Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 20 de 307
Filter
Add more filters

Publication year range
1.
Nature ; 623(7988): 752-756, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37853128

ABSTRACT

Subduction related to the ancient supercontinent cycle is poorly constrained by mantle samples. Sublithospheric diamond crystallization records the release of melts from subducting oceanic lithosphere at 300-700 km depths1,2 and is especially suited to tracking the timing and effects of deep mantle processes on supercontinents. Here we show that four isotope systems (Rb-Sr, Sm-Nd, U-Pb and Re-Os) applied to Fe-sulfide and CaSiO3 inclusions within 13 sublithospheric diamonds from Juína (Brazil) and Kankan (Guinea) give broadly overlapping crystallization ages from around 450 to 650 million years ago. The intracratonic location of the diamond deposits on Gondwana and the ages, initial isotopic ratios, and trace element content of the inclusions indicate formation from a peri-Gondwanan subduction system. Preservation of these Neoproterozoic-Palaeozoic sublithospheric diamonds beneath Gondwana until its Cretaceous breakup, coupled with majorite geobarometry3,4, suggests that they accreted to and were retained in the lithospheric keel for more than 300 Myr during supercontinent migration. We propose that this process of lithosphere growth-with diamonds attached to the supercontinent keel by the diapiric uprise of depleted buoyant material and pieces of slab crust-could have enhanced supercontinent stability.

2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(18): e2316474121, 2024 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38652749

ABSTRACT

Multimessenger searches for binary neutron star (BNS) and neutron star-black hole (NSBH) mergers are currently one of the most exciting areas of astronomy. The search for joint electromagnetic and neutrino counterparts to gravitational wave (GW)s has resumed with ALIGO's, AdVirgo's and KAGRA's fourth observing run (O4). To support this effort, public semiautomated data products are sent in near real-time and include localization and source properties to guide complementary observations. In preparation for O4, we have conducted a study using a simulated population of compact binaries and a mock data challenge (MDC) in the form of a real-time replay to optimize and profile the software infrastructure and scientific deliverables. End-toend performance was tested, including data ingestion, running online search pipelines, performing annotations, and issuing alerts to the astrophysics community. We present an overview of the low-latency infrastructure and the performance of the data products that are now being released during O4 based on the MDC. We report the expected median latency for the preliminary alert of full bandwidth searches (29.5 s) and show consistency and accuracy of released data products using the MDC. We report the expected median latency for triggers from early warning searches (-3.1 s), which are new in O4 and target neutron star mergers during inspiral phase. This paper provides a performance overview for LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) low-latency alert infrastructure and data products using theMDCand serves as a useful reference for the interpretation of O4 detections.

3.
Int J Legal Med ; 138(1): 151-164, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36820918

ABSTRACT

The isotopic signatures of human tissues can provide valuable information on geographic origin for medicolegal investigations involving unidentified persons. It is important to understand the impact of diagenetic processes on isotopic signatures, as alterations could result in incorrect estimation of geographic origin. This study examines alterations in isotope signatures of different tissues of five human body donors studied throughout decomposition at the Forensic Anthropology Research Facility (FARF), San Marcos, TX. Two body donors were buried, two were placed in open pits, and one was first allowed to naturally mummify and then buried. Remains were recovered after a period of 7-34 months. The preplacement and post-recovery Sr-Pb isotope data of scalp hair, bone (iliac and tibia), and tooth enamel and dentine were compared. The hair samples record significant shifts in Sr-Pb isotope compositions, with hair keratin Pb isotope composition shifting towards the Pb signature of local soil samples. Hair keratin Sr isotope compositions were altered by the burial environment and possibly also by the lab sample cleaning method. The spongy iliac bone samples show inconsistencies in the recoverability of the preplacement Sr-Pb isotope signatures. The post-placement signatures of the buried donors show slight elevation over preplacement signatures. The post-placement signatures of donors placed in open pits are significantly elevated. The tibia and dental samples record the most consistent isotopic data with the least alteration. These more densely mineralised elements show good recoverability of the preplacement isotope signatures in burials and open pits and are thus deemed better targets for forensic investigative purposes.


Subject(s)
Keratins, Hair-Specific , Lead , Humans , Isotopes , Hair , Burial
4.
Thorax ; 79(1): 86-89, 2023 12 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37344177

ABSTRACT

High rates of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Ukraine suggest screening is necessary to mitigate public health hazards for host populations. A pathway was implemented in Wales and data prospectively collected Between 8 April and 21 December 2022. Of 5425 Ukrainian arrivals, notifications were received by TB teams on 2395 (44%) of whom 1955 (82%) were screened. The refugees were young (median age 30, IQR 14-41), and predominantly female (66.1%). Interferon- gamma release assay (IGRA) tests were positive in 112 (6.5%). One Case of active tuberculosis was identified (0.05%). Our data supports European guidelines that routine screening of this population is not recommended, but we remain uncertain as to the risks of this population going forwards.


Subject(s)
Latent Tuberculosis , Refugees , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Female , Adult , Male , Latent Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Latent Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculin Test , Wales/epidemiology , Interferon-gamma Release Tests , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Mass Screening
5.
Pharmacogenomics J ; 23(1): 21-27, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36302979

ABSTRACT

This study evaluated the timing, use, and clinical outcomes of the GeneFolio® Pharmacogenomic Panel in a healthcare setting with patients managed by primary care providers or by psychiatrists. Participants were randomized to receive a pharmacogenetics report at four weeks or 12 weeks. After DNA collection and genetic analysis, pharmacists produced a recommendation report which was given to providers at the randomization week. The four-week group decreased depression severity (PHQ-9 and BDI) faster than the 12-week group (p = 0.0196), and psychiatrists' patients decreased their depression severity faster than primary care patients (PHQ-9 p = 0.0005, BDI p = 0.0218). Mean mental quality of life increased over time (p < 0.0001), but it increased slower for patients taking drugs in the Significant drug-drug-gene interaction category (p = 0.0012). Mental quality of life, depression severity, and clinical outcomes were improved by GeneFolio® pharmacogenomic testing regardless of provider type, with earlier testing improving outcomes sooner.


Subject(s)
Pharmacogenetics , Quality of Life , Humans , Primary Health Care
6.
Clin Chem ; 69(9): 1031-1037, 2023 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37473426

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Current laboratory procedures may fail to detect wrong blood in tube (WBIT) errors. Machine learning models have the potential to improve WBIT error detection, as demonstrated by proof-of-concept studies. The models developed so far, however, are not appropriate for routine use because they are unable to handle missing values and have low positive predictive value (PPV). In this study, a machine learning model suitable for routine use was developed. METHODS: A model was trained and a preliminary evaluation performed on a retrospective data set of 135 128 current and previous patient complete blood count (CBC) results. The model was then applied prospectively to routine samples tested in a public hospital laboratory over a period of 22 weeks. Each week, the 5 samples identified by the model as most likely to be WBIT errors underwent further investigation by testing blood group and red cell phenotype. The study assessed the number of WBIT errors that were missed by current procedures but detected by the model, as well as the PPV of the model. RESULTS: The model was applied prospectively to 38 187 CBC results that had passed routine laboratory checks. One hundred and ten samples were identified for further testing and 12 WBIT errors were detected. The PPV of the model was 10.9%. CONCLUSION: A machine learning model suitable for routine use was able to identify WBIT errors missed by the laboratory's current procedures. Machine learning models are valuable for the identification of WBIT errors, and their validation and deployment in clinical laboratories would improve patient safety.


Subject(s)
Laboratories, Hospital , Medical Errors , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Machine Learning , Blood Cell Count
7.
Eur J Pediatr ; 182(3): 1271-1280, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36633656

ABSTRACT

The goal of this study was to explore the availability of diagnostic and treatment options for managing upper airway obstruction (UAO) in infants with Robin Sequence (RS) in Europe. Countries were divided in lower- (LHECs, i.e., PPP per capita < $4000) and higher-health expenditure countries (HHECs, i.e., PPP per capita ≥ $4000). An online survey was sent to European healthcare professionals who treat RS. The survey was designed to determine the availability of diagnostic tools such as arterial blood gas analysis (ABG), pulse oximetry, CO2 analysis, polysomnography (PSG), and sleep questionnaires, as well as to identify the used treatment options in a specific center. Responses were received from professionals of 85 centers, originating from 31 different countries. It was equally challenging to provide care for infants with RS in both LHECs and HHECs (3.67/10 versus 2.65/10, p = 0.45). Furthermore, in the LHECs, there was less access to ABG (85% versus 98%, p = 0.03), CO2 analysis (45% versus 70%, p = 0.03), and PSG (54% versus 93%, p < 0.01). There were no significant differences in the accessibility concerning pulse oximetry, sleep questionnaires, home saturation monitoring, nasopharyngeal tubes, Tuebingen plates, and mandibular distraction.    Conclusion: This study demonstrates a large difference in available care for infants with RS throughout Europe. LHECs have less access to diagnostic tools in RS when compared to HHECs. There is, however, no difference in the availability of treatment modalities between LHECs and HHECs. What is Known: • Patients with Robin sequence (RS) require complex and multidisciplinary care. They can present with moderate to severe upper airway obstruction (UAO). There exists a large variety in the use of diagnostics for both UAO treatment indications and evaluations. In most cases, conservative management of UAO in RS is sufficient. Patients with UAO that persist despite conservative management ultimately need surgical intervention. To determine which intervention is best suitable for the individual RS patient, the level of UAO needs to be determined through diagnostic testing. • There is a substantial variation among institutions across Europe for both diagnostics and treatment options in UAO. A standardized, internationally accepted protocol for the assessment and management of UAO in RS could guide healthcare professionals in the timing of assessment and indications to prevent escalation of UAO. Creating such a protocol might be a challenge, as there are large financial differences between countries in Europe (e.g., health expenditure per capita in purchasing power parity in international dollars ranges from $600 to over $8500). What is New: • There is a substantial variation in the availability of objective diagnostic tools between European countries. Arterial blood gas analysis, CO2 analysis and polysomnography are not equally accessible for lower-healthcare expenditure countries (LHECs) compared to higher-healthcare expenditure countries (HHECs). These differences are not only limited to availability; there is also a difference in quality of these diagnostic tools. Surprisingly, there is no difference in access to treatment tools between LHECs and HHECs. • There is national heterogeneity in access to tools for diagnosis and treatment of RS, which suggests centralization of health care, showing that specialized care is only available in tertiary centers. By centralization of care for RS infants, diagnostics and treatment can be optimized in the best possible way to create a uniform European protocol and ultimately equal care across Europe. Learning what is necessary for adequate monitoring could lead to better allocation of resources, which is especially important in a low-resource setting.


Subject(s)
Airway Obstruction , Pierre Robin Syndrome , Infant , Humans , Airway Obstruction/diagnosis , Airway Obstruction/etiology , Airway Obstruction/therapy , Pierre Robin Syndrome/diagnosis , Pierre Robin Syndrome/therapy , Carbon Dioxide , Europe , Mandible/surgery , Retrospective Studies
8.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 23(1): 8, 2023 01 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36647111

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The CVD-COVID-UK consortium was formed to understand the relationship between COVID-19 and cardiovascular diseases through analyses of harmonised electronic health records (EHRs) across the four UK nations. Beyond COVID-19, data harmonisation and common approaches enable analysis within and across independent Trusted Research Environments. Here we describe the reproducible harmonisation method developed using large-scale EHRs in Wales to accommodate the fast and efficient implementation of cross-nation analysis in England and Wales as part of the CVD-COVID-UK programme. We characterise current challenges and share lessons learnt. METHODS: Serving the scope and scalability of multiple study protocols, we used linked, anonymised individual-level EHR, demographic and administrative data held within the SAIL Databank for the population of Wales. The harmonisation method was implemented as a four-layer reproducible process, starting from raw data in the first layer. Then each of the layers two to four is framed by, but not limited to, the characterised challenges and lessons learnt. We achieved curated data as part of our second layer, followed by extracting phenotyped data in the third layer. We captured any project-specific requirements in the fourth layer. RESULTS: Using the implemented four-layer harmonisation method, we retrieved approximately 100 health-related variables for the 3.2 million individuals in Wales, which are harmonised with corresponding variables for > 56 million individuals in England. We processed 13 data sources into the first layer of our harmonisation method: five of these are updated daily or weekly, and the rest at various frequencies providing sufficient data flow updates for frequent capturing of up-to-date demographic, administrative and clinical information. CONCLUSIONS: We implemented an efficient, transparent, scalable, and reproducible harmonisation method that enables multi-nation collaborative research. With a current focus on COVID-19 and its relationship with cardiovascular outcomes, the harmonised data has supported a wide range of research activities across the UK.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Electronic Health Records , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Wales/epidemiology , England
9.
Cleft Palate Craniofac J ; 60(10): 1189-1198, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35532040

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Describe the first hybrid global simulation-based comprehensive cleft care workshop, evaluate impact on participants, and compare experiences based on in-person versus virtual attendance. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey-based evaluation. SETTING: International comprehensive cleft care workshop. PARTICIPANTS: Total of 489 participants. INTERVENTIONS: Three-day simulation-based hybrid comprehensive cleft care workshop. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Participant demographic data, perceived barriers and interventions needed for global comprehensive cleft care delivery, participant workshop satisfaction, and perceived short-term impact on practice stratified by in-person versus virtual attendance. RESULTS: The workshop included 489 participants from 5 continents. The response rate was 39.9%. Participants perceived financial factors (30.3%) the most significant barrier and improvement in training (39.8%) as the most important intervention to overcome barriers facing cleft care delivery in low to middle-income countries. All participants reported a high level of satisfaction with the workshop and a strong positive perceived short-term impact on their practice. Importantly, while this was true for both in-person and virtual attendees, in-person attendees reported a significantly higher satisfaction with the workshop (28.63 ± 3.08 vs 27.63 ± 3.93; P = .04) and perceived impact on their clinical practice (22.37 ± 3.42 vs 21.02 ± 3.45 P = .01). CONCLUSION: Hybrid simulation-based educational comprehensive cleft care workshops are overall well received by participants and have a positive perceived impact on their clinical practices. In-person attendance is associated with significantly higher satisfaction and perceived impact on practice. Considering that financial and health constraints may limit live meeting attendance, future efforts will focus on making in-person and virtual attendance more comparable.


Subject(s)
Cleft Lip , Cleft Palate , Humans , Cleft Palate/therapy , Cleft Lip/therapy , Cross-Sectional Studies , Head , Personal Satisfaction
10.
Eur J Orthod ; 45(6): 671-679, 2023 11 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37279564

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE/DESIGN/SETTING: This retrospective study sought voluntary participation from leading cleft centres from Europe and Brazil regarding core outcome measures. The results of this study would inform the debate on core outcome consensus pertaining to the European Reference Network for rare diseases (ERN CRANIO) and achieve a core outcome set for cleft care providers worldwide. INTERVENTION/METHOD: Five orofacial cleft (OFC) disciplines were identified, within which all of the International Consortium of Health Outcomes Measurement (ICHOM) outcomes fall. One questionnaire was designed for each discipline and comprised 1. the relevant ICHOM's outcomes within that discipline, and 2. a series of questions targeted to clinicians. What core outcomes are currently measured and when, did these align with the ICHOM minimum, if not how did they differ, and would they recommend modified or additional outcomes?. RESULTS: For some disciplines participants agreed with the ICHOM minimums but urged for earlier and more frequent intervention. Some clinicians felt that some of the ICHOM standards were compatible but that different ages were preferred and for others the ICHOM standards were acceptable but developmental stages should be preferred to absolute time points. CONCLUSION/IMPLICATIONS: Core outcomes for OFC were supported in principle but there are differences between the ICHOM recommendations and the 2002 WHO global consensus. The latter are established in many centres with historical archives of OFC outcome data, and it was concluded that with some modifications ICHOM could be moulded into useful core outcomes data for inter-centre comparisons worldwide.


Subject(s)
Cleft Lip , Cleft Palate , Humans , Cleft Lip/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Cleft Palate/therapy , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Surveys and Questionnaires
11.
Health Promot J Austr ; 34(2): 284-293, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35470511

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gambling poses a global threat to public health due to its far-reaching impacts. Research has demonstrated a ripple effect of harmful gambling on social network members and broader communities. While researchers have documented extreme harms associated with an affected other, limited research has qualitatively investigated how women describe their concerns about the gambling of a social network member, and any subsequent negative impacts on their own lives. METHODS: An online panel survey was conducted with women aged 18 years and older, who gambled at least once in the last 12 months, and resided in the Australian states of Victoria and New South Wales. This paper focused on the open text responses of a subsection of the sample (n = 136) who reported being negatively impacted by someone else's gambling. The study utilised reflexive thematic analysis to interpret the data. RESULTS: Results indicated that women were concerned about the gambling behaviours of a broad range of social network members. Open text responses regarding the nature of these concerns mostly related to individualised paradigms of gambling behaviour - including whether the participant perceived their network member could afford to gamble, was being responsible with their gambling, or were gambling too frequently. Participants experienced a range of negative impacts including significant financial issues, relationship difficulties, poorer emotional wellbeing as a result of worrying about the gambler, and loss of trust. Some described the negative experiences associated with growing up with a parent who gambled. CONCLUSION: The research demonstrates the broad impacts of gambling on affected others. This study enhances our understanding of how women are harmed by gambling and considers the complexities of their experiences and relationships with the gambler. This extends knowledge beyond quantitative descriptors of harm among affected others and provides a critical reflection on the nuances of women's experiences with gambling and gambling harm.


Subject(s)
Gambling , Humans , Female , Gambling/psychology , Australia , New South Wales , Parents , Harm Reduction
12.
Gastroenterology ; 160(4): 1224-1239.e30, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33197448

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), key constituents of the tumor microenvironment, either promote or restrain tumor growth. Attempts to therapeutically target CAFs have been hampered by our incomplete understanding of these functionally heterogeneous cells. Key growth factors in the intestinal epithelial niche, bone morphogenetic proteins (BMPs), also play a critical role in colorectal cancer (CRC) progression. However, the crucial proteins regulating stromal BMP balance and the potential application of BMP signaling to manage CRC remain largely unexplored. METHODS: Using human CRC RNA expression data, we identified CAF-specific factors involved in BMP signaling, then verified and characterized their expression in the CRC stroma by in situ hybridization. CRC tumoroids and a mouse model of CRC hepatic metastasis were used to test approaches to modify BMP signaling and treat CRC. RESULTS: We identified Grem1 and Islr as CAF-specific genes involved in BMP signaling. Functionally, GREM1 and ISLR acted to inhibit and promote BMP signaling, respectively. Grem1 and Islr marked distinct fibroblast subpopulations and were differentially regulated by transforming growth factor ß and FOXL1, providing an underlying mechanism to explain fibroblast biological dichotomy. In patients with CRC, high GREM1 and ISLR expression levels were associated with poor and favorable survival, respectively. A GREM1-neutralizing antibody or fibroblast Islr overexpression reduced CRC tumoroid growth and promoted Lgr5+ intestinal stem cell differentiation. Finally, adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8)-mediated delivery of Islr to hepatocytes increased BMP signaling and improved survival in our mouse model of hepatic metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: Stromal BMP signaling predicts and modifies CRC progression and survival, and it can be therapeutically targeted by novel AAV-directed gene delivery to the liver.


Subject(s)
Bone Morphogenetic Proteins/metabolism , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Immunoglobulins/metabolism , Intercellular Signaling Peptides and Proteins/metabolism , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Animals , Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts/metabolism , Carcinogenesis/pathology , Cell Differentiation , Cell Line, Tumor , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Disease Progression , Female , Hepatocytes/metabolism , Humans , Immunoglobulins/genetics , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Mice , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Signal Transduction , Tumor Microenvironment , Up-Regulation , Xenograft Model Antitumor Assays
13.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 88(2): e0164121, 2022 01 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34788072

ABSTRACT

Bacterial growth and proliferation can be restricted by limiting the availability of metal ions in their environment. Humans sequester iron, manganese, and zinc to help prevent infection by pathogens, a system termed nutritional immunity. Commercially used chelants have high binding affinities with a variety of metal ions, which may lead to antibacterial properties that mimic these innate immune processes. However, the modes of action of many of these chelating agents in bacterial growth inhibition and their selectivity in metal deprivation in cellulo remain ill-defined. We address this shortcoming by examining the effect of 11 chelators on Escherichia coli growth and their impact on the cellular concentration of five metals. The following four distinct effects were uncovered: (i) no apparent alteration in metal composition, (ii) depletion of manganese alongside reductions in iron and zinc levels, (iii) reduced zinc levels with a modest reduction in manganese, and (iv) reduced iron levels coupled with elevated manganese. These effects do not correlate with the absolute known chelant metal ion affinities in solution; however, for at least five chelators for which key data are available, they can be explained by differences in the relative affinity of chelants for each metal ion. The results reveal significant insights into the mechanism of growth inhibition by chelants, highlighting their potential as antibacterials and as tools to probe how bacteria tolerate selective metal deprivation. IMPORTANCE Chelating agents are widely used in industry and consumer goods to control metal availability, with bacterial growth restriction as a secondary benefit for preservation. However, the antibacterial mechanism of action of chelants is largely unknown, particularly with respect to the impact on cellular metal concentrations. The work presented here uncovers distinct metal starvation effects imposed by different chelants on the model Gram-negative bacterium Escherichia coli. The chelators were studied both individually and in pairs, with the majority producing synergistic effects in combinations that maximize antibacterial hostility. The judicious selection of chelants based on contrasting cellular effects should enable reductions in the quantities of chelant required in numerous commercial products and presents opportunities to replace problematic chemistries with biodegradable alternatives.


Subject(s)
Manganese , Zinc , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Chelating Agents/chemistry , Chelating Agents/pharmacology , Humans , Ions , Iron/metabolism , Iron Chelating Agents/pharmacology , Manganese/metabolism , Zinc/metabolism , Zinc/pharmacology
14.
Geophys J Int ; 230(3): 1630-1651, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35531103

ABSTRACT

Offshore Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments (offshore PTHAs) provide large-scale analyses of earthquake-tsunami frequencies and uncertainties in the deep ocean, but do not provide high-resolution onshore tsunami hazard information as required for many risk-management applications. To understand the implications of an offshore PTHA for the onshore hazard at any site, in principle the tsunami inundation should be simulated locally for every earthquake scenario in the offshore PTHA. In practice this is rarely feasible due to the computational expense of inundation models, and the large number of scenarios in offshore PTHAs. Monte Carlo methods offer a practical and rigorous alternative for approximating the onshore hazard, using a random subset of scenarios. The resulting Monte Carlo errors can be quantified and controlled, enabling high-resolution onshore PTHAs to be implemented at a fraction of the computational cost. This study develops efficient Monte Carlo approaches for offshore-to-onshore PTHA. Modelled offshore PTHA wave heights are used to preferentially sample scenarios that have large offshore waves near an onshore site of interest. By appropriately weighting the scenarios, the Monte Carlo errors are reduced without introducing bias. The techniques are demonstrated in a high-resolution onshore PTHA for the island of Tongatapu in Tonga, using the 2018 Australian PTHA as the offshore PTHA, while considering only thrust earthquake sources on the Kermadec-Tonga trench. The efficiency improvements are equivalent to using 4-18 times more random scenarios, as compared with stratified-sampling by magnitude, which is commonly used for onshore PTHA. The greatest efficiency improvements are for rare, large tsunamis, and for calculations that represent epistemic uncertainties in the tsunami hazard. To facilitate the control of Monte Carlo errors in practical applications, this study also provides analytical techniques for estimating the errors both before and after inundation simulations are conducted. Before inundation simulation, this enables a proposed Monte Carlo sampling scheme to be checked, and potentially improved, at minimal computational cost. After inundation simulation, it enables the remaining Monte Carlo errors to be quantified at onshore sites, without additional inundation simulations. In combination these techniques enable offshore PTHAs to be rigorously transformed into onshore PTHAs, with quantification of epistemic uncertainties, while controlling Monte Carlo errors.

15.
Blood ; 134(15): 1227-1237, 2019 10 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31350265

ABSTRACT

Children with Down syndrome (DS) have a 20-fold increased risk of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and distinct somatic features, including CRLF2 rearrangement in ∼50% of cases; however, the role of inherited genetic variation in DS-ALL susceptibility is unknown. We report the first genome-wide association study of DS-ALL, comprising a meta-analysis of 4 independent studies, with 542 DS-ALL cases and 1192 DS controls. We identified 4 susceptibility loci at genome-wide significance: rs58923657 near IKZF1 (odds ratio [OR], 2.02; Pmeta = 5.32 × 10-15), rs3731249 in CDKN2A (OR, 3.63; Pmeta = 3.91 × 10-10), rs7090445 in ARID5B (OR, 1.60; Pmeta = 8.44 × 10-9), and rs3781093 in GATA3 (OR, 1.73; Pmeta = 2.89 × 10-8). We performed DS-ALL vs non-DS ALL case-case analyses, comparing risk allele frequencies at these and other established susceptibility loci (BMI1, PIP4K2A, and CEBPE) and found significant association with DS status for CDKN2A (OR, 1.58; Pmeta = 4.1 × 10-4). This association was maintained in separate regression models, both adjusting for and stratifying on CRLF2 overexpression and other molecular subgroups, indicating an increased penetrance of CDKN2A risk alleles in children with DS. Finally, we investigated functional significance of the IKZF1 risk locus, and demonstrated mapping to a B-cell super-enhancer, and risk allele association with decreased enhancer activity and differential protein binding. IKZF1 knockdown resulted in significantly higher proliferation in DS than non-DS lymphoblastoid cell lines. Our findings demonstrate a higher penetrance of the CDKN2A risk locus in DS and serve as a basis for further biological insights into DS-ALL etiology.


Subject(s)
Down Syndrome/genetics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/genetics , Child , Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16/genetics , DNA-Binding Proteins/genetics , Down Syndrome/complications , GATA3 Transcription Factor/genetics , Gene Frequency , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Ikaros Transcription Factor/genetics , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/complications , Transcription Factors/genetics
16.
Rapid Commun Mass Spectrom ; 35(7): e9038, 2021 Apr 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33370492

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE: Strontium isotope analysis can be applied to the calcined human otic capsule in the petrous part (pars petrosa ossis temporalis; PP) to gain information on childhood mobility in archaeological and forensic contexts. However, only a thin layer of the otic capsule, the inner cortex, demonstrates virtually no remodelling. This paper proposes an improved sampling method for the accurate sampling of the inner cortex of the otic capsule to ensure that 87 Sr/86 Sr ratios related to early childhood are obtained. METHODS: Calcined rib and diaphyseal fragments and PP from ten cremation deposits are sampled for strontium isotope analysis, whereby our improved sampling strategy is applied to sample the inner cortex of the otic capsule. This allows inter- and intraskeletal 87 Sr/86 Sr comparison within an Iron Age collection from Oss, The Netherlands. RESULTS: Forty percent (4/10) of the calcined PP that were evaluated for this study show marked differences in 87 Sr/86 Sr (0.00035-0.00065) between the inner cortex and the bone sample surrounding this layer, the external cortex that has higher remodelling rates. Differences in 87 Sr/86 Sr between various skeletal elements also aided in the identification of the minimum number of individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates the problematic nature of the external cortex and stresses the need for a precise sampling method of the correct areas of the otic capsule. This can only be obtained by cutting the calcined PP midmodiolarly to enable adequate combustion degree assessment, and the correct identification and sampling of the inner cortex of the otic capsule.


Subject(s)
Petrous Bone/chemistry , Strontium Isotopes/analysis , Archaeology , Cremation , Human Migration , Humans , Netherlands
17.
Ann Emerg Med ; 77(3): 317-326, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32807537

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Resuscitative thoracotomy is a time-sensitive, lifesaving procedure that may be performed by emergency physicians. The left anterolateral thoracotomy (LAT) is the standard technique commonly used in the United States to gain rapid access to critical intrathoracic structures. However, the smaller incision and subsequent limited exposure may not be optimal for the nonsurgical specialist to complete time-sensitive interventions. The modified bilateral anterior clamshell thoracotomy (MCT) developed by Barts Health NHS Trust clinicians at London's Air Ambulance overcomes these inherent difficulties, maximizes thoracic cavity visualization, and may be the ideal technique for the nonsurgical specialist. The aim of this study is to identify the optimal technique for the nonsurgical-specialist-performed resuscitative thoracotomy. Secondary aims of the study are to identify technical difficulties, procedural concerns, and physician preferences. METHODS: Emergency medicine staff and senior resident physicians were recruited from an academic Level I trauma center. Subjects underwent novel standardized didactic and skills-specific training on both the MCT and LAT techniques. Later, subjects were randomized to the order of intervention and performed both techniques on separate fresh, nonfrozen human cadaver specimens. Success was determined by a board-certified surgeon and defined as complete delivery of the heart from the pericardial sac and subsequent 100% occlusion of the descending thoracic aorta with a vascular clamp. The primary outcome was time to successful completion of the resuscitative thoracotomy technique. Secondary outcomes included successful exposure of the heart, successful descending thoracic aortic cross clamping, successful procedural completion, time to exposure of the heart, time to descending thoracic aortic cross-clamp placement, number and type of iatrogenic injuries, correct anatomic structure identification, and poststudy participant questionnaire. RESULTS: Sixteen emergency physicians were recruited; 15 met inclusion criteria. All participants were either emergency medicine resident (47%) or emergency medicine staff (53%). The median number of previously performed training LATs was 12 (interquartile range 6 to 15) and the median number of previously performed MCTs was 1 (interquartile range 1 to 1). The success rates of our study population for the MCT and LAT techniques were not statistically different (67% versus 40%; difference 27%; 95% confidence interval -61% to 8%). However, staff emergency physicians were significantly more successful with the MCT compared with the LAT (88% versus 25%; difference 63%; 95% CI 9% to 92%). Overall, the MCT also had a significantly higher proportion of injury-free trials compared with the LAT technique (33% versus 0%; difference 33%; 95% CI 57% to 9%). Physician procedure preference favored the MCT over the LAT (87% versus 13%; difference 74%; 95% CI 23% to 97%). CONCLUSION: Resuscitative thoracotomy success rates were lower than expected in this capable subject population. Success rates and procedural time for the MCT and LAT were similar. However, the MCT had a higher success rate when performed by staff emergency physicians, resulted in less periprocedural iatrogenic injuries, and was the preferred technique by most subjects. The MCT is a potentially feasible alternative resuscitative thoracotomy technique that requires further investigation.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medicine/methods , Resuscitation/methods , Thoracotomy/methods , Adult , Clinical Competence/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Over Studies , Emergency Medicine/standards , Female , Humans , Male , Medical Errors/prevention & control , Medical Errors/statistics & numerical data , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Prospective Studies , Resuscitation/adverse effects , Resuscitation/standards , Thoracotomy/adverse effects , Thoracotomy/standards
18.
Clin Chem Lab Med ; 59(10): 1610-1622, 2021 09 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34147043

ABSTRACT

Sepsis represents a global health priority because of its high mortality and morbidity. The key to improving prognosis remains an early diagnosis to initiate appropriate antibiotic treatment. Procalcitonin (PCT) is a recognized biomarker for the early indication of bacterial infections and a valuable tool to guide and individualize antibiotic treatment. To meet the increasing demand for PCT testing, numerous PCT immunoassays have been developed and commercialized, but results have been questioned. Many comparison studies have been carried out to evaluate analytical performance and comparability of results provided by the different commercially available immunoassays for PCT, but results are conflicting. External Quality Assessment Schemes (EQAS) for PCT constitute another way to evaluate results comparability. However, when making this comparison, it must be taken into account that the variety of EQA materials consist of different matrices, the commutability of which has not yet been investigated. The present study gathers results from all published comparison studies and results from 137 EQAS surveys to describe the current state-of-the-art harmonization of PCT results. Comparison studies globally highlight a significant variability of measurement results that nonetheless seem to have a moderate impact on medical decision-making. For their part, EQAS for PCT provides highly discrepant estimates of the interlaboratory CV. Due to differences in commutability of the EQA materials, the results from different peer groups could not be compared. To improve the informative value of the EQA data, the existing limitations such as non-harmonized conditions and suboptimal and/or unknown commutability of the EQA materials have to be overcome. The study highlights the need for commutable reference materials that could be used to properly evaluate result comparability and possibly standardize calibration, if necessary. Such an initiative would further improve the safe use of PCT in clinical routine.


Subject(s)
Procalcitonin , Sepsis , Calibration , Humans , Immunoassay , Quality Control , Sepsis/diagnosis
19.
World J Surg ; 45(2): 404-416, 2021 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33125506

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Data on the factors that influence mortality after surgery in South Africa are scarce, and neither these data nor data on risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality after surgery are routinely collected. Predictors related to the context or setting of surgical care delivery may also provide insight into variation in practice. Variation must be addressed when planning for improvement of risk-adjusted outcomes. Our objective was to identify the factors predicting in-hospital mortality after surgery in South Africa from available data. METHODS: A multivariable logistic regression model was developed to identify predictors of 30-day in-hospital mortality in surgical patients in South Africa. Data from the South African contribution to the African Surgical Outcomes Study were used and included 3800 cases from 51 hospitals. A forward stepwise regression technique was then employed to select for possible predictors prior to model specification. Model performance was evaluated by assessing calibration and discrimination. The South African Surgical Outcomes Study cohort was used to validate the model. RESULTS: Variables found to predict 30-day in-hospital mortality were age, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status category, urgent or emergent surgery, major surgery, and gastrointestinal-, head and neck-, thoracic- and neurosurgery. The area under the receiver operating curve or c-statistic was 0.859 (95% confidence interval: 0.827-0.892) for the full model. Calibration, as assessed using a calibration plot, was acceptable. Performance was similar in the validation cohort as compared to the derivation cohort. CONCLUSION: The prediction model did not include factors that can explain how the context of care influences post-operative mortality in South Africa. It does, however, provide a basis for reporting risk-adjusted perioperative mortality rate in the future, and identifies the types of surgery to be prioritised in quality improvement projects at a local or national level.


Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care/standards , Hospital Mortality , Models, Statistical , Surgical Procedures, Operative/mortality , Adult , Clinical Decision Rules , Delivery of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Female , Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , South Africa/epidemiology , Surgical Procedures, Operative/adverse effects , Treatment Outcome
20.
Alcohol Alcohol ; 56(6): 737-745, 2021 Oct 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33754640

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Primary aim: to determine the efficacy of FAST (the Fast Alcohol Screening Test) for detecting harmful and dependent levels of alcohol use. Secondary aim: to compare the performance of the FAST to two short forms of the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test (AUDIT): the AUDIT-C and AUDIT-3. METHODS: Data from 3336 individuals in South Wales, compiled from full AUDIT datasets, were examined. AUROC analysis, alongside measures of sensitivity and specificity of the FAST, AUDIT-C and AUDIT-3 were utilized for the identification of harmful and dependent alcohol use. RESULTS: The FAST demonstrated efficacy in the identification of harmful and dependent levels of alcohol use, with superior performance to both the AUDIT-C and AUDIT-3. CONCLUSION: The present paper demonstrates the potential of the FAST as a cost- and time-effective method for appropriate screening and signposting in the stepped care model utilized by many health care and treatment services. Further studies are needed to ensure validity, both within the general population and for specific services and populations.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Alcoholism/classification , Alcoholism/diagnosis , Mass Screening/instrumentation , Patient Acuity , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , Surveys and Questionnaires/standards , Wales/epidemiology
SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL