ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Adjustment for race is discouraged in lung-function testing, but the implications of adopting race-neutral equations have not been comprehensively quantified. METHODS: We obtained longitudinal data from 369,077 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, U.K. Biobank, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. Using these data, we compared the race-based 2012 Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI-2012) equations with race-neutral equations introduced in 2022 (GLI-Global). Evaluated outcomes included national projections of clinical, occupational, and financial reclassifications; individual lung-allocation scores for transplantation priority; and concordance statistics (C statistics) for clinical prediction tasks. RESULTS: Among the 249 million persons in the United States between 6 and 79 years of age who are able to produce high-quality spirometric results, the use of GLI-Global equations may reclassify ventilatory impairment for 12.5 million persons, medical impairment ratings for 8.16 million, occupational eligibility for 2.28 million, grading of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease for 2.05 million, and military disability compensation for 413,000. These potential changes differed according to race; for example, classifications of nonobstructive ventilatory impairment may change dramatically, increasing 141% (95% confidence interval [CI], 113 to 169) among Black persons and decreasing 69% (95% CI, 63 to 74) among White persons. Annual disability payments may increase by more than $1 billion among Black veterans and decrease by $0.5 billion among White veterans. GLI-2012 and GLI-Global equations had similar discriminative accuracy with regard to respiratory symptoms, health care utilization, new-onset disease, death from any cause, death related to respiratory disease, and death among persons on a transplant waiting list, with differences in C statistics ranging from -0.008 to 0.011. CONCLUSIONS: The use of race-based and race-neutral equations generated similarly accurate predictions of respiratory outcomes but assigned different disease classifications, occupational eligibility, and disability compensation for millions of persons, with effects diverging according to race. (Funded by the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute and the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.).
Subject(s)
Respiratory Function Tests , Respiratory Insufficiency , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Child , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Lung Diseases/diagnosis , Lung Diseases/economics , Lung Diseases/ethnology , Lung Diseases/therapy , Lung Transplantation/statistics & numerical data , Nutrition Surveys/statistics & numerical data , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/diagnosis , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/economics , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/ethnology , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/therapy , Racial Groups , Respiratory Function Tests/classification , Respiratory Function Tests/economics , Respiratory Function Tests/standards , Spirometry , United States/epidemiology , Respiratory Insufficiency/diagnosis , Respiratory Insufficiency/economics , Respiratory Insufficiency/ethnology , Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , White/statistics & numerical data , Disability Evaluation , Veterans Disability Claims/classification , Veterans Disability Claims/economics , Veterans Disability Claims/statistics & numerical data , Disabled Persons/classification , Disabled Persons/statistics & numerical data , Occupational Diseases/diagnosis , Occupational Diseases/economics , Occupational Diseases/ethnology , Financing, Government/economics , Financing, Government/statistics & numerical dataABSTRACT
Epidemiologic studies demonstrate an association between early-life respiratory illnesses (RIs) and the development of childhood asthma. However, it remains uncertain whether these children are predisposed to both conditions or if early-life RIs induce alterations in airway function, immune responses, or other human biology that contribute to the development of asthma. Puerto Rican children experience a disproportionate burden of early-life RIs and asthma, making them an important population for investigating this complex interplay. PRIMERO, the Puerto Rican Infant Metagenomics and Epidemiologic Study of Respiratory Outcomes , recruited pregnant women and their newborns to investigate how the airways develop in early life among infants exposed to different viral RIs, and will thus provide a critical understanding of childhood asthma development. As the first asthma birth cohort in Puerto Rico, PRIMERO will prospectively follow 2,100 term healthy infants. Collected samples include post-term maternal peripheral blood, infant cord blood, the child's peripheral blood at the year two visit, and the child's nasal airway epithelium, collected using minimally invasive nasal swabs, at birth, during RIs over the first two years of life, and at annual healthy visits until age five. Herein, we describe the study's design, population, recruitment strategy, study visits and procedures, and primary outcomes.