Acute kidney injury in major gynaecological surgery: an observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prevalence, outcomes and cost associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) defined by consensus risk, injury, failure, loss, and end-stage kidney (RIFLE) criteria after gynaecologic surgery. DESIGN: Retrospective single-centre cohort study. SETTING: Academic medical centre. SAMPLE: Two thousand three hundred and forty-one adult women undergoing major inpatient gynaecologic surgery between January 2000 and November 2010. METHODS: AKI was defined by RIFLE criteria as an increase in serum creatinine greater than or equal to 50% from the reference creatinine. We used multivariable regression analyses to determine the association between perioperative factors, AKI, mortality and cost. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: AKI, combined major adverse events (hospital mortality, sepsis or mechanical ventilation), 90-day mortality and hospital cost. RESULTS: Overall prevalence of AKI was 13%. The prevalence of AKI was associated with the primary diagnosis. Of women with benign tumour surgeries, 5% (43/801) experienced AKI compared with 18% (211/1159) of women with malignant disease (P < 0.001). Only 1.3% of the whole cohort had evidence of urologic mechanical injury. In a multivariable logistic regression analysis, AKI patients had nine times the odds of a major adverse event compared to patients without AKI (adjusted odds ratio 8.95, 95% confidence interval 5.27-15.22). We have identified several readily available perioperative factors that can be used to identify patients at high risk for AKI after in-hospital gynaecologic surgery. CONCLUSIONS: AKI is a common complication after major inpatient gynaecologic surgery associated with an increase in resource utilisation and hospital cost, morbidity and mortality.

Cardiovascular death and progression to end-stage renal disease after major surgery in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: Reliable estimates for risk of cardiovascular-specific mortality and progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among elderly patients undergoing major surgery are not available. This study aimed to develop simple risk scores to predict these events. METHODS: In a single-centre cohort of elderly patients undergoing major surgery requiring hospital stay longer than 24 h, progression to ESRD and long-term cardiovascular-specific mortality were modelled using multivariable subdistribution hazard models, adjusting for co-morbidity, frailty and type of surgery. RESULTS: Before surgery, 2·9 and 11·9 per cent of 16 655 patients had ESRD and chronic kidney disease (CKD) respectively. During the hospital stay, 46·9 per cent of patients developed acute kidney injury (AKI). Patients with kidney disease had a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular-specific (CV) mortality compared with patients without kidney disease (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for CKD without AKI 1·60, 95 per cent c.i. 1·25 to 2·01; AKI without CKD 1·70, 1·52 to 1·87; AKI with CKD 2·80, 2·50 to 3·20; ESRD 5·21, 4·32 to 6·27), as well as increased progression to ESRD (AKI without CKD 5·40, 3·44 to 8·35; CKD without AKI 8·80, 4·60 to 17·00; AKI with CKD 31·60, 19·90 to 49·90). CV Death and ESRD Risk scores were developed to predict CV mortality and progression to ESRD. Calculated CV Death and ESRD Risk scores performed well with c-statistics: 0·77 (95 per cent c.i. 0·76 to 0·78) and 0·82 (0·78 to 0·86) respectively at 1 year. CONCLUSION: Kidney disease in elderly patients undergoing major surgery is associated with a high risk of CV mortality and progression to ESRD. Risk scores can augment the shared decision-making process of informed consent and identify patients requiring postoperative renal-protective strategies.

ANTECEDENTES: No se dispone de estimaciones fiables acerca del riesgo de mortalidad cardiovascular y de progresión a insuficiencia renal terminal (end-stage renal disease, ESRD) en pacientes longevos a los que se realiza cirugía mayor. Este estudio tiene como objetivo desarrollar un sistema de puntuación simple de riesgos para predecir estos eventos. MÉTODOS: En una cohorte de un solo centro de 16.655 pacientes longevos a los que se realizó cirugía mayor con hospitalización de más de 24 horas, se estimó la progresión a ESRD y la mortalidad cardiovascular a largo plazo utilizando modelos multivariables de subdistribucion de riesgos ajustados por comorbilidades, fragilidad y tipo de cirugía. RESULTADOS: Antes de la cirugía, presentaron ESRD y enfermedad renal crónica (chronic kidney Disease, CKD) un 2,9% y un 12,3% de los pacientes, respectivamente. Durante la hospitalización, el 46,9% de los pacientes desarrollaron insuficiencia renal aguda (acute kidney injury, AKI). Los pacientes con enfermedad renal tenían un riesgo significativamente mayor de mortalidad cardiovascular (CV) en comparación con los pacientes sin enfermedad renal para presentar AKI (cociente de riesgos instantáneos, hazard ratio, HR ajustado) 1,6 (i.c. del 95% 1,3-2,0), AKI sin CKD 1,7 (1,5-1,9), AKI en presencia de CKD 2,8 (2,5-3,2) y ESRD 5,2 (4,3-6,3), así como una mayor progresión a ESRD (AKI sin CKD 5,4 (3,4-8,4), CKD sin AKI 8,8 (4,6-17), y AKI en presencia de CKD 31,6 (19,9-49,9)). Se desarrollaron las escalas CV Death y ESRD Risk para predecir la mortalidad cardiovascular y la progresión a ESRD. Ambas escalas funcionaron bien a 1 año con un coeficiente de concordancia de 0,77 (i.c. del 95% 0,76-0,78) y 0,82 (0,78-0,86) respectivamente. CONCLUSIÓN: La enfermedad renal en pacientes longevos tras cirugía mayor se asocia con un elevado riesgo de mortalidad cardiovascular y de progresión a ESRD. Las escalas de riesgo pueden facilitar la toma de decisiones en el momento del consentimiento informado e identificar los pacientes que requieren estrategias de protección renal postoperatorias.