Association between the insulin resistance and all-cause mortality in patients with moderate and severe aortic stenosis: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance (IR). However, whether the TyG index has prognostic value in patients with moderate to severe aortic stenosis (AS) remains unclear. METHODS: This study enrolled 317 patients with moderate to severe AS at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University. The patients were grouped according to the cut-off value of the TyG index. Cox regression with Firth's penalized maximum likelihood method and restricted cubic splines regression were conducted to assess the association between the TyG index and all-cause mortality. The added value of the TyG index included in the traditional risk factors model for outcome prediction was also analyzed. RESULTS: Among 317 patients (mean age 67.70 years, 62.8% male), there was 84 all-cause mortality during a median 38.07 months follow-up. After fully adjusting for confounders, a per-unit increase in the TyG index was associated with a 62% higher all-cause mortality risk (HR 1.622, 95% CI 1.086-2.416, p = 0.018). The restricted cubic splines regression model revealed a linear association between the TyG index and the risk of all-cause mortality (p for nonlinearity = 0.632). The addition of the TyG index in the basic risk model has an incremental effect on the prediction of mortality [C-statistic change from 0.755 to 0.768; continuous net reclassification improvement (95% CI): 0.299 (0.051-0.546), p = 0.017; integrated discrimination improvement: 0.017 (0.001-0.033), p = 0.044]. CONCLUSIONS: Higher IR assessed by the TyG index was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality in patients with moderate and severe AS.

Targeting the Efficacy of Intensive Blood Pressure Treatment in Hypertensive Patients　- An Exploratory Analysis of SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive patients show highly heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) and cardiovascular prognosis, and not all benefit from intensive blood pressure treatment.Methods and Results: We used the causal forest model to identify potential HTEs of patients in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). Cox regression was performed to assess hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes and to compare the effects of intensive treatment among groups. The model revealed 3 representative covariates and patients were partitioned into 4 subgroups: Group 1 (baseline body mass index [BMI] ≤28.32 kg/m2and estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] ≤69.53 mL/min/1.73 m2); Group 2 (baseline BMI ≤28.32 kg/m2and eGFR >69.53 mL/min/1.73 m2); Group 3 (baseline BMI >28.32 kg/m2and 10-year CVD risk ≤15.8%); Group 4 (baseline BMI >28.32 kg/m2and 10-year CVD risk >15.8%). Intensive treatment was shown to be beneficial only in Group 2 (HR 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35-0.82; P=0.004) and Group 4 (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.52-0.91; P=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Intensive treatment was effective for patients with high BMI and 10-year CVD risk, or low BMI and normal eGFR, but not for those with low BMI and eGFR, or high BMI and low 10-year CVD risk. Our study could facilitate the categorization of hypertensive patients, ensuring individualized therapy.

Risk score for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) and hemodynamically significant aortic valve stenosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Multiple studies have investigated the association between coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and aortic valve stenosis (AS). However, limited studies have explored the relationship between CHD risk scores and AS. Whether incident risk scores for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) may be applied to predict AS remains unclear. We aim to investigate the association between AS and CHD-RISK. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 4791 participants (age 54.6 ± 5.0 yrs, 58.7% women, 81% were of European origin), and CHD-RISK was estimated in 1990-1992. The participants were then followed-up until December 31, 2013. The primary outcome was hemodynamic significant AS identified by Doppler echocardiography in 2011-2013. We used multivariate-logistic regression models to assess the associations between CHD-RISK and AS. During follow-up, 963 (20.1%) cases of AS were identified. Per-standard deviation (6%) increase in CHD-RISK was associated with OR 95% Cl [1.194, 95% CI 1.068 to 1.335, p = 0.002] risk of AS in the fully adjusted models. Results were similar when stratified by quintiles of CHD-RISK, using the lowest quintiles <0.94% of CHD-RISK as the reference, 0.94%-2.26%, 2.26%-4.83%, 4.83%-9.21%, and >9.21% were; 1.33 (95% CI, 0.99-1.78, p = 0.055), 1.64 (95% CI, 1.17-2.29, p = 0.004), 2.23 (95% CI, 1.49-3.32, p = <0.001), 2.66 (95% CI, 1.65-4.31, p = <0.001) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: CHD-RISK was associated with AS. CHD-RISK and AS were high in females, age ≥55 yrs, current smokers, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2. This investigation suggests CHD-RISK may be applied to forecast AS risk similar to CHD. Future studies are required to detect, manage, and establish better treatment strategies in these high-risk subgroups.

Risk Stratification and Efficacy of Spironolactone in Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction: Secondary Analysis of the TOPCAT Randomized Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE: We aimed to develop a simple risk score for patients with HFpEF and assessed the efficacy of spironolactone across baseline risk. METHODS: We developed risk stratification scheme for cardiovascular death in placebo arm of the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist trial (TOPCAT). We screened candidate risk indicators and determined strong risk predictors using COX regression. The absolute risk reduction (ARR) in cardiovascular death with spironolactone was evaluated across baseline risk groups. COX regressions were performed to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) of spironolactone therapy for cardiovascular death and drug discontinuation in each risk category. RESULTS: A simple risk score scheme was constructed based on five risk indicators weighted by estimates from the model, including age, diastolic blood pressure, renal dysfunction, white blood cell, and left ventricular ejection fraction. The risk score scheme showed good discrimination in placebo cohort (C index=0.70). ARR with spironolactone therapy was observed only in patients at very high risk (7.9%). Spironolactone therapy significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular death in the very high-risk group (HR: 0.57; 95%CI, 0.39-0.84; P =0.005 and P for interaction 0.03) but showed similar risk of drug discontinuation across risk categories (P for interaction=0.928). CONCLUSION: This simple risk score stratifies patients with HFpEF by their baseline risk of cardiovascular death. Patients at very high risk derive great benefits from spironolactone therapy. This easy-to-use risk score provides a practical tool that can facilitate risk stratification and tailoring therapy for those who benefit most from spironolactone. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00094302.

Identification of Novel Phenotypes Correlated with CKD: A Phenotype-Wide Association Study.

Background: A comprehensive understanding of phenotypes related to CKD will facilitate the identification and management of CKD. We aimed to panoramically test and validate associations between multiple phenotypes and CKD using a phenotype-wide association study (PheWAS). Methods: 15,815 subjects from cross-sectional cohorts of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2006) were randomly 50:50 split into training and testing sets. CKD was defined as eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2. We performed logistic regression analyses between each of 985 phenotypes with CKD in the training set (false discovery rate < 1%) and validated in the testing set (false discovery rate < 1% ). Random forest (RF) model, Nagelkerke's Pseudo-R2, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) were used to validate the identified phenotypes. Results: We identified 18 phenotypes significantly related to CKD, among which retinol, red cell distribution width (RDW), and C-peptide were less researched. The top 5 identified phenotypes were blood urea nitrogen (BUN), homocysteine (HCY), retinol, parathyroid hormone (PTH), and osmolality in RF importance ranking. Besides, BUN, HCY, PTH, retinol, and uric acid were the most important phenotypes based on Pseudo-R2. AUROC of the RF model was 0.951 (full model) and 0.914 (top 5 phenotypes). Conclusion: Our study demonstrated associations between multiple phenotypes with CKD from a holistic view, including 3 novel phenotypes: retinol, RDW, and C-peptide. Our findings provided valid evidence for the identification of novel biomarkers for CKD.

A systematic review of guidelines for dual antiplatelet therapy in coronary artery bypass graft.

BACKGROUND: In most situations, many patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) are on dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT), which is also required after CABG. The adjustment of antiplatelet strategy remains controversial. In this study, we systematically review current guidelines, seeking consensus and controversies to facilitate clinical practice. METHODS AND RESULTS: Guidelines are searched in PubMed, Embase, ECRI Guidelines Trust and websites of guidelines organizations and professional society. Guidelines with recommendations of DAPT for patients undergo CABG are included. Two reviewers appraised guidelines with the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II (AGREE II). Relevant recommendations are extracted and summarized. A total of 14 guidelines meeting inclusion criteria are selected, with average AGREE II scores from 44% to 86%. Most guidelines score high in domains other than 'applicability'. Many guidelines are not detailed enough in reporting considerations behind recommendations. Current guidelines are consistent on the management of antiplatelet strategy before elective CABG and using DAPT after surgery for preventing graft vessel occlusion. Evidence is still lacking in urgent CABG and resumption of the previous DAPT after surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Current guidelines on DAPT in CABG are generally satisfying. Suspending P2Y12 inhibitors while aspirin continued before elective CABG is recommended, as well as 12 months of DAPT following CABG. More evidence is needed to guide antiplatelet therapy in urgent CABG and to prove the benefits of resuming previous DAPT.

Behavioral Factors Mediating the Impact of Educational Attainment on Incident Heart Failure　- A Mediation Analysis.

BACKGROUND: To examine the association of low educational attainment with incident heart failure (HF) and explore potential behavioral mediators of the causal pathway.Methods and Results:A total of 12,109 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) were included. Educational attainment was measured at baseline, and the risk of HF across educational attainment groups was assessed by Cox proportional hazards models. Using mediation analysis, we evaluated the mediating role of behavioral factors in the causal pathway between educational attainment and HF. During a median follow-up of 25.1 years, 2,407 cases (19.9%) of HF occurred. Educational attainment showed an inverse association with HF risk (hazard ratio (HR), 1.41; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1,26-1.57 for low educational attainment; HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25 for medium educational attainment). In the mediation analysis, the association between educational attainment and HF was partially mediated by income, waist-to-hip ratio, current smoking, body mass index, current drinking, sports and physical activity, which explained 24.3%, 20.2%, 13.8%, 10.1%, 7.7%, 7.3% and 4.5%, respectively, of the relationship. In total, all mediators contributed 56.3% of the total effect. CONCLUSIONS: Low educational attainment was associated with increased risk for HF. Income, obesity and current smoking mediated a great proportion of the total effect of educational attainment on HF. Our results provide underlying insights for the development of targeted public health interventions to reduce educational disparities on HF incidence.

Six-Year Change in QT Interval Duration and Risk of Incident Heart Failure　- A Secondary Analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the association between temporal change in QT interval and incident heart failure (HF). The aim of this study is to examine this association in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.Methods and Results:A secondary analysis was performed for the ARIC study. Overall, 10,274 participants (age 60.0±5.7 years, 45.7% male and 19.5% black) who obtained a 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG) at both Visit 1 (1987-1989) and Visit 3 (1993-1995) in the ARIC study were included. QT interval duration was corrected by using Bazett's formula (QTc). The change in corrected QT interval duration (∆QTc) was calculated by subtracting QTc at Visit 3 from Visit 1. The main outcome measure was incident HF. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the association between ∆QTc and incident HF. During a median follow up of 19.5 years, 1,833 cases (17.8%) of incident HF occurred. ∆QTc was positively associated with incident HF (HR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.03, 1.08, per 10 ms increase, P<0.001; HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.08, 1.36, T3 vs. T1, P=0.002), after adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factor, QTc and QRS duration. CONCLUSIONS: Temporal increases in QTc are independently associated with increased risk of HF.

An appraisal of clinical practice guidelines for the appropriate use of echocardiography for adult infective endocarditis-the timing and mode of assessment (TTE or TEE).

BACKGROUND: Echocardiography (echo) is the primary imaging modality for infective endocarditis (IE). However, the recommendations on timing and mode selection for transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) vary across guidelines, which can be confusing for clinical decision makers. In this case, we aim to appraise the quality of recommendations by appraising the quality of various guidelines. METHODS: A search of guidelines containing recommendations for the appropriate use of echo in adult IE patients published in English between 2007 and 2019 was conducted. The APPRAISAL OF GUIDELINES FOR RESEARCH & EVALUATION II (AGREE II) instrument was applied independently by two reviewers to assess the integrated quality of the identified guidelines. The recommendations of concern are extracted from related chapters. RESULTS: A total of 9 guidelines met the criteria, with AGREE II scores ranging from 36 to 79%, and the domain of "stakeholder involvement" received the lowest score. The most contentious issue is whether a follow-up TEE is mandatory in uncomplicated native valve IE with an initial positive TTE. Conflicting recommendations are presented with a low evidence level based on little evidence. CONCLUSIONS: In general, the recommendations proposed in the 9 identified guidelines on the appropriate use of echo are satisfying. The guideline quality score can be taken into account by the clinicians when evaluating the recommendations for clinical decisions. Additional studies with high evidence level should be conducted on the most controversial issues of whether a subsequent TEE is mandatory in uncomplicated native valve IE with an initial positive TTE.

Impact of RAAS Blockers on Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Patients With Renal Insufficiency: A Meta-Analysis.

The effect of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) blockers [angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers] on Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is unclear in patients with renal insufficiency. Thus, we conduct a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between the administration of RAAS blockers and CIN in patients with renal insufficiency. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library for relevant studies published before September 2019. The primary outcome was the incidence of CIN, and the secondary outcome was the changes in serum creatinine (SCr) from baseline to postprocedure (ΔSCr). Pooled odds ratio (OR) or weighted mean difference (WMD) with their 95% confidence interval (CIs) for the CIN incidence, ΔSCr were used to calculate original data. A total of 8 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Compared with controls, ACEI/angiotensin receptor blocker increased the risk of CIN (OR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.14-2.28, I = 30%; P = 0.007), whereas this association was not significant in Chinese patients (OR = 1.07, 95% CI 0.65-1.77, I = 19%, P = 0.79). The total weighted mean differences of the ΔSCr were 0.06 mg/dL (95% CI: 0.01-0.11, I = 82%; P = 0.03). Administration of RAAS blockers in patients with renal insufficiency was associated with a significantly higher incidence of CIN, whereas it did not show a significant effect on Chinese patients.

Serum albumin and atrial fibrillation: insights from epidemiological and mendelian randomization studies.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in clinical practice. Low serum albumin level is linked to the emergence of many cardiovascular diseases, including AF. In this study, we aim to characterize the nature and magnitude of the prospective association between serum albumin and incident AF in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study and investigate any causal relevance to the association between them. ARIC Study is a population-based, prospective, cohort study of cardiovascular risk factors in four US communities, initially consisting of 15,792 participants, aged 45-64 years, recruited between 1987 and 1989 (visit 1). The final sample size was 12,833 in this study. Baseline (visit 1) characteristics were compared between groups using one-way ANOVA test, Chi square test, or Kruskal-Wallis test as appropriate. We used multivariable Cox' hazard regression models to assess the association between albumin and incident AF. Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) based on publicly available summary-level data from genome-wide association studies was used to estimate the causal influence of the serum albumin and incident AF. During a median follow-up of 25.1 years, 2259 (17.6%) participants developed incident AF. After multiple adjustment, serum albumin was inversely associated with incidence of AF [HR = 0.90, 95% CI 0.86-0.94, per SD (0.27 g/dL) increase; HR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.71-0.91, Q4 vs. Q1]. In MR analysis, we detected no evidence for a causal relation between serum albumin level and AF in inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method (odds ratio: 0.996, 95% CI 0.980-1.012, per 1 g/dL increase of albumin; P = 0.620) without evidence of heterogeneity between estimates from individual SNPs (Pheterogeneity = 0.981 [MR-Egger] and Pheterogeneity = 0.860 [IVW]) nor pleiotropy effect (Ppleiotropy = 0.193). The serum albumin level is independently inverse associated with incident AF in a linear pattern. However, MR analyses did not support a causal role of serum albumin in the etiology of AF.

Comparative outcomes of heart failure among existent classes of anti-diabetic agents: a network meta-analysis of 171,253 participants from 91 randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: The cardiovascular (CV) safety in terms of heart failure among different classes of treatment remains largely unknown. We sought to assess the comparative effect of these agents on heart failure outcomes. METHODS: This study was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD 42016042063). MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched. For the primary outcomes reported previously, studies between Jan 1, 1980 and June 30, 2016 were screened, and subsequently updated till Jan 24, 2019. We performed network meta-analysis to obtain estimates for the outcomes of heart failure, in particular by rankograms for ranking of heart failure risk as well as by pairwise comparisons among all classes of anti-diabetic medications. RESULTS: A total of 91 trials were included, among which were 171,253 participants and 4163 reported cases of heart failure events. As for rankograms, the surface under the cumulative ranking curves (SUCRA) of sodium-glucose co-transporters 2 and thiazolidinediones were 93.4% and 4.3%, respectively, signifying the lowest and highest risk of heart failure, respectively. As for pairwise comparisons in the network, sodium-glucose co-transporters 2 were significantly superior to insulin (OR: 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91), dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (OR: 0.68, 95% CI 0.59-0.78), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (OR: 0.65, 95% CI 0.54-0.78), and thiazolidinediones (OR: 0.46, 95% CI 0.27-0.77) in terms of heart failure risk. Furthermore, in an exploratory analysis among subjects with underlying heart failure or at risk of heart failure, the superiority of sodium-glucose co-transporters 2 was still significant. CONCLUSIONS: In terms of heart failure risk, sodium-glucose co-transporters 2 were the most favorable option among all classes of anti-diabetic medications.

The gut microbe-derived metabolite trimethylamine-N-oxide induces aortic valve fibrosis via PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s signaling in vitro and in vivo.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The gut microbe-derived metabolite trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) has been implicated in the development of cardiovascular fibrosis. Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress occurs after the dysfunction of ER and its structure. The three signals PERK/ATF-4, IRE-1α/XBP-1s and ATF6 are activated upon ER stress. Recent reports have suggested that the activation of PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s signaling contributes to cardiovascular fibrosis. However, whether TMAO mediates aortic valve fibrosis by activating PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s signaling remains unclear. METHODS: Human aortic valve interstitial cells (AVICs) were isolated from aortic valve leaflets. PERK IRE-1α, ATF-4, XBP-1s and CHOP expression, and production of collagen Ⅰ and TGF-ß1 were analyzed following treatment with TMAO. The role of PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s signaling pathways in TMAO-induced fibrotic formation was determined using inhibitors and small interfering RNA. RESULTS: Diseased valves produced greater levels of ATF-4, XBP-1, collagen Ⅰ and TGF-ß1. Interestingly, diseased cells exhibited augmented PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s activation after TMAO stimulation. Inhibition and silencing of PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s each resulted in enhanced suppression of TMAO-induced fibrogenic activity in diseased cells. Mice treated with dietary choline supplementation had substantially increased TMAO levels and aortic valve fibrosis, which were reduced by 3,3-dimethyl-1-butanol (DMB, an inhibitor of trimethylamine formation) treatment. Moreover, a high-choline and high-fat diet remodeled the gut microbiota in mice. CONCLUSIONS: TMAO promoted aortic valve fibrosis through activation of PERK/ATF-4 and IRE-1α/XBP-1s signaling pathways in vitro and in vivo. Modulation of diet, gut microbiota, TMAO, PERK/ATF-4 and IRE1-α/XBP-1s may be a promising approach to prevent aortic valve fibrosis.

Serum Klotho Modifies the Associations of 25-Hydroxy Vitamin D With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality.

BACKGROUND: The association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D and mortality remains controversial. Klotho, a biomarker of vitamin D activation and metabolism, may play a key role in this association. However, it is unclear whether the association between vitamin D deficiency and mortality risk is modified by klotho levels. Therefore, this study investigated the joint association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and klotho with mortality risk in American community-dwelling adults. METHODS: A total of 9870 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007-2016) were included in our study. Mortality data were ascertained by linking participants to National Death Index records. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association among serum 25(OH)D, serum klotho, and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. RESULTS: We found a significant interaction between klotho and serum 25(OH)D in all-cause mortality (P = .028). With klotho > 848.4 pg/mL (risk threshold on mortality), no significant all-cause and CVD mortality risk was observed at any level of serum 25(OH)D. However, with klotho < 848.4 pg/mL, a significant all-cause and CVD mortality risk was observed with serum 25(OH)D < 50 nmol/L [hazards ratio (HR), 1.36; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-1.69; HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.16-3.45) and serum 25(OH)D of continuous variable (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, .97-.99; HR, 0.98; 95% CI, .98-.99). In addition, vitamin D metabolism disruption accessed by the combination of decreasing serum 25(OH)D (<50 nmol/L) and klotho (<848.4 pg/mL) was associated with significant all-cause mortality (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.11-1.96) and CVD mortality (HR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.48-3.75). CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin D-associated mortality risk is observed only with concurrently decreasing klotho, indicating that vitamin D metabolism dysfunction increases the risk of mortality. Klotho levels could help predict long-term mortality outcomes and thus may be useful concurrently for guiding vitamin D supplementation therapy decision-making in populations with vitamin D deficiency.

Intensive Glycemic Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes Patients With Cardiac Autonomic Dysfunction: The ACCORD Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the presence of cardiac autonomic dysfunction denoted by low heart rate variability (HRV) modifies the effect of intensive glycemic therapy on outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study included 7946 participants in the ACCORD (Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes) trial from January 2001 through June 2009. Heart rate variability measures included standard deviation of all normal-to-normal intervals (SDNN) and root mean square of successive differences between normal-to-normal intervals (rMSSD). Abnormal values were defined based on less than the 10th percentile for SDNN and rMSSD. RESULTS: Compared with standard therapy, intensive therapy was associated with improved primary outcome (composite of cardiovascular events) in the low-HRV group (SDNN: HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.84; rMSSD: HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.84), but not in the normal-HRV group (SDNN: HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.05; rMSSD: HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.05). A similar pattern was found for coronary heart disease. Conversely, intensive therapy had a neutral effect on all cause death in the low-HRV group (SDNN: HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.54 to 1.41; rMSSD: HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.43 to 1.17;), but increase risk of all-cause death in the normal-HRV group (SDNN: HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.46; rMSSD: HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.51). Intensive therapy induced a greater risk of hypoglycemia in the normal-HRV group than that in the low-HRV group. CONCLUSION: Cardiac autonomic dysfunction expressed as low HRV identified subpopulations in ACCORD with more benefits and less harms from intensive therapy.

New Insights into Rate Control: Time in Target Range of Resting Heart Rate and Major Adverse Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation.

Background: Few studies have examined the relationship between the fluctuation of heart rate control over time and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation. Our study sought to evaluate the independent association between time in target range (TIR) of resting heart rate and cardiovascular outcomes in the AFFIRM (Atrial Fibrillation Follow-Up Investigation of Rhythm Management) study. Methods: Target range of resting heart was defined as less than 80 beats per minute (bpm) for both rate and rhythm control groups. Time in target range was estimated over the first 8 months of follow-up using Rosendaal interpolation method. The association between TIR of resting heart rate and cardiovascular outcomes was estimated using adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: Time in target range of resting heart rate (months 0 through 8) was 71 ± 34% in the rate control group and 83 ± 27% in the rhythm control group. Each 1-SD increase in TIR of resting heart rate was significantly associated with lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events after full adjustment for demographics, medical history and history of prior heart surgery, as well as all-cause mortality. Conclusions: Time in target range of resting heart rate independently predicts the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation. Long-term maintenance of heart rate on target is of great importance for patients with atrial fibrillation.

Cardiovascular effects of weight loss in old adults with overweight/obesity according to change in skeletal muscle mass.

BACKGROUND: Patients with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes are encouraged to lose weight, but not all losing weight gain better cardiovascular health, especially old adults. The change in skeletal muscle mass (SMM) could be the key that explains the heterogenous cardiovascular effects of weight loss. This study aims to assess whether the cardiovascular effects of weight loss vary for those gaining skeletal muscle along with weight loss. METHODS: The old adults with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes in the Look AHEAD study having muscle measurement from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry were included. Based on the weight change (WC) and SMM change (SMMC) between baseline and the 4-year follow-up, participants were allocated into three groups-weight gain (WG) group, weight loss with muscle loss (WL-ML) group and weight loss with muscle gain (WL-MG) group. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to evaluate the cardiovascular risk of those gaining or losing SMM with weight loss compared with those gaining weight. Among the participants with weight loss, the ratio of SMMC/WC was calculated, and the association of SMMC/WC with primary cardiovascular outcome was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 491 participants were included in the study with an average age of 64.56 ± 3.81 years old. A total of 47.0% were male and 49.9% were from the intensive lifestyle intervention arm. Based on their WC and SMMC, 43 were assigned to the WG group, 373 to the WL-ML group and 75 to the WL-MG group. Over a follow-up of almost 10 years, 97 participants encountered the primary endpoint. The WG group had the highest incidence of 25.59%, the WL-MG group had the lowest incidence of 9.33% and the WL-ML group had 21.18% (P = 0.040). In the fourth adjusted Cox model, the WL-MG group achieved significantly decreased odds of the primary endpoint compared with the WG group (hazard ratio [HR] 0.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.12, 0.87], P = 0.026), whilst the WL-ML group did not (HR 0.91, 95% CI [0.47, 1.78], P = 0.670). Among the participants with weight loss, when SMMC/WC reached around 50%, this HR soared to approximately two-fold. CONCLUSIONS: The participants gaining SMM along with weight loss achieved the lowest odds of adverse cardiovascular events, whilst those who lost SMM along with weight loss had comparable cardiovascular risk with those gaining weight. The more muscle lost during weight loss, the greater the harm. The cardiovascular effects of weight loss were modulated by whether the participants gained SMM meanwhile losing weight.

Interplay of heart rate variability and resting heart rate on mortality in type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: Heart rate variability (HRV) and resting heart rate (RHR) are usually analyzed and interpreted separately. We aimed to assess the interplay of HRV and RHR on mortality in type 2 diabetes. METHODS: The study included 7,529 participants from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial. HRV metrics included standard deviation of all normal-to-normal intervals (SDNN) and root mean square of successive differences between normal-to-normal intervals (rMSSD). Abnormal values were defined based on <25th percentile for HRV and >75th percentile for RHR. Interactions of HRV status and RHR status were tested on multiplicative and additive scales. Results were validated in a subset of patients with type 2 diabetes (n = 745) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. RESULTS: Low SDNN was associated with increased all-cause mortality in the high RHR group (HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.29-1.97), but not in the normal RHR group. Compared with those who had neither low SDNN nor high RHR, the presence of either low SDNN or high RHR was not significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. In contrast, the combination of low SDNN and high RHR was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.43-1.97). Significant multiplicative and additive interactions were found between HRV status and RHR status on risk of all-cause mortality (all Pinteraction < 0.05). Similar findings were observed for cardiovascular mortality, in analyses using rMSSD, and in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. CONCLUSIONS: The association between HRV and mortality risk is modified by RHR levels. Furthermore, low HRV and high RHR have interdependent and synergistic associations with mortality risk.

Effect of intensive lifestyle intervention on the association between weight variability and major adverse cardiovascular events in overweight or obese adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Weight variability is associated with cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic patients. However, whether the guideline-recommended intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) will affect this association in overweight or obese adults with diabetes is not well established. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 3,859 participants from the Action for Health in Diabetes (Look AHEAD) trial, the associations of 4 year weight variability measured by variability independent of the mean (VIM) with major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) and secondary outcomes in ILI and diabetes support & education (DSE) arm were evaluated. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.6 years, 255 (12.9%) participants in the ILI arm and 247 (13.2%) participants in the DSE arm developed MACE. Participants with the highest quartile of weight variability (VIM Q4) experienced a 2.23-fold higher risk of MACE compared with the lowest quartile (VIM Q1) in the DSE arm (hazard ratio [HR] 2.23; 95% CI 1.51-3.30). Compared with the lowest weight variability (VIM Q1), participants with the highest weight variability (VIM Q4) were associated with higher risks of secondary cardiovascular composite outcome (HR 1.88; 95% CI 1.20-2.95), all-cause mortality (HR 3.19; 95% CI 1.75-5.82), and myocardial infarction (HR 1.95; 95% CI 1.12-3.37) in the DSE arm. CONCLUSIONS: Among the overweight or obese individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus, rising weight variability was independently associated with increased MACE risks in the DSE arm. Therefore, a guideline-recommended ILI strategy for weight loss should be adopted to improve cardiovascular outcomes without worrying about the effect of weight fluctuations.