Cost-effectiveness of an insertable cardiac monitor in a high-risk population in the US.

BACKGROUND: Insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) are a clinically effective means of detecting atrial fibrillation (AF) in high-risk patients, and guiding the initiation of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Their cost-effectiveness from a US clinical payer perspective is not yet known. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ICMs compared to standard of care (SoC) for detecting AF in patients at high risk of stroke (CHADS2 ≥ 2), in the US. METHODS: Using patient data from the REVEAL AF trial (n = 393, average CHADS2 score = 2.9), a Markov model estimated the lifetime costs and benefits of detecting AF with an ICM or with SoC (specifically intermittent use of electrocardiograms and 24-h Holter monitors). Ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, intra- and extra-cranial hemorrhages, and minor bleeds were modelled. Diagnostic and device costs, costs of treating stroke and bleeding events and medical therapy-specifically costs of NOACs were included. Costs and health outcomes, measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), were discounted at 3% per annum, in line with standard practice in the US setting. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were undertaken. RESULTS: Lifetime per-patient cost for ICM was $31,116 versus $25,330 for SoC. ICMs generated a total of 7.75 QALYs versus 7.59 for SoC, with 34 fewer strokes projected per 1000 patients. The model estimates a number needed to treat of 29 per stroke avoided. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $35,528 per QALY gained. ICMs were cost-effective in 75% of PSA simulations, using a $50,000 per QALY threshold, and a 100% probability of being cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $150,000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: The use of ICMs to identify AF in a high-risk population is likely to be cost-effective in the US healthcare setting.

Detection of Atrial Fibrillation After Central Retinal Artery Occlusion.

Background: Central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO) causes sudden, irreversible blindness and is a form of acute ischemic stroke. In this study, we sought to determine the proportion of patients in whom atrial fibrillation (AF) is detected by extended cardiac monitoring after CRAO. Methods: We performed a retrospective, observational cohort study using data from the Optum deidentified electronic health record of 30.8 million people cross-referenced with the Medtronic CareLink database of 2.7 million people with cardiac monitoring devices in situ. We enrolled patients in 3 groups: (1) CRAO, (2) cerebral ischemic stroke, and (3) age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched controls. The primary end point was the detection of new AF (defined as ≥2 minutes of AF detected on a cardiac monitoring device). Results: We reviewed 884 431 patient records in common between the two databases to identify 100 patients with CRAO, 6559 with ischemic stroke, and 1000 matched controls. After CRAO, the cumulative incidence of new AF at 2 years was 49.6% (95% CI, 37.4%­61.7%). Patients with CRAO had a higher rate of AF than controls (hazard ratio, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.17­2.31]) and a comparable rate to patients with stroke (hazard ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.75­1.36]). CRAO was associated with a higher incidence of new stroke compared with matched controls (hazard ratio, 2.85 [95% CI, 1.29­6.29]). Conclusions: The rate of AF detection after CRAO is higher than that seen in age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched controls and comparable to that seen after ischemic cerebral stroke. Paroxysmal AF should be considered as part of the differential etiology of CRAO, and those patients may benefit from long-term cardiac monitoring.

Atrial fibrillation recurrence and spontaneous conversion to sinus rhythm after cardiac surgery: Insights from 426 patients with continuous rhythm monitoring.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiac surgery may influence occurrence and persistence of atrial fibrillation (AF). In patients with a history of cardiac surgery and postoperative pacemaker or implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation we attempted to quantify AF characteristics and investigate factors that influence AF recurrence. METHODS: In 426 patients (319 male; age: 73 SD: 9 years) with a history of cardiac surgery (364 CABG; 69 mitral valve; 57 aortic valve and 59 combination procedures) the heart rhythm history (mean: 351 days SD: 54 days) was reconstructed and investigated for AF recurrence patterns. RESULTS: AF developed and subsequently recurred in 75% of patients (n = 320). The mean AF burden in these patients was 0.21 (21% of the total observed time spent in AF) and 4085 episodes of AF were observed and analyzed. AF episodes spontaneously terminated within 24 h (n = 2509), 48 h (n = 700), 72 h (n = 279), and 1 week (n = 31). The probability of spontaneous conversion to sinus rhythm (SR) decreased with time spent in AF and plateaued after approximately 7 days. Patient age, LVEF and presence of coronary artery disease significantly influenced the probability of spontaneous conversion to SR. Type of cardiac surgery also significantly influenced AF episode characteristics. CONCLUSION: AF episodes are common in patients with a history of cardiac surgery. Spontaneous conversion to SR diminishes with increasing time spent in AF and is influenced by AF characteristics and several patient-related factors. Continuous monitoring can provide detailed information about AF recurrence that may immensely improve our understanding and influence the clinical management of AF.

Use of the HAVOC Score to Identify Patients at Highest Risk of Developing Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies using insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) show a high incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Further identifying subsets of patients who could benefit most from ICMs is desirable. We evaluated whether the HAVOC risk score which predicts AF in patients with cryptogenic stroke also predicts AF detection by ICMs in those without recent stroke. METHODS: Participants were included from the prospective, industry-sponsored REVEAL AF study assessing AF incidence in patients with CHADS2 scores ≥3 or =2 with 1 or more additional AF risk factors, who had ICM data and were not receiving anti-arrhythmic drugs. Ischemic stroke occurring less than 1 year prior to enrollment or documented AF were exclusion criteria. AF was defined as an adjudicated ICM-detected episode ≥6 min in duration. HAVOC scores were calculated by assigning 4 points for congestive heart failure, 2 points for each of hypertension, age ≥75 years, valvular disease, and coronary artery disease, and 1 point for each of peripheral vascular disease and obesity (body mass index >30). Scores classified risk as low (0-4), intermediate (5-9), or high (10-14); corresponding AF detection rates were compared using the log-rank test. AF incidence rates in patients with and without a history of remote stroke at baseline were also compared. RESULTS: Among 391 participants, the mean age was 71.5 ± 9.8 years and 186 (47.6%) were women. In total, 130 (33.2%) developed AF over 18 months. Stratification by HAVOC risk score was: 95 (24%) low, 241 (62%) intermediate, and 55 (14%) high. At 18 months, AF incidence in patients with low HAVOC scores (19.5%) was lower than in those with intermediate (32.1%) or high (34.2%) scores. AF incidence was similar among those with (n = 78) versus without (n = 313) remote stroke (27.3% vs. 29.8%; median time from stroke to ICM insertion was 4.2 [2.2-8.2] years). CONCLUSIONS: The HAVOC risk score identified a subset of individuals at greatest risk of developing AF, while AF incidence rates were similar among those with and without remote stroke. The use of the HAVOC score could help identify those at greatest likelihood of manifesting AF during long-term monitoring.

Burden of oral anticoagulation in embolic stroke of undetermined source without atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: Prevention of recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is challenging. The advent of safer anticoagulation in the form of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) has prompted exploration of prophylactic anticoagulation for all ESUS patients, rather than anticoagulating just those with documented atrial fibrillation (AF). However, recent trials have failed to demonstrate a clinical benefit, while observing increased bleeding. We modeled the economic impact of anticoagulating ESUS patients without documented AF across multiple geographies. METHODS: CRYSTAL-AF trial data were used to assess ischaemic stroke event rates in ESUS patients confirmed AF-free after long-term monitoring. Anticipated bleeding event rates (including both minor and major bleeds) with aspirin, dabigatran 150 mg, and rivaroxaban 20 mg were sourced from published meta-analyses, whilst a 30% ischaemic stroke reduction for both DOACs was assumed. Cost data for clinical events and pharmaceuticals were collected from the local payer perspective. RESULTS: Compared with aspirin, dabigatran and rivaroxaban resulted in 17.9 and 29.9 additional bleeding events per 100 patients over a patient's lifetime, respectively. Despite incorporating into our model the proposed 30% reduction in ischaemic stroke risk, both DOACs were cost-additive over patient lifetime, as the costs of bleeding events and pharmaceuticals outweighed cost savings associated with the reduction in ischaemic strokes. DOACs added £5953-£7018 per patient (UK), €6683-€7368 (Netherlands), €4933-€9378 (Spain), AUD$5353-6539 (Australia) and $26,768-$32,259 (US) of payer cost depending on the agent prescribed. Additionally, in the U.S. patient pharmacy co-payments ranged from $2468-$12,844 depending on agent and patient plan. In all settings, cost-savings could not be demonstrated even when the modelling assumed 100% protection from recurrent ischaemic strokes, due to the very low underlying risk of recurrent ischaemic stroke in this population (1.27 per 100 patient-years). CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulation of non-AF patients may cause excess bleeds and add substantial costs for uncertain benefits, suggesting a personalised approach to anticoagulation in ESUS patients.

Effect of Long-term Continuous Cardiac Monitoring vs Usual Care on Detection of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Stroke Attributed to Large- or Small-Vessel Disease: The STROKE-AF Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Patients with ischemic stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease are not considered at high risk for atrial fibrillation (AF), and the AF incidence rate in this population is unknown. Objectives: To determine whether long-term cardiac monitoring is more effective than usual care for AF detection in patients with stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease through 12 months of follow-up. Design, Setting, and Participants: The STROKE-AF trial was a randomized (1:1), multicenter (33 sites in the US) clinical trial that enrolled 496 patients between April 2016 and July 2019, with primary end point follow-up through August 2020. Eligible patients were aged 60 years or older or aged 50 to 59 years with at least 1 additional stroke risk factor and had an index stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease within 10 days prior to insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) insertion. Interventions: Patients randomized to the intervention group (n = 242) received ICM insertion within 10 days of the index stroke; patients in the control group (n = 250) received site-specific usual care consisting of external cardiac monitoring, such as 12-lead electrocardiograms, Holter monitoring, telemetry, or event recorders. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident AF lasting more than 30 seconds through 12 months. Results: Among 492 patients who were randomized (mean [SD] age, 67.1 [9.4] years; 185 [37.6%] women), 417 (84.8%) completed 12 months of follow-up. The median (interquartile range) CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke or transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, sex category) score was 5 (4-6). AF detection at 12 months was significantly higher in the ICM group vs the control group (27 patients [12.1%] vs 4 patients [1.8%]; hazard ratio, 7.4 [95% CI, 2.6-21.3]; P < .001). Among the 221 patients in the ICM group who received an ICM, 4 (1.8%) had ICM procedure-related adverse events (1 site infection, 2 incision site hemorrhages, and 1 implant site pain). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease, monitoring with an ICM compared with usual care detected significantly more AF over 12 months. However, further research is needed to understand whether identifying AF in these patients is of clinical importance. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02700945.

Stroke Risk as a Function of Atrial Fibrillation Duration and CHA2DS2-VASc Score.

BACKGROUND: Studies of patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices show a relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) duration and stroke risk, although the interaction with CHA2DS2-VASc score is poorly defined. The objective of this study is to evaluate rates of stroke and systemic embolism (SSE) in patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices as a function of both CHA2DS2-VASc score and AF duration. METHODS: Data from the Optum electronic health record deidentified database (2007-2017) were linked to the Medtronic CareLink database of cardiovascular implantable electronic devices capable of continuous AF monitoring. An index date was assigned as the later of either 6 months after device implantation or 1 year after electronic health record data availability. CHA2DS2-VASc score was assessed using electronic health record data before the index date. Maximum daily AF burden (no AF, 6 minutes-23.5 hours, and >23.5 hours) was assessed over the 6 months before the index date. SSE rates were computed after the index date. RESULTS: Among 21 768 nonanticoagulated patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (age, 68.6±12.7 years; 63% male), both increasing AF duration (P<0.001) and increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score (P<0.001) were significantly associated with annualized risk of SSE. SSE rates were low in patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 to 1 regardless of device-detected AF duration. However, stroke risk crossed an actionable threshold defined as >1%/y in patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 with >23.5 hours of AF, those with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 to 4 with >6 minutes of AF, and patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥5 even with no AF. CONCLUSIONS: There is an interaction between AF duration and CHA2DS2-VASc score that can further risk-stratify patients with AF for SSE and may be useful in guiding anticoagulation therapy.

Practice Variation in Anticoagulation Prescription and Outcomes After Device-Detected Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Device-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of stroke; however, there are no clearly defined thresholds of AF burden at which to initiate oral anticoagulation (OAC). We sought to describe OAC prescription practice variation in response to new device-detected AF and the association with outcomes. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from the Veterans Health Administration linked to remote monitoring data that included day-level AF burden. We included patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices and remote monitoring from 2011 to 2014, CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2, and no prior stroke or OAC receipt in the preceding 2 years. We determined the proportion of patients prescribed OAC within 90 days after new device-detected AF across a range of AF thresholds (≥6 minutes to >24 hours) and examined site variation in OAC prescription. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards regressions to determine the association of OAC prescription with stroke by device-detected AF burden. RESULTS: Among 10 212 patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices, 4570 (45%), 3969 (39%), 3263 (32%), and 2469 (24%) had device-detected AF >6 minutes, >1 hour, >6 hours, and >24 hours, respectively. For device-detected AF >1 hour, 1712 patients met inclusion criteria (72±10 years; 1.5% female; CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.0±1.4; HAS-BLED score 2.6±1.1). The proportion receiving OAC varied based on device-detected AF burden (≥6 minutes: 272/2101 [13%]; >1 hour: 273/1712 [16%]; >6 hours: 263/1279 [21%]; >24 hours: 224/818 [27%]). Across 52 sites (N=1329 patients), there was substantial site-level variation in OAC prescription after device-detected AF >1 hour (median, 16%; range, 3%-67%; median odds ratio, 1.56 [95% credible interval, 1.49-1.71]). In adjusted models, OAC prescription after device-detected AF >24 hours was associated with reduced stroke risk (hazard ratio, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.10-0.81; P=0.02), although the propensity-adjusted model was significant when AF lasted at least 6 minutes. CONCLUSIONS: Among veterans with cardiac implantable electronic devices, device-detected AF is common. There is large practice variation in 90-day OAC initiation after new device-detected AF, with low rates of treatment overall, even for episodes that last >24 hours. The strongest association of OAC with reduction in stroke was observed after device-detected AF >24 hours. Randomized trials are needed to confirm these observational findings.

Rhythm monitoring strategies in patients at high risk for atrial fibrillation and stroke: A comparative analysis from the REVEAL AF study.

BACKGROUND: Reducing atrial fibrillation (AF)-related stroke requires timely AF diagnosis, but the optimal monitoring strategy is unknown. OBJECTIVE: We used insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) data from the REVEAL AF study to compare AF detection rates by various short-term continuous monitoring (STM) strategies. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients without known AF, but with CHADS2 scores ≥3 (or = 2 with ≥1 additional AF risk factor) received an ICM for AF detection. One-time STM strategies were assessed by computing AF incidence at 1, 2, 7, 14, and 30 days post-ICM insertion. Repeated STM strategies (quarterly 24-hour, 48-hour, 7-day, or monthly 24-hour monitoring) were modeled by randomly selecting day(s) within a 30-day window around each nominal evaluation date over a 1-year period (simulated 10,000 times). Endpoints included AF ≥6 minutes, AF ≥1 hour, and daily AF burden ≥1 and ≥ 5.5 hours. The impact of compliance on AF detection was evaluated using daily compliance rates of 85%, 75%, 65% and 55% during follow-up months 1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 9-12, respectively. Based on data from 385 patients (71.5 ±â€¯9.9 years; CHADS2 score 3.0 ±â€¯1.0) the incidence of AF ≥6 minutes via ICM at 12 months was 27.1% (95% CI, 22.5-31.5%). This exceeded the range of estimated rates from all modeled one-time and repeated STM strategies (0.8% for 24-hour Holter monitoring to 10.6% for quarterly 7-day monitoring). Findings were similar for all AF endpoints. Modeled non-compliance reduced AF detection by 4.5% to 22.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Most AF episodes detected via ICMs would go undetected via conventional STM strategies, thus preventing optimal prophylaxis for adverse consequences.

Atrial fibrillation ablation success defined by duration of recurrence on cardiac implantable electronic devices.

INTRODUCTION: Ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has emerged as an effective method of rhythm control. This exploratory analysis aimed to determine how various measures of recurrence would influence the definition of treatment success. METHODS: Using an electronic health record data set from January 2007 to June 2019 linked with Medtronic cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) data, patients who underwent a first AF ablation procedure following CIED implantation were identified. Data were analyzed for recurrence of AF stratified by varying definitions of successful ablation. The performance of various simulated external AF monitoring strategies was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 665 patients were analyzed including 248 with paroxysmal AF (mean age: 66.2 ± 9.3 years, 73.0% male) and 417 patients with persistent AF (mean age: 67.3 ± 9.0 years, 73.6% male). Among patients with paroxysmal AF, survival free from recurrence at 1 year ranged from 28.2% to 72.1% (>6 min and >23 h thresholds, respectively) with an overall median percentage of time in AF reduction of 99.6%. Among patients with persistent AF, survival free from recurrence at 1 year ranged from 24.9% to 60.0% (>6 min and 7 consecutive days > 23 h thresholds, respectively) with an overall median percentage of time in AF reduction of 99.3%. A single 7-day monitoring strategy had a sensitivity of less than 50% for detecting AF greater than 6 min in patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF. CONCLUSION: In this real-world data set of AF patients with CIEDs undergoing catheter ablation, treatment success varied substantially with different definitions of minimally required AF duration and is significantly impacted by the method of recurrence detection.

Stroke of Known Cause and Underlying Atrial Fibrillation (STROKE-AF) randomized trial: Design and rationale.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 20% of ischemic strokes are associated with clinically apparent atrial fibrillation (AF). Regardless of stroke etiology, detection of AF in patients with ischemic strokes often changes antithrombotic treatment from anti-platelet to oral anticoagulation therapy. The role and the optimum duration of cardiac monitoring to detect AF in patients with strokes presumed due to large vessel atherosclerosis or small vessel disease is unknown. This manuscript describes the design and rationale of the STROKE-AF trial. STUDY DESIGN: STROKE-AF is a randomized, controlled, open-label, post-market clinical trial. Detection of AF will be evaluated using continuous arrhythmia monitoring with an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) compared with standard of care follow-up in patients with stroke (within the prior 10 days) that is presumed due to large vessel cervical or intracranial atherosclerosis, or to small vessel disease. Approximately 500 patients will be enrolled at approximately 40 centers in the United States. Patients will be randomized 1:1 to arrhythmia monitoring with an ICM (continuous monitoring arm) or standard of care follow-up (control arm). Subjects will be followed for ≥12 months and up to 3 years. OUTCOMES: The primary objective is to compare the incidence rate of detected AF through 12 months of follow-up between the two arms. CONCLUSION: This trial will provide information on the value of ICMs to detect subclinical AF in patients with stroke presumed due to large vessel atherosclerosis or small vessel disease, which will have implications for guiding treatment with oral anticoagulation for secondary stroke prevention.

Long-term electrocardiographic safety monitoring in clinical drug development: A report from the Cardiac Safety Research Consortium.

This white paper, prepared by members of the Cardiac Safety Research Consortium (CSRC), discusses important issues regarding scientific and clinical aspects of long-term electrocardiographic safety monitoring during clinical drug development. To promote multistakeholder discussion of this topic, a Cardiac Safety Research Consortium-sponsored Think Tank was held on 2 December 2015 at the American College of Cardiology's Heart House in Washington, DC. The goal of the Think Tank was to explore how and under what circumstances new and evolving ambulatory monitoring technologies could be used to improve and streamline drug development. This paper provides a detailed summary of discussions at the Think Tank: it does not represent regulatory guidance.

Role of insertable cardiac monitors in anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation at high risk of bleeding.

AIMS: We aimed to ascertain whether an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM)-guided rhythm-control strategy and assessment of atrial fibrillation (AF) burden may allow safe withdrawal and obviate long-term use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in AF patients at high bleeding risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We implanted ICMs in 70 patients with AF with high risk of stroke (CHADS2 ≥2, CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2) and bleeding (HAS-BLED score ≥3) after restoration of normal sinus rhythm (NSR) for continuous rhythm monitoring and optimization of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) when necessary. Patients were categorized into: (i) Group A (NSR/low AF burden, <1%), (ii) Group B (moderate/variable AF burden), and (iii) Group C (high AF burden, always AF). At patients' insistence, OACs were discontinued after proper counselling only if they maintained NSR/low AF burden for ≥3 consecutive months. All patients (age 73.3 ± 11.7 years; 53% male) were followed clinically and with ICM monitoring for 23.5 ± 10.5 months for outcomes including stroke, bleeding, death, device malfunction or infection, and AADs' adverse effects. Patients in Group A (n = 43), Group B (n = 20), and Group C (n = 7) had similar CHADS2 (2.09 ± 0.65, 2.05 ± 0.51, and 2.14 ± 0.38, respectively), CHA2DS2-VASc (3.05 ± 1.05, 2.85 ± 0.99, and 2.42 ± 0.53, respectively), and HAS-BLED (3.02 ± 1.01, 3.40 ± 0.68, and 3.00 ± 0.58, respectively) scores (P > 0.05). In 53 (76%) patients (Group A = 41 and Group B = 12) who maintained NSR/low AF burden, OACs were discontinued without adverse events. Severe bleeding occurred in 4 of 17 (24%) patients who remained on OACs. CONCLUSION: In AF patients with high bleeding risk, ICM-guided rhythm control with AADs and assessment of AF burden may allow safe discontinuation of OACs.

The Impact of Duration of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrences on Measures of Health-Related Quality of Life and Symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the relationship between daily atrial fibrillation (AF) burden and quality of life (QOL). We sought to determine the influence of atrial tachycardia (AT) or AF burden on measures of QOL and symptoms. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed patients with dual-chamber pacemakers from the Atrial Septal Pacing Efficacy Clinical Trial (ASPECT), Atrial Therapy Efficacy and Safety Trial (ATTEST), and aTRial arrhythmias dEtected by implaNted Device diagnostics Study (TRENDS) trials. All patients underwent at least one QOL evaluation. We predefined four AF burden groups: no AT/AF (group 1), ≤30 minutes (group 2), 30 minutes-2 hours (group 3), and >2 hours (group 4) per day. We compared QOL measures using the 12-item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-12; standard 4 week recall) and the AF Symptom Checklist (SC) severity and frequency between groups 2-4 to those in group 1. A total of 798 patients were analyzed (age 72 ± 11 years, 447 male [56%]). SC frequency and severity and SF-12 physical and mental scores worsened significantly when patients in group 4 were compared to patients with no AF. There were no statistically significant differences for any of the measures when comparing group 2 or 3 patients to group 1. By linear regression, only the 2-hour-cutoff had a significant impact on QOL as measured by SC frequency (+3.15, P < 0.001), severity (+3.23, P < 0.001), SF-12 physical score (-2.42, P = 0.013), and SF-12 mental score (-2.11, P = 0.021). CONCLUSION: A daily AT/AF burden of more than 2 hours had significant impact on QOL. This might influence the choice of appropriate cut-off points to determine the success of an AF treatment.

Real-World Experience with Insertable Cardiac Monitors to Find Atrial Fibrillation in Cryptogenic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: The characteristics of atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes in cryptogenic stroke patients have recently been explored in carefully selected patient populations. However, the incidence of AF among a large, real-world population of patients with an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) placed for the detection of AF following a cryptogenic stroke has not been investigated. METHODS: Patients in the de-identified Medtronic DiscoveryLink™ database who received an ICM (Reveal LINQ™) for the purpose of AF detection following a cryptogenic stroke were included. AF detection rates (episodes ≥2 min) were quantified using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates at 1 and 6 months and compared to the CRYSTAL AF study at 6 months. The time to AF detection and maximum duration of AF episodes were also analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 1,247 patients (age 65.3 ± 13.0 years) were followed for 182 (IQR 182-182) days. A total of 1,521 AF episodes were detected in 147 patients, resulting in AF detection rates of 4.6 and 12.2% at 30 and 182 days, respectively, and representing a 37% relative increase over that reported in the CRYSTAL AF trial at 6 months. The median time to AF detection was 58 (IQR 11-101) days and the median duration of the longest detected AF episode was 3.4 (IQR 0.4-11.8) h. CONCLUSIONS: The real-world incidence of AF among patients being monitored with an ICM after a cryptogenic stroke validates the findings of the CRYSTAL AF trial and suggests that continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring for periods longer than the current guideline recommendation of 30 days may be warranted in the evaluation of patients with cryptogenic stroke.

Infarct Topography and Detection of Atrial Fibrillation in Cryptogenic Stroke: Results from CRYSTAL AF.

BACKGROUND: Insertable cardiac monitors (ICM) have been shown to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) at a higher rate than routine monitoring methods in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS). However, it is unknown whether there are topographic patterns of brain infarction in patients with CS that are particularly associated with underlying AF. If such patterns exist, these could be used to help decide whether or not CS patients would benefit from long-term monitoring with an ICM. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, a neuro-radiologist blinded to clinical details reviewed brain images from 212 patients with CS who were enrolled in the ICM arm of the CRYptogenic STroke And underLying AF (CRYSTAL AF) trial. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to describe rates of AF detection at 12 months in patients with and without pre-specified imaging characteristics. Hazard ratios (HRs), 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and p values were calculated using Cox regression. RESULTS: We did not find any pattern of acute brain infarction that was significantly associated with AF detection after CS. However, the presence of chronic brain infarctions (15.8 vs. 7.0%, HR 2.84, 95% CI 1.13-7.15, p = 0.02) or leukoaraiosis (18.2 vs. 7.9%, HR 2.94, 95% CI 1.28-6.71, p < 0.01) was associated with AF detection. There was a borderline significant association of AF detection with the presence of chronic territorial (defined as within the territory of a first or second degree branch of the circle of Willis) infarcts (20.9 vs. 10.0%, HR 2.37, 95% CI 0.98-5.72, p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence for an association between brain infarction pattern and AF detection using an ICM in patients with CS, although patients with coexisting chronic, as well as acute, brain infarcts had a higher rate of AF detection. Acute brain infarction topography does not reliably predict or exclude detection of underlying AF in patients with CS and should not be used to select patients for ICM after cryptogenic stroke.

The prevalence of sinus rhythm in patients with "permanent" atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The term "permanent" atrial fibrillation (AF) is generally used to describe the rhythm status of patients for whom cardioversion has failed or attempts to restore normal sinus rhythm (NSR) have ceased. However, the rhythm status of such patients is typically assessed by symptoms or intermittent monitoring, and therefore categorization may be imprecise. METHODS: We evaluated the presence of NSR among patients who were identified by their physicians as having permanent AF and who underwent prior insertion of a cardiac rhythm management device in the OMNI study. Patients with a dual- or triple-chamber device (pacemaker, implantable cardiac defibrillator, or cardiac resynchronization therapy) and ≥30 days of device data were studied. We tabulated the percentage of follow-up days spent entirely in NSR, entirely in AF, or in both NSR and AF. RESULTS: A total of 69 patients met inclusion criteria and were followed for 767 ± 479 days. More than 73% of patients experienced ≥1 entire day in NSR. On average, 38.2% of days were spent entirely in NSR, 11.8% of days were spent in a combination of NSR and AF, and only 50.0% of days were spent entirely in AF. The median daily AF burden during follow-up was 14.6 [1.1-23.7] hours/day. CONCLUSIONS: NSR is common in many device patients thought to have permanent AF, suggesting that continuous arrhythmia monitoring could be useful in identifying permanent AF patients who may benefit from renewed rhythm control efforts. Alternatively, some permanent AF patients undergoing atrioventricular nodal ablation may benefit from dual-chamber devices due to likely periods of NSR.

Atrial fibrillation burden estimates derived from intermittent rhythm monitoring are unreliable estimates of the true atrial fibrillation burden.

BACKGROUND: Estimates of atrial fibrillation (AF) burden (AFB) derived from intermittent rhythm monitoring (IRM) are increasingly being used as an outcome measure after therapeutic interventions; however, their accuracy has never been validated. The aim of this study was to compare IRM-derived AFB estimates to the true AFB as measured by implantable continuous monitoring (CM) devices. METHODS: Rhythm histories from 647 patients (mean AFB: 12 ± 22%; 687 patient·years) with CM devices were analyzed. IRM of various frequencies and durations were simulated and the obtained IRM-derived AF burdens were compared to the true AFB measured by CM. RESULTS: The relative error of the IRM burden estimates was dependent on the IRM length (P < 0.001), frequency of IRM (P < 0.001), the true AFB (P < 0.001), and its temporal aggregation (AF density, P < 0.001). In paroxysmal AF patients, the relative error even with aggressive IRM strategies was >80% of the true AFB. The relative error decreased with higher true AF burdens, lower AF densities, and higher IRM frequency or duration (P < 0.001). However, even in patients with high AF burdens and/or low AF densities, IRM estimates of AFB significantly deviated from the true AFB (relative error >20%, P < 0.001) and resulted in a substantial measurement error. CONCLUSION: IRM-derived AFB estimates are unreliable estimators of the true AFB. Particularly for paroxysmal AF patients, IRM-derived AFB estimates should not be used to evaluate outcomes after AF interventions.

Associations Between Changes in Maximum Daily Atrial Fibrillation Duration, Ischemic Stroke, and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) outcomes are strongly associated with continuous measures of AF burden. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to assess the association between changes in maximum daily AF duration (MDAFD) and stroke or mortality in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). METHODS: The Optum deidentified electronic health record data set (2007-2021) was linked with the Medtronic CareLink heart rhythm database. Patients with CIEDs and health care activity recorded in the electronic health record were included, excluding those with oral anticoagulation prescription. MDAFD was assessed 30 days post implant (baseline period) and 30 days before censoring or an event. HRs for the primary analysis were adjusted for components of CHA2DS2-VASc, baseline MDAFD category, and chronic kidney disease. RESULTS: Of 26,400 patients (age 68 ± 13 years; follow-up 2.6 ± 1.6 years) analyzed, 2,544 (9.6%) had AF during baseline. Increased (vs stable or decreased) MDAFD category in follow-up was associated with a higher adjusted rate of stroke and mortality (HR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.61-2.01). There was no association between decreased MDAFD in follow-up and the combined endpoint (HR: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.68-1.00). Subgroup analysis by baseline MDAFD category demonstrated that increased MDAFD in follow-up was associated with a greater risk of stroke or mortality among patients with no AF at baseline, and decreased MDAFD in follow-up was associated with a lower risk of stroke or mortality among patients with baseline MDAFD of 1 to <5.5 hours and 5.5 to <23.5 hours. CONCLUSIONS: In CIED patients not on oral anticoagulation, increased MDAFD in follow-up was associated with a higher rate of stroke and mortality. These results suggest that AF burden, and associated risk, s not stable over time.