Impact of hepatitis C treatment status on risk of Parkinson's disease and secondary parkinsonism in the era of direct-acting antivirals.

Research suggests a possible link between chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and the development of Parkinson's Disease (PD) and secondary Parkinsonism (PKM). We investigated the impact of antiviral treatment status (untreated, interferon [IFN] treated, direct-acting antiviral [DAA] treated) and outcome (treatment failure [TF] or sustained virological response [SVR]) on risk of PD/PKM among patients with HCV. Using data from the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study (CHeCS), we applied a discrete time-to-event approach with PD/PKM as the outcome. We performed univariate followed by a multivariable modelling that used time-varying covariates, propensity scores to adjust for potential treatment selection bias and death as a competing risk. Among 17,199 confirmed HCV patients, we observed 54 incident cases of PD/PKM during a mean follow-up period of 17 years; 3753 patients died during follow-up. There was no significant association between treatment status/outcome and risk of PD/PKM. Type 2 diabetes tripled risk (hazard ratio [HR] 3.05; 95% CI 1.75-5.32; p < .0001) and presence of cirrhosis doubled risk of PD/PKM (HR 2.13, 95% CI 1.31-3.47). BMI >30 was associated with roughly 50% lower risk of PD/PKM than BMI <25 (HR 0.43; 0.22-0.84; p = .0138). After adjustment for treatment selection bias, we did not observe a significant association between HCV patients' antiviral treatment status/outcome on risk of PD/PKM. Several clinical risk factors-diabetes, cirrhosis and BMI-were associated with PD/PKM.

Combined effects of hyponatremia and hepatic encephalopathy on inpatient mortality.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Although hyponatremia and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) are known independent predictors of mortality, their combined effect is unknown. We investigated whether the inpatient mortality differed among patients with both hyponatremia and HE compared to those with either hyponatremia or HE alone. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, data were extracted from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) to identify US adults (aged ≥18 years) with cirrhosis between January 1st, 2016, and December 31st, 2017. We analyzed the effects of hyponatremia, HE, or a combination of hyponatremia and HE on inpatient mortality using logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 309,841 cirrhosis-related admissions, 22,870 (7%) patients died during hospitalization. Those with a combination of hyponatremia and HE had higher mortality (14%) than those with HE only (11%), hyponatremia only (9%), and neither hyponatremia nor HE (6%) (p<0.001). When compared to patients without hyponatremia or HE, patients with both hyponatremia and HE had the highest odds (adjusted odds ratio or aOR) of inpatient mortality (aOR 1.90, 95% CI: 1.79 - 2.01) followed by patients with HE only (aOR 1.75, 95% CI: 1.69 - 1.82) and patients with hyponatremia only (aOR 1.17, 95% CI: 1.12 - 1.22). Patients with HE only had 50% higher odds of inpatient mortality when compared to those with hyponatremia only (aOR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.43 - 1.57). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide study, the presence of both hyponatremia and HE was associated with higher inpatient mortality than either hyponatremia or HE alone.

Use of the patient portal among older adults with diagnosed dementia and their care partners.

INTRODUCTION: Care partners are at the forefront of dementia care, yet little is known about patient portal use in the context of dementia diagnosis. METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study of date/time-stamped patient portal use for a 5-year period (October 3, 2017-October 2, 2022) at an academic health system. The cohort consisted of 3170 patients ages 65+ with diagnosed dementia with 2+ visits within 24 months. Message authorship was determined by manual review of 970 threads involving 3065 messages for 279 patients. RESULTS: Most (71.20%) older adults with diagnosed dementia were registered portal users but far fewer (10.41%) had a registered care partner with shared access. Care partners authored most (612/970, 63.09%) message threads, overwhelmingly using patient identity credentials (271/279, 97.13%). DISCUSSION: The patient portal is used by persons with dementia and their care partners. Organizational efforts that facilitate shared access may benefit the support of persons with dementia and their care partners. Highlights Patient portal registration and use has been increasing among persons with diagnosed dementia. Two thirds of secure messages from portal accounts of patients with diagnosed dementia were identified as being authored by care partners, primarily using patient login credentials. Care partners who accessed the patient portal using their own identity credentials through shared access demonstrate similar levels of activity to patients without dementia. Organizational initiatives should recognize and support the needs of persons with dementia and their care partners by encouraging awareness, registration, and use of proper identity credentials, including shared, or proxy, portal access.

Gender Differences in Liver Transplantation Outcomes in Polycystic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: In this study, our objective was to determine gender differences in the outcomes of patients with PLD undergoing liver (LT) or liver/kidney transplantation (SLK). METHODS: We analyzed the UNOS datasets of all adults who had transplanted for PLD between 1988 and 2018. RESULTS: During the study period, 663 LT/SLK (51% LT only and 49% SLK) were done for PLD patients and of these 500 (75%) were in women. Women were younger (52.8 vs. 56.7 years, p < 0.001), had lower MELD at transplant (16.6 vs. 19.4, p < 0.001), had higher serum albumin (3.7 vs. 3.5, p < 0.001), and had a lower CTP class (p < 0.008). During the follow-up, 18% (n = 89) women and 29% (n = 47) men died (p = 0.002). Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival estimates showed similar survival rate for patients who had LT and SLK (p = 0.459), but survival rate was significantly higher for women compared to men (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that female gender (aHR 0.54, 95% CI 0.33-0.90) was associated with a lower mortality. Moreover, Karnofsky Performance Status was excellent for 70% of women and 55% of men (p = 0.03) after LT. Women had better survival whether they received liver or SLK. The era of transplant, whether they were transplanted with MELD exception points or whether they were on dialysis at the time of transplant, did not have an effect on the gender differences in outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Women had 46% lower risk of mortality after adjusting for other covariates compared to men after LT/SLK for PLD.

Outcomes of status 1 liver transplantation for Budd-Chiari Syndrome with fulminant hepatic failure.

There is a paucity of data on the outcome of liver transplantation (LT) in Budd-Chiari Syndrome (BCS) patients who are listed as status 1. The objective of our study was to determine patient or graft survival following LT in status 1 BCS patients. We utilized United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database to identify all adult patients (> 18 years of age) listed as status 1 with a primary diagnosis of BCS in the United States from 1998 to 2018, and analyzed their outcomes and compared it to non-status 1 BCS patients. Four hundred and forty-six patients with BCS underwent LT between 1998 and 2018, and of these 55 (12.3%) were listed as status 1. There was no difference in long-term post-liver transplant or "intention-to-treat" survival from the time of listing to death or the last day of follow-up between status 1 and non-status 1 groups. Graft and patient survival at 5 years for status 1 patients were 75% and 82%, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that patients listed as status 1 (aHR: 0.45, p < .02) were associated with a better survival. BCS patients listed as status 1 have excellent survival following emergency LT.

A Scoring Model to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Patients With Budd-Chiari Syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: A model that can predict short-term mortality in patients with the Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) with a high degree of accuracy is currently lacking. The primary objective of our study was to develop an easy-to-use in-hospital mortality prediction model in patients with BCS using easily available clinical variables. METHODS: Data were extracted from the National Inpatient Sample to identify all adult patients with a listed diagnosis of BCS from 2008 to 2017 using ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes. After identifying independent risk factors of in-hospital mortality, we developed a prediction model using logistic regression analysis. The model was built and validated in a training and a validation data set, respectively. Using the model, we risk stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2017, we identified a total of 5,306 (weighted sample size 26,110) discharge diagnosis of patients with BCS, with an overall in-hospital mortality of 7.14%. The independent risk factors that predicted mortality were age of 50 years or older, ascites, sepsis, acute respiratory failure, acute liver failure, hepatorenal syndrome, and cancers. The mortality prediction model that incorporated these risk factors had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.95) for the training data and 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.92) for the validation data. Patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk scores had a predicted in-patient mortality of 4%, 30%, and 66%, respectively. DISCUSSION: Using a national administrative database, we developed a reliable in-patient mortality prediction model with an excellent accuracy. The model was able to risk stratify patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups.

Off-Label Use of Multitarget Stool DNA Testing in Primary Care.

INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the off-label use of multitarget stool DNA (mt-sDNA) testing in the primary care setting. METHODS: We reviewed all mt-sDNA orders between July 1, 2018, and June 30, 2019, to determine the frequency of off-label mt-sDNA orders. RESULTS: Nine hundred two patients with mt-sDNA orders were evaluated, of which 160/902 patients (17.7%) met at least 1 criterion for off-label mt-sDNA order. Increasing age was associated with off-label order (Odds Ratio [OR] 2.32 [95% CI, 1.86-2.89] for every 10-year increase in age, P < 0.0001). On multivariate analysis, increased age (OR 1.04 [1.02-1.06], P = 0.001) and need for diagnostic colonoscopy (OR 2.9 [1.01-8.34], P = 0.048) were associated with a positive mt-sDNA result. DISCUSSION: Off-label mt-sDNA testing is common, and further efforts are needed to educate patients and providers on appropriate use of mt-sDNA for colorectal cancer screening.

Two-Dose Hepatitis B Vaccine (Heplisav-B) Results in Better Seroconversion Than Three-Dose Vaccine (Engerix-B) in Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of the two-dose hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccine (Heplisav-B®) in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) is unknown. AIMS: To compare the immunogenicity achieved with Heplisav-B and the conventional three-dose vaccine (Engerix-B®) in patients with CLD, and to identify factors that predict seroconversion. METHODS: We retrospectively identified all adults who completed Heplisav-B or Engerix-B regimens from August 1, 2015, to January 31, 2019. Post-vaccination immunity was assessed by quantitative HBV surface antibody (HBsAb) measurement. RESULTS: We identified 166 patients (106 Engerix-B and 60 Heplisav-B) with chronic liver disease (mean age 59.0 ± 11.3 years, 52% male, 34% cirrhosis, mean MELD score of those with cirrhosis 10.1 ± 5.4) who had completed the vaccinations and had data available on post-vaccination HBsAb levels at least 2 months after completion of the vaccine regimen. Seroprotective HBsAb levels (> 10 mIU/ml) were achieved in 63% with Heplisav-B and in 45% with Engerix-B (p = 0.03). Univariable analysis showed that age (p = 0.01), insurance (p = 0.02), renal failure (p = 0.02), COPD (p = 0.05), and cirrhosis (p < 0.01) had a significant effect on achieving immunogenicity. On multivariable analysis, patients with cirrhosis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.27, 95% CI 0.13-0.55), COPD (aOR: 0.06, 95% CI 0.01-0.56), or renal failure (aOR 0.36, 95% CI 0.14-0.93) had a lower likelihood of achieving immunity, and patients who received Heplisav-B® had a 2.7-fold greater likelihood of achieving immunity than those who received Engerix-B® (aOR: 2.74, 95% CI 1.31-5.71). CONCLUSION: The two-dose recombinant hepatitis B vaccine resulted in better seroconversion than the three-dose vaccine. Cirrhosis, COPD, and renal failure were associated with a lower likelihood of achieving immunogenicity.

How Good Are Controlled Attenuation Parameter Scores from Fibroscan to Assess Steatosis, NASH, and Fibrosis?

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of our study was to determine the concordance rates of steatosis staging by controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) scores from transient elastography (TE) in comparison with liver histology in patients with chronic liver disease and to determine the optimal CAP cutoffs to predict the severity of steatosis and identify those with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). METHODS: Patients (n = 217) who had both CAP scores and liver biopsy within a period of 90 days were retrospectively studied. Histology was graded in a blinded fashion by a single pathologist; steatosis was graded on a scale from 0 to 3. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity scores (NAS) scores were calculated for all patients. Optimal CAP cut-points were selected by maximum Youden's index. RESULTS: Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for CAP (using cutoff value ≥ 278 dB/m) in differentiating steatosis 1-3 from 0 was 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.89), and 0.79 (95% CI 0.70-0.88) in differentiating steatosis 0-1 from 2 to 3 using CAP cutoff value ≥ 301 dB/m. With CAP cutoff value ≥ 301 dB/m, CAP identified NAS 3 or above with AUROC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.74-0.89). The AUROC for TE in differentiating fibrosis (cutoff 11.9 kPa) 3-4 from 0 to 2 was 0.85 (95% CI 0.77-0.92), and 0.84 (95% CI 0.74-0.93) in differentiating (cutoff 14.4 kPa) 4 from 0 to 3. CONCLUSIONS: Transient elastography is a good modality to accurately diagnose steatosis and NASH and can also differentiate advanced liver fibrosis from early stages.

Karnofsky Performance Status Following Liver Transplantation in Patients With Multiple Organ Failures and Probable Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about outcomes of patients who underwent liver transplantation for acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) and multiple organ failures. We compared Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) before and after liver transplantation among patients with different numbers of organ failures and probable ACLF. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of adults who underwent liver transplantation within 30 days of listing with the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) network from January 1, 2006, through September 30, 2016. We determined the prevalence of organ failures using a modified version of the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scale and collected KPS scores at the time of transplantation and at intervals of 3 to 12 months after liver transplantation. Multivariate analyses were performed to adjust for confounders including UNOS region. RESULTS: At the time of liver transplantation, 2838 patients had no organ failure, 2944 had 1 to 2 organ failures, and 1342 patients had 3 or more organ failures. KPS scores following liver transplantation improved significantly in all groups; scores ranged from 81 in patients with no organ failure to 72 in patients with 5 to 6 organ failures. Excellent performance status (KPS score, ≥80) by 1 year after transplantation was achieved by 60% of patients with 5 to 6 organ failures, 64% to 66% of patients with 3 to 4 organ failures, and 70% to 71% of patients with 1 to 2 organ failures, compared with 72.5% of patients without organ failure. Patients with 1 to 4 organ failure were more likely to achieve KPS scores of 80 or more than patients without organ failure, after we adjusted for other covariates and UNOS region. In addition, black patients were less likely, and patients with alcoholic cirrhosis were more likely, to have KPS scores of 80 or more after liver transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective cohort study of patients with probable ACLF who underwent liver transplantation within 30 days of listing with the UNOS network, 60% to 66% of patients with 3 or more organ failures achieved excellent performance 3 to 12 months later.

Use of HCV-Positive Livers in HCV-Negative Recipients.

INTRODUCTION: There are only limited data on the survival outcomes after transplanting HCV RNA-positive liver into HCV RNA-negative recipients. The objective of our study was to determine whether there were graft and patient survival differences when HCV-negative patients received HCV RNA (nucleic acid amplification testing [NAT] positive)-positive liver grafts. METHODS: We queried the United Network for Organ Sharing data sets from January 2014 to December 2018, and recipients (N = 24,724) were stratified into 6 groups based on the status of HCV antibody and RNA of recipients and donors. The Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate the relationship between groups and 1-year post-LT graft or patient survival. RESULTS: During the study period, 1,358 recipients received NAT-positive liver grafts. Two hundred ten of the recipients were HCV negative. During the same period, 707 HCV antibody-positive but NAT-negative grafts were transplanted into 516 HCV-positive and 191 HCV-negative recipients. There were no differences in survival in HCV-positive recipients whether they received NAT-positive grafts (n = 1,148) or HCV antibody-negative/NAT-negative grafts (n = 6,321). Recipients of grafts from HCV antibody-positive/NAT-negative donors had similar survival whether recipients were HCV-negative patients (n = 191) or HCV-positive patients (n = 516), and their survival probabilities were similar to those of HCV-negative recipients (n = 6,321) receiving grafts from HCV antibody-negative/NAT-negative donors. Patient survival was lower (P = 0.049) when HCV-negative recipients (n = 210) received NAT-positive grafts compared with HCV-positive patients (n = 1,148) receiving NAT-positive grafts; however, when adjusted for recipient and donor characteristics, the difference was not significant. DISCUSSION: HCV-negative recipients receiving HCV-positive liver grafts (NAT positive) have excellent 1-year survival outcomes.

Ursodeoxycholic Acid Treatment Preferentially Improves Overall Survival Among African Americans With Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: We used data from the Fibrotic Liver Disease Consortium to evaluate the impact of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment across race/ethnicity, gender, and clinical status among patients with primary biliary cholangitis. METHODS: Data were collected from "index date" (baseline) through December 31, 2016. Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting was used to adjust for UDCA treatment selection bias. Cox regression, focusing on UDCA-by-risk factor interactions, was used to assess the association between treatment and mortality and liver transplant/death. RESULTS: Among 4,238 patients with primary biliary cholangitis (13% men; 8% African American, 7% Asian American/American Indian/Pacific Island [ASINPI]; 21% Hispanic), 78% had ever received UDCA. The final multivariable model for mortality retained age, household income, comorbidity score, total bilirubin, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, and interactions of UDCA with race, gender, and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ≥1.1. Among untreated patients, African Americans and ASINPIs had higher mortality than whites (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.67 and aHR = 1.40, 95% CI 1.11-1.76, respectively). Among treated patients, this relationship was reversed (aHR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.51-0.86 and aHR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.67-1.16). Patterns were similar for liver transplant/death. UDCA reduced the risk of liver transplant/death in all patient groups and mortality across all groups except white women with aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ≥1.1. As compared to patients with low-normal bilirubin at baseline (≤0.4 mg/dL), those with high-normal (1.0 > 0.7) and mid-normal bilirubin (0.7 > 0.4) had significantly higher liver transplant/death and all-cause mortality. DISCUSSION: African American and ASINPI patients who did not receive UDCA had significantly higher mortality than white patients. Among African Americans, treatment was associated with significantly lower mortality. Regardless of UDCA treatment, higher baseline bilirubin, even within the normal range, was associated with increased mortality and liver transplant/death compared with low-normal levels.

A Combination of N-Acetylcysteine and Prednisone Has No Benefit Over Prednisone Alone in Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis: A Retrospective Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: In this study, we assessed whether there were any survival advantages with a combination treatment of intravenous N-acetylcysteine (NAC) and prednisone over prednisone alone in those with severe alcoholic hepatitis [discriminant function (DF) ≥ 32]. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between January 1, 2013, and February 28, 2019, we identified 68 patients (mean age 47.2 years ± 10.1, 57% women, 65% cirrhosis, MELD score 28.1 ± 6.6) with alcoholic hepatitis, and of those, 21 (31%) received prednisone and 47 (69%) received prednisone + NAC. Lille score ≥ 0.45 was considered a poor response. Renal insufficiency was defined as GFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 calculated on two separate occasions. RESULTS: DF (74.2 ± 33.6 vs. 56.9 ± 15.9, p = 0.09) was similar, but MELD (29.2 ± 6.3 vs. 25.5 ± 6.4, p = 0.03) scores were higher in the combination group. The overall 30-day and 90-day mortality was 13.2% (9/68) and 20.6% (14/68), respectively. Women were more likely (OR 4.86, 95% CI 1.62-14.59) to respond to treatment based on Lille score compared to men, but the type of treatment regimen had no effect on Lille score (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.25-2.78). Treatment regimen had no effect on both adjusted and unadjusted survivals. Multivariate analysis, after adjusting for confounding variables, confirmed these observations. DF + renal insufficiency had the highest AUROC (0.86) to predict mortality. CONCLUSION: The combination treatment of NAC + prednisone is not better than prednisone alone in patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

Adjuvant ribavirin and longer direct-acting antiviral treatment duration improve sustained virological response among hepatitis C patients at risk of treatment failure.

The role of ribavirin (RBV) in the era of direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is not clear, and DAA studies have been largely genotype- and regimen-specific. Using data from the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study, we evaluated the role of RBV and increased DAA treatment duration among patients with chronic hepatitis C (HCV) in routine clinical care. We performed multivariable analysis of data from 4133 patients receiving any of the following: sofosbuvir (SOF); daclatasvir + SOF; grazoprevir + elbasvir; paritaprevir/ritonavir + ombitasvir; simeprevir + SOF; and SOF + ledipasvir; SOF + velpatasvir ± voxilaprevir; and glecaprevir + pibrentasvir-all with/ without RBV. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to adjust for treatment selection bias. Sustained virological response (SVR) was defined by undetectable HCV RNA 12 weeks after end of therapy. The overall SVR rate was 95%. Mean treatment duration was 12 ± 4.5 weeks. The final model included treatment duration and diabetes, as well as the interaction of RBV with previous treatment status (treatment naïve, interferon treatment failure [TF] or previous DAA TF), cirrhosis status, and HCV genotype (GT). Each one-month increment of treatment duration increased odds of SVR by 99% (aOR = 1.99). Diabetes, previous DAA TF, and decompensated cirrhosis significantly reduced odds of SVR. RBV significantly increased the likelihood of SVR among patients with decompensated cirrhosis (aOR = 5.05), previous DAA treatment failure (aOR = 5.43), and GT3 (aOR = 13.28). Among RBV-free regimens, patients with GT3 were less likely to achieve SVR than those with GT1 or 2 (aOR 0.07). Diabetes, decompensated cirrhosis, and prior DAA TF independently reduced the likelihood of SVR. Longer treatment duration increased likelihood of SVR. Conclusion: RBV increased likelihood of SVR among patients with GT3, previous DAA TF, or decompensated cirrhosis.

Sustained virological response does not improve long-term glycaemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Sustained virological response to treatment for chronic hepatitis C virus may improve short-term glucose control among patients with type 2 diabetes, but the long-term impact remains largely unknown. We used data from the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study to investigate the impact of sustained virological response on long-term trends in haemoglobin A1c in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: "Index date" was defined as the date of treatment initiation (treated patients) or hepatitis C virus diagnosis (untreated patients). To address treatment selection bias, we used a propensity score approach. We used a piecewise, linear spline, mixed-effects model to evaluate changes in haemoglobin A1c over a 5-year period. RESULTS: Our sample included 384 hepatitis C virus patients with type 2 diabetes (192 untreated, 192 treated, with sustained virological response or treatment failure). After adjusting for body mass index, haemoglobin A1c was stable among untreated and treatment failure patients. In sustained virological response patients, Hb1Ac trajectories evolved in three phases: (a) index through 6 months post-index, average haemoglobin A1c decreased significantly from 7.7% to 5.4% per 90 days (P < 0.001); (b) 6-30 months post-index, haemoglobin A1c rebounded at a rate of 1.5% every 90 days (P = 0.003); and (c) from 30 months onward, haemoglobin A1c stabilized at an average level of 7.9 (P-value = 0.34). Results from an analysis restricted to patients receiving direct-acting antivirals were consistent with the main findings. CONCLUSION: Successful hepatitis C virus treatment among patients with type 2 diabetes significantly reduces HbA1c shortly after treatment, but these decreases are not sustained long-term. Less than three years after sustained virological response, haemoglobin A1c rebounds to levels similar to untreated/treatment failure patients, and higher than recommended for type 2 diabetic maintenance.

Increasing Prevalence of Primary Biliary Cholangitis and Reduced Mortality With Treatment.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are few data from longitudinal studies of trends in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) among patients under routine clinical care in the United States. We collected data from the Fibrotic Liver Disease consortium to investigate changes in the incidence and prevalence of PBC and the effects of patient demographics, clinical features, and treatment on mortality. METHODS: We collected demographic and clinical data for the general patient population as well as PBC patients receiving care from 11 health systems in different regions of the United States (Northeast, Midwest, Northwest, and South) from January 1, 2003, through December 31, 2014. Annual percentage changes in PBC prevalence and incidence were estimated using join-point Poisson regression. Differences based on race, age, and gender were calculated with rate ratios. All-cause mortality was estimated using Cox regression with adjustment for patient characteristics and treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). Propensity scores were used to adjust for treatment selection bias. Analyses were adjusted by geographic regions. RESULTS: In our racially diverse cohort of 3488 patients with PBC (21% Hispanic, 8% African American, 7% Asian American), 70% had ever received UDCA. From 2006 through 2014, the prevalence of PBC increased from 21.7 to 39.2 per 100,000 persons. Adjusted annual percentage changes in prevalence differed among age groups (≤40 y, 41-50 y, 51-60 y, 61-70 y, and >70 y), ranging from 3.0% to 7.5% (P < .05). Incidence did not change significantly during the study period (4.2 vs 4.3 per 100,000 person-years in 2006 and 2014, respectively; P = .98). Ratios of prevalence for women vs men (3.9:1) and incidence for women vs men (3.2:1) were consistent over the study period. Among African Americans, the prevalence of PBC increased from 16.9 to 30.8 per 100,000 during the study period, and annual incidence ranged from 2.6 to 6.6 per 100,000 person-years. In adjusted analyses, an increased level of alkaline phosphatase at baseline was associated with significantly higher mortality (adjusted hazard ratios [aHR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.04-1.48 for patients with levels 1-2 times the upper limit of normal and aHR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.88-2.73 for patients with levels more than 3 times the upper limit of normal). UDCA treatment was associated with significantly reduced mortality (aHR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.52-0.64). CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of data from patients receiving routine clinical care in Fibrotic Liver Disease Consortium health systems, we found that the prevalence of PBC increased from 2004 through 2014, despite steady incidence. Patient demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as UDCA treatment, affected mortality.

Long-term progression of viral load and serum markers of fibrosis among treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Antiviral therapy for patients with hepatitis B (HBV) infection is generally deferred for "immune inactive" patients, although longitudinal changes in viral load and liver fibrosis remain understudied in this population. Likewise, in treated patients, the temporal relationship between changes in viral load and liver fibrosis is not well characterized. Using data from the chronic hepatitis cohort study, the study investigated viral load and the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB4, a serum-based marker of liver fibrosis) trajectories in both untreated and treated HBV patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We applied a bivariate, piecewise, linear spline, mixed-effects modeling approach to data from 766 HBV patients (342 untreated, 424 treated). Treatment selection bias was adjusted using propensity scores. Multiple sensitivity analyses were used to confirm results in untreated patients. RESULTS: Among all untreated patients, FIB4 began to increase by 0.9% per month (11% per year; P < 0.05) at 28 months post-index date, suggesting fibrosis progression. Significant FIB4 progression was also observed in a subgroup analysis of "immune inactive" untreated patients. In treated patients, viral load declined 31.8% per month (P < 0.05) for the first 5 months after treatment initiation, and 1.4-1.7% per month (P < 0.05) thereafter. At 5 months after treatment initiation, FIB4 began to decline 0.5% per month (P < 0.05), stabilizing at 28 months. CONCLUSION: Among untreated HBV patients, FIB4 gradually increases over time, suggesting fibrosis progression, even in those patients designated as immune inactive. In treated patients, antiviral therapy results in a rapid decline in viral load followed by a delayed decline in markers of liver fibrosis.

All-Cause Mortality and Progression Risks to Hepatic Decompensation and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients Infected With Hepatitis C Virus.

BACKGROUND: A key question in care of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is beginning treatment immediately vs delaying treatment. Risks of mortality and disease progression in "real world" settings are important to assess the implications of delaying HCV treatment. METHODS: This was a cohort study of HCV patients identified from 4 integrated health systems in the United States who had liver biopsies during 2001-2012. The probabilities of death and progression to hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic decompensation (hepatic encephalopathy, esophageal varices, ascites, or portal hypertension) or liver transplant were estimated over 1, 2, or 5 years by fibrosis stage (Metavir F0-F4) determined by biopsy at beginning of observation. RESULTS: Among 2799 HCV-monoinfected patients who had a qualifying liver biopsy, the mean age at the time of biopsy was 50.7 years. The majority were male (58.9%) and non-Hispanic white (66.9%). Over a mean observation of 5.0 years, 261 (9.3%) patients died and 34 (1.2%) received liver transplants. At 5 years after biopsy, the estimated risk of progression to hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma was 37.2% in stage F4, 19.6% in F3, 4.7% in F2, and 2.3% in F0-F1 patients. Baseline biopsy stage F3 or F4 and platelet count below normal were the strongest predictors of progression to hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: The risks of death and progression to liver failure varied greatly by fibrosis stage. Clinicians and policy makers could use these progression risk data in prioritization and in determining the timing of treatment for patients in early stages of liver disease.

Serum Biomarkers Indicate Long-term Reduction in Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Sustained Virological Response to Treatment for HCV Infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sustained virological response (SVR) to antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) correlates with changes in biochemical measures of liver function. However, little is known about the long-term effects of SVR on liver fibrosis. We investigated the effects of HCV therapy on fibrosis, based on the Fibrosis-4 (FIB4) score, over a 10-year period. METHODS: We collected data from participants in the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study-a large observational multicenter study of patients with hepatitis at 4 US health systems-from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2013. We calculated patients' FIB4 score and the aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score over a 10-year period. Of 4731 patients with HCV infection, 1657 (35%) were treated and 755 (46%) of these patients achieved SVR. RESULTS: In propensity score-adjusted analyses, we observed significant longitudinal changes in FIB4 score that varied with treatment and response to treatment. In patients achieving SVR, FIB4 scores decreased sharply, remaining significantly lower over the 10-year period than in untreated patients or patients with treatment failure (P < .001). In independent analyses, men and patients with HCV genotype 1 or 3 infections had higher FIB4 scores than women or patients with HCV genotype 2 infections (P < .01 for both). Findings were similar in a sensitivity analysis that substituted the APRI as the marker of fibrosis instead of the FIB4 score. CONCLUSIONS: SVR to HCV treatment appears to induce long-term regression of fibrosis based on FIB4 scores collected over 10 years from a large observational study of US hepatitis patients. Patients receiving no treatment or with treatment failure had progressive increases in FIB4 scores.