Evidence for exposure to HTLV-III in Uganda before 1973.

Fifty of 75 serum samples collected in the West Nile district of Uganda between August 1972 and July 1973 contained antibodies reactive with human T-cell leukemia (lymphotropic) virus type 3 (HTLV-III; mean titer, 601), while 12 of 75 samples were positive in a similar test for HTLV type 1 (HTLV-1) antibodies (mean titer, 236). The samples were screened by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and positive results were confirmed by a newly developed unlabeled antibody-peroxidase procedure with enhanced sensitivity for detection of antibody binding to immunoblots of HTLV-III antigen, demonstrating antibodies to proteins with molecular weights of 24,000, 41,000, and 76,000 in nearly all positive samples. Analysis of titration data indicated enhanced titers of antibody against HTLV-III and HTLV-I when coinfection occurred. The high prevalence and relatively low titers [compared to serum from patients with acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS)] of antibodies recognizing HTLV-III proteins in sera from this population at a time that may predate or coincide with the appearance or spread of the AIDS agent (HTLV-III) suggest that the virus detected may have been a predecessor of HTLV-III or is HTLV-III itself but existing in a population acclimated to its presence. It further suggests an African origin of HTLV-III.

Elevated immunofluorescence antibody titers to several herpesviruses in Burkitt's lymphoma patients: are high titers unique?

Antibody titers for viral capsid antigens of all four human herpesviruses were measured by immunofluorescence in the sera of 16 Burkitt's lymphoma (BL) PATIENTS, 16 AGE-, SEX-, AND LOCALITY-MATCHED CONTROLS, AND 136 FAMILY MEMBERS FROM THE West Nile District of Uganda. Among family members, titers greater than 1:4 were found in 98% for herpes simplex virus (HSV), 86% for varicella-zoster virus (VZV), 100% FOR CYTOMEGALOVIRUS (CMV), AND 94% FOR Epstein-Barr (EBV). Titers in patients averaged approximately equal to 2 logs (fourfold) higher than those in matched controls for EBV, VZV, and CMV (P EQUALS 0.001); titers for HSV were only slightly higher in cancer patients. The mothers of patients had someuhat higher EBV titers (0.05 smaller than or equal to P SMALLER THAN OR EQUAL TO 0.01) than the mothers of controls, but no other differences between patient and control families were found. By immunofluorescence, a method which apparently has not been used for all four human herpesviruses in BL patients, the patients had elevated antibody titers not only to EBV but also to CMV and VZV. The elevated titers to three of the four human herpesviruses were not due to serologic cross reactions.

Distribution of Epi Info software: an evaluation using the Internet.

INTRODUCTION: Epi Info and Epi Map are computer programs for word processing, database management, epidemiologic statistics, and mapping designed for public health professionals. The programs are in the public domain, and distribution outside the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has been through a variety of informal channels. METHOD: Individuals and organizations known to have distributed Epi Info or Epi Map since 1987 provided information. Distributors included CDC, the World Health Organization (WHO), commercial vendors, translators, instructors in university and public health settings, and other public health professionals. Reports documented a minimum number of 145,320 copies distributed. CONCLUSIONS: Since 1994, the Internet has become a major means of propagation, accounting for 66% of the copies for which the method of distribution was known. The Internet also was a major information source for this study.

DoEpi. Computer-assisted instruction in epidemiology and computing and a framework for creating new exercises.

DoEpi is a series of computer exercises and a framework for making new exercises based on the Epi Info programs for epidemiologic computing. The system contains three outbreak investigations, a research survey, four exercises in advanced Epi Info programming, and four exercises in public health surveillance. The exercises are available via the Internet (www.cdc.gov, under "Publications, Products, and Software") with provision for CME and CEU credit from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. They can serve as a useful adjunct to lectures and textbooks in teaching epidemiology or epidemiologic computing. A new DoEpi exercise with hypertext, low-resolution photographs, questions, answers, and an examination can be constructed in hours rather than weeks or months using an Exercise Development "wizard" provided as part of the instructor's module. Epi Info exercises with data files and customized programs require more work to construct but can be added by those with the necessary skills. DoEpi exercises can be used in a variety of ways for different curricula and students of different background levels, including those with English as a second language. Translation of DoEpi exercises into other languages is facilitated by the instructor's module, and construction of new exercises with locally suitable materials is encouraged. DoEpi is based on DOS programs to allow the widest use. The format lends itself to conversion to hypertext programs in the Microsoft Windows and Internet formats at a future date.

Epi Info: a general-purpose microcomputer program for public health information systems.

Epi Info is a general-purpose set of computer programs for word processing, database management, statistics, and graphics developed over the past five years at the Centers for Disease Control and the World Health Organization. The programs allow rapid questionnaire construction, data entry, and analysis during epidemic investigation. Both data entry and analysis can be programmed to provide customization and automatic operation for more permanent systems, such as those for disease or injury surveillance. Epi Info is in the public domain and copies may be freely distributed. It requires an IBM-compatible micro-computer with at least 512 kilobytes of memory. Translations into French and Spanish are in progress; a translation kit is available to facilitate translation into other languages.

Microcomputers and the future of epidemiology.

The Workshop on Microcomputers and the Future of Epidemiology was held March 8-9, 1993, at the Turner Conference Center, Atlanta, GA, with 130 public health professionals participating. The purpose of the workshop was to define microcomputer needs in epidemiology and to propose future initiatives. Thirteen groups representing public health disciplines defined their needs for better and more useful data, development of computer technology appropriate to epidemiology, user support and human infrastructure development, and global communication and planning. Initiatives proposed were demonstration of health surveillance systems, new software and hardware, computer-based training, projects to establish or improve data bases and community access to data bases, improved international communication, conferences on microcomputer use in particular disciplines, a suggestion to encourage competition in the production of public-domain software, and longrange global planning for epidemiologic computing and data management. Other interested groups are urged to study, modify, and implement those ideas.

Measuring loss of life, health, and income due to disease and injury: a method for combining morbidity, mortality, and direct medical cost into a single measure of disease impact.

The impact of disease on a population includes illness, death, and medical care cost. Information on all three may be combined in a disease impact scale. The disease impact for a given condition can be defined as the sum of (a) the years of life lost before age 75 per 100,000 population (adjusted to reflect causes of death up to age 100); (b) the person-years of complete disability per 100,000 population, and (c) the direct medical costs in years of average annual personal income per 100,000 population.The sum of (a), (b), and (c)-disease impact in person years per 100,000 population-can be used to compare one disease with another, to estimate the potential effect of programs for risk alteration, and to measure the outcome of planned or accidental changes in society. The data necessary to calculate disease impact are becoming available in many States.In Minnesota, the total disease impact in 1978 was approximately 26,000 person-years per 100,000 population per year. The disease catgories in the International Classification of Diseases, Adapted, Eighth Revision, with the highest disease impact in the State were circulatory diseases (23.7 percent), injury and poisoning (10.9 percent), respiratory system (9.3 percent), neoplasms (9.0 percent); musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (8.8 percent), digestive system diseases (7.5 percent), and nervous system and sense organ diseases (5.8 percent). Circulatory diseases ranked first in morbidity, mortality, and cost, but the rankings for several other categories varied according to the parameter being considered.Use of a disease impact scale such as the one developed in Minnesota avoids dependence on a single parameter such as mortality or cost in making program decisions. In contrast to economic analyses of disease impact, it does not require estimates of discount rates, future rates of inflation, or salaries for homemakers, students, and children. Although the results of present calculations are only approximate, they provide a methodological framework within which correctable deficiencies in data collection methods are readily apparent. The disease impact scale is intended to be a component of a comprehensive disease surveillance system that includes measures of disease impact, the prevalence of risk factors for diseases, and the availability of health resources.

Minnesota plan for nonsmoking and health: multidisciplinary approach to risk factor control.

In 1981, the Minnesota Department of Health began a long-term program to control risk factors for the major health problems of the State as determined by an expert committee. The methods chosen to initiate programs were social, economic, and epidemiologic background research and a multidisciplinary statewide planning process. Smoking was considered the most important problem. During 1983-84, department staff members analyzed the epidemiology and economics of smoking in Minnesota and reviewed the literature on methods of smoking control. They and a multidisciplinary technical committee prepared a coordinated plan to increase the prevalence of nonsmoking in Minnesota. The 39 recommendations address mass communication and marketing, educational programs in schools, public and private regulation, economic disincentives through taxation, and funding of programs and evaluation of results. The Minnesota Plan for Nonsmoking and Health was released in September 1984. During the first half year, the plan provided material for formation of a coalition of health organizations to promote nonsmoking. In June 1985, the Minnesota Legislature passed the Omnibus Nonsmoking and Disease Prevention Act, which provides $4 million over 2 years for promotion of nonsmoking through education, regulation, and public communications. These intervention activities will be funded by a portion of a 5-cent increase in cigarette excise tax. The foundations have been laid for what may be the most comprehensive statewide nonsmoking program in the United States.

Software for data management and analysis in epidemiology.

The collection of data is a lengthy and time-consuming process, but is not an end in itself. For the data to be useful, it is necessary for an appropriate analysis to be made and its results applied. This article describes a computer program for the analysis of epidemiological studies.

Evaluation of a method for detecting aberrations in public health surveillance data.

The detection of unusual patterns in routine public health surveillance data on diseases and injuries presents an important challenge to health workers interested in early identification of epidemics or clues to important risk factors. Each week, state health departments report the numbers of cases of about 50 notifiable diseases to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and these reports are published weekly in the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. A new analytic method and a horizontal bar graph were introduced in July 1989 to facilitate easy identification of unusual numbers of reported cases. Evaluation of the statistical properties of this method indicates that the results are fairly robust to nonnormality and serial correlation of the data. An epidemiologic evaluation of the method after the first 6 months showed that it is useful for detection of specific types of aberrations in public health surveillance.