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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38836694

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: An aerosol box aims to reduce the risk of healthcare provider (HCP) exposure to infections during aerosol generating medical procedures (AGMPs), but little is known about its impact on workload of team members. We conducted a secondary analysis of data from a prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial evaluating the impact of aerosol box use on patterns of HCP contamination during AGMPs. The objectives of this study are to: 1) evaluate the effect of aerosol box use on HCP workload, 2) identify factors associated with HCP workload when using an aerosol box, and 3) describe the challenges perceived by HCPs of aerosol box use. DESIGN: Simulation-based randomized trial, conducted from May to December 2021. SETTING: Four pediatric simulation centers. SUBJECTS: Teams of two HCPs were randomly assigned to control (no aerosol box) or intervention groups (aerosol box). INTERVENTIONS: Each team performed three scenarios requiring different pediatric airway management (bag-valve-mask [BVM] ventilation, laryngeal mask airway [LMA] insertion, and endotracheal intubation [ETI] with video laryngoscopy) on a simulated COVID-19 patient. National Aeronautics and Space Administration-Task Load Index (NASA-TLX) is a standard tool that measures subjective workload with six subscales. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 64 teams (128 participants) were recruited. The use of aerosol box was associated with significantly higher frustration during LMA insertion (28.71 vs. 17.42; mean difference, 11.29; 95% CI, 0.92-21.66; p = 0.033). For ETI, there was a significant increase in most subscales in the intervention group, but there was no significant difference for BMV. Average NASA-TLX scores were all in the "low" range for both groups (range: control BVM 23.06, sd 13.91 to intervention ETI 38.15; sd 20.45). The effect of provider role on workloads was statistically significant only for physical demand (p = 0.001). As the complexity of procedure increased (BVM → LMA → ETI), the workload increased in all six subscales (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The use of aerosol box increased workload during ETI but not with BVM and LMA insertion. Overall workload scores remained in the "low" range, and there was no significant difference between airway provider and assistant.

2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(22)2021 06 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34050025

ABSTRACT

Urgent action is needed to prevent the demise of coral reefs as the climate crisis leads to an increasingly warmer and more acidic ocean. Propagating climate change-resistant corals to restore degraded reefs is one promising strategy; however, empirical evidence is needed to determine whether stress resistance is affected by transplantation beyond a coral's native reef. Here, we assessed the performance of bleaching-resistant individuals of two coral species following reciprocal transplantation between reefs with distinct pH, salinity, dissolved oxygen, sedimentation, and flow dynamics to determine whether heat stress response is altered following coral exposure to novel physicochemical conditions in situ. Critically, transplantation had no influence on coral heat stress responses, indicating that this trait was relatively fixed. In contrast, growth was highly plastic, and native performance was not predictive of performance in the novel environment. Coral metabolic rates and overall fitness were higher at the reef with higher flow, salinity, sedimentation, and diel fluctuations of pH and dissolved oxygen, and did not differ between native and cross-transplanted corals, indicating acclimatization via plasticity within just 3 mo. Conversely, cross-transplants at the second reef had higher fitness than native corals, thus increasing the fitness potential of the recipient population. This experiment was conducted during a nonbleaching year, so the potential benefits to recipient population fitness are likely enhanced during bleaching years. In summary, this study demonstrates that outplanting bleaching-resistant corals is a promising tool for elevating the resistance of coral populations to ocean warming.


Subject(s)
Acclimatization , Climate Change , Coral Reefs , Animals , Anthozoa/physiology , Heat-Shock Response
3.
Eur Heart J ; 44(7): 610-620, 2023 02 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36537199

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Previous studies show a reduced incidence of first myocardial infarction and stroke 1-3 months after influenza vaccination, but it is unclear how underlying cardiovascular risk impacts the association. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study used linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care and Office for National Statistics mortality data from England between 1 September 2008 and 31 August 2019. From the data, individuals aged 40-84 years with a first acute cardiovascular event and influenza vaccination occurring within 12 months of each September were selected. Using a self-controlled case series analysis, season-adjusted cardiovascular risk stratified incidence ratios (IRs) for cardiovascular events after vaccination compared with baseline time before and >120 days after vaccination were generated. 193 900 individuals with a first acute cardiovascular event and influenza vaccine were included. 105 539 had hypertension and 172 050 had a QRISK2 score ≥10%. In main analysis, acute cardiovascular event risk was reduced in the 15-28 days after vaccination [IR 0.72 (95% CI 0.70-0.74)] and, while the effect size tapered, remained reduced to 91-120 days after vaccination [0.83 (0.81-0.88)]. Reduced cardiovascular events were seen after vaccination among individuals of all age groups and with raised and low cardiovascular risk. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccine may offer cardiovascular benefit among individuals at varying cardiovascular risk. Further studies are needed to characterize the populations who could derive the most cardiovascular benefits from vaccination.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Myocardial Infarction , Stroke , Humans , Influenza Vaccines/therapeutic use , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/prevention & control , Stroke/drug therapy , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Myocardial Infarction/complications , Vaccination/adverse effects
4.
Phytopathology ; 113(8): 1515-1524, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36935379

ABSTRACT

Ascochyta lentis, the causal organism of Ascochyta blight (AB) of lentil (Lens culinaris), has been shown to produce an avirulence effector protein that mediates AB resistance in certain lentil cultivars. The two known forms of the effector protein were identified from a biparental mapping population between isolates that have reciprocal virulence on 'PBA Hurricane XT' and 'Nipper'. The effector AlAvr1-1 was described for the PBA Hurricane XT-avirulent isolate P94-24 and AlAvr1-2 characterized in the PBA Hurricane XT-virulent isolate AlKewell. Here, we performed a genome-wide association study to identify other loci associated with AB for a differential set of lentil cultivars from a diverse panel of isolates collected in the Australian lentil-growing regions from 2013 to 2020. The chromosome 3 AlAvr1 locus was strongly associated with the PBA Hurricane XT, 'Indianhead', and Nipper disease responses, but one other genomic region on chromosome 11 was also associated with the Nipper disease trait. Our results corroborate earlier work that identified the AlAvr1 locus for field-collected isolates that span the period before release and after widespread adoption of PBA Hurricane XT. A multiplex PCR assay was developed to differentiate the genes AlAvr1-1 and AlAvr1-2 to predict PBA Hurricane XT avirulence and pathotype designation in the diversity panel. Increasing numbers of the PBA Hurricane XT-virulent pathotype 2 isolates across that time indicate strong selection for isolates with the AlAvr1-2 allele. Furthermore, one other region of the A. lentis genome may contribute to the pathogen-host interaction for lentil AB.

5.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 16(3): e1007687, 2020 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32218567

ABSTRACT

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a public health threat in low TB incidence countries, through a combination of reactivated disease and onward transmission. Using surveillance data from the United Kingdom (UK) and the Netherlands (NL), we demonstrate a simple and predictable relationship between the probability of observing a cluster and its size (the number of cases with a single genotype). We demonstrate that the full range of observed cluster sizes can be described using a modified branching process model with the individual reproduction number following a Poisson lognormal distribution. We estimate that, on average, between 2010 and 2015, a TB case generated 0.41 (95% CrI 0.30,0.60) secondary cases in the UK, and 0.24 (0.14,0.48) secondary cases in the NL. A majority of cases did not generate any secondary cases. Recent transmission accounted for 39% (26%,60%) of UK cases and 23%(13%,37%) of NL cases. We predict that reducing UK transmission rates to those observed in the NL would result in 538(266,818) fewer cases annually in the UK. In conclusion, while TB in low incidence countries is strongly associated with reactivated infections, we demonstrate that recent transmission remains sufficient to warrant policies aimed at limiting local TB spread.


Subject(s)
Models, Biological , Tuberculosis , Computational Biology , Epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics , Netherlands/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/transmission , United Kingdom/epidemiology
6.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 201(8): 984-991, 2020 04 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31825645

ABSTRACT

Rationale: Development of diagnostic tools with improved predictive value for tuberculosis (TB) is a global research priority.Objectives: We evaluated whether implementing higher diagnostic thresholds than currently recommended for QuantiFERON Gold-in-Tube (QFT-GIT), T-SPOT.TB, and the tuberculin skin test (TST) might improve prediction of incident TB.Methods: Follow-up of a UK cohort of 9,610 adult TB contacts and recent migrants was extended by relinkage to national TB surveillance records (median follow-up 4.7 yr). Incidence rates and rate ratios, sensitivities, specificities, and predictive values for incident TB were calculated according to ordinal strata for quantitative results of QFT-GIT, T-SPOT.TB, and TST (with adjustment for prior bacillus Calmette-Guérin [BCG] vaccination).Measurements and Main Results: For all tests, incidence rates and rate ratios increased with the magnitude of the test result (P < 0.0001). Over 3 years' follow-up, there was a modest increase in positive predictive value with the higher thresholds (3.0% for QFT-GIT ≥0.35 IU/ml vs. 3.6% for ≥4.00 IU/ml; 3.4% for T-SPOT.TB ≥5 spots vs. 5.0% for ≥50 spots; and 3.1% for BCG-adjusted TST ≥5 mm vs. 4.3% for ≥15 mm). As thresholds increased, sensitivity to detect incident TB waned for all tests (61.0% for QFT-GIT ≥0.35 IU/ml vs. 23.2% for ≥4.00 IU/ml; 65.4% for T-SPOT.TB ≥5 spots vs. 27.2% for ≥50 spots; 69.7% for BCG-adjusted TST ≥5 mm vs. 28.1% for ≥15 mm).Conclusions: Implementation of higher thresholds for QFT-GIT, T-SPOT.TB, and TST modestly increases positive predictive value for incident TB, but markedly reduces sensitivity. Novel biomarkers or validated multivariable risk algorithms are required to improve prediction of incident TB.


Subject(s)
Interferon-gamma Release Tests/methods , Latent Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculin Test/methods , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Adult , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Latent Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , United Kingdom/epidemiology
7.
BMC Med ; 18(1): 385, 2020 12 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33308204

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: HIV is known to increase the likelihood of reactivation of latent tuberculosis to active TB disease; however, its impact on tuberculosis infectiousness and consequent transmission is unclear, particularly in low-incidence settings. METHODS: National surveillance data from England, Wales and Northern Ireland on tuberculosis cases in adults from 2010 to 2014, strain typed using 24-locus mycobacterial-interspersed-repetitive-units-variable-number-tandem-repeats was used retrospectively to identify clusters of tuberculosis cases, subdivided into 'first' and 'subsequent' cases. Firstly, we used zero-inflated Poisson regression models to examine the association between HIV status and the number of subsequent clustered cases (a surrogate for tuberculosis infectiousness) in a strain type cluster. Secondly, we used logistic regression to examine the association between HIV status and the likelihood of being a subsequent case in a cluster (a surrogate for recent acquisition of tuberculosis infection) compared to the first case or a non-clustered case (a surrogate for reactivation of latent infection). RESULTS: We included 18,864 strain-typed cases, 2238 were the first cases of clusters and 8471 were subsequent cases. Seven hundred and fifty-nine (4%) were HIV-positive. Outcome 1: HIV-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases who were the first in a cluster had fewer subsequent cases associated with them (mean 0.6, multivariable incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.75 [0.65-0.86]) than those HIV-negative (mean 1.1). Extra-pulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) cases with HIV were less likely to be the first case in a cluster compared to HIV-negative EPTB cases. EPTB cases who were the first case had a higher mean number of subsequent cases (mean 2.5, IRR (3.62 [3.12-4.19]) than those HIV-negative (mean 0.6). Outcome 2: tuberculosis cases with HIV co-infection were less likely to be a subsequent case in a cluster (odds ratio 0.82 [0.69-0.98]), compared to being the first or a non-clustered case. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome 1: pulmonary tuberculosis-HIV patients were less infectious than those without HIV. EPTB patients with HIV who were the first case in a cluster had a higher number of subsequent cases and thus may be markers of other undetected cases, discoverable by contact investigations. Outcome 2: tuberculosis in HIV-positive individuals was more likely due to reactivation than recent infection, compared to those who were HIV-negative.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/epidemiology , Molecular Epidemiology/methods , Tuberculosis/transmission , Adolescent , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Retrospective Studies , Tuberculosis/epidemiology
8.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr ; 70(4): e81-e83, 2020 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31899735

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Current evidence suggests that a significant amount of human milk fat is lost because of tubing adsorption. The objective was to evaluate the effect of reintroducing tubing leftover milk on the quality of macronutrient content of delivered milk. METHODS: This was an in vitro study. The standard method of preparing and delivering fortified human milk includes preparing a small extra volume that would be used for priming the connection tubes. At the end of the infusion, the tubes and any milk leftover would be discarded. This method was compared with a new method where by the exact milk volume was prepared and used to prime the connection tubes. Leftover tubing milk was pushed with air. RESULTS: The standard method was associated with significant losses in fat, protein, and calories of 16.7%, 3.4%, and 9.2% compared with the new method of 8.2%, 0%, and 3.3%, respectively. These losses in the standard method were predominantly explained by the significant gains in the left over milk contents of fat 6.3 ±â€Š1.1 g/dL, protein 3.5 ±â€Š0.4 g/dL, and calories 28 ±â€Š2.6 kcal/oz as compared with prepared milk of 4.8 ±â€Š0.3, 2.9 ±â€Š0.3 g/dL, and 24.0 ±â€Š0.8 kcal/oz respectively, P = 0.002. CONCLUSIONS: Traditional continuous delivery methods of human milk are associated with significant losses of fat and protein. By preparing the exact amount of ordered milk and then pushing through the residual milk left in the tubing with a small amount of air, this study offers a simple intervention that would significantly decrease these losses.


Subject(s)
Milk, Human , Nutrients , Energy Intake , Humans
9.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 21(5): e274-e281, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32106185

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Optimal cardiopulmonary resuscitation can improve pediatric outcomes but rarely is cardiopulmonary resuscitation performed perfectly despite numerous iterations of Basic and Pediatric Advanced Life Support. Cardiac arrests resuscitation events are complex, often chaotic environments with significant mental and physical workload for team members, especially team leaders. Our primary objective was to determine the impact of a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach on cardiopulmonary resuscitation provider workload during simulated pediatric cardiac arrest. DESIGN: Multicenter observational study. SETTING: Four pediatric simulation centers. SUBJECTS: Team leaders, cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach, and team members during an 18-minute pediatric resuscitation scenario. INTERVENTIONS: National Aeronautics and Space Administration-Task Load Index. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Forty-one teams (205 participants) were recruited with one team (five participants) excluded from analysis due to protocol violation. Demographic data revealed no significant differences between the groups in regard to age, experience, distribution of training (nurse, physician, and respiratory therapist). For most workload subscales, there were no significant differences between groups. However, cardiopulmonary resuscitation providers had a higher physical workload (89.3 vs 77.9; mean difference, -11.4; 95% CI, -17.6 to -5.1; p = 0.001) and a lower mental demand (40.6 vs 55.0; mean difference, 14.5; 95% CI, 4.0-24.9; p = 0.007) with a coach (intervention) than without (control). Both the team leader and coach had similarly high mental demand in the intervention group (75.0 vs 73.9; mean difference, 0.10; 95% CI, -0.88 to 1.09; p = 0.827). When comparing the cardiopulmonary resuscitation quality of providers with high workload (average score > 60) and low to medium workload (average score < 60), we found no significant difference between the two groups in percentage of guideline compliant cardiopulmonary resuscitation (42.5% vs 52.7%; mean difference, -10.2; 95% CI, -23.1 to 2.7; p = 0.118). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach increases physical workload and decreases mental workload of cardiopulmonary resuscitation providers. There was no change in team leader workload.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation , Heart Arrest , Child , Computer Simulation , Heart Arrest/therapy , Humans , Workload
10.
Eur Respir J ; 54(4)2019 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31371444

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: 2018 World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines for the treatment of isoniazid (H)-resistant (Hr) tuberculosis recommend a four-drug regimen: rifampicin (R), ethambutol (E), pyrazinamide (Z) and levofloxacin (Lfx), with or without H ([H]RZE-Lfx). This is used once Hr is known, such that patients complete 6 months of Lfx (≥6[H]RZE-6Lfx). This cohort study assessed the impact of fluoroquinolones (Fq) on treatment effectiveness, accounting for Hr mutations and degree of phenotypic resistance. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 626 Hr tuberculosis patients notified in London, 2009-2013. Regimens were described and logistic regression undertaken of the association between regimen and negative regimen-specific outcomes (broadly, death due to tuberculosis, treatment failure or disease recurrence). RESULTS: Of 594 individuals with regimen information, 330 (55.6%) were treated with (H)RfZE (Rf=rifamycins) and 211 (35.5%) with (H)RfZE-Fq. The median overall treatment period was 11.9 months and median Z duration 2.1 months. In a univariable logistic regression model comparing (H)RfZE with and without Fqs, there was no difference in the odds of a negative regimen-specific outcome (baseline (H)RfZE, cluster-specific odds ratio 1.05 (95% CI 0.60-1.82), p=0.87; cluster NHS trust). Results varied minimally in a multivariable model. This odds ratio dropped (0.57, 95% CI 0.14-2.28) when Hr genotype was included, but this analysis lacked power (p=0.42). CONCLUSIONS: In a high-income setting, we found a 12-month (H)RfZE regimen with a short Z duration to be similarly effective for Hr tuberculosis with or without a Fq. This regimen may result in fewer adverse events than the WHO recommendations.


Subject(s)
Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Ethambutol/therapeutic use , Fluoroquinolones/therapeutic use , Levofloxacin/therapeutic use , Pyrazinamide/therapeutic use , Rifampin/therapeutic use , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Drug Therapy, Combination , Duration of Therapy , Female , Humans , Isoniazid/therapeutic use , Logistic Models , London , Male , Middle Aged , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Recurrence , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Failure , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/mortality , World Health Organization , Young Adult
11.
Methods ; 149: 59-68, 2018 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29704665

ABSTRACT

Multi-omic data and genome-scale microbial metabolic models have allowed us to examine microbial communities, community function, and interactions in ways that were not available to us historically. Now, one of our biggest challenges is determining how to integrate data and maximize data potential. Our study demonstrates one way in which to test a hypothesis by combining multi-omic data and community metabolic models. Specifically, we assess hydrogen sulfide production in colorectal cancer based on stool, mucosa, and tissue samples collected on and off the tumor site within the same individuals. 16S rRNA microbial community and abundance data were used to select and inform the metabolic models. We then used MICOM, an open source platform, to track the metabolic flux of hydrogen sulfide through a defined microbial community that either represented on-tumor or off-tumor sample communities. We also performed targeted and untargeted metabolomics, and used the former to quantitatively evaluate our model predictions. A deeper look at the models identified several unexpected but feasible reactions, microbes, and microbial interactions involved in hydrogen sulfide production for which our 16S and metabolomic data could not account. These results will guide future in vitro, in vivo, and in silico tests to establish why hydrogen sulfide production is increased in tumor tissue.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/metabolism , Hydrogen Sulfide/metabolism , Intestinal Mucosa/metabolism , Metabolomics/methods , Microbiota/physiology , Models, Biological , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Clostridium perfringens/metabolism , Colorectal Neoplasms/microbiology , Female , Fusobacterium nucleatum/metabolism , Humans , Intestinal Mucosa/microbiology , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult
12.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 20(4): e191-e198, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30951004

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to describe the impact of a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach on healthcare provider perception of cardiopulmonary resuscitation quality during simulated pediatric cardiac arrest. DESIGN: Prospective, observational study. SETTING: We conducted secondary analysis of data collected from a multicenter, randomized trial of providers who participated in a simulated pediatric cardiac arrest. SUBJECTS: Two-hundred pediatric acute care providers. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomized to having a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach versus no cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation coaches provided feedback on cardiopulmonary resuscitation performance and helped to coordinate key tasks. All teams used cardiopulmonary resuscitation feedback technology. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Cardiopulmonary resuscitation quality was collected by the defibrillator, and perceived cardiopulmonary resuscitation quality was collected by surveying participants after the scenario. We calculated the difference between perceived and measured quality of cardiopulmonary resuscitation and defined accurate perception as no more than 10% deviation from measured quality of cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Teams with a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach were more likely to accurately estimate chest compressions depth in comparison to teams without a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach (odds ratio, 2.97; 95% CI, 1.61-5.46; p < 0.001). There was no significant difference detected in accurate perception of chest compressions rate between groups (odds ratio, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.77-2.32; p = 0.32). Among teams with a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach, the cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach had the best chest compressions depth perception (80%) compared with the rest of the team (team leader 40%, airway 55%, cardiopulmonary resuscitation provider 30%) (p = 0.003). No differences were found in perception of chest compressions rate between roles (p = 0.86). CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare providers improved their perception of cardiopulmonary resuscitation depth with a cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach present. The cardiopulmonary resuscitation coach had the best perception of chest compressions depth.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation/standards , Clinical Competence/standards , Education, Medical/organization & administration , Education, Nursing/organization & administration , Mentoring/statistics & numerical data , Education, Medical/standards , Education, Nursing/standards , Female , Formative Feedback , Humans , Male , Manikins , Perception , Prospective Studies , Quality of Health Care
13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 24(3): 524-533, 2018 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29460735

ABSTRACT

Among tuberculosis (TB) patients, acquired resistance to anti-TB drugs represents a failure in the treatment pathway. To improve diagnosis and care for patients with drug-resistant TB, we examined the epidemiology and risk factors associated with acquired drug resistance during 2000-2015 among TB patients in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. We found acquired resistance in 0.2% (158/67,710) of patients with culture-confirmed TB. Using multivariate logistic regression, we identified the following factors associated with acquired drug resistance: having pulmonary disease; initial resistance to isoniazid, rifampin, or both; a previous TB episode; and being born in China or South Africa. Treatment outcomes were worse for patients with than without acquired resistance. Although acquired resistance is rare in the study area, certain patient groups are at higher risk. Identifying these patients and ensuring that adequate resources are available for treatment may prevent acquisition of resistance, thereby limiting transmission of drug-resistant strains of mycobacteria.


Subject(s)
Antitubercular Agents/pharmacology , Drug Resistance, Bacterial/drug effects , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/drug effects , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , England/epidemiology , Female , History, 21st Century , Humans , Male , Northern Ireland/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/history , Tuberculosis/microbiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/history , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/microbiology , Wales/epidemiology , Young Adult
14.
Am J Epidemiol ; 187(10): 2233-2242, 2018 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29878041

ABSTRACT

Genotyping provides the opportunity to better understand tuberculosis (TB) transmission. We utilized strain typing data to assess trends in the proportion of clustering and identify the characteristics of individuals and clusters associated with recent United Kingdom (UK) transmission. In this retrospective cohort analysis, we included all culture-confirmed strain-typed TB notifications from the UK between 2010 and 2015 to estimate the proportion of patients that clustered over time. We explored the characteristics of patients in a cluster using multivariable logistic regression. Overall, 58.5% of TB patients were concentrated in 2,701 clusters. The proportion of patients in a cluster decreased between 2010 (58.7%) and 2015 (55.3%) (P = 0.001). Being a clustered patient was associated with being male and UK-born, having pulmonary disease, having a previous TB diagnosis, and having a history of drug misuse or imprisonment. Our results suggest that TB transmission in the UK decreased between 2010 and 2015, during which time TB incidence also decreased. Targeted cluster investigation and extended contact tracing should be aimed at persons at risk of being in a transmission chain, including UK-born individuals with social risk factors in clusters with a high proportion of patients having pulmonary disease.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Child , Child, Preschool , Emigrants and Immigrants/statistics & numerical data , Female , Genotype , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Minisatellite Repeats , Molecular Epidemiology , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics , Prisons/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Sex Factors , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/genetics , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/genetics , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Young Adult
15.
Thorax ; 73(8): 769-775, 2018 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29674389

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Following nearly two decades of increasing tuberculosis in the UK, TB incidence decreased by 32% from 2011 to 2015. Explaining this reduction is crucial to informing ongoing TB control efforts. METHODS: We stratified TB cases notified in the UK and TB cases averted in the UK through pre-entry screening (PES) between 2011 and 2015 by country of birth and time since arrival. We used population estimates and migration data to establish denominators, and calculated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) between 2011 and 2015. We calculated the contribution of changing migrant population sizes, PES and changes in TB rates to the reduction in TB notifications. RESULTS: TB IRRs fell in all non-EU migrant and UK-born populations between 2011 and 2015 (0.61; 95% CI 0.59 to 0.64 and 0.78; 0.73 to 0.83 respectively), with the greatest decrease in recent non-EU migrants (0.54; 0.48 to 0.61). 61.9% of the reduction in TB notifications was attributable to decreases in TB rates, 33.4% to a fall in the number of recent/mid-term non-EU migrants and 11.4% to PES. A small increase in notifications in EU-born migrants offset the reduction by 6.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Large decreases in TB rates in almost all populations accounted for the majority of the reduction in TB notifications, providing evidence of the impact of recent interventions to improve UK TB control. The particularly large decrease in TB rates in recent non-EU migrants provides evidence of the effectiveness of screening interventions that target this population. These findings will inform ongoing improvements to TB control.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Emigrants and Immigrants/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Mass Screening , Population Surveillance , United Kingdom/epidemiology
16.
BMC Med ; 16(1): 85, 2018 06 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29879977

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: HIV increases the progression of latent tuberculosis (TB) infection to active disease and contributed to increased TB in the UK until 2004. We describe temporal trends in HIV infection amongst patients with TB and identify factors associated with HIV infection. METHODS: We used national surveillance data of all TB cases reported in England, Wales and Northern Ireland from 2000 to 2014 and determined HIV status through record linkage to national HIV surveillance. We used logistic regression to identify associations between HIV and demographic, clinical and social factors. RESULTS: There were 106,829 cases of TB in adults (≥ 15 years) reported from 2000 to 2014. The number and proportion of TB patients infected with HIV decreased from 543/6782 (8.0%) in 2004 to 205/6461 (3.2%) in 2014. The proportion of patients diagnosed with HIV > 91 days prior to their TB diagnosis increased from 33.5% in 2000 to 60.2% in 2013. HIV infection was highest in people of black African ethnicity from countries with high HIV prevalence (32.3%), patients who misused drugs (8.1%) and patients with miliary or meningeal TB (17.2%). CONCLUSIONS: There has been an overall decrease in TB-HIV co-infection and a decline in the proportion of patients diagnosed simultaneously with both infections. However, high rates of HIV remain in some sub-populations of patients with TB, particularly black Africans born in countries with high HIV prevalence and people with a history of drug misuse. Whilst the current policy of testing all patients diagnosed with TB for HIV infection is important in ensuring appropriate management of TB patients, many of these TB cases would be preventable if HIV could be diagnosed before TB develops. Improving screening for both latent TB and HIV and ensuring early treatment of HIV in these populations could help prevent these TB cases. British HIV Association guidelines on latent TB testing for people with HIV from sub-Saharan Africa remain relevant, and latent TB screening for people with HIV with a history of drug misuse, homelessness or imprisonment should also be considered.


Subject(s)
Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Coinfection/etiology , HIV Infections/etiology , Tuberculosis/complications , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Anti-Retroviral Agents/pharmacology , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Northern Ireland/epidemiology , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Wales/epidemiology , Young Adult
17.
Eur Respir J ; 51(6)2018 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29748309

ABSTRACT

We used whole-genome sequencing (WGS) to delineate transmission networks and investigate the benefits of WGS during cluster investigation.We included clustered cases of multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis (TB)/extensively drug-resistant (XDR) TB linked by mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit variable tandem repeat (MIRU-VNTR) strain typing or epidemiological information in the national cluster B1006, notified between 2007 and 2013 in the UK. We excluded from further investigation cases whose isolates differed by greater than 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Data relating to patients' social networks were collected.27 cases were investigated and 22 had WGS, eight of which (36%) were excluded as their isolates differed by more than 12 SNPs to other cases. 18 cases were ruled into the transmission network based on genomic and epidemiological information. Evidence of transmission was inconclusive in seven out of 18 cases (39%) in the transmission network following WGS and epidemiological investigation.This investigation of a drug-resistant TB cluster illustrates the opportunities and limitations of WGS in understanding transmission in a setting with a high proportion of migrant cases. The use of WGS should be combined with classical epidemiological methods. However, not every cluster will be solvable, regardless of the quality of genomic data.


Subject(s)
Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Whole Genome Sequencing , Bacterial Typing Techniques , Cluster Analysis , Disease Outbreaks , Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/transmission , Humans , Minisatellite Repeats , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolation & purification , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/transmission , United Kingdom/epidemiology
18.
CMAJ ; 190(27): E816-E822, 2018 07 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29986857

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is uncertainty about which children with minor head injury need to undergo computed tomography (CT). We sought to prospectively validate the accuracy and potential for refinement of a previously derived decision rule, Canadian Assessment of Tomography for Childhood Head injury (CATCH), to guide CT use in children with minor head injury. METHODS: This multicentre cohort study in 9 Canadian pediatric emergency departments prospectively enrolled children with blunt head trauma presenting with a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 13-15 and loss of consciousness, amnesia, disorientation, persistent vomiting or irritability. Phys icians completed standardized assessment forms before CT, including clinical predictors of the rule. The primary outcome was neurosurgical intervention and the secondary outcome was brain injury on CT. We calculated test characteristics of the rule and used recursive partitioning to further refine the rule. RESULTS: Of 4060 enrolled patients, 23 (0.6%) underwent neurosurgical intervention, and 197 (4.9%) had brain injury on CT. The original 7-item rule (CATCH) had sensitivities of 91.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 72.0%-98.9%) for neurosurgical intervention and 97.5% (95% CI 94.2%-99.2%) for predicting brain injury. Adding "≥ 4 episodes of vomiting" resulted in a refined 8-item rule (CATCH2) with 100% (95% CI 85.2%-100%) sensitivity for neurosurgical intervention and 99.5% (95% CI 97.2%-100%) sensitivity for brain injury. INTERPRETATION: Among children presenting to the emergency department with minor head injury, the CATCH2 rule was highly sensitive for identifying those children requiring neurosurgical intervention and those with any brain injury on CT. The CATCH2 rule should be further validated in an implementation study designed to assess its clinical impact.


Subject(s)
Decision Support Techniques , Emergency Service, Hospital , Head Injuries, Closed/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Adolescent , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/surgery , Canada , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Glasgow Coma Scale , Head Injuries, Closed/surgery , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Neurosurgical Procedures , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Sensitivity and Specificity
19.
Euro Surveill ; 23(44)2018 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30401009

ABSTRACT

Molecular technology to identify relatedness between Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex isolates, representative of possible tuberculosis (TB) transmission between individuals, continues to evolve. At the same time, tools to utilise this information for public health action to improve TB control should also be implemented. Public Health England developed the Strain Typing Module (STM) as an integral part of the web-based surveillance system used in the United Kingdom following the roll-out of prospective 24 loci mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable number tandem repeat (MIRU-VNTR) strain typing. The creation of such a system required data integration and linkage, bringing together laboratory results and patient notification information. The STM facilitated widespread access to patient strain typing and clustering results for the public health community working in TB control. In addition, the system provided a log of cluster review and investigation decision making and results. Automated real-time data linkage between laboratory and notification data are essential to allow routine use of genotyping results in TB surveillance and control. Outputs must be accessible by those working in TB control at a local level to have any impact in ongoing public health activity.


Subject(s)
Genetic Loci/genetics , Internet , Minisatellite Repeats/genetics , Multilocus Sequence Typing/methods , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolation & purification , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Disease Notification , Genetic Variation , Humans , Molecular Typing/methods , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/classification , Population Surveillance , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , United Kingdom
20.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 23(3): 377-386, 2017 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28220748

ABSTRACT

Despite control efforts, Mycobacterium bovis incidence among cattle remains high in parts of England, Wales, and Northern Ireland, attracting political and public health interest in potential spread from animals to humans. To determine incidence among humans and to identify associated factors, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of human M. bovis cases in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland during 2002-2014. We identified 357 cases and observed increased annual case numbers (from 17 to 35) and rates. Most patients were >65 years of age and born in the United Kingdom. The median age of UK-born patients decreased over time. For 74% of patients, exposure to risk factors accounting for M. bovis acquisition, most frequently consumption of unpasteurized milk, was known. Despite the small increase in case numbers and reduction in patient age, M. bovis infection of humans in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland remains rare.


Subject(s)
Mycobacterium bovis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/microbiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Northern Ireland/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Wales/epidemiology , Young Adult
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