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1.
BJU Int ; 134(2): 148-154, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38778743

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To provide guidance in the form of consensus statement in the management of ketamine uropathy. METHODS: A literature review of ketamine uropathy was performed. The consensus method was of a modified nominal group technique and has been use in the previous British Association of Urological Surgeons (BAUS) consensus documents and was led by the Female, Neurological and Urodynamic Urology Section of the BAUS. RESULTS: A number of consensus statements detailing the assessment and management of urological complications relate to the recreational use of ketamine (ketamine uropathy) in both elective and emergency urology settings. CONCLUSION: Comprehensive management pathway for ketamine-related urinary tract dysfunction and uropathy has been detailed.


Subject(s)
Ketamine , Female , Humans , Male , Anesthetics, Dissociative/adverse effects , Consensus , Ketamine/adverse effects , Substance-Related Disorders/complications , United Kingdom , Urologic Diseases/chemically induced , Urologic Diseases/therapy , Urology/standards
2.
Environ Res ; 251(Pt 2): 118731, 2024 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38492839

ABSTRACT

The extent to which populations will successfully adapt to continued warming temperatures will be a crucial factor in determining future health burdens. Previous health impact assessments of future temperature-related mortality burdens mostly disregard adaptation or make simplistic assumptions. We apply a novel evidence-based approach to model adaptation that takes into account the fact that adaptation potential is likely to vary at different temperatures. Temporal changes in age-specific mortality risk associated with low and high temperatures were characterised for Scotland between 1974 and 2018 using temperature-specific RR ratios to reflect past changes in adaptive capacity. Three scenarios of future adaption were constructed consistent with the SSPs. These adaptation projections were combined with climate and population projections to estimate the mortality burdens attributable to high (above the 90th percentile of the historical temperature distribution) and low (below the 10th percentile) temperatures up to 2080 under five RCP-SSP scenarios. A decomposition analysis was conducted to attribute the change in the mortality burden into adaptation, climate and population. In 1980-2000, the heat burden (21 deaths/year) was smaller than the colder burden (312 deaths/year). In the 2060-2080 period, the heat burden was projected to be the highest under RCP8.5-SSP5 (1285 deaths/year), and the cold burden was the highest under RCP4.5-SSP4 (320 deaths/year). The net burden was lowest under RCP2.6-SSP1 and highest under RCP8.5-SSP5. Improvements in adaptation was the largest factor reducing the cold burden under RCP2.6-SSP1 whilst temperature increase was the biggest factor contributing to the high heat burdens under RCP8.5-SSP5. Ambient heat will become a more important health determinant than cold in Scotland under all climate change and socio-economic scenarios. Adaptive capacity will not fully counter projected increases in heat deaths, underscoring the need for more ambitious climate mitigation measures for Scotland and elsewhere.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Mortality , Humans , Scotland/epidemiology , Mortality/trends , Aged , Socioeconomic Factors , Adolescent , Adult , Middle Aged , Child , Infant , Child, Preschool , Young Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Temperature , Infant, Newborn , Hot Temperature/adverse effects
3.
Scott Med J ; : 369330241252715, 2024 May 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38767172

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess the feasibility of performance enhancement coaching (PEC) for newly appointed Urology registrars (ST3s), specifically: whether the concept appealed, and which areas beyond technical skills acquisition were felt to be most relevant or useful. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: All delegates on the Urology Bootcamp 2023 were invited to take part in an online survey before and after a 2-hour PEC workshop, collecting: basic demographic data, performance challenges, and the important aspects to include in, and consider with, a coaching programme. The workshop was delivered by a surgeon with a professional coaching qualification, to groups of four delegates at a time over 4 days. Ten pre-defined areas were offered during the session. RESULTS: On a scale of 1 (poor) to 10 (excellent), the 62 participants' overall health was reported as a median of 8/10 (physical) and 7/10 (mental). Anxiety during performance was the most common concern (63%) and was accompanied by a tremor in 55%. The next most popular concerns, with 19% of responses each, were: sleep, insufficient operative skill or expertise, and worry about relationships with trainers. The commonest topics discussed were 'the inner critic' (100%), 'autonomic modulation' (69%), 'not working, well' (13%) and 'optimising study' (6%). Seventy-seven per cent were unaware of PEC for practising surgeons. All respondents felt that they would benefit from PEC to some extent (80% ≥8/10 where 10/10 was 'very useful'), ideally at the ST3 level. Sixty-two percent of respondents said there should be a fee for trainees, whereas 38% thought it should be free and paid for by their training authorities. CONCLUSION: The concept of PEC is acceptable to ST3 Urology trainees, with particular interest in techniques to mitigate negative self-talk and autonomic modulation techniques. Existing barriers to coaching for the surgical community would need to be addressed in designing an acceptable coaching programme.

4.
BJU Int ; 2023 Nov 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38009420

ABSTRACT

AIM: To provide a comprehensive review of guidelines from various professional organisations on the work-up and management of post-prostatectomy Incontinence (PPI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The following guidelines were included in this review: European Association of Urology (EAU 2023), American Urological Association/Society of Urodynamics, Female Pelvic Medicine and Urogenital Reconstruction (AUA/SUFU 2019), International Consultation on Incontinence (ICI, 2018), the Canadian Urological Association (CUA, 2012) and the Urological Society of India (USI, 2018). RESULTS: In general, the guidelines concur regarding the significance of conducting a comprehensive history and physical examination for patients with post-prostatectomy incontinence (PPI). However, there are variations among the guidelines concerning the recommended additional investigations. In cases of troublesome PPI, male slings are typically recommended for mild to moderate urinary incontinence (UI), while artificial urinary sphincters are preferred for moderate to severe UI, although the precise definition of this severity remains unclear. The guidelines provided by AUA/SUFU and the ICI have offered suggestions for managing complications or persistent/recurrent UI post-surgery, though some differences can be observed within these recommendations as well. CONCLUSION: This is a first of its kind review encompassing Guidelines on PPI spanning over a decade. Although guidelines share overarching principles, nuanced variations persist, posing challenges for clinicians. This compilation consolidates and highlights both the similarities and differences among guidelines, providing a comprehensive overview of PPI diagnosis and management for practitioners. It is our expectation that as more evidence emerges in this and other areas of PPI management, the guidelines will converge and address crucial patient-centric aspects.

5.
Environ Health ; 21(1): 99, 2022 10 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36284320

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Adverse health impacts have been found under extreme temperatures in many parts of the world. The majority of such research to date for the UK has been conducted on populations in England, whilst the impacts of ambient temperature on health outcomes in Scottish populations remain largely unknown. METHODS: This study uses time-series regression analysis with distributed lag non-linear models to characterise acute relationships between daily mean ambient temperature and mortality in Scotland including the four largest cities (Aberdeen, Dundee, Edinburgh and Glasgow) and three regions during 1974-2018. Increases in mortality risk under extreme cold and heat in individual cities and regions were aggregated using multivariate meta-analysis. Cold results are summarised by comparing the relative risk (RR) of death at the 1st percentile of localised temperature distributions compared to the 10th percentile, and heat effects as the RR at the 99th compared to the 90th percentile. RESULTS: Adverse cold effects were observed in all cities and regions, and heat effects were apparent in all cities and regions except northern Scotland. Aggregate all-cause mortality risk in Scotland was estimated to increase by 10% (95% confidence interval, CI: 7%, 13%) under extreme cold and 4% (CI: 2%, 5%) under extreme heat. People in urban areas experienced higher mortality risk under extreme cold and heat than those in rural regions. The elderly had the highest RR under both extreme cold and heat. Males experienced greater cold effects than females, whereas the reverse was true with heat effects, particularly among the elderly. Those who were unmarried had higher RR than those married under extreme heat, and the effect remained after controlling for age. The younger population living in the most deprived areas experienced higher cold and heat effects than in less deprived areas. Deaths from respiratory diseases were most sensitive to both cold and heat exposures, although mortality risk for cardiovascular diseases was also heightened, particularly in the elderly. Cold effects were lower in the most recent 15 years, which may be linked to policies and actions in preventing the vulnerable population from cold impacts. No temporal trend was found with the heat effect. CONCLUSIONS: This study assesses mortality risk associated with extreme temperatures in Scotland and identifies those groups who would benefit most from targeted actions to reduce cold- and heat-related mortalities.


Subject(s)
Cold Temperature , Extreme Heat , Male , Female , Humans , Aged , Temperature , Hot Temperature , Cities/epidemiology , Mortality
6.
Curr Opin Urol ; 30(4): 496-500, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32453000

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The aim of this article is to look into recent updates on the management of neurogenic stress urinary incontinence (NSUI) in adult females. RECENT FINDINGS: Recently, a small number of studies have investigated different surgical modalities in treatment of NSUI in adult females including artificial urinary sphincter (AUS), suburethral tapes (SUT) and adjustable slings and urethral bulking agents. Up to 70% of neurogenic patients who received AUS implants are continent and have not required surgical revision over a 20-year follow-up period. However, the risk for explantation of AUS may be twice as high in neurogenic patients compared with nonneurogenic patients. SUT have success and improvement in quality of life rates of up to 52 and 68%, respectively. However, complications may be as high as 24%. Early data on adjustable slings may suggest up to 80% continence with low complication rates. SUMMARY: AUS can provide satisfactory continence levels with acceptable rates of revision and explantation. SUT are effective but more than half of patients may require additional procedures. Adjustable slings could be a promising option. Further high-quality studies with careful attention to methodology and standardization of both definitions used and outcome reporting are required to help us reach safe conclusions.


Subject(s)
Suburethral Slings/statistics & numerical data , Urinary Incontinence, Stress/surgery , Urinary Incontinence, Stress/therapy , Urinary Sphincter, Artificial/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Female , Humans , Quality of Life , Reoperation , Treatment Outcome
9.
Environ Health ; 16(Suppl 1): 118, 2017 12 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29219103

ABSTRACT

This review examines the current literature on the effects of future emissions and climate change on particulate matter (PM) and O3 air quality and on the consequent health impacts, with a focus on Europe. There is considerable literature on the effects of climate change on O3 but fewer studies on the effects of climate change on PM concentrations. Under the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th assessment report (AR5) Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), background O3 entering Europe is expected to decrease under most scenarios due to higher water vapour concentrations in a warmer climate. However, under the extreme pathway RCP8.5 higher (more than double) methane (CH4) abundances lead to increases in background O3 that offset the O3 decrease due to climate change especially for the 2100 period. Regionally, in polluted areas with high levels of nitrogen oxides (NOx), elevated surface temperatures and humidities yield increases in surface O3 - termed the O3 climate penalty - especially in southern Europe. The O3 response is larger for metrics that represent the higher end of the O3 distribution, such as daily maximum O3. Future changes in PM concentrations due to climate change are much less certain, although several recent studies also suggest a PM climate penalty due to high temperatures and humidity and reduced precipitation in northern mid-latitude land regions in 2100.A larger number of studies have examined both future climate and emissions changes under the RCP scenarios. Under these pathways the impact of emission changes on air quality out to the 2050s will be larger than that due to climate change, because of large reductions in emissions of O3 and PM pollutant precursor emissions and the more limited climate change response itself. Climate change will also affect climate extreme events such as heatwaves. Air pollution episodes are associated with stagnation events and sometimes heat waves. Air quality during the 2003 heatwave over Europe has been examined in numerous studies and mechanisms for enhancing O3 have been identified.There are few studies on health effects associated with climate change impacts alone on air quality, but these report higher O3-related health burdens in polluted populated regions and greater PM2.5 health burdens in these emission regions. Studies that examine the combined impacts of climate change and anthropogenic emissions change under the RCP scenarios report reductions in global and European premature O3-respiratory related and PM mortalities arising from the large decreases in precursor emissions. Under RCP 8.5 the large increase in CH4 leads to global and European excess O3-respiratory related mortalities in 2100. For future health effects, besides uncertainty in future O3 and particularly PM concentrations, there is also uncertainty in risk estimates such as effect modification by temperature on pollutant-response relationships and potential future adaptation that would alter exposure risk.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Climate Change , Ozone/adverse effects , Particulate Matter/adverse effects , Public Health , Europe , Humans
10.
Environ Health ; 16(1): 104, 2017 10 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28985761

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomically disadvantaged populations often have higher exposures to particulate air pollution, which can be expected to contribute to differentials in life expectancy. We examined socioeconomic differentials in exposure and air pollution-related mortality relating to larger scale (5 km resolution) variations in background concentrations of selected pollutants across England. METHODS: Ozone and particulate matter (sub-divided into PM10, PM2.5, PM2.5-10, primary, nitrate and sulphate PM2.5) were simulated at 5 km horizontal resolution using an atmospheric chemistry transport model (EMEP4UK). Annual mean concentrations of these pollutants were assigned to all 1,202,578 residential postcodes in England, which were classified by urban-rural status and socioeconomic deprivation based on the income and employment domains of the 2010 English Index of Multiple Deprivation for the Lower-level Super Output Area of residence. We used life table methods to estimate PM2.5-attributable life years (LYs) lost in both relative and absolute terms. RESULTS: Concentrations of the most particulate fractions, but not of nitrate PM2.5 or ozone, were modestly higher in areas of greater socioeconomic deprivation. Relationships between pollution level and socioeconomic deprivation were non-linear and varied by urban-rural status. The pattern of PM2.5 concentrations made only a small contribution to the steep socioeconomic gradient in LYs lost due to PM2.5 per 103 population, which primarily was driven by the steep socioeconomic gradient in underlying mortality rates. In rural areas, the absolute burden of air pollution-related LYs lost was lowest in the most deprived deciles. CONCLUSIONS: Air pollution shows modest socioeconomic patterning at 5 km resolution in England, but absolute attributable mortality burdens are strongly related to area-level deprivation because of underlying mortality rates. Measures that cause a general reduction in background concentrations of air pollution may modestly help narrow socioeconomic differences in health.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution/analysis , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Models, Theoretical , Mortality , Rural Population/statistics & numerical data , Urban Population/statistics & numerical data , Air Pollutants/analysis , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Nitrates/analysis , Ozone/analysis , Particulate Matter/analysis , Socioeconomic Factors , Sulfates/analysis
11.
Faraday Discuss ; 189: 589-616, 2016 07 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27121106

ABSTRACT

Air pollution is the environmental factor with the greatest impact on human health in Europe. Understanding the key processes driving air quality across the relevant spatial scales, especially during pollution exceedances and episodes, is essential to provide effective predictions for both policymakers and the public. It is particularly important for policy regulators to understand the drivers of local air quality that can be regulated by national policies versus the contribution from regional pollution transported from mainland Europe or elsewhere. One of the main objectives of the Coupled Urban and Regional processes: Effects on AIR quality (CUREAIR) project is to determine local and regional contributions to ozone events. A detailed zero-dimensional (0-D) box model run with the Master Chemical Mechanism (MCMv3.2) is used as the benchmark model against which the less explicit chemistry mechanisms of the Generic Reaction Set (GRS) and the Common Representative Intermediates (CRIv2-R5) schemes are evaluated. GRS and CRI are used by the Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System (ADMS-Urban) and the regional chemistry transport model EMEP4UK, respectively. The MCM model uses a near-explicit chemical scheme for the oxidation of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and is constrained to observations of VOCs, NOx, CO, HONO (nitrous acid), photolysis frequencies and meteorological parameters measured during the ClearfLo (Clean Air for London) campaign. The sensitivity of the less explicit chemistry schemes to different model inputs has been investigated: Constraining GRS to the total VOC observed during ClearfLo as opposed to VOC derived from ADMS-Urban dispersion calculations, including emissions and background concentrations, led to a significant increase (674% during winter) in modelled ozone. The inclusion of HONO chemistry in this mechanism, particularly during wintertime when other radical sources are limited, led to substantial increases in the ozone levels predicted (223%). When the GRS and CRIv2-R5 schemes are run with the equivalent model constraints to the MCM, they are able to reproduce the level of ozone predicted by the near-explicit MCM to within 40% and 20% respectively for the majority of the time. An exception to this trend was observed during pollution episodes experienced in the summer, when anticyclonic conditions favoured increased temperatures and elevated O3. The in situ O3 predicted by the MCM was heavily influenced by biogenic VOCs during these conditions and the low GRS [O3] : MCM [O3] ratio (and low CRIv2-R5 [O3] : MCM [O3] ratio) demonstrates that these less explicit schemes under-represent the full O3 creation potential of these VOCs. To fully assess the influence of the in situ O3 generated from local emissions versus O3 generated upwind of London and advected in, the time since emission (and, hence, how far the real atmosphere is from steady state) must be determined. From estimates of the mean transport time determined from the NOx : NOy ratio observed at North Kensington during the summer and comparison of the O3 predicted by the MCM model after this time, ∼60% of the median observed [O3] could be generated from local emissions. During the warmer conditions experienced during the easterly flows, however, the observed [O3] may be even more heavily influenced by London's emissions.

12.
BJUI Compass ; 5(1): 60-69, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38179018

ABSTRACT

Objective: To examine the safety and efficacy of prostatic urethral lift (PUL) in acute urinary retention (AUR) patients within a controlled (PULSAR) and real-world setting (Real-World Retrospective study). Materials and methods: PULSAR was a 12-month prospective study of PUL in AUR patients (n = 51) performed at six centres in the United Kingdom; enrolled BPH patients aged ≥50 years, with prostate volume of ≤100 cc. AUR was defined as being catheter dependent with at least one prior failed trial without catheter (TWOC) while on an alpha-blocker. RWR consisted of 3226 consecutive PUL patients across 22 international sites treated between July 2017 and March 2020; 469 of whom were in urinary retention (RWRr), that is, catheter-dependent at the time of their procedure. Symptom response, uroflow and catheter independence rates were compared between PULSAR and RWRr subjects. A logistical regression model was constructed to evaluate patient baseline and dynamic factors predicting success after the procedure. Results: Seventy-three percent of PULSAR subjects were catheter independent and free from surgical reintervention at 12 months post-PUL. Success was associated with higher voiding efficiency during the perioperative period. Slightly higher catheter-independent rates (80%) were seen in RWRr patients; variables that influenced success included age <70 years, lower baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA), lower baseline post-void residual (PVR) and shorter pre-procedural catheter duration. Logistic regression of the combined PULSAR and RWRr retention groups revealed that procedural age <70 years and higher bladder voiding efficiency (BVE) were associated with success. Conclusions: Lower baseline PSA and PVR, younger age and shorter pre-procedure catheter durations drove successful outcomes in AUR patients undergoing PUL. Post-PUL voiding efficiencies may help ascertain long-term response to treatment.

13.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 13: 136, 2013 Nov 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24219031

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Assessing health effects from background exposure to air pollution is often hampered by the sparseness of pollution monitoring networks. However, regional atmospheric chemistry-transport models (CTMs) can provide pollution data with national coverage at fine geographical and temporal resolution. We used statistical simulation to compare the impact on epidemiological time-series analysis of additive measurement error in sparse monitor data as opposed to geographically and temporally complete model data. METHODS: Statistical simulations were based on a theoretical area of 4 regions each consisting of twenty-five 5 km × 5 km grid-squares. In the context of a 3-year Poisson regression time-series analysis of the association between mortality and a single pollutant, we compared the error impact of using daily grid-specific model data as opposed to daily regional average monitor data. We investigated how this comparison was affected if we changed the number of grids per region containing a monitor. To inform simulations, estimates (e.g. of pollutant means) were obtained from observed monitor data for 2003-2006 for national network sites across the UK and corresponding model data that were generated by the EMEP-WRF CTM. Average within-site correlations between observed monitor and model data were 0.73 and 0.76 for rural and urban daily maximum 8-hour ozone respectively, and 0.67 and 0.61 for rural and urban loge(daily 1-hour maximum NO2). RESULTS: When regional averages were based on 5 or 10 monitors per region, health effect estimates exhibited little bias. However, with only 1 monitor per region, the regression coefficient in our time-series analysis was attenuated by an estimated 6% for urban background ozone, 13% for rural ozone, 29% for urban background loge(NO2) and 38% for rural loge(NO2). For grid-specific model data the corresponding figures were 19%, 22%, 54% and 44% respectively, i.e. similar for rural loge(NO2) but more marked for urban loge(NO2). CONCLUSION: Even if correlations between model and monitor data appear reasonably strong, additive classical measurement error in model data may lead to appreciable bias in health effect estimates. As process-based air pollution models become more widely used in epidemiological time-series analysis, assessments of error impact that include statistical simulation may be useful.


Subject(s)
Computer Simulation , Models, Chemical , Air Pollutants/chemistry , Air Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Algorithms , Bias , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Humans , Linear Models , Models, Statistical , Nitrogen Dioxide/chemistry , Ozone/chemistry , Poisson Distribution , Regression Analysis , Research Design , Time Factors , United Kingdom
14.
J Surg Educ ; 80(12): 1836-1842, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37723012

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop and evaluate a virtual reality (VR)-based nontechnical skills (NTS) training application for urology trainees and assess its effectiveness in improving their skills and confidence. DESIGN: A mixed-methods study was conducted to develop and evaluate a VR-based NTS training application for 32 urology trainees. The development process involved collaboration with 5 urology experts, 2 medical education specialists, and a human factors researcher. The study evaluated the application's usability, acceptability, and efficacy through 3 phases: scenario development with expert feedback integration, storyboarding and creation processes with facilitators and urology trainees, and a final evaluation by trainees. SETTING: The data were collected during a 4-day urology boot camp in October 2022. PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-two urology trainees participated in the study and completed 2 VR scenarios designed to enhance their NTS skills RESULTS: The System Usability Scale (SUS) showed a moderate usability score of 66. The Training Evaluation Inventory (TEI) and additional feedback demonstrated positive effects on trainees' learning and confidence in their NTS abilities. Most participants found the application easy to use, and effective and they expressed interest in using similar VR applications for other aspects of surgical training. CONCLUSIONS: VR-based NTS training applications show potential for enhancing urology trainees' nontechnical skills. The integration of expert feedback and immersive technology offers a promising, accessible, and cost-effective solution to the challenges of delivering NTS training. Future research should explore the long-term impact of VR-based NTS training on trainees' performance and patient outcomes and consider incorporating advanced AI technologies for personalized and dynamic learning experiences.


Subject(s)
Medicine , Urology , Virtual Reality , Humans , Urology/education , Pilot Projects , Learning , Clinical Competence
17.
Sci Total Environ ; 773: 145635, 2021 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33582353

ABSTRACT

Three Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are used to simulate future ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in the United Kingdom (UK) for the 2050s relative to the 2000s with an air quality model (AQUM) at a 12 km horizontal resolution. The present-day and future attributable fractions (AF) of mortality associated with long-term exposure to annual mean O3, NO2 and PM2.5 have accordingly been estimated for the first time for regions across England, Scotland and Wales. Across the three RCPs (RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5), simulated annual mean of the daily maximum 8-h mean (MDA8) O3 concentrations increase compared to present-day, likely due to decreases in NOx (nitrogen oxides) emissions, leading to less titration of O3 by NO. Annual mean NO2 and PM2.5 concentrations decrease under all RCPs for the 2050s, mostly driven by decreases in NOx and sulphur dioxide (SO2) emissions, respectively. The AF of mortality associated with long-term exposure to annual mean MDA8 O3 is estimated to increase in the future across all the regions and for all RCPs. Reductions in NO2 and PM2.5 concentrations lead to reductions in the AF estimated for future periods under all RCPs, for both pollutants. Total mortality burdens are also highly sensitive to future population projections. Accounting for population projections exacerbates differences in total UK-wide MDA8 O3-health burdens between present-day and future by up to a factor of ~3 but diminishes differences in NO2-health burdens. For PM2.5, accounting for future population projections results in additional UK-wide deaths brought forward compared to present-day under RCP2.6 and RCP6.0, even though the simulated PM2.5 concentrations for the 2050s are estimated to decrease. Thus, these results highlight the sensitivity of future health burdens in the UK to future trends in atmospheric emissions over the UK as well as future population projections.

18.
Occup Environ Med ; 67(10): 699-707, 2010 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20798017

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute associations between mortality and ozone are largely accepted, though recent evidence is less conclusive. Evidence on ozone-heat interaction is sparse. We assess effects of ozone, heat, and their interaction, on mortality in Britain. METHODS: Acute effects of summer ozone on mortality were estimated using data from 15 conurbations in England and Wales (May-September, 1993-2003). 2-day means of daily maximum 8-h ozone were entered into case series analyses, controlling for particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter of <10 µm, natural cubic splines of temperature, and other factors. Heat effects were estimated, comparing adjusted mortality rates at 97.5th and 75th percentiles of 2-day mean temperature. A separate model employed interaction terms to assess whether ozone effects increased on 'hot days' (where 2-day mean temperature exceeded the whole-year 95th percentile). Other heat metrics, and non-linear ozone effects, were also examined. RESULTS: Adverse ozone and heat effects occurred in nearly all conurbations. The mean mortality rate ratio for heat effect across conurbations was 1.071 (1.050-1.093). The mean ozone rate ratio was 1.003 per 10 µg/m(3) ozone increase (95% CI 1.001 to 1.005). On 'hot days' the mean ozone effect reached 1.006 (1.002-1.009) per 10 µg/m(3), though ozone-heat interaction was significant in London only. On substituting maximum for mean temperature, the overall ozone effect reduced to null, though evidence remained of effects on hot days, particularly in London. An estimated ozone effect threshold was below current guidelines in 'mean temperature' models. CONCLUSION: While heat showed robust effects on summer mortality, estimates for ozone depended upon the modelling of temperature. However, there was some evidence that ozone effects were worse on hot days, whichever temperature measure was used.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants/toxicity , Hot Temperature/adverse effects , Mortality , Ozone/toxicity , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Air Pollutants/analysis , Child , Child, Preschool , England/epidemiology , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Epidemiologic Methods , Epidemiological Monitoring , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Ozone/analysis , Particulate Matter/analysis , Particulate Matter/toxicity , Seasons , Temperature , Urban Health/statistics & numerical data , Wales/epidemiology , Young Adult
19.
Health Place ; 63: 102355, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32543438

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: There is some evidence that exam results are worse when students are acutely exposed to air pollution. Studies investigating the association between air pollution and academic attainment have been constrained by small sample sizes. METHODS: Cross sectional educational attainment data (2009-2015) from students aged 15-16 years in Cardiff, Wales were linked to primary health care data, modelled air pollution and measured pollen data, and analysed using multilevel linear regression models. Annual cohort, school and individual level confounders were adjusted for in single and multi-pollutant/pollen models. We stratified by treatment of asthma and/or Seasonal Allergic Rhinitis (SAR). RESULTS: A unit (10µg/m3) increase of short-term exposure to NO2 was associated with 0.044 (95% CI: -0.079, -0.008) reduction of standardised Capped Point Score (CPS) after adjusting for individual and household risk factors for 18,241 students. This association remained statistically significant after controlling for other pollutants and pollen. There was no association of PM2.5, O3, or Pollen with standardised CPS remaining after adjustment. We found no evidence that treatment for asthma or SAR modified the observed NO2 effect on educational attainment. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that short-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution, specifically NO2, was associated with detrimental educational attainment for students aged 15-16. Longitudinal investigations in different settings are required to confirm this possible impact and further work may uncover the long-term economic implications, and degree to which impacts are cumulative and permanent.


Subject(s)
Academic Success , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Asthma/chemically induced , Information Storage and Retrieval , Students/statistics & numerical data , Travel , Adolescent , Cohort Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Risk Factors , Vehicle Emissions/analysis , Wales
20.
Chromosome Res ; 16(8): 1159-75, 2008.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18987984

ABSTRACT

Marsupials are especially valuable for comparative genomic studies of mammals. Two distantly related model marsupials have been sequenced: the South American opossum (Monodelphis domestica) and the tammar wallaby (Macropus eugenii), which last shared a common ancestor about 70 Mya. The six-fold opossum genome sequence has been assembled and assigned to chromosomes with the help of a cytogenetic map. A good cytogenetic map will be even more essential for assembly and anchoring of the two-fold wallaby genome. As a start to generating a physical map of gene locations on wallaby chromosomes, we focused on two chromosomes sharing homology with the human X, wallaby chromosomes X and 5. We devised an efficient strategy for mapping large conserved synteny blocks in non-model mammals, and applied this to generate dense maps of the X and 'neo-X' regions and to determine the arrangement of large conserved synteny blocks on chromosome 5. Comparisons between the wallaby and opossum chromosome maps revealed many rearrangements, highlighting the need for comparative gene mapping between South American and Australian marsupials. Frequent rearrangement of the X, along with the absence of a marsupial XIST gene, suggests that inactivation of the marsupial X chromosome does not depend on a whole-chromosome repression by a control locus.


Subject(s)
Chromosomes, Mammalian/genetics , Macropodidae/genetics , Physical Chromosome Mapping/methods , X Chromosome Inactivation/genetics , X Chromosome/genetics , Animals , Base Sequence , DNA Primers/genetics , In Situ Hybridization, Fluorescence , Molecular Probes/genetics , Molecular Sequence Data , Sequence Analysis, DNA , Synteny/genetics
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