Association between type of drinking water and upper gastrointestinal cancer incidence in the Linxian General Population.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to explore the association between drinking water source and risk of upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer, including esophageal cancer (EC) and gastric cancer (GC), in the Linxian General Population Nutrition Intervention Trial (NIT) cohort. METHODS: In this study, we used data from the Linxian NIT cohort, which included 29,584 healthy adults aged 40 to 69 years. Subjects were enrolled in April 1986 and followed up until March 2016. Tap water drinking status and demographic characteristics were collected at baseline. Subjects who drank tap water were treated as the exposed group. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were estimated using the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: A total of 5,463 cases of UGI cancer were identified during the 30-year follow-up period. After adjusting for multiple factors, the incidence rate of UGI cancer in participants who drank tap water was significantly lower compared with individuals in the control (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86-0.97). A similar association was observed between tap water drinking and EC incidence (HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.82-0.97). The association between drinking tap water and risk of UGI cancer and EC incidence did not vary across the subgroup by age and gender (All Pinteraction > 0.05). For EC incidence, an interaction effect was observed for riboflavin/niacin supplements and drinking water source (Pinteraction = 0.03). No association was observed between drinking water source and GC incidence. CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective cohort study in Linxian, participants who drank tap water had a lower risk of EC incidence. As a source of drinking water, use of tap water may reduce the risk of EC by avoiding exposure to nitrate/nitrite. Measures should be taken to improve the quality of drinking water in high-incidence areas of EC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00342654, 21/06/2006), and the trial name is Nutrition Intervention Trials in Linxian Follow-up Study.

Association between whole blood essential trace elements and cognitive function in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Essential trace elements (ETEs) are essential nutrients for keeping the nervous system functioning. Associations between ETEs and cognitive function are still inconclusive and limited. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the individual and joint associations between ETEs and cognitive function among older adults. METHODS: A population (N = 2181) at an average age≥ 65 from Yiwu cohort in China was available for this study. Whole blood chromium (Cr), selenium (Se), manganese (Mn), and copper (Cu) concentrations were measured by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), consisting of five specific cognitive domains: orientation, registry, attention and calculation, recall, and language and praxis. Linear regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) were used to analyze the individual and joint associations between ETEs and cognitive function. RESULTS: The association between Cr and MMSE score presented an inverted-U shape (Q3 versus Q1: ß = 0.774, 95 % CI: 0.297, 1.250; Q4 versus Q1: ß = 0.481, 95 % CI: 0.006, 0.956); and Cr was especially associated with the registry, recall, and language and praxis. Per IQR (36.32 µg/L) increase of Se was positively associated with the MMSE score (ß = 0.497, 95 % CI: 0.277, 0.717) and all five cognitive domains. The BKMR showed that the dose-response association between Se and cognitive function increased initially and then decreased with increasing Se concentration when fixed the other ETEs in median. ETEs mixture was positively associated with cognitive function, and Se (posterior inclusion probabilities, PIPs = 0.915) was the most important contributor within the ETEs mixture. CONCLUSIONS: The nonlinear association between Cr and cognitive function suggested further exploration of an appropriate concentration range for ETEs. A positive association between mixed ETEs and cognitive function is a reminder that their joint association should be considered. Further prospective studies or intervention studies are warranted to validate our findings in the future.

Combined risk factors and risk of upper gastrointestinal cancer mortality in the Linxian general population.

We aimed to explore the association of combined risk factors with risk of death from upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer, including esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), gastric cardia carcinoma (GCC) and gastric noncardia carcinoma (GNCC) in the Linxian Nutrition Intervention Trial (NIT) cohort. The NIT cohort included 29 584 healthy adults. A combined risk score (CRS) was calculated using a point system method based on 10 risk factors collected at baseline, including gender, smoking, alcohol drinking, body mass index, family history of UGI cancer, drinking tap water, tooth loss and consumption of fresh fruit, eggs and meat. Possible score ranged from 0 to 31, and higher score indicated as poorer health status. Subjects were divided into three groups by the CRS (<12 points, 12 to 20 points and >20 points). The group of CRS <12 points was considered as the reference. During the 30-year follow-up, we identified 4553 UGI cancer deaths. Compared to subjects with a CRS <12 points, the adjusted HRs for CRS of 12 to 20 points and >20 points were 1.69 (95% CI: 1.56-1.83) and 3.06 (95% CI: 2.82-3.33) for UGI cancer mortality, respectively (Ptrend < .001). Comparable associations were also observed for ESCC, GCC and GNCC mortality. Results remained similar across different age groups (Pinteraction > .05). All HRs observed in the second half follow-up period were stronger than that observed in the first half follow-up period. Our study indicated that higher CRS was associated with increased risk of UGI cancer mortality. Appropriate measures should be taken to reduce unhealthy lifestyles.

Mortality after multivitamin supplementation: Nearly 35-year follow-up of the randomized Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to update the association between multivitamin supplementation and total or cause-specific mortality in a population with a high prevalence of undernutrition in China. METHODS: The Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in which 3318 persons aged 40-69 years with esophageal squamous dysplasia were assigned to receive daily multivitamin supplementation or a placebo for 6 years and were followed for 29 years. The primary outcome was esophageal/gastric cardia cancer mortality. The data were analyzed with Cox proportional hazards regression models. Subgroup analyses were performed by common characteristics such as age and gender. RESULTS: The cumulative total mortality was 83.5%. Multivitamin supplementation did not affect total or cause-specific mortality in the participants as a whole (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-1.03). Subgroup analyses showed that no association between multivitamin supplementation and all-cause mortality was observed in men (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-1.01), women (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.91-1.12), younger participants (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.87-1.08), or older participants (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.85-1.04). Significant reductions in heart disease mortality (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.47-0.87) and cerebrovascular disease mortality (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-1.00) were seen in older men. In a subgroup of younger men and a subgroup of moderate or severe dysplasia, subjects receiving multivitamin supplementation had a lower risk of esophageal/cardia cancer mortality (HR for younger men, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.58-0.99; HR for moderate or severe dysplasia, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.58-1.00). No association between multivitamin supplementation and any cause-specific mortality was observed in a mild dysplasia population. CONCLUSIONS: Multivitamin supplementation in a population with esophageal squamous dysplasia was not associated with the risk of total mortality in the 35-year follow-up of this randomized controlled trial. In light of this and previous trials, multivitamin supplements should be used thoughtfully to improve health status of populations with esophageal squamous dysplasia. LAY SUMMARY: Multivitamin supplementation is common, yet its effect on mortality is unclear. The aim of this study was to update the long-term effects of multivitamin supplementation on total and cause-specific mortality during nearly 35 years of follow-up in the Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial in China. Multivitamin supplementation in a population with esophageal squamous dysplasia was not associated with the risk of total mortality in the 35-year follow-up of this randomized controlled trial, and this indicates that multivitamin supplements should be used thoughtfully to improve health status.

HDL-C, longitudinal change and risk of mortality in a Chinese cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration and variability are both important factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. We aimed to explore the associations of HDL-C and longitudinal change in HDL-C with risk of mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited a total of 69,163 participants aged ≥40 years and had medical examination records of HDL-C during 2010-2014 from the Yinzhou District, Ningbo, China. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. We observed a non-linear association of HDL-C with risks of non-accidental and CVD mortality. Compared with the moderate concentration group (1.4-1.6 mmol/L), HDL-C <1 mmol/L was associated with a higher risk of non-accidental mortality (HR: 1.13 (95% CI: 1.01-1.27)) and both HDL-C <1 mmol/L and ≥2 mmol/L were associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality (HRs: 1.23 (95% CI: 1.01-1.50) and 1.37 (95% CI: 1.03-1.82), respectively). Compared with the stable group ([-0.1, +0.1 mmol/L]), a large decrease ([-0.5, -0.3 mmol/L]) and very large decrease (<-0.5 mmol/L) in HDL-C were associated with a higher risk of non-accidental mortality (HRs: 1.40 (95% CI: 1.21-1.63) and 1.78 (95% CI: 1.44-2.20), respectively). Similar results were observed for CVD mortality and cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Extremely low or high HDL-C and a large decrease or very large decrease in HDL-C were associated with a higher risk of cause-specific mortality. Monitoring of HDL-C may have utility in identifying individuals at higher risk of mortality.

Effect of COVID-19 on hospital visits in Ningbo, China: an interrupted time-series analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Unprecedented rigorous public health measures were implemented during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic, but it is still unclear how the intervention influenced hospital visits for different types of diseases. We aimed to evaluate the impact of the intervention on hospital visits in Yinzhou District, Ningbo, Zhejiang province, China. METHODS: We conducted an interrupted time-series analysis from 1 January 2017 to 6 September 2020 based on the Yinzhou Health Information System in Ningbo, Zhejiang province. The beginning of the intervention was on 23 January 2020, and thus, there were 160 weeks before the intervention and 32 weeks after the implementation of the intervention. Level changes between expected and observed hospital visits in the post-intervention period were estimated using quasi-Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Compared with the expected level, there was an estimated decrease of -22.60% (95% confidence interval (CI): -27.53%, -17.36%) in the observed total hospital visits following the intervention. Observed hospital visits for diseases of the respiratory system were found to be decreased dramatically (-62.25%; 95% CI: -65.62%, -58.60%). However, observed hospital visits for certain diseases were estimated to be increased, including diseases of the nervous system (+11.17%; 95% CI: +3.21%, +19.74%); diseases of pregnancy, childbirth and the puerperium (+27.01%; 95% CI: +17.89%, +36.85%); certain conditions originating in the perinatal period (+45.05%; 95% CI: +30.24%, +61.56%); and congenital malformation deformations and chromosomal abnormalities (+35.50%; 95% CI: +21.24%, +51.45%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provided scientific evidence that cause-specific hospital visits evolve differently following the intervention during the COVID-19 epidemic.

Association between visit-to-visit variability of HbA1c and cognitive decline: a pooled analysis of two prospective population-based cohorts.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between visit-to-visit variability in HbA1c and cognitive function decline in the elderly population. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of two prospective population-based cohorts (the Health Retirement Study [HRS] and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing [ELSA]). Cognitive function, including memory and executive function, were assessed at baseline and every 2 years, while HbA1c levels were assessed at baseline and every 4 years. Visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in HbA1c was calculated using the CV, SD and variation independent of the mean (VIM) during the follow-up period. Linear mixed models were used to evaluate the association between HbA1c variability and cognitive function decline with adjustment for demographics, mean HbA1c, education, smoking, alcohol consumption, BMI, baseline hypertension, baseline diabetes status and HDL-cholesterol. RESULTS: The study enrolled 6237 participants (58.23% women, mean age 63.38 ± 8.62 years) with at least three measurements of HbA1c. The median follow-up duration was 10.56 ± 1.86 years. In the overall sample, compared with the lowest quartile of HbA1c variability, participants in the highest quartile of HbA1c variability had a significantly worse memory decline rate (-0.094 SD/year, 95% CI -0.185, -0.003) and executive function decline rate (-0.083 SD/year, 95% CI -0.125, -0.041), irrespective of mean HbA1c values over time. Among individuals without diabetes, each 1-SD increment in HbA1c CV was associated with a significantly higher rate of memory z score decline (-0.029, 95% CI -0.052, -0.005) and executive function z score decline (-0.049, 95% CI -0.079, -0.018) in the fully adjusted model. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We observed a significant association between long-term HbA1c variability and cognitive decline among the non-diabetic population in this study. The effect of maintaining steady glucose control on the rate of cognitive decline merits further investigation.

Regression-based normative data for social health scale for the elderly (short version) in eastern China.

BACKGROUNDS: Social Health Scale for the Elderly short version (SHSE-S) is a psychometrically sound instrument that comprehensively assesses the social health status of older adults in China. The aim of the present study was to establish continuous normative data of SHSE-S. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter cross-sectional study among 31 communities in eastern China. Older adults aged 60 years and above were invited to participate in the study. Each participant was interviewed in-person to finish a structured questionnaire. The SHES-S score was calculated and standardized for each participant. We split the sample into generation and validation datasets and compared the distribution of SHSE-S score between two datasets. Multivariable linear regression was used to assess the SHSE-S score and demographic variables. Regression-based norms were built using a four-step process. RESULTS: A total of 6089 participants (51.2% females) aged 60 years old and above (mean age = 71.3, SD = 8.0) were enrolled as the normative sample. No significant difference was found between the distribution of SHSE-S standardized score in the generation (N = 2392) and validation (N = 3697) datasets. Multivariable linear regression showed that females, higher education levels were positive indicators while aging, living alone, divorced or never married, multimorbidity were negative factors. The regression-based norm which taking demographic factors into account was established and a user-friendly worksheet was also provided to facilitate the scoring and norming of the SHSE-S. CONCLUSIONS: The population-based regression norm of SHSE-S can be a useful tool for assessing the social health status of the Chinese elderly population.

Intra-individual variability of total cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular disease mortality: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The relationship between serum total cholesterol (TC) and mortality remains inconsistent. Additionally, intra-individual variability of cholesterol has been of increasing interest as a new indicator for health outcomes. We aimed to examine the association between TC and its variability and risk of mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study with 122,645 individuals aged over 40 years in Ningbo, China. The intra-individual variability was calculated using four metrics including standard deviation, coefficient variation, variation independent of mean and average successive variability. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated for the associations of baseline and variability in TC with risk of mortality by Cox proportional hazards regression models. During 591,585.3 person-years of follow-up, 4563 deaths (including 1365 from cardiovascular disease, 788 from stroke and 1514 from cancer) occurred. A U-shaped association was observed for baseline TC level and risk of total, cardiovascular and cancer mortality, with lowest mortality at 5.46 mmol/L, 5.04 mmol/L and 5.51 mmol/L, respectively. As compared with subjects with TC variability in the lowest quartile, individuals in the highest quartile had 21% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.40), and 41% higher risk of CVD mortality (HR = 1.41, 95%CI: 1.10 to 1.81). CONCLUSION: Both too low and too high baseline TC level were associated with higher risk of total, cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality. Variability of TC could be a risk factor of total and CVD mortality, independent of mean TC level. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Air pollution exposures and blood pressure variation in type-2 diabetes mellitus patients: A retrospective cohort study in China.

Air pollution exposure has been associated with hypertension, but limited studies have examined the associations in diabetic patients. We aimed to examine the associations of exposure to air pollution with blood pressure in diabetic patients. We identified patients who were previously diagnosed as type-2 diabetes mellitus from hospital records from January 2013 to May 2017. We used generalized linear models to estimate adverse effects of air pollution on systolic/diastolic blood pressure in diabetic patients. A total of 40,125 patients were enrolled in this study. An IQR increase in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, and O3 exposure was associated with an increased risk of higher systolic blood pressure level (ß = 0.628 for PM2.5, ß = 0.758 for PM10, ß = 0.766 for NO2, ß = 0.516 for SO2, ß = 0.482 for O3, all P value < 0.05). Significant associations were observed for some air pollutants and SBP among patients with fasting blood glucose (FBG) ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, normal weight, and younger age. Little evidence was available for the associations between particulate matter (PM) or O3 exposure and diastolic blood pressure in present study. In our study, diabetic patients were at increased risk of higher blood pressure when exposed to higher residential PM, NO2 and SO2. Individuals with lower BMI, younger age, and FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L were more susceptible to the adverse effects of ambient air pollution.

Attributable causes of colorectal cancer in China.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is the 4th common cancer in China. Most colorectal cancers are due to modifiable lifestyle factors, but few studies have provided a systematic evidence-based assessment of the burden of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality attributable to the known risk factors in China. METHODS: We estimated the population attributable faction (PAF) for each selected risk factor in China, based on the prevalence of exposure around 2000 and relative risks from cohort studies and meta-analyses. RESULTS: Among 245,000 new cases and 139,000 deaths of colorectal cancer in China in 2012, we found that 115,578 incident cases and 63,102 deaths of colorectal cancer were attributable to smoking, alcohol drinking, overweight and obesity, physical inactivity and dietary factors. Low vegetable intake was the main risk factor for colorectal cancer with a PAF of 17.9%. Physical inactivity was responsible for 8.9% of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. The remaining factors, including high red and processed meat intake, low fruit intake, alcohol drinking, overweight/obesity and smoking, accounted for 8.6%, 6.4%, 5.4%, 5.3% and 4.9% of colorectal cancer, respectively. Overall, 45.5% of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality were attributable to the joint effects of these seven risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco smoking, alcohol drinking, overweight or obesity, physical inactivity, low vegetable intake, low fruit intake, and high red and processed meat intake were responsible for nearly 46% of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in China in 2012. Our findings could provide a basis for developing guidelines of colorectal cancer prevention and control in China.

Association between ambient air pollutants and preterm birth in Ningbo, China: a time-series study.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to air pollutants has been related to preterm birth, but little evidence can be available for PM2.5, O3 and CO in China. This study aimed to investigate the short-term effect of exposure to air pollutants on risk preterm birth during 2014-2016 in Ningbo, China. METHODS: We conducted a time-series study to evaluate the associations between daily preterm birth and major air pollutants (including PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, O3 and CO) in Ningbo during 2014-2016. A General Additive Model extend Poisson regression was used to evaluate the relationship between preterm birth and air pollution with adjustment for time-trend, meteorological factors and day of the week (DOW). We also conducted a subgroup analysis by season and age. RESULTS: In this study, a total of 37,389 birth occurred between 2014 and 2016 from the Electronic Medical Records System of Ningbo Women and Children's Hospital, of which 5428 were verified as preterm birth. The single pollutant model suggested that lag effect of PM2.5, PM10, NO2 reached a peak at day 3 before delivery and day 6 for SO2, and no relationships were observed for O3 and preterm birth. Excess risks (95% confidence intervals) for an increase of IQR of air pollutant concentrations were 4.84 (95% CI: 1.77, 8.00) for PM2.5, 3.56 (95% CI: 0.07, 7.17) for PM10, 3.65 (95% CI: 0.86, 6.51) for SO2, 6.49 (95% CI: 1.86, 11.34) for NO2, - 0.90 (95% CI: -4.76, 3.11) for O3, and 3.36 (95% CI: 0.50, 6.30) for CO. Sensitivity analyses by exclusion of maternal age < 18 or > 35 years did not materially alter our results. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that short-term exposure to air pollutants (including PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2) are positively associated with risk of preterm birth in Ningbo, China.

Body mass index and risk of gastric cancer: A 30-year follow-up study in the Linxian general population trial cohort.

Although a number of previous studies have noted either positive or no association for body mass index (BMI) and gastric cancer risk, little evidence exists in the Chinese population. We prospectively examined the associations of BMI with risk of gastric cancer in the Linxian General Population Trial cohort, with 29 584 healthy adults enrolled in 1985 and followed through to the end of 2014. Body weight and height were measured during physical examination at baseline and BMI was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Body mass index from 138 subjects was missing, and a total of 29 446 participants were included in the final analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. During 30 years of follow-up, we confirmed 1716 newly diagnosed gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA) cases and 626 new gastric non-cardia adenocarcinoma (GNCA) cases. Overall, compared to the lowest quartile (BMI <20.32 kg/m2 ), subjects in the fourth quartile (BMI ≥23.31 kg/m2 ) subjects had lower risk of developing GNCA (hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.51-0.83). Age- and sex-specific analyses showed that this protective effect was only observed in men and older (52 + years) persons. No associations were observed for BMI with GCA incidence. Higher BMI was associated with decreased risk of GNCA in this population, particularly in men and older persons. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00342654.

ADME Properties Evaluation in Drug Discovery: Prediction of Caco-2 Cell Permeability Using a Combination of NSGA-II and Boosting.

The Caco-2 cell monolayer model is a popular surrogate in predicting the in vitro human intestinal permeability of a drug due to its morphological and functional similarity with human enterocytes. A quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) study was carried out to predict Caco-2 cell permeability of a large data set consisting of 1272 compounds. Four different methods including multivariate linear regression (MLR), partial least-squares (PLS), support vector machine (SVM) regression and Boosting were employed to build prediction models with 30 molecular descriptors selected by nondominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II). The best Boosting model was obtained finally with R(2) = 0.97, RMSEF = 0.12, Q(2) = 0.83, RMSECV = 0.31 for the training set and RT(2) = 0.81, RMSET = 0.31 for the test set. A series of validation methods were used to assess the robustness and predictive ability of our model according to the OECD principles and then define its applicability domain. Compared with the reported QSAR/QSPR models about Caco-2 cell permeability, our model exhibits certain advantage in database size and prediction accuracy to some extent. Finally, we found that the polar volume, the hydrogen bond donor, the surface area and some other descriptors can influence the Caco-2 permeability to some extent. These results suggest that the proposed model is a good tool for predicting the permeability of drug candidates and to perform virtual screening in the early stage of drug development.

Prevalence of type-specific human papillomavirus and pap results in Chinese women: a multi-center, population-based cross-sectional study.

PURPOSE: To estimate the burden of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection among sexually active women in China. METHODS: We conducted a multi-center, population-based study between May 2006 and April 2007. A total of 4,215 women aged 17-54 years were surveyed from five geographical sites: Beijing, Shanghai, Shanxi, Henan, and Xinjiang. Direct endocervical exfoliated cells were collected from consenting participants for Sure Path liquid-based cytology (BD) and HPV testing. HPV testing was performed with Hybrid Capture II (Qiagen) with high-risk and low-risk probes, and Linear Array (Roche) was utilized for HPV genotyping. RESULTS: Approximately 11 % of the study population had a cytological abnormality (ASCUS or worse). HPV prevalence in the entire study population was 14.3 % (age-standardized to the world standard female population 14.5 %). The most prevalent types found were HPV16 (2.9 %), HPV52 (1.7 %), HPV58 (1.5 %), HPV33 (1 %), and HPV18 (0.8 %). Patterns of HPV prevalence differed by age, geographic region, and cytology findings. However, HPV16 was predominant among all grades of cytological abnormalities for all areas. CONCLUSIONS: Although HPV18 appeared to be less frequent among population-based samples of China, given the high prevalence of HPV 16 and 18 in high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) or worse pap abnormalities, prophylactic HPV16/18 vaccines should substantially reduce the burden of cervical cancer in China.

[Population-attributable risk estimates for breast cancer in Chinese females].

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the contribution of known identified risk factors to breast cancer incidence and mortality in China, and provide evidence to support the prevention and control of breast cancer for Chinese females. METHODS: We calculated the proportion of breast cancer attributable to specific risk factors. Data on exposure prevalence were obtained from Meta-analyses and large-scale national surveys of representative samples of the Chinese population. Data on relative risks were obtained from Meta-analyses and large-scale prospective studies. Cancer mortality and incidence were taken from the Third National Death Survey and from cancer registries in China. RESULTS: The first 5 risk factors of breast cancer in China were benign breast disease (RR = 2.62), family history of breast cancer (RR = 2.39), smoking (RR = 1.86), overweight (RR = 1.60) and age at menarche (RR = 1.54). The proportion of breast cancer deaths attributable to reproductive factors, lifestyle factors, benign breast disease, the use of external hormone and family history of breast cancer was 27.84%, 23.55%, 15.09%, 3.60% and 2.49%, respectively. The total population attributable fraction (PAF) was 55.95% for risk factors in our study. Overall, we estimated that 79 862 breast cancer cases and 22 456 deaths were attributed to the five risk factors in China in 2005. CONCLUSIONS: The prevention and control of unhealthy lifestyle factors may significantly reduce the number and death of breast cancer in China.

Trends of obesity and overweight among children and adolescents in China.

BACKGROUND: Recent decades have shown a rapid increase in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among Chinese children based on several national surveys. Restrictions due to the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak have worsened its epidemiology. This review updates the trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among Chinese children and adolescents and analyzes the underlying reasons to provide evidence for better policy making. METHODS: Studies published in English and Chinese were retrieved from PubMed, Google Scholar, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang. RESULTS: The prevalence of overweight and obesity has been increasing for decades and varies with age, sex and geography but is more pronounced in primary school students. The increase in obesity in boys appeared to be slower, whereas that in girls showed a declining trend. The northern areas of China have persistently maintained the highest levels of obesity with a stable trend in recent years. Meanwhile, the prevalence in eastern regions has dramatically increased. Notably, the overall prevalence of obesity in children has shown a stabilizing trend in recent years. However, the occurrence of obesity-related metabolic diseases increased. The effect of migrants floating into east-coast cities should not be neglected. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of overweight and obesity among Chinese children and adolescents persists but with varying patterns. Obesity-related metabolic diseases occur more frequently despite a stable trend of obesity. Multiple factors are responsible for the changing prevalence. Thus, comprehensive and flexible policies are needed to effectively manage and prevent the burden of obesity and its related complications.

Estimation of cancer incidence and mortality attributable to overweight, obesity, and physical inactivity in China.

The objective was to provide an evidence-based, systematic assessment of the burden of cancer due to overweight/obesity and physical inactivity in China. This study evaluated the proportion of cancers of colon, rectum, pancreas, breast (postmenopausal), endometrium, and kidney attributable to overweight [30 kg/m(2) > body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m(2))/obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m(2)) and physical inactivity in China in 2005. Data of prevalence of overweight/obesity and lack of physical activity were derived from cross-sectional surveys among representative samples of Chinese population, and data of relative risks on cancers were derived from meta-analyses or large-scale studies from China and East Asian populations. The attributable fractions were calculated by combining both data of prevalence and relative risks. In China in 2005, 0.32% of cancer deaths and 0.65% of cancer cases were attributable to overweight and obesity combined. Lack of physical activity was responsible for 0.27% of cancer deaths and 0.39% of cancer cases. Future projections indicate that the contribution of overweight and obesity to the overall cancer burden will increase in the next decades. The largest increased attributable fractions will be for endometrial cancer. The increase in attributable fractions would be greater in men and in rural populations. Although the current burden of cancer associated with overweight/obesity and physical inactivity is still relatively small in China, it is expected to increase in the future.

Attributable causes of breast cancer and ovarian cancer in china: reproductive factors, oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To provide an evidence-based, consistent assessment of the burden of breast cancer attributable to reproductive factors (RFs, including nulliparity, mean number of children, age at first birth and breastfeeding), use of oral contraceptives (OCs, restricted to the age group of 15-49 years), and hormone replacement therapy (HRT), as well as of the burden of ovarian cancer attributable to the mean number of children in China in 2005. METHODS: We derived the prevalence of these risk factors and the relative risk of breast and ovarian cancer from national surveys or large-scale studies conducted in China. In the case of RFs, we compared the exposure distributions in 2001 and counterfactual exposure. RESULTS: Exposure of RFs in 2001 was found to account for 6.74% of breast cancer, corresponding to 9,617 cases and 2,769 deaths, and for 2.78% of ovarian cancer (711 cases, 294 deaths). The decrease in mean number of children alone was responsible for 1.47% of breast cancer and 2.78% of ovarian cancer. The prevalence of OC use was 1.74% and the population attributable fraction (PAF) of breast cancer was 0.71%, corresponding to 310 cases and 90 deaths. The PAF of breast cancer due to HRT was 0.31%, resulting in 297 cases and 85 deaths. CONCLUSION: RFs changes in China contributed to a sizable fraction of breast and ovarian cancer incidence and mortality, whereas HRT and OCs accounted for relatively low incidence of breast cancer in China.

Combined Lifestyle Factors and Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality Among Participants in the Linxian Nutrition Intervention Trial: A Cohort, Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have indicated that combinations of lifestyle and dietary factors are associated with risk of total mortality and death from cardiovascular disease and cancer, but limited data are available from long-term follow-up studies in China. METHODS: This study was a observational cohort study. We prospectively examined the associations of combined lifestyle factors and risk of total and cause-specific mortality in the Linxian General Population Nutrition Intervention Trial (NIT) cohort that included 29,584 healthy adults. A points system method was used to calculate a combined risk score of five lifestyle factors, including smoking, alcohol drinking, body mass index, vegetable intake and fruit intake. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: Overall, adjusted hazard ratios for mortality increased progressively with an increasing combined risk score. Compared to individuals with a score of zero or one, HRs (95%CIs) for a score of five or above were 1.59 (1.44-1.75) for all-cause mortality, 1.67 (1.48-1.88) for heart disease, 1.69 (1.52-1.88) for stroke, and 1.34 (1.21, 1.47) for cancer. This association for mortality was seen consistently, regardless of gender and age at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: A higher combined risk score was positively associated with risk of total, heart disease, stroke, and cancer mortality. These findings could provide further evidence for the idea that healthy lifestyle is the optimal way to reduce the risk of premature death, and encourage behavior change.