 2.534 [1.503-4.274], p < 0.001) were major risk factors for CV events as an aggregate endpoint. These associations remained even after adjusting the multivariable models with age, sex, systolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, LDL cholesterol, and with previous CV events (coronary artery disease and stroke/transient ischemic attack). However, only carotid plaques were significant risk factors for fatal CV events: multivariable adjusted HR 2.563 (1.452-4.524), p = 0.001. Furthermore, reclassification and discrimination parameters were improved only when carotid plaques were added to a baseline risk model. Adding abdominal aorta plaques to the baseline risk model improved C-statistic from 0.718 (0.684-0.751) to 0.721 (0.688-0.754) whereas carotid plaques improved it to 0.743 (0.710-0.776). CONCLUSIONS: Both carotid and abdominal aorta plaques are significant risk factors for CV events, but only carotid plaques provide prognostic information beyond traditional CV risk factors on fatal CV events. If one ultrasound parameter for plaque detection and CV risk estimation had to be chosen, carotid plaques may be preferred over abdominal aorta.

Association of atrial depolarization variability and cardiac autonomic regulation with sudden cardiac death in coronary artery disease.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of the temporal variability of P-wave morphology, specifically in relation to cardiac autonomic regulation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the standard deviation of P-wave residuum (PWRSD) from five consecutive beats of the standard 12-lead ECG in 1236 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the prognostic value of PWRSD, of PWRSD and PWR in relation to the 24 h standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (PWRSD/SDNN and PWR/SDNN). After 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up on average, 43 patients (3.5%) experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 34 (2.8%) succumbed to non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD) and 113 (9.1%) to non-cardiac death (NCD). In the Cox regression analysis, PWRSD (≥0.002727) had a significant univariate (uv) [hazard ratio (HR): 4.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.26-8.08, P = 0.000008] and multivariate (mv) (HR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.31-5.08, P = 0.006) association with SCD/SCA but not with NSCD (uv P = 0.76, mv P = 0.33) or NCD (uv P = 0.57, mv P = 0.66). All the studied P-morphology parameters retained a significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA after relevant adjustment (mv P-values from 0.00003 to <0.05) but not with NSCD or NCD. When dichotomized PWRSD, PWR, PWRSD/SDNN, and PWR/SDNN were added to the clinical risk model for SCD/SCD, the C-index increased from 0.799 to 0.834 and integrated discrimination index and net reclassification index improved significantly (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Variability of P-morphology representing temporo-spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization, specifically when combined with cardiac autonomic regulation, independently predicts the risk of SCD in patients with CAD.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its prognosis associates with shorter leucocyte telomeres in a 21-year follow-up study.

Leucocyte telomere length (LTL) has been associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but the evidence is imperfect. Furthermore, liver fibrosis has been shown to correlate with mortality and recent studies have also found associations with LTL and fibrosis suggesting that LTL may have additional prognostic value in liver diseases. Our objective was to study the association of LTL and NAFLD and evaluate the association of LTL in prognosis of NAFLD subjects. Study subjects (n = 847) were middle-aged hypertensive patients. All participants were evaluated for NAFLD and their LTL was measured at baseline. Outcomes were obtained from Finnish Causes-of-Death Register and the Care Register for Health Care in Statistics Finland to the end of 2014. An inverse association with NAFLD prevalence and LTL length was observed (p < .001 for trend). Shortest telomere tertile possessed statistically significantly more NAFLD subjects even with multivariate analysis (shortest vs. middle tertile HR 1.98 p = .006 and shortest vs. longest tertile HR 2.03 p = .007). For the study period, mortality of the study group showed statistically significant relation with telomere length in univariate but not for multivariate analysis. In subgroup analysis, LTL did not associate with prognosis of non-NAFLD subjects. However, LTL was inversely associated with overall mortality in the subjects with NAFLD in both univariate (HR 0.16 p = .007) and multivariate analysis (HR 0.20 p = .045). In middle-aged Caucasian cohort, shorter leucocyte telomeres associated independently with increased prevalence of NAFLD. Shorter LTL was not associated with mortality in non-NAFLD patients whereas it predicted mortality of NAFLD patients independently.

Temporal variability of T-wave morphology and risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The possible relationship between temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not completely understood. METHODS: The standard deviation of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD), of QRST angle (QRSTA-SD), and of T-wave area dispersion (TW-Ad-SD) were analyzed on beat-to-beat basis from 10 min period of the baseline electrocardiographic recording in ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. RESULTS: After on average of 8.6 ± 2.3 years of follow-up, a total of 66 of the 1,678 present study subjects (3.9%) had experienced SCD or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). TMD-SD was most closely associated with the risk for SCD and was significantly higher in patients who had experienced SCD/SCA compared with those who remained alive (3.61 ± 2.83 vs. 2.64 ± 2.52, p = .008, respectively), but did not differ significantly between the patients who had experienced non-SCD (n = 71, 4.2%) and those who remained alive (3.20 ± 2.73 vs. 2.65 ± 2.53, p = .077, respectively) or between the patients who succumbed to non-cardiac death (n = 164, 9.8%) and those who stayed alive (2.64 ± 2.17 vs. 2.68 ± 2.58, p = .853). After adjustments with relevant clinical risk indicators of SCD/SCA, TMD-SD still predicted SCD/SCA (HR 1.107, 95% CIs 1.035-1.185, p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization represented by TMD-SD independently predicts long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Soluble ST2, a biomarker of fibrosis, is associated with multiple risk factors, chronic diseases and total mortality in the OPERA study.

Several diseases have a deleterious fibrosis component. Biomarkers indicating potential clinical utility that reliably reflect the degree of fibrosis have been introduced, one of them being soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2). The aim of our study was to explore the association of cardiometabolic risk factors, different diseases and total mortality with biomarker sST2 and see, how fibrosis is portrayed in these conditions. In addition, we were interested to see if sST2 levels could predict fibrosis in the long-term (21 years). The Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis (OPERA) survey collected data on the same individuals in years 1991-1993 (baseline, n = 1045), 2013-2014 (follow-up, n = 600) and mortality data until year 2019. Smoking at baseline retained a significant association with sST2 levels reflecting fibrosis development 20 years later. In the multivariate model male gender, diabetes, quick-index, levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALAT), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) were associated with elevated sST2 levels at the examination 2013-2014. sST2 levels were higher among subjects suffering from cardiovascular disease (p = .031), cancer (p = .021), mild cognitive decline (p = .046) and diabetes (p < .001). Total mortality was assessed by using the Cox proportional hazard survival model analysis. sST2 (log-transformed) was an independent predictor of total mortality (HR 9.4; 95% CI 2.8-31.4, p<.001) when age, gender, diabetes, smoking, quick-index, levels of ALAT, HDL-cholesterol and hsCRP were added as covariates. In addition, elevated levels indicated worse prognosis and predicted mortality.

The validity of hospital discharge register data on non-ST-elevation and ST-elevation myocardial infarction in Finland.

Objectives. To examine the validity of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) diagnoses in Finnish nation-wide hospital discharge register (HDR). Design. In the first stage of the study, we sampled 180 patients treated in 1996-2012 for MI in three different hospitals, Oulu university hospital, Turku university hospital and North Karelia Central hospital, 60 patients in each hospital. A cardiology resident classified the patients on the basis of ECG finding into following categories: NSTEMI, STEMI or not classifiable myocardial infarction (NCMI). In the second stage of the study, we sampled altogether 270 additional patients i.e. 90 patients per hospital. Patients were treated between 2012-2014 for STEMI (n = 3 × 30), NSTEMI (n = 3 × 30), and NCMI (n = 3 × 30). The ECGs of these patients were independently evaluated by the cardiology resident and a senior cardiologist and compared with the HDR diagnosis. Results. In the first stage of the study, the agreement between the ECG coding of the cardiology resident and the HDR diagnoses was poor (Cohen's kappa coefficient 0.38 (95% CI 0.10-0.32). In the second stage, the agreement remained at the same poor level (Cohen's kappa = 0.22 (95% CI 0.11-0.03)). The agreement between the cardiology resident and the senior cardiologist was, however, good (Cohen's kappa = 0.75 (95% CI 0.65-0.85)). Conclusions. Our results show that the division of MI diagnoses to STEMI and NSTEMI is not reliable in the Finnish HDR. These diagnoses should not be used as outcomes in scientific research without additional verification from the original ECGs.

Metabolic syndrome but not genetic polymorphisms known to induce NAFLD predicts increased total mortality in subjects with NAFLD (OPERA study).

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) and genetic polymorphisms PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926 and MBOAT7 rs641738 are known inductors of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, knowledge about how these affect the mortality of subjects with NAFLD is scarce. Therefore, we investigated the impact of MetS, PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926 and MBOAT7 rs641738 on overall and cardiovascular disease (CVD) specific mortality among subjects with or without NAFLD. NAFLD diagnosis was based on liver ultrasound at the baseline. After this and other comprehensive examinations, 958 middle-aged Finns, 249 with NAFLD, were followed for 21 years. The mortality data was gathered from the National Death Registry. After multiple adjustments, the NAFLD individuals with MetS had increased risk of overall mortality as compared to the NAFLD subjects without MetS [2.054 (1.011-4.173, p = .046)]. However, PNPLA3 rs738409 [1.049 (0.650-1.692, p = .844)], TM6SF2 rs58542926 [0.721 (0.369-1.411, p = .340)] or MBOAT7 rs641738 [0.885 (0.543-1.439, p = .621)] did not affect the overall mortality. MetS was also a marker of increased risk of CVD mortality (15% vs. 2%, p = .013) while genetic polymorphisms did not affect CVD mortality. In conclusion, MetS, but not the gene polymorphisms studied, predicts increased overall and CVD-specific mortality among NAFLD subjects.

Gender differences in prevalence and prognostic value of fragmented QRS complex.

BACKGROUND: Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with scarred myocardium and adverse outcome. However, the data on gender differences in terms of its prevalence and prognostic value is sparse. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether gender differences in fQRS exist among subjects drawn from populations with different risk profiles. METHODS: We analyzed fQRS from 12-lead ECG in 953 autopsy-confirmed victims of sudden cardiac death (SCD) (78% men; 67.0 ± 11.4 yrs), 1900 coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with angiographically confirmed stenosis of ≥50% (70% men; 66.6 ± 9.0 yrs, 43% with previous myocardial infarction [MI]), and in 10,904 adults drawn from the Finnish adult general population (52% men; 44.0 ± 8.5 yrs). RESULTS: Prevalence of fQRS was associated with older age, male sex and the history and severity of prior cardiac disease of subjects. Among the general population fQRS was more commonly found among men in comparison to women (20.5% vs. 14.8%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of fQRS rose gradually along with the severity of prior cardiac disease in both genders, yet remained significantly higher in the male population: subjects with suspected or known cardiac disease (25.4% vs. 15.8% p < 0.001), CAD patients without prior MI (39.9% vs. 26.4%, p < 0.001), CAD patients with prior MI (42.9% vs. 31.2%, p < 0.001), and victims of SCD (56.4% vs. 44.4%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of QRS fragmentation varies in different populations. The fragmentation is clearly related to the underlying cardiac disease in both genders, however women seem to have significantly lower prevalence of fQRS in each patient population in comparison to men.

Prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well-known. METHODS: A total of 1946 patients with angiographically verified CAD were included in the Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study. The P-wave morphology could be analyzed in 1797 patients. RESULTS: During 7.4 ± 2.0 years, a total of 168 (9.3%) patients died or experienced resuscitation from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 43 (2.4%) patients experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from SCA, 37 (2.1%) patients succumbed to non-SCD (NSCD), and 88 (4.9%) patients to noncardiac death (NCD). Of the P-wave parameters, the absolute P-wave residuum (PWR), the heterogeneity of the P-wave morphology (PWH), and the P-wave duration (Pdur) had the closest univariate association with the risk of SCD/SCA (0.0038 ± 0.0026 vs 0.0022 ± 0.0017, P < .001; 11.0 ± 5.2 vs 8.6 ± 3.6, P < .01; 142.7 ± 16.9 vs 134.8 ± 14.3 milliseconds, P < .01; SCD/SCA vs no SCD/SCA, respectively). After adjustments with factors that were associated with the risk of SCD/SCA, such as diabetes, smoking, left bundle branch block, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, PWR (P < .001), PWH (P < .05), and Pdur (P < 0.01) still predicted SCD/SCA but not non-sudden cardiac death. When these parameters were added to the SCD/SCA clinical risk model, the discrimination and reclassification accuracy of the risk model increased significantly (P < .05, P < .001) and the C-index increased from 0.745 to 0.787. CONCLUSION: The P-wave morphology parameters independently predict SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Non-dipping blood pressure pattern and new-onset diabetes in a 21-year follow-up.

Purpose: Non-dipping blood pressure (BP) pattern has been associated with metabolic changes and cardiovascular events. With regard of diabetes, studies are scarce. Our aim was to investigate if there is an association between changes in dipping patterns and incidence of diabetes. Materials and methods: A 24-h ambulatory BP measurement was recorded in addition to other laboratory measurements, and a questionnaire and physical examination were carried out in the baseline study and after 21-year follow-up among a study population (n = 449) consisting of randomly selected middle-aged Finnish females and males without diabetes. Results: 128 (28.5%) developed diabetes during the follow-up. The incidence of new-onset diabetes was the highest, 41.0%, among those subjects who were non-dippers (their systolic BP declined <10% from daytime to nighttime) in the baseline and also in the follow-up study, while the incidence of diabetes was 19.6% in the dipper - dipper (a nighttime decline of systolic BP 10% or more) group (p = 0.003). The difference remained statistically significant after adjustment with age, sex, body mass index, fasting glucose, triglycerides, and insulin levels, smoking status, 24-h mean systolic BP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, estimated glomerular filtration and diuretics use. In logistic regression analysis, the non-dipper - non-dippers were at higher risk of diabetes compared with dipper - dipper group (OR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.13-4.56, p = 0.022). Conclusions: Our prospective study shows that there is an independent association between non-dipping BP pattern and the incidence of diabetes in a 21-year follow-up.

Life style habits, biochemical factors and their interaction in the prediction of incident hypertension during 21-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a global health threat and major cardiovascular risk. Various risk-prediction models for incident hypertension have been developed but not many of them have studied the risk-predictive value of life style factors in combination with cardiovascular biomarkers during long-term period of over 10 years. METHODS: We examined differences in several classical variables for 299 subjects in OPERA (Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis) cohort in subjects with no or new hypertension during a follow-up period of 21 years. Effect of both various life style habits and biomarkers were investigated. RESULTS: Baseline blood pressure, being overweight and smoking actively were independent predictors of new hypertension in majority of multivariate models during long-term follow-up of 21 years in subjects without previous hypertension. Increased high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level (> 3 mg/L) was the strongest predictor of incident hypertension in univariate model. Subjects with two or all three of main risk factors (being overweight, smoking actively and having high hsCRP) had 4-fold risk for incident hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking, overweight and increased hsCRP level had risk-predictive value in incident hypertension prediction during long-term follow-up of 21 years. Assessment and measurement of these parameters could be used in help of detecting high risk subjects and primary prevention of hypertension very early on. In addition, the study shows that blood pressure at the middle-age should be followed and treated intensively to prevent hypertension in the older age. KEY MESSAGES: Baseline blood pressure, being overweight and smoking actively are independent predictors of new hypertension during a long-term follow-up of 21 years. Having two or all three risk factors (smoking actively, body mass index over 25 kg/m2, high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level over 3 mg/L) indicates a 4-fold risk for incident hypertension within 21-year follow-up.

Prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in current treatment era.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in the current treatment era is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study included 1,946 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). The study patients underwent thorough examinations including 12-lead digital electrocardiogram (ECG) at baseline. RESULTS: During a follow-up period of 73 ± 22 months, a total of 201 (10.3%) patients died. Of the study patients, 95 (4.9%) experienced cardiac death (CD) consisting of 44 (2.3%) sudden cardiac deaths (SCD) and 51 (2.6%) nonsudden cardiac deaths (NSCD), and 106 (5.4%) patients experienced noncardiac death (NCD). T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD), T-wave area dispersion (TWAD), and total cosine R-to-T (TCRT) had a significant association with CD even after adjustment with relevant clinical risk markers in the Cox regression analysis (multivariate HRs: 1.015, 95% CI 1.007-1.023, p = .0003; 0.474, 95% CI 0.305-0.737, p = .0009; 0.598, 95% CI 0.412-0.866, p = .006, respectively). When including these parameters to the clinical risk model for CD, the C-index increased from 0.810 to 0.823 improving the discrimination significantly (integrated discrimination index [IDI] = 0.0118, 95% CI 0.0028-0.0208, p = .01). These parameters were more closely associated with NSCD (multivariate p-values from .016 to .001) than with SCD (univariate/multivariate p-values for TMD .015/.197 and for TCRT .012/.43). CONCLUSION: T-wave morphology parameters describing repolarization heterogeneity improve the predictive power of the clinical risk model for CD in patients with CAD in the current treatment era.

Supraventricular premature beats and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The significance of premature atrial contraction (PAC) count and supraventricular runs (SVR) for the risk of development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to Reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study cohort consisted of 1,946 patients with CAD who underwent clinical and echocardiographic examinations, 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring, and laboratory tests. After excluding patients who were not in sinus rhythm at baseline or were lost from the follow-up, the present study included 1,710 patients. SVR was defined as at least four PACs in a row with a duration <30 seconds. RESULTS: During a follow-up for an average 5.6 ± 1.5 years, new-onset AF was identified in 143 (8.4%) patients. In the univariate analysis, both SVR and PAC count were associated with the development of new-onset AF. When SVR and PAC count were adjusted with the established AF risk markers of the modified CHARGE-AF model in the Cox multivariate regression analysis, both parameters remained significant predictors of the occurrence of new-onset AF (HR = 2.529, 95 % CI = 1.763-3.628, P ˂ 0.001 and HR = 8.139 for ≥1,409 PACs [the fourth quartile] vs. ≤507 PACs [the first quartile], 95 % CI = 3.967-16.696, P ˂ 0.001, respectively). Together these parameters improved the C-index of the established AF risk model from 0.649 to 0.718, P < 0.001. CONCLUSION: Including SVR and PAC count to the established AF risk model improves the discrimination accuracy in predicting AF in patients with CAD.

Ghrelin and atherosclerosis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome and the consequent cardiovascular diseases has stimulated an active search for novel risk factors. The hormones regulating energy balance are of special interest as potential risk factor indicators of cardiovascular diseases. Ghrelin provides an attractive target for studies of atherosclerosis being a gastric peptide hormone having multiple functions including orexigenic and growth hormone-releasing effects and is also involved in the regulation of cardiovascular and immunomodulatory system. RECENT FINDINGS: The aim of the present article is to review recent studies on the role of ghrelin in the atherosclerosis. Ghrelin seems to influence known risk factors of atherosclerosis, endothelial dysfunction, inflammation and oxidation. These themes will be covered by the present article and a summary of clinical studies of ghrelin in atherosclerosis will be given. SUMMARY: Ghrelin plays a beneficial role in multiple processes of atherogenesis and vascular function. However, ghrelin's effects are not as strong as those of traditional known risk factors.

Heart rate variability findings as a predictor of atrial fibrillation in middle-aged population.

BACKGROUND: Autonomic nervous system modifies atrial electrophysiologic properties and arrhythmia vulnerability. METHODS: Heart rate (HR) variability, an indicator of cardiac autonomic regulation, was measured in 784 subjects (mean age 51 ± 6 years; 54% males) from a standardized 45-minute period in a study population (n = 1,045), which consisted of randomly selected hypertensive and age- and sex-matched control subjects at the time of recruitment in 1991-1992 (the OPERA study). RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 16.5 ± 3.5 years, 76 subjects (9.7%) had developed symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), needing hospitalization. HR did not predict the occurrence of AF. Among the various spectral and time-domain HR variability indexes, only the low-frequency (LF) spectral component independently predicted AF. In the Cox regression analysis, the hazard ratio of reduced HR corrected LF (LFccv ≤ 1.59%, optimal cutoff from the ROC curve) in predicting the AF was 3.28 (95% CI: 2.06-5.24; P < 0.001). In the multiple Cox regression model, including LFccv and other predictors of AF, such as age, gender, hypertension, history of coronary artery disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body mass index, ß-blocking, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor and aspirin medication, left atrial size, left ventricular mass index, and left ventricular size obtained by echocardiography, only LFccv (hazard ratio 2.81; 95% CI: 1.64-4.81; P < 0.001), age (P = 0.006), and systolic blood pressure (P = 0.02) remained as significant predictors of AF. CONCLUSIONS: Impaired LF oscillation of HR predicts new-onset AF in a middle-aged population emphasizing the important role of autonomic nervous system in the genesis of symptomatic AF.