Nomogram for the prediction of primary distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma to guide individualized application of FDG PET/CT.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to establish an effective nomogram to predict primary distant metastasis (DM) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to guide the application of PET/CT. METHODS: In total, 3591 patients with pathologically confirmed NPC were consecutively enrolled. The nomogram was constructed based on 1922 patients treated between 2007 and 2014. Multivariate logistical regression was applied to identify the independent risk factors of DM. The predictive value of the nomogram was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, probability density functions (PDFs), and clinical utility curve (CUC). The results were validated in 1669 patients enrolled from 2015 to 2016. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) was applied to compare performances of the nomogram with other clinical factors. The best cut-off value of the nomogram chosen for clinical application was analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 355 patients showed primary DM among 3591 patients, yielding an incidence rate of 9.9%. Sex, N stage, EBV DNA level, lactate dehydrogenase level, and hemoglobin level were independent predictive factors for primary DM. C-indices in the training and validation cohort were 0.796 (95% CI, 0.76-0.83) and 0.779 (95% CI, 0.74-0.81), respectively. The NRI indices demonstrated that this model had better predictive performance than plasma EBV DNA level and N stage. We advocate for a threshold probability of 3.5% for guiding the application of PET/CT depending on the clinical utility analyses. CONCLUSION: This nomogram is a useful tool to predict primary DM of NPC and guide the clinical application of PET/CT individually at the initial staging.

Low value of whole-body dual-modality [18f]fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in primary staging of stage I-II nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a nest case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: The value of using PET/CT for staging of stage I-II NPC remains unclear. Hence, we aimed to investigate the survival benefit of PET/CT for staging of early-stage NPC before radical therapy. METHODS: A total of 1003 patients with pathologically confirmed NPC of stages I-II were consecutively enrolled. Among them, 218 patients underwent both PET/CT and conventional workup ([CWU], head-and-neck MRI, chest radiograph, liver ultrasound, bone scintigraphy) before treatment. The remaining 785 patients only underwent CWU. The standard of truth (SOT) for lymph node metastasis was defined by the change of size according to follow-up MRI. The diagnostic efficacies were compared in 218 patients who underwent both PET/CT and CWU. After covariate adjustment using propensity scoring, a cohort of 872 patients (218 with and 654 without pre-treatment PET/CT) was included. The primary outcome was overall survival based on intention to treat. RESULTS: Retropharyngeal lymph nodes were metastatic based on follow-up MRI in 79 cases. PET/CT was significantly less sensitive than MRI in detecting retropharyngeal lymph node lesions (72.2% [62.3-82.1] vs. 91.1% [84.8-97.4], p = 0.004). Neck lymph nodes were metastatic in 89 cases and PET/CT was more sensitive than MRI (96.6% [92.8-100.0] vs. 76.4% [67.6-85.2], p < 0.001). In the survival analyses, there was no association between pre-treatment PET/CT use and improved overall survival, progression-free survival, local relapse-free survival, regional relapse-free survival, and distant metastasis-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed PET/CT is of little value for staging of stage I-II NPC patients at initial imaging. KEY POINTS: • PET/CT was more sensitive than MRI in detecting neck lymph node lesions whereas it was significantly less sensitive than MRI in detecting retropharyngeal lymph node lesions. • No association existed between pre-treatment PET/CT use and improved survival in stage I-II NPC patients.

Maximal standard uptake values of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography compared with Epstein-Barr virus DNA as prognostic indicators in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of maximal standard uptake values (SUVmax) of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography (PET) comparing with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. METHODS: From December 2006 to December 2016, 253 de novo metastatic NPC patients assessed by PET/ computed tomography were involved in current study. SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, and SUVmax-M referred to the SUVmax at the primary tumor, cervical lymph nodes, and metastatic lesions respectively. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. RESULT: Patients who died during the follow-up had significantly higher SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA level than those in the patients who were alive. SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were positively correlated with EBV DNA level. The cut-off values of SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA were 17.0, 12.7, and 6.9, and 13,800 copies/mL respectively, which were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Patients with elevated SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA levels had a lower 3-year OS rate. In multivariate analysis, the independent prognostic factors of OS included EBV DNA, metastatic site, and locoregional radiotherapy application, while SUVmax was not an independent prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: In de novo metastatic NPC patients, higher SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were associated with worse prognosis. However, the predictive ability of SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M was poorer than that of EBV DNA.

Identifying optimal candidates for local treatment of the primary tumor among patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study based on Epstein-Barr virus DNA level and tumor response to palliative chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the clinical outcome in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated or not treated with locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT) based on plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA level and tumor response after palliative chemotherapy (PCT). METHODS: From 2007 to 2016, 502 patients with de novo metastatic NPC were included in this study. All patients were treated with PCT and 315 patients received LRRT. Our primary study endpoint was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: EBV DNA was detected in 461 patients (91.8%) before treatment but was undetectable in 249 patients (49.6%) after PCT. Three hundred and seventeen patients (63.1%) achieved satisfactory response (complete response or partial response) to PCT. Both the post-PCT EBV DNA level and tumor response were independent prognostic factors. Among low-risk patients (patients with undetectable EBV DNA and satisfactory tumor response after PCT), the 3-year OS rate was 80.4% in LRRT-treated patients and 45.3% in patients not treated with LRRT (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that LRRT was an independent prognostic factor of OS in the low-risk patients (P < 0.001). However, among the high-risk patients (patients with detectable EBV DNA and/or unsatisfactory response after PCT), no statistically significant survival differences were observed between the LRRT and non-LRRT groups. CONCLUSIONS: EBV DNA level and tumor response after PCT both correlate with the prognosis of de novo metastatic NPC. In such cases, LRRT may benefit the patients with undetectable EBV DNA levels and satisfactory tumor response after PCT.

Liposomal paclitaxel versus docetaxel in induction chemotherapy using Taxanes, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: We wished to evaluate the efficacy and safety of liposomal paclitaxel and docetaxel for induction chemotherapy (IC) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: A total of 1498 patients with newly-diagnosed NPC between 2009 and 2017 treated with IC plus concurrent chemotherapy were included in our observational study. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and grade-3-4 toxicities were compared between groups using propensity score matching (PSM). RESULTS: In total, 767 patients were eligible for this study, with 104 (13.6%) and 663 (86.4%) receiving a liposomal paclitaxel-based and docetaxel-based taxanes, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (TPF) regimen, respectively. PSM identified 103 patients in the liposomal-paclitaxel group and 287 patients in the docetaxel group. There was no significant difference at 3 years for OS (92.2% vs. 93.9%, P = 0.942), PFS (82.6% vs. 81.7%, P = 0.394), LRFS (94.7% vs. 93.3%, P = 0.981) or DMFS (84.6% vs. 87.4%, P = 0.371) between the two groups after PSM. Significant interactions were not observed between the effect of chemotherapy regimen and sex, age, T stage, N stage, overall stage, or Epstein-Barr virus DNA level in the subgroup multivariate analysis. The prevalence of grade-3-4 leukopenia and neutropenia in the liposomal-paclitaxel group was significantly lower than that of the docetaxel group (P < 0.05 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with docetaxel, liposomal paclitaxel has identical anti-tumor efficacy, but causes fewer and milder adverse reactions in IC for NPC.

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone in older patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma after intensity-modulated radiotherapy: A propensity score-matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Whether concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) benefits the older (age ≥ 60 years) patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has not been determined. This study aimed to compare the outcomes and toxicities of CCRT with Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy (IMRT) alone in older patients with stage II NPC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between January 2010 and December 2017, 220 older (age ≥ 60 years) patients with stage II NPC were analyzed. A pair of 53 patients were matched between the CCRT group and RT group by using propensity score matching (PSM) in terms of age, sex, pathological type, T and N stage, ACE-27 scores, CRP, LDH and Hb. Cancer-specific survival (CSS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were analysed by the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed to assess the prognostic risk factors by using a Cox's proportional hazards regression model. Treatment toxicities were clarified and compared between the two groups by using the χ2 test. RESULTS: The median follow-up time of the whole cohort was 82.0 months (range, 11-151 months). PSM analysis indicated that compared with the RT group, significantly higher 5-year CSS (98.1 % vs. 83.0 %, P = 0.02), PFS (98.1 % vs. 79.2 %, P = 0.01) and DMFS (100.0 % vs. 92.4 %, P = 0.04) were observed in the CCRT group. Multivariate analysis showed that CCRT was an independent prognostic factor predicting CSS (HR, 0.34; 95 % CI, 0.15-0.79; P = 0.01), PFS (HR, 0.48; 95 % CI, 0.25-0.93; P = 0.03), and LRRFS (HR, 0.36; 95 % CI, 0.14-0.90; P = 0.03), and a higher ACE-27 score predicted a worse CSS. Patients in the CCRT group experienced higher frequencies of the acute toxicities than patients in the RT group. Late complications were comparable between the two groups. CONCLUSION: CCRT significantly improved the survival benefits for the older patients with stage II NPC compared with IMRT alone without adding late complications, whereas increased some of the treatment-associated acute toxicities.

Retraction notice to "Endogenous production of C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 by nasopharyngeal carcinoma cells drives radioresistance-associated metastasis" [Canc. Lett. 468 (2020) 27-40].

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High miR-3650 expression in nasopharyngeal carcinoma and its clinical prognostic values.

BACKGROUND: A recent study has reported that miR-3650 expression was significant reduced in hepatocellular carcinoma and predicted poor prognosis. However, the role of miR-3650 in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains indefinite. METHODS: Total 140 cases of NPCs were included in this study. The expression of miR-3650 was determined in NPC tissues and adjacent nontumor tissues using qRT-PCR. Then the relationship between miR-3650 expression and clinicopathological features as well as survival were analyzed. RESULTS: The expression of miR-3650 was significant higher in NPC tissues than that in adjacent nontumor tissues (P < 0.001). High expression of miR-3650 was significant correlated with tumor progression and distant metastasis of NPC patients. And patients with high miR-3650 expression have much worse 5-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) than those with low expression (all P < 0.0001). Furthermore, Cox regression analysis showed that miR-3650 was an independent risk predictor for OS and PFS in NPC patients (all P = 0.000). CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated for the first time that miR-3650 was markedly upregulated in NPC tissues and positively associated with tumor progression and poor survival, suggesting that miR-3650 may be a potential novel prognostic biomarker and therapeutic target for NPC patients.

Increased Angiogenin Expression Correlates With Radiation Resistance and Predicts Poor Survival for Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Background: Despite the development of such multiple therapeutic approaches, approximately 20% patients experience recurrence. Identification of molecular markers for stratifying the different risks of tumour recurrence and progression is considered imperative. Methods: We used a RayBio Human Cytokine Antibody Array that simultaneously detected the levels of 297 proteins and profiled the conditioned medium of HONE1 cells and the radioresistant NPC cells HONE1-IR. We found Angiogenin(ANG) expression to be significantly increased in HONE1-IR and HONE1-IR cells exposed to 4-Gy X-ray radiation. Results: We investigated the expression of ANG in NPC tissues and explored its prognostic significance in patients with NPC. We found that ANG expression was increased in recurrent NPC tissues. Elevated expression of ANG induced radio-resistance in NPC cells, in addition to being significantly associated with shorter PFS, OS, and LRFS in patients with NPC. Multivariate analysis results revealed that ANG was an independent prognostic factor that predicted PFS, OS, and LRFS. Furthermore, a nomogram model was generated to predict OS in terms of ANG expression. Conclusion: Our results found the radioresistant function of ANG and proved the clinical prognostic significance of ANG, and the results could help predict radio-sensitivity and stratify high-risk patients or tumour recurrence.

Efficacy of Transnasal Endoscopic Fine-Needle Aspiration Biopsy in Diagnosing Submucosal Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: The routine practices of examining submucosal lesions are not suitable for deep lesions. Therefore, we evaluated the efficacy of non-real-time image-guided transnasal endoscopic fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) in diagnosing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with submucosal lesions. STUDY DESIGN: The effectiveness evaluation of diagnostic methods. METHODS: Fifty suspected NPC patients who failed in conventional biopsies were enrolled in this study. The efficacy, maneuverability, and safety of FNAB in diagnosing these intractable cases were evaluated. RESULTS: The definitive diagnostic results of these 50 patients were NPC (34/50, 68.0%), nasopharyngeal necrosis (1/50, 2.0%), nasopharyngeal mucositis (12/50, 24.0%), and other cancers (3/50, 6.0%), respectively. The results of the diagnostic efficacy of FNAB were sensitivity, 89.2%; specificity, 100.0%; positive predictive value, 100.0%; negative predictive value, 76.5%; and accuracy, 92.0%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.946 (95% confidence interval = 0.884-1.00, P < .001). No severe complications occurred after FNAB. CONCLUSIONS: FNAB can improve the diagnostic efficiency of NPC occurring in the submucosal space. It can be an additional option for routine nasopharyngeal biopsy and is worthy of clinical application. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 Laryngoscope, 131:1798-1804, 2021.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as an independent prognostic factor in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated using radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Nutritional status is a key factor influencing the prognosis of patients with cancer. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) has been used to predict mortality risk and long-term outcomes. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of pretreatment GNRI in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: A total of 1,065 patients with biopsy-proven non-disseminated nasopharyngeal carcinoma were included. Based on a cutoff value of pretreatment GNRI, patients were divided into two groups (low ≤107.7 and high >107.7). Combining GNRI and baseline Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, all patients were further stratified into three risk groups, namely, high-risk (high EBV DNA and low GNRI), low-risk (low EBV DNA and high GNRI), and medium-risk (except the above) groups. Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards model to assess the predictive value of the GNRI. RESULTS: Among the 1,065 patients, 527 (49.5%) and 538 (50.5%) were divided into low and high GNRI groups, respectively. Within a median follow-up of 83 months, patients with a high GNRI score exhibited significantly higher overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) compared to those with low GNRI scores (P<0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed that high GNRI is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS (hazard ratio, HR, 0.471, 95% CI, 0.270-0.822, P=0.008; HR 0.638, 95% CI, 0.433-0.941, P=0.023, respectively). Using a combination of baseline GNRI and EBV DNA, a satisfying separation of survival curves between different risk groups for OS, PFS, DMFS was observed. The survival rates of patients in the high-risk group were significantly lower than those in the low- and medium-risk groups (all P<0.001). The combined classification was demonstrated to be an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS after adjustment using multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment GNRI is an independent prognostic factor for NPC patients. The combination of baseline GNRI score and EBV DNA level improved the prognostic stratification of NPC patients.

Rab1A promotes cancer metastasis and radioresistance through activating GSK-3ß/Wnt/ß-catenin signaling in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Many articles have reported that Rab1A was overexpressed in a variety of human cancers and involved in tumor progression and metastasis. However, the biological function and molecular mechanism of Rab1A in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remained unknown until now. Here we found that Rab1A overexpression is a common event and was positively associated with distant metastasis and poor prognosis of NPC patients. Functionally, Rab1A depletion inhibited the migration and EMT phenotype of NPC cells, whereas Rab1A overexpression led to the opposite effect. Furthermore, we reveal an important role for Rab1A protein in the induction of radioresistance via regulating homologous recombination (HR) signaling pathway. Mechanistically, Rab1A activated Wnt/ß-catenin signaling by inhibiting the activity of GSK-3ß via phosphorylation at Ser9. Then Wnt/ß-catenin signaling induced NPC cells radioresistance and metastasis through nuclear translocation of ß-catenin and transcription upregulation of HR pathway-related and EMT-related genes expression. In general, this study shows that Rab1A may serve as a potential biomarker for predicting prognosis in NPC patients. Targeting Rab1A and Wnt/ß-catenin signaling may hold promise to overcome NPC radioresistance.

Induction chemotherapy followed by radiotherapy versus concurrent chemoradiotherapy in the treatment of different risk locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the efficiency and toxicities of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by radiotherapy (RT) in different risk locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: A total of 1814 eligible patients with stage II-IVB disease treated with CCRT or IC plus RT were included. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the differences were compared using the log-rank test. RESULTS: Nomograms were developed to predict OS, PFS and DMFS (C-index: 0.71, 0.70 and 0.71, respectively). Patients were then divided into three different risk groups based on the scores calculated by the nomogram for OS. In the low and intermediate-risk group, no significant survival differences were observed between patients treated with IC plus RT alone and CCRT (5-year OS, 97.3% versus 95.6%, p = 0.642 and 87.6% versus 89.7%, p = 0.381, respectively; PFS, 95.9% versus 95.6%, p = 0.325 and 87.6% versus 89.0%, p = 0.160, respectively; DMFS, 97.2% versus 94.8%, p = 0.339 and 87.2% versus 89.3%, p = 0.628, respectively). However, in the high-risk group, IC plus RT displayed an unfavorable 5-year OS (71.0% versus 77.2%, p = 0.022) and PFS (69.4.0% versus 75.4%, p = 0.019) compared with CCRT. A significantly higher incidence of grade 3 and 4 adverse events was documented in patients treated with CCRT than in those treated with IC plus RT in all risk groups (p = 0.040). CONCLUSION: IC followed by RT represents an alternative treatment strategy to CCRT for patients with low and intermediate-risk NPC, but it is not recommended for patients with high-risk NPC.

Endogenous production of C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 by nasopharyngeal carcinoma cells drives radioresistance-associated metastasis.

Patients with recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) have more co-existing distant metastasis than those of no-recurrence and are more likely to suffer distant metastasis after re-irradiation than patients with newly diagnosed NPC. However, the relationship between radioresistance and distant metastasis and the mechanisms involved in radioresistance-associated metastasis are still unclear. In this study, we proved that C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2) expression was significantly elevated in HONE1-IR cells and recurrent NPC tumour. Inhibition of CCL2 enhanced sensitivity to radiotherapy in NPC cells. Moreover, autocrine CCL2 promoted NPC cell adaptive radioresistance, metastasis and epithelial-mesenchymal transition. Additionally, p53 activated CCL2 transcription. High CCL2 expression was highly associated with poorer locoregional recurrence free survival, progression free survival and overall survival in patients with newly diagnosed NPC. Notably, high CCL2 expression was an independent prognostic factor for distant metastasis free survival in recurrent NPC patients. Our results provide insights into the autocrine signalling mechanisms of CCL2 and suggest that inhibition of autocrine CCL2 may be a candidate treatment strategy for management of radioresistant NPC.

Design and basic research on accuracy of a novel individualized three-dimensional printed navigation template in atlantoaxial pedicle screw placement.

OBJECTIVE: To design and evaluate the accuracy of a novel navigation template suitable for posterior cervical screw placement surgery by using 3D printing technology to improve the existing guiding template design. METHODS: The researchers (including spine surgeons and technicians) used CT to perform thin-slice scanning on 12 cases of normal upper cervical vertebral specimens and defined the screw channels that were completely located in the pedicle without penetrating the cortex as ideal screw channels, then designed the ideal channel of the upper cervical vertebral (atlantoaxial) pedicle screw by computer software which was regarded as the preset values, and recorded the screw entrance point, transverse angle and sagittal angle of the ideal channel. Then, researchers designed the novel navigation templates for placement pedicle screw according to the ideal screw channel preset values and manufactured them with one for every single vertebra by 3D printer. A senior spine surgeon performed the posterior surgery to implant pedicle screw on the specimens by the novel navigation templates, then performed CT thin-slice scanning on the specimens again after removing the screws, and reconstructed the actual screws channel by computer software, recorded the screw entrance point, transverse angle and sagittal angle of the actual channels which were defined as the actual values and evaluated them according to Kawaguchi's pedicle screw evaluation standard finally. The differences between the preoperative preset values of ideal screw channel and the postoperative actual values of actual screw channel were compared by a nonparametric paired rank test. RESULTS: 48 screws were placed on 12 cases of upper cervical vertebral specimens in total. It showed that the grade 0, I, II, III channels in this study were 47, 1, 0, 0, respectively. The grade 0 channels accounted for 97.92% of the total number of channels. There was no significant difference with regard to the screw entrance point, the transverse angle, and the sagittal angle between the preoperative preset values of ideal screw channels and the postoperative actual values of actual screw channels. CONCLUSION: To implant pedicle screw assisted with the novel individually navigation template designed by 3D printed in the posterior cervical surgery can improve accuracy of pedicle screw placement and safety of the surgery.

Subdivision of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients with Bone-Only Metastasis at Diagnosis for Prediction of Survival and Treatment Guidance.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to subdivide M1 stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with bone-only metastases for prognosis prediction while identifying the treatment effect of locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT) and metastasis radiotherapy (MRT) among patients with different risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From November 2006 to October 2016, a total of 226 patients with bone-only metastasic NPC were retrospectively enrolled. All patients developed distant lesions before receiving treatment. All potential prognostic factors were considered and the correlation of the M1 subdivisions with overall survival (OS) was determined by Cox regression hazards model. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to appraise survival condition and log-rank testing was used to compare the differences. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 33.9 months (range, 3 to 126 months). According to multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, the number of metastatic lesions and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA status after palliative chemotherapy (PCT) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Thus, we subdivided patients into three risk groups according to these two factors. Systemic chemotherapy combined with LRRT may benefit patients in low- and intermediate-risk groups but not in the high-risk group. Further aggressive MRT based on systemic chemotherapy showed no survival benefit in any risk group. CONCLUSION: The stratification of NPC patients with bone-only metastasis based on EBV DNA after PCT and the number of metastatic lesions provided promising prognostic value and could aid clinicians in person-specific treatment.

The Association Between the Development of Radiation Therapy, Image Technology, and Chemotherapy, and the Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Cohort Study From 1990 to 2012.

PURPOSE: Previous studies demonstrated that the radiation therapy, image technology, and the application of chemotherapy have developed in the last 2 decades. This study explored the survival trends and treatment failure patterns of patients with nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with radiation therapy. Furthermore, we evaluated the survival benefit brought by the development of radiation therapy, image technology, and chemotherapy based on a large cohort from 1990 to 2012. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Data from 20,305 patients with nonmetastatic NPC treated between 1990 and 2012 were analyzed. Patients were divided into 4 calendar periods (1990-1996, 1997-2002, 2003-2007, and 2008-2012). Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Magnetic resonance imaging has replaced computed tomography as the most important imaging technique since 2003. Conventional 2-dimensional radiation therapy, which was the main radiation therapy technique in our institution before 2008, was replaced by intensity modulated radiation therapy later. An increasing number of patients have undergone chemotherapy since 2003. The 5-year OS across the 4 calendar periods increased at each TNM stage with progression-free survival (PFS) and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) showing a similar trend, whereas distant metastasis-free survival showed small differences. Multivariate analyses showed that the application of intensity modulated radiation therapy and magnetic resonance imaging were independent protective factors in OS, PFS, LRFS, and distant metastasis-free survival. Chemotherapy benefited patients in OS, PFS, and LRFS. The main pattern of treatment failure shifted from recurrence to distant metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: The development of radiation therapy, image technology, and chemotherapy increased survival rates among patients with NPC because of excellent locoregional control. Distant failure has become the greatest challenge for NPC treatment.

Patterns of Failure and Survival Trends in 3,808 Patients with Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosed from 1990 to 2012: A Large-Scale Retrospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the survival trends and patterns of failure in patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with radiotherapy (RT) and chemotherapy over the last 20 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-eight hundred and eight patients diagnosed with stage II NPC between January 1990 and December 2012 were involved in this retrospective cohort study. All patients were treated with RT. According to the main imaging techniques and RT technology, we categorized these patients into four calendar periods: 1990-1996, 1997-2002, 2003-2007, and 2008-2012. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were served as the clinical outcome. RESULTS: After a median follow-up period of 84.7 months, we observed increasing trends in survival and disease control. The 3- and 5-year OS rates increased from 87.1% and 78.7% in the first calendar period to 97.4% and 94.5% in the last calendar period, respectively (p<0.001). Additionally, significant increasing trends could be seen in the PFS and LRFS during the four calendar periods. In the subgroup analysis, the LRFS in patients older than 50 years at diagnosis showed greater improvement than younger patients. However, the rate of distant metastasis was stable and relatively low, as the 5-year DMFS ranged from 90.5% to 94.7% among the four calendar periods. CONCLUSION: The survival rates in patients with stage II NPC showed increasing trends from 1990 to 2012. The advance of RT provided excellent locoregional control and enhanced OS.

Ten-year outcomes of survival and toxicity for a phase III randomised trial of concurrent chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone in stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Our previous results showed survival benefits of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in treating stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) compared with radiotherapy (RT) alone. Here, we present the updated 10-year survival results and late toxicity profile to assess the ultimate effectiveness of concurrent chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with stage II NPC were randomly assigned to RT arm (n = 114) or to CCRT arm (n = 116) with a concurrent weekly cisplatin regimen. The primary end-point was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 125 months, significant improvements in OS (83.6% vs 65.8%, P = 0.001), progression-free survival (76.7% vs 64.0%, P = 0.014), cancer-specific survival (86.2% vs 71.9%, P = 0.002), distant-metastasis free survival (94.0% vs 83.3%, P = 0.007) were observed in CCRT arm. In point of locoregional-relapse free survival, the impact of CCRT was not remarkable. The findings were in accordance with our previous report. The survival benefits earned by CCRT mainly reflected in T2N1 population. Although CCRT brought more acute toxic effects (P = 0.001), as presented in previous report, the late toxicities and treatment-associated deaths events were comparable between two arms. CONCLUSIONS: Ten-year outcomes confirmed that CCRT could improve the OS of stage II patients without adding late toxicities compared with conventional RT.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: No nomogram has been established for de novo metastatic NPC patients previously. Thus, we retrospectively involved 502 de novo NPC patients to develop a practical clinical tool by combining prognostic biomarkers to estimate individual risk. METHODS: The nomogram was based on a primary cohort involving 353 patients from 2007 to 2013; all independent prognostic factors were integrated for inclusion in the model. The predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated by concordance index (C-index). A calibration curve was used to compare predicted and observed survival. We confirmed the results using a validation cohort study on 149 patients enrolled from 2014 to 2016. RESULTS: Five independent prognostic factors derived from multivariable analysis were entered into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.724. The calibration curves for probability of 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) showed satisfactory agreement between predicted survival and actual observed survival. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a significant difference in survival among different risk groups according to the total score. All results were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: We established a convenient nomogram that provides individual prediction of OS for patients with de novo metastatic NPC.