"Urban Respiration" Revealed by Atmospheric O2 Measurements in an Industrial Metropolis.

Urban regions, which "inhale" O2 from the air and "exhale" CO2 and atmospheric pollutants, including harmful gases and fine particles, are the largest sinks of atmospheric O2, yet long-term O2 measurements in urban regions are currently lacking. In this study, we report continuous measurements of atmospheric O2 in downtown Lanzhou, an industrial metropolis in northwestern China. We found declines in atmospheric O2 associated with deteriorated air quality and robust anticorrelations between O2 and gaseous oxides. By combining O2 and pollutants measurements with a Lagrangian atmospheric transport model, we quantitatively break down "urban respiration" (ΔO2URB) into human respiration (ΔO2RES) and fossil fuel combustion (ΔO2FF). We found increased ΔO2FF contribution (from 66.92% to 72.50%) and decreased ΔO2RES contribution (from 33.08 to 27.50%) as O2 declines and pollutants accumulate. Further attribution of ΔO2FF reveals intracity transport of atmospheric pollutants from industrial sectors and suggests transportation sectors as the major O2 sink in downtown Lanzhou. The varying relationships between O2 and pollutants under different conditions unfold the dynamics of urban respiration and provide insights into the O2 and energy consumption, pollutant emission, and intracity atmospheric transport processes.

Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases.

COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under unchanged virus mutation influence and control policies. Using the attribution analysis based on the theoretical infectious diseases model simulation, we found the mechanism of the severe COVID-19 outbreak in the summer of 2022 and identified the amplification effect of heat wave events on its magnitude. The results suggest that approximately 69.3% of COVID-19 cases this summer could have been avoided if there is no heat waves. The collision between the pandemic and the heatwave is not an accident. Climate change is leading to more frequent extreme climate events and an increasing number of infectious diseases, posing an urgent threat to human health and life. Therefore, public health authorities must quickly develop coordinated management plans to deal with the simultaneous occurrence of extreme climate events and infectious diseases.

The impact of crowd gatherings on the spread of COVID-19.

Crowd gatherings are an important cause of COVID-19 outbreaks. However, how the scale, scene and other factors of gatherings affect the spread of the epidemic remains unclear. A total of 184 gathering events worldwide were collected to construct a database, and 99 of them with a clear gathering scale were used for statistical analysis of the impact of these factors on the disease incidence among the crowd in the study. The results showed that the impact of small-scale (less than 100 people) gathering events on the spread of COVID-19 in the city is also not to be underestimated due to their characteristics of more frequent occurrence and less detection and control. In our dataset, 22.22% of small-scale events have an incidence of more than 0.8. In contrast, the incidence of most large-scale events is less than 0.4. Gathering scenes such as "Meal" and "Family" occur in densely populated private or small public places have the highest incidence. We further designed a model of epidemic transmission triggered by crowd gathering events and simulated the impact of crowd gathering events on the overall epidemic situation in the city. The simulation results showed that the number of patients will be drastically reduced if the scale and the density of crowds gathering are halved. It indicated that crowd gatherings should be strictly controlled on a small scale. In addition, it showed that the model well reproduce the epidemic spread after crowd gathering events better than does the original SIER model and could be applied to epidemic prediction after sudden gathering events.

Comparison of PM2.5 and CO2 Concentrations in Large Cities of China during the COVID-19 Lockdown.

Estimating the impacts on PM2.5 pollution and CO2 emissions by human activities in different urban regions is important for developing efficient policies. In early 2020, China implemented a lockdown policy to contain the spread of COVID-19, resulting in a significant reduction of human activities. This event presents a convenient opportunity to study the impact of human activities in the transportation and industrial sectors on air pollution. Here, we investigate the variations in air quality attributed to the COVID-19 lockdown policy in the megacities of China by combining in-situ environmental and meteorological datasets, the Suomi-NPP/VIIRS and the CO2 emissions from the Carbon Monitor project. Our study shows that PM2.5 concentrations in the spring of 2020 decreased by 41.87% in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and 43.30% in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), respectively, owing to the significant shutdown of traffic and manufacturing industries. However, PM2.5 concentrations in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region only decreased by 2.01% because the energy and steel industries were not fully paused. In addition, unfavorable weather conditions contributed to further increases in the PM2.5 concentration. Furthermore, CO2 concentrations were not significantly affected in China during the short-term emission reduction, despite a 19.52% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to the same period in 2019. Our results suggest that concerted efforts from different emission sectors and effective long-term emission reduction strategies are necessary to control air pollution and CO2 emissions.

Environmental Indicator for COVID-19 Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions.

A novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has caused viral pneumonia worldwide, posing a major threat to international health. Our study reports that city lockdown is an effective way to reduce the number of new cases and the nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration can be used as an environmental lockdown indicator to evaluate the effectiveness of lockdown measures. The airborne NO2 concentration steeply decreased over the vast majority of COVID-19-hit areas since the lockdown. The total number of newly confirmed cases reached an inflection point about two weeks since the lockdown and could be reduced by about 50% within 30 days of the lockdown. The stricter lockdown will help newly confirmed cases to decline earlier and more rapidly, and at the same time, the reduction rate of NO2 concentration will increase. Our research results show that NO2 satellite observations can help decision makers effectively monitor and manage non-pharmaceutical interventions in the epidemic.

Carbon Dioxide Captured by Metal Organic Frameworks and Its Subsequent Resource Utilization Strategy: A Review and Prospect.

The carbon dioxide (CO2) is notorious as the greenhouse gas, which could cause the global warming and climate change. Therefore, the reduction of the atmospheric CO2 emissions from power plants and other industrial facilities has become as an increasingly urgent concern. In the recent years, CO2 capture and storage technologies have received a worldwide attention. Adsorption is considered as one of the efficient options for CO2 capture because of its cost advantage, low energy requirement and extensive applicability over a relatively wide range of temperature and pressure. The metal organic frameworks (MOFs) show widely potential application prospects in CO2 capture and storage owing to their outstanding textural properties, such as the extraordinarily high specific surface area, tunable pore size, ultrahigh porosity (up to 90%), high crystallinity, adjustable internal surface properties, and controllable structure. Herein, the most important research progress of MOFs materials on the CO2 capture and storage in recent years has been comprehensively reviewed. The extraordinary characteristics and CO2 capture performance of Zeolitic Imidazolate Frameworks (ZIFs), Bio-metal organic frameworks (bio-MOFs), IL@MOFs and MOF-composite materials were highlighted. The promising strategies for improving the CO2 adsorption properties of MOFs materials, especially the low-pressure adsorption performance under actual flue gas conditions, are also carefully summarized. Besides, CO2 is considered as an abundant, nontoxic, nonflammable, and renewable C1 resource for the synthesis of useful chemicals and fuels. The potential routes for resource utilization of the captured CO2 are briefly proposed.

Development of the second version of Global Prediction System for Epidemiological Pandemic.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a severe global public health emergency that has caused a major crisis in the safety of human life, health, global economy, and social order. Moreover, COVID-19 poses significant challenges to healthcare systems worldwide. The prediction and early warning of infectious diseases on a global scale are the premise and basis for countries to jointly fight epidemics. However, because of the complexity of epidemics, predicting infectious diseases on a global scale faces significant challenges. In this study, we developed the second version of Global Prediction System for Epidemiological Pandemic (GPEP-2), which combines statistical methods with a modified epidemiological model. The GPEP-2 introduces various parameterization schemes for both impacts of natural factors (seasonal variations in weather and environmental impacts) and human social behaviors (government control and isolation, personnel gathered, indoor propagation, virus mutation, and vaccination). The GPEP-2 successfully predicted the COVID-19 pandemic in over 180 countries with an average accuracy rate of 82.7%. It also provided prediction and decision-making bases for several regional-scale COVID-19 pandemic outbreaks in China, with an average accuracy rate of 89.3%. Results showed that both anthropogenic and natural factors can affect virus spread and control measures in the early stages of an epidemic can effectively control the spread. The predicted results could serve as a reference for public health planning and policymaking.

High-resolution short-term prediction of the COVID-19 epidemic based on spatial-temporal model modified by historical meteorological data.

In the global challenge of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, accurate prediction of daily new cases is crucial for epidemic prevention and socioeconomic planning. In contrast to traditional local, one-dimensional time-series data-based infection models, the study introduces an innovative approach by formulating the short-term prediction problem of new cases in a region as multidimensional, gridded time series for both input and prediction targets. A spatial-temporal depth prediction model for COVID-19 (ConvLSTM) is presented, and further ConvLSTM by integrating historical meteorological factors (Meteor-ConvLSTM) is refined, considering the influence of meteorological factors on the propagation of COVID-19. The correlation between 10 meteorological factors and the dynamic progression of COVID-19 was evaluated, employing spatial analysis techniques (spatial autocorrelation analysis, trend surface analysis, etc.) to describe the spatial and temporal characteristics of the epidemic. Leveraging the original ConvLSTM, an artificial neural network layer is introduced to learn how meteorological factors impact the infection spread, providing a 5-day forecast at a 0.01° × 0.01° pixel resolution. Simulation results using real dataset from the 3.15 outbreak in Shanghai demonstrate the efficacy of Meteor-ConvLSTM, with reduced RMSE of 0.110 and increased R 2 of 0.125 (original ConvLSTM: RMSE = 0.702, R 2 = 0.567; Meteor-ConvLSTM: RMSE = 0.592, R 2 = 0.692), showcasing its utility for investigating the epidemiological characteristics, transmission dynamics, and epidemic development.

An overview for monitoring and prediction of pathogenic microorganisms in the atmosphere.

Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exerted a profound adverse impact on human health. Studies have demonstrated that aerosol transmission is one of the major transmission routes of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Pathogenic microorganisms such as SARS-CoV-2 can survive in the air and cause widespread infection among people. Early monitoring of pathogenic microorganism transmission in the atmosphere and accurate epidemic prediction are the frontier guarantee for preventing large-scale epidemic outbreaks. Monitoring of pathogenic microorganisms in the air, especially in densely populated areas, may raise the possibility to detect viruses before people are widely infected and contain the epidemic at an earlier stage. The multi-scale coupled accurate epidemic prediction system can provide support for governments to analyze the epidemic situation, allocate health resources, and formulate epidemic response policies. This review first elaborates on the effects of the atmospheric environment on pathogenic microorganism transmission, which lays a theoretical foundation for the monitoring and prediction of epidemic development. Secondly, the monitoring technique development and the necessity of monitoring pathogenic microorganisms in the atmosphere are summarized and emphasized. Subsequently, this review introduces the major epidemic prediction methods and highlights the significance to realize a multi-scale coupled epidemic prediction system by strengthening the multidisciplinary cooperation of epidemiology, atmospheric sciences, environmental sciences, sociology, demography, etc. By summarizing the achievements and challenges in monitoring and prediction of pathogenic microorganism transmission in the atmosphere, this review proposes suggestions for epidemic response, namely, the establishment of an integrated monitoring and prediction platform for pathogenic microorganism transmission in the atmosphere.

Multi-source dynamic ensemble prediction of infectious disease and application in COVID-19 case.

Background: The development of an epidemic always exhibits multiwave oscillation owing to various anthropogenic sources of transmission. Particularly in populated areas, the large-scaled human mobility led to the transmission of the virus faster and more complex. The accurate prediction of the spread of infectious diseases remains a problem. To solve this problem, we propose a new method called the multi-source dynamic ensemble prediction (MDEP) method that incorporates a modified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) model to improve the accuracy of the prediction result. Methods: The modified SEIR model is based on the compartment model, which is suitable for local-scale and confined spaces, where human mobility on a large scale is not considered. Moreover, compartmental models cannot be used to predict multiwave epidemics. The proposed MDEP method can remedy defects in the compartment model. In this study, multi-source prediction was made on the development of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and dynamically assembled to obtain the final integrated result. We used the real epidemic data of COVID-19 in three cities in China: Beijing, Lanzhou, and Beihai. Epidemiological data were collected from 17 April, 2022 to 12 August, 2022. Results: Compared to the one-wave modified SEIR model, the MDEP method can depict the multiwave development of COVID-19. The MDEP method was applied to predict the number of cumulative cases of recent COVID-19 outbreaks in the aforementioned cities in China. The average accuracy rates in Beijing, Lanzhou, and Beihai were 89.15%, 91.74%, and 94.97%, respectively. Conclusions: The MDEP method improved the prediction accuracy of COVID-19. With further application to other infectious diseases, the MDEP method will provide accurate predictions of infectious diseases and aid governments make appropriate directives.

Impact of human mobility on the epidemic spread during holidays.

COVID-19 has posed formidable challenges as a significant global health crisis. Its complexity stems from factors like viral contagiousness, population density, social behaviors, governmental regulations, and environmental conditions, with interpersonal interactions and large-scale activities being particularly pivotal. To unravel these complexities, we used a modified SEIR epidemiological model to simulate various outbreak scenarios during the holiday season, incorporating both inter-regional and intra-regional human mobility effects into the parameterization scheme. In addition, evaluation metrics were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model simulation by comparing the congruence between simulated results and recorded confirmed cases. The findings suggested that intra-city mobility led to an average surge of 57.35% in confirmed cases of China, while inter-city mobility contributed to an average increase of 15.18%. In the simulation for Tianjin, China, a one-week delay in human mobility attenuated the peak number of cases by 34.47% and postponed the peak time by 6 days. The simulation for the United States revealed that human mobility played a more pronounced part in the outbreak, with a notable disparity in peak cases when mobility was considered. This study highlights that while inter-regional mobility acted as a trigger for the epidemic spread, the diffusion effect of intra-regional mobility was primarily responsible for the outbreak. We have a better understanding on how human mobility and infectious disease epidemics interact, and provide empirical evidence that could contribute to disease prevention and control measures.

Water Transmission Increases the Intensity of COVID-19 Outbreaks.

India suffered from a devastating 2021 spring outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), surpassing any other outbreaks before. However, the reason for the acceleration of the outbreak in India is still unknown. We describe the statistical characteristics of infected patients from the first case in India to June 2021, and trace the causes of the two outbreaks in a complete way, combined with data on natural disasters, environmental pollution and population movements etc. We found that water-to-human transmission accelerates COVID-19 spreading. The transmission rate is 382% higher than the human-to-human transmission rate during the 2020 summer outbreak in India. When syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) enters the human body directly through the water-oral transmission pathway, virus particles and nitrogen salt in the water accelerate viral infection and mutation rates in the gastrointestinal tract. Based on the results of the attribution analysis, without the current effective interventions, India could have experienced a third outbreak during the monsoon season this year, which would have increased the severity of the disaster and led to a South Asian economic crisis.

The oscillation-outbreaks characteristic of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic features the alternation of oscillations and abrupt rises. The oscillations are attributable to weekly and seasonal modulations, while abrupt rises are stimulated by mass gatherings.

Impact of city lockdown on the air quality of COVID-19-hit of Wuhan city.

A series of strict lockdown measures were implemented in the areas of China worst affected by coronavirus disease 19, including Wuhan, to prevent the disease spreading. The lockdown had a substantial environmental impact, because traffic pollution and industrial emissions are important factors affecting air quality and public health in the region. After the lockdown, the average monthly air quality index (AQI) in Wuhan was 59.7, which is 33.9% lower than that before the lockdown (January 23, 2020) and 47.5% lower than that during the corresponding period (113.6) from 2015 to 2019. Compared with the conditions before the lockdown, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) decreased by 36.9% and remained the main pollutant. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) showed the largest decrease of approximately 53.3%, and ozone (O3) increased by 116.6%. The proportions of fixed-source emissions and transported external-source emissions in this area increased. After the lockdown, O3 pollution was highly negatively correlated with the NO2 concentration, and the radiation increase caused by the PM2.5 reduction was not the main reason for the increase in O3. This indicates that the generation of secondary pollutants is influenced by multiple factors and is not only governed by emission reduction.

Designing and Fabricating Ordered Mesoporous Metal Oxides for CO2 Catalytic Conversion: A Review and Prospect.

In the past two decades, great progress has been made in the aspects of fabrication and application of ordered mesoporous metal oxides. Ordered mesoporous metal oxides have attracted more and more attention due to their large surface areas and pore volumes, unblocked pore structure, and good thermal stabilities. Compared with non-porous metal oxides, the most prominent feature is their ability to interact with molecules not only on their outer surface but also on the large internal surfaces of the material, providing more accessible active sites for the reactants. This review carefully describes the characteristics, classification and synthesis of ordered mesoporous metal oxides in detail. Besides, it also summarizes the catalytic application of ordered mesoporous metal oxides in the field of carbon dioxide conversion and resource utilization, which provides prospective viewpoints to reduce the emission of greenhouse gas and the inhibition of global warming. Although the scope of current review is mainly limited to the ordered mesoporous metal oxides and their application in the field of CO2 catalytic conversion via heterogeneous catalysis processes, we believe that it will provide new insights and viewpoints to the further development of heterogeneous catalytic materials.