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1.
Ann Surg ; 275(1): 99-105, 2022 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34914661

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of gaining access to Medicare on key financial outcomes for surgical patients. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Surgical care poses a significant financial burden, especially among patients with insufficient financial risk protection. Medicare may mitigate the risk of these adverse circumstances, but the impact of Medicare eligibility on surgical patients remains poorly understood. METHODS: Regression discontinuity analysis of national, cross-sectional survey and cost data from the 2008 to 2018 National Health Interview Survey and Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Patients were between the ages of 57 to 72 with surgery in the past 12 months. The primary outcomes were the presence of medical debt, delay/deferment of care due to cost, total annual out-of-pocket costs, and experiencing catastrophic health expenditures. RESULTS: Among 45,982,243 National Health Interview Survey patients, Medicare eligibility was associated with a 6.6 percentage-point decrease (95% confidence interval [CI]: -9.0% to -4.3) in being uninsured (>99% relative reduction), 7.6 percentage-point decrease (24% relative reduction) in having medical debt (95%CI: -14.1% to -1.1%), and 4.9 percentage-point decrease (95%CI: -9.4% to -0.4%) in deferrals/delays in medical care due to cost (28% relative reduction). Among 33,084,967 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey patients, annual out-of-pocket spending decreased by $1199 per patient (95%CI: -$1633 to -$765), a 33% relative reduction, and catastrophic health expenditures decreased by 7.3 percentage points (95%CI: -13.6% to -0.1%), a 55% relative reduction. CONCLUSIONS: Medicare may reduce the economic burden of healthcare spending and delays in care for older adult surgical patients. These findings have important implications for policy discussions regarding changing insurance eligibility thresholds for the older adult population.


Subject(s)
Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Insurance Coverage/economics , Medicare/economics , Surgical Procedures, Operative/economics , Aged , Cost of Illness , Cross-Sectional Studies , Health Care Surveys , Humans , Medically Uninsured , Middle Aged , Time-to-Treatment/economics , United States
2.
J Gen Intern Med ; 37(16): 4223-4232, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35474502

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In 2014, hypertension guidelines for older adults endorsed increased use of fixed-dose combinations, prioritized thiazide diuretics and calcium channel blockers (CCBs) for Black patients, and no longer recommend beta-blockers as first-line therapy. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate older adults' antihypertensive use following guideline changes. DESIGN: Time series analysis. PATIENTS: Twenty percent national sample of Medicare Part D beneficiaries aged 66 years and older with hypertension. INTERVENTION: Eighth Joint National Committee (JNC8) guidelines MAIN MEASURES: Quarterly trends in prevalent and initial antihypertensive use were examined before (2008 to 2013) and after (2014 to 2017) JNC8. Analyses were conducted among all beneficiaries with hypertension, beneficiaries without chronic conditions that might influence antihypertensive selection (hypertension-only cohort), and among Black patients, given race-based guideline recommendations. KEY RESULTS: The number of beneficiaries with hypertension increased from 1,978,494 in 2008 to 2,809,680 in 2017, the proportions using antihypertensives increased from 80.3 to 81.2%, and the proportion using multiple classes and fixed-dose combinations declined (60.8 to 58.1% and 20.7 to 15.1%, respectively, all P<.01). Prior to JNC8, the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, and CCBs was increasing. Use of CCBs as initial therapy increased more rapidly following JNC8 (relative change in quarterly trend 0.15% [95% CI, 0.13-0.18%), especially among Black beneficiaries (relative change 0.44% [95% CI, 0.21-0.68%]). Contrary to guidelines, the use of thiazides and combinations as initial therapy consistently decreased in the hypertension-only cohort (13.8 to 8.3% and 25.1 to 15.7% respectively). By 2017, 65.9% of Black patients in the hypertension-only cohort were initiated on recommended first-line or combination therapy compared to 80.3% of non-Black patients. CONCLUSIONS: Many older adults, particularly Black patients, continue to be initiated on antihypertensive classes not recommended as first-line, indicating opportunities to improve the effectiveness and equity of hypertension care and potentially reduce antihypertensive regimen complexity.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents , Hypertension , Aged , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Medicare , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypertension/epidemiology , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Calcium Channel Blockers/adverse effects , Comorbidity
3.
Am J Public Health ; 112(5): 766-775, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35324259

ABSTRACT

Objectives. To compare health care utilization and costs between beneficiaries randomly assigned to usual services versus a community health worker (CHW) program implemented by 3 Medicaid health plans. Methods. From February 2018 to June 2019, beneficiaries residing in Detroit, Michigan's Cody Rouge neighborhood with more than 3 emergency department (ED) visits or at least 1 ambulatory care‒sensitive hospitalization in the previous 12 months were randomized. CHWs reached out to eligible beneficiaries to assess their needs and link them to services. We compared ED and ambulatory care visits, hospitalizations, and related costs over 12 months. Results. In intention-to-treat analyses among 2457 beneficiaries, the 1389 randomized to the CHW program had lower adjusted ratios of ED visits (adjusted rate ratio [ARR] = 0.96; P < .01) and ED visit costs (ARR = 0.96; P < .01), but higher adjusted ratios of ambulatory care costs (ARR = 1.15; P < .01) and no differences in inpatient or total costs compared with the usual-care group. Conclusions. Initial increases in ambulatory care use from effective programs for underserved communities may mitigate savings from decreased acute care use. Longer-term outcomes should be followed to assess potential cost savings from improved health. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03924713. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(5):766-775. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2021.306700).


Subject(s)
Community Health Workers , Medicaid , Cost Savings , Emergency Service, Hospital , Health Care Costs , Hospitalization , Humans , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Program Evaluation , United States
4.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 22(1): 233, 2022 Feb 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35183170

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medicaid community engagement requirements previously received federal approval in 12 states, despite limited data on their impact on enrollees' employment-related activities. Our objective was to assess longitudinal changes in enrollees' employment and student status after implementation of Michigan's Medicaid expansion. METHODS: Longitudinal telephone survey of Michigan Medicaid expansion enrollees in 2016 (response rate [RR] = 53.7%), 2017 (RR = 83.4%), and 2018 (N = 2,608, RR = 89.4%) serially assessing self-reported employment or student status. Survey responses were benchmarked against statewide changes in assessed similar low-income adults in the U.S. Census Bureau Current Population Survey. We used mixed models with individual random effects to assess changes in the proportion of enrollees who were employed or students by year. RESULTS: Most respondents had incomes < 100% FPL (61.7% with 0-35% of the federal poverty level [FPL], 22.9% with 36-99% FPL, and 15.4% with 100-133% FPL), 89.3% had at least a high school diploma/equivalent, and they ranged in age (39.6% age 19-34, 34.5% age 35-50, 25.9% age 51-64). Employment or student status increased significantly among Michigan Medicaid expansion respondents, from 54.5% in 2016 to 61.4% in 2018 (P < 0.001), including among those with a chronic condition (47.8% to 53.8%, P < 0.001) or mental health/substance use disorder (48.5% to 56.0%, P < 0.001). In contrast, the statewide proportion of low-income non-elderly adults who were employed or students did not change significantly (from 42.7% in 2016 to 46.0% in 2018, P = 0.57). CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion, absent a community engagement requirement, was associated with increased employment and related activities. The role of Medicaid in providing safety-net coverage to individuals during times of economic stress is likely to grow.


Subject(s)
Employment , Medicaid , Adult , Health Services Accessibility , Humans , Insurance Coverage , Michigan/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Poverty , Students , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
5.
JAMA ; 328(21): 2126-2135, 2022 12 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36472594

ABSTRACT

Importance: Medicare Advantage health plans covered 37% of beneficiaries in 2018, and coverage increased to 48% in 2022. Whether Medicare Advantage plans provide similar care for patients presenting with specific clinical conditions is unknown. Objective: To compare 30-day mortality and treatment for Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (MI) from 2009 to 2018. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study that included 557 309 participants with ST-segment elevation [acute] MI (STEMI) and 1 670 193 with non-ST-segment elevation [acute] MI (NSTEMI) presenting to US hospitals from 2009-2018 (date of final follow up, December 31, 2019). Exposures: Enrollment in Medicare Advantage vs traditional Medicare. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was adjusted 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included age- and sex-adjusted rates of procedure use (catheterization, revascularization), postdischarge medication prescriptions and adherence, and measures of health system performance (intensive care unit [ICU] admission and 30-day readmissions). Results: The study included a total of 2 227 502 participants, and the mean age in 2018 ranged from 76.9 years (Medicare Advantage STEMI) to 79.3 years (traditional Medicare NSTEMI), with similar proportions of female patients in Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare (41.4% vs 41.9% for STEMI in 2018). Enrollment in Medicare Advantage vs traditional Medicare was associated with significantly lower adjusted 30-day mortality rates in 2009 (19.1% vs 20.6% for STEMI; difference, -1.5 percentage points [95% CI, -2.2 to -0.7] and 12.0% vs 12.5% for NSTEMI; difference, -0.5 percentage points [95% CI, -0.9% to -0.1%]). By 2018, mortality had declined in all groups, and there were no longer statically significant differences between Medicare Advantage (17.7%) and traditional Medicare (17.8%) for STEMI (difference, 0.0 percentage points [95% CI, -0.7 to 0.6]) or between Medicare Advantage (10.9%) and traditional Medicare (11.1%) for NSTEMI (difference, -0.2 percentage points [95% CI, -0.4 to 0.1]). By 2018, there was no statistically significant difference in standardized 90-day revascularization rates between Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare. Rates of guideline-recommended medication prescriptions were significantly higher in Medicare Advantage (91.7%) vs traditional Medicare patients (89.0%) who received a statin prescription (difference, 2.7 percentage points [95% CI, 1.2 to 4.2] for 2018 STEMI). Medicare Advantage patients were significantly less likely to be admitted to an ICU than traditional Medicare patients (for 2018 STEMI, 50.3% vs 51.2%; difference, -0.9 percentage points [95% CI, -1.8 to 0.0]) and significantly more likely to be discharged to home rather than to a postacute facility (for 2018 STEMI, 71.5% vs 70.2%; difference, 1.3 percentage points [95% CI, 0.5 to 2.1]). Adjusted 30-day readmission rates were consistently lower in Medicare Advantage than in traditional Medicare (for 2009 STEMI, 13.8% vs 15.2%; difference, -1.3 percentage points [95% CI, -2.0 to -0.6]; and for 2018 STEMI, 11.2% vs 11.9%; difference, 0.6 percentage points [95% CI, -1.5 to 0.0]). Conclusions and Relevance: Among Medicare beneficiaries with acute MI, enrollment in Medicare Advantage, compared with traditional Medicare, was significantly associated with modestly lower rates of 30-day mortality in 2009, and the difference was no longer statistically significant by 2018. These findings, considered with other outcomes, may provide insight into differences in treatment and outcomes by Medicare insurance type.


Subject(s)
Medicare Part C , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Aftercare/economics , Aftercare/standards , Aftercare/statistics & numerical data , Medicare/economics , Medicare/standards , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Medicare Part C/economics , Medicare Part C/standards , Medicare Part C/statistics & numerical data , Patient Discharge/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/economics , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/mortality , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
6.
Breast Cancer Res Treat ; 189(1): 81-92, 2021 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34235608

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: We developed and tested a multi-level intervention, ConnectedCancerCare (CCC), which includes a tailored website and appointment reminder system for women with early-stage breast cancer and a provider summary letter sent to their medical oncologist and primary care provider to improve the delivery of team-based survivorship care. METHODS: We conducted a pilot randomized controlled trial to establish the feasibility and acceptability of CCC. Women diagnosed with stages 0-II breast cancer within one year of completing primary treatment were randomized to CCC (intervention) or a static online survivorship care plan (control). Participants completed baseline and 3-month follow-up surveys online. Post-trial interviews with 5 PCPs, 6 oncology providers, and 8 intervention patients were conducted. RESULTS: Of the 160 eligible women invited to participate, 66 completed the baseline survey and were randomized (41%) and 54 completed a follow-up survey (83%). Participants in the intervention arm found the CCC content to be acceptable, with 82% reporting it was easy to use and 86% reporting they would recommend it to other patients. Women randomized to CCC (vs. control) more often reported scheduling a PCP follow-up visit (64% vs. 42%), communicating with their PCP about provider roles (67% vs. 18%), and higher mean team-based cancer care knowledge scores (3.7 vs. 3.4). CONCLUSION: Deploying CCC in medical oncology practices was feasible, and the intervention content was acceptable. CCC shows promise for improving patient knowledge and patient-provider communication about provider roles in team-based cancer care and encouraging patients to engage with their PCP early in the survivorship period.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Survivorship , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Continuity of Patient Care , Female , Humans , Medical Oncology , Pilot Projects
7.
Med Care ; 59(9): 785-788, 2021 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34081674

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Six states expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act have obtained waivers to incorporate cost-sharing. OBJECTIVE: We describe the magnitude and distribution of cost-sharing imposed by the Healthy Michigan Plan and enrollees' propensity to pay. RESEARCH DESIGN: Enrollees are followed for at least 18 months (6-mo baseline period for utilization and spending before receipt of first cost-sharing statement; ≥12 mo follow-up thereafter to ascertain obligations and payments). Analyses stratified by income, comparing enrollees with income less than Federal Poverty Level (FPL) who faced only utilization-based copayments and those greater than or equal to FPL who also faced premium contributions. SUBJECTS: A total of 158,322 enrollees aged 22-62 who initially enrolled during the first year of the program and remained continuously enrolled ≥18 months. RESULTS: Among those enrolled ≥18 months, 51.0% faced cost-sharing. Average quarterly invoices were $4.85 ($11.11 for those with positive invoices) for income less than FPL and $26.71 ($30.93 for those with positive invoices) for incomes greater than or equal to FPL. About half of enrollees with obligations made at least partial payments, with payments being more likely among those >100% FPL. Payment of the full obligation was highest in the initial 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Many payment obligations go uncollected, suggesting that in a system without the threat of disenrollment, the impacts of cost-sharing may be muted. Similarly, the ability of cost-sharing to defray the program's budgetary impact may also be less than anticipated.


Subject(s)
Cost Sharing/economics , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Medicaid/economics , Adult , Cost Sharing/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Income/statistics & numerical data , Male , Michigan , Middle Aged , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/economics , Poverty , United States
9.
J Gen Intern Med ; 35(2): 514-522, 2020 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31792865

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health risk assessments (HRAs) and healthy behavior incentives are increasingly used by state Medicaid programs to promote enrollees' health. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate enrollee experiences with HRAs and healthy behavior engagement in the Healthy Michigan Plan (HMP), a state Medicaid expansion program. DESIGN: Telephone survey conducted in Michigan January-October 2016. PARTICIPANTS: A random sample of HMP enrollees aged 19-64 with ≥ 12 months of enrollment, stratified by income and geographic region. MAIN MEASURES: Self-reported completion of an HRA, reasons for completing an HRA, commitment to a healthy behavior, and choice of healthy behavior. KEY RESULTS: Among respondents (N = 4090), 49.3% (95% CI 47.3-51.2%) reported completing an HRA; among those with a primary care provider (PCP) (n = 3851), 85.2% (95% CI 83.5-86.7%) reported visiting their PCP during the last 12 months. Most enrollees having a recent PCP visit reported discussing healthy behaviors with them (91.1%, 95% CI 89.6-92.3%) and were more likely to have completed an HRA than enrollees without a recent PCP visit (52.7%, 95% CI 50.5-52.8% vs. 36.2%, 95% CI 31.7-41.1%; p < 0.01). Among enrollees completing an HRA, nearly half said they did it because their PCP suggested it (45.9%, 95% CI 43.2-48.7%), and most reported it helped their PCP understand their health needs (89.7%). Awareness of financial incentives was limited (28.1%, 95% CI 26.3-30.0%), and very few reported it as the primary reason for HRA completion (2.5%, 95% CI 1.8-3.4%). Most committed to a healthy behavior (80.7%, 95% CI 78.5-82.8%), and common behaviors chosen were nutrition/diet (57.2%, 95% CI 54.2-60.2%) and exercise/activity (52.6%, 95% CI 49.5-55.7%). CONCLUSIONS: In the Healthy Michigan Plan, PCPs appeared influential in enrollees' completion of HRAs and healthy behavior engagement, while knowledge of financial incentives was limited. Additional study is needed to understand the relative importance of financial incentives and PCP engagement in impacting healthy behaviors in state Medicaid programs.


Subject(s)
Health Services Accessibility , Medicaid , Adult , Health Behavior , Humans , Michigan/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
10.
J Gen Intern Med ; 35(3): 800-807, 2020 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31792868

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medicaid expansion in Michigan, known as the Healthy Michigan Plan (HMP), emphasizes primary care and preventive services. OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the impact of enrollment in HMP on access to and receipt of care, particularly primary care and preventive services. DESIGN: Telephone survey conducted during January-November 2016 with stratified random sampling by income and geographic region (response rate = 53.7%). Logistic regression analyses accounted for sampling and nonresponse adjustment. PARTICIPANTS: 4090 HMP enrollees aged 19-64 with ≥ 12 months of HMP coverage MAIN MEASURES: Surveys assessed demographic factors, health, access to and use of health care before and after HMP enrollment, health behaviors, receipt of counseling for health risks, and knowledge of preventive services' copayments. Utilization of preventive services was assessed using Medicaid claims. KEY RESULTS: In the 12 months prior to HMP enrollment, 33.0% of enrollees reported not getting health care they needed. Three quarters (73.8%) of enrollees reported having a regular source of care (RSOC) before enrollment; 65.1% of those reported a doctor's office/clinic, while 16.2% reported the emergency room. After HMP enrollment, 92.2% of enrollees reported having a RSOC; 91.7% had a doctor's office/clinic and 1.7% the emergency room. One fifth (20.6%) of enrollees reported that, before HMP enrollment, it had been over 5 years since their last primary care visit. Enrollees who reported a visit with their primary care provider after HMP enrollment (79.3%) were significantly more likely than those who did not report a visit to receive counseling about health behaviors, improved access to cancer screening, new diagnoses of chronic conditions, and nearly all preventive services. Enrollee knowledge that some services have no copayments was also associated with greater utilization of most preventive services. CONCLUSIONS: After enrolling in Michigan's Medicaid expansion program, beneficiaries reported less forgone care and improved access to primary care and preventive services.


Subject(s)
Health Services Accessibility , Medicaid , Adult , Health Promotion , Humans , Michigan/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Primary Health Care , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
11.
J Gen Intern Med ; 35(1): 133-141, 2020 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31705479

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) created new incentives for organizations to improve healthcare value, Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) have achieved only modest reductions in the use of low-value care. OBJECTIVE: To assess ACO engagement of clinicians and whether engagement was associated with clinicians' reported difficulty implementing recommendations against low-value care. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey of ACO clinicians in 2018. PARTICIPANTS: 1289 clinicians in the Physician Organization of Michigan ACO, including generalist physicians (18%), internal medicine specialists (16%), surgeons (10%), other physician specialists (27%), and advanced practice providers (29%). Response rate was 34%. MAIN MEASURES: Primary exposures included clinicians' participation in ACO decision-making, awareness of ACO incentives, perceived influence on practice, and perceived quality improvement. Our primary outcome was clinicians' reported difficulty implementing recommendations against low-value care. RESULTS: Few clinicians participated in the decision to join the ACO (3%). Few clinicians were aware of ACO incentives, including knowing the ACO was accountable for both spending and quality (23%), successfully lowered spending (9%), or faced upside risk only (3%). Few agreed (moderately or strongly) the ACO changed compensation (20%), practice (19%), or feedback (15%) or that it improved care coordination (17%) or inappropriate care (13%). Clinicians reported they had difficulty following recommendations against low-value care 18% of the time; clinicians reported patients had difficulty accepting recommendations 36% of the time. Increased ACO awareness (1 standard deviation [SD]) was associated with decreased difficulty (- 2.3 percentage points) implementing recommendations (95% confidence interval [CI] - 3.8, - 0.7), as was perceived quality improvement (1 SD increase, - 2.1 percentage points, 95% CI, - 3.4, - 0.8). Participation in ACO decision-making and perceived influence on practice were not associated with recommendation implementation. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians participating in a large Medicare ACO were broadly unaware of and unengaged with ACO objectives and activities. Whether low clinician engagement limits ACO efforts to reduce low-value care warrants further longitudinal study.


Subject(s)
Accountable Care Organizations , Medicare , Aged , Cost Savings , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Michigan , United States
12.
Ann Intern Med ; 171(1): 27-36, 2019 07 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31207609

ABSTRACT

Background: Accountable care organizations (ACOs) in the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) are associated with modest savings. However, prior research may overstate this effect if high-cost clinicians exit ACOs. Objective: To evaluate the effect of the MSSP on spending and quality while accounting for clinicians' nonrandom exit. Design: Similar to prior MSSP analyses, this study compared MSSP ACO participants versus control beneficiaries using adjusted longitudinal models that accounted for secular trends, market factors, and beneficiary characteristics. To further account for selection effects, the share of nearby clinicians in the MSSP was used as an instrumental variable. Hip fracture served as a falsification outcome. The authors also tested for compositional changes among MSSP participants. Setting: Fee-for-service Medicare, 2008 through 2014. Patients: A 20% sample (97 204 192 beneficiary-quarters). Measurements: Total spending, 4 quality indicators, and hospitalization for hip fracture. Results: In adjusted longitudinal models, the MSSP was associated with spending reductions (change, -$118 [95% CI, -$151 to -$85] per beneficiary-quarter) and improvements in all 4 quality indicators. In instrumental variable models, the MSSP was not associated with spending (change, $5 [CI, -$51 to $62] per beneficiary-quarter) or quality. In falsification tests, the MSSP was associated with hip fracture in the adjusted model (-0.24 hospitalizations for hip fracture [CI, -0.32 to -0.16 hospitalizations] per 1000 beneficiary-quarters) but not in the instrumental variable model (0.05 hospitalizations [CI, -0.10 to 0.20 hospitalizations] per 1000 beneficiary-quarters). Compositional changes were driven by high-cost clinicians exiting ACOs: High-cost clinicians (99th percentile) had a 30.4% chance of exiting the MSSP, compared with a 13.8% chance among median-cost clinicians (50th percentile). Limitation: The study used an observational design and administrative data. Conclusion: After adjustment for clinicians' nonrandom exit, the MSSP was not associated with improvements in spending or quality. Selection effects-including exit of high-cost clinicians-may drive estimates of savings in the MSSP. Primary Funding Source: Horowitz Foundation for Social Policy, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and National Institute on Aging.


Subject(s)
Accountable Care Organizations/economics , Accountable Care Organizations/standards , Cost Savings , Medicare/economics , Medicare/standards , Aged , Fee-for-Service Plans/economics , Hip Fractures/therapy , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Quality Indicators, Health Care , Selection Bias , United States
13.
J Health Polit Policy Law ; 45(1): 5-48, 2020 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31675091

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: Medicaid expansion has costs and benefits for states. The net impact on a state's budget is a central concern for policy makers debating implementing this provision of the Affordable Care Act. How large is the state-level fiscal impact of expanding Medicaid, and how should it be estimated? METHODS: We use Michigan as a case study for evaluating the state-level fiscal impact of Medicaid expansion, with particular attention to the importance of macroeconomic feedback effects relative to the more straightforward fiscal effects typically estimated by state budget agencies. We combine projections from the state of Michigan's House Fiscal Agency with estimates from a proprietary macroeconomic model to project the state fiscal impact of Michigan's Medicaid expansion through 2021. FINDINGS: We find that Medicaid expansion in Michigan yields clear fiscal benefits for the state, in the form of savings on other non-Medicaid health programs and increases in revenue from provider taxes and broad-based sales and income taxes through at least 2021. These benefits exceed the state's costs in every year. CONCLUSIONS: While these results are specific to Michigan's budget and economy, our methods could in principle be applied in any state where policy makers seek rigorous evidence on the fiscal impact of Medicaid expansion.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Medicaid/economics , Medicaid/legislation & jurisprudence , Medicaid/organization & administration , Models, Economic , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/legislation & jurisprudence , Michigan , United States
14.
Med Care ; 57(4): 312-317, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30762722

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medicaid expansion was associated with an increase in hospitalizations funded by Medicaid. Whether this increase reflects an isolated payer shift or broader changes in case-mix among hospitalized adults remains uncertain. RESEEARCH DESIGN: Difference-in-differences analysis of discharge data from 4 states that expanded Medicaid in 2014 (Arizona, Iowa, New Jersey, and Washington) and 3 comparison states that did not (North Carolina, Nebraska, and Wisconsin). SUBJECTS: All nonobstetric hospitalizations among patients aged 19-64 years of age admitted between January 2012 and December 2015. MEASURES: Outcomes included state-level per-capita rates of insurance coverage, several markers of admission severity, and admission diagnosis. RESULTS: We identified 6,516,576 patients admitted during the study period. Per-capita admissions remained consistent in expansion and nonexpansion states, though Medicaid-covered admissions increased in expansion states (274.6-403.8 per 100,000 people vs. 268.9-262.8 per 100,000; P<0.001). There were no significant differences after Medicaid expansion in hospital utilization, based on per-capita rates of patients-designated emergent, admitted via the emergency department, admitted via clinic, discharged within 1 day, or with lengths of stay ≥7 days. Similarly, there were no differences in diagnosis category at admission, admission severity, comorbidity burden, or mortality associated with Medicaid expansion (P>0.05 for all comparisons). CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion was associated with a shift in payers among nonelderly hospitalized adults without significant changes in case-mix or in several markers of acuity. These findings suggest that Medicaid expansion may reduce uncompensated care without shifting admissions practices or acuity among hospitalized adults.


Subject(s)
Health Services Accessibility/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Insurance Coverage/economics , Insurance, Health/economics , Medicaid/statistics & numerical data , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Eligibility Determination , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Discharge , Retrospective Studies , United States
15.
J Gen Intern Med ; 34(11): 2549-2558, 2019 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31512184

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is uncertain how Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act influences the diagnosis of chronic health conditions, and the care and health of enrollees with chronic conditions. OBJECTIVE: Describe the prevalence of new and pre-existing chronic health conditions among Medicaid expansion enrollees. Examine whether perceived changes in specific types of access and self-rated health status differed between enrollees with chronic conditions and those without. Examine how gaining Medicaid coverage affected chronic disease management and well-being. DESIGN: Mixed-methods study including a telephone survey and semi-structured interviews. SETTING: Michigan's Medicaid expansion, the "Healthy Michigan Plan" (HMP). PARTICIPANTS: 4090 survey respondents (response rate 54%) with ≥ 12 months HMP enrollment and 67 interviewees with ≥ 6 months enrollment. MAIN MEASURES: Self-reported chronic condition diagnoses, changes in physical/mental health, and healthcare access. Descriptive survey data were adjusted for survey design and nonresponse. Semi-structured interview questions about how gaining HMP coverage led to changes in health status. KEY RESULTS: Among enrollees, 68% had a self-reported diagnosis of a chronic health condition; 42% of those were newly diagnosed since HMP enrollment. In multivariable models, enrollees with chronic conditions were significantly more likely to report improved physical (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.70, 95% CI (1.40, 2.07)) and mental health (aOR 1.75, (1.43, 2.15)) since HMP enrollment than enrollees without chronic conditions. Among enrollees with chronic conditions, the strongest predictors of improvements in health were having seen a primary care physician, improved mental health care access, and improved medication access. Interviewees with chronic conditions described how increased access to health care led to improvements in both physical and mental health. CONCLUSIONS: Enrollees with expanded Medicaid coverage commonly reported detection of previously undiagnosed chronic conditions. Perceived health status and access improved more often among enrollees with chronic health conditions. Improved access was associated with improved physical and mental health among this vulnerable group.


Subject(s)
Chronic Disease/epidemiology , Health Services Accessibility/standards , Health Status , Medicaid/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Chronic Disease/economics , Chronic Disease/therapy , Female , Health Services Accessibility/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , Michigan/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Prevalence , Self Report , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
16.
J Gen Intern Med ; 34(2): 272-280, 2019 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30519839

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Michigan expanded Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act (Healthy Michigan Plan [HMP]) to improve the health of low-income residents and the state's economy. OBJECTIVE: To understand HMP's impact on enrollees' health, ability to work, and ability to seek employment DESIGN: Mixed methods study, including 67 qualitative interviews and 4090 computer-assisted telephone surveys (response rate 53.7%) PARTICIPANTS: Non-elderly adult HMP enrollees MAIN MEASURES: Changes in health status, ability to work, and ability to seek employment KEY RESULTS: Half (47.8%) of respondents reported better physical health, 38.2% better mental health, and 39.5% better dental health since HMP enrollment. Among employed respondents, 69.4% reported HMP helped them do a better job at work. Among out-of-work respondents, 54.5% agreed HMP made them better able to look for a job. Among respondents who changed jobs, 36.9% agreed HMP helped them get a better job. In adjusted analyses, improved health was associated with the ability to do a better job at work (aOR 4.08, 95% CI 3.11-5.35, p < 0.001), seek a job (aOR 2.82, 95% CI 1.93-4.10, p < 0.001), and get a better job (aOR 3.20, 95% CI 1.69-6.09, p < 0.001), but not with employment status (aOR 1.08, 95% CI 0.89-1.30, p = 0.44). In interviews, several HMP enrollees attributed their ability to get or maintain employment to improved physical, mental, and dental health because of services covered by HMP. Remaining barriers to work cited by enrollees included older age, disability, illness, and caregiving responsibilities. CONCLUSIONS: Many low-income HMP enrollees reported improved health, ability to work, and job seeking after obtaining health insurance through Medicaid expansion.


Subject(s)
Employment/trends , Health Status , Medicaid/trends , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/trends , Poverty/trends , Surveys and Questionnaires , Adult , Employment/economics , Female , Humans , Male , Medicaid/economics , Michigan/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/economics , Poverty/economics , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
17.
Am J Public Health ; 109(S1): S64-S69, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30699021

ABSTRACT

Findings from health services research highlight continuing health care disparities in the United States, especially in the areas of access to health care and quality of care. Although attention to health care disparities has increased, considerable knowledge gaps still exist. A better understanding of how cultural, behavioral, and health system factors converge and contribute to unequal access and differential care is needed. Research-informed approaches for reducing health care disparities that are feasible and capable of sustained implementation are needed to inform policymakers. More important, for health equity to be achieved, it is essential to create a health care system that provides access, removes barriers to care, and provides equally effective treatment to all persons living in the United States.


Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care , Health Services Research , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology , Health Equity , Humans , Quality Improvement , Socioeconomic Factors , United States
19.
J Gen Intern Med ; 33(4): 471-480, 2018 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29427177

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is a costly and common condition, but little is known about recent trends in diabetes management among Medicare beneficiaries. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the use of diabetes medications and testing supplies among Medicare beneficiaries. DESIGN/SETTING: Retrospective cohort analysis of Medicare claims from 2007 to 2014. PARTICIPANTS: Traditional Medicare beneficiaries with a diagnosis of diabetes in the current or any prior year. MAIN MEASURES: We analyzed choices of first diabetes medication for those new to medication and patterns of adding medications. We also examined the use of testing supplies, use of statins and ACE inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, and spending. KEY RESULTS: Diagnosed diabetes increased from 28.7% to 30.2% of beneficiaries from 2007 to 2014. The use of metformin as the most commonly prescribed first medication increased from 50.2% in 2007 to 70.2% in 2014, whereas long-acting sulfonylureas decreased from 16.6% to 8.2%. The use of thiazolidinediones fell considerably, while the use of new diabetes medication classes increased. Among patients prescribed insulin, long-acting insulin as the first choice increased substantially, from 38.9% to 56.8%, but short-acting or combination regimens remained common, particularly among older or sicker beneficiaries. Prescriptions of testing supplies for more than once-daily testing were also common. The mean total cost of diabetes medications per patient increased over the period due to the increasing use of high-cost drugs, particularly by those patients with costs above the 90th percentile of spending, although the median costs decreased for both medications and testing supplies. CONCLUSIONS: The use of metformin and long-acting insulin have increased substantially among elderly Medicare patients with diabetes, but a substantial subgroup continues to receive costly and complex treatment regimens.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus/drug therapy , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Hypoglycemic Agents/therapeutic use , Medicare/trends , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/economics , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/economics , Female , Humans , Hypoglycemic Agents/economics , Male , Medicare/economics , Metformin/economics , Metformin/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies , Sulfonylurea Compounds/economics , Sulfonylurea Compounds/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
20.
J Gen Intern Med ; 33(8): 1307-1316, 2018 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29948813

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Michigan's approach to Medicaid expansion, the Healthy Michigan Plan (HMP), emphasizes primary care, prevention, and incentives for patients and primary care practitioners (PCPs). OBJECTIVE: Assess PCPs' perspectives about the impact of HMP on their patients and practices. DESIGN: In 2014-2015, we conducted semi-structured interviews then a statewide survey of PCPs. SETTING: Interviewees came from varied types of practices in five Michigan regions selected for racial/ethnic diversity and a mix of rural and urban settings. Surveys were sent via mail. PARTICIPANTS: Interviewees were physician (n = 16) and non-physician practitioners (n = 3). All Michigan PCPs caring for ≥ 12 HMP enrollees were surveyed (response rate 55.5%, N = 2104). MEASUREMENTS: PCPs' experiences with HMP patients and recent changes in their practices. RESULTS: Interviews include examples of the impact of Medicaid expansion on patients and practices. A majority of surveyed PCPs reported recent increases in new patients (52.3%) and patients who had not seen a PCP in many years (56.2%). For previously uninsured patients, PCPs reported positive impact on control of chronic conditions (74.4%), early detection of serious illness (71.1%), medication adherence (69.1%), health behaviors (56.5%), emotional well-being (57.0%), and the ability to work, attend school, or live independently (41.5%). HMP patients reportedly still had more difficulty than privately insured patients accessing some services. Most PCPs reported that their practices had, in the past year, hired clinicians (53.2%) and/or staff (57.5%); 15.4% had colocated mental health care. Few (15.8%) reported established patients' access to urgent appointments worsened. LIMITATIONS: PCP reports of patient experiences may not be accurate. Results reflect the experiences of PCPs with ≥ 12 Medicaid patients. Differences between respondents and non-respondents present the possibility for response bias. CONCLUSIONS: PCPs reported improved patient access to care, medication adherence, chronic condition management, and detection of serious illness. Established patients' access did not diminish, perhaps due to reported practice changes.


Subject(s)
Attitude of Health Personnel , Health Services Accessibility/statistics & numerical data , Medicaid/organization & administration , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Insurance Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Male , Michigan , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Primary Health Care/organization & administration , Qualitative Research , Surveys and Questionnaires , United States
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