ProJect: a powerful mixed-model missing value imputation method.

Missing values (MVs) can adversely impact data analysis and machine-learning model development. We propose a novel mixed-model method for missing value imputation (MVI). This method, ProJect (short for Protein inJection), is a powerful and meaningful improvement over existing MVI methods such as Bayesian principal component analysis (PCA), probabilistic PCA, local least squares and quantile regression imputation of left-censored data. We rigorously tested ProJect on various high-throughput data types, including genomics and mass spectrometry (MS)-based proteomics. Specifically, we utilized renal cancer (RC) data acquired using DIA-SWATH, ovarian cancer (OC) data acquired using DIA-MS, bladder (BladderBatch) and glioblastoma (GBM) microarray gene expression dataset. Our results demonstrate that ProJect consistently performs better than other referenced MVI methods. It achieves the lowest normalized root mean square error (on average, scoring 45.92% less error in RC_C, 27.37% in RC_full, 29.22% in OC, 23.65% in BladderBatch and 20.20% in GBM relative to the closest competing method) and the Procrustes sum of squared error (Procrustes SS) (exhibits 79.71% less error in RC_C, 38.36% in RC full, 18.13% in OC, 74.74% in BladderBatch and 30.79% in GBM compared to the next best method). ProJect also leads with the highest correlation coefficient among all types of MV combinations (0.64% higher in RC_C, 0.24% in RC full, 0.55% in OC, 0.39% in BladderBatch and 0.27% in GBM versus the second-best performing method). ProJect's key strength is its ability to handle different types of MVs commonly found in real-world data. Unlike most MVI methods that are designed to handle only one type of MV, ProJect employs a decision-making algorithm that first determines if an MV is missing at random or missing not at random. It then employs targeted imputation strategies for each MV type, resulting in more accurate and reliable imputation outcomes. An R implementation of ProJect is available at https://github.com/miaomiao6606/ProJect.

Full adherence to cirrhosis quality indicators is associated with lower mortality in acute variceal bleeding: Nationwide audit.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is a major complication in patients with cirrhosis. Using a nationwide AVB audit, we performed a nested cohort study to determine whether full adherence to the AVB quality indicator (QI) improves clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and AVB. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We assessed real-world adherence to AVB QI among patients with cirrhosis admitted for AVB in all public hospitals in Singapore between January 2015 and December 2020. Full adherence was considered when all 5 QIs were fulfilled: prophylactic antibiotics, vasoactive agents, timely endoscopy, endoscopic hemostasis during index endoscopy, and nonselective beta-blockers after AVB. We compare 6-week mortality between the full adherence and suboptimal adherence groups using a propensity-matched cohort.A total of 989 patients with AVB were included. Full adherence to all AVB QI was suboptimal (56.5%). Analysis of the propensity-matched cohort with comparable baseline characteristics showed that full adherence was associated with a lower risk of early infection (20.0% vs. 26.9%), early rebleeding (5.2% vs. 10.2%), and mortality at 6 weeks (8.2% vs. 19.7%) and 1 year (21.3% vs. 35.4%) ( p <0.05 for all). While full adherence was associated with a lower 6-week mortality regardless of the MELD score, nonadherence was associated with a higher 6-week mortality despite a lower predicted risk of 6-week mortality. Despite high adherence to the recommended process measures, patients with CTP-C remain at a higher risk of rebleeding, 6-week and 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Full adherence to the AVB QI should be the target for quality improvement in patients with cirrhosis.

Concurrent and longitudinal associations of developmental language disorder with peer victimization in adolescence: evidence from a co-twin study.

BACKGROUND: Children with developmental language disorder (DLD) experience higher levels of peer victimization than their peers. However, it is not known if such associations reflect genetic and environmental confounding. We used a co-twin control design to investigate the association of language difficulties (DLD and separately poor pragmatic language) with peer victimization and compare the developmental trajectories of peer victimization across adolescence for those with and without language difficulties. METHODS: Participants were 3,400 pairs of twins in the Twins Early Development Study (TEDS), a UK-based population birth cohort. Language abilities were assessed via online tests at age 11 and peer victimization was self-reported at ages 11, 14 and 16. Language difficulties were defined as language abilities at least -1.25 SD below the mean of the TEDS sample. We performed linear regressions and latent growth curve modeling at a population level and within monozygotic and same-sex dizygotic twin pairs. RESULTS: At population level, youth with DLD experienced higher levels of peer victimization at ages 11 (ß = 0.27, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.20-0.35), 14 (ß = 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.27) and 16 (ß = 0.17, 95% CI 0.03-0.32) and a sharper decline in peer victimization between ages 11 and 16 compared to their peers without DLD. The associations between DLD and peer victimization were reduced in strength and not statistically significant in within-twin models. Moreover, there was no difference in the rate of change in peer victimization between twin pairs discordant for DLD. Results were similar for the association of poor pragmatic language with peer victimization. CONCLUSIONS: Associations between language difficulties (DLD and separately, poor pragmatic language) and peer victimization were confounded by genetic and shared environmental factors. Identifying specific factors underlying these associations is important for guiding future work to reduce peer victimization among adolescents with language difficulties.

The Chinese translation and cross-cultural adaptation of PRISMA-7 questionnaire: an observational study to establish the accuracy, reliability and validity.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a health condition linked to adverse health outcomes and lower life quality. The PRISMA-7, a 7-item questionnaire from the Program on Research for Integrating Services for the Maintenance of Autonomy (PRISMA), is a validated case-finding tool for frailty with good sensitivity and specificity. This study aimed to translate, culturally adapt, and validate the PRISMA-7 questionnaire for Chinese use. METHODS: A prospective observational study with convenience sampling recruited bilingual adults aged 65 and over living in the community. The Functional Autonomy Measurement System (SMAF) was the gold standard benchmark. The English PRISMA-7 questionnaire was culturally adapted to Chinese using forward and backward translation. Intra- and inter-rater reliability were determined using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Face, content and criterion validity were determined. The Receiver Operator characteristic (ROC) curve determined the optimal cut-off score. RESULTS: One-hundred-twenty participants (55 females and 65 males) were recruited. The Chinese PRISMA-7 questionnaire had excellent intra-rater and inter-rater reliability (ICC = 1.000). The rigorous forward and backward translation established the face and content validity. The moderately high correlations between the English PRISMA-7 with SMAF (r = - 0.655, p <  0.001) and Chinese PRISMA-7 with SMAF (r = - 0.653, p <  0.001) pairs established the criterion validity. An optimal cut-off score of three "Yes" responses was reported with 100% sensitivity and 85.3% specificity. CONCLUSION: This translation, cross-cultural adaptation, and validation study established the Chinese PRISMA-7 questionnaire. The preliminary results suggest adequate diagnostic test accuracy for frailty screening among the Chinese-literate community.

Outcomes following pancreaticoduodenectomy for octogenarians: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: An increasing number of elderly patients are being diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, with increasing need to consider pancreatic surgery. This study aims to provide an updated systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the outcomes following pancreaticoduodenectomy in octogenarians. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed via a search of Medline, PubMed and Cochrane databases. Studies comparing outcomes of patients >80 years to younger patients undergoing PD were included. RESULTS: 26 studies were included. This included 22481 patients, with 20134 (89.6%) aged <80 years old, and 2347 (10.4%) octogenarians. Octogenarians were associated with higher rates of mortality (OR 2.37 (95%CI 1.91-2.94, p < 0.00001)), all-cause morbidity (OR 1.60 (95%CI 1.30-1.96), p<0.00001) and re-operation (OR 1.41 (95%CI 1.13-1.75), p = 0.002). Octogenarians had a two-fold risk of cardiac complications and respiratory complications (OR 2.13 (95%CI 1.67-2.73), p < 0.00001), (OR 2.38 (95%CI 1.72-3.27), p < 0.0001). There was no difference in postoperative pancreatic fistula, post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage or delayed gastric emptying. Younger patients were more likely to return to adjuvant therapy (OR 0.20 (95%CI 0.12-0.34), p < 0.00001). CONCLUSIONS: Octogenerians are associated with higher mortality rate, postoperative complications, and reduced likelihood to undergo adjuvant therapy. Careful preoperative assessment and selection of elderly patients for consideration of pancreatic surgery is essential.

Incidence and predictors of hypophosphataemia after ferric carboxymaltose use-A 3-year experience from a single institution in Singapore.

Ferric carboxymaltose (FCM) administration helps reduce transfusion requirements in the perioperative situation, which improves patient outcomes and reduces healthcare costs. However, there is increasing evidence of hypophosphataemia after FCM use. We aim to determine the incidence of hypophosphataemia after FCM administration and elucidate potential biochemical factors associated with the development of subsequent hypophosphataemia. A retrospective review of anonymised data of all FCM administrations in a single institution was conducted from August 2018 to August 2021. Each unique FCM dose administered was examined to assess its effect on Hb and serum phosphate levels within the subsequent 28 days from each FCM administration. Phosphate levels were repeatedly measured within the 28-day interval and the lowest phosphate level within that period was determined. Patients' serum phosphate levels within 28 days of FCM administration were compared against normal serum phosphate levels within 2 weeks before FCM administration. The odds ratios of various pre-FCM serum markers were calculated to elucidate potential biochemical predictors of post-FCM hypophosphataemia. In 3 years, a total of 1296 doses of FCM were administered to 1069 patients. The mean improvement in Hb was 2.45 g/dL (SD = 1.94) within 28 days of FCM administration, with the mean time taken to peak Hb levels being 6.3 days (SD = 8.63), which is earlier than expected, but was observed in this study and hence reported. The incidence of hypophosphataemia <0.8 mmol/L was 22.7% (n = 186), and <0.4 mmol/L was 1.6% (n = 9). This figure is lower than the numbers reported in previously published meta-analyses given that routine checks of serum phosphate levels were not conducted initially and hence could possibly be higher. The odds of developing hypophosphataemia (<0.8 mmol/L) were 27.7 (CI: 17.3-44.2, p < 0.0001) if baseline serum phosphate was less than 1 mmol/L. The odds of developing hypophosphataemia (<0.8 mmol/L) were 1.3 (CI: 1.08-1.59, p < 0.01) if the change in Hb levels observed after FCM administration were more than 4 g/dL. Hypophosphataemia after FCM administration is significant and FCM should be used by clinicians with caution.

Bidirectional Causal Associations Between Same-Sex Attraction and Psychological Distress: Testing Moderation and Mediation Effects.

Only one study has examined bidirectional causality between sexual minority status (having same-sex attraction) and psychological distress. We combined twin and genomic data from 8700 to 9700 participants in the UK Twins Early Development Study cohort at ≈21 years to replicate and extend these bidirectional causal effects using separate unidirectional Mendelian Randomization-Direction of Causation models. We further modified these models to separately investigate sex differences, moderation by childhood factors (retrospectively-assessed early-life adversity and prospectively-assessed childhood gender nonconformity), and mediation by victimization. All analyses were carried out in OpenMx in R. Same-sex attraction causally influenced psychological distress with significant reverse causation (beta = 0.19 and 0.17; 95% CIs = 0.09, 0.29 and 0.08, 0.25 respectively) and no significant sex differences. The same-sex attraction → psychological distress causal path was partly mediated by victimization (12.5%) while the reverse causal path was attenuated by higher childhood gender nonconformity (moderation coefficient = -0.09, 95% CI: -0.13, -0.04).

Risk and protective factors for new-onset binge eating, low weight, and self-harm symptoms in >35,000 individuals in the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: The disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with poor mental health, including increases in eating disorders and self-harm symptoms. We investigated risk and protective factors for the new onset of these symptoms during the pandemic. METHOD: Data were from the COVID-19 Psychiatry and Neurological Genetics study and the Repeated Assessment of Mental health in Pandemics Study (n = 36,715). Exposures were socio-demographic characteristics, lifetime psychiatric disorder, and COVID-related variables, including SARS-CoV-2 infection/illness with COVID-19. We identified four subsamples of participants without pre-pandemic experience of our outcomes: binge eating (n = 24,211), low weight (n = 24,364), suicidal and/or self-harm ideation (n = 18,040), and self-harm (n = 29,948). Participants reported on our outcomes at frequent intervals (fortnightly to monthly). We fitted multiple logistic regression models to identify factors associated with the new onset of our outcomes. RESULTS: Within each subsample, new onset was reported by: 21% for binge eating, 10.8% for low weight, 23.5% for suicidal and/or self-harm ideation, and 3.5% for self-harm. Shared risk factors included having a lifetime psychiatric disorder, not being in paid employment, higher pandemic worry scores, and being racially minoritized. Conversely, infection with SARS-CoV-2/illness with COVID-19 was linked to lower odds of binge eating, low weight, and suicidal and/or self-harm ideation. DISCUSSION: Overall, we detected shared risk factors that may drive the comorbidity between eating disorders and self-harm. Subgroups of individuals with these risk factors may require more frequent monitoring during future pandemics. PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE: In a sample of 35,000 UK residents, people who had a psychiatric disorder, identified as being part of a racially minoritized group, were not in paid employment, or were more worried about the pandemic were more likely to experience binge eating, low weight, suicidal and/or self-harm ideation, and self-harm for the first time during the pandemic. People with these risk factors may need particular attention during future pandemics to enable early identification of new psychiatric symptoms.

Persistent acidosis and chronic kidney disease in a patient with type 1 glycogen storage disease.

Type 1 glycogen storage disease (GSDI) is a rare autosomal recessive disorder caused by glucose-6-phosphatase (G6Pase) deficiency. We discuss a case of a 29-year-old gentleman who had GSDI with metabolic complications of hypoglycemia, hypertriglyceridemia, hyperuricemia, and short stature. He also suffered from advanced chronic kidney disease, nephrotic range proteinuria, and hepatic adenomas. He presented with acute pneumonia and refractory metabolic acidosis despite treatment with isotonic bicarbonate infusion, reversal of hypoglycemia, and lactic acidosis. He eventually required kidney replacement therapy. The case report highlights the multiple contributing mechanisms and challenges to managing refractory metabolic acidosis in a patient with GSDI. Important considerations for dialysis initiation, decision for long-term dialysis modality and kidney transplantation for patients with GSDI are also discussed in this case report.

Causal Influences of Same-Sex Attraction on Psychological Distress and Risky Sexual Behaviors: Evidence for Bidirectional Effects.

Although health disparities among same-sex attracted compared to heterosexual individuals are typically explained by minority stress, there is limited evidence for a causal effect. This study investigated whether same-sex attraction was causally associated with psychological distress and risky sexual behavior using sociosexual behavior as a proxy. The sample comprised monozygotic and dizygotic twins and their non-twin siblings (n = 2036, 3780 and 2356, respectively) genotyped and assessed for same-sex attraction, psychological distress (anxiety and depressive symptoms), and risky sexual behavior. Causal influences were investigated with same-sex attraction as the predictor and psychological distress and risky sexual behavior as the outcomes in two separate Mendelian Randomization-Direction of Causation (MRDoC) models using OpenMx in R. The MRDoC model improves on the Mendelian Randomization and Direction of Causation twin models by allowing analyses of variables with similar genetic architectures, incorporating polygenic scores as instrumental variables and specifying pleiotropy and residual covariance. There were significant causal influences flowing from same-sex attraction to psychological distress and risky sexual behavior (standardized coefficients = 0.13 and 0.16; 95% CIs 0.03-0.23 and 0.08-0.25, respectively). Further analyses also demonstrated causal influences flowing from psychological distress and risky sexual behavior toward same-sex attraction. Causal influences from same-sex attraction to psychological distress and risky sexual behavior may reflect minority stress, which reinforces ongoing measures to minimize social disparities. Causal influences flowing in the opposite direction may reflect rejection sensitivity, stigma-inducing outcomes of risky sexual behavior, and recall bias; however, further research is required to specifically investigate these processes.

Hypophosphatemia related to intravenous iron therapy with ferric carboxymaltose: A case series.

OBJECTIVES: This case series would like to highlight hypophosphatemia related to ferric carboxymaltose and its adverse clinical consequences. BACKGROUND: Intravenous iron supplementation is a good alternative to oral iron replacement in iron deficiency anaemia due to its ability to correct iron deficit with minimal infusions without incurring the gastrointestinal side effects of oral iron replacement. Ferric carboxymaltose is one common formula for intravenous iron supplementation. However, an increasingly recognised adverse side-effect of intravenous ferric carboxymaltose is hypophosphatemia. There has been increasing reports and studies highlighting hypophosphatemia related to intra-venous iron therapy. Though initially thought to be transient and asymptomatic, recent studies have shown that persistent hypophosphatemia in iron therapy can result in debilitating disease including myopathy, fractures and osteomalacia. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of all patients who had ferric carboxymaltose was performed. RESULTS: We highlight 3 cases where hyposphatemia affected the clinical outcomes. CONCLUSION: With the increased use of IV iron it is important to be aware of the high potential for hypophosphatemia secondary to ferric carboxymaltose.

Effects of Muscle Fatigue and Recovery on the Neuromuscular Network after an Intermittent Handgrip Fatigue Task: Spectral Analysis of Electroencephalography and Electromyography Signals.

Mechanisms underlying exercise-induced muscle fatigue and recovery are dependent on peripheral changes at the muscle level and improper control of motoneurons by the central nervous system. In this study, we analyzed the effects of muscle fatigue and recovery on the neuromuscular network through the spectral analysis of electroencephalography (EEG) and electromyography (EMG) signals. A total of 20 healthy right-handed volunteers performed an intermittent handgrip fatigue task. In the prefatigue, postfatigue, and postrecovery states, the participants contracted a handgrip dynamometer with sustained 30% maximal voluntary contractions (MVCs); EEG and EMG data were recorded. A considerable decrease was noted in EMG median frequency in the postfatigue state compared with the findings in other states. Furthermore, the EEG power spectral density of the right primary cortex exhibited a prominent increase in the gamma band. Muscle fatigue led to increases in the beta and gamma bands of contralateral and ipsilateral corticomuscular coherence, respectively. Moreover, a decrease was noted in corticocortical coherence between the bilateral primary motor cortices after muscle fatigue. EMG median frequency may serve as an indicator of muscle fatigue and recovery. Coherence analysis revealed that fatigue reduced the functional synchronization among bilateral motor areas but increased that between the cortex and muscle.

Investigating the causal risk factors for self-harm by integrating Mendelian randomisation within twin modelling.

Previous genetically informed studies have uncovered likely causal relationships between mental health problems and self-harm but resulting causal estimates may be biased due to unmediated pleiotropy. By fitting Mendelian Randomization - Direction of Causation (MR-DoC) models that explicitly model pleiotropy, we investigated the effect of four quantitatively measured mental health problems - major depressive disorder (MDD), schizophrenia, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and insomnia, on non-suicidal self-harm (NSSH) and suicidal self-harm (SSH), separately. We used data of 12,723 twins (56.6% females) in the Twins Early Development Study. Besides substantial pleiotropy, we found effects from child-rated depressive symptoms to both NSSH (ß = 0.194, 95% CIs: 0.131, 0.257) and SSH (ß = 0.210, 95% CIs: 0.125, 0.295). Similarly, effects flowed from parent-rated depressive symptoms to NSSH (ß = 0.092, 95% CIs: 0.004, 0.181) and SSH (ß = 0.165, 95% CIs: 0.051, 0.281). We did not find evidence of aetiological difference between NSSH and SSH.

Consumer choice and public-private providers: The role of perceived prices.

Governments often encourage health service providers to improve quality of care and reduce prices through competition. The efficacy of competition hinges on the assumption that consumers demand high quality care at low prices for any given health condition. In this paper, we examine this assumption by investigating the role of perceived price and quality on consumer choice for four different health conditions across public and private providers. We use a nationally representative survey in Malaysia to elicit respondents' perception on prices and quality, and their preferred choice of provider. We estimate a mixed logit model and show that consumers value different dimensions of quality depending on the health condition. Furthermore, increasing perceived prices for private providers reduces demand for minor, more frequent health conditions such as flu fever or cough, but increases demand for more complex, severe conditions such as coronary artery bypass graft. These findings provide empirical support for price regulation which differentiates the severity of underlying health conditions.

Predictors of severe COVID-19 among healthcare workers in Sabah, Malaysia.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare workers (HCWs) is the high-risk group for COVID-19 infection due to increased workplace exposure. However, evidence of the disease burden and factors associated with severe COVID-19 infection among HCWs is limited. Therefore, this article aims to describe the prevalence of severe COVID-19 disease among HCWs in Sabah, Malaysia, and to determine the factors associated with severe COVID-19 infection. METHOD: A retrospective cross-sectional study was carried out by assessing the data of COVID-19-infected HCWs in Sabah, Malaysia, from 1st March 2021 until 30th September 2021. Logistic regression analysis was used in this study. RESULTS: Three thousand and forty HCWs were diagnosed with COVID-19 from 1st March 2021 until 30th September 2021. Of the 3040 HCWs, 2948 (97.0%) HCWs were mild, whereas 92 (3.0%) were severe. The multivariate logistic regression model showed that severe COVID-19 among HCWs in Sabah was associated with those do not receive any COVID-19 vaccination (aOR 6.061, 95% CI 3.408 - 10.780), underlying co-morbidity (aOR 3.335, 95% CI 2.183 - 5.096), and female (aOR 1.833, 95% CI 1.090 - 3.081). CONCLUSION: HCWs should strictly adhere to preventive measures, including vaccination, personal protective equipment, and early referral to a physician upon identifying severe COVID-19 infection. Early screening and aggressive co-morbidity treatment among HCWs are essential for public health practitioners to prevent severe COVID-19 disease. Regardless of co-morbidity status, HCWs should stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination, including booster doses.

Minimally-invasive versus open pancreatoduodenectomies with vascular resection: A 1:1 propensity-matched comparison study.

Background: Minimally invasive pancreatic pancreatoduodenectomy (MIPD) is increasingly adopted worldwide and its potential advantages include reduced hospital stay and decrease pain. However, evidence supporting the role of MIPD for tumours requiring vascular reconstruction remains limited and requires further evaluation. This study aims to investigate the safety and efficacy of MIPD with vascular resection (MIPDV) by performing a 1:1 propensity-score matched (PSM) comparison with open pancreatoduodenectomy with vascular resection (OPDV) based on a single surgeon's experience. Methods: This is a retrospective review of 41 patients who underwent PDV between 2011 and 2020 by a single surgeon. After PSM, the comparison was made between 13 MIPDV and 13 OPDV. Results: Thirty-six patients underwent venous reconstruction (VR) only and 5 underwent arterial reconstruction of which 4 had concomitant VR. The types of VR included 22 wedge resections with primary repair, 8 segmental resections with primary anastomosis and 11 requiring interposition grafts. Post-operative pancreatic fistula (POPF) occurred in 3 (7.3%) patients. Major complications (>Grade 2) occurred in 16 (39%) patients, of which 7 were due to delayed gastric emptying requiring nasojejunal tube placement. There was 1 (2.4%) 30-day mortality (OPDV). Of the 13 MIPDV, there were 3 (23.1%) open conversions. PSM comparison demonstrated that MIPDV was associated with longer median operative time (720 min vs. 485 min (P = 0.018). There was no statistically significant difference in other key perioperative outcomes such as intra-operative blood loss, overall morbidity, major morbidity rate, POPF and length of stay. Conclusion: Our initial experience with the adoption MIPDV has demonstrated it to be safe with comparable outcomes to OPDV despite the longer operation time.

The Combined Use of Interleukin-6 with Serum Albumin for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Elderly Patients: The Interleukin-6-to-albumin Ratio.

Background: The association between interleukin-6 (IL-6) and serum albumin (ALB) with mortality in critically ill elderly patients, either as stand-alone biomarkers or in combination, has been scarcely reported. We, therefore, aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio in this special population. Patients and methods: This was a cross-sectional study conducted in the mixed intensive care unit (ICU) of two university-affiliated hospitals in Malaysia. Consecutive elderly patients (aged above or equal to 60 years) admitted to the ICU, who underwent simultaneous measurement of plasma IL-6 and serum ALB, were recruited. The prognostic value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio was assessed by analysis of the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: A total of 112 critically ill elderly patients were recruited. The outcome of all-cause ICU mortality was 22.3%. The calculated IL-6-to-albumin ratio was significantly higher in the non-survivors compared to the survivors {14.1 [interquartile range (IQR), 6.5-26.7] vs 2.5 [(IQR, 0.6-9.2) pg/mL, p <0.001]}. The area under the curve (AUC) of IL-6-to-albumin ratio for discrimination of ICU mortality was 0.766 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.667-0.865, p <0.001] which was slightly higher than that of IL-6 and albumin alone. The ideal cut-off value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio was above 5.7 with a sensitivity of 80.0% and specificity of 64.4%. After adjusting for severity of illness, the IL-6-to-albumin ratio remained as an independent predictor of ICU mortality with an adjusted odd ratio of 0.975 (95% CI, 0.952-0.999, p = 0.039). Conclusion: The IL-6-to-albumin ratio offers a slight improvement in mortality prediction than either of its constituent individual biomarkers and as such, it may be a potential tool to aid in the prognostication of critically ill elderly patients although this requires further validation in a larger prospective study. How to cite this article: Lim KY, Shukeri WFWM, Hassan WMNW, Mat-Nor MB, Hanafi MH. The Combined Use of Interleukin-6 with Serum Albumin for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Elderly Patients: The Interleukin-6-to-albumin Ratio. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(10):1126-1130.

Investigating the genetic and environmental aetiologies of non-suicidal and suicidal self-harm: a twin study.

BACKGROUND: Self-harm is a major health concern, not only as a signal of distress but also as a strong predictor of later suicide. Self-harm can be further refined into suicidal self-harm (SSH, i.e. suicide attempt) and non-suicidal self-harm (NSSH). Understanding the aetiologies of NSSH and SSH can help inform suicide prevention strategies. Using a twin design, we investigated the phenotypic and aetiological relationships between NSSH and SSH, and their aetiological overlap with mental health problems. METHODS: We analysed data from the Twins Early Development Study using structural equation modelling. At age 21 years, 9063 twins (62.4% female) answered questions related to self-harm. At age 16 years, 19 self- or parent-reported mental health measures were administered, including measures of internalising and externalising problems, psychotic-like experiences and substance abuse. RESULTS: Prevalences for NSSH and SSH were 21.9% and 10.5%, respectively. Additive genetic factors explained half of the variance in NSSH (55%) and SSH (50%), with the rest explained by non-shared environmental factors. Phenotypically, NSSH and SSH were strongly correlated (r = 0.87) with their correlation explained by genetic (57%) and non-shared environmental (43%) factors. We found no evidence that NSSH and SSH differed in their phenotypic and aetiological relationships with mental health measures. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest no aetiological difference between NSSH and SSH. NSSH and SSH should be regarded as two different ends of a continuum, rather than as two distinct categories.

Presenting symptoms of COVID-19 and clinical outcomes in hospitalised older adults.

BACKGROUND: In July 2020, a COVID-19 outbreak was recognised in the geriatric wards at a subacute campus of the Royal Melbourne Hospital affecting patients and staff. Patients were also admitted to this site after diagnosis in residential care. AIMS: To describe the early symptoms and the outcomes of COVID-19 in older adults. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at the facility in July or August 2020 were identified and their medical records were examined to identify symptoms present before and after their diagnosis and to determine their outcomes. RESULTS: Overall, 106 patients were identified as having COVID-19, with median age of 84.3 years (range 41-104 years); 64 were diagnosed as hospital inpatients after a median length of stay of 49 days, 31 were transferred from residential aged care facilities with a known diagnosis and 11 were diagnosed after discharge. There were 95 patients included in an analysis of symptom type and timing onset. Overall, 61 (64.2%) were asymptomatic at the time of diagnosis of COVID-19, having been diagnosed through screening initiated on site. Of these, 88.6% developed symptoms of COVID-19 within 14 days. The most common initial symptom type was respiratory, but there was wide variation in presentation, including fever, gastrointestinal and neurological symptoms, many initially not recognised as being due to COVID-19. Of 104 patients, 32 died within 30 days of diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 diagnosis is challenging due to the variance in symptoms. In the context of an outbreak, asymptomatic screening can identify affected patients early in the disease course.

Studying individual risk factors for self-harm in the UK Biobank: A polygenic scoring and Mendelian randomisation study.

BACKGROUND: Identifying causal risk factors for self-harm is essential to inform preventive interventions. Epidemiological studies have identified risk factors associated with self-harm, but these associations can be subject to confounding. By implementing genetically informed methods to better account for confounding, this study aimed to better identify plausible causal risk factors for self-harm. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using summary statistics from 24 genome-wide association studies (GWASs) comprising 16,067 to 322,154 individuals, polygenic scores (PSs) were generated to index 24 possible individual risk factors for self-harm (i.e., mental health vulnerabilities, substance use, cognitive traits, personality traits, and physical traits) among a subset of UK Biobank participants (N = 125,925, 56.2% female) who completed an online mental health questionnaire in the period from 13 July 2016 to 27 July 2017. In total, 5,520 (4.4%) of these participants reported having self-harmed in their lifetime. In binomial regression models, PSs indexing 6 risk factors (major depressive disorder [MDD], attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder [ADHD], bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, alcohol dependence disorder, and lifetime cannabis use) predicted self-harm, with effect sizes ranging from odds ratio (OR) = 1.05 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.07, q = 0.008) for lifetime cannabis use to OR = 1.20 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.23, q = 1.33 × 10-35) for MDD. No systematic differences emerged between suicidal and non-suicidal self-harm. To further probe causal relationships, two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) analyses were conducted, with MDD, ADHD, and schizophrenia emerging as the most plausible causal risk factors for self-harm. The genetic liabilities for MDD and schizophrenia were associated with self-harm independently of diagnosis and medication. Main limitations include the lack of representativeness of the UK Biobank sample, that self-harm was self-reported, and the limited power of some of the included GWASs, potentially leading to possible type II error. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to confirming the role of MDD, we demonstrate that ADHD and schizophrenia likely play a role in the aetiology of self-harm using multivariate genetic designs for causal inference. Among the many individual risk factors we simultaneously considered, our findings suggest that systematic detection and treatment of core psychiatric symptoms, including psychotic and impulsivity symptoms, may be beneficial among people at risk for self-harm.