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1.
Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol ; 132(6): 759-764.e2, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38341029

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an allergy to galactose-α-1,3-galactose (alpha-gal), a carbohydrate found in most mammals. Evidence indicates that AGS develops after a tick bite, and in the United States, AGS is most associated with bites from Amblyomma americanum (lone star tick); however, not all persons bitten by ticks develop clinical AGS. OBJECTIVE: To investigate intrinsic risk factors associated with the development of AGS. METHODS: We performed a case-control study among adults presenting for diagnosis or management of AGS at an allergy clinic in North Carolina during 2019 to 2020 and compared them with controls enrolled from 2 nearby internal medicine clinics. A questionnaire gathered epidemiologic and tick exposure data, and blood was obtained for alpha-gal-specific IgE and other testing. RESULTS: The 82 enrolled case patients and 191 controls did not differ significantly by age or sex. Case patients were more likely than controls to have A or O blood types (non B-antigen), have experienced childhood allergies, and have a family history of AGS and other food allergies. Case patients were also more likely to report experiencing long healing times for insect bites or stings and a family history of allergy to stinging or biting insects. CONCLUSION: This study suggested that intrinsic factors contribute to risk of developing AGS. Some traits are genetic, but common behaviors among households and family units likely also contribute. Identification of these risk factors can inform personal risk, aid health care providers in understanding susceptible populations, and contribute to ongoing understanding of AGS epidemiology.


Subject(s)
Food Hypersensitivity , Tick Bites , Humans , Case-Control Studies , Female , Male , Risk Factors , Middle Aged , Adult , Food Hypersensitivity/epidemiology , Tick Bites/epidemiology , Tick Bites/immunology , Animals , Aged , Immunoglobulin E/blood , Immunoglobulin E/immunology , North Carolina/epidemiology , Amblyomma/immunology , Young Adult , Adolescent
2.
Allergy ; 78(2): 477-487, 2023 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36178236

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an IgE-mediated allergy to galactose-alpha-1,3-galactose. Clinical presentation ranges from hives to anaphylaxis; episodes typically occur 2-6 h after exposure to alpha-gal-containing products. In the United States, lone star tick bites are associated with the development of AGS. To characterize features of AGS, we evaluated a cohort of patients presenting for care at the University of North Carolina, focusing on symptoms, severity, and identifying features unique to specific alpha-gal-containing product exposures. METHODS: We performed a chart review and descriptive analysis of 100 randomly selected patients with AGS during 2010-2019. RESULTS: Median age at onset was 53 years, 56% were female, 95% reported White race, 86% reported a history of tick bite, and 75% met the criteria for anaphylaxis based on the involvement of ≥2 organ systems. Those reporting dairy reactions were significantly less likely to report isolated mucocutaneous symptoms (3% vs. 24%; ratio [95% CI]: 0.1 [0.1, 0.3]) than those who tolerated dairy, and were more likely to report gastrointestinal symptoms (79% vs. 59%; ratio [95% CI]: 1.3 [0.7, 2.6]), although this difference was not statistically significant. Dairy-tolerant patients demonstrated higher alpha-gal sIgE titers (as a percentage of total IgE) than dairy-reactive patients (GM 4.1 [95% CI: 2.7, 6.1] vs. GM 2.5 [95% CI: 1.3, 4.8], respectively; ratio -1.6 [95% CI: -1.0, 3.9]). CONCLUSION: While tick exposure is common in the southern United States, nearly all AGS patients reported a tick bite. Gastrointestinal symptoms were prominent among those reporting reactions to dairy. Anaphylaxis was common, underscoring the severity and need to raise awareness of AGS among patients and providers.


Subject(s)
Anaphylaxis , Food Hypersensitivity , Tick Bites , Humans , Female , Male , Anaphylaxis/diagnosis , Anaphylaxis/epidemiology , Anaphylaxis/etiology , Tick Bites/complications , Galactose , Allergens , Immunoglobulin E , Food Hypersensitivity/diagnosis , Food Hypersensitivity/epidemiology , Food Hypersensitivity/complications
3.
Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol ; 130(4): 472-478, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36574585

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The disaccharide galactose-α-1,3-galactose (alpha-gal) is expressed in mammals other than humans, apes, and old-world monkeys. In humans, elevated immunoglobulin E (IgE) antibodies specific for alpha-gal can result in allergic hypersensitivity known as alpha-gal syndrome (AGS). Case reports and series suggest that tick bites can induce alpha-gal-specific IgE (sIgE) antibodies. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate tick exposure as a risk factor for AGS and elevated alpha-gal sIgE level. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study comparing patients with AGS from a North Carolina allergy clinic with controls who were patients at a nearby internal medicine clinic. Cases and controls were administered a questionnaire to obtain information about demographics, home environment, outdoor activities, and recollection of tick bite. Serum samples taken at the time of enrollment were tested for total IgE, alpha-gal sIgE, and antibodies to other tick-borne pathogens. RESULTS: The patients with AGS were more likely to recall finding a tick on themselves (odds ratio [OR], 11.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.97-25.15), live near wooded forest (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 0.92-5.55), and spend 17 or more hours per week outdoors in wooded areas (OR, 5.58; 95% CI, 2.56-12.19). The patients with AGS were also more likely to report 4 or more tick bites (OR, 33.05; 95% CI, 9.92-155.12) and reactions at the site of tick bites (OR, 7.93; 95% CI, 3.74-16.80). Furthermore, elevated alpha-gal sIgE level was observed in 33% of the controls and was associated with tick exposure in the controls (OR, 4.25; 95% CI, 2.21-8.18). CONCLUSION: The results define tick bite as a risk factor for AGS and elevated alpha-gal sIgE level.


Subject(s)
Food Hypersensitivity , Tick Bites , Ticks , Animals , Humans , Allergens , Case-Control Studies , Galactose , Immunoglobulin E , Risk Factors
4.
Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol ; 126(4): 411-416.e1, 2021 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33422649

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an emerging immunoglobulin E (IgE)-mediated allergy to galactose-alpha-1,3-galactose (alpha-gal). The geographic distribution and burden of AGS in the United States are unknown. OBJECTIVE: To characterize alpha-gal IgE testing patterns and describe the trends and distribution from 2010 to 2018 in the United States. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included all persons tested for alpha-gal IgE antibodies by Viracor-IBT Laboratories (Lee's Summit, Missouri), the primary site of testing in the United States. Data included age and sex of person tested, specimen state of origin, collection date, and result value; persons with at least 1 positive test result (≥0.1 kU/L) were compared with negatives. Proportions tested and with positive test results were calculated using the US Census population estimates. RESULTS: Overall, 122,068 specimens from 105,674 persons were tested for alpha-gal IgE during July 1, 2010, to December 31, 2018. Nearly one-third (34,256, 32.4%) had at least 1 positive result. The number of persons receiving positive test results increased 6-fold from 1110 in 2011 to 7798 in 2018. Of those receiving positive test results, mean [SD] age was 46.9 (19.8) years; men were more likely to test positive than women (43.3% vs 26.0%). Arkansas, Virginia, Kentucky, Oklahoma, and Missouri had the highest number of persons who were tested and had a positive result per 100,000 population. CONCLUSION: More than 34,000 persons, most presumably symptomatic, have received positive test results for IgE antibodies to alpha-gal, suggesting AGS is an increasingly recognized public health problem. The geographic distribution of persons who tested positive is consistent with exposure to Amblyomma americanum ticks.


Subject(s)
Allergens/immunology , Food Hypersensitivity/immunology , Galactose/immunology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Animals , Antibodies/immunology , Child , Child, Preschool , Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures , Female , Humans , Immunoglobulin E/immunology , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Tick Bites/immunology , Ticks/immunology , United States , Young Adult
5.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 67(17): 496-501, 2018 May 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29723166

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Vectorborne diseases are major causes of death and illness worldwide. In the United States, the most common vectorborne pathogens are transmitted by ticks or mosquitoes, including those causing Lyme disease; Rocky Mountain spotted fever; and West Nile, dengue, and Zika virus diseases. This report examines trends in occurrence of nationally reportable vectorborne diseases during 2004-2016. METHODS: Data reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System for 16 notifiable vectorborne diseases during 2004-2016 were analyzed; findings were tabulated by disease, vector type, location, and year. RESULTS: A total 642,602 cases were reported. The number of annual reports of tickborne bacterial and protozoan diseases more than doubled during this period, from >22,000 in 2004 to >48,000 in 2016. Lyme disease accounted for 82% of all tickborne disease reports during 2004-2016. The occurrence of mosquitoborne diseases was marked by virus epidemics. Transmission in Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and American Samoa accounted for most reports of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus diseases; West Nile virus was endemic, and periodically epidemic, in the continental United States. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: Vectorborne diseases are a large and growing public health problem in the United States, characterized by geographic specificity and frequent pathogen emergence and introduction. Differences in distribution and transmission dynamics of tickborne and mosquitoborne diseases are often rooted in biologic differences of the vectors. To effectively reduce transmission and respond to outbreaks will require major national improvement of surveillance, diagnostics, reporting, and vector control, as well as new tools, including vaccines.


Subject(s)
Chikungunya Fever/epidemiology , Dengue/epidemiology , Lyme Disease/epidemiology , Population Surveillance , Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever/epidemiology , West Nile Fever/epidemiology , Zika Virus Infection/epidemiology , American Samoa/epidemiology , Animals , Culicidae , Humans , Incidence , Insect Vectors , Puerto Rico/epidemiology , Ticks , United States/epidemiology , United States Virgin Islands/epidemiology
6.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 65(29): 739-44, 2016 Jul 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27467820

ABSTRACT

CDC has updated its interim guidance for U.S. health care providers caring for pregnant women with possible Zika virus exposure, to include the emerging data indicating that Zika virus RNA can be detected for prolonged periods in some pregnant women. To increase the proportion of pregnant women with Zika virus infection who receive a definitive diagnosis, CDC recommends expanding real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) testing. Possible exposures to Zika virus include travel to or residence in an area with active Zika virus transmission, or sex* with a partner who has traveled to or resides in an area with active Zika virus transmission without using condoms or other barrier methods to prevent infection.(†) Testing recommendations for pregnant women with possible Zika virus exposure who report clinical illness consistent with Zika virus disease(§) (symptomatic pregnant women) are the same, regardless of their level of exposure (i.e., women with ongoing risk for possible exposure, including residence in or frequent travel to an area with active Zika virus transmission, as well as women living in areas without Zika virus transmission who travel to an area with active Zika virus transmission, or have unprotected sex with a partner who traveled to or resides in an area with active Zika virus transmission). Symptomatic pregnant women who are evaluated <2 weeks after symptom onset should receive serum and urine Zika virus rRT-PCR testing. Symptomatic pregnant women who are evaluated 2-12 weeks after symptom onset should first receive a Zika virus immunoglobulin (IgM) antibody test; if the IgM antibody test result is positive or equivocal, serum and urine rRT-PCR testing should be performed. Testing recommendations for pregnant women with possible Zika virus exposure who do not report clinical illness consistent with Zika virus disease (asymptomatic pregnant women) differ based on the circumstances of possible exposure. For asymptomatic pregnant women who live in areas without active Zika virus transmission and who are evaluated <2 weeks after last possible exposure, rRT-PCR testing should be performed. If the rRT-PCR result is negative, a Zika virus IgM antibody test should be performed 2-12 weeks after the exposure. Asymptomatic pregnant women who do not live in an area with active Zika virus transmission, who are first evaluated 2-12 weeks after their last possible exposure should first receive a Zika virus IgM antibody test; if the IgM antibody test result is positive or equivocal, serum and urine rRT-PCR should be performed. Asymptomatic pregnant women with ongoing risk for exposure to Zika virus should receive Zika virus IgM antibody testing as part of routine obstetric care during the first and second trimesters; immediate rRT-PCR testing should be performed when IgM antibody test results are positive or equivocal. This guidance also provides updated recommendations for the clinical management of pregnant women with confirmed or possible Zika virus infection. These recommendations will be updated when additional data become available.


Subject(s)
Diagnostic Tests, Routine/standards , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/prevention & control , Zika Virus Infection/prevention & control , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Female , Humans , Immunoglobulin M/blood , Immunoglobulin M/immunology , Pregnancy , RNA, Viral/blood , Residence Characteristics/statistics & numerical data , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Travel/statistics & numerical data , United States/epidemiology , Zika Virus Infection/transmission
7.
J Med Entomol ; 53(2): 349-86, 2016 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26783367

ABSTRACT

The blacklegged tick, Ixodes scapularis Say, is the primary vector to humans in the eastern United States of the Lyme disease spirochete Borrelia burgdorferi, as well as causative agents of anaplasmosis and babesiosis. Its close relative in the far western United States, the western blacklegged tick Ixodes pacificus Cooley and Kohls, is the primary vector to humans in that region of the Lyme disease and anaplasmosis agents. Since 1991, when standardized surveillance and reporting began, Lyme disease case counts have increased steadily in number and in geographical distribution in the eastern United States. Similar trends have been observed for anaplasmosis and babesiosis. To better understand the changing landscape of risk of human exposure to disease agents transmitted by I. scapularis and I. pacificus, and to document changes in their recorded distribution over the past two decades, we updated the distribution of these species from a map published in 1998. The presence of I. scapularis has now been documented from 1,420 (45.7%) of the 3,110 continental United States counties, as compared with 111 (3.6%) counties for I. pacificus. Combined, these vectors of B. burgdorferi and other disease agents now have been identified in a total of 1,531 (49.2%) counties spread across 43 states. This marks a 44.7% increase in the number of counties that have recorded the presence of these ticks since the previous map was presented in 1998, when 1,058 counties in 41 states reported the ticks to be present. Notably, the number of counties in which I. scapularis is considered established (six or more individuals or one or more life stages identified in a single year) has more than doubled since the previous national distribution map was published nearly two decades ago. The majority of county status changes occurred in the North-Central and Northeastern states, whereas the distribution in the South remained fairly stable. Two previously distinct foci for I. scapularis in the Northeast and North-Central states appear to be merging in the Ohio River Valley to form a single contiguous focus. Here we document a shifting landscape of risk for human exposure to medically important ticks and point to areas of re-emergence where enhanced vector surveillance and control may be warranted.


Subject(s)
Animal Distribution , Arachnid Vectors , Ixodes , Animals , United States
8.
J Med Entomol ; 53(2): 250-61, 2016 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26681789

ABSTRACT

Lyme disease has increased both in incidence and geographic extent in the United States and Canada over the past two decades. One of the underlying causes is changes during the same time period in the distribution and abundance of the primary vectors: Ixodes scapularis Say and Ixodes pacificus Cooley and Kohls in eastern and western North America, respectively. Aside from short periods of time when they are feeding on hosts, these ticks exist in the environment where temperature and relative humidity directly affect their development, survival, and host-seeking behavior. Other important factors that strongly influence tick abundance as well as the proportion of ticks infected with the Lyme disease spirochete, Borrelia burgdorferi, include the abundance of hosts for the ticks and the capacity of tick hosts to serve as B. burgdorferi reservoirs. Here, we explore the linkages between climate variation and: 1) duration of the seasonal period and the timing of peak activity; 2) geographic tick distributions and local abundance; 3) enzootic B. burgdorferi transmission cycles; and 4) Lyme disease cases. We conclude that meteorological variables are most influential in determining host-seeking phenology and development, but, while remaining important cofactors, additional variables become critical when exploring geographic distribution and local abundance of ticks, enzootic transmission of B. burgdorferi, and Lyme disease case occurrence. Finally, we review climate change-driven projections for future impact on vector ticks and Lyme disease and discuss knowledge gaps and research needs.


Subject(s)
Arachnid Vectors/growth & development , Borrelia burgdorferi , Climate , Ixodes/growth & development , Lyme Disease/transmission , Animals , Arachnid Vectors/microbiology , Climate Change , Incidence , Ixodes/microbiology , Lyme Disease/epidemiology , North America/epidemiology , Nymph/physiology , Population Dynamics
9.
J Clin Microbiol ; 52(10): 3755-62, 2014 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25122862

ABSTRACT

Serological assays and a two-tiered test algorithm are recommended for laboratory confirmation of Lyme disease. In the United States, the sensitivity of two-tiered testing using commercially available serology-based assays is dependent on the stage of infection and ranges from 30% in the early localized disease stage to near 100% in late-stage disease. Other variables, including subjectivity in reading Western blots, compliance with two-tiered recommendations, use of different first- and second-tier test combinations, and use of different test samples, all contribute to variation in two-tiered test performance. The availability and use of sample sets from well-characterized Lyme disease patients and controls are needed to better assess the performance of existing tests and for development of improved assays. To address this need, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institutes of Health prospectively collected sera from patients at all stages of Lyme disease, as well as healthy donors and patients with look-alike diseases. Patients and healthy controls were recruited using strict inclusion and exclusion criteria. Samples from all included patients were retrospectively characterized by two-tiered testing. The results from two-tiered testing corroborated the need for novel and improved diagnostics, particularly for laboratory diagnosis of earlier stages of infection. Furthermore, the two-tiered results provide a baseline with samples from well-characterized patients that can be used in comparing the sensitivity and specificity of novel diagnostics. Panels of sera and accompanying clinical and laboratory testing results are now available to Lyme disease serological test users and researchers developing novel tests.


Subject(s)
Diagnostic Tests, Routine/methods , Diagnostic Tests, Routine/standards , Lyme Disease/diagnosis , Serum/immunology , Specimen Handling/methods , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Serologic Tests/methods , Serologic Tests/standards , United States , Young Adult
10.
J Med Entomol ; 61(3): 595-602, 2024 May 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38431876

ABSTRACT

Vector-borne disease incidence and burden are on the rise. Weather events and climate patterns are known to influence vector populations and disease distribution and incidence. Changes in weather trends and climatic factors can shift seasonal vector activity and host behavior, thus altering pathogen distribution and introducing diseases to new geographic regions. With the upward trend in global temperature, changes in the incidence and distribution of disease vectors possibly linked to climate change have been documented. Forecasting and modeling efforts are valuable for incorporating climate into predicting changes in vector and vector-borne disease distribution. These predictions serve to optimize disease outbreak preparedness and response. The purpose of this scoping review was to describe the use of climate data in vector-borne disease prediction in North America between 2000 and 2022. The most investigated diseases were West Nile virus infection, Lyme disease, and dengue. The uneven geographical distribution of publications could suggest regional differences in the availability of surveillance data required for vector-borne disease predictions and forecasts across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Studies incorporated environmental data from ground-based sources, satellite data, previously existing data, and field-collected data. While environmental data such as meteorological and topographic factors were well-represented, further research is warranted to ascertain if relationships with less common variables, such as oceanographic characteristics and drought, hold among various vector populations and throughout wider geographical areas. This review provides a catalogue of recently used climatic data that can inform future assessments of the value of such data in vector-borne disease models.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Vector Borne Diseases , Vector Borne Diseases/epidemiology , Vector Borne Diseases/transmission , North America/epidemiology , Animals , Humans , Models, Biological , Forecasting
11.
Med Mycol ; 51(6): 568-75, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23470037

ABSTRACT

Pneumocystis jirovecii dihydropteroate synthase (DHPS) gene mutations are well-reported. Although sulfa prophylaxis generally is associated with DHPS mutant infection, whether mutant infection is associated with poorer clinical outcomes is less clear. The differing definitions of sulfa prophylaxis and the different mortality endpoints used in these studies may be one explanation for the conflicting study results. Applying different definitions of prophylaxis, mortality endpoints and DHPS mutant to 301 HIV-infected patients with Pneumocystis pneumonia, we demonstrate that prophylaxis, irrespective of definition, increased the risk of infection with pure mutant (any prophylaxis: AOR 4.00, 95% CI: 1.83-8.76, P < 0.001) but not mixed genotypes (any prophylaxis: AOR 0.78, 95% CI: 0.26-2.36, P = 0.65). However, infection with mutant DHPS, irrespective of definition, was not associated with increased mortality (all-cause or PCP death) at the three time-intervals examined (all P > 0.05). Future studies should standardize key variables associated with DHPS mutant infection as well as examine DHPS mutant subtypes (pure mutant vs. mixed infections) - perhaps even individual DHPS mutant genotypes - so that data can be pooled to better address this issue.


Subject(s)
Dihydropteroate Synthase/genetics , HIV Infections/complications , Mutation , Pneumocystis carinii/enzymology , Pneumocystis carinii/genetics , Pneumonia, Pneumocystis/microbiology , Adult , Antifungal Agents/therapeutic use , Chemoprevention/methods , Drug Resistance, Fungal , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mutant Proteins/genetics , Pneumonia, Pneumocystis/prevention & control
12.
Geohealth ; 7(11): e2023GH000906, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38023388

ABSTRACT

West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental United States (CONUS). Spatial heterogeneity in historical incidence, environmental factors, and complex ecology make prediction of spatiotemporal variation in WNV transmission challenging. Machine learning provides promising tools for identification of important variables in such situations. To predict annual WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) cases in CONUS (2015-2021), we fitted 10 probabilistic models with variation in complexity from naïve to machine learning algorithm and an ensemble. We made predictions in each of nine climate regions on a hexagonal grid and evaluated each model's predictive accuracy. Using the machine learning models (random forest and neural network), we identified the relative importance and variation in ranking of predictors (historical WNND cases, climate anomalies, human demographics, and land use) across regions. We found that historical WNND cases and population density were among the most important factors while anomalies in temperature and precipitation often had relatively low importance. While the relative performance of each model varied across climatic regions, the magnitude of difference between models was small. All models except the naïve model had non-significant differences in performance relative to the baseline model (negative binomial model fit per hexagon). No model, including the ensemble or more complex machine learning models, outperformed models based on historical case counts on the hexagon or region level; these models are good forecasting benchmarks. Further work is needed to assess if predictive capacity can be improved beyond that of these historical baselines.

13.
Parasit Vectors ; 16(1): 11, 2023 Jan 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36635782

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental USA. WNV occurrence has high spatiotemporal variation, and current approaches to targeted control of the virus are limited, making forecasting a public health priority. However, little research has been done to compare strengths and weaknesses of WNV disease forecasting approaches on the national scale. We used forecasts submitted to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge, an open challenge organized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to assess the status of WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) prediction and identify avenues for improvement. METHODS: We performed a multi-model comparative assessment of probabilistic forecasts submitted by 15 teams for annual WNND cases in US counties for 2020 and assessed forecast accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory power. In the evaluation, we included forecasts produced by comparison models of varying complexity as benchmarks of forecast performance. We also used regression analysis to identify modeling approaches and contextual factors that were associated with forecast skill. RESULTS: Simple models based on historical WNND cases generally scored better than more complex models and combined higher discriminatory power with better calibration of uncertainty. Forecast skill improved across updated forecast submissions submitted during the 2020 season. Among models using additional data, inclusion of climate or human demographic data was associated with higher skill, while inclusion of mosquito or land use data was associated with lower skill. We also identified population size, extreme minimum winter temperature, and interannual variation in WNND cases as county-level characteristics associated with variation in forecast skill. CONCLUSIONS: Historical WNND cases were strong predictors of future cases with minimal increase in skill achieved by models that included other factors. Although opportunities might exist to specifically improve predictions for areas with large populations and low or high winter temperatures, areas with high case-count variability are intrinsically more difficult to predict. Also, the prediction of outbreaks, which are outliers relative to typical case numbers, remains difficult. Further improvements to prediction could be obtained with improved calibration of forecast uncertainty and access to real-time data streams (e.g. current weather and preliminary human cases).


Subject(s)
Culicidae , West Nile Fever , West Nile virus , Animals , Humans , West Nile Fever/epidemiology , Public Health , Climate , Disease Outbreaks , Forecasting
14.
Clin Infect Dis ; 52 Suppl 3: s247-52, 2011 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21217171

ABSTRACT

Lyme disease, which is caused by the spirochetal agent Borrelia burgdoferi, is the most common vector-borne illness in the United States. In 1998, the US Food and Drug Administration approved a recombinant Lyme disease vaccine that was later voluntarily withdrawn from the market by the manufacturer. Current Lyme disease prevention efforts focus on a combination of methods and approaches, including area acaricides, landscape management, host-targeted interventions, management of deer populations, and personal protective measures, such as the use of insect repellant and tick checks. Although these methods are generally safe and relatively inexpensive, the primary limitations of these methods are that their effectiveness has been difficult to demonstrate conclusively and that rates of compliance are generally poor. An effective human Lyme disease vaccine that has been adequately evaluated in the highest-risk population groups could be very beneficial in preventing Lyme disease; however, it would need to meet high standards regarding safety, efficacy, cost, and public acceptance.


Subject(s)
Lyme Disease Vaccines/immunology , Lyme Disease Vaccines/therapeutic use , Lyme Disease/immunology , Lyme Disease/prevention & control , Animals , Arachnid Vectors/microbiology , Borrelia burgdorferi/immunology , Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic , Humans , Lyme Disease/epidemiology , Lyme Disease/transmission , Public Health , Risk Factors , Ticks/microbiology , United States/epidemiology
15.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 105(1): 18-23, 2021 05 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33939638

ABSTRACT

Plague, a fleaborne rodent-associated zoonosis, is a neglected disease with most recent cases reported from east and central Africa and Madagascar. Because of its low incidence and sporadic occurrence, most of our knowledge of plague ecology, prevention, and control derives from investigations conducted in response to human cases. Long-term studies (which are uncommon) are required to generate data to support plague surveillance, prevention, and control recommendations. Here we describe a 15-year, multidisciplinary commitment to plague in the West Nile region of Uganda that led to significant advances in our understanding of where and when persons are at risk for plague infection and how to reduce morbidity and mortality. These findings provide data-driven support for several existing recommendations on plague surveillance and prevention and may be generalizable to other plague foci.


Subject(s)
Ecology , Epidemiological Monitoring , Plague/epidemiology , Plague/prevention & control , Primary Prevention/organization & administration , Primary Prevention/statistics & numerical data , Yersinia pestis/isolation & purification , Humans , Incidence , Longitudinal Studies , Risk Factors , Uganda/epidemiology
16.
Parasit Vectors ; 14(1): 195, 2021 Apr 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33832518

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Triatomine bugs, the vectors of Chagas disease, associate with vertebrate hosts in highly diverse ecotopes. It has been proposed that occupation of new microhabitats may trigger selection for distinct phenotypic variants in these blood-sucking bugs. Although understanding phenotypic variation is key to the study of adaptive evolution and central to phenotype-based taxonomy, the drivers of phenotypic change and diversity in triatomines remain poorly understood. METHODS/RESULTS: We combined a detailed phenotypic appraisal (including morphology and morphometrics) with mitochondrial cytb and nuclear ITS2 DNA sequence analyses to study Rhodnius ecuadoriensis populations from across the species' range. We found three major, naked-eye phenotypic variants. Southern-Andean bugs primarily from vertebrate-nest microhabitats (Ecuador/Peru) are typical, light-colored, small bugs with short heads/wings. Northern-Andean bugs from wet-forest palms (Ecuador) are dark, large bugs with long heads/wings. Finally, northern-lowland bugs primarily from dry-forest palms (Ecuador) are light-colored and medium-sized. Wing and (size-free) head shapes are similar across Ecuadorian populations, regardless of habitat or phenotype, but distinct in Peruvian bugs. Bayesian phylogenetic and multispecies-coalescent DNA sequence analyses strongly suggest that Ecuadorian and Peruvian populations are two independently evolving lineages, with little within-lineage phylogeographic structuring or differentiation. CONCLUSIONS: We report sharp naked-eye phenotypic divergence of genetically similar Ecuadorian R. ecuadoriensis (nest-dwelling southern-Andean vs palm-dwelling northern bugs; and palm-dwelling Andean vs lowland), and sharp naked-eye phenotypic similarity of typical, yet genetically distinct, southern-Andean bugs primarily from vertebrate-nest (but not palm) microhabitats. This remarkable phenotypic diversity within a single nominal species likely stems from microhabitat adaptations possibly involving predator-driven selection (yielding substrate-matching camouflage coloration) and a shift from palm-crown to vertebrate-nest microhabitats (yielding smaller bodies and shorter and stouter heads). These findings shed new light on the origins of phenotypic diversity in triatomines, warn against excess reliance on phenotype-based triatomine-bug taxonomy, and confirm the Triatominae as an informative model system for the study of phenotypic change under ecological pressure .


Subject(s)
Adaptation, Physiological , Triatominae/genetics , Animals , Biological Evolution , Ecosystem , Ecuador , Humans , Insect Vectors/anatomy & histology , Insect Vectors/classification , Insect Vectors/genetics , Insect Vectors/physiology , Peru , Phenotype , Phylogeny , Selection, Genetic , Triatominae/anatomy & histology , Triatominae/classification , Triatominae/physiology
17.
J Med Entomol ; 56(5): 1199-1203, 2019 09 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31505668

ABSTRACT

Vector-borne diseases (VBDs) cause significant morbidity and mortality each year in the United States. Over the last 14 yr, over 700,000 cases of diseases carried by ticks, mosquitoes, and fleas have been reported from U.S. states and territories to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The number of reported cases has been increasing annually with two major trends: a steady increase in tick-borne diseases and increasing intermittent outbreaks of mosquito-borne arboviruses. The factors that are driving VBD introduction and emergence vary among diseases but are not likely to disappear, indicating that current trends will continue and probably worsen in the absence of effective prevention and control tools and implementation capacity. There are a number of challenges to preventing VBDs, including the lack of vaccines and effective vector control tools, insecticide resistance, and eroding technical capacities in public health entomology at federal, state, and local levels. For these reasons, a national strategy is needed to address VBD threats and to reverse the alarming trend in morbidity and mortality associated with these diseases.


Subject(s)
Entomology , Vector Borne Diseases/prevention & control , Entomology/methods , United States , Vector Borne Diseases/veterinary
18.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 100(2): 242-245, 2019 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30499427

ABSTRACT

Reported cases of vector-borne diseases in the United States have more than tripled since 2004, characterized by steadily increasing incidence of tick-borne diseases and sporadic outbreaks of domestic and invasive mosquito-borne diseases. An effective public health response to these trends relies on public health surveillance and laboratory systems, proven prevention and mitigation measures, scalable capacity to implement these measures, sensitive and specific diagnostics, and effective therapeutics. However, significant obstacles hinder successful implementation of these public health strategies. The recent emergence of Haemaphysalis longicornis, the first invasive tick to emerge in the United States in approximately 80 years, serves as the most recent example of the need for a coordinated public health response. Addressing the dual needs for innovation and discovery and for building state and local capacities may overcome current challenges in vector-borne disease prevention and control, but will require coordination across a national network of collaborators operating under a national strategy. Such an effort should reduce the impact of emerging vectors and could reverse the increasing trend of vector-borne disease incidence and associated morbidity and mortality.


Subject(s)
Arachnid Vectors/parasitology , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Disease Outbreaks , Insect Vectors/parasitology , Vector Borne Diseases/epidemiology , Vector Borne Diseases/prevention & control , Animals , Arachnid Vectors/microbiology , Arachnid Vectors/virology , Communicable Disease Control/economics , Culicidae/microbiology , Culicidae/parasitology , Culicidae/virology , Epidemiological Monitoring , Humans , Incidence , Insect Vectors/microbiology , Insect Vectors/virology , Public Health/methods , Ticks/microbiology , Ticks/parasitology , Ticks/virology , United States/epidemiology , Vector Borne Diseases/parasitology , Vector Borne Diseases/transmission
19.
Parasit Vectors ; 12(1): 52, 2019 Jan 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30674346

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vector-borne diseases are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in the USA. Effective, convenient prevention methods are needed. Long-lasting permethrin-impregnated (LLPI) clothing can prevent tick bites, however, additional information is needed on the real-world effectiveness and safety of this preventative measure. METHODS: In this pilot study, we recruited state and county park employees from North Carolina to wear LLPI uniforms for three months during the summer of 2016. We collected spot urine samples for biomonitoring of permethrin metabolites at one week, one month and three months after first use of the LLPI uniform. Following three months of wear, we collected pants and socks and analyzed them for permethrin content and mortality to ticks and mosquitoes. RESULTS: Thirteen park employees were included in the analysis. Bioactive amounts of permethrin remained in all clothing swatches tested, although there was great variability. Tick mortality was high, with 78% of pant and 88% of sock swatches having mean knockdown percentages ≥ 85%. In contrast, mosquito mortality was low. Over the study period, the absorbed dosage of permethrin averaged < 4 µg/kg/d of body weight based on measurements of three metabolites. CONCLUSIONS: LLPI clothing retained permethrin and bioactivity against ticks after three months of use in real-world conditions. The estimated absorbed dosage of permethrin was well below the U.S. EPA level of concern, suggesting that LLPI clothing can be used safely by outdoor workers for tick bite prevention.


Subject(s)
Clothing , Insecticides/pharmacokinetics , Permethrin/pharmacokinetics , Adsorption , Animals , Bites and Stings/prevention & control , Culicidae , Humans , Insect Repellents/pharmacokinetics , Mosquito Vectors , North Carolina , Pilot Projects , Tick Bites/prevention & control , Ticks
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