C-reactive protein levels and body mass index: elucidating direction of causation through reciprocal Mendelian randomization.

CONTEXT: The assignment of direction and causality within networks of observational associations is problematic outside randomized control trials, and the presence of a causal relationship between body mass index (BMI) and C-reactive protein (CRP) is disputed. OBJECTIVE: Using reciprocal Mendelian randomization, we aim to assess the direction of causality in relationships between BMI and CRP and to demonstrate this as a promising analytical technique. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: The study was based on a large, cross-sectional European study from Copenhagen, Denmark. Genetic associates of BMI (FTO(rs9939609)) and circulating CRP (CRP(rs3091244)) have been used to reexamine observational associations between them. RESULTS: Observational analyses showed a strong, positive association between circulating CRP and BMI (change in BMI for a doubling in log CRP of 1.03 kg m(-2) (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.00, 1.07), P<0.0001). Analysis using CRP(rs3091244) to re-estimate the causal effect of circulating CRP on BMI yielded null effects (change in BMI for a doubling in log CRP of -0.24 kg m(-2) (95% CI: -0.58, 0.11), P=0.2). In contrast, analysis using FTO(rs9939609) to assess the causal effect of BMI on circulating CRP confirmed observational associations (ratio of geometric means of CRP per s.d. increase in BMI 1.41 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.80), P=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, these data suggest that the observed association between circulating CRP and measured BMI is likely to be driven by BMI, with CRP being a marker of elevated adiposity. More generally, the method of reciprocal randomization has general applicability in determining the direction of causation within inter-correlated networks of metabolic components.

Segregation distortion of T-DNA markers linked to the self-incompatibility (S) locus in Petunia hybrida.

In plants with a gametophytic self-incompatibility system the specificity of the pollen is determined by the haploid genotype at the self-incompatibility (S) locus. In certain crosses this can lead to the exclusion of half the gametes from the male parent carrying a particular S-allele. This leads to pronounced segregation distortion for any genetic markers that are linked to the S-locus. We have used this approach to identify T-DNA insertions carrying a maize transposable element that are linked to the S-locus of Petunia hybrida. A total of 83 T-DNA insertions were tested for segregation distortion of the selectable marker used during transformation with Agrobacterium. Segregation distortion was observed for 12 T-DNA insertions and at least 8 of these were shown to be in the same linkage group by intercrossing. This indicates that differential transmission of a single locus (S) is probably responsible for all of these examples of T-DNA segregation distortion. The identification of selectable markers in coupling with a functional S-allele will allow the preselection of recombination events around the S-locus in petunia. Our approach provides a general method for identifying transgenes that are linked to gametophytic self-incompatibility loci and provides an opportunity for transposon tagging of the petunia S-locus.

Colour vision testing for diabetic retinopathy: a systematic review of diagnostic accuracy and economic evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the diagnostic performance and cost-effectiveness of colour vision testing (CVT) to identify and monitor the progression of diabetic retinopathy (DR). DATA SOURCES: Major electronic databases including MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched from inception to September 2008. REVIEW METHODS: A systematic review of the evidence was carried out according to standard methods. An online survey of National Screening Programme for Diabetic Retinopathy (NSPDR) clinical leads and programme managers assessed the diagnostic tools used routinely by local centres and their views on future research priorities. A decision tree and Markov model was developed to estimate the incremental costs and effects of adding CVT to the current NSPDR. RESULTS: In total, 25 studies on CVT met the inclusion criteria for the review, including 18 presenting 2 x 2 diagnostic accuracy data. The quality of studies and reporting was generally poor. Automated or computerised CVTs reported variable sensitivities (63-97%) and specificities (71-95%). One study reported good diagnostic accuracy estimates for computerised CVT plus retinal photography for detection of sight-threatening DR, but it included few cases of retinopathy in total. Results for pseudoisochromatic plates, anomaloscopes and colour arrangement tests were largely inadequate for DR screening, with Youden indices (sensitivity + specificity - 100%) close to zero. No studies were located that addressed patient preferences relating to CVT for DR. Retinal photography is universally employed as the primary method for retinal screening by centres responding to the online survey; none used CVT. The review of the economic evaluation literature found no previous studies describing the cost and effects of any type of CVT. Our economic evaluation suggested that adding CVT to the current national screening programme could be cost-effective if it adequately increases sensitivity and is relatively inexpensive. The deterministic base-case analysis indicated that the cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained may be 6364 pounds and 12,432 pounds for type 1 and type 2 diabetes respectively. However, probabilistic sensitivity analysis highlighted the substantial probability that CVT is not diagnostically accurate enough to be either an effective or a cost-effective addition to current screening methods. The results of the economic model should be treated with caution as the model is based on only one small study. CONCLUSIONS: There is insufficient evidence to support the use of CVT alone, or in combination with retinal photography, as a method for screening for retinopathy in patients with diabetes. Better quality diagnostic accuracy studies directly comparing the incremental value of CVT in addition to retinal photography are needed before drawing conclusions on cost-effectiveness. The most frequently cited preference for future research was the use of optical coherence tomography for the detection of clinically significant macular oedema.

Incidence of severe reproductive tract complications associated with diagnosed genital chlamydial infection: the Uppsala Women's Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cumulative incidence of severe complications associated with genital chlamydia infection in the general female population. METHODS: The Uppsala Women's Cohort Study was a retrospective population based cohort study in Sweden, linking laboratory, hospital, and population registers. We estimated the cumulative incidence of hospital diagnosed pelvic inflammatory disease, ectopic pregnancy, and infertility, and used multivariable regression models to estimate hazard ratios according to screening status. RESULTS: We analysed complete data from 43 715 women in Uppsala aged 15-24 years between January 1985 and December 1989. Follow up until the end of 1999 included 709 000 woman years and 3025 events. The cumulative incidence of pelvic inflammatory disease by age 35 years was 3.9% (95% CI 3.7% to 4.0%) overall: 5.6% (4.7% to 6.7%) in women who ever tested positive for chlamydia, 4.0% (3.7% to 4.4%) in those with negative tests, and 2.9% (2.7% to 3.2%) in those who were never screened. The corresponding figures were: for ectopic pregnancy, 2.3% (2.2% to 2.5%) overall, 2.7% (2.1% to 3.5%), 2.0% (1.8% to 2.3%), and 1.9% (1.7% to 2.1%); and for infertility, 4.1% (3.9% to 4.3%) overall, 6.7% (5.7% to 7.9%), 4.7% (4.4% to 5.1%), and 3.1% (2.8% to 3.3%). Low educational attainment was strongly associated with the development of all outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of severe chlamydia associated complications estimated from ours, and other population based studies, was lower than expected. Studies that incorporate data about pelvic inflammatory disease diagnosed in primary care and behavioural risk factors would further improve our understanding of the natural history of chlamydia. Our results provide reassurance for patients, but mean that the benefits of chlamydia screening programmes might have been overestimated.

Factors influencing the development and amelioration of suicidal thoughts in the general population. Cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of suicidal thoughts in the British population is unknown. AIMS: To determine the factors associated with the development of, and recovery from, suicidal thoughts. METHOD: An 18-month follow-up survey investigated 2404 of the adults who took part in the second National Psychiatric Morbidity Survey. RESULTS: The annual incidence of suicidal thoughts was 2.3%. Incidence was highest in women and among 16- to 24-year-olds. Increased incidence was associated with not being in a stable relationship, low levels of social support and being unemployed. Fifty-seven per cent of those with suicidal thoughts at baseline had recovered by the 18-month follow-up interview. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for suicidal thoughts are similar to those for completed suicide, although the age and gender patterning is different. Fewer than 1 in 200 people who experience suicidal thoughts go on to complete suicide. Further study into explanations for the differences in the epidemiology of suicidal thoughts and suicide is crucial to understanding the pathways (protective and precipitating) linking suicidal thoughts to completed suicide and should help inform effective prevention of suicide.