Designing an Implementable Clinical Prediction Model for Near-Term Mortality and Long-Term Survival in Patients on Maintenance Hemodialysis.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The life expectancy of patients treated with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) is heterogeneous. Knowledge of life-expectancy may focus care decisions on near-term versus long-term goals. The current tools are limited and focus on near-term mortality. Here, we develop and assess potential utility for predicting near-term mortality and long-term survival on MHD. STUDY DESIGN: Predictive modeling study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 42,351 patients contributing 997,381 patient months over 11 years, abstracted from the electronic health record (EHR) system of midsize, nonprofit dialysis providers. NEW PREDICTORS & ESTABLISHED PREDICTORS: Demographics, laboratory results, vital signs, and service utilization data available within dialysis EHR. OUTCOME: For each patient month, we ascertained death within the next 6 months (ie, near-term mortality) and survival over more than 5 years during receipt of MHD or after kidney transplantation (ie, long-term survival). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression and gradient-boosting machines to predict each outcome. We compared these to time-to-event models spanning both time horizons. We explored the performance of decision rules at different cut points. RESULTS: All models achieved an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of≥0.80 and optimal calibration metrics in the test set. The long-term survival models had significantly better performance than the near-term mortality models. The time-to-event models performed similarly to binary models. Applying different cut points spanning from the 1st to 90th percentile of the predictions, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 54% could be achieved for near-term mortality, but with poor sensitivity of 6%. A PPV of 71% could be achieved for long-term survival with a sensitivity of 67%. LIMITATIONS: The retrospective models would need to be prospectively validated before they could be appropriately used as clinical decision aids. CONCLUSIONS: A model built with readily available clinical variables to support easy implementation can predict clinically important life expectancy thresholds and shows promise as a clinical decision support tool for patients on MHD. Predicting long-term survival has better decision rule performance than predicting near-term mortality. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are not widely used for patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD). Although a variety of CPMs have been reported in the literature, many of these were not well-designed to be easily implementable. We consider the performance of an implementable CPM for both near-term mortality and long-term survival for patients undergoing MHD. Both near-term and long-term models have similar predictive performance, but the long-term models have greater clinical utility. We further consider how the differential performance of predicting over different time horizons may be used to impact clinical decision making. Although predictive modeling is not regularly used for MHD patients, such tools may help promote individualized care planning and foster shared decision making.

Mortality of Peritoneal Dialysis versus Hemodialysis in Older Adults: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The optimal choice of dialysis modality remains contentious in older adults threatened by advanced age and high risk of comorbidities. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort and case-control studies to assess mortality risk between peritoneal dialysis (PD) and hemodialysis (HD) in older adults using PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library database from inception to June 1, 2022. The outcome of interest is all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-one eligible studies with >774,000 older patients were included. Pooled analysis showed that PD had a higher mortality rate than HD in older dialysis population (HR 1.17, 95% CI: 1.10-1.25). When stratified by co-variables, our study showed an increased mortality risk of PD versus HD in older patients with diabetes mellitus or comorbidity who underwent longer dialysis duration (more than 3 years) or who started dialysis before 2010. However, definitive conclusions were constrained by significant heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: From the survival point of view, caution is needed to employ PD for long-term use in older populations with diabetes mellitus or comorbid conditions. However, a tailored treatment choice needs to take account of what matters to older adults at an individual level, especially in the context of limited survival improvements and loss of quality of life. Further research is still awaited to conclude this topic.

Association between glycated albumin and sudden death in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of sudden death and its risk factors in patients undergoing hemodialysis are unknown. This study was performed to examine the association between glycated albumin (GA) and sudden death in Japanese patients undergoing hemodialysis. METHODS: In total, 260 patients undergoing hemodialysis aged ≥18 years were retrospectively followed for a mean of 4.6 years. The patients' serum GA levels were divided into tertiles, and the patients' sex, age, albumin level, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) were selected as adjustment factors. A logistic regression model was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) for the occurrence of sudden death by GA level. RESULTS: Ninety-one patients died during follow-up. Of the 91 deaths, 23 (25.2%) were defined as sudden deaths. Compared with non-sudden death cases, sudden death cases were significantly younger (p = 0.002) and had a higher proportion of men (p = 0.03), a higher proportion of diabetes (p = 0.008), and higher GA levels (p = 0.023). Compared with patients with the lowest GA levels (<15.2%), those with the highest GA levels (≥18.5%) had a sex- and age-adjusted OR for sudden death of 5.40 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.35-21.85]. After adjusting for the albumin level, CRP level, and CTR in addition to sex and age, the OR for sudden death of patients with the highest GA levels increased to 6.80 (95%CI: 1.64-28.08); the relationship did not change. CONCLUSION: Serum GA levels were significantly associated with sudden death in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

Left ventricular hypertrophy and left atrial diameter are associated with mortality risk in haemodialysis patients: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular death is the main cause of death in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and left atrial diameter (LAD) enlargement are frequent cardiac alterations in patients with ESKD and are major risk factors for cardiovascular events. However, it remains unclear whether there is an association between combined LAD or LVH and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in this population. METHODS: A single-centre, retrospective cohort study including 576 haemodialysis (HD) patients was conducted. Patients were evaluated by cardiac ultrasound, and the study cohort was divided into four groups according to LAD and LVH status: low LAD and non-LVH; low LAD and LVH; high LAD and non-LVH; and high LAD and LVH. We used Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression to analyse all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after multivariate adjustment. RESULTS: LAD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.371, 1.602-3.509; p < 0.001). No significant differences were found between LVH and the risk of all-cause mortality. Patients with high LAD and LVH had significantly greater all-cause and cardiovascular mortality than did those with low LAD and non-LVH after adjustments for numerous potential confounders (HR 3.080, 1.608-5.899; p = 0.001) (HR 4.059, 1.753-9.397; p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among maintenance haemodialysis (MHD) patients, LAD was more strongly associated with mortality than was LVH. A high LAD and LVH are associated with a greater risk of mortality. Our results emphasize that the occurrence of LAD and LVH in combination provides information that may be helpful in stratifying the risk of MHD patients.

Japanese Study of the Effects of AMG (α1-Microglobulin) Reduction Rates on Survival (JAMREDS): A Protocol of a Multicenter Prospective Observational Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Recent advances in dialysis therapy have made it possible to remove middle molecules. Removal of small-middle molecules, such as ß2-microglobulin, can now be achieved with conventional hemodialysis (HD), and removal of large-middle molecules has become a target, particularly for α1-microglobulin (AMG, 33 kD). The AMG reduction rate has emerged as a target for improvement of various clinical symptoms, but the effects on prognosis have yet to be determined. The "Japanese study of the effects of AMG (α1-microglobulin) reduction rates on survival" (JAMREDS) was started in April 2020, with the goal of determining if the AMG reduction rate associates with the risk of mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. METHODS: JAMREDS is a prospective observational study in patients on HD to examine the effects of: (1) AMG reduction rate on survival outcome and CVD events; (2) dialysis treatment modalities (HD, intermittent infusion hemodiafiltration(iHDF), pre/post-dilution online HDF) on survival and CVD events (based on AMG reduction rates with treatment mode); and (3) AMG reduction rates on survival and CVD events in patients undergoing each therapy (iHDF, pre/post-dilution online HDF). The number of planned subjects was 4,000 in preplanning. Data are collected using RED-Cap, which is an EDC system. A total of 9,930 patients were enrolled at the beginning of the study at 59 registered facilities. The JAMREDS observation period will continue until the end of 2023, after which the data will be cleaned and confirmed before analysis. CONCLUSION: This study may provide new evidence for the relationship between the amount of removed large-middle molecules (such as AMG) and the mortality and CVD risk. Comparisons with convection volumes will also be of interest.

Association of Four Types of Vascular Access Including Arterial Superficialization with Mortality in Maintenance Hemodialysis Patients: A Nationwide Cohort Study in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Vascular access usage varies widely across countries. Previous studies have evaluated the association of clinical outcomes with the three types of vascular access, namely, arteriovenous fistula (AVF), arteriovenous graft (AVG), and tunneled and cuffed central venous catheter (TC-CVC). However, little is known regarding the association between arterial superficialization (AS) and the mortality of patients. METHODS: A nationwide cohort study was conducted using data from the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy Renal Data Registry (2006-2007). We included patients aged ≥20 years undergoing hemodialysis with a dialysis vintage ≥6 months. The exposures of interest were the four types of vascular access: AVF, AVG, AS, and TC-CVC. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of vascular access types with 1-year all-cause and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: A total of 183,490 maintenance hemodialysis patients were included: 90.7% with AVF, 6.9% with AVG, 2.0% with AS, and 0.4% with TC-CVC. During the 1-year follow-up period, 13,798 patients died. Compared to patients with AVF, those with AVG, AS, and TC-CVC had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for confounding factors: adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) - 1.30 (1.20-1.41), 1.56 (1.39-1.76), and 2.15 (1.77-2.61), respectively. Similar results were obtained for infection-related and cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSION: This nationwide cohort study conducted in Japan suggested that AVF usage may have the lowest risk of all-cause mortality. The study also suggested that the usage of AS may be associated with better survival rates compared to those of TC-CVC in patients who are not suitable for AVF or AVG.

Medium Cut-Off versus Low-Flux Dialyzers in Hemodialysis Patients with COVID-19: Clinical Outcomes and Reduction in Interleukin-6.

INTRODUCTION: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused extensive morbidity and mortality worldwide. Hemodialysis (HD) patients are both vulnerable to COVID-19 infection and tend to suffer greater disease severity and mortality. This retrospective study aimed to compare medium cut-off (MCO) and low-flux (LF) membrane dialyzers in terms of interleukin-6 (IL-6) reduction, change in inflammatory state, intradialytic complications, and mortality in chronic HD patients with COVID-19. METHOD: HD patients with a confirmed COVID-19 infection were admitted to the hospital for 10-14 days and underwent HD at the COVID-HD unit. Choice of dialyzer membrane used (MCO vs. LF) depended on the primary nephrologist(s). We collected data on demographics, baseline characteristics, laboratory results, diagnosis, treatments, HD prescription, hemodynamic status during HD, and mortality at 14 and 28 days after. RESULTS: IL-6 reduction ratio (RR) in the MCO group was 9.7 (interquartile range, 71.1) percent, which was significantly higher than that of the LF group (RR, -45.7 [interquartile range, 70.2] percent). The incidence rate of intradialytic hypotension in the MCO group was 3.846 events per 100 dialysis hours (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.954-6.856), which was significantly lower than that of the LF group (9.057; 95% CI, 5.592-13.170). Overall, mortality was not significantly different between the two groups. CONCLUSION: The MCO membrane was more effective in removing IL-6 and was better tolerated than the LF membrane. Large, randomized controlled trials are required to confirm the relative benefits of the MCO membrane, especially mortality. However, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, our results suggest that the MCO membrane may be beneficial in chronic HD patients with COVID-19.

Association between serum ß2-microglobulin levels and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in chinese patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: The association between serum ß2-microglobulin (ß2M) levels and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) is inconclusive. Furthermore, no study has been performed in China on the significance of serum ß2M levels in MHD patients. Therefore, this study investigated the aforementioned association in MHD patients. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 521 MHD patients were followed at Dalian Municipal Central Hospital affiliated with Dalian University of Technology from December 2019 to December 2021. The serum ß2M levels were categorized into three tertiles, and the lowest tertile served as the reference group. Survival curves were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models. Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding patients with CVD at baseline. RESULTS: During the follow-up period of 21.4 ± 6.3 months, there were 106 all-cause deaths, of which 68 were caused by CVD. When excluding CVD patients at baseline, there were 66 incident CVEs. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the risk of all-cause and CVD mortality in the highest tertile of serum ß2M levels was significantly higher than that in the lowest tertile (P < 0.05), but not for the CVEs (P > 0.05). After adjusting for potential confounders, serum ß2M levels were positively associated with the risk of all-cause (HR = 2.24, 95% CI = 1.21-4.17) and CVD (HR = 2.54, 95% CI = 1.19-5.43) mortality, and a linear trend was evident (P < 0.05). Besides, the results of sensitivity analysis were consistent with the main findings. However, we didn't observed the significant association between serum ß2M levels and CVEs (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: The serum ß2M level may be a significant predictor of the risk of all-cause and CVD mortality in MHD patients. Further studies are needed to confirm this finding.

Estimating the association between systemic Interleukin-6 and mortality in the dialysis population. Re-analysis of the global fluid study, systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation, measured as circulating Interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels, is associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in chronic kidney disease. However, this has not been convincingly demonstrated in a systematic review or a meta-analysis in the dialysis population. We provide such evidence, including a re-analysis of the GLOBAL Fluid Study. METHODS: Mortality in the GLOBAL fluid study was re-analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression with IL-6 levels as a covariate using a continuous non-logarithmic scale. Literature searches of the association of IL-6 levels with mortality were conducted on MEDLINE, EMBASE, PyschINFO and CENTRAL. All studies were assessed for risk of bias using the QUIPS tool. To calculate a pooled effect size, studies were grouped by use of IL-6 scale and included in the meta-analysis if IL-6 was analysed as a continuous linear covariate, either per unit or per 10 pg/ml, in both unadjusted or adjusted for other patient characteristics (e.g. age, comorbidity) models. Funnel plot was used to identify potential publication bias. RESULTS: Of 1886 citations identified from the electronic search, 60 were included in the qualitative analyses, and 12 had sufficient information to proceed to meta-analysis after full paper screening. Random effects meta-analysis of 11 articles yielded a pooled hazard ratio (HR) per pg/ml of 1.03, (95% CI 1.01, 1.03), [Formula: see text]= 81%. When the analysis was confined to seven articles reporting a non-adjusted HR the result was similar: 1.03, per pg/ml (95% CI: 1.03, 1.06), [Formula: see text]=92%. Most of the heterogeneity could be attributed to three of the included studies. Publication bias could not be determined due to the limited number of studies. CONCLUSION: This systematic review confirms the adverse association between systemic IL-6 levels and survival in people treated with dialysis. The heterogeneity that we observed may reflect differences in study case mix. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO - CRD42020214198.

High facility-level serum potassium variability associated with mortality in hemodialysis patients: results from Chinese Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS).

The role of facility-level serum potassium (sK+) variability (FL-SPV) in dialysis patients has not been extensively studied. This study aimed to evaluate the association between FL-SPV and clinical outcomes in hemodialysis patients using data from the China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) 5. FL-SPV was defined as the standard deviation (SD) of baseline sK+ of all patients in each dialysis center. The mean and SD values of FL-SPV of all participants were calculated, and patients were divided into the high FL-SPV (>the mean value) and low FL-SPV (≤the mean value) groups. Totally, 1339 patients were included, with a mean FL-SPV of 0.800 mmol/L. Twenty-three centers with 656 patients were in the low FL-SPV group, and 22 centers with 683 patients were in the high FL-SPV group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that liver cirrhosis (OR = 4.682, 95% CI: 1.246-17.593), baseline sK+ (<3.5 vs. 3.5 ≤ sK+ < 5.5 mmol/L, OR = 2.394, 95% CI: 1.095-5.234; ≥5.5 vs. 3.5 ≤ sK+ < 5.5 mmol/L, OR = 1.451, 95% CI: 1.087-1.939), dialysis <3 times/week (OR = 1.472, 95% CI: 1.073-2.020), facility patients' number (OR = 1.088, 95% CI: 1.058-1.119), serum HCO3- level (OR = 0.952, 95% CI: 0.921-0.984), dialysis vintage (OR = 0.919, 95% CI: 0.888-0.950), other cardiovascular disease (OR = 0.508, 95% CI: 0.369-0.700), and using high-flux dialyzer (OR = 0.425, 95% CI: 0.250-0.724) were independently associated with high FL-SPV (all p < .05). After adjusting potential confounders, high FL-SPV was an independent risk factor for all-cause death (HR = 1.420, 95% CI: 1.044-1.933) and cardiovascular death (HR = 1.827, 95% CI: 1.188-2.810). Enhancing the management of sK+ of hemodialysis patients and reducing FL-SPV may improve patient survival.

Association of the nutritional risk index for Japanese hemodialysis with mortality and dietary nutritional intake in patients undergoing hemodialysis during long-term hospitalization.

AIM: The nutritional risk index for Japanese hemodialysis (NRI-JH) is a nutritional screening tool for predicting mortality in patients undergoing hemodialysis; however, its utility in patients undergoing hemodialysis during long-term hospitalization who have a high risk of protein-energy wasting, is unclear. METHODS: This retrospective study assessed hospitalized patients undergoing hemodialysis during long-term care at a single hospital. The NRI-JH was calculated using body mass index, serum albumin level, total cholesterol level, and serum creatinine level. The patients were categorized into three risk groups-low, medium, and high. Dietary energy and protein intake were evaluated by dietitians. The association of NRI-JH risk with nutritional intake and mortality were examined. RESULTS: In total, 133 patients were analyzed. The NRI-JH risk was low in 24%, medium in 26%, and high in 50% of the patients. The patients in the high-risk group were older and had lower energy and protein intakes than those in the low- and medium-risk groups. High-risk patients showed shorter survival times than low- and medium-risk patients, and a high NRI-JH risk was associated with a high mortality rate (hazard ratio [HR], 2.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-4.77; p < 0.05). The association weakened when protein intake and C-reactive protein level were added as covariates (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 0.95-4.28, p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: High NRI-JH risk was associated with low dietary nutritional intake and poor survival in patients undergoing hemodialysis during long-term hospitalization. Nutritional status evaluation and nutritional interventions may improve prognosis in this population.

Clinical efficacy and safety of combination therapy of tocilizumab and steroid pulse therapy for critical COVID-19 in HD patients.

BACKGROUND: Critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a high fatality rate, especially in hemodialysis (HD) patients, with this poor prognosis being caused by systemic hyperinflammation; cytokine storms. Steroid pulse therapy or tocilizumab (TCZ) have insufficient inhibitory effects against cytokine storms in critical cases. This study evaluated the clinical effects and safety of combining steroid pulse therapy and TCZ. METHODS: From September 2020 to May 2021, 201 patients with COVID-19 were admitted to our hospital. Before February 2021, patients with an oxygen demand exceeding 8 L/min were intubated and treated with standard therapy (dexamethasone and antiviral therapy). After February 2021, patients underwent high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy and were treated with TCZ (8 mg/kg) and methylprednisolone (mPSL) (500 mg/day [≤ 75 kg], 1000 mg/day [> 75 kg]) for 3 days. We compared background characteristics, laboratory findings, and prognosis between non-HD and HD patients and between patients who received and did not receive TCZ and mPSL pulse therapy. RESULTS: Among non-HD patients, the TCZ + mPSL pulse group had significantly higher survival rates and lower secondary infection rates (p < 0.05), than the standard therapy group. All HD patients in the standard therapy group with oxygen demand exceeding 8 L/min died. Contrastingly, all patients in the TCZ + mPSL pulse group survived, with their oxygen demand decreasing to 0-1 L/min within 3 weeks post-administration. CONCLUSION: TCZ combined with mPSL pulse therapy improved the survival rate without significant adverse events in critical HD and non-HD patients with COVID-19 by strongly suppressing systemic hyperinflammation.

The Relationship between Serum Ferritin Levels and 5-Year All-Cause Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The effect of high serum ferritin levels on long-term mortality in hemodialysis patients is unknown. The relationship between serum ferritin levels and 5-year all-cause mortality in hemodialysis patients was investigated in this study. METHODS: A total of 173 prevalent hemodialysis patients were included in this study. The patients were followed for up to 5 years and divided into 3 groups according to time-averaged serum ferritin levels (group 1: serum ferritin <800 ng/mL, group 2: serum ferritin 800-1,500 ng/mL, and group 3: serum ferritin >1,500 ng/mL). Along with the serum ferritin levels, other clinical and laboratory variables that may affect mortality were also included in the Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis. RESULTS: Eighty-one (47%) patients died during the 5-year follow-up period. The median follow-up time was 38 (17.5-60) months. The 5-year survival rates of groups 1, 2, and 3 were 44, 64, and 27%, respectively. In group 3, the survival was lower than in groups 1 and 2 (log-rank test, p = 0.002). In group 1, the mortality was significantly lower than in group 3 (HR [95% CI]: 0.16 [0.05-0.49]; p = 0.001). In group 2, the mortality was also lower than in group 3 (HR [95% CI]: 0.32 [0.12-0.88]; p = 0.026). No significant difference in mortality between groups 1 and 2 was found (HR [95% CI]: 0.49 [0.23-1.04]; p = 0.063). CONCLUSION: Time-averaged serum ferritin levels >1,500 ng/mL in hemodialysis patients are associated with an increased 5-year all-cause mortality risk.

Intermittent Convective Therapies in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: In critically ill patients requiring intermittent renal replacement therapy (RRT), the benefits of convective versus diffusive clearance remain uncertain. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the safety, clinical efficacy, and clearance efficiency of hemofiltration (HF) and hemodiafiltration (HDF) compared to hemodialysis (HD) in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) receiving intermittent RRT. METHOD: We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and PROSPERO. We included clinical trials and observational studies that reported the use of intermittent HF or HDF in adult patients with AKI. The following outcomes were included: mortality, renal recovery, clearance efficacy, intradialytic hemodynamic stability, circuit loss, and inflammation modulation. RESULTS: A total of 3,169 studies were retrieved and screened. Four randomized controlled trials and 4 observational studies were included (n: 615 patients). Compared with conventional HD, intermittent convective therapies had no effect on in-hospital mortality (relative risk, 1.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.76-1.99), renal recovery at 30 days (RR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.82-1.16), time-to-renal recovery (mean difference [MD], 0.77; 95% CI, -6.56 to 8.10), and number of dialysis sessions until renal recovery (MD, -1.34; 95% CI, -3.39 to 0.72). The overall quality of included studies was low, and dialysis parameters were suboptimal for all included studies. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggests that there is no significant difference in short-term mortality and renal recovery in patients with severe AKI when treated with intermittent HF or HDF compared to conventional HD. This systematic review emphasizes the need for further trials evaluating optimal convective parameters in AKI patients treated with intermittent dialysis.

Characteristics and predictors of mortality on haemodialysis in Brazil: a cohort of 5,081 incident patients.

BACKGROUND: Although Brazil has one of the largest populations on haemodialysis (HD) in the world, data regarding patients' characteristics and the variables associated with risk of death are scanty. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of all adult patients who initiated on maintenance HD at 23 dialysis centres in Brazil between 2012 and 2017. Patients were censored after 60 months of follow-up or at the end of 2019. RESULTS: A total of 5,081 patients were included in the analysis. The median age was 59 years, 59.4% were men, 37.5% had diabetes as the cause of kidney failure. Almost 70% had a central venous catheter (CVC) as the initial vascular access, about 60% started dialysis in the hospital, and fluid overload (FO) by bioimpedance assessment was seen in 45% of patients. The 60-month survival rate was 51.4%. In the Cox regression analysis, being older (P<0.0001), starting dialysis in the hospital (P=0.016), having diabetes as the cause of kidney failure (P=0.001), high alkaline phosphatase (P=0.005), CVC as first vascular access (P=0.023), and FO (P<0.0001) were associated with higher death risk, whereas higher body mass index (P=0.015), haemoglobin (P=0.004), transferrin saturation (P=0.002), and serum albumin (P<0.0001) were associated with better survival. The same variables, except initial CVC use (P=0.14), were associated with death risk in an analysis of subdistribution proportional hazards ratio including the competing outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The present study gives an overview of a large HD population in a developing country and identifies the main predictors of mortality, including some potentially modifiable ones, such as unplanned initiation of dialysis in the hospital and fluid overload.

Paclitaxel coated balloon versus conventional balloon angioplasty in dysfunctional dialysis arteriovenous fistula: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

PURPOSE: To compare the efficacy and safety between paclitaxel coated balloon (PCB) angioplasty and conventional balloon (CB) angioplasty in the treatment of dysfunctional arteriovenous fistula (AVF). METHODS: We searched four major electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published from inception through November 28, 2021. Outcomes of interest included target lesion primary patency (TLPP), technical success and all-cause mortality. The STATA package version 15.1 was utilized to undertake meta-analyses. RESULTS: Fourteen RCTs totaling 1535 patients were analyzed. The available data showed that there were no significant differences of TLPP rates at 3, 6, 9 and 12 months between the PCB group and the CB group (risk ratio (RR) 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93-1.07, p = 1.000, I2 = 33.5%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.185, fixed-effect model; RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.99-1.39, p = 0.065, I2 = 75.4%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.000, random-effect model; RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.35-1.89, p = 0.625, I2 = 62.8%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.045, random-effect model; RR 1.19, 95% CI 0.97-1.47, p = 0.096, I2 = 40.5%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.071, random-effect model). In addition, two groups had similar technical success rates (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.97-1.03, p = 1.000, I2 = 0.0%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.596, fixed-effect model) and all-cause mortality rates (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.54-1.84, p = 1.000, I2 = 0.0%, Cochrane Q test p = 0.599, fixed-effect model). CONCLUSIONS: PCB angioplasty did not appear to convey any obvious advantage over CB angioplasty in the treatment of dysfunctional AVF. However, further multi-center, large-scale and well-designed RCTs are needed to prove outcomes.

Slowing Progression of Cardiovascular Calcification With SNF472 in Patients on Hemodialysis: Results of a Randomized Phase 2b Study.

BACKGROUND: The high cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in patients with end-stage kidney disease could be partially caused by extensive cardiovascular calcification. SNF472, intravenous myo-inositol hexaphosphate, selectively inhibits the formation and growth of hydroxyapatite. METHODS: This double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial compared progression of coronary artery calcium volume score and other measurements of cardiovascular calcification by computed tomography scan during 52 weeks of treatment with SNF472 or placebo, in addition to standard therapy, in adult patients with end-stage kidney disease receiving hemodialysis. Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to SNF472 300 mg (n=92), SNF472 600 mg (n=91), or placebo (n=91) by infusion in the hemodialysis lines thrice weekly during hemodialysis sessions. The primary end point was change in log coronary artery calcium volume score from baseline to week 52. The primary efficacy analysis combined the SNF472 treatment groups and included all patients who received at least 1 dose of SNF472 or placebo and had an evaluable computed tomography scan after randomization. RESULTS: The mean change in coronary artery calcium volume score was 11% (95% CI, 7-15) for the combined SNF472 dose group and 20% (95% CI, 14-26) for the placebo group (P=0.016). SNF472 compared with placebo attenuated progression of calcium volume score in the aortic valve (14% [95% CI, 5-24] versus 98% [95% CI, 77-123]; P<0.001) but not in the thoracic aorta (23% [95% CI, 16-30] versus 28% [95% CI, 19-38]; P=0.40). Death occurred in 7 patients (4%) who received SNF472 and 5 patients (6%) who received placebo. At least 1 treatment-emergent adverse event occurred in 86%, 92%, and 87% of patients treated with SNF472 300 mg, SNF472 600 mg, and placebo, respectively. Most adverse events were mild. Adverse events resulted in discontinuation of SNF472 300 mg, SNF472 600 mg, and placebo for 14%, 29%, and 20% of patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with placebo, SNF472 significantly attenuated the progression of coronary artery calcium and aortic valve calcification in patients with end-stage kidney disease receiving hemodialysis in addition to standard care. Future studies are needed to determine the effects of SNF472 on cardiovascular events. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02966028.

The oxygen cascade in patients treated with hemodialysis and native high-altitude dwellers: lessons from extreme physiology to benefit patients with end-stage renal disease.

Patients treated with hemodialysis (HD) repeatedly undergo intradialytic low arterial oxygen saturation and low central venous oxygen saturation, reflecting an imbalance between upper body systemic oxygen supply and demand, which are associated with increased mortality. Abnormalities along the entire oxygen cascade, with impaired diffusive and convective oxygen transport, contribute to the reduced tissue oxygen supply. HD treatment impairs pulmonary gas exchange and reduces ventilatory drive, whereas ultrafiltration can reduce tissue perfusion due to a decline in cardiac output. In addition to these factors, capillary rarefaction and reduced mitochondrial efficacy can further affect the balance between cellular oxygen supply and demand. Whereas it has been convincingly demonstrated that a reduced perfusion of heart and brain during HD contributes to organ damage, the significance of systemic hypoxia remains uncertain, although it may contribute to oxidative stress, systemic inflammation, and accelerated senescence. These abnormalities along the oxygen cascade of patients treated with HD appear to be diametrically opposite to the situation in Tibetan highlanders and Sherpa, whose physiology adapted to the inescapable hypobaric hypoxia of their living environment over many generations. Their adaptation includes pulmonary, vascular, and metabolic alterations with enhanced capillary density, nitric oxide production, and mitochondrial efficacy without oxidative stress. Improving the tissue oxygen supply in patients treated with HD depends primarily on preventing hemodynamic instability by increasing dialysis time/frequency or prescribing cool dialysis. Whether dietary or pharmacological interventions, such as the administration of L-arginine, fermented food, nitrate, nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 agonists, or prolyl hydroxylase 2 inhibitors, improve clinical outcome in patients treated with HD warrants future research.

Longitudinal Causal Effects of Normalized Protein Catabolic Rate on All-Cause Mortality in Patients With End-Stage Renal Disease: Adjusting for Time-Varying Confounders Using the G-Estimation Method.

In this study, we aimed to estimate the causal effect of normalized protein catabolic rate (nPCR) on mortality among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients in the presence of time-varying confounding affected by prior exposure using g-estimation. Information about 553 ESRD patients was retrospectively collected over an 8-year period (2011-2019) from hemodialysis facilities in Kerman, Iran. nPCR was dichotomized as <1.2 g/kg/day versus ≥1.2 g/kg/day. Then a standard time-varying accelerated failure time (AFT) Weibull model was built, and results were compared with those generated by g-estimation. After appropriate adjustment for time-varying confounders, weighted g-estimation yielded 78% shorter survival time (95% confidence interval (95% CI): -81, -73) among patients with a continuous nPCR <1.2 g/kg/day than among those who had nPCR ≥1.2 g/kg/day during follow-up, though it was 18% (95% CI: -57, 54) in the Weibull model. Moreover, hazard ratio estimates of 4.56 (95% CI: 3.69, 5.37) and 1.20 (95% CI: 0.66, 2.17) were obtained via weighted g-estimation and the Weibull model, respectively. G-estimation indicated that inadequate dietary protein intake characterized by nPCR increases all-cause mortality among ESRD patients, but the Weibull model provided an effect estimate that was substantially biased toward the null.

Effect of anti-diabetic drugs in dialysis patients with diabetes: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is common in patients undergoing dialysis. However, the association between anti-diabetic drug use and survival outcomes is rarely discussed. We aimed to investigate whether continued anti-diabetic medication use affects the survival of diabetic dialysis patients and whether different hypoglycemic drug use influences prognosis. METHODS: Using a nationwide database, we enrolled patients with incident end-stage renal disease under maintenance dialysis during 2011-2015 into the pre-existing diabetes dialysis (PDD), incident diabetes after dialysis (IDD), and non-diabetic dialysis (NDD) groups. The PDD group was further subclassified into patients who continued (PDD-M) and discontinued (PDD-NM) anti-diabetic drug use after dialysis. RESULTS: A total of 5249 dialysis patients were examined. The PDD-NM group displayed a significantly higher mortality rate than the IDD, PDD-M, and NDD groups (log-rank test P < 0.001). The PDD-M group had a significantly lower risk of death, regardless of insulin (P < 0.001) or oral hypoglycemic agent (OHA) (P < 0.001) use. Initial insulin administration or OHA had no statistically significant effect on overall mortality in the IDD group. But OHA use had better survival trends than insulin administration for the older (P = 0.02) and male subgroups (P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: For dialysis patients with diabetes, continuous administration of anti-diabetic drugs after dialysis and choice of medication may affect outcomes.