Emerging Therapeutics, Technologies, and Drug Development Strategies to Address Patient Nonadherence and Improve Tuberculosis Treatment.

Imperfect medication adherence remains the biggest predictor of treatment failure for patients with tuberculosis. Missed doses during treatment lead to relapse, tuberculosis resistance, and further spread of disease. Understanding individual patient phenotypes, population pharmacokinetics, resistance development, drug distribution to tuberculosis lesions, and pharmacodynamics at the site of infection is necessary to fully measure the impact of adherence on patient outcomes. To decrease the impact of expected variabilityin drug intake on tuberculosis outcomes, an improvement in patient adherence and new forgiving regimens that protect against missed doses are needed. In this review, we summarize emerging technologies to improve medication adherence in clinical practice and provide suggestions on how digital adherence technologies can be incorporated in clinical trials and practice and the drug development pipeline that will lead to more forgiving regimens and benefit patients suffering from tuberculosis.

Pharmacokinetics and Optimal Dosing of Levofloxacin in Children for Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Each year 25 000-32 000 children develop rifampicin- or multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB), and many more require preventive treatment. Levofloxacin is a key component of RR/MDR-TB treatment and prevention, but the existing pharmacokinetic data in children have not yet been comprehensively summarized. We aimed to characterize levofloxacin pharmacokinetics through an individual patient data meta-analysis of available studies and to determine optimal dosing in children. METHODS: Levofloxacin concentration and demographic data were pooled from 5 studies and analyzed using nonlinear mixed effects modeling. Simulations were performed using current World Health Organization (WHO)-recommended and model-informed optimized doses. Optimal levofloxacin doses were identified to target median adult area under the time-concentration curve (AUC)24 of 101 mg·h/L given current standard adult doses. RESULTS: Data from 242 children (2.8 years [0.2-16.8] was used). Apparent clearance was 3.16 L/h for a 13-kg child. Age affected clearance, reaching 50% maturation at birth and 90% maturation at 8 months. Nondispersible tablets had 29% lower apparent oral bioavailability compared to dispersible tablets. Median exposures at current WHO-recommended doses were below the AUC target for children weighing <24 kg and under <10 years, resulting in approximately half of the exposure in adults. Model-informed doses of 16-33 mg/kg for dispersible tablets or 16-50 mg/kg for nondispersible tablets were required to meet the AUC target without significantly exceeding the median adult Cmax. CONCLUSIONS: Revised weight-band dosing guidelines with doses of >20 mg/kg are required to ensure adequate exposure. Further studies are needed to determine safety and tolerability of these higher doses.

Inpatient pain alleviation after orthopaedic trauma surgery-are we doing a good job?

PURPOSE: Poor pain alleviation (PPA) after orthopaedic surgery is known to increase recovery time, readmissions, patient dissatisfaction, and lead to chronic postsurgical pain. This study's goal was to identify the magnitude of PPA and its risk factors in the orthopaedic trauma patient population. METHODS: A single-institution's electronic medical records from 2015 to 2018 were available for retrospective analysis. Inclusion criteria included orthopaedic fracture surgery patients admitted to the hospital for 24 h or more. Collected variables included surgery type, basic demographics, comorbidities, inpatient medications, pain scores, and length of stay. PPA was defined as a pain score of ≥ 8 on at least three occasions 4-12 h apart. Associations between collected variables and PPA were derived using a multivariable logistic regression model and expressed in adjusted odds ratios. RESULTS: A total of 1663 patients underwent fracture surgeries from 2015 to 2018, and 25% of them reported PPA. Female sex, previous use of narcotics, increased ASA, increased baseline pain score, and younger age without comorbidities were identified as significant risk factors for PPA. Spine procedures were associated with increased risk of PPA, while procedures in the hip, shoulder, and knee had reduced risk. Patients experiencing PPA were less likely to receive NSAIDs compared to other pain medications. CONCLUSIONS: This study found an unacceptably high rate of PPA after fracture surgery. While the identified risk factors for PPA were all non-modifiable, our results highlight the necessity to improve application of current multimodal approaches to pain alleviation including a more personalized approach to pain alleviation.

Analysis of Dynamic Efficacy Endpoints of the Nix-TB Trial.

BACKGROUND: Safer, better, and shorter treatments for multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis (TB) are an urgent global health need. The phase 3 clinical trial Nix-TB (NCT02333799) tested a 6-month treatment of MDR and XDR-TB consisting of high-dose linezolid, bedaquiline, and pretomanid (BPaL). In this study, we investigate the relationship between the pharmacokinetic characteristics of the drugs, patient characteristics and efficacy endpoints from Nix-TB. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic data were collected at weeks 2, 8, and 16. Efficacy endpoints including treatment outcomes, time to stable culture conversion, and longitudinal time to positivity in the mycobacterial growth indicator tube assay were each characterized using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. Relationships between patient, treatment pharmacokinetics, and disease characteristics and efficacy endpoints were evaluated. RESULTS: Data from 93 (85% of the total) participants were analyzed. Higher body mass index was associated with a lower incidence of unfavorable treatment outcomes. Median time to stable culture conversion was 3 months in patients with lower baseline burden compared with 4.5 months in patients with high baseline burden. Participants with minimal disease had steeper time to positivity trajectories compared with participants with high-risk phenotypes. No relationship between any drugs' pharmacokinetics (drug concentration or exposure metrics) and any efficacy outcomes was observed. CONCLUSIONS: We have successfully described efficacy endpoints of a BPaL regimen from the Nix-TB trial. Participants with high-risk phenotypes significantly delayed time to culture conversion and bacterial clearance. The lack of a relationship between pharmacokinetic exposures and pharmacodynamic biomarkers opens the possibility to use lower, safer doses, particularly for toxicity-prone linezolid. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02333799.

Effectiveness and Pharmacokinetic Exposures of First-Line Drugs Used to Treat Drug-Susceptible Tuberculosis in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Optimal doses of first-line drugs for treatment of drug-susceptible tuberculosis in children and young adolescents remain uncertain. We aimed to determine whether children treated using World Health Organization-recommended or higher doses of first-line drugs achieve successful outcomes and sufficient pharmacokinetic (PK) exposures. METHODS: Titles, abstracts, and full-text articles were screened. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and trial registries from 2010 to 2021. We included studies in children aged <18 years being treated for drug-susceptible tuberculosis with rifampicin (RIF), pyrazinamide, isoniazid, and ethambutol. Outcomes were treatment success rates and drug exposures. The protocol for the systematic review was preregistered in PROSPERO (no. CRD42021274222). RESULTS: Of 304 studies identified, 46 were eligible for full-text review, and 12 and 18 articles were included for the efficacy and PK analyses, respectively. Of 1830 children included in the efficacy analysis, 82% had favorable outcomes (range, 25%-95%). At World Health Organization-recommended doses, exposures to RIF, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol were lower in children than in adults. Children ≤6 years old have 35% lower areas under the concentration-time curve (AUCs) than older children (mean of 14.4 [95% CI 9.9-18.8] vs 22.0 [13.8-30.1] µg·h/mL) and children with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) had 35% lower RIF AUCs than HIV-negative children (17.3 [11.4-23.2] vs 26.5 [21.3-31.7] µg·h/mL). Heterogeneity and small sample sizes were major limitations. CONCLUSIONS: There is large variability in outcomes, with an average of 82% favorable outcomes. Drug exposures are lower in children than in adults. Younger children and/or those with HIV are underexposed to RIF. Standardization of PK pediatric studies and individual patient data analysis with safety assessment are needed to inform optimal dosing.

QT Interval Prolongation with One or More QT-Prolonging Agents Used as Part of a Multidrug Regimen for Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis Treatment: Findings from Two Pediatric Studies.

Rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB) involves treatment with many drugs that can prolong the QT interval; this risk may increase when multiple QT-prolonging drugs are used together. We assessed QT interval prolongation in children with RR-TB receiving one or more QT-prolonging drugs. Data were obtained from two prospective observational studies in Cape Town, South Africa. Electrocardiograms were performed before and after drug administration of clofazimine (CFZ), levofloxacin (LFX), moxifloxacin (MFX), bedaquiline (BDQ), and delamanid. The change in Fridericia-corrected QT (QTcF) was modeled. Drug and other covariate effects were quantified. A total of 88 children with a median (2.5th-to-97.5th range) age of 3.9 (0.5 to 15.7) years were included, of whom 55 (62.5%) were under 5 years of age. A QTcF interval of >450 ms was observed in 7 patient-visits: regimens were CFZ+MFX (n = 3), CFZ+BDQ+LFX (n = 2), CFZ alone (n = 1), and MFX alone (n = 1). There were no events with a QTcF interval of >500 ms. In a multivariate analysis, CFZ+MFX was associated with a 13.0-ms increase in change in QTcF (P < 0.001) and in maximum QTcF (P = 0.0166) compared to those when other MFX- or LFX-based regimens were used. In conclusion, we found a low risk of QTcF interval prolongation in children with RR-TB who received at least one QT-prolonging drug. Greater increases in maximum QTcF and ΔQTcF were observed when MFX and CFZ were used together. Future studies characterizing exposure-QTcF responses in children will be helpful to ensure safety with higher doses if required for effective treatment of RR-TB.

Influence of NAT2 Genotype and Maturation on Isoniazid Exposure in Low-Birth-Weight and Preterm Infants With or Without Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Exposure.

BACKGROUND: Isoniazid (INH) metabolism depends on the N-acetyl transferase 2 (NAT2) enzyme, whose maturation process remains unknown in low birth weight (LBW) and preterm infants. We aimed to assess INH exposure and safety in infants receiving oral tuberculosis prevention. METHODS: This population pharmacokinetics (PK) analysis used INH and N-acetyl-isoniazid (ACL) concentrations in infants (BW ≤ 4 kg), including preterm, with follow-up for 6 months. PK parameters were described using nonlinear mixed effects modeling. Simulations were performed to assess INH exposure and optimal dosing regimens, using 2 targets: Cmax at 3-6 mg/L and area under the curve (AUC) ≥ 10.52 mg h/L. RESULTS: We included 57 infants (79% preterm, 84% LBW) in the PK analysis, with a median (range) gestational age of 34 (28.7-39.4) weeks. At the time of sampling, postnatal age was 2.3 (0.2-7.3) months and weight (WT) was 3.7 (0.9-9.3) kg. NAT2 genotype was available in 43 (75.4%) patients (10 slow, 26 intermediate, and 7 fast metabolizers). Ninety percent of NAT2 maturation was attained by 4.4 post-natal months. WT, postmenstrual age, and NAT2 genotype significantly influenced INH exposure, with a 5-fold difference in AUC between slow and fast metabolizers for the same dose. INH appeared safe across the broad range of exposure for 61 infants included in the safety analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In LBW/preterm infants, INH dosing needs frequent adjustment to account for growth and maturation. Pharmacogenetics-based dosing regimens is the most powerful approach to deliver safe and equalized exposures for all infants, because NAT2 genotype highly impacts INH pharmacokinetic variability.

Moxifloxacin Pharmacokinetics, Cardiac Safety, and Dosing for the Treatment of Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis in Children.

BACKGROUND: Moxifloxacin is a recommended drug for rifampin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB) treatment, but there is limited pediatric pharmacokinetic and safety data, especially in young children. We characterize moxifloxacin population pharmacokinetics and QT interval prolongation and evaluate optimal dosing in children with RR-TB. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic data were pooled from 2 observational studies in South African children with RR-TB routinely treated with oral moxifloxacin once daily. The population pharmacokinetics and Fridericia-corrected QT (QTcF)-interval prolongation were characterized in NONMEM. Pharmacokinetic simulations were performed to predict expected exposure and optimal weight-banded dosing. RESULTS: Eighty-five children contributed pharmacokinetic data (median [range] age of 4.6 [0.8-15] years); 16 (19%) were aged <2 years, and 8 (9%) were living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The median (range) moxifloxacin dose on pharmacokinetic sampling days was 11 mg/kg (6.1 to 17). Apparent clearance was 6.95 L/h for a typical 16-kg child. Stunting and HIV increased apparent clearance. Crushed or suspended tablets had faster absorption. The median (range) maximum change in QTcF after moxifloxacin administration was 16.3 (-27.7 to 61.3) ms. No child had QTcF ≥500 ms. The concentration-QTcF relationship was nonlinear, with a maximum drug effect (Emax) of 8.80 ms (interindividual variability = 9.75 ms). Clofazimine use increased Emax by 3.3-fold. Model-based simulations of moxifloxacin pharmacokinetics predicted that current dosing recommendations are too low in children. CONCLUSIONS: Moxifloxacin doses above 10-15 mg/kg are likely required in young children to match adult exposures but require further safety assessment, especially when coadministered with other QT-prolonging agents.

Pharmacokinetics and Safety of Bedaquiline in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-Positive and Negative Older Children and Adolescents With Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacokinetic data for bedaquiline in children are limited. We described the pharmacokinetics and safety of bedaquiline in South African children and adolescents receiving treatment for multidrug/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) in routine care. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, children aged 6-17 years receiving bedaquiline at recommended doses as part of MDR/RR-TB treatment underwent semi-intensive pharmacokinetic sampling. Bedaquiline and the M2 metabolite plasma concentrations were quantified, and nonlinear mixed-effects modeling performed. Pediatric data were described using a pre-established model of bedaquiline pharmacokinetics in adults. The exposure reference was 187 µg ⋅ h/mL, the median weekly area under the curve (AUC) of adults at week 24 of treatment with bedaquiline. Safety was assessed through monthly clinical, blood and electrocardiogram monitoring, and treatment outcomes described. RESULTS: Fifteen children (3 human immunodeficiency virus [HIV]-positive) with median age 13.3 years (range 6.5-16.3) were included. A bedaquiline pharmacokinetic model was adapted to be allometrically scaled in clearance and volume, centered in the median child population weight. Bedaquiline bioavailability was 57% of that in adults. Overall bedaquiline exposures were below target, and AUC reference attainment was achieved in only 3 (20%) children. Ten children experienced 27 adverse events at least possibly related to bedaquiline; no adverse events led to bedaquiline withdrawal. Two adverse events (arthritis and arthralgia) were considered severe, and 2 children had mild QT interval corrected for heart rate using Fridericia's formula (QT) prolongation. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluated doses of bedaquiline in children ≥ 6 years of age were safe but achieved slightly lower plasma concentrations compared to adults receiving the recommended dose, possibly due to delayed food intake relative to bedaquiline administration.

Longitudinal Model-Based Biomarker Analysis of Exposure-Response Relationships in Adults with Pulmonary Tuberculosis.

The identification of sensitive, specific, and reliable biomarkers that can be quantified in the early phases of tuberculosis treatment and predictive of long-term outcome is key for the development of an effective short-course treatment regimen. Time to positivity (TTP), a biomarker of treatment outcome against Mycobacterium tuberculosis, measures longitudinal bacterial growth in mycobacterial growth indicator tube broth culture and may be predictive of standard time to stable culture conversion (TSCC). In two randomized phase 2b trials investigating dose-ranging rifapentine (Studies 29 and 29X), 662 participants had sputum collected over 6 months where TTP, TSCC, and time to culture conversion were quantified. The goals of this post hoc study were to characterize longitudinal TTP profiles and to identify individual patient characteristics associated with delayed time to culture conversion. In order to do so, a nonlinear mixed-effects model describing longitudinal TTP was built. Independent variables associated with increased bacterial clearance (increased TTP), assessed by subject-specific and population-level trajectories, were higher rifapentine exposure, lower baseline grade of sputum acid-fast bacillus smear, absence of productive cough, and lower extent of lung infiltrates on radiographs. Importantly, sensitivity analysis revealed that major learning milestones in phase 2b trials, such as significant exposure-response and covariate relationships, could be detected using truncated TTP data as early as 6 weeks from start of treatment, suggesting alternative phase 2b study designs. The TTP model built depicts a novel phase 2b surrogate endpoint that can inform early assessment of experimental treatment efficacy and treatment failure or relapse in patients treated with shorter and novel TB treatment regimens, improving efficiency of phase 2 clinical trials. (The studies discussed in this paper have been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under identifiers NCT00694629 and NCT01043575.).

Modelling of neutrophil dynamics in children receiving busulfan or treosulfan for haematopoietic stem cell transplant conditioning.

AIMS: Busulfan and treosulfan are cytotoxic agents used in the conditioning regime prior to paediatric haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). These agents cause suppression of myeloid cells leaving patients severely immunocompromised in the early post-HSCT period. The main objectives were: (i) to establish a mechanistic pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) model for the treatment and engraftment effects on neutrophil counts comparing busulfan and treosulfan-based conditioning, and (ii) to explore current dosing schedules with respect to time to HSCT. METHODS: Data on 126 patients, 72 receiving busulfan (7 months-18 years, 5.1-47.0 kg) and 54 treosulfan (4 months-17 years, 3.8-35.8 kg), were collected. In total, 8935 neutrophil count observations were recorded during the study period in addition to drug concentrations to develop a mechanistic PKPD model. Absolute neutrophil count profiles were modelled semimechanistically, accounting for transplant effects and differing set points pre- and post-transplant. RESULTS: PK were best described by 2-compartment models for both drugs. The Friberg semimechanistic neutropenia model was applied with a linear model for busulfan and a maximum efficacy model for treosulfan describing drug effects at various stages of neutrophil maturation. System parameters were consistent across both drugs. The HSCT was represented by an amount of progenitor cells enhancing the neutrophils' proliferation and maturation compartments. Alemtuzumab was found to enhance the proliferative rate under which the absolute neutrophil count begin to grow after HSCT. CONCLUSION: A semimechanistic PKPD model linking exposure to either busulfan or treosulfan to the neutrophil reconstitution dynamics was successfully built. Alemtuzumab coadministration enhanced the neutrophil proliferative rate after HSCT. Treosulfan administration was suggested to be delayed with respect to time to HSCT, leaving less time between the end of the administration and stem cell infusion.

Assessing the impact of the addition of dendritic cell vaccination to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer patients: A model-based characterization approach.

AIMS: Immunotherapy is a rising alternative to traditional treatment in breast cancer (BC) patients in order to transform cold into hot immune enriched tumours and improve responses and outcome. A computational modelling approach was applied to quantify modulation effects of immunotherapy and chemotherapy response on tumour shrinkage and progression-free survival (PFS) in naïve BC patients. METHODS: Eighty-three Her2-negative BC patients were recruited for neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without immunotherapy based on dendritic cell vaccination. Sequential tumour size measurements were modelled using nonlinear mixed effects modelling and linked to PFS. Data from another set of patients (n = 111) were used to validate the model. RESULTS: Tumour size profiles over time were linked to biomarker dynamics and PFS. The immunotherapy effect was related to tumour shrinkage (P < .05), with the shrinkage 17% (95% confidence interval: 2-23%) being higher in vaccinated patients, confirmed by the finding that pathological complete response rates in the breast were higher in the vaccinated compared to the control group (25.6% vs 13.6%; P = .04). The whole tumour shrinkage time profile was the major prognostic factor associated to PFS (P < .05), and therefore, immunotherapy influences indirectly on PFS, showing a trend in decreasing the probability of progression with increased vaccine effects. Tumour subtype was also associated with PFS (P < .05), showing that luminal A BC patients have better prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Dendritic cell-based immunotherapy is effective in decreasing tumour size. The semi-mechanistic validated model presented allows the quantification of the immunotherapy treatment effects on tumour shrinkage and establishes the relationship between the dynamics of tumour size and PFS.

Pharmacokinetic analysis across studies to drive knowledge-integration: A tutorial on individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA).

Answering challenging questions in drug development sometimes requires pharmacokinetic (PK) data analysis across different studies, for example, to characterize PKs across diverse regions or populations, or to increase statistical power for subpopulations by combining smaller size trials. Given the growing interest in data sharing and advanced computational methods, knowledge integration based on multiple data sources is increasingly applied in the context of model-informed drug discovery and development. A powerful analysis method is the individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA), leveraging systematic review of databases and literature, with the most detailed data type of the individual patient, and quantitative modeling of the PK processes, including capturing heterogeneity of variance between studies. The methodology that should be used in IPDMA in the context of population PK analysis is summarized in this tutorial, highlighting areas of special attention compared to standard PK modeling, including hierarchical nested variability terms for interstudy variability, and handling between-assay differences in limits of quantification within a single analysis. This tutorial is intended for any pharmacological modeler who is interested in performing an integrated analysis of PK data across different studies in a systematic and thorough manner, to answer questions that transcend individual primary studies.

Modification of Breast Cancer Milieu with Chemotherapy plus Dendritic Cell Vaccine: An Approach to Select Best Therapeutic Strategies.

BACKGROUND: The addition of dendritic cell vaccines (DCV) to NAC could induce immune responses in those patients with residual disease (RD) by transforming the tumor microenvironment. METHODS: Core diagnostic biopsies and surgical specimens from 80 patients (38 in the vaccinated group plus NAC (VG) and 42 in the control group (CG, treated only with NAC) were selected. We quantify TILs (CD8, CD4 and CD45RO) using immunohistochemistry and the automated cellular imaging system (ACIS III) in paired samples. RESULTS: A CD8 rise in TNBC samples was observed after NAC plus DCV, changing from 4.48% in the biopsy to 6.70% in the surgical specimen, not reaching statistically significant differences (p = 0.11). This enrichment was seen in up to 67% of TNBC patients in the experimental arm as compared with the CG (20%). An association between CD8 TILs before NAC (4% cut-off point) and pathological complete response in the VG was found in the univariate and multivariate analysis (OR = 1.41, IC95% 1.05-1.90; p = 0.02, and OR = 2.0, IC95% 1.05-3.9; p = 0.03, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that patients with TNBC could benefit from the stimulation of the antitumor immune system by using DCV together with NAC.

Prospective Validation and Refinement of a Population Pharmacokinetic Model of Fludarabine in Children and Young Adults Undergoing Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation.

Fludarabine is a nucleoside analog with antileukemic and immunosuppressive activity commonly used in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Several fludarabine population pharmacokinetic (popPK) and pharmacodynamic models have been published enabling the movement towards precision dosing of fludarabine in pediatric HCT; however, developed models have not been validated in a prospective cohort of patients. In this multicenter pharmacokinetic study, fludarabine plasma concentrations were collected via a sparse-sampling strategy. A fludarabine popPK model was evaluated and refined using standard nonlinear mixed effects modelling techniques. The previously described fludarabine popPK model well-predicted the prospective fludarabine plasma concentrations. Individuals who received model-based dosing (MBD) of fludarabine achieved significantly more precise overall exposure of fludarabine. The fludarabine popPK model was further improved by both the inclusion of fat-free mass instead of total body weight and a maturation function on fludarabine clearance. The refined popPK model is expected to improve dosing recommendations for children younger than 2 years and patients with higher body mass index. Given the consistency of fludarabine clearance and exposure across its multiple days of administration, therapeutic drug monitoring is not likely to improve targeted exposure attainment.

Drug Exposure to Establish Pharmacokinetic-Response Relationships in Oncology.

In the oncology field, understanding the relationship between the dose administered and the exerted effect is particularly important because of the narrow therapeutic index associated with anti-cancer drugs and the high interpatient variability. Therefore, in this review, we provide a critical perspective of the different methods of characterising treatment exposure in the oncology setting. The increasing number of modelling applications in oncology reflects the applicability and the impact of pharmacometrics on all phases of the drug development process and patient management as well. Pharmacometric modelling is a worthy component within the current paradigm of model-based drug development, but pharmacometric modelling techniques are also accessible for the clinician in the optimisation of current oncology therapies. Consequently, the application of population models in a hospital setting by generating close collaborations between physicians and pharmacometricians is highly recommended, providing a systematic means of developing and assessing model-based metrics as 'drivers' for various responses to treatments, which can then be evaluated as predictors for treatment success. Characterising the key determinants of variability in exposure is of particular importance for anticancer agents, as efficacy and toxicity are associated with exposure. We present the different strategies to describe and predict drug exposure that can be applied depending on the data available, with the objective of obtaining the most useful information in the patients' favour throughout the full drug cycle. Therefore, the objective of the present article is to review the different approaches used to characterise a patient's exposure to oncology drugs, which will result in a better understanding of the time course of the response and the magnitude of interpatient variability.

Optimizing Hydroxychloroquine Dosing for Patients With COVID-19: An Integrative Modeling Approach for Effective Drug Repurposing.

Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) is a promising candidate for Coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) treatment. The optimal dosing of HCQ is unknown. Our goal was to integrate historic and emerging pharmacological and toxicity data to understand safe and efficacious HCQ dosing strategies for COVID-19 treatment. The data sources included were (i) longitudinal clinical, pharmacokinetic (PK), and virologic data from patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection who received HCQ with or without azithromycin (n = 116), (ii) in vitro viral replication data and SARS-CoV-2 viral load inhibition by HCQ, (iii) a population PK model of HCQ, and (iv) a model relating chloroquine PKs to corrected QT (QTc) prolongation. A mechanistic PK/virologic/QTc model for HCQ was developed and externally validated to predict SARS-CoV-2 rate of viral decline and QTc prolongation. SARS-CoV-2 viral decline was associated with HCQ PKs (P < 0.001). The extrapolated patient half-maximal effective concentration (EC50 ) was 4.7 µM, comparable to the reported in vitro EC50s . HCQ doses > 400 mg b.i.d. for ≥5 days were predicted to rapidly decrease viral loads, reduce the proportion of patients with detectable SARS-CoV-2 infection, and shorten treatment courses, compared with lower dose (≤ 400 mg daily) regimens. However, HCQ doses > 600 mg b.i.d. were also predicted to prolong QTc intervals. This prolongation may have clinical implications warranting further safety assessment. Due to COVID-19's variable natural history, lower dose HCQ regimens may be indistinguishable from controls. Evaluation of higher HCQ doses is needed to ensure adequate safety and efficacy.

Neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced gastric cancer patients. A population pharmacodynamic modeling.

BACKGROUND: Perioperative chemotherapy (CT) or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in patients with locally advanced gastric (GC) or gastroesophageal junction cancer (GEJC) has been shown to improve survival compared to an exclusive surgical approach. However, most patients retain a poor prognosis due to important relapse rates. Population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modeling may allow identifying at risk-patients. We aimed to develop a mechanistic PK/PD model to characterize the relationship between the type of neoadjuvant therapy, histopathologic response and survival times in locally advanced GC and GEJC patients. METHODS: Patients with locally advanced GC and GEJC treated with neoadjuvant CT with or without preoperative CRT were analyzed. Clinical response was assessed by CT-scan and EUS. Pathologic response was defined as a reduction on pTNM stage compared to baseline cTNM. Metastasis development risk and overall survival (OS) were described using the population approach with NONMEM 7.3. Model evaluation was performed through predictive checks. RESULTS: A low correlation was observed between clinical and pathologic TNM stage for both T (R = 0.32) and N (R = 0.19) categories. A low correlation between clinical and pathologic response was noticed (R = -0.29). The OS model adequately described the observed survival rates. Disease recurrence, cTNM stage ≥3 and linitis plastica absence, were correlated to a higher risk of death. CONCLUSION: Our model adequately described clinical response profiles, though pathologic response could not be predicted. Although the risk of disease recurrence and survival were linked, the identification of alternative approaches aimed to tailor therapeutic strategies to the individual patient risk warrants further research.