Lower uterine segment thickness assessed by transvaginal ultrasound before labor induction: reproducibility analysis and relationship with delivery outcome.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the reproducibility of lower uterine segment (LUS) thickness measurement before induction of labor (IOL), and to assess the relationship between LUS thickness and IOL outcomes. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of pregnant women undergoing IOL at term, conducted in a single tertiary hospital between July 2014 and February 2017. Women with a singleton pregnancy at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, with a live fetus in cephalic presentation and a Bishop score of ≤ 6, were eligible for inclusion. Both nulliparous and parous women, and those with a previous Cesarean section (CS), were eligible. All women underwent transvaginal ultrasound assessment before IOL admission, and cervical length and LUS thickness were measured offline after delivery. Maternal and obstetric characteristics and Bishop score were recorded. The main outcome was the overall rate of CS after IOL, and secondary outcomes were CS for either failure to progress in the active phase of labor or failed IOL, and CS for failed IOL only. Interobserver agreement for measurement of LUS thickness between two operators was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and Bland-Altman analysis with the ANOVA test to evaluate systematic bias. Univariable and multivariable analysis were employed to evaluate the relationship between clinical and sonographic characteristics and IOL outcomes. RESULTS: Of 265 women included in the analysis, 195 (73.6%) had a vaginal delivery and 70 (26.4%) required a CS after IOL. Reproducibility analysis showed excellent interobserver agreement for the measurement of LUS thickness (ICC, 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93-0.98)). On Bland-Altman analysis, the mean difference in LUS thickness between the two operators was 0.15 mm (95% limits of agreement, -1.84 to 2.14 mm), and there was no evidence of systematic bias (ANOVA test, P = 0.46). Univariable analysis showed that LUS thickness was associated significantly with overall CS (P = 0.002), CS for failure to progress in the active phase of labor or failed IOL (P = 0.03) and CS for failed IOL (P = 0.037). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, LUS thickness was an independent predictive factor for overall CS (odds ratio (OR), 1.149 (95% CI, 1.031-1.281)) and CS for failure to progress in the active phase of labor or failed IOL (OR, 1.226 (95% CI, 1.039-1.445)). CONCLUSIONS: In women undergoing IOL at term, measurement of LUS thickness is feasible and reproducible, and is associated significantly with IOL outcome. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Expected-value bias in mid-trimester preterm birth screening.

OBJECTIVES: Cervical length (CL) measurement ≤ 25 mm on mid-trimester ultrasound scan is a known risk factor for preterm birth, for which vaginal progesterone is recommended. The aims of this study were to evaluate whether CL measurement is affected by observer bias and to assess the impact on short cervix prevalence of masking CL measurement during routine mid-trimester ultrasound scan. METHODS: This was a flash study designed for a 2-month period (October and November 2018) at Cruces University Hospital (Bizkaia, Spain), in which all CL measurements from routine mid-trimester scans were masked. During the study period, there was no modification of the routine screening method, and women with a short cervix were prescribed 200 mg vaginal progesterone daily as per usual. The control group included women examined in a 2-month period (April and May 2018) prior to the study, in which CL measurements were taken as usual by a non-blinded operator. The primary outcome was the prevalence of short cervix in each group. RESULTS: A total of 983 CL measurements were analyzed, including 457 in the blinded group and 526 in the control group. The prevalence of short cervix was 2.7% in the non-blinded group and 5.5% in the blinded group (P = 0.024). We identified a statistically significant difference in the incidence of CL of 24-25 mm between the two groups, with a lower prevalence in the non-blinded vs blinded group (0.6% vs 2.4%; P < 0.005). Moreover, the distribution of CL values was normal in the blinded group, in contrast to the non-blinded group, which was characterized by skewed distribution of CL values. CONCLUSIONS: Expected-value bias exists and should be taken into account when measuring CL in mid-trimester preterm birth screening. Blinding has demonstrated to be an effective strategy to improve the performance of CL screening in clinical practice. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.