A Prospective Questionnaire-Based Study Evaluating Genetic Literacy and Impact of Brief Educational Intervention Among Breast Cancer Patients in a Low- to Middle-Income Country.

INTRODUCTION: A significant proportion of breast cancer cases are hereditary and are potentially preventable. However, adoption of the preventive measures remains a significant challenge, particularly because of to lack of knowledge and awareness in low- to middle-income countries. METHODS: This prospective study conducted at a high-volume tertiary care cancer center in North India to assess the knowledge, awareness, and attitudes of female breast cancer patients and impact of a brief educational intervention. The study involved three phases: pre-interventional assessment, educational intervention, and post-interventional assessment utilizing a structured questionnaire. RESULTS: The study involved 300 newly diagnosed breast cancer patients; 16.7% were familial. At the outset, 87.0% patients had low knowledge of risk factors, 90.3% about screening, and 32.7% about treatment. Awareness levels were low: 13.7% aware of familial risk and 2.7% of breast cancer genes. Affordability of genetic testing was low (15.2%), and interest in testing for self and family members was limited (32.0% and 26.3%). Following educational intervention, a significant positive percentage change was noticed in knowledge (risk factors: 12.8%, screening: 36.2%, treatment: 82%), awareness (familial risk: 66.7%, BRCA gene: 12.3%), and attitude (testing for self: 17.8%, family: 19.5%). CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the significant knowledge gaps among breast cancer patients regarding genetics. The educational intervention led to notable improvements in knowledge, awareness, and attitudes, underscoring the importance of tailored patient education in breast cancer care.

Quality of Life of Colorectal Cancer Patients and Its Association With Anxiety and Depression: Cross-Sectional Study at a Tertiary Care Hospital in Low Middle Income Country.

INTRODUCTION: Colorectal cancer (CRC) and its therapy profoundly affect the quality of life (QoL) of patients. The emotional distress: anxiety and depression also negatively affect wellbeing of these patients. This study aims to evaluate the QoL, anxiety, and depression in CRC patients and their association with clinic-pathological features at a tertiary care hospital in Karachi Pakistan, a low middle income country. METHODS: An analytical cross-sectional study was conducted on adult CRC patients. QoL was assessed using the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer QoL questionnaire C30 and CR29. Hospital Anxiety and Depression Score was used to evaluate the anxiety and depression. Analyses were performed using STATA version 12, including multivariable linear and multivariate analysis of variance. A P value of < 0.05 was considered as significant. RESULTS: A total of 127 CRC patients with mean age of 53 ± 15 y participated. Mean global QoL score was 69.08 ± 1.78. Among symptoms scales: stoma care problem and among functional scales: sexual interest (women > men) were the most significantly affected aspect. Anxiety and depression were seen in 26 (20.9%) and 24 (18.9%) patients, respectively. Lower global QoL was significantly associated with depression (-25.33 [95% confidence interval: -34.4, -16.23]), on adjuvant treatment (-15.14 [-21.84, -8.44]), and neoadjuvant treatment (-11.75 [-19.84, -3.65]). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study assessing the QoL in CRC patients in Pakistan. Depression was found to be significantly associated with poor QoL. Numerous factors correlated with low QoL scores indicating the need to develop local guidelines to address psychological distress in our patients.

COVID-19 and long-term impact on symptoms and Health-Related Quality of Life in Costa Rica: the RESPIRA cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence continues to accumulate regarding the potential long-term health consequences of COVID-19 in the population. To distinguish between COVID-19-related symptoms and health limitations from those caused by other conditions, it is essential to compare cases with community controls using prospective data ensuring case-control status. The RESPIRA study addresses this need by investigating the lasting impact of COVID-19 on Health-related Quality of Life (HRQoL) and symptomatology in a population-based cohort in Costa Rica, thereby providing a robust framework for controlling HRQoL and symptoms. METHODS: The study comprised 641 PCR-confirmed, unvaccinated cases of COVID-19 and 947 matched population-based controls. Infection was confirmed using antibody tests on enrollment serum samples and symptoms were monitored monthly for 6 months post-enrolment. Administered at the 6-month visit (occurring between 6- and 2-months post-diagnosis for cases and 6 months after enrollment for controls), HRQoL and Self-Perceived Health Change were assessed using the SF-36, while brain fog, using three items from the Mental Health Inventory (MHI). Regression models were utilized to analyze SF-36, MHI scores, and Self-Perceived Health Change, adjusted for case/control status, severity (mild case, moderate case, hospitalized) and additional independent variables. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the findings. RESULTS: Cases showed significantly higher prevalences of joint pain, chest tightness, and skin manifestations, that stabilized at higher frequencies from the fourth month post-diagnosis onwards (2.0%, 1.2%, and 0.8% respectively) compared to controls (0.9%, 0.4%, 0.2% respectively). Cases also exhibited significantly lower HRQoL than controls across all dimensions in the fully adjusted model, with a 12.4 percentage-point difference [95%CI: 9.4-14.6], in self-reported health compared to one year prior. Cases reported 8.0% [95%CI: 4.2, 11.5] more physical limitations, 7.3% [95%CI: 3.5, 10.5] increased lack of vitality, and 6.0% [95%CI: 2.4, 9.0] more brain fog compared to controls with similar characteristics. Undiagnosed cases detected with antibody tests among controls had HRQoL comparable to antibody negative controls. Differences were more pronounced in individuals with moderate or severe disease and among women. CONCLUSIONS: PCR-confirmed unvaccinated cases experienced prolonged HRQoL reductions 6 months to 2 years after diagnosis, this was particularly the case in severe cases and among women. Mildly symptomatic cases showed no significant long-term sequelae.

Low HBV knowledge is associated with low HBV vaccination uptake in general adult population despite incentivization of HBV vaccination.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination in Vietnamese adults remains low and unequally distributed. We conducted a study on HBV-naïve adults living in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam, to determine barriers associated with HBV vaccination uptake after removing the financial barrier by providing free coupons for HBV vaccination. METHODS: After being screened for HBsAg, anti-HBs, and anti-HBc, 284 HBV-naïve study participants aged 18 and over (i.e., negative for HBsAg, anti-HBs, and anti-HBc total) were provided free 3-dose HBV vaccine coupons. Next, study participants' receipt of 1st, 2nd, and 3rd doses of HBV vaccine was documented at a pre-specified study healthcare facility, where HBV vaccines were distributed at no cost to the participants. Upon study entry, participants answered questionnaires on sociodemographics, knowledge of HBV and HBV vaccination, and related social and behavioral factors. The proportions of three doses of HBV vaccine uptake and their confidence intervals were analyzed. Associations of HBV vaccine initiation with exposures at study entry were evaluated using modified Poisson regression. RESULTS: 98.9% (281 of 284) of study participants had complete data and were included in the analysis. The proportion of participants obtaining the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd doses of HBV vaccine was 11.7% (95% Confidence Interval [95% CI] 8.0-15.5%), 10.7% (95%CI 7.1-14.3%), and 8.9% (95%CI 5.6-12.2%), respectively. On the other hand, participants were more likely to initiate the 1st dose if they had adequate knowledge of transmission (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 2.58, 95% CI 1.12-5.92), adequate knowledge of severity (aRR = 6.75, 95%CI 3.38-13.48), and annual health-checking seeking behavior (aRR = 2.04, 95%CI 1.07-3.87). CONCLUSION: We documented a low HBV vaccination uptake despite incentivization. However, increased vaccine initiation was associated with better HBV knowledge and annual health check-up adherence. When considering expanding HBV vaccination to the general adult population, we should appreciate that HBV knowledge is an independent predictor of vaccine uptake.

Neuromuscular disease genetics in under-represented populations: increasing data diversity.

Neuromuscular diseases (NMDs) affect ∼15 million people globally. In high income settings DNA-based diagnosis has transformed care pathways and led to gene-specific therapies. However, most affected families are in low-to-middle income countries (LMICs) with limited access to DNA-based diagnosis. Most (86%) published genetic data is derived from European ancestry. This marked genetic data inequality hampers understanding of genetic diversity and hinders accurate genetic diagnosis in all income settings. We developed a cloud-based transcontinental partnership to build diverse, deeply-phenotyped and genetically characterized cohorts to improve genetic architecture knowledge, and potentially advance diagnosis and clinical management. We connected 18 centres in Brazil, India, South Africa, Turkey, Zambia, Netherlands and the UK. We co-developed a cloud-based data solution and trained 17 international neurology fellows in clinical genomic data interpretation. Single gene and whole exome data were analysed via a bespoke bioinformatics pipeline and reviewed alongside clinical and phenotypic data in global webinars to inform genetic outcome decisions. We recruited 6001 participants in the first 43 months. Initial genetic analyses 'solved' or 'possibly solved' ∼56% probands overall. In-depth genetic data review of the four commonest clinical categories (limb girdle muscular dystrophy, inherited peripheral neuropathies, congenital myopathy/muscular dystrophies and Duchenne/Becker muscular dystrophy) delivered a ∼59% 'solved' and ∼13% 'possibly solved' outcome. Almost 29% of disease causing variants were novel, increasing diverse pathogenic variant knowledge. Unsolved participants represent a new discovery cohort. The dataset provides a large resource from under-represented populations for genetic and translational research. In conclusion, we established a remote transcontinental partnership to assess genetic architecture of NMDs across diverse populations. It supported DNA-based diagnosis, potentially enabling genetic counselling, care pathways and eligibility for gene-specific trials. Similar virtual partnerships could be adopted by other areas of global genomic neurological practice to reduce genetic data inequality and benefit patients globally.

Family supplemented patient monitoring after surgery (SMARTER): a pilot stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Mortality after surgery in Africa is twice that in high-income countries. Most deaths occur on wards after patients develop postoperative complications. Family members might contribute meaningfully and safely to early recognition of deteriorating patients. METHODS: This was a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial of an intervention training family members to support nursing staff to take and record patient vital signs every 4 h after surgery. Adult inpatients across four surgical wards (clusters) in a Ugandan hospital were included. Clusters crossed once from routine care to the SMARTER intervention at monthly intervals. The primary outcome was frequency of vital sign measurements from arrival on the postoperative ward to the end of the third postoperative day (3 days). RESULTS: We enrolled 1395 patients between April and October 2021. Mean age was 28.2 (range 5-89) yr; 85.7% were female. The most common surgical procedure was Caesarean delivery (74.8%). Median (interquartile range) number of sets of vital signs increased from 0 (0-1) in control wards to 3 (1-8) in intervention wards (incident rate ratio 12.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 8.8-17.5, P<0.001). Mortality was 6/718 (0.84%) patients in the usual care group vs 12/677 (1.77%) in the intervention group (odds ratio 1.32, 95% CI 0.1-14.7, P=0.821). There was no difference in length of hospital stay between groups (usual care: 2 [2-3] days vs intervention: 2 [2-4] days; hazard ratio 1.11, 95% CI 0.84-1.47, P=0.44). CONCLUSIONS: Family member supplemented vital signs monitoring substantially increased the frequency of vital signs after surgery. Care interventions involving family members have the potential to positively impact patient care. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04341558.

Presentation, management, and early outcomes of young acute coronary syndrome patients- analysis of 23,560 South Asian patients from 2012 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: There is dearth of literature addressing early outcomes of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) among young patients, particularly South Asians descent who are predisposed to premature coronary artery disease (CAD). Therefore, we compared presentation, management, and early outcomes of young vs. old ACS patients and explored predictors of in-hospital mortality. METHODS: We extracted data of 23,560 ACS patients who presented at Tabba Heart Institute, Karachi, Pakistan, from July 2012-June 2020, from the Chest pain-MI-Registry™. We categorized data into young ≤ 45 and old ACS patients > 45 years. Chi-sq/Fischer exact tests were used to assess the difference between presentation, disease management, and in-hospital mortality between both groups. Logistic regression was used to determine odds ratio along with 95% confidence interval of factors associated with early mortality. RESULTS: The younger patients were 12.2% and women 23.5%. The prevalence of dyslipidemia (34.5% vs. 22.4%), diabetes (52.1% vs. 27.4%), and hypertension (68.3% vs. 42.9%) was higher in older patients. Family history of premature CAD (18.1% vs. 32.7%), smoking (40.0% vs. 22.9%), and smokeless tobacco use (6.5% vs. 8.4%) were lower in older patients compared to younger ones. Younger patients were more likely to present with STEMI (33.2% vs. 45%). The median symptom-to-door time was 125 min longer (p-value < 0.01) in the young patients compared to the older age group. In-hospital mortality (4.3% vs. 1.7%), cardiac arrest (1.9% vs. 0.7%), cardiogenic shock (1.9% vs. 0.9%), and heart failure (1% vs. 0.6%) were more common in older patients. After adjusting for other factors, younger age (AOR 0.6, 95% CI 1.5-3.7) had significantly lesser odds of in-hospital mortality. Other factors associated with early mortality included women, family history of premature CAD, STEMI, Killip class III and IV, coronary angiography, revascularization, CABG, and use of aspirin and beta blockers within the first 24 h. CONCLUSION: We found every tenth ACS patient was younger than 45 years of age despite a lesser number of comorbidities such as hypertension and diabetes. Overall, the in-hospital prognosis of young patients was more favorable than that of older patients. The study emphasizes the need for tailored primary prevention programs for ACS, considering the varying risks among different age groups.

Acute kidney injury requiring dialysis in children: a multicentric, emerging country perspective.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a life-threatening condition, especially in extreme age groups and when kidney replacement therapy (KRT) is necessary. Studies worldwide report mortality rates of 10-63% in pediatric patients undergoing KRT. METHODS: Over 13 years, this multicenter study analyzed data from 693 patients with AKI, all receiving KRT, across 74 hospitals and medical facilities in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. RESULTS: The majority were male (59.5%), under one year old (55.6%), and treated in private hospitals (76.5%). Sixty-six percent had comorbidities. Pneumonia and congenital heart disease were the most common admission diagnoses (21.5% and 20.2%, respectively). The mortality rate was 65.2%, with lower rates in patients over 12 years (50%). Older age was protective (HR: 2.35, IQR [1.52-3.62] for neonates), and primary kidney disease had a three-fold lower mortality rate. ICU team experience (HR: 0.74, IQR [0.60-0.91]) correlated with lower mortality, particularly in hospitals treating 20 or more patients. Among the deceased, 40% died within 48 h of KRT initiation, suggesting possible late referral or treatment futility. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms the high mortality in pediatric dialytic AKI in middle-income countries, underlining early mortality and offering critical insights for improving outcomes.

Differences in trauma care between district and regional hospitals and impact of a trauma intake form with decision support prompts in Ghana: A stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: We sought to determine the achievement of key performance indicators (KPIs) of initial trauma care at district (first-level) and regional (second-level) hospitals in Ghana and to assess the effectiveness of a standardized trauma intake form (TIF) to improve care. METHODS: A stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial was performed with direct observations of trauma management before and after introducing the TIF at emergency units of eight hospitals for 17.5 months. Differences in KPIs were assessed using multivariable logistic regression and generalized linear mixed regression. RESULTS: Management of 4077 patients was observed; 30% at regional and 70% at district hospitals. Eight of 20 KPIs were performed significantly more often at regional hospitals. TIF improved care at both levels. Fourteen KPIs improved significantly at district and eight KPIs improved significantly at regional hospitals. After TIF, regional hospitals still performed better with 18 KPIs being performed significantly more often than district hospitals. After TIF, all KPIs were performed in >90% of patients at regional hospitals. Examples of KPIs for which regional performed better than district hospitals after TIF included: assessment for oxygen saturation (83% vs. 98%) and evaluation for intra-abdominal bleeding (82% vs. 99%, all p < 0.001). Mortality decreased among seriously injured patients (injury severity score ≥9) at both district (15% before vs. 8% after, p = 0.04) and regional (23% vs. 7%, p = 0.004) hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: TIF improved care and lowered mortality at both hospital levels, but KPIs remained lower at district hospitals. Further measures are needed to improve initial trauma care at this level. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04547192).

The clinicopathological landscape of thyroid cancer in South Africa-A multi-institutional review.

BACKGROUND: In South Africa (SA), data on the incidence of thyroid cancer is limited. Papillary thyroid carcinoma is by far the most common malignancy in developed countries; however, a preponderance of follicular thyroid cancer in developing countries, despite iodized salt, has been observed. The aim of this study was to describe the national landscape of thyroid cancer in SA with reference to pathological subtypes, surgical outcomes, and treatments offered. METHODS: A multi-institutional retrospective review of thyroid cancer patients operated on between January 2015 and December 2019 was performed. Public hospitals with associated academic institutions were included. Data were collected from theater registers, pathology, and radiology records. Statistical analysis was done to determine intergroup significance. RESULTS: A total of 464 thyroid cancer cases from 13 centers across five SA provinces were identified. Most patients presented with a mass (67%). Ultrasound was performed in 82% of patients, and 16.3% underwent surgery without pre-operative cytology. Of the histologically confirmed thyroid cancers, 61.8% were papillary and 22.1% follicular thyroid cancer. There was a significant association between subtype and geographical area, and T-stage and operation performed. Surgical complication rates included hematoma in 1.8%, post-operative hypocalcemia in 28.7%, and recurrent laryngeal nerve injury in 3.5%. CONCLUSION: This first national review describes the landscape of thyroid cancer in SA, revealing considerable differences compared to international studies. It provides valuable insight into the unique South African experience with this disease. In addition, this study serves as an impetus towards a prospective national registry with real-world data informing contextualized guidelines.

Implementation of an electronic health record system during global surgical outreach: A prospective evaluation of success and sustainability.

BACKGROUND: The burden of musculoskeletal conditions continues to grow in low- and middle-income countries. Among thousands of surgical outreach trips each year, few organizations electronically track patient data to inform real-time care decisions and assess trip impact. We report the implementation of an electronic health record (EHR) system utilized at point of care during an orthopedic surgical outreach trip. METHODS: In March 2023, we implemented an EHR on an orthopedic outreach trip to guide real-time care decisions. We utilized an effectiveness-implementation hybrid type 3 design to evaluate implementation success. Success was measured using outcomes adopted by the World Health Organization, including acceptability, appropriateness, feasibility, adoption, fidelity, and sustainability. Clinical outcome measures included adherence to essential quality measures and follow-up numerical rating system (NRS) pain scores. RESULTS: During the 5-day outreach trip, 76 patients were evaluated, 25 of which underwent surgery beforehand. The EHR implementation was successful as defined by: mean questionnaire ratings of acceptability (4.26), appropriateness (4.12), feasibility (4.19), and adoption (4.33) at least 4.00, WHO behaviorally anchored rating scale ratings of fidelity (6.8) at least 5.00, and sustainability (80%) at least 60% follow-up at 6 months. All clinical quality measures were reported in greater than 80% of cases with all measures reported in 92% of cases. NRS pain scores improved by an average of 2.4 points. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate successful implementation of an EHR for real-time clinical use on a surgical outreach trip. Benefits of EHR utilization on surgical outreach trips may include improved documentation, minimization of medical errors, and ultimately improved quality of care.

Preventability of injury-related morbidity & mortality at four hospitals in Cameroon: A systematic approach to trauma quality improvement.

BACKGROUND: Adverse events reviews are a fundamental component of trauma quality improvement (QI) that facilitate the correction of systemic issues in care. Although injury-related mortality in Cameroon is substantial, to our knowledge, opportunities for QI have not been formally assessed. Thus, a formal review of adverse events in Cameroonian trauma patients was implemented as a first step toward identifying targets for systems modification. METHODS: A QI committee composed of multidisciplinary experts at four hospitals in Cameroon was formed to review adverse events including deaths among trauma patients from 2019 to 2021. Events were discussed at newly established morbidity and mortality conferences and committee meetings to identify contributing factors and overall preventability. RESULTS: During 50 meetings, 95 adverse events were reviewed, including 58 deaths (61%). Other adverse events were delays in diagnosis/treatment (22%) and surgical site infections (17%). Overall, 34 deaths (59%) were classified as preventable, 21% potentially preventable, and 21% not preventable. Over half (52%) of the 46 preventable or potentially preventable deaths occurred in the emergency department (ED); while brain injury (57%), respiratory failure (41%), and hemorrhage (39%) were the most frequent physiologic factors associated with mortality. Contributory factors identified include lack of a structured approach to patient management, absence of continuous training for personnel, and locally adapted protocols. CONCLUSIONS: Basic improvements in evaluation and management of life-threatening issues in the ED can significantly reduce the high rate of preventable trauma-related deaths across Cameroon. Formal trauma QI methods can be utilized in low-resource environments to determine mortality root causes and identify intervention targets.

The impact of cigarette prices on smoking onset and cessation: evidence from Vietnam.

BACKGROUND: Vietnam is a country with very high smoking rates among men. According to a Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS) conducted in 2015, the daily smoking prevalence among Vietnamese men was 39%. METHODS: We used data from the 2010 and 2015 Vietnamese GATSs and cigarette price data from General Statistics Office of Vietnam. Since smoking prevalence is low among women, we only considered men. Using discrete-time hazard models, we estimated the effect of cigarette prices on smoking onset and cessation. Sensitivity analyses are conducted using different model specifications. RESULTS: We find that higher cigarette prices reduce the probability of smoking onset. A 1% increase in the cigarette price reduces the hazard of smoking onset by 1.2% (95% CI -2.12% to -0.28%). This suggests that increases in tobacco taxation, which translate to price increases, can reduce smoking onset. We did not find evidence that cigarette prices impact smoking cessation among men in Vietnam. CONCLUSION: Vietnam should continue to increase excise taxes on tobacco products to reduce smoking onset. Since smokers are resilient to excise tax increases, other tobacco control policies, such as smoke-free areas and tobacco advertisement bans, should be better enforced to encourage people to quit. Other policies not yet implemented, such as plain packaging of tobacco products, may also encourage smokers to quit.

Advancing progress on tobacco control in low-income and middle-income countries through economic analysis.

BACKGROUND: More than 80% of the world's 1.3 billion tobacco users live in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), where progress to address tobacco and its harms has been slow. The perception that tobacco control detracts from economic priorities has impeded progress. The Secretariat of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) is leading the FCTC 2030 project, which includes technical assistance to LMICs to analyse the economic costs of tobacco use and the benefits of tobacco control. METHODS: The Secretariat of the WHO FCTC, United Nations Development Programme and WHO supported 21 LMICs between 2017 and 2022 to complete national investment cases to guide country implementation of the WHO FCTC, with analytical support provided by RTI International. These country-level cases combine customised estimates of tobacco's economic impact with qualitative analysis of socio-political factors influencing tobacco control. This paper overviews the approach, observed tobacco control advancements and learnings from 21 countries: Armenia, Cabo Verde, Cambodia, Chad, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Eswatini, Georgia, Ghana, Jordan, Laos, Madagascar, Myanmar, Nepal, Samoa, Sierra Leone, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tunisia and Zambia. RESULTS: Tobacco control advancements in line with investment case findings and recommendations have been observed in 17 of the 21 countries, and many have improved collaboration and policy coherence between health and economic stakeholders. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco control must be seen as more than a health concern. Tobacco control leads to economic benefits and contributes to sustainable development. National investment cases can support country ownership and leadership to advance tobacco control.

Evolving methodology of national tobacco control investment cases.

BACKGROUND: This article describes an investment case methodology for tobacco control that was applied in 36 countries between 2017 and 2022. METHODS: The WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) investment cases compared two scenarios: a base case that calculated the tobacco-attributable mortality, morbidity and economic costs with status quo tobacco control, and an intervention scenario that described changes in those same outcomes from fully implementing and enforcing a variety of proven, evidence-based tobacco control policies and interventions. Health consequences included the tobacco-attributable share of mortality and morbidity from 38 diseases. The healthcare expenditures and the socioeconomic costs from the prevalence of those conditions were combined to calculate the total losses due to tobacco. The monetised benefits of improvements in health resulting from tobacco control implementation were compared with costs of expanding tobacco control to assess returns on investment in each country. An institutional and context analysis assessed the political and economic dimensions of tobacco control in each context. RESULTS: We applied a rigorous yet flexible methodology in 36 countries over 5 years. The replicable model and framework may be used to inform development of tobacco control cases in countries worldwide. CONCLUSION: Investment cases constitute a tool that development partners and advocates have demanded in even greater numbers. The economic argument for tobacco control provided by this set of country-contextualised analyses can be a strong tool for policy change.

Interpreting results, impacts and implications from WHO FCTC tobacco control investment cases in 21 low-income and middle-income countries.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco control investment cases analyse the health and socioeconomic costs of tobacco use and the benefits that can be achieved from implementing measures outlined in the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC). They are intended to provide policy-makers and other stakeholders with country-level evidence that is relevant, useful and responsive to national priorities and policy context. METHODS: This paper synthesises findings from investment cases conducted in Armenia, Cabo Verde, Cambodia, Chad, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Eswatini, Georgia, Ghana, Jordan, Laos, Madagascar, Myanmar, Nepal, Samoa, Sierra Leone, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tunisia and Zambia. We examine annual socioeconomic costs associated with tobacco use, focusing on smoking-related healthcare expenditures, the value of lives lost due to tobacco-related mortality and workplace productivity losses due to smoking. We explore potential benefits associated with WHO FCTC tobacco demand-reduction measures. RESULTS: Tobacco use results in average annual socioeconomic losses of US$95 million, US$610 million and US$1.6 billion among the low-income (n=3), lower-middle-income (n=12) and upper-middle-income countries (n=6) included in this analysis, respectively. These losses are equal to 1.1%, 1.8% and 2.9% of average annual national gross domestic product, respectively. Implementation and enforcement of WHO FCTC tobacco demand-reduction measures would lead to reduced tobacco use, fewer tobacco-related deaths and reduced socioeconomic losses. CONCLUSIONS: WHO FCTC tobacco control measures would provide a positive return on investment in every country analysed.

Economy-wide impact of a reduction in tobacco use in India.

BACKGROUND: Public policy measures aimed at regulating tobacco use should consider the net gains for the nation, as the tobacco sector contributes to employment and tax revenue while also imposing substantial economic burden on the country. This study investigates the economy-wide impact of reducing tobacco consumption in India through the implementation of fiscal measures. METHODS: The study uses a computable general equilibrium model based on the Global Trade Analysis Project model and database and augments the same with several country-specific information on tobacco products, to examine the macroeconomic impact of a targeted reduction in the consumption of bidis, cigarettes and smokeless tobacco by 10% by the year 2026 through the adoption of fiscal measures. RESULTS: The model results suggest that the targeted reduction in consumption may result in a 0.14% reduction in the gross domestic product (GDP) and a 0.44% reduction in overall employment in the economy. However, after accounting for the averted premature deaths due to tobacco use, the results indicate a net 0.22% increase in GDP and a net increase in employment of about 1.36 million jobs (or 0.29% of the labour force) over 5 years. Further, the tax increase measures proposed in this model to achieve the targeted reduction in consumption would generate an additional US$2774 million in revenues to the exchequer. CONCLUSION: The impact of targeted prevalence reduction of tobacco use is a win-win for the country considering its positive macroeconomic impacts in terms of net increases in both GDP as well as employment.

Equity implications of tobacco taxation: results from WHO FCTC investment cases.

BACKGROUND: Across time, geographies and country income levels, smoking prevalence is highest among people with lower incomes. Smoking causes further impoverishment of those on the lower end of the income spectrum through expenditure on tobacco and greater risk of ill health. METHODS: This paper summarises the results of investment case equity analyses for 19 countries, presenting the effects of increased taxation on smoking prevalence, health and expenditures. We disaggregate the number of people who smoke, smoking-attributable mortality and cigarette expenditures using smoking prevalence data by income quintile. A uniform 30% increase in price was applied across countries. We estimated the effects of the price increase on smoking prevalence, mortality and cigarette expenditures. RESULTS: In all but one country (Bhutan), a one-time 30% increase in price would reduce smoking prevalence by the largest percent among the poorest 20% of the population. All income groups in all countries would spend more on cigarettes with a 30% increase in price. However, the poorest 20% would pay an average of 12% of the additional money spent. CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm that health benefits from increases in price through taxation are pro-poor. Even in countries where smoking prevalence is higher among wealthier groups, increasing prices can still be pro-poor due to variable responsiveness to higher prices. The costs associated with higher smoking prevalence among the poor, together with often limited access to healthcare services and displaced spending on basic needs, result in health inequality and perpetuate the cycle of poverty.

Crowding-out effect of tobacco consumption in Indonesia.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco consumption is pervasive in Indonesia, with 6 out of 10 households in the country consuming tobacco. Smoking households, on average, divert a significant share (10.7%) of their monthly budget on tobacco products, which is higher than spending on staples, meat or vegetables. Nevertheless, evidence of the causal link between tobacco expenditure and spending on other commodities in Indonesia is limited. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to estimate the crowding-out effects of tobacco spending on the expenditure of other goods and services in Indonesia. METHOD: This research estimates the conditional Engel curve with three-stage least square regression, where the instrumental variable technique is applied to address the simultaneity of tobacco and total non-tobacco spending. The study employs a large-scale household budget survey from the Indonesian socioeconomic survey (Susenas) from 2017 to 2019, comprising over 900 000 households. FINDING: Tobacco spending crowds out the share of a household's budget allocated for food, such as spending on staples, meat, dairy, vegetables and fruits. Moreover, tobacco spending also reduces the share of expenditure spent on non-food commodities, such as clothing, housing, utilities, durable and non-durable goods, education, healthcare and entertainment, although its effect is not as large as the crowding out on food. The analysis shows that the crowding-out effects of tobacco are observed across low-income, middle-income and high-income households. In addition, the simulation suggests that reducing tobacco expenditure will increase household spending on essential needs.

Tobacco industry pricing strategies during recent tax adjustments in Mexico: evidence from sales data.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have identified pricing strategies that the tobacco industry employs to try to minimise the impact of tobacco taxation, but these studies are mostly about high-income countries. This research examines industry price responses to a recent cigarette tax increase in Mexico, including in the capsule cigarette segment that has expanded rapidly in Latin America. METHODS: Data of cigarette prices and sales in Mexico between October 2018 and September 2021 licensed from NielsenIQ were used following a quasi-experimental design to analyse price changes after excise tax increases with fixed effect models by product. To explore heterogeneous responses, estimates were disaggregated by cigarette attributes such as presence of capsules and market segment. Differential shifting was also assessed. RESULTS: Increasing the tobacco tax from 2011MX$0.35(≈US$0.02) to 2020 MX$0.4944(≈US$0.0283) in January 2020 was associated with an overall 8% cigarette price increase in real terms. However, some cigarette types, including premium to discount segments, exhibited price increases larger than the tax increase, which reduced the relative price of ultra-low-priced cigarettes. Instead of a single hike, prices were gradually raised throughout the first months of 2020 for all cigarette types. A combination of both pricing strategies was employed for capsule cigarettes. The 2021 smaller tax adjustment for annual inflation was fully passed onto consumer, maintaining real prices constant. CONCLUSIONS: The industry's ability to raise prices more than the tax increase and manage these price increases smoothly suggests that there was room for larger tobacco tax increases in Mexico. Future developments on tobacco taxes could consider a fully specific tax structure or minimum taxes to mitigate the adverse effects of market segmentation and differential shifting.