Type D Personality as a Risk Factor for Adverse Outcome in Patients With Cardiovascular Disease: An Individual Patient-Data Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Type D personality, a joint tendency toward negative affectivity and social inhibition, has been linked to adverse events in patients with heart disease, although with inconsistent findings. Here, we apply an individual patient-data meta-analysis to data from 19 prospective cohort studies ( N = 11,151) to investigate the prediction of adverse outcomes by type D personality in patients with acquired cardiovascular disease. METHOD: For each outcome (all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass grafting, percutaneous coronary intervention, major adverse cardiac event, any adverse event), we estimated type D's prognostic influence and the moderation by age, sex, and disease type. RESULTS: In patients with cardiovascular disease, evidence for a type D effect in terms of the Bayes factor (BF) was strong for major adverse cardiac event (BF = 42.5; odds ratio [OR] = 1.14) and any adverse event (BF = 129.4; OR = 1.15). Evidence for the null hypothesis was found for all-cause mortality (BF = 45.9; OR = 1.03), cardiac mortality (BF = 23.7; OR = 0.99), and myocardial infarction (BF = 16.9; OR = 1.12), suggesting that type D had no effect on these outcomes. This evidence was similar in the subset of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), but inconclusive for patients with heart failure (HF). Positive effects were found for negative affectivity on cardiac and all-cause mortality, with the latter being more pronounced in male than female patients. CONCLUSION: Across 19 prospective cohort studies, type D predicts adverse events in patients with CAD, whereas evidence in patients with HF was inconclusive. In both patients with CAD and HF, we found evidence for a null effect of type D on cardiac and all-cause mortality.

[Are We Really as Happy as We Think We are? A Critical Examination of Work Satisfaction in a University Pediatric Hospital]. / Sind wir wirklich so glücklich, wie wir es glauben? Eine kritische Untersuchung der Arbeitszufriedenheit an einer Universitätskinderklinik.

GOALS: Despite numerous reported deficits and an increasingly tense working environment in German hospitals, employees themselves often assess their job satisfaction as being high to very high. Hence, the board of directors does not have important arguments for sustainable improvement of working conditions. This discrepancy between working conditions and subjective satisfaction was the motivation for this work. METHODS: Data were acquired via an attitude survey at the University Hospital for Children and Adolescents Leipzig, with employees sub-divided into medical, nursing and administrative/technical staff. The subjective satisfaction was examined by means of classical global ratings almost exclusively used by companies vs. the much more modern cognitive-emotional concept of the 'Schweizer Modell' describing qualitative job satisfaction. In addition, working hours, work-related effects on mental health, willingness to quit the job and actual dropout rate were compared. RESULTS: A rather high level of job satisfaction was revealed while interpreting the classical global ratings. In contrast, the qualitative analysis showed that only 1 in 4 employees was really satisfied with his or her job, amongst doctors even only 1 in 10. Altogether there are four categories of satisfaction. Significant differences between occupational categories were seen when stratifying the data according to age profiles and the evaluation of the consequences of psychological job strain. These differences were not seen in willingness to quit the job. CONCLUSION: Reports of high job satisfaction in hospitals in numerous publications can be mostly explained by employees who are resignedly satisfied. This is the psychodynamic outcome of strain compensating. This is not measurable with the concept of classical global ratings. Furthermore, the constructively dissatisfied employees, who are an often-underestimated resource for companies, are neglected. The reduction of strain in these people then mostly results in job changes.

[Neighbourhood deprivation and community nutrition environment: associations between the social and built environment and food availability]. / Stadtteildeprivation und Lebensmittelumwelt: Zusammenhänge von sozialen und baulichen Merkmalen der Wohnumgebung und Lebensmittelverfügbarkeit.

OBJECTIVE: Eating habits are influenced by individual socioeconomic status (SES). As the association between neighbourhood characteristics and food availability is still unclear, we investigated the community nutrition environment in different neighbourhoods. METHODS: Using official data of the city of Leipzig, we selected three neighbourhoods which differed in terms of their social (2 deprived vs. 1 affluent) and built (1 large housing estates vs. 2 historic buildings) environment. Data on food outlets were assessed via direct observation (ground truthing). RESULTS: Social and residential environment characteristics are associated with food availability. The proportion of fast food outlets is higher in deprived neighbourhoods compared to the affluent one (25%, 30.4% vs. 13.5%). Neighbourhoods with historic buildings offer a greater variety of food outlets. CONCLUSION: The greater availability of unhealthy food may contribute to the development of obesity. Preventive measures should consider the physical and social environment.

Built environment and health: a systematic review of studies in Germany.

Objectives: Empirical research on the relationship between the built environment and health is increasing at a tremendous pace. However, findings from Anglo-American countries may not apply to the European context. Therefore, we systematically reviewed the existing evidence on the role of the built environment for leading risk factors and health behavior in Germany. Methods: Through an extensive search via PubMed and Web of Science, using predefined selection criteria, two independent reviewers identified 25 empirical studies. We described the main study variables (year of publication, study design, data source, sample characteristics), classified the studies according to their respective operationalization of environmental features and health outcomes, and qualitatively summarized the main results. Results: The majority of the studies focused on anthropometric measures and physical activity. Access to respective destinations was associated with sports-related physical activity but not with body composition. Also, people living in urban structures tended to show more health-adverse behaviors such as smoking and drinking. Some evidence indicated that higher levels of noise and air pollution were related to higher blood pressure levels. No association was observed between green spaces or street design and health. Conclusions: Future research should investigate relationships using a sound theoretical basis and research designs that better account for the complex relationship between the built environment and health.

Challenges in doing multi-disciplinary health promotion research in Germany.

Health problems such as obesity are increasingly addressed by complex intervention programmes which operate at multiple levels of influence (e.g. families, schools, neighbourhoods) involving partners from various academic, professional and cultural backgrounds. Following a complex participatory health promotion approach is challenging, because conflicting interests as well as contextual constraints may occur which are rarely discussed empirically. Process evaluations of some programmes investigate factors influencing the implementation process. However, researchers' perspectives on inter- and transdisciplinary work are mostly neglected. This paper aims at illustrating and critically analysing challenges that arose in the planning and implementation of a health promotion project in a socially deprived neighbourhood in Germany. Drawing on minutes, email conversations, and research diary entries we reflect on discrepancies and difficult interactions within the research team, with collaborating (academic) institutions (interdisciplinary work) and with the community partners (transdisciplinary work) respectively. Differences in language, interests, success criteria, professional preferences and habits as well as contextual factors are worked out and coping strategies or solutions are proposed. According to our experiences, bringing to light researchers' positions, preferences and interactions with the community is necessary to find a balance between research and practice, to develop adequate solutions for challenging situations and to evaluate the process, effectiveness and transferability of a programme. Health promotion research should report not only on the effectiveness of interventions but also on struggles, unsuccessful attempts and useful (or useless) strategies to fuel discourse on opportunities in and the efficacy and transferability of health promotion projects.

Is the built environment associated with morbidity and mortality? A systematic review of evidence from Germany.

The empirical evidence on this relationship mainly comes from Anglo-American countries whereas evidence from Germany is only emerging. Our objective is to provide a narrative overview and critical appraisal of the existing empirical evidence on the relationship between the built environment and morbidity/mortality in Germany. We conducted a systematic literature search where we included all empirical studies that linked the built environment aspects with morbidity or mortality outcomes. Findings were summarized and critically evaluated according to the Newcastle Ottawa Scale. Eighteen studies met the inclusion criteria and underwent in-depth analysis. Findings indicate that traffic exposure and green space tend to be associated with acute respiratory symptoms but not with chronic respiratory conditions. Evidence was inconsistent for the role of infrastructural aspects and urbanicity. Our review confirms the well-established association between traffic and respiratory health. Yet, the consistency between self-reported and objective measures of respiratory health should be investigated in more detail.

The independent relations of both residential self-selection and the environment to physical activity.

Residential self-selection is supposed to bias the relation between residential environments and physical activity, but empirical analyses are still rare. This study examines the association while simultaneously considering the effect of residential self-selection criteria. One thousand two hundred and forty-five German students were asked to report their physical activity, their perceived environment, and their reasons for choosing their neighbourhood. Structural equation modelling was employed. Reasons for choosing a neighbourhood were related to actual environmental characteristics. Utilitarian reasons were related to less physical activity, hedonic reasons were related to higher physical activity. The street network was related to higher physical activity independent of residential self-selection. Our results support the weight of both individual preferences and the street network on physical activity. The residential environment has an impact on people's amount of physical activity regardless of their reasons for choosing a neighbourhood and should therefore be considered a resource in health prevention and promotion.

The German Version of the Hopkins Symptoms Checklist-25 (HSCL-25) --factorial structure, psychometric properties, and population-based norms.

PURPOSE: The Hopkins Symptom Checklist-25 (HSCL-25) has often been used in cross-cultural settings and in studies focussing on asylum seekers, refugees etc. It is available in a number of languages. The present study investigates the psychometric properties of the German version of the HSCL-25 and delivers population-based norms. METHODS: Psychometric properties are investigated in a population-based representative sample of the German general population (N=2516). Seven different factorial models are compared using confirmatory factor analysis. RESULTS: Two out of the seven models show the best model fit. Because of the high inter-correlations of the factors of the tripartite model, the bifactor model is the preferable factor solution. The internal consistencies (Cronbach's alpha) were 0.84, 0.92, and 0.94 for the anxiety, the depression and the total score, respectively. The correlations of both subscales of this model with the subscales of the Brief-Symptom-Inventory-18 or the Patient Health Questionnaire-4 point out, that there is only marginal differential information of the subscales. CONCLUSION: Considering the third ("general") factor of the bifactor model with all items loading on it and the absence of differential correlations of the subscales with the external criteria (PHQ-4, BSI-18) the HSCL-25 seems to assess something like "mental distress" with a focus on symptoms of depression and anxiety. The population-based norms support the application of the HSCL-25 for individual diagnostics as well as for the comparison of specific samples with the general population.

A web-based peer-modeling intervention aimed at lifestyle changes in patients with coronary heart disease and chronic back pain: sequential controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Traditional secondary prevention programs often fail to produce sustainable behavioral changes in everyday life. Peer-modeling interventions and integration of peer experiences in health education are a promising way to improve long-term effects in behavior modification. However, effects of peer support modeling on behavioral change have not been evaluated yet. Therefore, we implemented and evaluated a website featuring patient narratives about successful lifestyle changes. OBJECTIVE: Our aim is to examine the effects of using Web-based patient narratives about successful lifestyle change on improvements in physical activity and eating behavior for patients with coronary heart disease and chronic back pain 3 months after participation in a rehabilitation program. METHODS: The lebensstil-aendern ("lifestyle-change") website is a nonrestricted, no-cost, German language website that provides more than 1000 video, audio, and text clips from interviews with people with coronary heart disease and chronic back pain. To test efficacy, we conducted a sequential controlled trial and recruited patients with coronary heart disease and chronic back pain from 7 inpatient rehabilitation centers in Germany. The intervention group attended a presentation on the website; the control group did not. Physical activity and eating behavior were assessed by questionnaire during the rehabilitation program and 12 weeks later. Analyses were conducted based on an intention-to-treat and an as-treated protocol. RESULTS: A total of 699 patients were enrolled and 571 cases were included in the analyses (control: n=313, intervention: n=258; female: 51.1%, 292/571; age: mean 53.2, SD 8.6 years; chronic back pain: 62.5%, 357/571). Website usage in the intervention group was 46.1% (119/258). In total, 141 trial participants used the website. Independent t tests based on the intention-to-treat protocol only demonstrated nonsignificant trends in behavioral change related to physical activity and eating behavior. Multivariate regression analyses confirmed belonging to the intervention group was an independent predictor of self-reported improvements in physical activity regularity (ß=.09, P=.03) and using less fat for cooking (ß=.09, P=.04). In independent t tests based on the as-treated protocol, website use was associated with higher self-reported improvements in integrating physical activity into daily routine (d=0.22, P=.02), in physical activity regularity (d=0.23, P=.02), and in using less fat for cooking (d=0.21, P=.03). Multivariate regression analyses revealed that using the website at least 3 times was the only factor associated with improved lifestyle behaviors. CONCLUSIONS: Usage of the lebensstil-aendern website corresponds to more positive lifestyle changes. However, as-treated analyses do not allow for differentiating between causal effects and selection bias. Despite these limitations, the trial indicates that more than occasional website usage is necessary to reach dose-response efficacy. Therefore, future studies should concentrate on strategies to improve adherence to Web-based interventions and to encourage more frequent usage of these programs.

Life satisfaction and health-related quality of life in immigrants and native-born Germans: the role of immigration-related factors.

PURPOSE: There is a lack of population-based studies on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and satisfaction with life (SWL) of immigrants compared to the native populations. Findings of previous research are inconclusive. Our study compares HRQoL and SWL in immigrants and native-born Germans, investigating immigration-related factors as suspected determinants of HRQoL and SWL in immigrants. METHODS: In the German Socio-economic panel from 2006, HRQoL (measured with the SF-12v2) and SWL as well as immigration-related factors were assessed in 21,079 subjects (including 2,971 immigrants). Analyses of variance were applied as statistical tests in our study. RESULTS: Native-born Germans report a higher amount of SWL and of HRQoL on the physical health component compared to the immigrants. With effect sizes ranging from E² = 0.001 to 0.111, these findings are of minimal practical relevance. In immigrants, the physical health component of HRQoL is significantly associated with younger age at migration and with country of origin. As the effect sizes are extremely low, these findings have limited practical relevance. CONCLUSION: There are small differences in SWL and HRQoL of immigrants and native-born Germans. Some immigration-related factors are related to HRQoL, but not to SWL. As immigrants are a quite heterogeneous group, it seems useful to focus on immigration-related factors, not simply comparing immigrants and the native-born. Our findings suggest that research on the association of immigration-related factors with quality of life in immigrants seems a promising approach to better identify subgroups of immigrants with lower levels of quality of life.

Association between type D personality and prognosis in patients with cardiovascular diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Since 1995, the association of type D personality and mortality in patients with cardiovascular diseases has been increasingly investigated. PURPOSE: The aim of this meta-analysis was to integrate conflicting results and to examine possible moderators of this association. METHODS: Prospective studies assessing type D personality and hard endpoints were selected and pooled in meta-analyses. Cardiovascular diagnosis, type and quality of adjustment, and publication date were examined in moderator analyses. RESULTS: Twelve studies on patients with cardiovascular diseases (N = 5,341) were included. Pooled crude and adjusted effects demonstrated a significant association of type D personality and hard endpoints (odds ratio (OR) of 2.28 (95% CI [1.43-3.62]), adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.24 (95% CI [1.37-3.66])). The OR decreased over time (OR 5.02 to OR 1.54). There was no association in congestive heart failure patients. CONCLUSIONS: More recent methodologically sound studies suggest that early type D studies had overestimated the prognostic relevance.

[Community-based prevention of obesity in children]. / Gemeinwesen-basierte Prävention und kindliche Adipositas.

Besides individual determinants, obesity is also caused by obesogenic environmental conditions. Thus, prevention of obesity in children should aim at creating health-promoting environments. This is especially important for children of socially disadvantaged families and communities who are hardly reached and often profit less by behavior-oriented interventions. The main question is which environmental conditions should be changed and how in order to be accepted and sustainable? According to our experiences from the project "Grünau moves" (Grünau bewegt sich), the consideration of environmental and social conditions in the intervention field as well as the inclusion of the professional expertise of local agents and the lifeworld perspective (subjective meanings and realities) of families and children are crucial. Based on the fact that the understanding and weighting of health varies between individuals, the starting points for interventions and environmental change must be sought according to the interests and resources of the local community. Combining a medical and social work perspective and focusing on the community work approach can help to link and bundle different perspectives and interests in order to create appropriate and context-specific health-promoting environments.

Type D personality and all-cause mortality in cardiac patients--data from a German cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Type D personality has been established as a predictor of adverse clinical events in patients with cardiovascular diseases. To date, all studies except one have been conducted by a single research group. Thus, the aim of our study was to provide an independent replication of the results regarding the prognostic validity of Type D personality in a German sample of cardiac patients. METHODS: Cardiac patients (n = 1040) were recruited from cardiac rehabilitation centers (n = 484), an outpatient clinic (n = 249), and a university hospital (n = 307). Main analyses were based on the combined data from these three subsamples. Cardiac health status, medical risk factors, sociodemographic characteristics, psychological symptoms, and Type D personality were assessed at baseline. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the relative risk of death. RESULTS: Vital status was known for 977 patients (22.5% women; mean [standard deviation] = 63.3 [10.7] years). Within the follow-up time (mean [standard deviation] = 71.5 [3.6] months), 172 patients died. Type D personality was found in 25.2% of survivors and in 22.2% of nonsurvivors (χ²= 0.78, p = .38). Depressive symptoms (p = .13) and anxiety (p = .27) were also not predictive of mortality. In the multivariate analyses, neither Type D (p = .95) nor negative affectivity (p = .71) and social inhibition (p = .59), as well as their interaction (p = .88), were associated with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, Type D personality and its constituents are not associated with increased mortality in patients with heart disease. The discrepancies with previous results deserve further investigation.

Standard values and relationship-specific validity of the Bielefeld Relationship Expectations Questionnaire (BFPE).

BACKGROUND: The Bielefeld Partnership Expectations Questionnaire (BFPE) is a tool to assess attachment in the romantic relationships of adults. The attachment styles are operationalized as configuration patterns of scale scores. While convergent validity has already been investigated, discriminant validity is still lacking confirmation. METHODS: The present sample (n = 1509) is representative for the German population aged 18 to 50. The mean age was 34.6 years. Most of the participants lived in a relationship (77.3 %). Discriminant validity was analyzed using a marital quality questionnaire (PFB), a social support questionnaire (F-Soz-U K-14), and a life satisfaction questionnaire (FLZ). RESULTS: All the BFPE scales have a satisfying internal consistency between r = .79 and .86. Those individuals who showed a secure pattern, i.e. increased "Readiness for Self-Disclosure" and "Conscious Need for Care" as well as reduced "Fear of Rejection" experienced their partner as socially supportive, reported higher marital quality in all of its facets, and were more satisfied within the life-domains "family/children" and "relationship/sexuality". Standard values for each scale are presented. CONCLUSIONS: The BFPE has repeatedly been verified as a short, reliable, and valid instrument applicable to research practice with healthy individuals as well as within clinical contexts.

"Movement-enhancing footpaths" - A natural experiment on street design and physical activity in children in a deprived district of Leipzig, Germany.

Despite the beneficial effects of physical activity (PA), only 26% of children in Germany meet the WHO's recommendations. Because active play contributes to PA and is accepted by families, the creation of "playable" environments could promote PA. This study is a natural experiment that was conducted to investigate whether slight changes in the physical environment can increase PA in children. In autumn 2016, 140 students from two primary schools located in a deprived district of Leipzig (Germany) gathered ideas on PA-promoting street designs. After protracted negotiations with the city administration, two footpaths were decorated with colored markings (hopscotch grids, labyrinths, "mirror me") in September 2019. 48 observations were made before (August 2019) and after (September/October 2019) the implementation using the System for Observing Play and Recreation in Communities (SOPARC). Age, gender, activity level, bike use, and interactions with the colored markings were recorded. A total of 5455 individuals (including 1099 cyclists) were observed. Almost one fifth of the observed children (0 to 12 years) interacted with the markings. There was a slight increase in vigorous activity in all observed individuals after the implementation (2.9% vs. 6.4%, p < 0.001). The chance for vigorous activity was higher on decorated footpaths (OR 2.45, CI 1.54-3.89, p < 0.001), for children (OR 19.32, CI 13.07-28.56, p < 0.001), and on Sundays (OR 3.39, CI 2.33-4.94, p < 0.001). The participatory development and design of footpaths that support spontaneous active play "on the way" might be one component that can be used to support changes in children's PA behaviors and social interactions.

Associations of Green Spaces and Streets in the Living Environment with Outdoor Activity, Media Use, Overweight/Obesity and Emotional Wellbeing in Children and Adolescents.

Aspects of the living environment can affect health and wellbeing of children and adolescents. Whereas most previous studies assessed the more distant residential urban environment, less is known on possible effects of the close environment. The present study investigated associations of the proportion of streets and green spaces in the immediate urban living environment (50, 100 and 400 m around the home) with media use, outdoor activity, overweight/obesity and emotional problems in two samples of younger (age 3-10, n = 395) and older children (age 10-19, n = 405). Independently of socioeconomic parameters, a higher proportion of streets was associated with overweight/obesity (in younger and older children), higher media use (in younger children), less outdoor activity and more emotional problems (in older children). Older children's outdoor activity in winter increased with increasing proportions of green spaces. The observations suggest that the immediate urban living environment is a factor that can affect leisure behavior and health in children.

In-depth statistical analysis of the use of a website providing patients' narratives on lifestyle change when living with chronic back pain or coronary heart disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the use of lebensstil-aendern.de ("lifestyle change"), a website providing peer narratives of experiences with successful lifestyle change, and to analyze whether peer model characteristics, clip content, and media type have an influence on the number of visitors, dwell time, and exit rates. METHODS: An in-depth statistical analysis of website use with multilevel regression analyses. RESULTS: In two years, lebensstil-aendern.de attracted 12,844 visitors. The in-depth statistical analysis of usage rates demonstrated that audio clips were less popular than video or text-only clips, longer clips attracted more visitors, and clips by younger and female interviewees were preferred. User preferences for clip content categories differed between heart and back pain patients. Clips about stress management drew the smallest numbers of visitors in both indication modules. CONCLUSIONS: Patients are interested in the experiences of others. Because the quality of information for user-generated content is generally low, healthcare providers should include quality-assured patient narratives in their interventions. User preferences for content, medium, and peer characteristics need to be taken into account. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: If healthcare providers decide to include patient experiences in their websites, they should plan their intervention according to the different needs and preferences of users.

[The impact of social and institutional characteristics on the appropriateness of invasive cardiologic procedures]. / Der Einfluss sozialer und struktureller Faktoren auf die Angemessenheit invasiver kardiologischer Prozeduren.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Germany has the highest per capita rate of invasive cardiologic procedures in Europe. An aim of the SULEIKA study was to present a clearer picture of this important area of health care. METHODS: Clinical data along with social characteristics of patients were acquired by means of questionnaires. An additional survey was established to collect data about the treating institution. Clinical information was used to define the appropriateness of coronary angiographies and percutaneous coronary interventions. A possible impact of social or institutional characteristics on the appropriateness was examined. RESULTS: 549 of 709 diagnostic coronary angiographies (77.4%) were rated "appropriate", 54 (7.6%) as "equivocal", and 106 (15%) as "inappropriate". 245 of 317 coronary interventions (77.3%) were rated "appropriate", 40 (12.6%) as "equivocal", and 32 (10.1%) as "inappropriate". Social and institutional impact were found for invasive diagnostics but not for PCI. CONCLUSION: Social characteristics of patients and institutional characteristics have only a marginal impact on the indication of invasive cardiologic procedures. A trend toward "overdiagnostics" within the group of younger patients has been noticed, even in the case of missing hard medical evidence. A serious deficit of health care research can be found. Consented criteria to assess the appropriateness of medical treatments are missing. More research has to be done in the field of concepts and processes controlling the distribution and movement of patients into different sections of the health care system. Validated, standardized and comprehensive data for an international comparison of decisions about medical treatments are needed.

The association between physical environment and health: indicating the direction of effects using German panel data.

BACKGROUND: A growing body of research has identified an association between health and physical residential environmental characteristics. However, the direction of effects remains unclear, and further research is needed to determine whether the residential environment influences health. OBJECTIVES: To specify the direction of the association between environmental disadvantage and self-reported health. METHODS: Longitudinal data were obtained from the German Socioeconomic Panel and were examined at two points in time. Participants were grouped by relocation status assessed across a five-year period. Structural equation modeling was used to examine the effect of baseline environmental disadvantage on baseline health and on health five years later. RESULTS: In both groups, environmental disadvantage was cross-sectionally correlated with poor health. Only among people who did not relocate was baseline environmental disadvantage significantly related to health five years later in bivariate analyses. Results from the structural equation model found that environmental disadvantage was no longer significantly related to poor health five years later within the group of non-movers (ß = -.02, p = .052). In addition, there was no effect in this direction within the group of movers (ß = .02, p = .277). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest the existence of a weak contextual effect as group differences in longitudinal associations indicated the direction of ecological effects.