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1.
Anaesthesia ; 73(2): 195-204, 2018 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29150856

ABSTRACT

Our aim was to prospectively determine the predictive capabilities of SEPSIS-1 and SEPSIS-3 definitions in the emergency departments and general wards. Patients with National Early Warning Score (NEWS) of 3 or above and suspected or proven infection were enrolled over a 24-h period in 13 Welsh hospitals. The primary outcome measure was mortality within 30 days. Out of the 5422 patients screened, 431 fulfilled inclusion criteria and 380 (88%) were recruited. Using the SEPSIS-1 definition, 212 patients had sepsis. When using the SEPSIS-3 definitions with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2, there were 272 septic patients, whereas with quickSOFA score ≥ 2, 50 patients were identified. For the prediction of primary outcome, SEPSIS-1 criteria had a sensitivity (95%CI) of 65% (54-75%) and specificity of 47% (41-53%); SEPSIS-3 criteria had a sensitivity of 86% (76-92%) and specificity of 32% (27-38%). SEPSIS-3 and SEPSIS-1 definitions were associated with a hazard ratio (95%CI) 2.7 (1.5-5.6) and 1.6 (1.3-2.5), respectively. Scoring system discrimination evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves was highest for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (0.69 (95%CI 0.63-0.76)), followed by NEWS (0.58 (0.51-0.66)) (p < 0.001). Systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria (0.55 (0.49-0.61)) and quickSOFA score (0.56 (0.49-0.64)) could not predict outcome. The SEPSIS-3 definition identified patients with the highest risk. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and NEWS were better predictors of poor outcome. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score appeared to be the best tool for identifying patients with high risk of death and sepsis-induced organ dysfunction.


Subject(s)
Organ Dysfunction Scores , Sepsis , Terminology as Topic , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cross Infection/mortality , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Organ Failure/etiology , Multiple Organ Failure/mortality , Predictive Value of Tests , Prevalence , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , Sepsis/mortality , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
2.
Osteoarthritis Cartilage ; 25(2): 249-258, 2017 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27666512

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate and project the productivity costs of work loss (PCWL) associated with osteoarthritis (OA) in Canada using the Population Health Model (POHEM). DESIGN: We integrated an employment module based on 2006 Canadian Census into the previously developed microsimulation model of OA. The Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) Cycle 2.1 with an OA sample aged 25-64 (n = 7067) was used to calibrate the results of the employment module and to estimate the fraction of non-employment associated with OA. Probabilities of non-employment together with attributable fractions were then implemented in POHEM to estimate PCWL associated with OA from 2010 to 2031. RESULTS: Among the OA population, 44.4% and 59.4% of non-employment due to illness was associated with OA for those not working full-year and part-year, respectively. According to POHEM projections, the size of the working age population with OA increased from 1.5 million in 2010 to 1.7 million in 2031. The PCWL associated with OA increased from $12 billion to $17.5 billion in constant 2008 Canadian dollars. Around 38% of this increase was due to the increase in OA prevalence and changes in demographics, while the rest was due to increase in real wage growth. Male and female OA patients between 55 and 64 years of age had the highest total projected PCWL, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The total PCWL associated with OA in Canada is estimated to be substantial and increasing in future years. Results of this study could be used to inform policies aiming to increase employment sustainability among individuals with OA.


Subject(s)
Cost of Illness , Osteoarthritis/epidemiology , Unemployment/trends , Adult , Canada/epidemiology , Disabled Persons/statistics & numerical data , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Osteoarthritis/economics , Prevalence , Sick Leave/economics , Sick Leave/statistics & numerical data , Sick Leave/trends , Unemployment/statistics & numerical data
3.
Osteoarthritis Cartilage ; 23(10): 1654-63, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26050868

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the future direct cost of OA in Canada using a population-based health microsimulation model of osteoarthritis (POHEM-OA). METHODS: We used administrative health data from the province of British Columbia (BC), Canada, a survey of a random sample of BC residents diagnosed with OA (Ministry of Health of BC data), Canadian Institute of Health Information (CIHI) cost data and literature estimates to populate a microsimulation model. Cost components associated with pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments, total joint replacement (TJR) surgery, as well as use of hospital resources and management of complications arising from the treatment of osteoarthritis (OA) were included. Future costs were then simulated using the POHEM-OA model to construct profiles for each adult Canadian. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2031, as the prevalence of OA is projected to increase from 13.8% to 18.6%, the total direct cost of OA is projected to increase from $2.9 billion to $7.6 billion, an almost 2.6-fold increase (in 2010 $CAD). From the highest to the lowest, the cost components that will constitute the total direct cost of OA in 2031 are hospitalization cost ($2.9 billion), outpatient services ($1.2 billion), alternative care and out-of-pocket cost categories ($1.2 billion), drugs ($1 billion), rehabilitation ($0.7 billion) and side-effect of drugs ($0.6 billion). CONCLUSIONS: Projecting the future trends in the cost of OA enables policy makers to anticipate the significant shifts in its distribution of burden in the future.


Subject(s)
Ambulatory Care/economics , Analgesics/economics , Arthroplasty, Replacement/economics , Health Care Costs , Hospitalization/economics , Osteoarthritis/economics , Physical Therapy Modalities/economics , British Columbia , Canada , Computer Simulation , Databases, Factual , Drug Costs , Humans , Osteoarthritis/therapy
4.
Pediatr Surg Int ; 30(3): 301-4, 2014 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24072203

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Venous occlusion following permanent central venous catheter (CVC) insertion by open cutdown or the landmark percutaneous technique has been reported between up to 25 %. However, there are no published data on the equivalent rate following ultrasound-guided percutaneous CVC insertion. The purpose of this study was to document the rate of venous occlusion associated with ultrasound-guided percutaneous CVC insertion in children. METHOD: From 1 April 2010 to 1 December 2011, all children having elective or emergency removal of a Hickman line by the vascular access team had a Doppler ultrasound of their neck veins. Only Hickman lines inserted by the ultrasound-guided percutaneous route were included. Internal jugular, innominate and subclavian veins were scanned and recorded as patent, reduced or absent. RESULTS: We identified 100 consecutive children. Median age was 6 years (range 21 days to 16 years). Indication for insertion was chemotherapy (60), parenteral nutrition (15), blood products (12), renal replacement (3) and other indications (10). Three children had absent flow at the time of line removal (median age 4 months, range 3-6 months), with 2 out of 3 requiring removal for infection. The venous occlusion rate following ultrasound-guided insertion of CVC is 3 % in our study. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that (1) complete venous occlusion is associated with younger age and CVC infection. (2) In our study, the venous occlusion rate of 3 % is significantly lower than the published series of either open cutdown or the landmark technique.


Subject(s)
Brachiocephalic Veins/physiopathology , Catheterization, Central Venous/adverse effects , Jugular Veins/physiopathology , Vascular Patency , Vena Cava, Superior/physiopathology , Venous Thrombosis/etiology , Adolescent , Brachiocephalic Veins/diagnostic imaging , Catheters, Indwelling/adverse effects , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Jugular Veins/diagnostic imaging , Male , Prospective Studies , Ultrasonography, Interventional/methods , United Kingdom , Vena Cava, Superior/diagnostic imaging , Venous Thrombosis/diagnostic imaging
5.
Anaesth Rep ; 12(1): e12293, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38720816

ABSTRACT

We conducted a prospective observational service evaluation across the United Kingdom on the use of total intravenous anaesthesia (TIVA) for obstetric surgery between November 2022 and June 2023. The primary aim was to describe the incidence of TIVA for obstetric surgery within participating units, with secondary aims to describe maternal and neonatal postoperative recovery indicators. Of 184 maternity units in the United Kingdom, 30 (16%) contributed data to the service evaluation. There were 104 patients who underwent caesarean delivery under TIVA and 19 patients had TIVA for other reasons. Infusions of propofol and remifentanil were used in 100% and 84% of cases, respectively. Fifty-nine out of 103 live neonates (57%) required some form of respiratory support. Of the neonates with recorded data, 73% and 17% had Apgar scores < 7 at 1 and 5 min respectively. No neonates were recorded to have Apgar scores < 7 at 10 min. Further prospective research is required to investigate the impact of obstetric TIVA on maternal and neonatal outcomes and inform best practice recommendations.

6.
Cancer Causes Control ; 24(3): 495-504, 2013 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23296455

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The objective of this study was to ascertain whether a relationship exists between pre-diagnostic serum levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and risk of breast cancer in young women. METHODS: About 600 incident cases of breast cancer were matched to 600 controls as part of a nested case-control study that utilized pre-diagnostic sera. Logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between serum 25(OH)D concentration and breast cancer risk, controlling for race and age. RESULTS: According to the conditional logistic regression for all subjects, odds ratios for breast cancer by quintile of serum 25(OH)D from lowest to highest were 1.2, 1.0, 0.9, 1.1, and 1.0 (reference) (p trend = 0.72). After multivariate regression for subjects whose blood had been collected within 90 days preceding diagnosis, odds ratios for breast cancer by quintile of serum 25(OH)D from lowest to highest were 3.3, 1.9, 1.7, 2.6, and 1.0 (reference) (p trend = 0.09). CONCLUSIONS: An inverse association between serum 25(OH)D concentration and risk of breast cancer was not present in the principal analysis, although an inverse association was present in a small subgroup analysis of subjects whose blood had been collected within 90 days preceding diagnosis. Further prospective studies of 25(OH)D and breast cancer risk are needed.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/blood , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Adult , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Logistic Models , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology , Vitamin D/blood , Young Adult
7.
Am Heart J Plus ; 132022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36262746

ABSTRACT

Study Objective: Cold Pressor Testing (CPT) is a known stimulus of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS). To better understand sympathetic contribution to coronary blood flow regulation in women with suspected ischemia and no obstructive coronary arteries (INOCA), we compared myocardial perfusion reserve during CPT stress cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging between women with suspected INOCA and reference subjects. Design: Prospective cohort. Setting: Academic hospital. Participants: 107 women with suspected INOCA and 21-age-matched reference women. Interventions: CPT stress CMR was performed with measurement of myocardial perfusion reserve index (MPRI), adjusted for rate pressure product (MPRIRPP). Invasive coronary function testing in a subset of INOCA women (n=42) evaluated for endothelial dysfunction in response to acetylcholine, including impaired coronary diameter response ≤0% and coronary blood flow response (ΔCBF) <50%. Main Outcome Measure: MPRIRPP. Results: Compared to reference women, the INOCA group demonstrated higher resting RPP (p=0.005) and CPT MPRIRPP (1.09±0.36 vs 0.83±0.18, p=0.002). Furthermore, INOCA women with impaired ΔCBF (n=23) had higher CPT MPRIRPP (p=0.044) compared to reference women despite lower left ventricular ejection fraction (64±7 % vs 69±2 %, p=0.005) and mass-to-volume ratio (0.79±0.15 vs 0.62±0.09, p<0.0001). These differences in CPT MPRIRPP did not persist after adjusting for age, body mass index, and history of hypertension. CPT MPRIRPP among INOCA women did not differ based on defined acetylcholine responses. Conclusions: Myocardial perfusion reserve to CPT stress is greater among women with INOCA compared to reference subjects. CPT induced a higher MPRIRPP also in women with coronary endothelial dysfunction, suggesting a greater contribution of the SNS to coronary flow than endothelial dysfunction. Further investigation in a larger cohort is needed.

8.
Neuroepidemiology ; 35(4): 281-90, 2010.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20948235

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to determine whether an inverse association exists between latitude, solar ultraviolet B (UVB) irradiance, modeled 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels and incidence rates of cancer of the brain. METHODS: Associations of latitude and UVB irradiance with age-standardized incidence rates of cancer of the brain were analyzed for 175 countries while controlling for proportion of population overweight, energy from animal sources, fish consumption, cigarette and alcohol consumption and per capita health expenditures, using multiple regression. Serum 25(OH)D levels were modeled for each country, and their association with brain cancer also was determined. RESULTS: The incidence rates of brain cancer were higher at higher latitudes (R(2) for males = 0.45, p ≤ 0.0001; R(2) for females = 0.35, p < 0.0001). After adjustment for potential confounders, UVB irradiance (p ≤ 0.0001) and modeled serum 25(OH)D were inversely associated with incidence rates. CONCLUSIONS: Countries with low solar UVB irradiance and estimated mean serum 25(OH)D levels generally had higher age-standardized incidence rates of brain cancer. Since this was an ecological study, further research would be worthwhile on the association of prediagnostic serum 25(OH)D with incidence rate in studies of cohorts of individuals.


Subject(s)
Brain Neoplasms/epidemiology , Brain Neoplasms/etiology , Ecological and Environmental Phenomena , Geography , Internationality , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced , Ultraviolet Rays/adverse effects , Age Distribution , Diet , Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation , Female , Fish Products , Humans , Incidence , Linear Models , Male , Risk Assessment , Sex Distribution , Sunlight/adverse effects , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Vitamin D/blood
10.
Gastroenterology ; 134(6): 1699-714, 2008 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18471548

ABSTRACT

The hepatic complications of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) usually occur only after progression to cirrhosis has taken place. Progression to cirrhosis, however, is extremely variable and depends on a broad set of host and viral factors that modify the rate at which fibrosis develops in a given individual. Despite their inherent limitations, studies of the natural history of CHC have identified several nonmodifiable factors associated with disease progression. These include age at acquisition of infection, sex, and race. More recent reports suggest important roles for host genetic polymorphisms and viral factors. Of greater immediate relevance to patients and their clinicians are the potentially modifiable factors, which include excessive alcohol consumption; smoking (tobacco and marijuana); insulin resistance; and coinfection with hepatitis B virus, human immunodeficiency virus type 1, or schistosomiasis. Unfortunately, to date, there are no reliable predictive models that can accurately estimate the risk of CHC disease progression.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis C, Chronic/etiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/pathology , Age Factors , Disease Progression , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Health Status , Hepatitis C, Chronic/therapy , Humans , Risk Factors , Sex Factors
11.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 17(11): 2958-69, 2008 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18990737

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D status is associated inversely with risk of colorectal cancer, but the association with adenoma risk is less clear. This meta-analysis examined the overall relationship between circulating (plasma or serum) 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], vitamin D intake (dietary, supplemental, or total), and colorectal adenoma incidence in published studies. METHODS: A meta-analysis composed of 17 epidemiologic studies [1 cross-sectional, 9 case-control, and 7 cohort or nested case-control studies; 7 on 25(OH)D and 12 on vitamin D intake] published before December 2007 was done to examine the association between circulating 25(OH)D, vitamin D intake, and colorectal adenomas. Summary Peto odds ratios (OR) were computed for overall and stratified analyses. RESULTS: Circulating 25(OH)D was inversely associated with risk of colorectal adenomas: the OR was 0.70 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.56-0.87] for high versus low circulating 25(OH)D. The highest quintile of vitamin D intake was associated with an 11% marginally decreased risk of colorectal adenomas compared with low vitamin D intake (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.78-1.02). For recurrent adenomas, there was a decreased risk of 12% (95% CI, 0.72-1.07) among individuals with high versus low vitamin D intake. The inverse associations appeared stronger for advanced adenoma [OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.45-0.90 for serum 25(OH)D and OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.95 for vitamin D intake], but the number of studies was small. CONCLUSIONS: Both circulating 25(OH)D and vitamin D intake were inversely associated with colorectal adenoma incidence and recurrent adenomas. These results further support a role of vitamin D in prevention of colorectal adenoma incidence and recurrence.


Subject(s)
Adenoma/prevention & control , Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Adenoma/epidemiology , Chi-Square Distribution , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Risk , Vitamin D/administration & dosage , Vitamin D/blood
12.
Breast J ; 14(3): 255-60, 2008.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18422861

ABSTRACT

Epidemiological data show an inverse relationship between vitamin D levels and breast cancer incidence. This study investigates the relationship of modeled and measured serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels with age-standardized incidence rates of breast cancer in 107 countries. The hypothesis being tested is that breast cancer incidence is inversely related to geographically-dependent cutaneous sunlight exposure. A multiple regression approach was used to examine the contributions of ultraviolet B (UVB) irradiance to age-standardized incidence rates of breast cancer in the 107 countries with data on these covariates-total column ozone thickness, per capita intake of alcohol and energy from animal and vegetable sources, cigarettes, proportion of female population overweight, and total fertility. Age-standardized incidence rates were substantially higher at latitudes distant from the equator (R2 = 0.43, p < 0.0001). The dose-response gradient between modeled serum 25(OH)D levels and incidence rates of breast cancer followed a standard inverse dose-response curve. Increasing increments in serum 25(OH)D in the range above 22 ng/mL were associated with incrementally lower incidence rates of breast cancer. According to multiple regression, UVB irradiance adjusted for cloud cover was inversely associated with incidence rates (p = 0.04) after controlling for covariates. Intake of energy from animal sources was also positively associated with incidence rates (p < 0.01). The overall coefficient of determination, R2, was 0.81 (p < 0.0001). There was a protective effect of UVB irradiance on risk of breast cancer that was independent of fertility rate, proportion of the population overweight, alcohol intake, animal energy intake, and other covariates.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/etiology , Ultraviolet Rays , Adult , Breast Neoplasms/blood , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Sunlight , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Vitamin D/blood , Vitamin D Deficiency/complications
13.
Ann Epidemiol ; 17(12): 956-63, 2007 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18022535

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sunscreens may allow overexposure to ultraviolet A (UVA) in fair-skinned persons and prevent symptoms of sunburn, but their benefits for the prevention of melanoma are uncertain. METHODS: A PubMed search was performed that identified all known studies of the association of sunscreen use with melanoma risk during 1966-2007. A total of 18 studies were identified, of which 17 met criteria for inclusion in the analysis. Of these, 10 were conducted at latitudes >40 degrees from the equator and 7 at 40 degrees from the equator, the odds ratio was 1.6 (95% C.I. 1.3-1.9; p for heterogeneity = 0.006), whereas it was 0.7 at 40 degrees.


Subject(s)
Melanoma/epidemiology , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/epidemiology , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Sunscreening Agents/administration & dosage , Case-Control Studies , Geography , Humans , Melanoma/etiology , Melanoma/prevention & control , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/etiology , Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/prevention & control , Risk Factors , Skin Neoplasms/etiology , Skin Neoplasms/prevention & control , Skin Pigmentation/drug effects , Skin Pigmentation/radiation effects , Sunscreening Agents/adverse effects , Ultraviolet Rays/adverse effects
14.
J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol ; 103(3-5): 708-11, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17368188

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Inadequate photosynthesis or oral intake of Vitamin D are associated with high incidence and mortality rates of breast cancer in ecological and observational studies, but the dose-response relationship in individuals has not been adequately studied. METHODS: A literature search for all studies that reported risk by of breast cancer by quantiles of 25(OH)D identified two studies with 1760 individuals. Data were pooled to assess the dose-response association between serum 25(OH)D and risk of breast cancer. RESULTS: The medians of the pooled quintiles of serum 25(OH)D were 6, 18, 29, 37 and 48 ng/ml. Pooled odds ratios for breast cancer from lowest to highest quintile, were 1.00, 0.90, 0.70, 0.70 and 0.50 (p trend<0.001). According to the pooled analysis, individuals with serum 25(OH)D of approximately 52 ng/ml had 50% lower risk of breast cancer than those with serum <13 ng/ml. This serum level corresponds to intake of 4000 IU/day. This exceeds the National Academy of Sciences upper limit of 2000 IU/day. A 25(OH)D level of 52 ng/ml could be maintained by intake of 2000 IU/day and, when appropriate, about 12 min/day in the sun, equivalent to oral intake of 3000 IU of Vitamin D(3). CONCLUSIONS: Intake of 2000 IU/day of Vitamin D(3), and, when possible, very moderate exposure to sunlight, could raise serum 25(OH)D to 52 ng/ml, a level associated with reduction by 50% in incidence of breast cancer, according to observational studies.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/prevention & control , Vitamin D/pharmacology , Administration, Oral , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Humans , Risk Factors , Vitamin D/administration & dosage , Vitamin D/blood
15.
Am J Prev Med ; 32(3): 210-6, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17296473

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies, such as the Women's Health Initiative, have shown that a low dose of vitamin D did not protect against colorectal cancer, yet a meta-analysis indicates that a higher dose may reduce its incidence. METHODS: Five studies of serum 25(OH)D in association with colorectal cancer risk were identified using PubMed. The results of all five serum studies were combined using standard methods for pooled analysis. The pooled results were divided into quintiles with median 25(OH)D values of 6, 16, 22, 27, and 37 ng/mL. Odds ratios were calculated by quintile of the pooled data using Peto's Assumption-Free Method, with the lowest quintile of 25(OH)D as the reference group. A dose-response curve was plotted based on the odds for each quintile of the pooled data. Data were abstracted and analyzed in 2006. RESULTS: Odds ratios for the combined serum 25(OH)D studies, from lowest to highest quintile, were 1.00, 0.82, 0.66, 0.59, and 0.46 (p(trend)<0.0001) for colorectal cancer. According to the DerSimonian-Laird test for homogeneity of pooled data, the studies were homogeneous (chi(2)=1.09, df=4, p=0.90. The pooled odds ratio for the highest quintile versus the lowest was 0.49 (p<0.0001, 95% confidence interval, 0.35-0.68). A 50% lower risk of colorectal cancer was associated with a serum 25(OH)D level > or =33 ng/mL, compared to < or =12 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence to date suggests that daily intake of 1000-2000 IU/day of vitamin D(3) could reduce the incidence of colorectal with minimal risk.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Nutritional Status , Preventive Medicine , Vitamin D/administration & dosage , California/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Humans , Incidence , Odds Ratio , Risk Factors , Vitamin D/adverse effects , Vitamin D/blood
16.
Am J Prev Med ; 31(6): 512-4, 2006 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17169713

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a north-south gradient in age-adjusted mortality rates of ovarian cancer in the United States, with the highest rates in the Northeast and the lowest in the South through Southwest. This suggests that lower levels of solar irradiance might be associated with higher risk of ovarian cancer. Laboratory findings also suggest that low levels of vitamin D metabolites could play a role in the etiology of ovarian cancer. METHODS: The association of solar ultraviolet B (UVB) irradiance, stratospheric column ozone, and fertility rates at ages 15 to 19 years with incidence rates of ovarian cancer in 175 countries in 2002 were examined using multiple linear regression in 2006. RESULTS: Age-adjusted ovarian cancer incidence rates generally were highest in countries located at higher latitudes (R(2)=0.45, p< or =0.01). According to multivariate analysis, UVB irradiance (p< or =0.002) and fertility rates at ages 15 to 19 (p=0.01) were inversely associated with incidence rates, while stratospheric ozone (p< or =0.0008), which reduces transmission of UVB, was positively associated with incidence (R(2)=0.49, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Solar UVB irradiance was inversely associated with incidence rates of ovarian cancer in this study, adding new evidence to the theory that vitamin D might play a role in the prevention of ovarian cancer. Cohort studies are needed to confirm this possible association.


Subject(s)
Ovarian Neoplasms/prevention & control , Ultraviolet Rays , Vitamin D/physiology , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Geography , Humans , Incidence , Ovarian Neoplasms/epidemiology , Ovarian Neoplasms/physiopathology , Ozone , Sunlight
17.
J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol ; 155(Pt B): 257-63, 2016 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25864626

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Controversy exists regarding whether vitamin D deficiency could influence the etiology of pancreatic cancer. Several cohort studies have found that high serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations are associated with low risk of pancreatic cancer, while others have not. HYPOTHESIS: Low ultraviolet B irradiance is associated with high incidence of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: Age-standardized pancreatic cancer incidence rates were obtained from GLOBOCAN in 2008. The association between cloud-adjusted UVB irradiance and age-standardized incidence rates of pancreatic cancer was analyzed using regression. RESULTS: Overall, the lower the cloud-adjusted UVB irradiance, the higher the incidence rate of pancreatic cancer. Residents of countries with low UVB irradiance had approximately 6 times the incidence rates as those in countries with high UVB irradiance (p<0.0001 for males and p<0.0001 for females). This association persisted after adjustment for traditional risk factors of pancreatic cancer (p=0.0182 for males and p=0.0029 for females). CONCLUSIONS: There was an inverse association of cloud-adjusted UVB irradiance with incidence of pancreatic cancer that persisted after adjustment. This result is consistent with an inverse association of overall vitamin D deficiency in countries with lower UVB irradiance with risk of pancreatic cancer. Further research on the role of 25(OH)D in reduction of pancreatic cancer in individuals would be desirable to expand the limited avenues available for prevention of this highly fatal disease. This article is part of a Special Issue entitled '17th Vitamin D Workshop'.


Subject(s)
Pancreatic Neoplasms/etiology , Ultraviolet Rays/adverse effects , Vitamin D Deficiency/diagnosis , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Pancreatic Neoplasms/blood , Pancreatic Neoplasms/complications , Pancreatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Regression Analysis , Risk Factors , Vitamin D/blood , Vitamin D Deficiency/blood , Vitamin D Deficiency/complications , Vitamin D Deficiency/epidemiology
18.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 23(6): 1185-1189, 2016 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27094989

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To develop a secure, efficient, and easy-to-use data collection platform to measure the prevalence of sepsis in Wales over 24 hours. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Open Data Kit was used on Android devices with Google App Engine and a digital data collection form. RESULTS: A total of 184 students participated in the study using 59 devices across 16 hospitals, 1198 datasets were submitted, and 97% of participants found the Open Data Kit form easy to use. DISCUSSION: We successfully demonstrated that by combining a reliable Android device, a free open-source data collection framework, a scalable cloud-based server, and a team of 184 medical students, we can deliver a low-cost, highly reliable platform that requires little training or maintenance, providing results immediately on completion of data collection. CONCLUSION: Our platform allowed us to measure, for the first time, the prevalence of sepsis in Wales over 24 hours.


Subject(s)
Data Collection/methods , Mobile Applications , Sepsis/epidemiology , Education, Medical , Humans , Prevalence , Students, Medical , Wales/epidemiology
19.
J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol ; 97(1-2): 179-94, 2005 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16236494

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Inadequate photosynthesis or oral intake of Vitamin D are associated with high incidence rates of colorectal cancer, but the dose-response relationship has not been adequately studied. METHODS: Dose-response gradients from observational studies of Vitamin D intake and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D were plotted as trend lines. The point on each linear trend line corresponding to an odds ratio of 0.50 provided the prediagnostic Vitamin D intake or 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration associated with 50% lower risk compared to <100IU/day Vitamin D or <13ng/ml serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D. Medians of these values were determined. RESULTS: Overall, individuals with >or=1000IU/day oral Vitamin D (p<0.0001) or >or=33ng/ml (82nmol/l) serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (p<0.01) had 50% lower incidence of colorectal cancer compared to reference values. CONCLUSIONS: Intake of 1000IU/day of Vitamin D, half the safe upper intake established by the National Academy of Sciences, was associated with 50% lower risk. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D of 33ng/ml, which is known to be safe, also was associated with 50% lower risk. Prompt public health action is needed to increase intake of Vitamin D(3) to 1000IU/day, and to raise 25-hydroxyvitamin D by encouraging a modest duration of sunlight exposure.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Vitamin D/pharmacology , Calcium/metabolism , Case-Control Studies , Clinical Trials as Topic , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/metabolism , Female , Humans , Incidence , MEDLINE , Male , Vitamin D/administration & dosage , Vitamin D/blood
20.
J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol ; 148: 239-44, 2015 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25533386

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine whether a higher serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration at diagnosis is associated with longer survival of colorectal cancer patients. METHODS: A meta-analysis was performed of studies of the relationship between 25(OH)D and mortality of patients with colorectal cancer. A random-effects model was used to calculate a pooled hazards ratio. Homogeneity was evaluated through a DerSimonian-Laird test. RESULTS: Higher serum concentrations of 25(OH)D were associated with lower mortality in patients with colorectal cancer. Patients in the highest quintile of 25(OH)D had 37% lower mortality from colorectal cancer compared to those in the lowest quintile of 25(OH)D (pooled odds ratio=0.63, p<0.0001). Dose-response curves showed lower hazard ratios for mortality with higher serum 25(OH)D through at least 40ng/ml. There were no exceptions. CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum 25(OH)D was associated with lower mortality of patients with colorectal cancer. These results suggest that colorectal cancer patients with deficient levels of serum 25(OH)D should have their levels restored to a normal range (30-80ng/ml). This could be done with regular testing of serum 25(OH)D to be confident that an adequate serum level is being maintained. Additional studies would be worthwhile to evaluate confounding or the possibility of reverse causation.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Vitamin D/therapeutic use , Vitamins/therapeutic use , Colorectal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Humans , Prognosis , Survival Rate
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