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1.
N Engl J Med ; 383(5): 426-439, 2020 07 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32726529

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the dominant cause of severe lower respiratory tract infection in infants, with the most severe cases concentrated among younger infants. METHODS: Healthy pregnant women, at 28 weeks 0 days through 36 weeks 0 days of gestation, with an expected delivery date near the start of the RSV season, were randomly assigned in an overall ratio of approximately 2:1 to receive a single intramuscular dose of RSV fusion (F) protein nanoparticle vaccine or placebo. Infants were followed for 180 days to assess outcomes related to lower respiratory tract infection and for 364 days to assess safety. The primary end point was RSV-associated, medically significant lower respiratory tract infection up to 90 days of life, and the primary analysis of vaccine efficacy against the primary end point was performed in the per-protocol population of infants (prespecified criterion for success, lower bound of the 97.52% confidence interval [CI] of ≥30%). RESULTS: A total of 4636 women underwent randomization, and there were 4579 live births. During the first 90 days of life, the percentage of infants with RSV-associated, medically significant lower respiratory tract infection was 1.5% in the vaccine group and 2.4% in the placebo group (vaccine efficacy, 39.4%; 97.52% CI, -1.0 to 63.7; 95% CI, 5.3 to 61.2). The corresponding percentages for RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection with severe hypoxemia were 0.5% and 1.0% (vaccine efficacy, 48.3%; 95% CI, -8.2 to 75.3), and the percentages for hospitalization for RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection were 2.1% and 3.7% (vaccine efficacy, 44.4%; 95% CI, 19.6 to 61.5). Local injection-site reactions among the women were more common with vaccine than with placebo (40.7% vs. 9.9%), but the percentages of participants who had other adverse events were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: RSV F protein nanoparticle vaccination in pregnant women did not meet the prespecified success criterion for efficacy against RSV-associated, medically significant lower respiratory tract infection in infants up to 90 days of life. The suggestion of a possible benefit with respect to other end-point events involving RSV-associated respiratory disease in infants warrants further study. (Funded by Novavax and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02624947.).


Subject(s)
Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/prevention & control , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines/immunology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Adolescent , Adult , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Hypoxia/etiology , Immunoglobulin G/blood , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Infant, Newborn, Diseases/prevention & control , Injections, Intramuscular , Nanoparticles , Poisson Distribution , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, Third , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/complications , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/immunology , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Vaccination , Viral Fusion Proteins/immunology , Young Adult
2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(1): e158-e163, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32531019

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In contrast with respiratory disease caused by influenza, information on the risk of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease among adults with chronic medical conditions (CMCs) is limited. METHODS: We linked population-based surveillance of acute respiratory illness hospitalizations to national administrative data to estimate seasonal RSV hospitalization rates among adults aged 18-80 years with the following preexisting CMCs: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, congestive heart failure (CHF), coronary artery disease (CAD), cerebrovascular accidents (CVA), diabetes mellitus (DM), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Age- and ethnicity-adjusted rates stratified by age group were estimated. RESULTS: Among 883 999 adult residents aged 18-80 years, 281 RSV-positive hospitalizations were detected during 2012-2015 winter seasons. Across all ages, RSV hospitalization rates were significantly higher among adults with COPD, asthma, CHF, and CAD compared with those without each corresponding condition. RSV hospitalization rates were significantly higher among adults with ESRD aged 50-64 years and adults with DM aged 18-49 years and 65-80 years compared with adults in each age group without these conditions. No increased risk was seen for adults with CVA. The CMC with the highest risk of RSV hospitalization was CHF (incidence rate ratio [IRR] range, 4.6-36.5 across age strata) and COPD (IRR range, 9.6-9.7). Among RSV-positive adults, CHF and COPD were independently associated with increased length of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: Adults with specific CMCs are at increased risk of RSV hospitalizations. Age affects this relationship for some CMCs. Such populations maybe relevant for future RSV prevention strategies.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Adult , Chronic Disease , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/complications , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology
3.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(2): 641-643, 2021 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33263515

ABSTRACT

In March 2020, a national elimination strategy for coronavirus disease was introduced in New Zealand. Since then, hospitalizations for lower respiratory tract infection among infants <2 years of age and cases of respiratory syncytial or influenza virus infection have dramatically decreased. These findings indicate additional benefits of coronavirus disease control strategies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Influenza, Human/virology , Male , New Zealand/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/virology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , SARS-CoV-2 , Seasons
4.
Thorax ; 75(4): 298-305, 2020 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32094154

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hospitalisation with severe lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in early childhood is associated with ongoing respiratory symptoms and possible later development of bronchiectasis. We aimed to reduce this intermediate respiratory morbidity with a community intervention programme at time of discharge. METHODS: This randomised, controlled, single-blind trial enrolled children aged <2 years hospitalised for severe LRTI to 'intervention' or 'control'. Intervention was three monthly community clinics treating wet cough with prolonged antibiotics referring non-responders. All other health issues were addressed, and health resilience behaviours were encouraged, with referrals for housing or smoking concerns. Controls followed the usual pathway of parent-initiated healthcare access. After 24 months, all children were assessed by a paediatrician blinded to randomisation for primary outcomes of wet cough, abnormal examination (crackles or clubbing) or chest X-ray Brasfield score ≤22. FINDINGS: 400 children (203 intervention, 197 control) were enrolled in 2011-2012; mean age 6.9 months, 230 boys, 87% Maori/Pasifika ethnicity and 83% from the most deprived quintile. Final assessment of 321/400 (80.3%) showed no differences in presence of wet cough (33.9% intervention, 36.5% controls, relative risk (RR) 0.93, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.25), abnormal examination (21.7% intervention, 23.9% controls, RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.38) or Brasfield score ≤22 (32.4% intervention, 37.9% control, RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.17). Twelve (all intervention) were diagnosed with bronchiectasis within this timeframe. INTERPRETATION: We have identified children at high risk of ongoing respiratory disease following hospital admission with severe LRTI in whom this intervention programme did not change outcomes over 2 years. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12610001095055.


Subject(s)
Bronchiectasis/prevention & control , Bronchiolitis/drug therapy , Caregivers/organization & administration , Community Health Services/organization & administration , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Pneumonia, Bacterial/drug therapy , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Bronchiectasis/epidemiology , Bronchiolitis/diagnosis , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Infant , Male , New Zealand , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Parents , Pneumonia, Bacterial/diagnosis , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Severity of Illness Index , Single-Blind Method , Time Factors
5.
J Infect Dis ; 219(3): 347-357, 2019 01 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30016464

ABSTRACT

Background: Understanding the attack rate of influenza infection and the proportion who become ill by risk group is key to implementing prevention measures. While population-based studies of antihemagglutinin antibody responses have been described previously, studies examining both antihemagglutinin and antineuraminidase antibodies are lacking. Methods: In 2015, we conducted a seroepidemiologic cohort study of individuals randomly selected from a population in New Zealand. We tested paired sera for hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) or neuraminidase inhibition (NAI) titers for seroconversion. We followed participants weekly and performed influenza polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for those reporting influenza-like illness (ILI). Results: Influenza infection (either HAI or NAI seroconversion) was found in 321 (35% [95% confidence interval, 32%-38%]) of 911 unvaccinated participants, of whom 100 (31%) seroconverted to NAI alone. Young children and Pacific peoples experienced the highest influenza infection attack rates, but overall only a quarter of all infected reported influenza PCR-confirmed ILI, and one-quarter of these sought medical attention. Seroconversion to NAI alone was higher among children aged <5 years vs those aged ≥5 years (14% vs 4%; P < .001) and among those with influenza B vs A(H3N2) virus infections (7% vs 0.3%; P < .001). Conclusions: Measurement of antineuraminidase antibodies in addition to antihemagglutinin antibodies may be important in capturing the true influenza infection rates.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines/immunology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/immunology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Seasons , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Antibody Formation/immunology , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Female , Hemagglutination Inhibition Tests , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/immunology , Male , Middle Aged , Neuraminidase/immunology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Young Adult
6.
Epidemiol Infect ; 147: e246, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31364578

ABSTRACT

We aimed to provide comprehensive estimates of laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalisations. Between 2012 and 2015, active surveillance of acute respiratory infection (ARI) hospitalisations during winter seasons was used to estimate the seasonal incidence of laboratory-confirmed RSV hospitalisations in children aged <5 years in Auckland, New Zealand (NZ). Incidence rates were estimated by fine age group, ethnicity and socio-economic status (SES) strata. Additionally, RSV disease estimates determined through active surveillance were compared to rates estimated from hospital discharge codes. There were 5309 ARI hospitalisations among children during the study period, of which 3923 (73.9%) were tested for RSV and 1597 (40.7%) were RSV-positive. The seasonal incidence of RSV-associated ARI hospitalisations, once corrected for non-testing, was 6.1 (95% confidence intervals 5.8-6.4) per 1000 children <5 years old. The highest incidence was among children aged <3 months. Being of indigenous Maori or Pacific ethnicity or living in a neighbourhood with low SES independently increased the risk of an RSV-associated hospitalisation. RSV hospital discharge codes had a sensitivity of 71% for identifying laboratory-confirmed RSV cases. RSV infection is a leading cause of hospitalisation among children in NZ, with significant disparities by ethnicity and SES. Our findings highlight the need for effective RSV vaccines and therapies.


Subject(s)
Hospital Costs , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/isolation & purification , Age Distribution , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Female , Hospitalization/economics , Humans , Infant , Information Storage and Retrieval , Male , New Zealand/epidemiology , Population Surveillance , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/economics , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Seasons , Sex Distribution
7.
J Paediatr Child Health ; 54(4): 377-382, 2018 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29125216

ABSTRACT

AIM: Sudden unexpected death in infancy (SUDI) rates for Maori and Pacific infants remain higher than for other ethnic groups in New Zealand and bed-sharing is a major risk factor when there is smoking exposure in pregnancy. Sleep space programmes of education and Pepi-Pod baby beds require evaluation. METHODS: Two hundred and forty Maori and Pacific women and infants were randomised 1:1, to the Pepi-Pod sleep space programme, or to a control group with 'usual care'. When infants were under 2 weeks of age, baseline interviews occurred, followed up by interviews at 2 and 4 months of age to assess safe sleep knowledge, infant care practices and Pepi-Pod use and acceptability. All participants were offered a New Zealand Standard approved portable cot. RESULTS: At baseline, 25% of babies did not have a baby bed. Knowledge of smoking and bed-sharing as SUDI risks improved at follow-up in both groups. One quarter regularly bed-shared at follow-up in both groups. Intention to bed-share was a strong predictor of subsequent behaviour. Pepi-Pods were regularly used by 46% at 2 months and 16% at 4 months follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Bed-sharing and knowledge improvement were similar irrespective of group. It is likely that the impact of the intervention was reduced because the control group received better support than 'usual care' and all participants had a baby bed. New Zealand SUDI rates have declined since sleep space programmes have been available. Sleep space programmes should be prioritised for those with modifiable SUDI risk.


Subject(s)
Beds , Health Education , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Infant Care , Sudden Infant Death/prevention & control , Breast Feeding/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Infant , Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander , New Zealand , Parents , Risk Reduction Behavior , Smoking , Sudden Infant Death/ethnology
8.
J Paediatr Child Health ; 53(6): 551-555, 2017 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28430397

ABSTRACT

AIM: To describe respiratory virus detection in children under 2 years of age in a population admitted with lower respiratory infection and to assess correlation with measures of severity. METHODS: Nasopharyngeal aspirates from infants admitted with lower respiratory tract infection (n = 1645) over a 3-year time period were tested by polymerase chain reaction. We collected epidemiological and clinical data on all children. We assessed the correlation of presence of virus with length of hospital stay, intensive care admission and consolidation on chest X-ray. RESULTS: Of the children admitted 34% were Maori, 43% Pacific and 75% lived in areas in the bottom quintile for socio-economic deprivation. A virus was found in 94% of those tested including 30% with multiple viruses. Picornavirus was present in 59% including 34% as the sole virus. Respiratory syncytial virus was found in 39%. Virus co-detection was not associated with length of stay, chest X-ray changes or intensive care unit admission. CONCLUSION: In this disadvantaged predominately Maori and Pacific population, picornavirus is commonly found as a sole virus, respiratory syncytial virus is frequent but immunisation preventable influenza is infrequent. We did not find that co-detection of viruses was linked to severity.


Subject(s)
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Picornaviridae Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/isolation & purification , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Age Factors , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Female , Hospitals, Pediatric , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Length of Stay , Male , New Zealand/epidemiology , Picornaviridae Infections/epidemiology , Prognosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index
10.
Nicotine Tob Res ; 17(1): 48-57, 2015 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25156527

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Secondhand smoke (SHS) is a significant cause of acute respiratory illness (ARI) and 5 times more common in indigenous children. A single-blind randomized trial was undertaken to determine the efficacy of a family centered SHS intervention to reduce ARI in indigenous infants in Australia and New Zealand. METHODS: Indigenous mothers/infants from homes with ≥ 1 smoker were randomized to a SHS intervention involving 3 home visits in the first 3 months of the infants' lives (plus usual care) or usual care. The primary outcome was number of ARI-related visits to a health provider in the first year of life. Secondary outcomes, assessed at 4 and 12 months of age, included ARI hospitalization rates and mothers' report of infants' SHS exposure (validated by urinary cotinine/creatinine ratios [CCRs]), smoking restrictions, and smoking cessation. RESULTS: Two hundred and ninety-three mother/infant dyads were randomized and followed up. Three quarters of mothers smoked during pregnancy and two thirds were smoking at baseline (as were their partners), with no change for more than 12 months. Reported infant exposure to SHS was low (≥ 95% had smoke-free homes/cars). Infant CCRs were higher if one or both parents were smokers and if mothers breast fed their infants. There was no effect of the intervention on ARI events [471 intervention vs. 438 usual care (reference); incidence rate ratio = 1.10, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 0.88-1.37, p = .40]. CONCLUSIONS: Despite reporting smoke-free homes/cars, mothers and their partners continue to smoke in the first year of infants' lives, exposing them to SHS. Emphasis needs to be placed on supporting parents to stop smoking preconception, during pregnancy, and postnatal.


Subject(s)
Family , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Smoking Cessation/methods , Smoking Prevention , Tobacco Smoke Pollution/prevention & control , Adult , Australia , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Maternal-Fetal Relations , New Zealand , Population Groups , Postnatal Care , Pregnancy , Prenatal Care , Single-Blind Method , Treatment Outcome
11.
Acta Paediatr ; 104(4): 396-404, 2015 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25283480

ABSTRACT

AIM: To determine whether vitamin D supplementation reduces primary care visits for acute respiratory infection (ARI). METHODS: A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was conducted in New Zealand and powered to determine the vitamin D dose needed to achieve normal vitamin D status during infancy. Healthy pregnant women, from 27 weeks' gestation to birth, and their infants, from birth to age 6 months, were assigned to placebo or one of the two dosages of daily oral vitamin D3 . Woman/infant pairs were randomised to placebo/placebo, 1000 IU/400 IU or 2000 IU/800 IU. For this ad hoc analysis, the primary care records of enrolled children were audited to age 18 months. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixty pregnant women were randomised to placebo (n = 87), lower-dose (n = 87) or higher-dose (n = 86) vitamin D3 . In comparison with the placebo group (99%), the proportion of children making any ARI visits was smaller in the higher-dose (87%, p = 0.004), but not the lower-dose vitamin D3 group (95%, p = 0.17). The median number of ARI visits/child was less in the higher-dose vitamin D3 group from age 6-18 months (placebo 4, lower dose 3, higher dose 2.5; p = 0.048 for higher-dose vitamin D3 vs. placebo). CONCLUSION: Vitamin D3 supplementation during pregnancy and infancy reduces primary care visits for ARI during early childhood.


Subject(s)
Dietary Supplements , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Vitamin D/therapeutic use , Vitamins/therapeutic use , Acute Disease , Double-Blind Method , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Pregnancy
12.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(2): e13247, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38350715

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: New Zealand's (NZ) complete absence of community transmission of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) after May 2020, likely due to COVID-19 elimination measures, provided a rare opportunity to assess the impact of border restrictions on common respiratory viral infections over the ensuing 2 years. METHODS: We collected the data from multiple surveillance systems, including hospital-based severe acute respiratory infection surveillance, SHIVERS-II, -III and -IV community cohorts for acute respiratory infection (ARI) surveillance, HealthStat sentinel general practice (GP) based influenza-like illness surveillance and SHIVERS-V sentinel GP-based ARI surveillance, SHIVERS-V traveller ARI surveillance and laboratory-based surveillance. We described the data on influenza, RSV and other respiratory viral infections in NZ before, during and after various stages of the COVID related border restrictions. RESULTS: We observed that border closure to most people, and mandatory government-managed isolation and quarantine on arrival for those allowed to enter, appeared to be effective in keeping influenza and RSV infections out of the NZ community. Border restrictions did not affect community transmission of other respiratory viruses such as rhinovirus and parainfluenza virus type-1. Partial border relaxations through quarantine-free travel with Australia and other countries were quickly followed by importation of RSV in 2021 and influenza in 2022. CONCLUSION: Our findings inform future pandemic preparedness and strategies to model and manage the impact of influenza and other respiratory viral threats.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections , Virus Diseases , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , New Zealand/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology
13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37946717

ABSTRACT

Objective: Circulation patterns of influenza and other respiratory viruses have been globally disrupted since the emergence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the introduction of public health and social measures (PHSMs) aimed at reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. Methods: We reviewed respiratory virus laboratory data, Google mobility data and PHSMs in five geographically diverse regions in Australia and New Zealand. We also described respiratory virus activity from January 2017 to August 2021. Results: We observed a change in the prevalence of circulating respiratory viruses following the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020. Influenza activity levels were very low in all regions, lower than those recorded in 2017-2019, with less than 1% of laboratory samples testing positive for influenza virus. In contrast, rates of human rhinovirus infection were increased. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity was delayed; however, once it returned, most regions experienced activity levels well above those seen in 2017-2019. The timing of the resurgence in the circulation of both rhinovirus and RSV differed within and between the two countries. Discussion: The findings of this study suggest that as domestic and international borders are opened up and other COVID-19 PHSMs are lifted, clinicians and public health professionals should be prepared for resurgences in influenza and other respiratory viruses. Recent patterns in RSV activity suggest that these resurgences in non-COVID-19 viruses have the potential to occur out of season and with increased impact.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Australia/epidemiology
14.
J Infect ; 84(2): 216-226, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34953903

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The WHO is exploring the value of adding RSV testing to existing influenza surveillance systems to inform RSV control programs. We evaluate the usefulness of four commonly used influenza surveillance case-definitions for influenza and RSV surveillance. METHODS: SHIVERS, a multi-institutional collaboration, conducted surveillance for influenza and RSV in four New Zealand hospitals. Nurses reviewed admission logs, enrolled patients with suspected acute respiratory infections (ARI), and obtained nasopharyngeal swabs for RT-PCR. We compared the performance characteristics for identifying laboratory-confirmed influenza and RSV severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), defined as persons admitted with measured or reported fever and cough within 10 days of illness, to three other case definitions: 1. reported fever and cough or shortness of breath, 2. cough and shortness of breath, or 3. cough. RESULTS: During April-September 2012-2016, SHIVERS identified 16,055 admissions with ARI; of 6374 cases consented and tested for influenza or RSV, 5437 (85%) had SARI and 937 (15%) did not. SARI had the highest specificity in detecting influenza (40.6%) and RSV (40.8%) but the lowest sensitivity (influenza 78.8%, RSV 60.3%) among patients of all ages. Cough or shortness of breath had the highest sensitivity (influenza 99.3%, RSV 99.9%) but the lowest specificity (influenza 1.6%, RSV 1.9%). SARI sensitivity among children aged <3 months was 60.8% for influenza and 43.6% for RSV-both lower than in other age groups. CONCLUSIONS: While SARI had the highest specificity, its sensitivity was limited, especially among children aged <3 months. Cough or shortness of breath was the most sensitive.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections , Child , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/genetics
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 17(6): 983-9, 2011 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21749758

ABSTRACT

We aimed to assess the effect of invasive group A streptococcal (GAS) infection and the potential effects of a multivalent GAS vaccine in New Zealand. During January 2005-December 2006, we conducted prospective population-based laboratory surveillance of Auckland residents admitted to all public hospitals with isolation of GAS from normally sterile sites. Using emm typing, we identified 225 persons with confirmed invasive GAS infection (median 53 years of age; range 0-97 years). Overall incidence was 8.1 cases per 100,00 persons per year (20.4/100,000/year for Maori and Pacific Islanders; 24.4/100,000/year for persons >65 years of age; 33/100,000/year for infants <1 year of age). Nearly half (49%) of all cases occurred in Auckland's lowest socioeconomic quintile. Twenty-two persons died, for an overall case-fatality rate of 10% (63% for toxic shock syndrome). Seventy-four percent of patients who died had an underlying condition. To the population in our study, the proposed 26-valent vaccine would provide limited benefit.


Subject(s)
Streptococcal Infections/epidemiology , Streptococcal Vaccines/immunology , Streptococcus pyogenes/immunology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , New Zealand/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Streptococcal Infections/immunology , Streptococcal Infections/microbiology , Streptococcal Infections/mortality , Streptococcus pyogenes/isolation & purification , Young Adult
16.
Cardiol Young ; 21(4): 436-43, 2011 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21450132

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Echocardiography detects a greater prevalence of rheumatic heart disease than heart auscultation. Echocardiographic screening for rheumatic heart disease combined with secondary prophylaxis may potentially prevent severe rheumatic heart disease in high-risk populations. We aimed to determine the prevalence of rheumatic heart disease in children from an urban New Zealand population at high risk for acute rheumatic fever. METHODS AND RESULTS: To optimise accurate diagnosis of rheumatic heart disease, we utilised a two-step model. Portable echocardiography was conducted on 1142 predominantly Maori and Pacific children aged 10-13 years. Children with an abnormal screening echocardiogram underwent clinical assessment by a paediatric cardiologist together with hospital-based echocardiography. Rheumatic heart disease was then classified as definite, probable, or possible. Portable echocardiography identified changes suggestive of rheumatic heart disease in 95 (8.3%) of 1142 children, which reduced to 59 (5.2%) after cardiology assessment. The prevalence of definite and probable rheumatic heart disease was 26.0 of 1000, with 95% confidence intervals ranging from 12.6 to 39.4. Portable echocardiography overdiagnosed rheumatic heart disease with physiological valve regurgitation diagnosed in 28 children. A total of 30 children (2.6%) had non-rheumatic cardiac abnormalities, 11 of whom had minor congenital mitral valve anomalies. CONCLUSIONS: We found high rates of undetected rheumatic heart disease in this high-risk population. Rheumatic heart disease screening has resource implications with cardiology evaluation required for accurate diagnosis. Echocardiographic screening for rheumatic heart disease may overdiagnose rheumatic heart disease unless congenital mitral valve anomalies and physiological regurgitation are excluded.


Subject(s)
Echocardiography, Doppler/methods , Heart Valve Diseases/diagnosis , Mass Screening/organization & administration , Rheumatic Heart Disease/diagnosis , Adolescent , Age Distribution , Child , Cohort Studies , Diagnosis, Differential , Female , Heart Auscultation/methods , Heart Valve Diseases/epidemiology , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , New Zealand/epidemiology , Prevalence , Rheumatic Heart Disease/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , School Health Services , Sensitivity and Specificity , Sex Distribution , Urban Population
17.
Vaccine ; 39(31): 4383-4390, 2021 07 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34147296

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mathematical models of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission can help describe seasonal epidemics and assess the impact of potential vaccines and immunoprophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies (mAb). METHODS: We developed a deterministic, compartmental model for RSV transmission, which was fitted to population-based RSV hospital surveillance data from Auckland, New Zealand. The model simulated the introduction of either a maternal vaccine or a seasonal mAb among infants aged less than 6 months and estimated the reduction in RSV hospitalizations for a range of effectiveness and coverage values. RESULTS: The model accurately reproduced the annual seasonality of RSV epidemics in Auckland. We found that a maternal vaccine with effectiveness of 30-40% in the first 90 days and 15-20% for the next 90 days could reduce RSV hospitalizations by 18-24% in children younger than 3 months, by 11-14% in children aged 3-5 months, and by 2-3% in children aged 6-23 months. A seasonal infant mAb with 40-60% effectiveness for 150 days could reduce RSV hospitalizations by 30-43%, 34-48% and by 14-21% in children aged 0-2 months, 3-5 months and 6-23 months, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that either a maternal RSV vaccine or mAb would effectively reduce RSV hospitalization disease burden in New Zealand. Overall, a seasonal mAb resulted in a larger disease prevention impact than a maternal vaccine.


Subject(s)
Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Child , Hospitalization , Humans , Immunization , Infant , New Zealand/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/prevention & control
18.
Arch Dis Child ; 106(4): 339-344, 2021 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33067310

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine if administration of oral prednisolone to preschool children with acute wheeze alters respiratory outcomes. DESIGN: Double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled equivalence trial. SETTING: Three hospitals in New Zealand. PATIENTS: 477 children aged 24-59 months with acute wheeze associated with respiratory illness. INTERVENTIONS: 2 mg/kg (maximum 40 mg) oral prednisolone or similar placebo, once daily for 3 days. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was change in Preschool Respiratory Assessment Measure (PRAM) score 24 hours after intervention. Secondary outcomes included PRAM score at 4 hours, length of emergency department and inpatient stays, admission and representation rates, time to return to normal activities and use of additional oral prednisolone or intravenous medications. Analysis was by intention-to-treat. RESULTS: There was no difference between groups for change in PRAM score at 24 hours (difference between means -0.39, 95% CI -0.84 to 0.06, p=0.09). Absolute PRAM score was lower in the prednisolone group at 4 hours (median (IQR) 1 (0-2) vs 2 (0-3), p=0.01) and 24 hours (0 (0-1) vs 0 (0-1), p=0.01), when symptoms had resolved for most children regardless of initial treatment. Admission rate, requirement for additional oral prednisolone and use of intravenous medication were lower in the prednisolone group, although there were no differences between groups for time taken to return to normal activities or rates of representation within 7 days. CONCLUSION: Oral prednisolone does not alter respiratory outcomes at 24 hours or beyond in preschool children presenting with acute wheeze.


Subject(s)
Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Prednisolone/therapeutic use , Respiratory Sounds/drug effects , Respiratory Tract Diseases/complications , Acute Disease , Administration, Oral , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/administration & dosage , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Double-Blind Method , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , New Zealand/epidemiology , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Placebos/administration & dosage , Prednisolone/administration & dosage , Respiratory Sounds/physiopathology
19.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 1001, 2021 02 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33579926

ABSTRACT

Stringent nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as lockdowns and border closures are not currently recommended for pandemic influenza control. New Zealand used these NPIs to eliminate coronavirus disease 2019 during its first wave. Using multiple surveillance systems, we observed a parallel and unprecedented reduction of influenza and other respiratory viral infections in 2020. This finding supports the use of these NPIs for controlling pandemic influenza and other severe respiratory viral threats.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/virology , Communicable Disease Control , Epidemiological Monitoring , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/virology , New Zealand/epidemiology , Pandemics , Public Health , Respiratory Tract Infections/prevention & control , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification
20.
BMC Public Health ; 10: 114, 2010 Mar 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20205950

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute respiratory illness (ARI) is the most common cause of acute presentations and hospitalisations of young Indigenous children in Australia and New Zealand (NZ). Environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) from household smoking is a significant and preventable contributor to childhood ARI. This paper describes the protocol for a study which aims to test the efficacy of a family-centred tobacco control program about ETS to improve the respiratory health of Indigenous infants in Australia and New Zealand. For the purpose of this paper 'Indigenous' refers to Australia's Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples when referring to Australian Indigenous populations. In New Zealand, the term 'Indigenous' refers to Maori. METHODS/DESIGN: This study will be a parallel, randomized, controlled trial. Participants will be Indigenous women and their infants, half of whom will be randomly allocated to an 'intervention' group, who will receive the tobacco control program over three home visits in the first three months of the infant's life and half to a control group receiving 'usual care' (i.e. they will not receive the tobacco control program). Indigenous health workers will deliver the intervention, the goal of which is to reduce or eliminate infant exposure to ETS. Data collection will occur at baseline (shortly after birth) and when the infant is four months and one year of age. The primary outcome is a doctor-diagnosed, documented case of respiratory illness in participating infants. DISCUSSION: Interventions aimed at reducing exposure of Indigenous children to ETS have the potential for significant benefits for Indigenous communities. There is currently a dearth of evidence for the effect of tobacco control interventions to reduce children's exposure to ETS among Indigenous populations. This study will provide high-quality evidence of the efficacy of a family-centred tobacco control program on ETS to reduce respiratory illness. Outcomes of our study will be important and significant for Indigenous tobacco control in Australia and New Zealand and prevention of respiratory illness in children.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/prevention & control , Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander , Respiratory Tract Diseases/prevention & control , Smoking Cessation/methods , Tobacco Smoke Pollution/prevention & control , Australia , Clinical Protocols , Double-Blind Method , Family , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Infant , Male , New Zealand , Patient Selection , Population Groups , Research Design , Sample Size
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