ABSTRACT
Background: This study was intended to construct a brand new prognostic nomogram after combine clinical and pathological characteristics to increases prognostic value in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Methods: A total of 1,634 patients were included. Subsequently, the tumor tissues of all patients were prepared into tissue microarrays. AIPATHWELL software was employed to explore tissue microarrays and calculate the tumor-stroma ratio. X-tile was adopted to find the optimal cut-off value. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to screen out remarkable characteristics for constructing the nomogram in the total populations. A novel prognostic nomogram with clinical and pathological characteristics was constructed on the basis of the training cohort (n=1,144). What's more performance was validated in the validation cohort (n=490). Clinical-pathological nomogram were assessed by concordance index, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic, calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Results: The patients can divide into two groups with cut-off value of 69.78 for the tumor-stroma ratio. It is noteworthy that the survival difference was noticeable (P<0.001). A clinical-pathological nomogram was constructed by combining clinical and pathological characteristics to predict the overall survival. In comparison with TNM stage, the concordance index and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic of the clinical-pathological nomogram showed better predictive value (P<0.001). High quality of calibration plots in overall survival was noticed. As demonstrated by the decision curve analysis, the nomogram has better value than the TNM stage. Conclusions: As evidently revealed by the research findings, tumor-stroma ratio is an independent prognostic factor in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. The clinical-pathological nomogram has an incremental value compared TNM stage in predicting overall survival.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Cancer of the esophagus is one of the most commonly seen malignancies in China. From 1959 to 1981, mass screening of esophageal cancer disclosed that the age-adjusted incidence in the 40- to 69-year-old population in Lin County, Henan Province, was 470/10(5) In its northern part, an even higher incidence of 760/10(5)was found. As they were discovered by mass screening, most of them were found to have early lesions. Surgical treatment was done in attempt to find out the feasibility of managing esophageal carcinoma by early diagnosis and early treatment. This paper is the result of the long-term follow-up. METHODS: Since 1972, a total of 17 extensive mass screening has been conducted among more than 160,000 participants in the rural areas in Henan, Hebei, and northern Jiangsu provinces, sorting out more than 30,000 high-risk individuals. Among these individuals, 24,600 were examined by endoscopy, discovering 2,094 patients with carcinomas in the esophagus or gastric cardia; 757 of these 2,094 patients were found to have superficial esophageal cancer; 420 patients accepted surgical treatment. Esophagectomy with gastric replacement was performed through left thoracotomy in all patients. Cervical anastomosis 94 (22.4%), intrathoracic supraaortic anastomosis 307 (73.1%), and infra-aortic anastomosis 19 (4.5%) were done. Double thoracoabdominal lymphatic dissection was performed. RESULTS: The resection rate was 100%. One-month operative mortality occurred in 5 (1.2%). Postoperative complications developed and were satisfactorily treated in 28 patients (6.7%). Pathology of the cancer specimens showed that there were carcinoma in situ in 76 (all without lymphatic metastasis), intramucosal (TI) carcinoma in 126 (2 [1.6%] with lymphatic metastasis), and submucous infiltrating (TI) carcinoma in 218 (34 [15.6%] with lymphatic metastasis). All these 420 patients have been followed up to 2001 with a follow-up rate of 94.1%. Those who were lost to follow-up were taken as censored cases. The survival rates were calculated by the life-table method. The 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, and 25-year survival rates were 86.14%, 75.03%, 64.48%, 56.17%, and 49.93%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal balloon cytology, endoscopy, mucosa 1.2% iodine stain, and multipoint biopsy may be the best approach for early diagnosis of esophageal carcinoma. Surgical resection of superficial esophageal cancer provides excellent long-term survival with acceptable quality of life. It was discovered that carcinoma in situ and intramucosal carcinoma gave far better results than the submucosal infiltrative carcinoma, as the latter tends to have a higher frequency of lymphatic metastasis.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/surgery , Esophageal Neoplasms/surgery , Esophagectomy , Adult , Aged , Carcinoma in Situ/surgery , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/pathology , Esophageal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Esophageal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Esophageal Neoplasms/pathology , Esophagectomy/adverse effects , Female , Humans , Incidence , Lymphatic Metastasis , Male , Mass Screening , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
AIM: To investigate the relationship between human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and concurrent esophagus and gastric cardia cancer from the same patient (CC) and examine the significance of P16(INK4A) protein expression. METHODS: Polymerase chain reaction was used to detect the presence of HPV type16 (HPV16). The expression of P16(INK4A) protein was detected using immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: Among the CC specimens, HPV16-DNA was found in eight cases of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and five cases of gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA), respectively (47% vs 29%), and two of both ESCC and GCA. P16(INK4A) was highly expressed in both ESCC and GCA. In the HPV-associated positive CC, higher P16(INK4A) expression was observed in the GCA than in the ESCC (75% vs 25%, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: HPV16 as a correlated risk factor may play an important role in the development of ESCC and GCA. P16(INK4A) may be a screening index in the HPV-associated carcinoma of gastric cardia.
Subject(s)
Cardia/pathology , Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16/metabolism , DNA, Viral/genetics , Esophageal Neoplasms/virology , Human papillomavirus 16/genetics , Stomach Neoplasms/virology , Aged , Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16/genetics , Esophageal Neoplasms/metabolism , Esophageal Neoplasms/pathology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Stomach Neoplasms/metabolism , Stomach Neoplasms/pathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE: Our recent study on proteomics for esophageal cancer has indicated the importance of Annexin II as a promising protein to distinguish esophageal cancer patients from healthy subjects. This study was to detect the expression of Annexin II in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and adjacent tissues, and to explore the role of Annexin II in ESCC pathogenesis and mechanisms. METHODS: The expression of Annexin I in 33 specimens of ESCC and adjacent tissues from Linzhou, a high-incidence area for esophageal cancer in Henan province, was detected by ABC immunohistochemistry and reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). RESULTS: Annexin II protein was expressed in 90.6% normal esophageal epithelium and decreased with ESCC progression. In carcinoma in situ (CIS), 50.0% foci lost Annexin II protein expression. The expression of Annexin II protein was increased in well differentiated SCC and decreased with loss of differentiation of SCC. In poorly differentiated SCC, 45.4% foci lost Annexin II protein expression. However, RT-PCR did not detect differential expression of Annexin II mRNA between normal esophageal epithelium and CIS. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated or reduced expression of Annexin II may be correlated to reverse or progression of carcinogenesis respectively, and Annexin II may be another candidate biomarker for screening of high-risk subjects and early diagnosis of SCC.