Empagliflozin in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: The effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease who are at risk for disease progression are not well understood. The EMPA-KIDNEY trial was designed to assess the effects of treatment with empagliflozin in a broad range of such patients. METHODS: We enrolled patients with chronic kidney disease who had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of at least 20 but less than 45 ml per minute per 1.73 m2 of body-surface area, or who had an eGFR of at least 45 but less than 90 ml per minute per 1.73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (with albumin measured in milligrams and creatinine measured in grams) of at least 200. Patients were randomly assigned to receive empagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or matching placebo. The primary outcome was a composite of progression of kidney disease (defined as end-stage kidney disease, a sustained decrease in eGFR to <10 ml per minute per 1.73 m2, a sustained decrease in eGFR of ≥40% from baseline, or death from renal causes) or death from cardiovascular causes. RESULTS: A total of 6609 patients underwent randomization. During a median of 2.0 years of follow-up, progression of kidney disease or death from cardiovascular causes occurred in 432 of 3304 patients (13.1%) in the empagliflozin group and in 558 of 3305 patients (16.9%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64 to 0.82; P<0.001). Results were consistent among patients with or without diabetes and across subgroups defined according to eGFR ranges. The rate of hospitalization from any cause was lower in the empagliflozin group than in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.78 to 0.95; P = 0.003), but there were no significant between-group differences with respect to the composite outcome of hospitalization for heart failure or death from cardiovascular causes (which occurred in 4.0% in the empagliflozin group and 4.6% in the placebo group) or death from any cause (in 4.5% and 5.1%, respectively). The rates of serious adverse events were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among a wide range of patients with chronic kidney disease who were at risk for disease progression, empagliflozin therapy led to a lower risk of progression of kidney disease or death from cardiovascular causes than placebo. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim and others; EMPA-KIDNEY ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03594110; EudraCT number, 2017-002971-24.).

Proteomic Assessment of the Risk of Secondary Cardiovascular Events among Individuals with CKD.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular risk models have been developed primarily for incident events. Well-performing models are lacking to predict secondary cardiovascular events among people with a history of coronary heart disease, stroke, or heart failure who also have chronic kidney disease (CKD). We sought to develop a proteomics-based risk score for cardiovascular events in individuals with CKD and a history of cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We measured 4638 plasma proteins among 1067 participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and 536 individuals from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Cohort (ARIC). All had non-dialysis-dependent CKD and coronary heart disease, heart failure, or stroke at study baseline. A proteomic risk model for secondary cardiovascular events was derived by elastic net regression in CRIC, validated in ARIC, and compared to clinical models. Biologic mechanisms of secondary events were characterized through proteomic pathway analysis. RESULTS: A 16-protein risk model was superior to the Framingham risk score for secondary events, including a modified score that included estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). In CRIC, the annualized area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) within 1 to 5 years ranged between 0.77 and 0.80 for the protein model and 0.57 and 0.72 for the clinical models. These findings were replicated in the ARIC validation cohort. Biologic pathway analysis identified pathways and proteins for cardiac remodeling and fibrosis, vascular disease, and thrombosis. CONCLUSIONS: The proteomic risk model for secondary cardiovascular events outperformed clinical models based on traditional risk factors and eGFR.

Incident heart failure in chronic kidney disease: proteomics informs biology and risk stratification.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Incident heart failure (HF) among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) incurs hospitalizations that burden patients and health care systems. There are few preventative therapies, and the Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) perform poorly in the setting of CKD. New drug targets and better risk stratification are urgently needed. METHODS: In this analysis of incident HF, SomaScan V4.0 (4638 proteins) was analysed in 2906 participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) with validation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The primary outcome was 14-year incident HF (390 events); secondary outcomes included 4-year HF (183 events), HF with reduced ejection fraction (137 events), and HF with preserved ejection fraction (165 events). Mendelian randomization and Gene Ontology were applied to examine causality and pathways. The performance of novel multi-protein risk models was compared to the PCP-HF risk score. RESULTS: Over 200 proteins were associated with incident HF after adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate at P < 1 × 10-5. After adjustment for covariates including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, 17 proteins remained associated at P < 1 × 10-5. Mendelian randomization associations were found for six proteins, of which four are druggable targets: FCG2B, IGFBP3, CAH6, and ASGR1. For the primary outcome, the C-statistic (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the 48-protein model in CRIC was 0.790 (0.735, 0.844) vs. 0.703 (0.644, 0.762) for the PCP-HF model (P = .001). C-statistic (95% CI) for the protein model in ARIC was 0.747 (0.707, 0.787). CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale proteomics reveal novel circulating protein biomarkers and potential mediators of HF in CKD. Proteomic risk models improve upon the PCP-HF risk score in this population.

Development, characterization, and replication of proteomic aging clocks: Analysis of 2 population-based cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Biological age may be estimated by proteomic aging clocks (PACs). Previous published PACs were constructed either in smaller studies or mainly in white individuals, and they used proteomic measures from only one-time point. In this study, we created de novo PACs and compared their performance to published PACs at 2 different time points in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of white and black participants (around 75% white and 25% black). MEDTHODS AND FINDINGS: A total of 4,712 plasma proteins were measured using SomaScan in blood samples collected in 1990 to 1992 from 11,761 midlife participants (aged 46 to 70 years) and in 2011 to 2013 from 5,183 late-life participants (aged 66 to 90 years). The de novo ARIC PACs were constructed by training them against chronological age using elastic net regression in two-thirds of healthy participants in midlife and late life and validated in the remaining one-third of healthy participants at the corresponding time point. We also computed 3 published PACs. We estimated age acceleration for each PAC as residuals after regressing each PAC on chronological age. We also calculated the change in age acceleration from midlife to late life. We examined the associations of age acceleration and change in age acceleration with mortality through 2019 from all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and lower respiratory disease (LRD) using Cox proportional hazards regression in participants (irrespective of health) after excluding the training set. The model was adjusted for chronological age, smoking, body mass index (BMI), and other confounders. We externally validated the midlife PAC using the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Exam 1 data. The ARIC PACs had a slightly stronger correlation with chronological age than published PACs in healthy participants at each time point. Associations with mortality were similar for the ARIC PACs and published PACs. For late-life and midlife age acceleration for the ARIC PACs, respectively, hazard ratios (HRs) per 1 standard deviation were 1.65 and 1.38 (both p < 0.001) for all-cause mortality, 1.37 and 1.20 (both p < 0.001) for CVD mortality, 1.21 (p = 0.028) and 1.04 (p = 0.280) for cancer mortality, and 1.46 and 1.68 (both p < 0.001) for LRD mortality. For the change in age acceleration, HRs for all-cause, CVD, and LRD mortality were comparable to the HRs for late-life age acceleration. The association between the change in age acceleration and cancer mortality was not significant. The external validation of the midlife PAC in MESA showed significant associations with mortality, as observed for midlife participants in ARIC. The main limitation is that our PACs were constructed in midlife and late-life participants. It is unknown whether these PACs could be applied to young individuals. CONCLUSIONS: In this longitudinal study, we found that the ARIC PACs and published PACs were similarly associated with an increased risk of mortality. These findings suggested that PACs show promise as biomarkers of biological age. PACs may be serve as tools to predict mortality and evaluate the effect of anti-aging lifestyle and therapeutic interventions.

The Lancet Commission to reduce the global burden of sudden cardiac death: a call for multidisciplinary action.

Despite major advancements in cardiovascular medicine, sudden cardiac death (SCD) continues to be an enormous medical and societal challenge, claiming millions of lives every year. Efforts to prevent SCD are hampered by imperfect risk prediction and inadequate solutions to specifically address arrhythmogenesis. Although resuscitation strategies have witnessed substantial evolution, there is a need to strengthen the organisation of community interventions and emergency medical systems across varied locations and health-care structures. With all the technological and medical advances of the 21st century, the fact that survival from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) remains lower than 10% in most parts of the world is unacceptable. Recognising this urgent need, the Lancet Commission on SCD was constituted, bringing together 30 international experts in varied disciplines. Consistent progress in tackling SCD will require a completely revamped approach to SCD prevention, with wide-sweeping policy changes that will empower the development of both governmental and community-based programmes to maximise survival from SCA, and to comprehensively attend to survivors and decedents' families after the event. International collaborative efforts that maximally leverage and connect the expertise of various research organisations will need to be prioritised to properly address identified gaps. The Commission places substantial emphasis on the need to develop a multidisciplinary strategy that encompasses all aspects of SCD prevention and treatment. The Commission provides a critical assessment of the current scientific efforts in the field, and puts forth key recommendations to challenge, activate, and intensify efforts by both the scientific and global community with new directions, research, and innovation to reduce the burden of SCD worldwide.

Alterations in the Circulating Proteome Associated with Albuminuria.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: We describe circulating proteins associated with albuminuria in a population of African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension with CKD (AASK) using the largest proteomic platform to date: nearly 7000 circulating proteins, representing approximately 2000 new targets. Findings were replicated in a subset of a general population cohort with kidney disease (ARIC) and a population with CKD Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). In cross-sectional analysis, 104 proteins were significantly associated with albuminuria in the Black group, of which 67 of 77 available proteins were replicated in ARIC and 68 of 71 available proteins in CRIC. LMAN2, TNFSFR1B, and members of the ephrin superfamily had the strongest associations. Pathway analysis also demonstrated enrichment of ephrin family proteins. BACKGROUND: Proteomic techniques have facilitated understanding of pathways that mediate decline in GFR. Albuminuria is a key component of CKD diagnosis, staging, and prognosis but has been less studied than GFR. We sought to investigate circulating proteins associated with higher albuminuria. METHODS: We evaluated the cross-sectional associations of the blood proteome with albuminuria and longitudinally with doubling of albuminuria in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK; 38% female; mean GFR 46; median urine protein-to-creatinine ratio 81 mg/g; n =703) and replicated in two external cohorts: a subset of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study with CKD and the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). RESULTS: In cross-sectional analysis, 104 proteins were significantly associated with albuminuria in AASK, of which 67 of 77 available proteins were replicated in ARIC and 68 of 71 available proteins in CRIC. Proteins with the strongest associations included LMAN2, TNFSFR1B, and members of the ephrin superfamily. Pathway analysis also demonstrated enrichment of ephrin family proteins. Five proteins were significantly associated with worsening albuminuria in AASK, including LMAN2 and EFNA4, which were replicated in ARIC and CRIC. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with CKD, large-scale proteomic analysis identified known and novel proteins associated with albuminuria and suggested a role for ephrin signaling in albuminuria progression.

Testican-2 Is Associated with Reduced Risk of Incident ESKD.

BACKGROUND: Testican-2 was recently identified as a podocyte-derived protein that is released into circulation by the kidneys and is positively correlated with eGFR and eGFR slope. However, whether higher testican-2 levels are associated with lower risk of ESKD is unknown. METHODS: Aptamer-based proteomics assessed blood testican-2 levels among participants in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK, n =703), the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study ( n =3196), and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study ( n =4378). We compared baseline characteristics by testican-2 tertile and used Cox proportional hazards models to study the association of testican-2 with incident ESKD. RESULTS: Higher testican-2 levels were associated with higher measured GFR (mGFR) in AASK, higher eGFR in the CRIC and ARIC studies, and lower albuminuria in all cohorts. Baseline testican-2 levels were significantly associated with incident ESKD in Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and race (model 1) and model 1+mGFR or eGFR+comorbidities (model 2). In model 3 (model 2+proteinuria), the associations between testican-2 (per SD increase) and incident ESKD were AASK (hazard ratio [HR]=0.84 [0.72 to 0.98], P =0.023), CRIC (HR=0.95 [0.89 to 1.02], P =0.14), ARIC (HR=0.54 [0.36 to 0.83], P =0.0044), and meta-analysis (HR=0.92 [0.86 to 0.98], P =0.0073). CONCLUSIONS: Across three cohorts spanning >8000 individuals, testican-2 is associated with kidney health and prognosis, with higher levels associated with reduced risk of ESKD.

Proteomic cardiovascular risk assessment in chronic kidney disease.

AIMS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is widely prevalent and independently increases cardiovascular risk. Cardiovascular risk prediction tools derived in the general population perform poorly in CKD. Through large-scale proteomics discovery, this study aimed to create more accurate cardiovascular risk models. METHODS AND RESULTS: Elastic net regression was used to derive a proteomic risk model for incident cardiovascular risk in 2182 participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort. The model was then validated in 485 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort. All participants had CKD and no history of cardiovascular disease at study baseline when ∼5000 proteins were measured. The proteomic risk model, which consisted of 32 proteins, was superior to both the 2013 ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equation and a modified Pooled Cohort Equation that included estimated glomerular filtrate rate. The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort internal validation set demonstrated annualized receiver operating characteristic area under the curve values from 1 to 10 years ranging between 0.84 and 0.89 for the protein and 0.70 and 0.73 for the clinical models. Similar findings were observed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities validation cohort. For nearly half of the individual proteins independently associated with cardiovascular risk, Mendelian randomization suggested a causal link to cardiovascular events or risk factors. Pathway analyses revealed enrichment of proteins involved in immunologic function, vascular and neuronal development, and hepatic fibrosis. CONCLUSION: In two sizeable populations with CKD, a proteomic risk model for incident cardiovascular disease surpassed clinical risk models recommended in clinical practice, even after including estimated glomerular filtration rate. New biological insights may prioritize the development of therapeutic strategies for cardiovascular risk reduction in the CKD population.

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential is associated with reduced risk of cognitive impairment in patients with chronic kidney disease.

INTRODUCTION: Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and dementia disproportionately burden patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The association between CHIP and cognitive impairment in CKD patients is unknown. METHODS: We conducted time-to-event analyses in up to 1452 older adults with CKD from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort who underwent CHIP gene sequencing. Cognition was assessed using four validated tests in up to 6 years mean follow-up time. Incident cognitive impairment was defined as a test score one standard deviation below the baseline mean. RESULTS: Compared to non-carriers, CHIP carriers were markedly less likely to experience impairment in attention (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval {CI}] = 0.44 [0.26, 0.76], p = 0.003) and executive function (adjusted HR [95% CI] = 0.60 [0.37, 0.97], p = 0.04). There were no significant associations between CHIP and impairment in global cognition or verbal memory. DISCUSSION: CHIP was associated with lower risks of impairment in attention and executive function among CKD patients. HIGHLIGHTS: Our study is the first to examine the role of CHIP in cognitive decline in CKD. CHIP markedly decreased the risk of impairment in attention and executive function. CHIP was not associated with impairment in global cognition or verbal memory.

Excess risk of cardiovascular events in patients in the United States vs. Japan with chronic kidney disease is mediated mainly by left ventricular structure and function.

While patients receiving dialysis therapy in the United States are more likely to develop cardiovascular disease (CVD) than those in Japan, direct comparisons of patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) are rare. To study this, we compared various outcomes in patients with predialysis CKD using data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and CKD Japan Cohort (CKD-JAC) studies and determined mediators of any differences. Candidate mediators included left ventricular (LV) indices assessed by echocardiography. Among 3125 CRIC and 1097 CKD-JAC participants, the mean LV mass index (LVMI) and ejection fraction (EF) were 55.7 and 46.6 g/m2 and 54% and 65%, respectively (both significant). The difference in body mass index (32 and 24 kg/m2, respectively) largely accounted for the differences in LVMI and C-reactive protein levels across cohorts. Low EF and high LVMI were significantly associated with subsequent CVD in both cohorts. During a median follow-up of five years, CRIC participants were at higher risk for CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 3.66 [2.74-4.89]) and death (4.69 [3.05-7.19]). A three-fold higher C-reactive protein concentration and higher phosphate levels in the United States cohort were moderately strong mediators of the differences in CVD. However, echocardiographic parameters were stronger mediators than these laboratory measures. LVMI, EF and their combination mediated the observed difference in CVD (27%, 50%, and 57%, respectively) and congestive heart failure (33%, 62%, and 70%, respectively). Thus, higher LV mass and lower EF, even in the normal range, were found to be predictive of CVD in CKD.

Risk Prediction Models for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: The CRIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with CKD may be at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, there are no ASCVD risk prediction models developed in CKD populations to inform clinical care and prevention. METHODS: We developed and validated 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models in patients with CKD that included participants without self-reported cardiovascular disease from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. ASCVD was defined as the first occurrence of adjudicated fatal and nonfatal stroke or myocardial infarction. Our models used clinically available variables and novel biomarkers. Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination, calibration, and net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: Of 2604 participants (mean age 55.8 years; 52.0% male) included in the analyses, 252 had incident ASCVD within 10 years of baseline. Compared with the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association pooled cohort equations (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]=0.730), a model with coefficients estimated within the CRIC sample had higher discrimination (P=0.03), achieving an AUC of 0.736 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.649 to 0.826). The CRIC model developed using clinically available variables had an AUC of 0.760 (95% CI, 0.678 to 0.851). The CRIC biomarker-enriched model had an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI, 0.674 to 0.853), which was significantly higher than the clinical model (P=0.001). Both the clinical and biomarker-enriched models were well-calibrated and improved reclassification of nonevents compared with the pooled cohort equations (6.6%; 95% CI, 3.7% to 9.6% and 10.0%; 95% CI, 6.8% to 13.3%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models developed in patients with CKD, including novel kidney and cardiac biomarkers, performed better than equations developed for the general population using only traditional risk factors.

Persistent Opioid Use After Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device Procedures.

BACKGROUND: Prescription opioids are a major contributor to the ongoing epidemic of persistent opioid use (POU). The incidence of POU among opioid-naïve patients after cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) procedures is unknown. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from a national administrative claims database from 2004 to 2018 of patients undergoing CIED procedures. Adult patients were included if they were opioid-naïve during the 180-day period before the procedure and did not undergo another procedure with anesthesia in the next 180 days. POU was defined by filling an additional opioid prescription >30 days after the CIED procedure. RESULTS: Of the 143 400 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 15 316 (11%) filled an opioid prescription within 14 days of surgery. Among these patients, POU occurred in 1901 (12.4%) patients 30 to 180 days after surgery. The likelihood of developing POU was increased for patients who had a history of drug abuse (odds ratio, 1.52; P=0.005), preoperative muscle relaxant (odds ratio, 1.52; P<0.001) or benzodiazepine (odds ratio, 1.23; P=0.001) use, or opioid use in the previous 5 years (OR, 1.76; P<0.0001). POU did not differ after subcutaneous implantable cardioverter defibrillator or other CIED procedures (11.1 versus 12.4%; P=0.5). In a sensitivity analysis excluding high-risk patients who were discharged to a facility or who had a history of drug abuse or previous opioid, benzodiazepine, or muscle relaxant use, 8.9% of the remaining cohort had POU. Patients prescribed >135 mg of oral morphine equivalents had a significantly increased risk of POU. CONCLUSIONS: POU is common after CIED procedures, and 12% of patients continued to use opioids >30 days after surgery. Higher initially prescribed oral morphine equivalent doses were associated with developing POU.

Prognostic Value of Nonischemic Ringlike Left Ventricular Scar in Patients With Apparently Idiopathic Nonsustained Ventricular Arrhythmias.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) scar on late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiac magnetic resonance has been correlated with life-threatening arrhythmic events in patients with apparently idiopathic ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). We investigated the prognostic significance of a specific LV-LGE phenotype characterized by a ringlike pattern of fibrosis. METHODS: A total of 686 patients with apparently idiopathic nonsustained VA underwent contrast-enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance. A ringlike pattern of LV scar was defined as LV subepicardial/midmyocardial LGE involving at least 3 contiguous segments in the same short-axis slice. The end point of the study was time to the composite outcome of all-cause death, resuscitated cardiac arrest because of ventricular fibrillation or hemodynamically unstable ventricular tachycardia and appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy. RESULTS: A total of 28 patients (4%) had a ringlike pattern of scar (group A), 78 (11%) had a non-ringlike pattern (group B), and 580 (85%) had normal cardiac magnetic resonance with no LGE (group C). Group A patients were younger compared with groups B and C (median age, 40 vs 52 vs 45 years; P<0.01), more frequently men (96% vs 82% vs 55%; P<0.01), with a higher prevalence of family history of sudden cardiac death or cardiomyopathy (39% vs 14% vs 6%; P<0.01) and more frequent history of unexplained syncope (18% vs 9% vs 3%; P<0.01). All patients in group A showed VA with a right bundle-branch block morphology versus 69% in group B and 21% in group C (P<0.01). Multifocal VAs were observed in 46% of group A patients compared with 26% of group B and 4% of group C (P<0.01). After a median follow-up of 61 months (range, 34-84 months), the composite outcome occurred in 14 patients (50.0%) in group A versus 15 (19.0%) in group B and 2 (0.3%) in group C (P<0.01). After multivariable adjustment, the presence of LGE with ringlike pattern remained independently associated with increased risk of the composite end point (hazard ratio, 68.98 [95% CI, 14.67-324.39], P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with apparently idiopathic nonsustained VA, nonischemic LV scar with a ringlike pattern is associated with malignant arrhythmic events.

Time-Updated Changes in Estimated GFR and Proteinuria and Major Adverse Cardiac Events: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Evaluating repeated measures of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) over time may enhance our ability to understand the association between changes in kidney parameters and cardiovascular disease risk. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Annual visit data from 2,438 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). EXPOSURES: Average and slope of eGFR and UPCR in time-updated, 1-year exposure windows. OUTCOMES: Incident heart failure, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, death, and a composite of incident heart failure, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, and death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A landmark analysis, a dynamic approach to survival modeling that leverages longitudinal, iterative profiles of laboratory and clinical information to assess the time-updated 3-year risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. RESULTS: Adjusting for baseline and time-updated covariates, every standard deviation lower mean eGFR (19mL/min/1.73m2) and declining slope of eGFR (8mL/min/1.73m2 per year) were independently associated with higher risks of heart failure (hazard ratios [HRs] of 1.82 [95% CI, 1.39-2.44] and 1.28 [95% CI, 1.12-1.45], respectively) and the composite outcome (HRs of 1.32 [95% CI, 1.11-1.54] and 1.11 [95% CI, 1.03-1.20], respectively). Every standard deviation higher mean UPCR (136mg/g) and increasing UPCR (240mg/g per year) were also independently associated with higher risks of heart failure (HRs of 1.58 [95% CI, 1.28-1.97] and 1.20 [95% CI, 1.10-1.29], respectively) and the composite outcome (HRs of 1.33 [95% CI, 1.17-1.50] and 1.12 [95% CI, 1.06-1.18], respectively). LIMITATIONS: Limited generalizability of annual eGFR and UPCR assessments; several biomarkers for cardiovascular disease risk were not available annually. CONCLUSIONS: Using the landmark approach to account for time-updated patterns of kidney function, average and slope of eGFR and proteinuria were independently associated with 3-year cardiovascular risk. Short-term changes in kidney function provide information about cardiovascular risk incremental to level of kidney function, representing possible opportunities for more effective management of patients with chronic kidney disease.

Continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring post-stroke: A feasibility study in REGARDS.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiac rhythm monitoring is increasingly used after stroke. We studied feasibility of telephone guided, mail-in ambulatory long-term cardiac rhythm monitoring in Black and White stroke survivors. MATERIALS AND METHODS;: We contacted 28 participants of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who had an ischemic stroke during follow-up. After obtaining informed consent by telephone, a noninvasive 14-day cardiac rhythm monitoring device (ZIO® XT patch; iRhythm Technologies, San Francisco, CA) was mailed to each participant. We evaluated the results of telephone consent, follow-up calls, compliance and wear time as the primary objective. Secondarily, we reported prevalence of atrial and ventricular arrhythmias. RESULTS: The majority of those contacted (20/28 = 71%) agreed to enroll in the monitoring study. Non-participation was nominally more common in Black than White participants; 6/16 (37.5%) vs. 2/12 (17%). Of those who agreed, 15 participants (75%, 6 Black, 9 White) completed ambulatory monitoring with mean wear time 12.9 ± 2.5 days. Arrhythmias were observed in two-thirds of the 15 participants: AF in 2, brief atrial tachycardia in 12, NSVT in 2, premature ventricular contractions in 3, and pause or atrioventricular block in 2. CONCLUSIONS: Non-invasive rhythm monitoring was feasible in this pilot from a large, national cohort study of stroke survivors that employed a telephone guided, mail-in monitoring system, and these preliminary results suggest a high prevalence of arrhythmias. Increased emphasis on recruitment strategies for Black stroke survivors may be required. We demonstrated a high yield of significant cardiac arrhythmias among post-stroke participants who completed monitoring.

Sex Differences in Cardiovascular Outcomes in CKD: Findings From the CRIC Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular events are less common in women than men in general populations; however, studies in chronic kidney disease (CKD) are less conclusive. We evaluated sex-related differences in cardiovascular events and death in adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,778 women and 2,161 men enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC). EXPOSURE: Sex (women vs men). OUTCOME: Atherosclerotic composite outcome (myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease), incident heart failure, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 9.6 years, we observed 698 atherosclerotic events (women, 264; men, 434), 762 heart failure events (women, 331; men, 431), 435 cardiovascular deaths (women, 163; men, 274), and 1,158 deaths from any cause (women, 449; men, 709). In analyses adjusted for sociodemographic, clinical, and metabolic parameters, women had a lower risk of atherosclerotic events (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.57-0.88]), heart failure (HR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.62-0.93]), cardiovascular death (HR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.42-0.72]), and death from any cause (HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.49-0.69]) compared with men. These associations remained statistically significant after adjusting for cardiac and inflammation biomarkers. LIMITATIONS: Assessment of sex hormones, which may play a role in cardiovascular risk, was not included. CONCLUSIONS: In a large, diverse cohort of adults with CKD, compared with men, women had lower risks of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and mortality from any cause. These differences were not explained by measured cardiovascular risk factors.

Mobile Health (mHealth) Technology: Assessment of Availability, Acceptability, and Use in CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Digital and mobile health (mHealth) technologies improve patient-provider communication and increase information accessibility. We assessed the use of technology, attitudes toward using mHealth technologies, and proficiency in using mHealth technologies among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey with open text responses. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study participants who completed current use and interest in using mHealth technologies questionnaires and the eHealth literacy Survey (eHEALS). EXPOSURE: Participant characteristics. OUTCOMES: Use of technology (ie, internet, email, smartphone, and mHealth applications [apps]), interest in future mHealth use, and proficiency in using digital and mHealth technologies, or eHealth literacy, determined by eHEALS score. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Poisson regression and a qualitative content analysis of open-ended responses. RESULTS: Study participants (n = 932) had a mean age of 68 years old and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 54 mL/min/1.73 m2, and 59% were male. Approximately 70% reported current use of internet, email, and smartphones, and 35% used mHealth apps; only 27% had adequate eHealth literacy (eHEALS score ≥ 32). Participants <65 years of age (vs. ≥65), with more education, higher income, better cognition, and adequate health literacy reported more use of technology, and greater interest in using technologies. Participants of White (vs. non-White) race reported more use of internet and email but less interest in future use of mHealth. Younger age, higher annual income, and greater disease self-efficacy were associated with adequate eHealth literacy. Three themes regarding interest in using digital and mHealth technologies emerged: willingness, concerns, and barriers. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding, ascertainment bias. CONCLUSIONS: Many individuals with CKD currently use the internet and smartphones and are interested in using mHealth in the future, but few use mHealth apps or have adequate eHealth literacy. mHealth technologies present an opportunity to engage individuals with CKD, especially members of racial or ethnic minority groups because those groups reported greater interest in using mHealth technology than the nonminority population. Further research is needed to identify strategies to overcome inadequate eHealth literacy.

Change in Cardiac Biomarkers and Risk of Incident Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation in CKD: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Circulating cardiac biomarkers may signal potential mechanistic pathways involved in heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Single measures of circulating cardiac biomarkers are strongly associated with incident HF and AF in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We tested the associations of longitudinal changes in the N-terminal fragment of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), galectin-3, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), and soluble ST-2 (sST-2) with incident HF and AF in patients with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Observational, case-cohort study design. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adults with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study. EXPOSURES: Biomarkers were measured at baseline and 2 years later among those without kidney failure. We created 3 categories of absolute change in each biomarker: the lowest quartile, the middle 2 quartiles, and the top quartile. OUTCOMES: The primary outcomes were incident HF and AF. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to test the associations of the change categories of each cardiac biomarker with each outcome (with the middle 2 quartiles of change as the referent group), adjusting for potential confounders and baseline concentrations of each biomarker. RESULTS: The incident HF analysis included 789 participants (which included 138 incident HF cases), and the incident AF analysis included 774 participants (123 incident AF cases). In multivariable models, the top quartile of NT-proBNP change (>232pg/mL over 2years) was associated with increased risk of incident HF (HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.06-3.04]) and AF (HR, 2.32 [95% CI, 1.37-3.93]) compared with the referent group. Participants in the top quartile of sST2 change (>3.37ng/mL over 2years) had significantly greater risk of incident HF (HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.13-3.16]), whereas those in the bottom quartile (≤-3.78ng/mL over 2years) had greater risk of incident AF (HR, 2.43 [95% CI, 1.39-4.22]) compared with the 2 middle quartiles. There was no association of changes in hsTnT, galectin-3, or GDF-15 with incident HF or AF. LIMITATIONS: Observational study. CONCLUSIONS: In CKD, increases in NT-proBNP were significantly associated with greater risk of incident HF and AF, and increases in sST2 were associated with HF. Further studies should investigate whether these markers of subclinical cardiovascular disease can be modified to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease in CKD.

Continuous rhythm monitoring-guided anticoagulation after atrial fibrillation ablation.

INTRODUCTION: Oral anticoagulation (OAC) based on estimated stroke risk is recommended following catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF), regardless of the extent of arrhythmia control. However, discontinuing OAC in selected patients may be safe. We sought to evaluate a strategy of OAC discontinuation following AF ablation guided by continuous rhythm monitoring. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively studied AF ablations performed at our institution from June 2015 to December 2019. Patients that had pre-existing cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) or underwent insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) implantation immediately following AF ablation were included. OAC was continued for 6 weeks following CA in all patients, following which OAC management was guided by CHA2 DS2 -VASc score and continuous rhythm monitoring results, according to a prespecified protocol. AF recurrence was defined as ≥30 s (CIEDs) or ≥2 min (ICM). We studied 196 patients (mean age 64.7 ± 11.3 years, 66.8% male, 85.7% ICM, 14.3% CIEDs). Mean CHA2 DS2- VASc score was 2.2 ± 1.5. One-year AF-free survival following CA was 83% for paroxysmal AF and 63% for persistent AF patients. Over 3 year follow-up, OAC was discontinued in 57 (33.7%) patients, mean 7.4 ± 7.1 months following ablation. Following discontinuation, OAC was restarted for AF recurrence in 9 (15.8%) patients, mean 11.7 ± 6.8 months after stopping. This discontinuation protocol led to a 21.9% reduction in overall time exposed to OAC. There were no thromboembolic or major bleeding events. CONCLUSION: OAC can be discontinued in a significant percentage of patients following CA of AF. When guided by continuous rhythm monitoring, this practice does not unacceptably increase the risk of thromboembolic events.

Catheter ablation of atrial arrhythmias following lung transplant: Electrophysiological findings and outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Data on the mechanisms of atrial arrhythmias (AAs) and outcomes of catheter ablation (CA) in lung transplantation (LT) patients are insufficient. We evaluated the electrophysiologic features and outcomes of CA of AAs in LT patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a retrospective study of all the LT patients who underwent CA for AAs at our institution between 2004 and 2019. A total of 15 patients (43% males, age: 61 ± 10 years) with a history of LT (60% bilateral and 40% unilateral) were identified. All patients had documented organized AA on surface electrocardiogram and seven patients also had atrial fibrillation (AF; 47% with >1 clinical arrhythmia). At electrophysiological study, 19 organized AAs were documented (48% focal and 52% macro-re-entrant). Focal atrial tachycardias/flutters were targeted along the pulmonary vein (PV) anastomotic site at the left inferior PV (n = 2), ridge and carina of the left superior PV (n = 2), left atrium (LA) posterior wall (n = 3), LA roof (n = 1), and tricuspid annulus (n = 1). Macro-re-entrant AAs included cavotricuspid isthmus-dependent flutter (n = 2), incisional LA flutter (n = 4), LA roof-dependent flutter (n = 1), and mitral annular flutter (n = 3). In patients with LA mapping (n = 13), PV reconnection on the side of the LT was found in six patients (40%, all with clinically documented AF), with a mean of 2.1 ± 0.9 PVs reconnected per patient. Patients with AF underwent successful PV isolation. After a median follow-up of 19 months (range: 6-86 months), 75% of patients remained free from recurrent AAs. No procedural major complications occurred. CONCLUSION: In patients with prior LT, recurrent AAs are typically associated with substrate surrounding the surgical anastomotic lines and/or chronically reconnected PVs. CA of AAs in this population is safe and effective to achieve long-term arrhythmia control.