Findings from the 2017 HIV estimation round & trend analysis of key indicators 2010-2017: Evidence for prioritising HIV/AIDS programme in India.

Background & objectives: The National AIDS Control Organisation (NACO) and the ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, the nodal agency for conducting HIV estimations in India, have been generating HIV estimates regularly since 2003. The objective of this study was to describe India's biennial HIV estimation 2017 process, data inputs, tool, methodology and epidemiological assumptions used to generate the HIV estimates and trends of key indicators for 2010-2017 at national and State/Union Territory levels. Methods: Demographic Projection (DemProj) and AIDS Impact Modules (AIM) of Spectrum 5.63 software recommended by the United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS Global Reference Group on HIV Estimates, Modelling and Projections, were used for generating HIV estimations on key indicators. HIV sentinel surveillance, epidemiological and programme data were entered into Estimation Projection Package (EPP), and curve fitting was done using EPP classic model. Finally, calibration was done using the State HIV prevalence of two rounds of National Family Health Survey (NFHS) -3 and -4 and Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveillance (IBBS), 2014-2015. Results: The national adult prevalence of HIV was estimated to be 0.22 per cent in 2017. Mizoram, Manipur and Nagaland had the highest prevalence over one per cent. An estimated 2.1 million people were living with HIV in 2017, with Maharashtra estimated to have the highest number. Of the 88 thousand annual new HIV infections estimated nationally in 2017, Telangana accounted for the largest share. HIV incidence was found to be higher among key population groups, especially people who inject drugs. The annual AIDS-related deaths were estimated to be 69 thousand nationally. For all indicators, geographic variation in levels and trends between States existed. Interpretation & conclusions: With a slow decline in annual new HIV infections by only 27 per cent from 2010 to 2017 against the national target of 75 per cent by 2020, the national target to end AIDS by 2030 may be missed; although at the sub-national level some States have made better progress to reduce new HIV infection. It calls for reinforcement of HIV prevention, diagnosis and treatment efforts by geographical regions and population groups.

Sporadic pemphigus foliaceus and class II human leucocyte antigen allele associations in the white British and Indo-Asian populations in the UK.

BACKGROUND: Pemphigus foliaceus (PF) has both genetic and environmental susceptibility factors. Current data on human leucocyte antigen (HLA) in patients with sporadic PF are limited. AIM: To better define the distribution of HLA alleles in patients with PF in the UK. METHODS: We recruited 36 patients [26 of white British (WB) descent, 10 of Indo-Asian (IA) descent] with PF who were living in the UK and 159 ethnically matched normal controls, and analysed their class II HLA DRB1 and DQB1 allele distribution. RESULTS: There was an increased frequency of DRB1*1404 in association with DQB1*0503 in IA patients with PF. The DRB1*04 allele group as a whole had an increased frequency (P < 0.001) in the WB patient group compared with controls. The alleles contributing to this significance were DRB1*0401 (P = 0.03) and DRB1*0404 (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: This is the largest HLA association study in sporadic PF from the UK to date. There appears to be a difference in PF susceptibility alleles between WB and IA patients, highlighting the importance of racial variation in genetic susceptibility to disease development.

Mortality following surgery for trauma in an Indian trauma cohort.

BACKGROUND: India accounts for 20 per cent of worldwide trauma mortality. Little is known about the quality of trauma surgery in an Indian setting. The aim of this study was to estimate the overall perioperative mortality rate, and to assess the association between type of acute surgical intervention and perioperative mortality among adult patients treated for trauma in an urban Indian setting. METHODS: Data were obtained from injured adult patients enrolled in four urban Indian hospitals during 2013-2015. Those who had surgery within 24 h of arrival at hospital were included in the analysis. Patients with missing data were excluded. The perioperative mortality rate was measured at 48 h and 30 days after arrival at hospital. Generalized linear mixed models were used for risk adjustment of procedure-specific mortality. RESULTS: Among 2986 patients who underwent trauma surgery, the overall 48-h mortality rate was 6·0 per cent, and the 30-day mortality rate was 23·1 per cent. The highest adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for 48-h mortality were found for patients who underwent surgery on the peripheral vasculature (OR 4·71, 95 per cent c.i. 1·18 to 16·59; P = 0·030) and the digestive system and spleen (OR 3·77, 1·33 to 9·01; P = 0·010) compared with those who had nervous system surgery. CONCLUSION: In this study of surgery in an Indian trauma cohort, there was an excess of late perioperative deaths. Mortality differed significantly according to the type of surgery being undertaken.

Hydrogen Sulfide Protects Renal Grafts Against Prolonged Cold Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury via Specific Mitochondrial Actions.

Ischemia-reperfusion injury is unavoidably caused by loss and subsequent restoration of blood flow during organ procurement, and prolonged ischemia-reperfusion injury IRI results in increased rates of delayed graft function and early graft loss. The endogenously produced gasotransmitter, hydrogen sulfide (H2 S), is a novel molecule that mitigates hypoxic tissue injury. The current study investigates the protective mitochondrial effects of H2 S during in vivo cold storage and subsequent renal transplantation (RTx) and in vitro cold hypoxic renal injury. Donor allografts from Brown Norway rats treated with University of Wisconsin (UW) solution + H2 S (150 µM NaSH) during prolonged (24-h) cold (4°C) storage exhibited significantly (p < 0.05) decreased acute necrotic/apoptotic injury and significantly (p < 0.05) improved function and recipient Lewis rat survival compared to UW solution alone. Treatment of rat kidney epithelial cells (NRK-52E) with the mitochondrial-targeted H2 S donor, AP39, during in vitro cold hypoxic injury improved the protective capacity of H2 S >1000-fold compared to similar levels of the nonspecific H2 S donor, GYY4137 and also improved syngraft function and survival following prolonged cold storage compared to UW solution. H2 S treatment mitigates cold IRI-associated renal injury via mitochondrial actions and could represent a novel therapeutic strategy to minimize the detrimental clinical outcomes of prolonged cold IRI during RTx.

Imprint cytology-based breast malignancy screening: an efficient nuclei segmentation technique.

Imprint cytology (IC) refers to one of the most reliable, rapid and affordable techniques for breast malignancy screening; where shape variation of H&E stained nucleus is examined by the pathologists. This work aims at developing an automated and efficient segmentation algorithm by integrating Lagrange's interpolation and superpixels in order to delineate overlapped nuclei of breast cells (normal and malignant). Subsequently, a computer assisted IC tool has been designed for breast cancer (BC) screening. The proposed methodology consists of mainly three subsections: gamma correction for preprocessing, single nuclei segmentation and segmentation of overlapping nuclei. Single nuclei segmentation combines histogram-based thresholding and morphological operations; where segmentation of overlapping nuclei includes concave point detection, Lagrange's interpolation for overlapping arc area detection and the fine segmentation of overlapped arc area by superpixels. Total 16 significant features (p < 0.05) quantifying shape and texture of nucleus were extracted, and random forest (RF) classifier was skilled for automated screening. The proposed methodology has been tested on 120 IC images (approximately 12 000 nuclei); where 98% segmentation accuracy and 99% classification accuracy were achieved. Besides, performance evaluation was studied by using Jaccard's index (= 94%), correlation coefficient (= 95%), Dice similarity coefficient (= 97%) and Hausdorff distance (= 43%). The proposed approach could offer benefit to the pathologists for confirmatory BC screening with improved accuracy and could potentially lead to a better shape understanding of malignant nuclei.

Prevalence of female genital tuberculosis, its risk factors and associated clinical features among the women of Andaman Islands, India: a community-based study.

OBJECTIVE: There is scarcity of information on the prevalence of female genital tuberculosis (FGTB) in the community. The present study was carried out to estimate the prevalence of FGTB, its risk factors and associated clinical features. STUDY DESIGN: Community-based cross-sectional survey. METHODS: This study was carried during October 2011 and May 2014 in the Andaman Islands. A total of 13,300 women aged 20-59 years were primarily screened using a structured questionnaire. About 721 (5.4%) were found initially eligible for screening for genital tuberculosis by clinical examination and specimen collection for laboratory tests but only 460 (63.8%) expressed their willingness. Endometrial specimens were collected from 405 (88%) subjects. The association of the potential risk factors with genital tuberculosis was tested by Chi-squared test. A similar analysis was performed to identify clinical features associated with genital tuberculosis. RESULTS: The estimated prevalence of FGTB was 45.1 cases per 100,000 women (95% confidence interval [CI]: 16.6-98.1). Infertility and oligomenorrhoea were identified as clinical features associated with FGTB. Past history of tuberculosis and history of close contact with tuberculosis cases were identified as risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows the prevalence of FGTB among the female population of the Andaman Islands. Though the estimated prevalence was close to the expected prevalence, but as only 63.8% of the eligible women could be adequately screened, a much higher prevalence of FGTB could not be ruled out. Infertility, oligomenorrhoea, past history of tuberculosis and contact with tuberculosis case were identified as factors associated with genital tuberculosis.

Arthroscopic Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction with Triplet Autograft of Semitendinosus Tendon.

Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) is the most commonly injured ligament occurs in young adult population, which markedly reduces activity level. Anterior cruciate ligament rupture is a threat to the homeostasis of the knee. So, reconstruction of the ACL is necessary to make them fit and return to their pre-injury activity level. The choice of graft for ACL reconstruction is a matter of debate, with the BPTB graft and quadruple graft of ST-G being the two most popular options. Use of triplet graft of semi-tendinosus tendon alone without sacrificing gracilis is another option. So hypothesis was Arthroscopic ACL reconstruction with triplet autograft of semi-tendinosus tendon alone is an effective procedure. This prospective interventional study was conducted from October 2011 to March 2013 at Dhaka Medical College Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Fourteen patients who had a unilateral anterior cruciate ligament rupture underwent arthroscopic reconstruction with triplet graft of semi-tendinosus tendon. Accelerated ACL reconstruction rehabilitation protocol was followed and final outcome evaluation done at 24 weeks according to IKDC knee examination form and Lysholm knee scoring scale. Preoperative Lysholm knee score was 52.64 and postoperative score was 90, that shows significant improvement (p<0.05). According to Lysholm knee scoring scale, excellent results (95-100 points) were obtained in 33% patients, good results (85-94 points) in 53% patients, fair and poor (7% each). For arthroscopic ACL reconstruction, choice of semi-tendinosus tendon alone preserving gracilis, comparable outcome as with BPTB/ST-G graft, can be achieved, minimizing the hamstring strength deficit. Moreover gracilis being reserved for future use in revision ACL reconstruction and/or in other reconstructive surgery.

Sonographically Detected Non Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Apparently Healthy Adults and Associated Factors.

This hospital-based study was done to see the prevalence of sonologically detected non alcoholic fatty liver disease and associated factors in the apparently healthy adults. Apparently healthy and non alcoholic companions of the patients visiting the Centre of Nuclear Medicine and Ultrasound, Sylhet were subjected to abdominal ultrasonography to see the presence of fatty liver. Demographic features and other relevant data were collected in a semi structured questionnaire to find out the associated factors for non alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Total 1019 persons with mean age of 37.23 years were included in the study. Among them 703 (69%) were female and 316 (31%) were male. Out of them 189 (18.5%) persons had sonologically detectable nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. NAFLD was more prevalent in male than female (25.6% vs. 15.4%, p=0.000). In univariate analysis NAFLD were more in male (25.6%) 41-50 years age group (29.3%, p=0.000), over weight (32.3%)/obese subjects (51.4%), businessmen (24.0%), service holders (28.7%), high income group, diabetics (27.0% vs. 18.0%, p=0.000) and hypertensive subjects (43.3% vs. 15.24%, p=0.000). In multivariate analysis, BMI over 23kg/m² (OR 6.683, p=0.000), age >30 years (OR 1.787, p=0.006) and higher income (OR 1.788, 95% CI 0.970-3.293) were independent factors associated with NAFLD. Sonologically detected nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (18.5%) is common in our apparently healthy adults. BMI over 23kg/m² was the most important predictor for NAFLD.

Outcome of Pregnancy Related Acute Kidney Injury Observed in a Tertiary Care Hospital.

This prospective case control study was carried out in Mymensingh Medical College Hospital (MMCH) from April 2011 to March 2012. The main objective of the study was to determine the short term maternal outcome of pregnancy related Acute Kidney Injury and to identify aetiological factors and to observe clinical features of pregnancy related Acute Kidney Injury. Total 60 pregnant women with AKI were included in the study as sample and equal (60) number of pregnant women with normal renal function was taken as control. Mean ages (±SD) of study and control group were observed 31.6±6.9 years and 25.5±4.7 years respectively. It was observed that most patients were from rural area with low income group. Most women were multiparous and presented in third trimester and postpartum period. Majority of the study subjects did not receive antenatal care at any stage of pregnancy. Fifty (86.7%) of the study subjects were oligo-anuric, forty-nine (81.7%) were edematous and fifty one (85%) were anaemic. Twenty-five (41.7%) patients presented with abnormal vaginal bleeding. Sepsis (including septic abortion and puerperal sepsis) was responsible for of Pregnancy Related AKI (PR-AKI) in more than two fifths of cases. Haemorrhage (APH & PPH combined) was the next common cause of Pregnancy Related AKI (PR-AKI). Toxemia of Pregnancy was responsible in one fourth of cases. Dialysis (HD & IPD combined) was required for two fifths of the patients. Rest patients were treated conservatively with antibiotics, blood transfusion, maintenance of fluid and electrolytes balance etc. Maternal outcome of Pregnancy related acute kidney injury was considered for the period of patient's hospital staying. 56.6% patients recovered completely, 15.0% patients recovered partially, 6.7% did not recover at the time of hospital discharge; while 21.7% died. So it can be concluded that, pregnancy related acute kidney injury is a critical condition, associated with worse prognosis.

Mothers with gestational diabetes are more likely to give birth to children who experience early weight problems.

AIM: We tracked the body mass index (BMI) of children born to mothers with or without gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) or type 1 diabetes from birth to 12 years of age and examined the trends in both diseases. METHODS: Antenatal and postnatal health survey data were collected from 6909 Finnish children born at six time points between 1974 and 2004. We compared the BMI trajectory between the offspring of mothers with and without GDM or type 1 diabetes, and the association between GDM and overweight offspring was analysed. RESULTS: The prevalence of GDM and type 1 diabetes increased markedly over the study period. The BMI trajectory in the GDM or type 1 diabetes offspring differed significantly from the nondiabetic offspring. The timing of adiposity rebound occurred significantly earlier in the GDM (4.8 years) and type 1 diabetes (4.4 years) groups than the nondiabetic group (5.5 years). GDM offspring were more likely to be overweight at five, seven and 12 years of age (24.6%, 28.1%, 29.4%) than nondiabetic offspring (15.6%, 18.3%, 18.1%). CONCLUSION: Children born to mothers with GDM were significantly more likely to be overweight at an early age than those born to nondiabetic mothers.

The Role of Selective Nerve Root Block in the Treatment of Lumbar Radicular Leg Pain.

The objective of this retrospective study was to investigate the clinical effectiveness of nerve root blocks (i.e., periradicular injection of Lidocaine and triamcinolone) for lumbar monoradiculopathy in patients with a mild neurological deficit in National Institute of Traumatology & Orthopaedic Rehabilitation (NITOR), Dhaka, Bangladesh from March 2014 to December 2014. We Included 24 patients (32-74 years) with a minor sensory/motor deficit and an unequivocal MRI finding (18 disc herniations, 6 foraminal stenosis) treated with a selective nerve root block. Based on the clinical and imaging findings, surgery (decompression of the nerve root) was justifiable in all cases. Seventeen patients (87%) had rapid (1-4 days) and substantial regression of pain, four required a repeat injection. Sixty percent (60%) of the patients with disc herniation or foraminal stenosis had permanent resolution of pain, so that an operation was avoided over an average of 6 months (2-9 months) follow-up. Nerve root blocks are very effective in the non-operative treatment of minor monoradiculopathy and should be recommended as the initial treatment of choice for this condition.

Prevalence and Symptom Correlation of Lactose Intolerance in the North East Part of Bangladesh.

This study was designed to see the prevalence of lactose intolerance and symptom correlation following oral lactose challenge in healthy volunteers in the north east part of Bangladesh. Symptoms of abdominal pain, nausea, borborygmi, flatulence, diarrhea and others were noted for 24 hours and blood glucose was estimated at 0 hour and 30 minutes after 50 gm oral lactose load to healthy volunteers. Failure to rise blood glucose level ≥1.1 mmol/l at 30 minutes after lactose intake from fasting level was taken as lactose malabsorption (LM) i.e., lactose intolerance. Sensitivity and specificity of different symptoms were then found out. A total of 171 volunteers (male 123, female 48) with a mean age 34.08 years participated in this study. Lactose intolerance was found among 82.5% (n=141, M=100, F=41) subjects. Symptoms mostly experience by the lactose malabsorbers were diarrhea 93(66.0%), borborygmi 80(56.7%), abdominal pain 31(22.0%) and flatulence 32(22.7%). LM prevalence was found to increase with increasing number of symptoms up to 3 symptoms. A week positive correlation (r=0.205, P=0.007) was found between the number of symptoms and proportion of subjects having positive lactose tolerance test. Lactose intolerance among healthy adults of North East part of our country is as common as in other Asian countries including China and Malaysia. But LM is higher than that of Europeans and south Indians. Diarrhea and borborygmi were mostly associated with LM.

Serum lipoprotein ratios as markers of insulin resistance: a study among non-diabetic acute coronary syndrome patients with impaired fasting glucose.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Recent data suggest that insulin resistance can predict cardiovascular disease independently of the other risk factors, such as hypertension, visceral obesity or dyslipidaemia. However, the majority of available methods to evaluate insulin resistance are complicated to operate, expensive, and time consuming. This study was undertaken to assess whether serum lipoprotein ratios could predict insulin resistance in non-diabetic acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. METHODS: Ninety non-diabetic patients with impaired fasting glucose admitted with a diagnosis of ACS were included in the study. At the time of admission fasting glucose and insulin concentrations were measured. The homeostatic model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) was used for insulin resistance. The fasting serum total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG) and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels were checked, and then TC/HDL-C and TG/HDL-C ratios were calculated. The areas under the curves (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the power of these serum lipoprotein ratios as markers. RESULTS: Lipoprotein ratios were significantly higher in patients with HOMA-IR index > 2.5 as compared to patients with index <2.5 (P < 0.05). Both TG/HDL-C and TC/HDL-C ratios were significantly correlated with HOMA-IR (P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the TG/HDL-C and TC/HDL-C ratio for predicting insulin resistance was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.93), 0.78 (95% CI, 0.65 to 0.91), respectively. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study demonstrate that serum lipoprotein ratios can provide a simple means of identifying insulin resistance and can be used as markers of insulin resistance and cardiovascular diseases risk in adult non-diabetic patients.

Functional constipation - prevalence and life style factors in a district of bangladesh.

Constipation is a common problem throughout the world and is particularly prevalent in women, children and older adults producing considerable health care expenditure. Data on functional constipation is limited especially in Asian countries. This cross-sectional survey assessed prevalence and association of functional constipation or chronic constipation (FC) with a number of socio-demographic and lifestyle factors. Data were collected from 3000 apparently healthy subjects by personal interview in a home setting with a questionnaire based on Rome III criteria for FC. Persons were selected by cluster sampling method from the population of Sylhet district. Among the 3000 subjects 148 subjects fulfilled the criteria for FC (Male=67, Female=81) giving a prevalence of 4.9%. Functional constipation was more prevalent in elderly (50-60 years, 10.1%, p=0.000), married persons (and widow/widowers, separated) (5.6-9.1%, p=0.000), city dwellers (6.2%), farmers (10.5%, p=0.000), house wives 6.1%, subjects taking vegetable (7.35%) and spices (6.0%) less frequently. The highest prevalent symptoms were feeling of incomplete evacuation (96.6%) and sensation of ano-rectal blockage (93.9%). No significant difference was found in the symptom pattern of FC among men and women. Older age (OR 2.755), female sex (OR 1.249), low intake of vegetable (OR 2.350) and spice (OR 2.050) appeared as important associated factor for FC. BMI and smoking had no significant association with FC. Functional constipation is a less prevalent disorder than IBS in our community. Female gender, old age and low intake of vegetable and spice were important associated factors for FC.

Chronic Gastritis and its Association with H. Pylori Infection.

This cross sectional study was designed to see association of chronic gastritis including its type with H. pylori infection. Consecutive patients undergoing endoscopic examination having histopathological evidence of chronic gastritis were enrolled in the study and was done in Sylhet MAG Osmani Medical College from July 2011 to June 2012. Biopsies were taken from antrum, body and fundus in all patients. Histopathological examinations were done using H-E stain and for detection of H. pylori, rapid urease test, anti-H.pylori antibody test and histopathological test with modified Giemsa stain were done. Patients having results positive in at least two methods were considered infected by H. pylori. Total 80 dyspeptic patients having chronic gastritis were evaluated. Out of them 67(83.8%) had H. pylori infection and 13(16.2%) were H. pylori negative. Among all patients 57(71.2%) had pangastritis and 23(28.8%) had antral gastritis with female and male predominance respectively. H. pylori infection was present in 49(86.0%) cases of pangastritis and 18(78.3%) cases of antral gastritis. H. pylori infection was a little higher among males (34, 50.7%) females (33, 49.3%). H. pylori infection is the predominant cause of chronic gastritis and pangastritis is the major type.

Small molecule MIRA-1 induces in vitro and in vivo anti-myeloma activity and synergizes with current anti-myeloma agents.

BACKGROUND: Small molecule MIRA-1 induced mutant p53-dependent apoptosis in several types of solid tumours. However, anti-tumour activity of MIRA-1 in haematological malignancies including multiple myeloma (MM) is unknown. In this study, we evaluated the effect of MIRA-1 in MM. METHODS: We examined the anti-tumour activity of MIRA-1 alone or in combination with current anti-myeloma agents in a panel of MM cell lines, primary MM samples, and in a mouse xenograft model of MM. RESULTS: MIRA-1 treatment resulted in the inhibition of viability, colony formation, and migration and increase in apoptosis of MM cells irrespective of p53 status accompanied by upregulation of Puma and Bax and downregulation of Mcl-1 and c-Myc. Genetic knockdown of p53 did not abrogate apoptotic response of MIRA-1. MIRA-1 triggered activation of PERK and IRE-α leading to splicing of XBP1 indicating an association of endoplasmic reticulum stress response. Furthermore, combined treatment of MIRA-1 with dexamethasone, doxorubicin or velcade displayed synergistic response in MM cells. Importantly, MIRA-1 alone or in combination with dexamethasone retarded tumour growth and prolonged survival without showing any untoward toxicity in the mice bearing MM tumour. CONCLUSIONS: Our data provide the preclinical framework for clinical evaluation of MIRA-1 as a novel therapeutic agent to improve patient outcome in MM.

Prognostic factors in pemphigus vulgaris and pemphigus foliaceus.

BACKGROUND: Pemphigus typically has a chronic course, although there is great variability in disease duration (DD) and time taken to disease remission (DR) between individuals with the disease. The reasons for this are unclear. OBJECTIVES: To explore the prognostic influence of epidemiological, clinical, immunological and genetic factors on disease course and remission in pemphigus vulgaris (PV) and pemphigus foliaceus (PF). METHODS: This was a retrospective study of patients with PV and PF, recruited from a single UK centre. Direct and indirect immunofluorescence and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay studies for antidesmoglein (Dsg) antibodies were used to assess immunological factors. Polymerase chain reaction with sequence specific primers (PCR-SSP) was used to assess the Class II human leukocyte antigen status of patients. Prognostic endpoints investigated were time to initial first DR and total DD. RESULTS: Ninety-five patients were recruited (79 PV and 16 PF). Patients of Indo-Asian origin were significantly associated with longer DD than White-British patients (P = 0.029). In addition, younger age at onset was associated with a worse prognosis in terms of DD: the mean age at presentation of patients with DD of < 5 years was 49 years (SEM = 3.4) compared with 40 years (SEM = 1.9) in those with DD > 5 years (P = 0.039). A higher initial intercellular antibody titre on normal human skin substrate was associated with a greater time to initial DR (P = 0.007) and high anti-Dsg 3 levels at baseline were associated with a longer total DD (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Ethnic group, age at presentation, initial intercellular antibody titre and initial Dsg 3 antibody levels all had a significant impact on prognosis of pemphigus.