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BACKGROUND: Prior studies have reported that renal insufficiency occurs in a small percentage of patients with predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) and in about 2% of patients with common variable immunodeficiency. OBJECTIVE: The goal of our study was to understand and evaluate the prevalence and type of renal complications in patients with PAD in the United States Immunodeficiency Network (USIDNET) cohort. We hypothesized that there is an association between certain renal complications and severity of immunophenotype in patients with PAD. METHODS: We performed a query of patients with PAD from the USIDNET cohort with renal complications. Patients with documented renal disease such as chronic kidney disease (CKD), nephrolithiasis, nephritis, and renal failure syndrome were included. We compared immunophenotype, flow cytometry findings, and immunoglobulin levels of patients with PAD accompanied by renal complications with those of the total USIDNET cohort of patients with PAD. RESULTS: We determined that 140 of 2071 patients with PAD (6.8%) had renal complications. Of these 140 patients, 50 (35.7%) had CKD, 46 (32.9%) had nephrolithiasis, 18 (12.9 %) had nephritis, and 50 (35.7%) had other renal complications. Compared with the total USIDNET cohort of patients with PAD, patients with CKD had lower absolute lymphocyte counts, CD3+ T-cell counts, CD4+ T-cell counts, CD19+ B-cell counts, CD20+ B-cell counts, and CD27+IgD- B-cell counts (P < .05 for all). Patients with nephritis had lower absolute lymphocyte counts, CD19+ B-cell counts, CD27+ B-cell counts, and IgE levels (P < .05 for all) than patients with PAD without renal disease. CONCLUSIONS: We determined that 6.8% of the USIDNET cohort of patients with PAD had a documented renal complication. Compared with the overall cohort of patients with PAD, those patients with nephritis and CKD had a more severe immunophenotype.
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Síndromes de Imunodeficiência , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Síndromes de Imunodeficiência/imunologia , Síndromes de Imunodeficiência/epidemiologia , Síndromes de Imunodeficiência/complicações , Nefropatias/imunologia , Nefropatias/etiologia , Nefropatias/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Adolescente , Imunofenotipagem , Adulto Jovem , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , CriançaRESUMO
Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measures individual well-being across physical, psychological, and social domains. Patients with predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) are at risk for morbidity and mortality, however, the effect of these complications on HRQoL requires additional study. Patients with PAD were asked to voluntarily complete the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) HRQoL-14 Healthy Days Measure questionnaire. These results were compared to data from the CDC-initiated Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), a cross-sectional questionnaire including questions from CDC-HRQOL-14. Statistical analyses included two-proportion Z-test, t-tests, and analysis of variance. 83 patients with PAD completed the survey. Patients were sub-stratified into mild (23.7%), moderate (35.5%), severe (40.8%), and secondary (8.4%) PAD. "Fair or poor" health status was reported in 52.6% of PAD patients. Mental health challenges ≥ 14 days/month occurred in 25% of patients. Physical health issues ≥ 14 days/month was reported in 44.7% of patients. Activity limitations were noted by 80.3% of patients. There were no statistically significant differences by PAD severity. Patients with autoimmune and inflammatory disease co-morbidities reported more mental health challenges compared to those without (78% vs. 54.3%, p = 0.02). Compared to the CDC-BRFSS data, significantly more patients with PAD reported "fair or poor" health status (53% vs 12.0%; p < 0.0001), mental health challenges (24.1% vs 14.7%; p = 0.02), and poor physical health (44.6% vs 8.0%; p < 0.0001). Patients with PAD had significantly reduced HRQoL compared to CDC-BRFSS respondents from a similar geographical region. Decreased HRQoL was prevalent across all PAD severity levels. Additional research is needed to improve HRQoL for patients with PAD.
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Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Inquéritos e Questionários , Nível de Saúde , Idoso , Adulto Jovem , Síndromes de Imunodeficiência/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , AdolescenteRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hydroxychloroquine is recommended for all patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and is often used for other inflammatory conditions, but a critical long-term adverse effect is vision-threatening retinopathy. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the long-term risk for incident hydroxychloroquine retinopathy and examine the degree to which average hydroxychloroquine dose within the first 5 years of treatment predicts this risk. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: U.S. integrated health network. PARTICIPANTS: All patients aged 18 years or older who received hydroxychloroquine for 5 or more years between 2004 and 2020 and had guideline-recommended serial retinopathy screening. MEASUREMENTS: Hydroxychloroquine dose was assessed from pharmacy dispensing records. Incident hydroxychloroquine retinopathy was assessed by central adjudication of spectral domain optical coherence tomography with severity assessment (mild, moderate, or severe). Risk for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy was estimated over 15 years of use according to hydroxychloroquine weight-based dose (>6, 5 to 6, or ≤5 mg/kg per day) using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. RESULTS: Among 3325 patients in the primary study population, 81 developed hydroxychloroquine retinopathy (56 mild, 17 moderate, and 8 severe), with overall cumulative incidences of 2.5% and 8.6% at 10 and 15 years, respectively. The cumulative incidences of retinopathy at 15 years were 21.6% for higher than 6 mg/kg per day, 11.4% for 5 to 6 mg/kg per day, and 2.7% for 5 mg/kg per day or lower. The corresponding risks for moderate to severe retinopathy at 15 years were 5.9%, 2.4%, and 1.1%, respectively. LIMITATION: Possible misclassifications of dose due to nonadherence to filled prescriptions. CONCLUSION: In this large, contemporary cohort with active surveillance retinopathy screening, the overall risk for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy was 8.6% after 15 years, and most cases were mild. Higher hydroxychloroquine dose was associated with progressively greater risk for incident retinopathy. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.
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Antirreumáticos , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Doenças Retinianas , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Antirreumáticos/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Coortes , Doenças Retinianas/induzido quimicamente , Doenças Retinianas/diagnóstico , Doenças Retinianas/tratamento farmacológico , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
This study of an academic medical center patient cohort with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) investigates the association between hydroxychloroquine dose based on current guidelines and risk of lupus flares.
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Antirreumáticos , Oftalmopatias , Hidroxicloroquina , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Oftalmologia , Exacerbação dos Sintomas , Antirreumáticos/efeitos adversos , Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Oftalmopatias/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/administração & dosagem , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/tratamento farmacológico , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/prevenção & controle , Oftalmologia/normas , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto/normas , RiscoRESUMO
Importance: The major toxic effect of hydroxychloroquine is retinopathy. Thus, current guidelines recommend limiting the dose and screening annually for retinopathy among all long-term users, but individual patient factors may be associated with retinopathy risk. Objective: To identify risk factors beyond hydroxychloroquine dose and duration of use for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study of 4677 patients in the Kaiser Permanente Northern California integrated health network who initiated hydroxychloroquine, continued treatment, and underwent retinopathy screening after 5 years of use was conducted from July 1, 1997, to December 31, 2020, with up to 15 years of follow-up. Statistical analysis was performed in August 2023. Exposure: Candidate risk factors included age at hydroxychloroquine initiation, sex, race and ethnicity, indications, chronic kidney disease (CKD), liver disease, diabetes, tamoxifen use, and medications that interact with hydroxychloroquine metabolism. Hydroxychloroquine dose was assessed from pharmacy dispensing records. Main Outcome and Measures: Incident hydroxychloroquine retinopathy was adjudicated from masked review of guideline-recommended screening studies and classified as parafoveal or pericentral pattern. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess potential risk factors for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy within 15 years of initiation. Results: Of 4677 long-term hydroxychloroquine users (mean [SD] age at initiation, 52.4 [14.1] years; 3877 women [82.9%]), 125 patients developed hydroxychloroquine retinopathy within 15 years (102 parafoveal, 23 pericentral). Older age at time of hydroxychloroquine initiation was associated with retinopathy risk, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.48 (95% CI, 1.28-4.78) for those aged 45 to 54 years, 3.82 (95% CI, 2.05-7.14) for those aged 55 to 64 years, and 5.68 (95% CI, 2.99-10.79) for those aged 65 years or older compared with those younger than 45 years. The risk of retinopathy was higher among females than males (HR, 3.83 [95% CI, 1.86-7.89]), among patients with CKD stage 3 or greater (HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.25-3.04]), and among individuals with tamoxifen use (HR, 3.43 [95% CI, 1.08-10.89]). The likelihood of pericentral retinopathy was higher among Asian patients (HR, 15.02 [95% CI, 4.82-46.87]) and Black patients (HR, 5.51 [95% CI, 1.22-24.97]) compared with non-Hispanic White patients. Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that increasing age, female sex, CKD stage 3 or greater, and tamoxifen use were associated with a higher risk of hydroxychloroquine retinopathy, whereas being younger than 45 years at hydroxychloroquine initiation and male sex were associated with a lower risk. Race and ethnicity were also associated with the pattern of retinopathy. These factors should be incorporated into hydroxychloroquine dosing decisions.
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Hidroxicloroquina , Doenças Retinianas , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças Retinianas/induzido quimicamente , Doenças Retinianas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Adulto , California/epidemiologia , Antirreumáticos/efeitos adversosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine the impact of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) dose on the risk of hospitalizations for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: We conducted a case-crossover study within an academic health system, including patients with SLE who used HCQ and had ≥1 hospitalization for active SLE between January 2011 and December 2021. Case periods ended in hospitalization for SLE, whereas control periods did not. The exposures were the average weight-based HCQ dose, categorized as ≤5 or >5 mg/kg/day, and non-weight-based HCQ dose, categorized as <400 or 400 mg/day, assessed during each six-month case or control period. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using conditional logistic regression and adjusted for prior disease activity, kidney function, glucocorticoid use, and other immunosuppressant use. RESULTS: Of 2,974 patients with SLE who used HCQ (mean age 36.5 years; 92% female), 584 had ≥1 hospitalization with primary discharge diagnosis of SLE. Of these, 122 had ≥1 hospitalization for active SLE while using HCQ and had ≥1 control period with HCQ use during the study period. Lower HCQ weight-based dose (≤5 vs >5 mg/kg/day) and non-weight-based dose (<400 vs 400 mg/day) were each associated with increased hospitalizations for active SLE (adjusted OR 4.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45-12.19, and adjusted OR 3.39, 95% CI 1.31-8.81). CONCLUSION: The use of lower doses of HCQ was associated with an increased risk of hospitalizations for active SLE. Although the long-term risk of HCQ retinopathy must be acknowledged, this must be balanced with the short-term and cumulative risks of increased SLE activity.
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Antirreumáticos , Hospitalização , Hidroxicloroquina , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/uso terapêutico , Hidroxicloroquina/administração & dosagem , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/tratamento farmacológico , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto , Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , Antirreumáticos/administração & dosagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Cross-Over , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Estudos de Casos e ControlesRESUMO
Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measures individual well-being across physical, psychological, and social domains. Patients with predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) are at risk for morbidity and mortality, however, the effect of these complications on HRQoL requires additional study. Patients with PAD were asked to voluntarily complete the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) HRQoL-14 Healthy Days Measure questionnaire. These results were compared to data from the CDC-initiated Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), a cross-sectional questionnaire including questions from CDC-HRQOL-14. Statistical analyses included two-proportion Z-test, t-tests, and analysis of variance. 83 patients with PAD completed the survey. Patients were sub-stratified into mild (23.7%), moderate (35.5%), severe (40.8%), and secondary (8.4%) PAD. "Fair or poor" health status was reported in 52.6% of PAD patients. Mental health challenges ≥ 14 days/month occurred in 25% of patients. Physical health issues ≥ 14 days/month was reported in 44.7% of patients. Activity limitations were noted by 80.3% of patients. There were no statistically significant differences by PAD severity. Patients with autoinflammatory disease co-morbidities reported more mental health challenges compared to those without (78% vs. 54.3%, p = 0.02). Compared to the CDC-BRFSS data, significantly more patients with PAD reported "fair or poor" health status (53% vs 12.0%; p < 0.0001), mental health challenges (24.1% vs 14.7%; p = 0.02), and poor physical health (44.6% vs 8.0%; p < 0.0001). Patients with PAD had significantly reduced HRQoL compared to CDC-BRFSS respondents from a similar geographical region. Decreased HRQoL was prevalent across all PAD severity levels. Additional research is needed to improve HRQoL for patients with PAD.
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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the serum urate (SU) change among gout patients initiating SGLT2i, and to compare with sulfonylurea, the second-most widely used glucose-lowering medication after metformin. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of patients with gout and baseline SU >6 mg/dL who had SU measured within 90 days before and after SGLT2i or sulfonylurea initiation. Using multivariable linear regression, we compared SU change among SGLT2i initiators between those with and without diabetes and then compared SU change between SGLT2i and sulfonylurea. RESULTS: We identified 28 patients with gout initiating SGLT2i (including 16 with diabetes) and 28 patients initiating sulfonylurea (all with diabetes). Among SGLT2i initiators, the mean within-group SU change was -1.8 (95â¯% CI, -2.4 to -1.1) mg/dL, including -1.2 (-1.8 to -0.6) mg/dL and -2.5 (-3.6 to -1.3) mg/dL among patients with and without diabetes, respectively, with an adjusted difference between those with and without diabetes of -1.4 (-2.4 to -0.5) mg/dL. The SU did not change after initiating sulfonylurea (+0.3 [-0.3 to 1.0] mg/dL). The adjusted SU change difference between SGLT2i vs. sulfonylurea initiation was -1.8 (-2.7 to -0.9) mg/dL in all patients. The SU reduction persisted regardless of urate-lowering therapy or diuretic use and the presence of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or heart failure. CONCLUSION: Among patients with gout, SGLT2i was associated with a notable reduction in SU compared with sulfonylurea, with a larger reduction among patients without diabetes. With their proven cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic benefits, adding SGLT2i to current gout management could provide streamlined benefits for gout and its comorbidities.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Gota , Inibidores do Transportador 2 de Sódio-Glicose , Compostos de Sulfonilureia , Ácido Úrico , Humanos , Gota/tratamento farmacológico , Gota/sangue , Masculino , Feminino , Ácido Úrico/sangue , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inibidores do Transportador 2 de Sódio-Glicose/uso terapêutico , Compostos de Sulfonilureia/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Resultado do Tratamento , Estudos de CoortesRESUMO
Background: Patients with predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) have lower anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike antibody levels after initial 2-dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccination than healthy controls do; however, the anti-spike antibody responses and neutralization function in patients with PAD following subsequent immunizations remain understudied. Objective: We sought to characterize anti-spike antibody responses in adults with PAD over the course of 5 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses and identify diagnostic and immunophenotypic risk factors for low antibody response. Methods: We evaluated anti-spike antibody levels in 117 adult patients with PAD and 192 adult healthy controls following a maximum of 5 SARS-CoV-2 immunizations. We assessed neutralization of the SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strain and the Omicron BA.5 variant and analyzed infection outcomes. Results: The patients with PAD had significantly lower mean anti-spike antibody levels after 3 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses than the healthy controls did (1,439.1 vs 21,890.4 U/mL [P < .0001]). Adults with secondary PAD, severe primary PAD, and high-risk immunophenotypes had lower mean anti-spike antibody levels following vaccine doses 2, 3, and/or 4 but not following vaccine dose 5. Compared with patients with mild and moderate PAD, patients with severe PAD had a higher rate of increase in anti-spike antibody levels over 5 immunizations. A strong positive correlation was observed between anti-spike antibody levels and neutralization of both the SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strain and the Omicron BA.5 variant. Most infections were managed on an outpatient basis. Conclusions: In all of the patients with PAD, anti-spike antibody levels increased with successive SARS-CoV-2 immunizations and were correlated with neutralization of both the SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strain and the Omicron BA.5 variant. Secondary PAD, severe primary PAD, and high-risk immunophenotypes were correlated with lower mean anti-spike antibody levels following vaccine doses 2 through 4. Patients with severe PAD had the highest rate of increase in anti-spike antibody levels over 5 immunizations. These data suggest a clinical benefit to sequential SARS-CoV-2 immunizations, particularly among high-risk patients with PAD.
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OBJECTIVE: We investigated the comparative risk of infection with belimumab versus oral immunosuppressants for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Using observational data from a US multicenter electronic health record database, we identified patients with SLE but without lupus nephritis who initiated belimumab, azathioprine, methotrexate, or mycophenolate between 2011 and 2021. We designed and emulated hypothetical target trials to estimate the cumulative incidence and hazard ratios (HRs) of serious infection and hospitalization for serious infection comparing belimumab versus each oral immunosuppressant. We used propensity score overlap weighting to balance baseline covariates and adjusted for adherence to treatment group using inverse probability of treatment weighting. We also assessed the control outcome of traumatic injury. RESULTS: Among 21,481 patients, we compared 2841 and 6343 initiators of belimumab and azathioprine, 2642 and 8242 initiators of belimumab and methotrexate, and 2813 and 8407 initiators of belimumab and mycophenolate, respectively. After propensity score overlap weighting, all covariates were balanced in each comparison. The mean age of the cohort was 45 years, and 94% were women. Compared with azathioprine and mycophenolate, belimumab was associated with lower risks of both serious infection (HR 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.92 and HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.61-0.78) and hospitalization for infection (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.57-0.94 and HR 0.56 95% CI 0.43-0.71). The risk of infection was also lower for belimumab compared with methotrexate (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.76-0.97). There were no differences in traumatic injury risks across treatment groups. CONCLUSION: Belimumab was associated with lower risks of serious infection than with oral immunosuppressants. This finding should inform risk/benefit considerations for SLE treatment.
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Imunossupressores , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Imunossupressores/efeitos adversos , Azatioprina/uso terapêutico , Metotrexato/uso terapêutico , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/tratamento farmacológico , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Data regarding response to SARS-CoV-2 immunization in pediatric patients with predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) is limited. We evaluated SARS-CoV-2 immunization response by anti-SARS-CoV-2-spike antibody level in 15 pediatric PAD patients. These data were compared to a published cohort of adult PAD patients (n=62) previously analyzed following SARS-CoV-2 immunization at our single center institution. We evaluated demographics, clinical characteristics, immunophenotype, infection history, and past medication use by chart review. Following a two-dose monovalent initial series SARS-CoV-2 immunization, mean anti-SARS-CoV-2-spike antibody levels were significantly higher in pediatric PAD patients compared to adult PAD patients (2,890.7 vs. 140.1 U/mL; p<0.0001). Pediatric PAD patients with low class-switched memory B-cells, defined as <2% of total CD19+ B-cells, had significantly lower mean anti-SARS-CoV-2-spike antibody levels than those without (p=0.02). Following a third-dose monovalent SARS-CoV-2 immunization, the mean anti-SARS-CoV-2-spike antibody levels in pediatric PAD patients significantly increased (2,890.7 to 18,267.2 U/mL; p<0.0001). These data support Centers for Disease Control guidelines regarding three-part SARS-CoV-2 vaccine series, including in the pediatric PAD patient demographic.
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COVID-19 , Doenças da Imunodeficiência Primária , Vacinas , Adulto , Humanos , Criança , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação , Anticorpos AntiviraisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Thalidomide is an effective treatment for refractory Crohn's disease (CD). However, thalidomide-induced peripheral neuropathy (TiPN), which has a large individual variation, is a major cause of treatment failure. TiPN is rarely predictable and recognized, especially in CD. It is necessary to develop a risk model to predict TiPN occurrence. AIM: To develop and compare a predictive model of TiPN using machine learning based on comprehensive clinical and genetic variables. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 164 CD patients from January 2016 to June 2022 was used to establish the model. The National Cancer Institute Common Toxicity Criteria Sensory Scale (version 4.0) was used to assess TiPN. With 18 clinical features and 150 genetic variables, five predictive models were established and evaluated by the confusion matrix receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), specificity, sensitivity (recall rate), precision, accuracy, and F1 score. RESULTS: The top-ranking five risk variables associated with TiPN were interleukin-12 rs1353248 [P = 0.0004, odds ratio (OR): 8.983, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.497-30.90], dose (mg/d, P = 0.002), brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) rs2030324 (P = 0.001, OR: 3.164, 95%CI: 1.561-6.434), BDNF rs6265 (P = 0.001, OR: 3.150, 95%CI: 1.546-6.073) and BDNF rs11030104 (P = 0.001, OR: 3.091, 95%CI: 1.525-5.960). In the training set, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extremely random trees (ET), random forest, logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) obtained AUROC values > 0.90 and AUPRC > 0.87. Among these models, XGBoost and GBDT obtained the first two highest AUROC (0.90 and 1), AUPRC (0.98 and 1), accuracy (0.96 and 0.98), precision (0.90 and 0.95), F1 score (0.95 and 0.98), specificity (0.94 and 0.97), and sensitivity (1). In the validation set, XGBoost algorithm exhibited the best predictive performance with the highest specificity (0.857), accuracy (0.818), AUPRC (0.86) and AUROC (0.89). ET and GBDT obtained the highest sensitivity (1) and F1 score (0.8). Overall, compared with other state-of-the-art classifiers such as ET, GBDT and RF, XGBoost algorithm not only showed a more stable performance, but also yielded higher ROC-AUC and PRC-AUC scores, demonstrating its high accuracy in prediction of TiPN occurrence. CONCLUSION: The powerful XGBoost algorithm accurately predicts TiPN using 18 clinical features and 14 genetic variables. With the ability to identify high-risk patients using single nucleotide polymorphisms, it offers a feasible option for improving thalidomide efficacy in CD patients.
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Doença de Crohn , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico , Humanos , Talidomida/efeitos adversos , Doença de Crohn/diagnóstico , Doença de Crohn/tratamento farmacológico , Fator Neurotrófico Derivado do Encéfalo , População do Leste Asiático , Estudos Retrospectivos , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico/induzido quimicamente , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico/diagnóstico , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso Periférico/epidemiologia , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests that periodontal disease is associated with increased lung cancer risk, but whether periodontal pathogens are explanatory is unknown. We prospectively studied associations of prediagnostic circulating antibodies with oral bacteria and of periodontal bacteria in subgingival plaque with lung cancer. METHODS: We included 4,263 cancer-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with previously measured serum IgG antibodies to 18 oral bacteria. In 1,287 participants for whom subgingival plaque was collected, counts for 8 periodontal bacteria were previously measured. Incident lung cancers (N = 118) were ascertained through 2015 (median follow-up = 17.5 years). We used Cox regression to estimate multivariable-adjusted associations, including for sums of antibodies to orange (C. rectus, F. nucleatum, P. intermedia, P. micra, and P. nigrescens) and red (P. gingivalis, T. forsythensis, and T. denticola) complex bacteria. RESULTS: Orange complex bacteria antibodies were positively associated with lung cancer [per IQR hazard ratios (HR) = 1.15; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.02-1.29], which was stronger in men (HR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.08-1.49), and explained by P. intermedia and P. nigrescens (HR = 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04-1.26). Suggestive positive associations with lung cancer (N = 40) were observed for F. nucleatum, A. actinomycetemcomitans, and P. gingivalis counts. Significant positive associations were found for the count to antibody ratio for P. intermedia and P. gingivalis. CONCLUSIONS: We identified positive associations with lung cancer for oral bacteria, especially orange complex that are moderately pathogenic for periodontal disease. IMPACT: This prospective study supports the need for more research on periodontal bacteria in lung cancer etiology. If associations are supported, this may inform novel lung cancer prevention strategies.